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Dartmouth Theory Group: The Physics of the Universe

1. What were the major goals of the project? Under this project, the senior investigator Robert Caldwell (PI) conducted research that addresses outstanding problems in cosmology. This project built on the PI’s ongoing research program in dark energy and cosmic acceleration, cosmology as a probe of fundamental physics, and new gravitational phenomena. Other faculty conducting research under this project were: Stephon Alexander, Marcelo Gleiser, and Devin Walker. Specific results have included predictions of new physics that informs and helps guide Cosmic Frontier observational probes of dark energy, dark matter, and CMB probes pursuing B-mode polarization. 2. What was accomplished under these goals? The project accomplished the primary goals: to extend the state of knowledge of dark energy, inflation, and the phases of the early Universe; to identify new observations and measurements that may help identify the underlying physics of the cosmos; to develop new analysis techniques that enhance the value of exist

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Quantifying scalar field dynamics with DESI 2024 Y1 BAO measurements

Quintessence scalar fields are a natural candidate for evolving dark energy. Unlike the phenomenological w 0 ⁢w a parameterization of the dark energy equation of state, they cannot accommodate the phantom regime of dark energy w⁡(z) <–1, or crossings into the phantom regime. Recent baryon acoustic oscillation (BAO) measurements by the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) indicate a preference for evolving dark energy over a cosmological constant, ranging from 2.6⁢σ –3.9⁢σ when fitting to w 0⁢ w a , and combining the DESI BAO measurements with other cosmological probes. In this work, we directly fit three simple scalar field models to the DESI BAO data, combined with cosmic microwave background anisotropy measurements and supernova datasets. We find the best fit model to include a 2–4% kinetic scalar field energy Ω scf,k , for a canonical scalar field with a quadratic or linear potential. However, only the DESY-Y5 supernova dataset combination shows a preference for quintessence over Λ cold dark matter (CDM) at the 95% confidence level. Fitting to the supernova datasets Pantheon, Pantheon+, DES-Y5, and Union3, we show that the mild tension (n σ < 3.4) under Λ ⁢CDM emerges from a BAO preference for smaller values of fractional mass-energy density Ω m < 0.29, while all supernova datasets, except for Pantheon, prefer larger values, Ω m > 0.3. The tension under Λ ⁢CDM remains noticeable (n σ < 2.8), when replacing two of the DESI BAO redshift bins with effective redshifts z eff = 0.51, and z eff = 0.706 with comparable BOSS DR 12 BAO measurements at z eff = 0.51, and z eff = 0.61. Furthermore, canonical scalar fields as dark energy are successful in mitigating that tension.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Numerical Codes for the DESC-LSST Analysis Pipeline: Core Cosmology Library Standard Modules and Beyond wCDM Modules (Final Technical Report)

The overall objective of the project is to investigate and develop specific software modules and analysis components for the software pipeline of LSST Dark Energy Science Collaboration (DESC). Following the key projects of DESC Science Roadmap (SRM), we will write and test computer codes for the Core Cosmology Library (CCL) in order to complete its modules, functionalities, and interface to work with the analysis pipelines from the five science probes of DESC (parts of SRM deliverables CX4.2TJP, CX6.2CS). We will also code modules for CCL to test models beyond w-Cold-Dark-Matter (wCDM) and modification to gravity (MG). Interfaces for MG models will also be developed for the TJPCOSMO software which is the main pipeline of the Theory and Joint Probe (TJP) working group (deliverable TJP2.3). In order to use the full power of LSST data to constrain MG models, we will also work on constraints from nonlinear regime by running and analyzing MG N-Body simulations using a Parameterized-Post-Friedmann framework into the Gadget-2 simulation package (deliverable TJP2.2). Preliminary results for the simulations were obtained in the past. In collaboration with other DESC groups, we plan to make these simulations feedable to cosmic emulators that are practical for likelihood analyzes (deliverable TJP2.2, parts of CX6.2CS). We will also modify and integrate our current codes for consistency tests between data sets and probes into the pipeline (parts of deliverables CX8.2TJP, TJP2.3). We understand that other groups will contribute to some of these objectives but our team will focus and collaborate with others on the particular part of testing MG and models beyond wCDM and refine the DESC pipeline for this purpose. PI has been coordinating his work with the TJP and CS working groups and the DESC management team. PI is a full member of DESC since June 2013. He and his students have been contributing to LSST-DESC activities and work including TJP telecons, collaboration meetings, hack-weeks, and workshops. PI chaired or co-chaired sessions at collaboration meetings and hack-weeks about testing gravity and models beyond wCDM using LSST. He is coordinating the TJP2 projects for testing models beyond wCDM including the writing of DESC-research-note, development of code for pipeline, and N-Body simulations for MG and beyond wCDM models testable with LSST analyses. As stressed in the DESC white paper, SRM, and P5 report, one of the important questions in understanding cosmic acceleration and dark energy is to be able to distinguish whether the acceleration is due to a dark energy component in the universe or a modification to gravity. Answering these questions will have a significant impact on the question of cosmic acceleration and dark energy. The methods that we will use include analytical work, numerical code, and N-Body simulations. A first approach that that we will use consists of using growth rate parameters that enter the perturbed dynamics equations. These parameters take distinctive values for distinct gravity theories and have potential to distinguish between Dark Energy and Modified Gravity. The second method is to look for inconsistencies in Dark Energy parameter spaces using specific combinations of cosmological data sets. Our investigation addresses the Dark Energy problem that is relevant to the mission of the HEP program to understand how our universe works at its most fundamental level. It will allow us to make progress on the HEP mission to explore the nature of Dark Energy and the basic nature of space and time using future surveys such as LSST. The investigation supports the DOE HEP program Cosmic Frontier as it will contribute to the study and understanding of dark energy and fundamental properties of the universe. The investigation contributes directly to LSST-DESC key projects and their deliverables as described in the Science Road-map document to build analysis pipeline and to test dark energy and beyond wCDM models using LSST.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Evolving Dark Sector and the Dark Dimension Scenario

String theory naturally leads to the expectation that dark energy is not stable, and may be evolving as captured by the Swampland de Sitter conjectures. Moreover, motivated by the distance conjecture, a unification of dark sector has been proposed, where the smallness of dark energy leads to one extra dimension of micron size with dark matter being the Kaluza--Klein graviton excitations in this extra dimension. We consider the natural possibility that the radius of the dark dimension varies as the dark energy decreases, leading to the variation of the dark matter mass. This correlates the decrease of the dark energy with the variation of the dark matter mass as they depend on the variations of a scalar field $ϕ$ controlling the radius of the extra dimension. A simple realization of this idea for small range of $ϕ$ is adequately captured by choosing a potential which is locally of the form $V=V_0\ {\rm exp}(-cϕ)$ and dark matter mass $m_{\rm DM}=m_0\ {\rm exp}(-c' ϕ)$ where the sign of $ϕ$ is chosen such that $c'\geq 0$ while we have two choices for the sign of $c$ depending on whether the dark dimension expands or shrinks when the dark energy dominates. We find excellent agreement with recent experimental data from DESI DR2 combined with SN measurements (from DES, Union3 or Pantheon+) and reproduces the same significance as CPL parametrization with the added benefit of providing a natural explanation for the apparent phantom behavior ($w<-1$) reported by DESI and DES based on a physical model. DESI and SN datasets independently favor non-zero values of $c'$ and $c$, respectively, both lying within the expected $\mathcal{O}(1)$ range suggested by the Swampland criteria. Moreover, our best fit value $c'\simeq 0.05 \pm 0.01$ is remarkably consistent with the experimental upper bound of $c'\lesssim 0.2$ demanded by the lack of detection of fifth force in the dark sector.

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics (astro-ph.C↗

Exploiting Synergies Between Lensing and BAO Surveys for Improved Cosmological Constraints

Pinning down the nature of dark energy is one of the most pressing questions in modern physics and is one of the five key science drivers identified in the P5 report [P514]. Dark energy is thought to be either a cosmological constant with an equation of state w = P/ρ = −1 which remains constant at all times, a new type of fluid with an equation of state that varies with time (w ̸= constant), or dark energy might indicate a breakdown of Einstein’s Theory of General Relativity (GR). It is of critical importance to distinguish between these three scenarios. This can only be accomplished by ambitious and demanding measurements of both the expansion rate of the universe (to track the time evolution of dark energy) together with measurements of the rate at which cosmic structures, such as galaxies and clusters of galaxies, grow with time (the “growth rate”). Because of the challenging nature of such observations, and because no single probe simultaneously measures both expansion and growth, the Dark Energy Task Force [A+06] emphasized the importance of using multiple distinct methods to characterize dark energy.

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Cosmological Constraints from Gas Mass Fractions of Massive, Relaxed Galaxy Clusters

We present updated cosmological constraints from measurements of the gas mass fractions (f(gas)) of massive, dynamically relaxed galaxy clusters. Our new data set has greater leverage on models of dark energy, thanks to the addition of the Perseus cluster at low redshifts, two new clusters at redshifts z greater than or similar to 1, and significantly longer observations of four clusters at 0.6 < z < 0.9. Our low-redshift (z < 0.16) f(gas) data, combined with the cosmic baryon fraction measured from the cosmic microwave background (CMB), imply a Hubble constant of h = 0.722 +/- 0.067. Combining the full f(gas) data set with priors on the cosmic baryon density and the Hubble constant, we constrain the dark energy density to be Omega(Lambda) = 0.865 +/- 0.119 in non-flat Lambda cold dark matter (cosmological constant) models, and its equation of state to be in flat, constant-w models, respectively 41percent and 29percent tighter than our previous work, and comparable to the best constraints available from other probes. Combining f(gas), CMB, supernova, and baryon acoustic oscillation data, we also constrain models with global curvature and evolving dark energy. For the massive, relaxed clusters employed here, we find the scaling of f(gas) with mass to be consistent with a constant, with an intrinsic scatter that corresponds to just similar to 3percent in distance.

clusters: general – X-rays:↗

Science with Constellation-X

NASA's upcoming Constellation-X mission, one of two flagship missions in the Beyond Einstein program, will have more than 100 times the collecting area of any previous spectroscopic mission operating in the 0.25-40 keV bandpass and will enable high-throughput, high spectral resolution studies of sources ranging from the most luminous accreting supermassive black holes in the Universe to the disks around young stars where planets form. This booklet, which was assembled during early 2005 using the contributions of a large team of Astrophysicists, outlines the important scientific questions for the decade following this one and describes the areas where Constellation-X is going to have a major impact. These areas include the exploration of the space-time geometry of black holes spanning nine orders of magnitude in mass and the nature of the dark energy and dark matter which govern the expansion and ultimate fate of the Universe. Constellation-X will also explore processes referred to as "cosmic feedback" whereby mechanical energy, radiation, and chemical elements from star formation and black holes are returned to interstellar and intergalactic medium, profoundly affecting the development of structure in the Universe, and will also probe all the important life cycles of matter, from stellar and planetary birth to stellar death via supernova to stellar endpoints in the form of accreting binaries and supernova remnants.

Hornschemeier, Ann↗

First constraints on a pixelated universe in light of DESI observations

Pixelated dark energy is a string theory scenario with a quantum mechanically stable cosmological constant. The number of pixels that make up the universe slowly increases, manifesting as a time-dependent source of dark energy. DESI has recently reported evidence for dynamical dark energy that fits within this framework. In light of this, we perform the first cosmological analysis of the pixelated model. We find that the simplest model where the pixel growth rate is constant is able to accommodate the data, providing a marginally better fit than Λ⁢ CDM; and we show that models where the pixel growth rate is increasing and of order the Hubble constant today could provide better fits. Our analysis helps to clarify the features of UV constructions of dark energy necessary to accommodate the data.

dark energy↗

Cosmic Frontier Project at SMU

The SMU group led by Professor Robert Kehoe continued to work to constrain dark energy measurements of the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI). These constraints are obtained by measuring the expected peak in characteristic distance scale between galaxies, the ‘BAO peak’, as a function of redshift for four different types of galaxy. DESI will cover the redshift range to z<3.5 with approximately 40 million galaxy spectra. SMU’s primary emphasis during the funding period was on the early DESI data, including the development of software that would allow the measurement of the impact of incomplete targeting of galaxies in the survey. We provided software to calculate the weights that are critical to permit us to correctly compare data to the theoretical calculations of dark matter halos. SMU also began development of software that can be integrated into the analysis pipeline that uses alternate targeting to generate these weights. Baryonic physics has a critical impact on galaxy development and placement within dark matter halos. SMU also increased its efforts in the area of modeling this galaxy-halo connection in two areas. The primary emphasis was to work on a sub-halo abundance matching scheme using dark matter simulation with very fine mass resolution (‘Uchuu’). Our effort here is to produce models for use by DESI that more correctly account for the subhalo structure of dark matter distribution, and its manifestation in satellite galaxies. Our initial effort had been for emission line galaxies. In the funding period, we were able to produce first halo-occupation distribution models. This work is slated to contribute to DESI Key Project papers. We also furthered our ongoing effort to study galaxy placement in halos using semi-analytic methods. Kehoe’s group also continued to maintain its strong role in DESI Operations, with SMU postdoc serving as a Lead Observing Scientist.

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Towards quantifying the impact of triaxiality on optical signatures of galaxy clusters: weak lensing and galaxy distributions

ABSTRACT We present observational evidence of the impact of triaxiality on radial profiles that extend to 40 Mpc from galaxy cluster centres in optical measurements. We perform a stacked profile analysis from a sample of thousands of nearly relaxed galaxy clusters from public data releases of the Dark Energy Survey and the Dark Energy Camera Legacy Survey. Using the central galaxy elliptical orientation angle as a proxy for galaxy cluster orientation, we measure cluster weak lensing and excess galaxy density axis-aligned profiles, extracted along the central galaxy’s major or minor axes on the plane of the sky. Our measurements show a ≳ 2σ–3σ difference per radial bin between the normalized axis-aligned profiles. The profile difference between each axis-aligned profile and the azimuthally averaged profile ($\sim \pm 10\,\rm per\ cent-20~{{\ \rm per\ cent}}$ along major/minor axis) appears inside the clusters (∼0.4 Mpc) and extends to the large-scale structure regime (∼10–20 Mpc). The magnitude of the difference appears to be relatively insensitive to cluster richness and redshift, and extends further out in the weak lensing surface mass density than in the galaxy overdensity. Looking forward, this measurement can easily be applied to other observational or simulation data sets and can inform the systematics in cluster mass modelling related to triaxiality. We expect imminent upcoming wide-area deep surveys, such as the Vera C. Rubin Observatory’s Legacy Survey of Space and Time, to improve our quantification of optical signatures of cluster triaxiality.

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Calibration and Commissioning of the LSST

Understanding the nature of dark energy and dark matter remains one of the fundamental questions in physics today; impacting our understanding of particle physics, cosmology, and possibly theories of gravity. Given the scale and complexity of the next generation of cosmology experiments (e.g., the Rubin Observatory, the Euclid satellite mission, and the Roman space telescope) we are entering an era where statistical noise no longer determines the accuracy to which we can measure cosmological parameters. Our ability to control and correct for systematics will ultimately determine the scientific impact of these experiments. This award addressed the challenge of how we determine what limits the accuracy of our cosmological measures, what techniques are appropriate for measuring and calibrating the properties of galaxies to best constrain cosmological models, how to develop statistical techniques that are insensitive to systematic errors, and how to optimize survey strategies in order to minimize systematics while maximizing the speed at which an experiment can achieve its science objectives. In this final technical report for award DE-SC0011635 we describe a set of open-source frameworks that simulate the characteristics and properties of current and planned cosmology surveys and the application of these frameworks to the development of new methodologies for estimating the properties and distances to galaxies that are robust to noisy and incomplete data.

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The Fuzzball Paradigm

We describe the puzzles that arise in the quantum theory of black holes, and explain how they are resolved in string theory. We review how the Bekenstein entropy is obtained through the count of brane bound states. We describe the fuzzball construction of black hole microstates. These states have no horizon and radiate from their surface like a normal body, so there is no information puzzle. We explain how the semiclassical approximation is violated in gravitational collapse even though curvatures are low at the classical horizon. This violation happens because the collapse leads to a stretching of space that is {\it fast}: light does not have time to travel across the collapsing region to establish the `vecro' correlations needed in the quantum gravitational vacuum. These vecro correlations arise from the existence of virtual fuzzball fluctuations in the gravitational vacuum, and are significant because of the large degeneracy of fuzzball states implied by the Bekenstein entropy. It is plausible that similar effects of fast expansion may be responsible for effects like dark energy and the Early Dark Energy postulated to explain the Hubble tension.

FOS: Physical sciences↗

The International X-ray Observatory

The International X-Ray Observatory, a joint NASA-ESA-JAXA effort, is a next generation X-ray telescope that will answer many fundamental questions in contemporary astrophysics such as how do supermassive black holes influence galaxy evolution and how do galaxy clusters evolve (and how does this constrain dark energy and dark matter)? As a powerful astronomical observatory, IXO will also address questions ranging from the neutron star equation of state to the distribution and dynamical state of intergalactic material. X-ray spectroscopy, polarimetry, and timing studies provided by IXO's instruments will give detailed measures of abundances, temperatures, densities, magnetic fields and gravitational potentials. These measurements will be complementary to the next generation of observatories such as ALMA, JWST, and future ground-based optical-NIR telescopes. This mission will be ready for launch in the 2020-2021 timeframe and will launch on an Atlas V or Ariane V launch vehicle to L2. It employs a deployable optical bench to achieve the 20 meter focal length and a suite of five instruments. This talk will describe the motivating science for this mission as well as the spacecraft, instruments and optics

Hornschemeier, A.↗

Machine Learning Algorithms for Alignment Verification of the Roman Space Telescope

The Nancy Grace Roman Telescope is a NASA observatory designed to unravel the secrets of dark energy and dark matter, search for and image exoplanets, and explore many topics in infrared optics. Scheduled to launch no earlier than October 2026, this 2.4 meter aperture telescope has a field of view 100 times greater than the Hubble Space Telescope. The mission is currently in its construction phase, where the telescope and its two instruments will soon be aligned together to ensure proper pupil matching. To help verify this alignment, multiple point sources above the entrance pupil of the telescope will illuminate the optical path through the telescope-instrument system, and shadows of various obstructions in the system will be analyzed using machine learning algorithms to determine the pupil matching error. This presentation discusses the test approach and the machine learning algorithms employed, as well as our uncertainty predictions based on a modeled Monte-Carlo analysis of the test.

Telescope↗

Integrated Modeling for Payload Test of the Roman Space Telescope

The Nancy Grace Roman Telescope (RST) is a NASA observatory designed to unravel the secrets of dark energy and dark matter, search for and image exoplanets, and explore many topics in infrared optics. Scheduled to launch in no earlier than October 2026, this 2.4 meter aperture telescope has a field of view 100 times greater than the Hubble Space Telescope. The mission is currently in its construction phase, where integrated modeling between thermal, structural, and optical models of the observatory is necessary to demonstrate science quality images over the range of operational parameters. This presentation discusses the most recent integrated modeling analysis cycle for Roman, including model correlation with our instrument level testing. We include a discussion on improved processes of the handling of the various flows of data between the modeling disciplines and discipline specific monte-carlo analysis predictions. We will finish with the predicted uncertainties and expected performance for our upcoming observatory alignment verification test using machine learning algorithms.

telescope↗

A revised SALT2 surface for fitting Type Ia supernova light curves

ABSTRACT We present a revised Spectral Adaptive Light Curve Template (SALT2) surface (SALT2-2021) for fitting the light curves of Type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia), which incorporates new measurements of zero-point calibration offsets and Milky Way extinction. The most notable change in the new surface occurs in the UV region. This new surface alters the distance measurements of SNe Ia, which can be used to investigate the nature of dark energy by probing the expansion history of the Universe. Using the revised SALT2 surface on public data from the first 3 yr of the Dark Energy Survey Supernova Program (combined with an external low-z SNe Ia sample) and combining with cosmic microwave background constraints, we find a change in the dark energy equation-of-state parameter, Δw = 0.015 ± 0.004. This result highlights the continued importance of controlling and reducing systematic uncertainties, particularly with the next generation of supernova analyses aiming to improve constraints on dark energy properties.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Probing Physics beyond the Standard Model through Combined Analyses of Next-generation Type Ia Supernova, Cosmic Microwave Background, and Baryon Acoustic Oscillation Surveys

Observations of Type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia), which probe the late Universe, together with baryon acoustic oscillations (BAO) and the cosmic microwave background (CMB), which probe the intermediate and early epochs, provide complementary constraints on the expansion history of the Universe. In this work, we forecast constraints on dark energy and other extensions to the standard cosmological model by combining the SN Ia sample expected from the Vera C. Rubin Observatory’s Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST), data from current and forthcoming CMB surveys, and BAO measurements from the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI). For the CMB, we use temperature, polarization, and lensing power spectra (TT/EE/TE/ϕϕ) from the South Pole Telescope, the planned Advanced Simons Observatory, and a CMB-S4–like experiment. We derive constraints on ΛCDM and its extensions involving the dark energy equation-of-state parameters (w 0 , w a ) and the sum of neutrino masses ∑m ν using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling framework. We find that the LSST Year 3 SN Ia sample can improve upon the DES Year 5 dark energy constraints by a factor of 2−2.5×, with the gains driven primarily by the significantly higher SN Ia density in the LSST sample. Similarly, DESI-DR3 shows up to a 1.8× improvement on dark energy parameters over DR2, driven largely by the substantial increase in the low-redshift sample. Combining CMB with LSST-Y3-SN Ia and DESI-DR3-BAO yields σ(w 0 ) = 0.028 and σ(w a ) = 0.11 for w 0 w a CDM cosmology with the results being largely independent of the CMB dataset. The constraints weaken by 10%–30% when freeing ∑m ν and spatial curvature. Moreover, the joint analysis of the three datasets can enable a 2σ–3σ detection of ∑m ν .

Raghunathan, Srinivasan [University of California;↗

SALT2 versus SALT3: updated model surfaces and their impacts on type Ia supernova cosmology

ABSTRACT For the past decade, SALT2 has been the most common model used to fit Type Ia supernova (SN Ia) light curves for dark energy analyses. Recently, the SALT3 model was released, which upgraded a number of model features but has not yet been used for measurements of dark energy. Here, we evaluate the impact of switching from SALT2 to SALT3 for a SN cosmology analysis. We train SALT2 and SALT3 on an identical training sample of 1083 well-calibrated Type Ia supernovae, ensuring that any differences found come from the underlying model framework. We publicly release the results of this training (the SALT ‘surfaces’). We then run a cosmology analysis on the public Dark Energy Survey 3-Yr Supernova data sample (DES-SN3YR), and on realistic simulations of those data. We provide the first estimate of the SN + CMB systematic uncertainty arising from the choice of SALT model framework (i.e. SALT2 versus SALT3), Δw = + 0.001 ± 0.005 – a negligible effect at the current level of dark energy analyses. We also find that the updated surfaces are less sensitive to photometric calibration uncertainties than previous SALT2 surfaces, with the average spectral energy density dispersion reduced by a factor of two over optical wavelengths. This offers an opportunity to reduce the contribution of calibration errors to SN cosmology uncertainty budgets.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗