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NASA NTRS1973

What we think we know and do not know about solar flares

Solar-terrestrial relations begin in the convective zone of the sun. A combination of nonuniform rotation and cyclonic convection generates magnetic fields in migratory waves, which can account for the observed 22-year solar magnetic cycle. The magnetic fields are the active agent in creating the active magnetic regions, with sunspots, prominences, and flares. The present status of knowledge regarding the solar flare phenomenon is reviewed, giving attention to the extraordinary complexity of the solar flare and the broad spectrum of theoretical ideas that have been generated to meet the challenge.

Parker, E. N.↗
NASA NTRS1985

Solar UV radiation variations and their stratospheric and climatic effects

Nimbus-7 SBUV measurements of the short-term solar UV variations caused by solar rotation and active-region evolution have determined the amplitude and wavelength dependence for the active-region component of solar UV variations. Intermediate-term variations lasting several months are associated with rounds of major new active regions. The UV flux stays near the peak value during the current solar cycle variation for more than two years and peaks about two years later than the sunspot number. Nimbus-7 measurements have observed the concurrent stratospheric ozone variations caused by solar UV variations. There is now no doubt that solar UV variations are an important cause of short- and long-term stratospheric variations, but the strength of the coupling to the troposphere and to climate has not yet been proven.

Donnelly, R. F.↗
NASA NTRS2004

The "Approximate 150 Day Quasi-Periodicity" in Interplanetary and Solar Phenomena During Cycle 23

A"quasi-periodicity" of approx. 150 days in various solar and interplanetary phenomena has been reported in earlier solar cycles. We suggest that variations in the occurrence of solar energetic particle events, inter-planetary coronal mass ejections, and geomagnetic storm sudden commenceents during solar cycle 23 show evidence of this quasi-periodicity, which is also present in the sunspot number, in particular in the northern solar hemisphere. It is not, however, prominent in the interplanetary magnetic field strength.

Richardson, I. G.↗
NASA NTRS1990

Periodicities in the occurrence rate of solar proton events

Power spectral analyses of the time series of solar proton events during the past three solar cycles reveal a periodicity around 154 days. This feature is prominent in all of the cycles combined, cycles 19 and 21 individually, but is only weak in cycle 20. These results are consistent with the presence of similar periodicities between 152 and 155 days in the occurrence rate of major solar flares, the sunspot blocking function (Ps), the 10.7 cm radio flux (F10.7), and the sunspot number (Rz). This suggests that the circa 154-days periodicity may be a fundamental characteristic of the sun. Periods around 50-52 days are also found in the combined data set and in the three individual cycles, in general agreement with the detection of this periodicity in major flares in cycle 19, and in Ps, F10.7, and Rz in cycle 21. The cause of the 155 day period remains unknown. The spectra contain lines (or show power at frequencies) consistent with a model in which the periodicity is caused by differential rotation of active zones and a model in which it is related to beat frequencies between solar oscillations, as proposed by Wolff (1974, 1983).

Gabriel, S.↗
NASA NTRS1990

Solar cycle variations in the neutral exosphere inferred from the location of the Venus bow shock

Solar UV and EUV varies significantly during the solar cycle. Pioneer Venus can measure this variation both directly and indirectly. A direct measure of the EUV is obtained from the photoelectron current of the Langmuir probe when the spacecraft is in the solar wind. The indirect measure is by monitoring the location of the Venus bow shock. The UV and EUV both heat the upper atmosphere and ionize it. When solar activity is high, the upper atmosphere should be ionized more rapidly. This effect adds a greater number of planetary ions to the magnetosheath plasma as it flows by Venus. It is this increase in mass flow that causes the Venus bow shock to move away from its solar minimum location. Pioneer Venus has now monitored the location of the bow shock for an entire solar cycle. The bow shock location is well correlated with the variation in EUV flux as measured by the Langmuir probe. The bow shock is farther from Venus than expected from the sunspot number or 10.7 cm solar radio flux, indicating that solar UV radiation may be even stronger at the present time than would be predicted from the relationships determined during the previous solar cycle.

Russell, C. T.↗
NASA NTRS1978

Effects of long-period solar activity fluctuation on temperature and pressure of the terrestrial atmosphere

The present state of research on the influence of solar sunspot activity on tropospheric temperature and pressure is reviewed. The existence of an 11-year temperature cycle of 5 different types is affirmed. A cyclic change in atmospheric pressure, deducing characteristic changes between 11-year cycles is discussed. The existence of 80-year and 5-to-6-year cycles of temperature is established, and physical causes for birth are suggested.

Rubashev, B. M.↗
NASA NTRS1988

Using geomagnetic indices to forecast the next sunspot maximum

The Babcock (1961) 'solar dynamo' model and known interactions of the interplanetary magnetic field with the earth's magnetosophere are used to explain the relations found between geomagnetic indices at solar minimum and the sunspot number at the following solar maximum. The work of Kane (1987) is augmented by including recent smoothed aa and Ap indices. A smoothed maximum sunspot number of 163 + or - 40 to peak in October 1990 + or - 9 months for solar cycle 22 is predicted. This value is close to the Schatten and Sofia (1987) value of 170 + or - 25, predicted using more direct solar indicators.

Gonzalez, Guillermo↗
NASA NTRS1989

Solar or meteorological control of lower ionospheric fluctuations (2-15 and 27 days) in middle latitudes

Several types of short and long term effects of solar activity on the lower ionosphere are related to solar flares, the sector structure of the interplanetary magnetic field and some periodicities in sunspots or solar radio flux. The most evident periodicities of the Sun are the 11 year cycle of its activity and the differential rotation period near 27 days (25 to 30 days). Here, the following questions are discussed: which periods between 2 and 15 days and near 27 days occur in ionospheric absorption during the interval July 1980 to July 1985 and are these periods related to similar periods in solar Ly-alpha flux, geomagnetic activity, or neutral wind near 95 km observed in Collm (GDR). Day-time absorption data obtained by the A3 method was used for the following radio-paths: (164 kHz), (1539 kHz), (6090 kHz). With the use of these data the electron density variations in the lower ionosphere can be analyzed. An attempt was made to clarify the nature of the observed fluctuations in absorption.

Pancheva, D.↗
NASA NTRS1992

New information on solar activity, 1779-1818, from Sir William Herschel's unpublished notebooks

Herschel's observations are analyzed in order to determine the level of solar activity for solar cycle 5. It is concluded that solar cycle 5 may have peaked as early as 1801 based upon the average number of groups with a probable secondary maximum in 1804. Depending on the technique adopted, the peak for solar cycle 5 occurred sometime between 1801 and 1804, rather than 1805.2, as commonly assumed. Instead of a solar cycle of 17 yrs, a cycle length of 14 yrs is found. It is also found that the peak yearly mean sunspot number is only about 38 rather than 45, as deduced by Wolf (1855). A technique for making early solar observations homogeneous with modern sunspot observations is proposed.

Hoyt, Douglas V.↗
NASA NTRS1976

Solar-cycle dependence of galactic cosmic ray flux. II - The correlation between the nucleonic flux and solar indices

To investigate the relationship between solar activity and cosmic-ray modulation, time series of the nucleonic flux and of solar plages, sunspots, centimeter radio noise, and the brightness of the white-light corona at 1.1 and 1.5 solar radii from the center of sun are cross-correlated. Data pertain to the years 1964-1967 during the ascending phase of the current solar cycle. The amplitudes and phases of correlation functions for filtered and unfiltered indices are discussed. The existence of a superior solar index for relating solar activity to long-term modulation is not yet demonstrated conclusively, and the time lag of modulation is too poorly determined to permit its use in estimating the radius of the modulation region.

Parker, G. D.↗
NASA NTRS1974

Magnetometeorology: Relationships between the weather and the earth's magnetic field

A comparison of meteorological pressures and the strength of the earth's magnetic field suggests that the magnetic field exerts, through some unknown process, a controlling influence on the average pressure in the troposphere at high latitudes. Changes in the length of the growing season are related to the solar cycle effects on the geomagnetic field. On average, the growing season is about 25 days longer near sunspot maximum than near sunspot minimum. Comparison of growing season and solar data reveals the geophysically interesting fact that the growing season tends to be the longest about a year after sunspot maximum.

King, J. W.↗
NASA NTRS1985

Solar cycle dependence of the location of the Venus bow shock

Initial measurements of the Venus bow shock obtained by Pioneer Venus in 1979 near solar maximum indicated that the bow shock was on average 2.44 RV from the center of the planet in the terminator plane. This is 0.35 RV further from Venus than observed by Venera 9/10 in 1976. In the past this discrepancy has been attributed to some effect of the solar cycle. Recent measurements by Pioneer Venus support this interpretation. In 1980 the distance to the bow shock reached a maximum of 2.45 RV and since then has been almost steadily declining toward the distance measured by Venera near solar minimum. The variation in bow shock position is well correlated with the sunspot number and the F 10.7 cm flux over this period. This behavior is attributed to the variation in the neutral atmosphere of Venus with the solar cycle and its subsequent effect on the mass-loading of the solar wind.

Alexander, C. J.↗
NASA NTRS1972

Large-scale properties of the interplanetary magnetic field

Early theoretical work of Parker is presented along with the observational evidence supporting his Archimedes spiral model. Variations present in the interplanetary magnetic field from the spiral angle are related to structures in the solar wind. The causes of these structures are found to be either nonuniform radial solar wind flow or the time evolution of the photospheric field. Coronal magnetic models are related to the connection between the solar magnetic field and the interplanetary magnetic field. Direct extension of the solar field-magnetic nozzle controversy is discussed along with the coronal magnetic models. Effects of active regions on the interplanetary magnetic field is discussed with particular reference to the evolution of interplanetary sectors. Interplanetary magnetic field magnitude variations are shown throughout the solar cycle. The percentage of time the field magnitude is greater than 10 gamma is shown to closely parallel sunspot number. The sun's polar field influence on the interplanetary field and alternative views of the magnetic field structure out of the ecliptic plane are presented. In addition, a variety of significantly different interplanetary field structures are discussed.

Schatten, K. H.↗
NASA NTRS1990

Irradiance Variability of the Sun

Direct measurements of the solar constant--the total irradiance at mean Sun-Earth distance--during the last ten years from satellites show variations over time scales from minutes to years and decades. At high frequencies the spectral power is determined by granulation, super- and mesogranulation. In the 5-minute range, moreover, it is dominated by power from the solar p-mode oscillations. Their power and frequencies change with time, yielding information about changes in the convection zone. During periods of several hours, the power is steadily increasing and may be partly due to solar gravity modes. The most important variance is in the range from days to several months and is related to the photospheric features of solar activity, decrease of the irradiance during the appearance of sunspots, and increasing by faculae and the magnetic network. Long-term modulation by the 11-year activity cycle are observed conclusively with the irradiance being higher during solar maximum. All these variations can be explained--at least qualitatively--by their manifestation on the photosphere. For the long-term changes, the simultaneous changes of the frequencies of solar p-mode oscillations suggest a more global origin of the variations. Indeed, it seems that the observed irradiance modulation is a true luminosity change with the magnetic cycle of the Sun.

Froehlich, Claus↗
NASA NTRS1989

Neptune's visual albedo variations over a solar cycle - A pre-Voyager look at ion-induced nucleation and cloud formation in Neptune's troposphere

A model of Neptune's troposphere and stratosphere is used to estimate the cosmic-ray-induced ionization on Neptune at sunspot maximum and minimum for a range of possible planetary magnetic field strengths. The impact of this ionization on aerosol formation and the effect of the aerosol layer on the planet's albedo are examined. The results suggest that the 'white haze' theory may explain observations of the variation of Neptune's visible albedo with solar cycle (Lockwood and Thompson, 1986).

Moses, Julianne I.↗
NASA NTRS1997

Long-term variations in total solar and UV irradiances

The variations of total solar and UV irradiances during solar cycles 21 and 22 are compared. The total solar irradiance data used were obtained by the SMM/active cavity radiometer irradiance monitoring (ACRIM) 1, upper atmosphere research satellite (UARS)/ACRIM 2 and ERBS experiments. The space-based irradiance observations are compared to the Mount Wilson Magnetic Plage and Photometric Sunspot Index, which is derived from the area and position of sunspots published by the NOAA World Data Center Solar Geophysical Data Catalog. It is found that the variations in solar UV irradiance were similar during the maximum and minimum of solar cycles 21 and 22. The possible reasons for the differences in the irradiance values during the minima of the two solar cylces are discussed.

Pap, J. M.↗
NASA NTRS1990

An Estimate of Changes in the Sun's Total Irradiance Caused by UV Irradiance Variations from 1874 to 1988

Enhanced emission from bright solar faculae is a source of significant variation in the sun's total irradiance. Relative to the emission from the quiet sun, facular emission is known to be considerably greater at UV wavelengths than at visible wavelengths. Determining the spectral dependence of facular emission is of interest for the physical insight this may provide to the origin of the sun's irradiance variations. It is also of interest because solar radiation at lambda less than 300 nm is almost totally absorbed in the Earth's atmosphere. Depending on the magnitude of the UV irradiance variations, changes in the sun's irradiance that penetrates to the Earth's surface may not be equivalent to total irradiance variations measured above the Earth's atmosphere. Using an empirical model of total irradiance variations which accounts separately for changes caused by bright faculae from those associated with dark sunspots, the contribution of UV irradiance variations to changes in the sun's total irradiance is estimated during solar cycles 12 to 21.

Lean, J.↗