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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 415 records · Page 23

Enhancing Indacenodithiophene Acceptor Crystallinity via Substituent Manipulation Increases Organic Solar Cell Efficiency

The post-fullerene indacenodithiophene acceptor ITIC is a highly effective n-type component of high-performance bulk-heterojunction (BHJ) polymer solar cells (PSCs) for reasons that are not well-understood. Here, the impact of the ITIC alkyl substituent architecture on PSC active layer film morphology, charge transport, and photovoltaic (PV) performance is investigated with the donor polymers PBDB-T and PBDB-TF. On progressing from n-propyl to n-hexyl to n-nonyl ITIC substituents, PSC power conversion efficiency (PCE) increases from <0.1 % to 9.31% to 10.24%, respectively. BHJ blend morphology, carrier recombination dynamics, and PV performance with both donor polymers as probed by AFM, XRD, GIWAXS, and light intensity dependence correlate with marked differences in ITIC acceptor crystallinity. The DSC cold crystallization temperatures of the nhexyl and n-nonyl-functionalized acceptors are found to closely track the annealing temperatures for optimum PSC performance. These results identify a promising strategy for optimizing the performance of post-fullerene acceptor PSCs.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Ex Situ Photoelectron Emission Microscopy of Polycrystalline Bismuth and Antimony Telluride Surfaces Exposed to Ambient Oxidation

The surfaces of textured polycrystalline N-type bismuth telluride and P-type antimony telluride materials were investigated using ex situ photoelectron emission microscopy (PEEM). PEEM enabled imaging of the work function for different oxidation times due to exposure to air across sample surfaces. The spatially averaged work function was also tracked as a function of air exposure time. N-type bismuth telluride showed an increase in the work function around grain boundaries relative to grain interiors during the early stages of air exposure-driven oxidation. At longer time exposure to air, the surface became homogenous after a ~5 nm-thick oxide formed. X-ray photoemission spectroscopy was used to correlate changes in PEEM imaging in real space and work function evolution to the progressive growth of an oxide layer. The observed work function contrast is consistent with the pinning of electronic surface states due to the defects at a grain boundary.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

In situ plant materials hyperspectral imaging by multimodal scattering near-field optical microscopy

Plant cells are elaborate three-dimensional polymer nano-constructs with complex chemistry. The bulk response of plants to light, in the far-field, is ultimately encoded by optical scattering from these nano-constructs. Their chemical and physical properties may be acquired through their interaction with a modulated nano-tip using scattering scanning near-field optical microscopy. Here, using this technique, we present 20 nm spatial resolution mechanical, spectral and optical mappings of plant cell walls. We first address the problem of plant polymers tracking through pretreatment and processing. Specifically, cellulose and lignin footprints are traced within a set of delignified specimen, establishing the factors hindering complete removal of lignin, an important industrial polymer. Furthermore, we determine the frequency dependent dielectric function ${\epsilon }(\omega)={(n+ik)}^{2}$ of plant material in the range 28 ≤ ω ≤ 58 THz, and show how the environmental chemical variation is imprinted in the nanoscale variability of n and k . This nanometrology is a promise for further progress in the development of plant-based (meta-)materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Advances in in situ/operando techniques for catalysis research: enhancing insights and discoveries

Abstract Catalysis research has witnessed remarkable progress with the advent of in situ and operando techniques. These methods enable the study of catalysts under actual operating conditions, providing unprecedented insights into catalytic mechanisms and dynamic catalyst behavior. This review discusses key in situ techniques and their applications in catalysis research. Advances in in situ electron microscopy allow direct visualization of catalysts at the atomic scale under reaction conditions. In situ spectroscopy techniques like X-ray absorption spectroscopy and nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy can track chemical states and reveal transient intermediates. Synchrotron-based techniques offer enhanced capabilities for in situ studies. The integration of in situ methods with machine learning and computational modeling provides a powerful approach to accelerate catalyst optimization. However, challenges remain regarding radiation damage, instrumentation limitations, and data interpretation. Overall, continued development of multi-modal in situ techniques is pivotal for addressing emerging challenges and opportunities in catalysis research and technology.

Chen, Linfeng↗

Status of the NGNP Fuel Experiment AGR-2 Irradiated in the Advanced Test Reactor

The United States Department of Energy’s Next Generation Nuclear Plant (NGNP) Advanced Gas Reactor (AGR) Fuel Development and Qualification Program will be irradiating up to seven separate low enriched uranium (LEU) tri-isotopic (TRISO) particle fuel (in compact form) experiments in the Advanced Test Reactor (ATR) located at the Idaho National Laboratory (INL). These irradiations and fuel development are being accomplished to support development of the next generation reactors in the United States, and will be irradiated over the next several years to demonstrate and qualify new TRISO coated particle fuel for use in high temperature gas reactors. The goals of the irradiation experiments are to provide irradiation performance data to support fuel process development, to qualify fuel for normal operating conditions, to support development and validation of fuel performance and fission product transport models and codes, and to provide irradiated fuel and materials for post irradiation examination (PIE) and safety testing. The experiments, which will each consist of at least six separate capsules, will be irradiated in an inert sweep gas atmosphere with individual on-line temperature monitoring and control of each capsule. The sweep gas will also have on-line fission product monitoring on its effluent to track performance of the fuel in each individual capsule during irradiation. The first experiment (designated AGR-1) started irradiation in December 2006 and was completed in November 2009. The second experiment (AGR-2), which utilized the same experiment design as well as control and monitoring systems as AGR-1, started irradiation in June 2010 and is currently scheduled to be completed in April 2013. The design of this experiment and support systems will be briefly discussed, followed by the progress and status of the experiment to date.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Multipass Scratch Behavior of Borided and Nitrided H13 Steel

AISI H13 steel was subjected to boriding and nitriding; its performance was evaluated by the progressive load scratch test, and then by the multipass scratch test (MPST), to evaluate the accumulated damage. Boriding and nitriding were carried out at a temperature of 800 and 580 °C, respectively, both treatments for 1 and 5 h of exposure time. In scratch test, a load range of 3-90 N was used for borides; a higher range (3-180 N) was chosen for nitrides. Critical loads (L{sub c}) were estimated based on optical microscope observations of the scratch tracks. Failure mechanisms and residual depths were examined by scanning electronic microscope and optical profilometry. Finally, using fractions of L{sub c,} MPST was applied on uncoated and coated samples, for 25, 50, 75 and 100 unidirectional scratch cycles. The coefficient of friction (COF) evolution was recorded and analyzed. A decrease in COF was observed as cycles go through; it was initially higher in uncoated sample; moreover, it was observed that normal load was determinant in its behavior, regardless of the treatment time. Nitrided samples exhibited less catastrophic failures over borided ones, also showed a better volume loss/load ratio performance, from 6 to 8 times better compared to borided samples.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Gamma-Ray-Induced Formation of Uranyl Peroxide Cage Clusters

Aqueous solutions of lithium uranyl triperoxide, Li 4 [UO 2 (O 2 ) 3 ] (LiUT), were irradiated with gamma rays at room temperature and found to form the uranyl peroxide cage cluster, Li 24 [(UO 2 )(O 2 )(OH)] 24 (Li–U 24 ). Raman spectroscopy and 18 O labeling were used to identify the Raman-active vibrations of LiUT. With these assignments, the concentration of LiUT was tracked as a function of radiation dose. A discrepancy between monomer removal and cluster formation suggests that the reaction proceeds by the assembly of an intermediate. Non-negative matrix factorization was used to separate Raman spectra into components and resulted in the identification of a unique intermediate species. Much of the conversion appears to be driven by water radiolysis products, particularly the hydroxyl radical. Furthermore, this differs from the 18 O-labeled copper-catalyzed formation of U 24 , which progresses at a steady rate with no observation of intermediates. Li–U 24 in solution decomposes at high radiation doses resulting in a solid insoluble product similar to Na-compreignacite, Na 2 (UO 2 ) 6 O 4 (OH) 6 ·7H 2 O, which contains uranyl oxyhydroxy sheets.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Is the Supporting Information the Venue for Reproducibility and Transparency?

Making research data, software, and data processing tools readily available to the public could significantly enhance the impact of scientific publications. Openness and transparency could address reproducibility concerns and accelerate scientific progress.(1, 2) While archives and repositories would be preferable for securing data in the long term, the Supporting Information (SI) already allocates significant space to provide auxiliary files, links, and essential information needed to make scientific findings immediately reproducible as well as data processing protocols and numerical procedures executable. Furthermore, the SI document could ensure that data that might not fit in the tight confines of a journal article lives online even when laboratories move on to other projects, close, and lose track of their data.

Rudshteyn, Benjamin↗

Is the Supporting Information the Venue for Reproducibility and Transparency?

Making research data, software, and data processing tools readily available to the public could significantly enhance the impact of scientific publications. Openness and transparency could address reproducibility concerns and accelerate scientific progress.(1, 2) While archives and repositories would be preferable for securing data in the long term, the Supporting Information (SI) already allocates significant space to provide auxiliary files, links, and essential information needed to make scientific findings immediately reproducible as well as data processing protocols and numerical procedures executable. Furthermore, the SI document could ensure that data that might not fit in the tight confines of a journal article lives online even when laboratories move on to other projects, close, and lose track of their data. The change for openness and transparency might be difficult to embrace, depending on the specific nature of the project. Nevertheless, the trend to make raw research data and open-source software packages available to the public has been building steady momentum. Openness in research data and software sharing is already making transformative contributions to the communication of research findings, critical for ensuring reproducibility as well as training of the next generation of scientists.

Rudshteyn, Benjamin↗

Is the Supporting Information the Venue for Reproducibility and Transparency?

Making research data, software, and data processing tools readily available to the public could significantly enhance the impact of scientific publications. Openness and transparency could address reproducibility concerns and accelerate scientific progress.(1, 2) While archives and repositories would be preferable for securing data in the long term, the Supporting Information (SI) already allocates significant space to provide auxiliary files, links, and essential information needed to make scientific findings immediately reproducible as well as data processing protocols and numerical procedures executable. Furthermore, the SI document could ensure that data that might not fit in the tight confines of a journal article lives online even when laboratories move on to other projects, close, and lose track of their data. The change for openness and transparency might be difficult to embrace, depending on the specific nature of the project. Nevertheless, the trend to make raw research data and open-source software packages available to the public has been building steady momentum. Openness in research data and software sharing is already making transformative contributions to the communication of research findings, critical for ensuring reproducibility as well as training of the next generation of scientists.

Rudshteyn, Benjamin↗

Photo-Induced Charge Transfer of Fullerene and Non-Fullerene Conjugated Polymer Blends via Ab Initio Excited-State Dynamics

Organic conjugated polymers (CPs) are promising candidates for organic photovoltaic (OPV) devices due to their unique tunable mechanical and optoelectronic performance. Over the last decade, optoelectronic properties of narrow band gap CPs as a blend with acceptor units are largely optimized, which leads to noticeable progress in OPV technology. However, their power conversion efficiency is still lower than their organic counterparts (i.e., silicon), limiting their practical usage. In this study, we employ ab initio molecular dynamics to explore photo-induced charge transfer (CT) of the diketopyrrolopyrrole-based polymer as a blend with non-fullerene (i.e., ITIC) and fullerene (i.e., PCBM) acceptor units. The results of charge carrier dynamics induced by selected photoexcitation show that hole density redistribution in space is much faster than electron relaxation. We track the relaxation rates of charge carriers over time, where the derivative of the difference between the rate of electron and hole implies the current density at zero voltage. Furthermore, this can be utilized to characterize the CT performance of CPs blended with different acceptor units. Relaxation rate results indicate that CP blend with ITIC promises a better PV performance, illustrating that the current computational approach opens the door to determine bulk heterojunctions’ electronic performance for OPV devices and narrowing down the list of potential donor–acceptor candidates.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗

Interface-Resolved Simulations of Reactor Flows

The presented review paper outlines the recent progress of the high-resolution single- and two-phase flow simulations of reactor-relevant flows. Rapid development of high-performance computing capabilities is creating exciting opportunities to study complex reactor thermal hydraulic phenomena. Today’s advances in thermal hydraulic analysis, machine learning techniques and interface resolved simulations will help pave the way to the next level of understanding of two-phase flow behavior in complex geometries. This paper consists of two major parts: (i) history and review of interface tracking simulations for nuclear thermal hydraulics in recent years and (ii) several opportunities to apply those advanced tools in the future. First part will discuss typical computational methods used for those simulations, provide some examples of the past work, as well as computational cost estimates and affordability of such simulations for research and industrial applications. In the second part some specific examples are discussed which could be analyzed using exascale supercomputers being designed and projected to be online in the early 2020s. New generation methodologies are required in order to take full advantage of those capabilities to greatly enhance the scientific understanding of complex two-phase flow phenomena in nuclear reactors under normal operation and postulated accident conditions.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Dislocation decorrelation and relationship to deformation microtwins during creep of a y' precipitate strengthened Ni-based superalloy

The evolution of microtwins during high temperature creep deformation in a strengthened Ni-base superalloy has been investigated through a combination of creep testing, TEM characterization, theoretical modeling and computer simulation. Experimentally, microtwin nucleation sources were identified and their evolution was tracked by characterizing the deformation substructure at different stages of the creep deformation. Initially, deformation is highly localized around stress concentrators such as carbides, borides and serrated grain boundaries, which act as sources of a/2<110> matrix type dislocations. Due to microstructural effects such as fine channels between particles and low matrix stacking fault energies, the a/2<110> matrix dislocations dissociate into a/6<112> Shockley partials, which were commonly observed to be decorrelated from one another, creating extended intrinsic stacking faults in the matrix. As deformation progress further, microtwins form via partial dislocations cooperatively shearing both and phases on adjacent {111} glide planes. The TEM observations lead directly to an analysis of dislocation-precipitate interactions. Through phase field simulations and theoretical analysis based on Orowan looping, the important processes of dislocation dissociation and decorrelation are modeled in detail, providing comprehensive insight into the microstructural features and applied stress conditions that favor the microtwinning deformation mode in strengthened Ni-based superalloys.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Single-molecule imaging of lignocellulose deconstruction by SCATTIRSTORM microscopy

The goal of this project is to build a multimodal optical microscope to measure the binding, processive degradation, and pausing behaviors of cellulases as they interact with and degrade both synthetic and naturally occurring lignocellulosic walls. To achieve this, we will use high spatio-temporal single-molecule imaging to track cellulases, while visualizing specific molecular components of cellulose, lignin and hemicellulose, that make up their lignocellulose substrate. The microscope will combine Interferometric Scattering (iSCAT), which provides unprecedented spatiotemporal resolution; Total Internal Reflection Fluorescence (TIRF), which provides single-molecule resolution of multiple fluorophore-labeled molecules; and Stochastic Reconstruction (STORM), which allows for three-dimensional super-resolution imaging of intact plant cell walls during degradation. Initial studies will investigate cellulase dynamics on in vitro-assembled cell wall analogs, and later work will progress to using native plant cell walls.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Editorial special issue: Advancing foundational sun-induced chlorophyll fluorescence science

The first research on the possibilities offered by chlorophyll-a fluorescence to track the daily course of CO 2 assimilation by leaves dates back to the last century (Kautsky and Hirsch, 1931). In the second half of the XXth Century, the development of the field of active fluorescence, which relies mainly on the pulse amplitude modulation (PAM) fluorimetry technique, allowed the unraveling of the relationship between the yield of chlorophyll-a fluorescence and photochemistry (linear electron transport), which is modulated by a third process known as non-photochemical quenching (Genty et al., 1989). Since then, active fluorescence has been regularly used in ecophysiology, forestry, and crop sciences to understand the plant response to stress (Schreiber, 2004). Since the beginning of the 2000s, the development of portable field spectrometers allows for measuring passive sun-induced fluorescence (SIF) at strong solar or telluric absorption features, which do not rely on the use of artificial excitation light (e.g., Meroni and Colombo, 2006; Meroni et al., 2009; Perez-Priego et al., 2005). Since then, the field has rapidly evolved, and now fluorescence is measurable with automated field spectrometers in the field (Grossmann et al., 2018; Gu et al., 2019b; Rossini et al., 2010), airborne platforms (Rascher et al., 2015; Zarco-Tejada et al., 2000), and satellites (Guanter et al., 2012; Sun et al., 2018). These advances offer the potential to couple ecosystem-scale measurements of CO 2 fluxes and SIF to probe new aspects related to ecosystem structural impacts on SIF andphotosynthesis processes at different time-scales and on different ecosystems (e.g., Damm et al., 2010; Magney et al., 2019; Porcar-Castell et al., 2021). While SIF has been proven as a good proxy of gross primary productivity (GPP), mainly across large spatial and temporal gradients, a series of studies showed that different factors could confound this relationship, namely different canopy structures (e.g., Dechant et al., 2020; Migliavacca et al., 2017), stress conditions (e.g., Martini et al., 2022; Wieneke et al., 2018; Wohlfahrt et al., 2018), nutritional conditions (Cendrero-Mateo et al., 2015; Martini et al., 2019), species-specific differences (e.g., Van Wittenberghe et al., 2013) and light regimes (e.g., Liu and Liu, 2018). At the same time, the modeling of SIF developed rapidly (Gu et al., 2019a; Han et al., 2022; Han et al., 2021; van der Tol et al., 2014; van der Tol et al., 2009) and with an increasing degree of realism, offering the possibility to retrieve important vegetation parameters from remote sensing (Pacheco-Labrador et al., 2019; Verrelst et al., 2015; Verrelst et al., 2016; Zhang et al., 2014). Excellent and comprehensive reviews of the field are by (Mohammed et al., 2019; Porcar-Castell et al., 2021; Porcar-Castell et al., 2014; Sun et al., 2023a; Sun et al., 2023b). Despite the exponential increase in the number of publications in the field, significant progress is still needed. Here, this special issue aims to report foundational SIF science, including theoretical modeling and measurement-based research that is urgently needed to unleash the full potential of SIF for physiological and ecological applications at scales spanning from leaf to globe. The 14 articles collected in this special issue reported on the following specific aspects: first, technical capabilities enabling spectrally resolved SIF observations and their inter-comparability in space and time; second, theoretical developments in SIF-photosynthesis relationships to correctly interpret the signal and extract mechanistic information on vegetation structure and function; third, evaluation of the potential of SIF to track process beyond photosynthesis, such as transpiration; fourth, large scale-applications of SIF observations; and finally, upscaling fluorescence from leaf to canopy scales.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Alaska Liquid Natural Gas Pipeline Front-End Engineering & Design (Final Technical Report)

The Alaska Gasline Development Corporation (AGDC) is Alaska’s natural gas infrastructure development corporation established in 2013. AGDC’s mission is to maximize the benefit of Alaska’s vast North Slope natural gas resources for Alaskans through the development of infrastructure necessary to move the gas into local and international markets. AGDC was identified for a Congressionally Directed Spending (CDS) project for funding in the Energy and Water Development and Related Agencies Appropriations Act, 2023 under the heading: “Congressionally Directed Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Projects.” The CDS included $\$$4,000,000 of direct funding, with required match funds, to move the project forward. Alaska’s North Slope holds America’s largest proven and conventional natural gas supply. The integrated Alaska LNG Project will deliver 3.5 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day from Alaska’s North Slope gas fields to Alaskans as well as to a marine terminal located at tidewater in Cook Inlet. Alaska LNG is an integrated gas infrastructure project with three major components: a gas treatment plant (GTP) located at Prudhoe Bay, an 807-mile (1,287 km) gas pipeline (Mainline Pipeline) to Southcentral Alaska with interconnections for in-state gas use, and a natural gas liquefaction facility (LNG Facility) in Nikiski, Alaska. The integrated Alaska LNG Project has several strategic advantages including proven gas resources, existing upstream infrastructure, an advantageous arctic climate for LNG production, proximity to LNG markets, a track record of reliability from a state that first began exporting LNG to Japan in 1969, and broad support from Alaskans. North Slope natural gas is a conventional resource and can be produced with minimal drilling at a fraction of the carbon dioxide emissions of shale gas from the Lower 48 states. Through the development of the Alaska LNG Project, Alaska can provide energy security to Alaskans and a stable source of LNG to the Asia-Pacific region for generations. The Alaska LNG Project has been progressed through Pre-Front-End Engineering Design (Pre-FEED) and has obtained all major federal and State of Alaska permits and authorizations to construct the project, including the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) Order Granting Authorization Under Section 3 of the Natural Gas Act. On September 5, 2024, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL) awarded Project No. DE-FE0032307 to AGDC with the objective to progress the project to Front-End Engineering Design (FEED) entry for the Alaska LNG Project Phase 1 Pipeline. The award Start Date was made effective July 1, 2023, with a Period of Performance through June 30, 2025. On March 27, 2025, AGDC announced the execution of definitive commercial agreements with Glenfarne Alaska LNG, LLC, an affiliate of Glenfarne Group, LLC, (together as “Glenfarne”), to lead the development of the Alaska LNG Project and enter FEED for the Phase 1 Pipeline. Project activities are now funded and directed by this private sector partner who holds a 75% interest in 8 Star Alaska, LLC (8 Star). 8 Star holds the assets of the Alaska LNG Project. As planned, AGDC continues to hold 25% minority interest in 8 Star and will play a governance role moving forward with Alaska LNG. This definitive commercial agreement milestone led to the successful completion of AGDC’s Statement of Project Objectives (SOPO) for FEED entry and led to the completion of DOE Project No. DE-FE0032307. At conclusion of the SOPO, AGDC also reached the award’s maximum federal cost share of $\$$4,000,000. AGDC is, therefore, providing Final Technical Report to close out DOE Project No. DE-FE0032307.

02 PETROLEUM↗

Probing the evolution of fault properties during the seismic cycle with deep learning

We use seismic waves that pass through the hypocentral region of the 2016 M6.5 Norcia earthquake together with Deep Learning (DL) to distinguish between foreshocks, aftershocks and time-to-failure (TTF). Binary and N-class models defined by TTF correctly identify seismograms in test with > 90% accuracy. We use raw seismic records as input to a 7 layer CNN model to perform the classification. Here we show that DL models successfully distinguish seismic waves pre/post mainshock in accord with lab and theoretical expectations of progressive changes in crack density prior to abrupt change at failure and gradual postseismic recovery. Performance is lower for band-pass filtered seismograms (below 10 Hz) suggesting that DL models learn from the evolution of subtle changes in elastic wave attenuation. Tests to verify that our results indeed provide a proxy for fault properties included DL models trained with the wrong mainshock time and those using seismic waves far from the Norcia mainshock; both show degraded performance. Our results demonstrate that DL models have the potential to track the evolution of fault zone properties during the seismic cycle. If this result is generalizable it could improve earthquake early warning and seismic hazard analysis.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

WBS 4.1.2.31 Bioproduct Transition System Dynamics

Bioproducts are chemicals derived from a biomass feedstock; they can be produced on their own or as co-products of a biorefinery that also produces biofuels. Bioproducts have historically been difficult to scale up and bring to market, despite a broad understanding developed within BETO of the various conversion processes that can be used to produce bioproducts. Expanding the bioproducts industry by bringing more bioproducts to market would have a variety of positive impacts. Growth in the bioproducts industry would support the biofuels industry by enabling biorefinery co-products that yield additional revenue streams, allowing biofuel selling prices to be reduced and expanding the biofuels market. A larger bioproducts industry also has the potential to reduce carbon and other emissions associated with the U.S. chemical sector and contribute to increased price stability in some areas of the chemical market by shifting portions of the chemical sector away from reliance on fossil feedstocks. The key barrier to realizing these positive impacts is a lack of knowledge around the factors that prevent or enable bioproducts to reach the commercial market. To date, there has been essentially no research done on how successful bioproducts (commercially produced bioproducts that have captured market share) become successful, why failed bioproducts fail, and what the similarities and differences are between successful and failed bioproducts. The current project addresses this knowledge gap with a decision support tool that can be used by investors, technology developers and government agencies to bring more bioproducts to market, thereby simultaneously growing the bioproducts and biofuels industries. Development of the decision support tool was based on research on the technology development process and success rates in analogous industries, data gathered during previous BETO-funded projects, and a series of interviews with subject-matter experts within BETO, the bioproducts industry, and the investment community. This information formed a knowledge base around how bioproducts are developed from applied research to commercial scale was assembled, which was used to build the Bioproduct Transition Dynamics (BTD) model, a system dynamics (SD) model that tracks bioproduct development projects from applied research through the 'valley of death' of piloting and demoing to commercial scale production. The end-of-project goal is to release the BTD, along with supporting documentation, as a transparent open-source model that will inform decisions around bioproduct development and investments and enable more bioproducts to reach the market. The BTD takes as inputs techno-economic data on specific bioproducts, behavioral parameters for developers and investors, expectations around government support, and exogenous market factors. Model outputs include bioproduct technological progress over time, a cash flow statement for the development project, and market share estimates. Following initial model development, a sensitivity analysis was performed on a subset of model inputs to determine, first, if the BTD could be used to answer analysis questions of interest to BETO, and second, which of the inputs considered were most influential on bioproduct success. Results indicate that the BTD can be used to identify scenarios that enable bioproduct development, and that 'soft' or semi-quantitative factors play a large role in determining if a bioproduct will reach the market. A workshop was also held for subject-matter experts and prospective BTD users in July 2018. The workshop covered BTD model logic, input data and assumptions as well as the sensitivity analysis results and a discussion of potential use cases. Workshop feedback was used to identify additional model development tasks and was incorporated into a draft technical report completed in September 2018. BTD model development, validation and application will continue through 2019.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗