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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 361 records · Page 20
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Investigating Particle Phase State Dependencies during a Historic Pacific Northwest Wildfire Event

The function and lifetime of an atmospheric particle are greatly dependent upon its phase state. Studying particle phase states from specific ambient source types is often challenging due to uncontrolled environmental conditions and multiple source contributions. However, a historic Pacific Northwest wildfire event occurred in September 2020, providing a rare opportunity to study a pseudo-single particle type ambient sample (i.e., wildfire) over time. Sampling was performed in Richland, Washington, capturing aged particles from shifting wildfire sources. In addition to source variability, temporal variation in wildfire particle phase state was observed from single particle analyses. Despite this, single particle elemental compositions were homogenous over time (=87% carbonaceous) with no significant temporal variation in organic functional group abundances within individual particles either (e.g., 4% relative standard deviation in alkene contributions). While particle composition is indeed known to affect phase state, water uptake appeared to be the most significant contributor to phase state variability amongst single particles here, as particle aspect ratios (related to phase state) linearly correlated with ambient relative humidity during sampling (R2 = 0.65). Therefore, while limited to a case study, meteorological considerations are found to convey greater comparative importance than particle composition for aged particle phase state predictions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

Assessing the Accuracy of Property Model Predictions for Cost Optimization of Desalination Technologies

Accurate modeling of seawater thermophysical and thermodynamic properties is critical for optimizing desalination processes. This study compares three seawater property models, a Reaktoro multicomponent model, the thermophysical seawater properties library from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, and a simplified sodium chloride model, in the context of levelized cost of water (LCOW) minimization for reverse osmosis (RO) and mechanical vapor compression systems. Process simulations and cost optimizations reveal that although all three models yield comparable LCOW and specific energy consumption (SEC) estimates under baseline conditions, deviations among their predictions increase with salinity. Relative differences in LCOW and SEC reach up to 6% and 8%, respectively. RO results show greater variability due to differences in osmotic pressure predictions, which affect pressure constraints at high recoveries. Computational performance varies substantially; specifically, Reaktoro simulations are up to 28 times slower than empirical models due to their detailed equilibrium calculations. These results suggest that empirical models offer acceptable accuracy for routine desalination process design, while Reaktoro provides advantages in scenarios requiring detailed speciation, such as scaling or pH adjustment studies. These findings underscore the importance of selecting appropriate property models based on the modeling objective of desalination applications and motivate future work integrating thermodynamic rigor with empirical efficiency.

Physical and chemical properties↗
DOE OSTI2026

Influence of Rigidity–Hydration Coupling on Size-Dependent Diffusion in Hydrated Polymer Membranes

Selective ion transport in polymer membranes depends critically on how penetrant motion couples to polymer dynamics and hydration. Yet, the mechanistic interplay between polymer rigidity, water content, and penetrant size remains poorly understood, especially in the regime where the penetrant diameter, polymer Kuhn length, and correlation length are comparable. Here, we employ coarse-grained molecular dynamics simulations to systematically investigate penetrant diffusion in hydrated polymer networks across a broad range of water volume fractions, chain rigidities, and penetrant sizes. The results reveal a transition from a decoupled regime, where small penetrants diffuse nearly independently of polymer relaxation, to a coupled regime in which large penetrants require cooperative polymer motion for transport. Increasing polymer rigidity amplifies the sensitivity of diffusivity to hydration, particularly at low water content, leading to pronounced deviations from Stokes−Einstein scaling. Comparison with scaling theories and free-volume models shows that classical nanoparticle-based frameworks fail to capture this intermediate regime. To address this gap, we extend the Yasuda model to incorporate polymer rigidity through a single parameter that quantifies the dynamic contribution of chain stiffness to free-volume fluctuations. The resulting model collapses diffusivity data across all sizes, water contents, and rigidities, providing a unified description of penetrant transport in hydrated polymer matrices. Furthermore, these findings establish polymer rigidity as a key, tunable determinant of diffusion and offer a framework for interpreting size-dependent transport in ion-selective membranes.

diffusion↗
DOE OSTI2025

Thermodynamics of MgO Atomic Layer Deposition Surface Reactions

The realities of atomic layer deposition (ALD) surface reactions often deviate from the simple ligand exchange frequently used to illustrate the technique. A detailed understanding of these reactions is necessary to develop greater surface synthetic control including chemical selectivity for patterning or to target defects. Here, the thermodynamics of surface reactions relevant to MgO ALD were investigated using pyroelectric calorimetry to measure the time-resolved heat generation. These reactions show exothermic heat generation of 0.12 mJ/cm 2 and 0.15 mJ/cm 2 for alternating Mg(CpEt) 2 and H 2 O reactions, respectively. The total reaction heat closely matches the standard reaction enthalpy for bulk MgO, supplemented with first-principles molecular calculations. First-principles models further reveal that while simple ligand exchange is favorable during surface reactions, the required increase in Mg-coordination number from two in the precursor to six in bulk MgO requires additional coverage-dependent surface reactions, which depend on the availability and stability of proximal surface hydroxyls.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Colloidal Dispersions of Sterically and Electrostatically Stabilized PbS Quantum Dots: Structure Factors, Second Virial Coefficients, and Film-Forming Properties

Electrostatically stabilized nanocrystals (NCs) and, in particular, quantum dots (QDs) hold promise for forming strongly coupled superlattices due to their compact and electronically conductive surface ligands. However, studies of the colloidal dispersion and interparticle interactions of electrostatically stabilized sub-10 nm NCs have been limited, hindering the optimization of their colloidal stability and self-assembly. In this study, we employed small-angle X-ray scattering (SAXS) experiments to investigate the interparticle interactions and arrangement of PbS QDs with thiostannate ligands (PbS-Sn2S64-) in polar solvents. The study reveals significant deviations from the ideal solution behavior in electrostatically stabilized QD dispersions. Our results demonstrate that PbS-Sn2S64- QDs exhibit long-range interactions within the solvent, in contrast to the short-range steric repulsion characteristic of PbS QDs with oleate ligands (PbS-OA). Introducing highly charged multivalent electrolytes screens electrostatic interactions between charged QDs, reducing the length scale of the repulsive interactions. Furthermore, we calculated the second virial (B2) coefficients from SAXS data, providing insights into how surface chemistry, solvent, and size influence pair potentials. Finally, we explore the influence of long-range interparticle interactions of PbS-Sn2S64- QDs on the morphology of films produced by drying or spin-coating colloidal solutions. The long-range repulsive term of PbS-Sn2S64- QDs promotes the formation of amorphous films, and screening the electrostatic repulsion by the addition of an electrolyte enables the formation of crystalline domains. These findings highlight the critical role of NC-NC interactions in tailoring the properties of functional materials made of colloidal NCs.

SAXS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Optomechanical Tuning of Second Harmonic Generation Anisotropy in Janus MoSSe/MoS 2 Heterostructures

Symmetry breaking in van der Waals materials enables the realization of quantum states and advanced device functionalities. Janus transition-metal dichalcogenides (TMDs) exhibit distinctive nonlinear optical properties due to their broken out-of-plane mirror symmetry. However, the dynamic control of second harmonic generation (SHG) anisotropy and resonance behavior via optical excitation remains elusive. Here, in this work, we investigate the SHG response of Janus MoSSe/MoS 2 heterostructures with 2H and 3R stackings. We can tune the SHG response by varying the incident photon wavelength from 800 to 1000 nm, which shows a resonance-dependent enhancement in intensity and a deviation from 6-fold symmetry, indicating wavelength-dependent anisotropy. The ratio between maximum and minimum intensity in the armchair directions, associated with the SHG anisotropy, reaches a value of 1.73 at the excitation wavelength of 1000 nm. Group theory analysis and first-principles calculations reveal that the observed anisotropy arises from optically induced strain. Our findings highlight the role of symmetry breaking and optical resonance contributing to the optomechanical tuning of SHG anisotropy, offering opportunities for developing Janus TMD-based photonic devices for frequency conversion, light generation, and optical switching.

Janus transition metal dichalcogenides↗
DOE OSTI2026

Direct Ab Initio Simulation of the Synthesis of BaZrO 3 and the Microstructure Impacts on Proton Transport

Controlling and predicting the processing-structure-performance relationship in functional materials is a grand challenge in materials science, with important implications for a wide range of emerging applications; a high fidelity understanding of the performance impact of microstructures formed under synthesis conditions is required to develop advanced materials, such as solid-state fuel cells and electrolyzers. Using the ceramic BaZrO 3 as a case study, we directly simulate the synthesis and investigate how proton transport is dictated by microstructures. We develop a framework that couples density functional theory (DFT), machine-learning interatomic potential (MLIP) driven molecular dynamics, and grand canonical Monte Carlo to perform large-scale, microstructure-resolved, atomistic simulations of proton transport in experimentally representative polycrystalline structures. Our fully ab initio approach, using a MLIP as a proxy for DFT, allows us to quantify the competition between two distinct diffusion mechanisms: one associated with grain-boundary regions and another within grains. When the impacts of grain boundaries are taken into account, proton transport exhibits substantial deviation from the bulk oxide limit. This addresses long-standing discrepancies between theory and experiments. Our integrated approach provides atomistic insight into microstructure-dependent proton pathways in BaZrO 3 and establishes a general protocol for predicting processing-structure-performance relationships.

organic↗
DOE OSTI2025

Investigation into the Synthesis of Several TATB-Inspired Energetic Materials

The synthesis and characterization of several TATB-inspired energetic materials was explored. Despite their structural similarity to TATB, their behavior toward traditional synthetic pathways deviates significantly from that of the parent material. This change in expected reactivity is discussed and an efficient alternative synthesis is reported. The development of a simple and effective route to these TATB-type compounds opens the door to a potential new class of insensitive high explosives.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Sparge Sampling of Molten Salts for Online Monitoring via Laser-Induced Breakdown Spectroscopy

A method was developed to sample molten salts by sparging to generate and transport aerosols to an isolated instrument for compositional analysis by laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy (LIBS). Real-time monitoring of molten salt composition is critical to developing molten salt nuclear reactors, which offer enhanced safety and efficiency. In this article, the sparge sampling method is described and compared with sampling using a Collison nebulizer. The size distribution and transport of aerosols produced from molten eutectic NaNO 3 –KNO 3 salt were compared for multiple gas flow rates (75–1200 mL min –1 ) and transport distances (0.68–2.61 m). Both methods produced aerosols ranging from 0.5 to 5.0 μm determined using a cascade impactor. Aerosols were effectively transported without pre- or trace-heating of gas lines, but transport efficiency was reduced by the formation of agglomerates. Sparge sampling was found to use less sample and less gas than a Collison nebulizer while producing a more concentrated aerosol stream (up to 5 μg L –1 ). The effects of laser energy and delay time on the signal quality of LIBS measurements of these aerosols were also studied. High energy and short delay times were found to enhance signal and repeatability, whereas signal-to-background and signal-to-noise ratios were highest at low energy and longer delay times. The capabilities of this system for online monitoring of molten salts were demonstrated with calibrations for Sr and Li with relative standard deviations of 2.6% and 1.5% and limits of detection of 380 and 180 μg g –1 , respectively.

Aerosols↗
DOE OSTI2026

1 H NMR Quantification of Aromatic Monomers from Reductive Catalytic Fractionation

Reductive catalytic fractionation (RCF) can produce high yields of aromatic monomers from lignin in native biomass. Quantification of these aromatic monomers is a well-known but demanding task, in part due to the lack of commercially available standards. Here, we demonstrate 1 H NMR spectroscopy as a complementary method to rapidly quantify aromatic monomer concentrations in RCF oils. The method exhibited good agreement with measurements from ultrahigh pressure liquid chromatography (UHPLC) for 96 RCF oils with varying monomer selectivity, with average absolute deviations of individual monomer yields between 0.5 and 1.1 wt % (relative 11–17%) and R 2 values above 0.9 compared to conventional UHPLC quantification. Quantification of S-type monomers, including for 4-ethylsyringol and 4-propenylsyringol, was generally reliable. The validity of G-type monomer quantifications depended on reaction selectivity due to overlap between peaks of 4-ethylguaiacol and 4-(3-hydroxypropyl)-guaiacol. The method could be applied on crude RCF oils without needing to perform the liquid–liquid extraction typically done for RCF reactions, thereby providing a convenient way to quantify lignin extraction and aromatic monomer yield. Overall, 1 H NMR spectroscopy can serve as a rapid primary quantification or secondary validation method for RCF monomer yield and selectivity measurements.

1H NMR spectroscopy↗
DOE OSTI2025

Molecular-Level Insights into the NMR Relaxivity of Gadobutrol Using Quantum and Classical Molecular Simulations

MRI is an indispensable diagnostic tool in modern medicine; however, understanding the molecular-level processes governing NMR relaxation of water in the presence of MRI contrast agents remains a challenge, hindering the molecular-guided development of more effective contrast agents. By using quantum-based polarizable force fields, the first-of-its-kind molecular dynamics (MD) simulations of Gadobutrol are reported where the 1 H NMR longitudinal relaxivity r 1 of the aqueous phase is determined without any adjustable parameters. The MD simulations of r 1 dispersion (i.e., frequency dependence) show good agreement with measurements at frequencies of interest in clinical MRI. Importantly, the simulations reveal key insights into the molecular level processes leading to r 1 dispersion by decomposing the NMR dipole–dipole autocorrelation function G(t) into a discrete set of molecular modes, analogous to the eigenmodes of a quantum harmonic oscillator. The molecular modes reveal important aspects of the underlying mechanisms governing r 1 , such as its multiexponential nature and the importance of the second eigenmodal decay. By simply analyzing the MD trajectories on a parameter-free approach, the Gadobutrol simulations show that the outer-shell water contributes ∼50% of the total relaxivity r 1 compared to the inner-shell water, in contrast to simulations of (nonchelated) gadolinium-aqua where the outer shell contributes only ∼15% of r 1 . The deviation between simulations and measurements of r 1 below clinical MRI frequencies is used to determine the low-frequency electron-spin relaxation time for Gadobutrol, in good agreement with independent studies.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Entropy-Tailored Fast-Charging Sodium Layered Cathodes

O3-type layered transition metal (TM) oxides are widely used as cathode materials for Na-ion batteries due to their high energy density potential, enabled by the state of charge (SoC)-dependent transition from octahedral (O-type) to prismatic (P-type) structures during Na-ion (de)sodiation. However, the O–P transition is often criticized for compromising the Na-ion mobility and limiting the cycle life. Herein, we reveal the intrinsic correlation between O–P transitions, oxygen behaviors, and Na-ion kinetics. We demonstrate that a compositionally versatile, entropy-tailored approach can promote preferred transitions (characterized by large lattice parameter deviations in the O-type region and rapid O–P biphasic reactions), enhancing Na-ion migration, as revealed by in situ high-energy synchrotron X-ray diffraction (HEXRD). Additionally, irreversible oxygen loss at high SoC is effectively mitigated, while TM migration and surface reconstruction are greatly suppressed, further accelerating Na-ion transport and stabilizing the structure, as confirmed by X-ray absorption spectroscopy (XAS) and theoretical analyses. The result is an exceptionally high rate capability of 88.7 mAh g –1 at 20 C (2.4 A g –1 ) with a superior normalized retention of 72.6%, accompanied by a prolonged lifetime with 74.3% retention after 1000 cycles. In conclusion, this work advances the understanding of the chemistry–property relationships in O3-type layered cathodes and broadens the prospects for fabricating high-power-density electrodes.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Similar but Different: Structural and Spectroscopic Characterization of Series of Neodymium, Europium, Americium, and Curium Coordination Complexes

Series of curium, americium, europium, and neodymium complexes with five different polyoxometalate (POM) ligands were structurally and spectroscopically characterized: Na x Cs y H z [M(XW 11 O 39 ) 2 ]· n H 2 O, where M = Nd 3+ , Eu 3+ , Am 3+ , or Cm 3+ and X = B 3+ , Ga 3+ , Si 4+ , Ge 4+ , or P 5+ . This first “serial approach” on transplutonium chemistry was allowed by minimizing the amount of f-element needed per synthesis down to ∼10 μg. This offers a unique opportunity to contrast structural and spectroscopic properties of trivalent actinide with those of lanthanide compounds under identical conditions. The results showcase that although actinide(III) and lanthanide(III) can make isostructural complexes, their solid-state coordination chemistries deviate significantly. The curium and americium compounds were found to be more uniform than their europium and neodymium counterparts, respectively. The particular symmetry of the Cm-POMs also enables the observation of rarely seen emission bands, which hints at vibronic coupling or new emissive pathways. Additionally, the Cm-POM and Eu-POM complexes were characterized via steady-state and time-resolved excitation and emission spectroscopy in solutions containing five different counterions (Li + , Na + , K + , Rb + , or Cs + ), representing 50 combinations of alkali/[M III (XW 11 ) 2 ] n − complexes. The Cm-POMs respond to the alkali counterions by improving symmetry from Li + to Cs + , while the Eu-POMs do the opposite. The luminescence lifetimes of the Cm-POMs also depart from the ideal Kimura equation. Finally, this study provides a rare, and perhaps the most comprehensive, experimental data set comparing heavy actinides and lanthanides via single crystal XRD plus, solution-state, solid-state, and time-resolved emission spectroscopy and demonstrates that lanthanides are only a coarse approximation for actinide elements.

chemical structure↗
DOE OSTI2025

Large Hyperfine Coupling Arising from Pseudo- 2 S Ground States in a Series of Lutetium(II) Metallocene Complexes

The synthesis of molecules with strong coupling between electronic and nuclear spins represents an important challenge in molecular quantum information science. Here, we report the synthesis and characterization of the divalent lutetium metallocene complexes Lu(Cp Me 5 )(Cp iPr 5 ) (Cp Me 5 = pentamethylcyclopentadienyl; Cp iPr 5 = pentaisopropylcyclopentadienyl), Lu(Cp iPr 4 Et ) 2 (Cp iPr 4 Et = ethyltetraisopropylcyclopentadienyl), and Lu(Cp iPr 4 ) 2 (Cp iPr 4 = tetraisopropylcyclopentadienyl). The molecular structures of these complexes, as determined through singlecrystal X-ray diffraction, feature a common bent sandwich geometry, with average Cp–Lu–Cp angles ranging from 159.9° to 152.6°. Analysis of continuous-wave electron paramagnetic resonance (EPR) spectra for the complexes reveals nearly isotropic g tensors with only a slight deviation from that of a free electron. Moreover, an extremely large splitting of the eight-line spectra indicates the presence of strong hyperfine coupling, and simulations provide isotropic hyperfine coupling constants of A iso = 4.38, 4.30, and 4.17 GHz across the series, where the value of A iso is found to decrease as the Cp–Lu–Cp angle becomes more acute. Notably, these values are the largest yet observed for any lanthanide complex. Moreover, EPR and computational analysis show that the large values of A iso stem from large s-orbital character up to 41.2% in the corresponding singly occupied molecular orbitals. To our knowledge, this degree of s-character in a molecular orbital is the largest yet reported for an open-shell isolable complex. These results outline a general strategy toward the isolation of paramagnetic molecules with strong hyperfine coupling and highly isotropic doublet electronic ground states.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

Computational Discovery of Ultralow Thermal Conductivity in the Energy-Degenerate Polymorphic Crystal Family A 2 M 2 M’Q 4

Crystalline materials, characterized by their well-defined lattices, typically exhibit a unique global thermodynamic minimum for a specific composition. However, in this study, we discover a quaternary chalcogenide family, A 2 M 2 M’Q 4 (A: alkali metals; M: coinage metal; M’: transition or group-IVA metals; Q: chalcogens), that exhibits pervasive energy (near-)degeneracy. For a given composition, multiple structurally distinct polymorphs exist within a formation enthalpy window of only a few milli-electron volts per atom. We quantify this inherent structural flexibility using a dedicated descriptor, σ f : the standard deviation of formation enthalpies among degenerate (meta)stable polymorphs. The consistently low σf observed across the A 2 M 2 M’Q 4 family signifies a characteristically shallow and frustrated potential energy landscape, which drives pronounced lattice anharmonicity, marking these materials as prime candidates for ultralow lattice thermal conductivity (κ L ). Employing an advanced high-throughput computational framework that integrates thermodynamics, lattice dynamics, and thermal conductivity calculations, we screen 1215 A 2 M 2 M’Q 4 compounds, identifying 30 stable candidates with κ L < 0.5 W m –1 K –1 at 300 K. Among them, Rb 2 Ag 2 SnTe 4 and Rb 2 Au 2 HfTe 4 , two representatives from the IVA and TM subgroups, are predicted to show ultralow room-temperature κ L of 0.174 W m –1 K –1 and 0.295 W m –1 K –1 , respectively. A systematic analysis suggests that the nonbonding and antibonding states induced by “dual rattlers” are the origin of low thermal conductivity in these compounds. Our results position the A 2 M 2 M’Q 4 family as a rich source of intrinsic thermal insulators and suggest that polymorphic energy degeneracy may serve as a valuable signpost for identifying crystalline families with potential anharmonicity.

cations↗
DOE OSTI2026

Uncertainty-Aware Machine Learning for Small-Angle X-ray Scattering Analysis in Autonomous Experimentation

Small-angle X-ray scattering (SAXS) is a powerful high-throughput characterization tool for probing nanoscale structure in native sample environments, providing real-time morphological information such as nanoparticle size and shape during synthesis. However, automated SAXS data analysis for extracting meaningful structural parameters is non-trivial and remains a bottleneck in closed-loop experimentation towards autonomous materials discovery, which demands fast, reliable, and uncertainty-aware data analysis. Here, we develop a machine-learning approach for automated SAXS analysis tailored to closed-loop nanoparticle synthesis. A Random Forest (RF) regression model is trained on 100,000 synthetic SAXS curves generated from polydisperse spherical nanoparticles with realistic background contributions. Using normalized one-dimensional SAXS intensity profiles as input, the RF model directly predicts nanoparticle radius, size polydispersity, and background parameters, while the ensemble standard deviation across trees provides built-in uncertainty quantification (UQ). On synthetic data, we show that combining fit-quality metrics (R 2 , MAE) with thresholds on prediction uncertainty reliably identifies accurate parameter estimates without access to ground truth. We then apply the trained model to 365 experimental SAXS profiles of citrate-reduced gold nanoparticles synthesized using an automated droplet-flow microreactor with in situ SAXS at a synchrotron beamline, classifying the results into high- and low-confidence subsets based on UQ metrics. Finally, we integrate RF-based SAXS analysis into a simulated closed-loop optimization campaign using Gaussian process Bayesian optimization to minimize nanoparticle polydispersity, benchmarking against conventional automated Levenberg–Marquardt fitting. The RF-guided campaign exhibits substantially faster convergence and lower relative opportunity cost (∼0.07 vs ∼0.3), demonstrating that uncertainty-aware machine-learning SAXS analysis significantly enhances the efficiency and robustness of autonomous nanomaterials synthesis workflows.

Bayesian optimization↗
DOE OSTI2025

Basal Melting and Oceanic Observations Beneath Central Fimbulisen, East Antarctica

Abstract Basal melting of ice shelves is fundamental to Antarctic ice sheet mass loss, yet direct observations remain sparse. We present the first year‐round melt record (2017–2021) from a phase‐sensitive radar on Fimbulisen, one of the fastest flowing ice shelves in Dronning Maud Land, East Antarctica. The observed long‐term mean ablation rate at 350 m depth below the central ice shelf was 1.0 ± 0.5 m yr −1 , marked by substantial sub‐weekly variability ranging from 0.4 to 3.5 m yr −1 . 36‐h filtered basal melt rate fluctuations closely align with ocean velocity. On seasonal time scales, melt rates peak during austral spring to autumn (September–March), driven by both elevated ocean velocities and thermal driving near the base. The combined effect of thermal driving and current speed explains the majority of the melt rate variability ( r = 0.84), highlighting the dominant role of shear‐driven turbulence. This relationship enables parameterization of melt rates for the decade‐long ocean record (2010–2021), although deviations appear under low and high forcing conditions. Both observed and parameterized melt rates show similar yearly mean magnitudes compared to satellite‐derived melt rates but with a tenfold lower seasonal amplitude and a 3‐month delay in seasonality. These detailed concurrent ice–ocean observations provide essential validation data for remote sensing and numerical models that aim to quantify and project ice‐shelf response to a change in ocean forcing. In situ measurements and continued monitoring are crucial for accurately assessing and modeling future basal melt rates, and for understanding the complex dynamics driving ice‐shelf stability and sea‐level change.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Declining Reservoir Reliability and Increasing Reservoir Vulnerability: Long-Term Observations Reveal Longer and More Severe Periods of Low Reservoir Storage for Major United States Reservoirs

Hydrological drought is a pervasive and reoccurring challenge in managing water resources. Reservoirs are critical for lessening the impacts of drought on water available for many uses. We use a novel and generalized approach to identify periods of unusually low reservoir storage—via comparisons to operational rule curves and historical patterns—to investigate how droughts affect storage in 250 reservoirs across the conterminous U.S. (CONUS). We find that the maximum amount of water stored in reservoirs is decreasing, and that periods of unusually low storage are becoming longer, more severe, and more variable in (a) western and central CONUS reservoirs, and (b) reservoirs with primarily over-year storage. Results suggest that reservoir storage has become less reliable and more vulnerable to larger deviations from desired storage patterns. These changes have coincided with ongoing shifts to the hydroclimate of CONUS, and with sedimentation further reducing available reservoir storage.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗