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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 397 records · Page 22
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Transfer Learning Trained LSTM Models for Household Load Profile Forecasting

Grid edge renewable energy resources, such as rooftop solar photovoltaics, closely interact with consumer load profiles. Therefore, forecasting future electricity demand, ideally at the individual household level, is indispensable. In this paper, we present a transfer learning enhanced household load profile forecasting method. First, we tune a long short-term memory forecasting model to perform day-ahead prediction of household electricity load profiles. Then we improve these individualized models using transfer learning, and we use k-means clustering to create optimal source data sets. We find average improvements of 4.38% (largest improvement of 10.71%) when the entire data set was used to train the source model and 2.45% (largest improvement of 11.57%) in the mean absolute error when households were first clustered and used to train separate source models for each cluster. We find that transfer learning with clustered data can effectively boost the forecasting performance of the LSTM models. We use realistic household power measurements for 148 real residential households in Austin, Texas.

deep learning↗
DOE OSTI2025

Materials Engineering for High Performance and Durability Proton Exchange Membrane Water Electrolyzers

Proton exchange membrane water electrolyzers (PEMWEs) are expected to play a crucial role in the global green energy transition during the 21st century. They provide a versatile and sustainable solution for generating hydrogen with very high purity in combination with renewable energies, such as solar and wind. Despite their promise, PEMWEs face several critical problems, including high costs, performance limitations, and durability challenges, particularly at low iridium (Ir) loading on the anode. Advancing next-generation PEMWEs requires extensive work on materials engineering of all cell components, including the catalyst layer (CL), membrane, porous transport layer (PTL), bipolar plate (BPP), and gasket. This task must be performed with the complementary contribution of different modeling and characterization techniques. This review presents a critical perspective from academia, research centers, and industry, mapping main developments, remaining gaps, and strategic pathways to advance PEMWE technology. A focus is devoted to key aspects, such as operation at low Ir loading, membrane durability, multiscale transport layers, porous and non-porous flow fields, multiphysics modeling, and multipurpose characterization techniques, which are thoroughly discussed. By unifying these topics, this review provides readers with the essential knowledge to grasp current developments and tackle tomorrow's challenges in PEMWE engineering.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Data-Driven Model for Photovoltaic Generation: Comparison with Physical Models Using a Microgrid in Puerto Rico

Photovoltaic (PV) generation is a critical component of microgrids, but its accurate modeling is challenging due to the complex and dynamic interactions between solar irradiance, temperature, and PV system installation. This paper develops a multilayer perceptron (MLP) model that inputs solar irradiance and temperature to estimate the PV generation, and it compares the proposed data-driven model’s performance to two well-known physical models: the single-diode model and the inverter model. The results demonstrate that all the models can reach high levels of accuracy. However, the MLP model outperforms the physical models on average by 4.5 to 6.6 percent in R squared scores and 220 to 290 Watts in RMSE scores, and it does not require physical system parameters. Moreover, the data-driven model can overcome the limitations of the lack of real-time PV generation data.

R pesante colón, Marcos↗
DOE OSTI2026

Multiphysics Analysis of Li Cooled Divertor Substrate During Loss of Coolant Accident (LOCA)

In the ongoing study of potential designs for liquid metal (LM) plasma-facing components (PFCs), so-called “slow” and “fast” Li flow divertor concepts are under investigation. In the previous studies on design and analysis of the slow Li flow divertor and comparison with the fast Li flow divertor, the magnetohydrodynamics (MHD)/heat transfer effects of the Li flowing inside the substrate as a second coolant were comprehensively investigated under the normal steady-state operation conditions. Here, in the present study, the multiphysics analysis is extended to the unsteady abnormal divertor scenario where the Li layer on top of the substrate does not provide full coverage or even totally disappears for a certain period of time, so that the substrate becomes directly exposed to the incident high plasma heat flux. Such an unwanted event may happen regardless of the concept of the divertor and is worth detailed investigations, typically referred to as a loss of coolant accident (LOCA). To address this situation, a simplified scoping analysis is conducted first in 2-D, and then an integrated 3-D modeling is performed using a time-dependent multiphysics model in COMSOL Multiphysics that integrates LM MHD, heat transfer, and solid mechanics. The main goal is to evaluate conditions under which the major material limits, such as the maximum allowable temperature, stress, and displacement of the substrate, can still be met. It was shown that the maximum time over which the substrate of RAFM steel can retain structural integrity during the LOCA is around 0.2 ∼ 0.3 s. Any divertor concept that utilizes RAFM steel as a substrate material and liquid Li as a second coolant should take such a permitted time into consideration.

divertor↗
DOE OSTI2025

Impala

SAND2025-07450O Impala is a software tool that performs Bayesian model calibration for emulator-based models. The program uses R code to perform the calculations. Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-NA0003525.

Tucker, James [Sandia National Lab. (SNL-CA), Live↗
DOE OSTI2026

A New Chapter in Solar: Bifacial PV from Emerging Topic to Core Curriculum

Associated with the new edition of the bifacial PV book, this talk reviews the transition of bifacial PV from niche innovation to standard practice, including progress in modeling and performance evaluation, and ongoing challenges in reliability, new applications, and fleet repowering.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Capturing Historic Reliability Performance Through Graph Databases: A Model Based System Engineering Approach

With the goal of improving the performance and reliability of high dependable technological systems such as nuclear power plants, advanced monitoring and health management systems are employed to inform system engineers on observed degradation processes and anomalous behaviors of assets and components. This information is captured in the form of large amount of data which can be heterogenous in nature (e.g., numeric, textual). Such large data availability poses challenges when system engineers are required to parse and analyze them in order to track historic reliability performance of assets and components. This paper tackles directly this challenge by providing means to organize data in the form of a graph: a knowledge graph. The presented approach distinguish itself from current knowledge graph-based methods by the fact that model-based system engineering (MBSE) models are used to “put data into context”. In particular, MBSE models are used as skeleton of a knowledge graph; numeric and textual data elements, once processed, are associated to MBSE model elements. Thus, a knowledge graph captures both system architecture (though MBSE models) and health/performance data. Such feature opens the door to new data analytics methods designed to identify causal relations between observed phenomena.

97 - MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Advanced Modeling of Beam Physics and Performance Optimization for Nuclear Physics Colliders

High energy colliders provide a critical tool in nuclear physics study by probing the fundamental structure and dynamics of matter. To maximize the potential of scientific discovery in nuclear physics study, it is important to optimize the parameters of these colliders to attain the best performance. The performance of a collider is typically measured by its integrated luminosity of colliding beams since the probability of a new event is proportional to the integrated luminosity. However, the achievable luminosity is limited by the electromagnetic interactions (beam-beam effects) of two colliding beams at higher energy, and the interplay between the space-charge effects and the beam-beam effects at lower energy. To achieve the best performance of a collider means to attain the highest luminosity of the collider with optimized collider parameters. Optimizing the collider’s machine parameters is both computationally and experimentally expensive. A fast and robust computational framework including beam-beam and space-charge effects will be critical to attaining the best performance of the collider. In this project, we will study the beam dynamics challenges, specifically the interplay of the space-charge and the beam-beam effects, and the machine tuning models for maximizing the performance of RHIC experiments. We will develop an advanced modeling framework based on first-principles physical simulations, lattice models and the state-of-the-art machine learning methods and apply this framework to performance improvement of the RHIC in operation. We will build data manipulation packages to connect the simulation data and the experimental data with the framework, develop a self-consistent hybrid model of space-charge and beam-beam effects, study underlying physics mechanisms, build surrogate models using the labeled data, integrate the models into the advanced modeling framework, and apply the framework to RHIC luminosity (STAR and sPHENIX) optimization. The success of this project would substantially improve the performance of existing and future colliders and increase the opportunity for scientific discovery.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Dynamical Sketching for Enhanced Communication Efficiency in Federated Learning

Federated learning (FL) has revolutionized distributed machine learning by enabling collaborative model training without sharing local data. However, communication efficiency and privacy guarantees remain significant challenges. This paper introduces a dynamic sketching mechanism in FL, optimizing the trade-off between communication efficiency and model accuracy. By dynamically selecting the sketch matrix size, our approach adapts to the evolving characteristics of the data and the model, ensuring optimal performance across diverse scenarios. We leverage Bayesian optimization to systematically tune the sketch parameters, achieving an effective balance between resource efficiency and model performance. Experimental results on the MNIST dataset using a convolutional neural network (CNN) architecture validate the proposed method's efficiency and scalability. Our dynamic sketching approach significantly outperforms fixed-size sketching techniques, achieving higher compression ratios (up to 62x) and providing better privacy guarantees while maintaining high model accuracy. These findings highlight the robustness and versatility of our approach and make it a valuable solution for privacy-preserving, communication-efficient federated learning.

Afrose, Sharmin [ORNL]↗
DOE OSTI2025

Air Dispersion Modeling for the Idaho National Laboratory Permit to Construct P-2020.0045 Facility Emission Cap Revision Request

The U.S. Department of Energy Idaho Operations Office (DOE-ID) is seeking to modify permit to construct (PTC) P-2020.0045 issued to U S Dept. of Energy – Idaho National Laboratory (INL) on January 29, 2021 by the Idaho Department of Environmental Quality (DEQ). This PTC allowed the INL to become a synthetic minor source of air pollutants using a facility emission cap (FEC). Air dispersion modeling was performed as part of the permit revision application process to demonstrate that the modifications will comply with the National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS). This report documents the modeling methodology and complete results for the air dispersion impact analysis and is supplied as an appendix to the permit revision request, Idaho National Laboratory Permit to Construct P-2020.0045 (INL 2025). All criteria air pollutants (CAPs) regulated under Section 109 of the Clean Air Act were modeled with the exception of lead (Pb) and ozone which are not required to be modeled by DEQ. Consistent with the original permit application, modeling was not performed for toxic air pollutants (TAPs) as uncontrolled emissions did not exceed screening emission levels for carcinogenic and non-carcinogenic TAPs. Acceptable model design values (concentrations) for each CAP and averaging period were summed with average background concentrations and compared to NAAQS. The results demonstrate the impacts of requested FEC limits for CAPs are less than applicable standards and demonstrate emissions up to FEC limits will not cause a violation of ambient air quality standards.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Phase-field modeling for restructuring in the dark zone of high burnup UO 2

This report summarizes the mesoscale modeling work performed in fiscal year 2024 under the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program to capture the microstructural evolution and restructuring observed in the dark regions of high burnup UO 2 nuclear fuel. This is the first attempt to realistically simulate the restructuring behavior observed in different region of a high burnup fuel. We employ a grand-potential based phase-field model to concurrently evaluate the formation of subgrains and growth of fission bubbles within the fuel. A energy-based subgrain formation criteria is introduced to simulate the restructuring process. Effect of different initial conditions and different modeling parameters are studies systematically to capture how each of these parameters influence the characteristics of the restructured fuel. It is observed that the subgrain formation begins around existing fission gas bubbles and then proceeds towards triple junctions, grain boundaries and grain interiors. It is demonstrated that restructuring is influenced by a combination of initial dislocation densities, subgrain formation rate, and temperature. Rate of restructuring increases with increase in fuel temperature. A restructuring bias is observed within the microstructure due to variation in defect accumulation among different grains. Furthermore, bubble sizes and distribution does not have a significant effect on rate of restructuring. The predicted microstructures resembles the characteristics of the restructured regions as observed in experiments. Finally, a correlation is presented that demonstrates the evolution of the restructuring volume fraction as a function of local effective burnup. This work provides a first of its kind restructuring model for darkzone that can be used by BISON for performance prediction of high burnup UO 2 fuel.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Experiments on a vapor compression air conditioner with liquid desiccants for efficient dehumidification

Buildings require air conditioning systems that not only cool and dehumidify supply air but also provide sufficient ventilation to ensure indoor air quality and occupant comfort. However, standard recirculation systems-which introduce about a 10 % to 20 % fraction of outdoor air-often fail to deliver air that is precisely cooled and dry, particularly because 80-90 % of the ventilation cooling load is latent. Mixing humid ventilation air with recirculated indoor air increases the energy and costs required to condition the air to comfortable levels. Dedicated outdoor air systems (DOASs) are designed to handle this latent dominated ventilation load and thus need to have efficient humidity removal. Many cooling cycles can perform this task. Here we describe a liquid desiccant DOAS, which combines a vapor compression cycle and a liquid desiccant absorber and desorber pair. We present its performance at 26 operating conditions and a thermodynamic model which can accurately predict the moisture removal efficiency. The model's performance predictions have a mean percentage error of 2.5 % and a coefficient of variation of the root mean square error of 7.5 %. We also compare the performance of this vapor-compression-coupled liquid desiccant system with a standard vapor compression system with the same components but no liquid desiccant. For the 26 conditions tested in this study, this comparison shows that adding liquid desiccants lowers the required evaporator cooling load by 21 %, allows for 25 % lower compressor volumetric capacity, and 25 % lower electricity use. Future work will leverage this model to quantify the reduction in annual electricity use across different climates, including the need for a standard vapor compression system to reheat the air during some of the year.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2025

Confinement performance predictions for a high field axisymmetric tandem mirror

This paper presents a Hammir tandem mirror confinement performance analysis based on Realta Fusion’s first-of-a-kind model for axisymmetric magnetic mirror fusion performance. This model uses an integrated end plug simulation model including, heating, equilibrium and transport combined with a new formulation of the plasma operation contours (POPCONs) technique for the tandem mirror central cell. Using this model in concert with machine learning optimization techniques, it is shown that an end plug utilizing high temperature superconducting magnets and modern neutral beams enables a classical tandem mirror pilot plant producing a fusion gain Q > 5. The approach here represents an important advance in tandem mirror design. The high-fidelity end plug model enables calculations of heating and transport in the highly non-Maxwellian end plug to be made more accurately. The detailed end plug modelling performed in this work has highlighted the importance of classical radial transport and neutral beam absorption efficiency on end plug viability. The central cell POPCON technique allows consideration of a wide range of parameters in the relatively simple near-Maxwellian central cell, facilitating the selection of more optimal central cell plasmas. These advances make it possible to find more conservative classical tandem mirror fusion pilot plant operating points with lower temperatures, neutral beam energies and end plug performance requirements than designs in the literature. Despite being more conservative, it is shown that these operating points have sufficient confinement performance to serve as the basis of a viable fusion pilot plant provided that they can be stabilized against magnetohydrodynamic and trapped particle modes.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Segmentation Model Distillation [Poster]

The process of training object detection (OD) or image segmentation model requires both a substantial amount of data and technical knowledge, which often creates challenges in applying these types of models to their full potential. In order to streamline the process of developing these models, we propose a new pipeline where a foundation model assists in the dataset generation. Then this resulting dataset is used to fine-tune a fast light-weight model to perform the custom segmentation or OD. This resulting model is also fit for real-time image segmentation, such as in a video stream.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

NEML2: A High Performance Library for Constitutive Modeling

NEML2, the New Engineering Material model Library, version 2, is an offshoot of NEML, an earlier material modeling code developed at Argonne National Laboratory. NEML2 extends the key philosophy of its predecessor, i.e., material models are flexible, modular, and can be built from smaller blocks. It also provides modern features that do not exist in the framework of its predecessor such as material model vectorization, automatic differentiation, device-portable just-in-time compilation, operator fusion, lazy tensor evaluation, etc. Moreover, NEML2 can seamlessly integrate with the popular machine learning package PyTorch to take advantage of modern and fast-growing machine learning techniques. In this fiscal year, the development of core library features and capabilities are complete. The purpose of this report is not to serve as a verbatim copy of the software API reference (which is available online at https://reverendbedford.github.io/neml2/). Instead, this report documents the motivation, implementation, design choices, and usage of each core capability as well as their applications in solving practical engineering problems. This report is compiled based on the NEML2 major release 2.0.0.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗