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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 415 records · Page 23

Short Arc Orbit Determination for Altimeter Calibration and Validation on TOPEX/Poseidon

TOPEX/Poseidon (T/P) is a joint mission of US NASA and French CNES design launched August 10, 1992. It carries two radar altimeters which alternately share a common antenna. There are two project designated verification sites, a NASA site off the coast at Pt. Conception, CA, and a CNES site near Lampedusa Island in the Mediterranean Sea. Altimeter calibration and validation for T/P is performed over these highly instrumented sites by comparing the spacecraft's altimeter radar range to computed range based on in situ measurements which include the estimated orbit position. This paper presents selected results of orbit determination over each of these sites to support altimeter verification. A short arc orbit determination technique is used to estimate a locally accurate position determination of T/P from less than one revolution of satellite laser ranging (SLR) data. This technique is relatively insensitive to gravitational and nongravitational force modeling errors and is therefore essentially geometrical. The quality of these short arc orbits is demonstrated by covariance analysis and by comparison to orbits determined from longer arcs of data and other tracking data types, such as DORIS and Global Positioning System Demonstration Receiver (GPSDR) data.

radar↗

Humboldt bay power plant decommissioning transition to civil works - 15039

Decommissioning of the Pacific Gas and Electric (PG and E) Company Humboldt Bay Power Plant (HBPP) Unit 3 nuclear facility has now, after more than three decades of SAFSTOR, completed the Plant Systems Removal Phase by removal of all radiologically significant plant systems from the buildings in June 2014. The HBPP historical design and construction, close proximity to the bay and associated tidal interactions poses unique challenges to an effective decommissioning effort as the Site transitions to a major earthwork project - designated as Civil Works. The last significant large component removal project remaining is segmentation and disposal of the reactor pressure vessel shell and this project is now integrated and executed under Civil Works with PG and E solely in an oversight role across the site beginning 2015. The value from run-up and mock-up testing of tooling to segment the HBPP reactor vessel will be discussed. Experience obtained, especially at error prone interfaces, during start-up, systemisation and operating phases for the First of a Kind (KOAK) tooling will be discussed. Implementation of the civil scope of work commenced July 2013. Its status and experience applicable to other decommissioning efforts will be provided from an owner's perspective. Implementation of the civil work scope includes development and implementation of oversight capability including policy, procedures and deployment of skilled, experienced and trained oversight staff in the field. Challenges encountered and solutions implemented during mobilization and ramp up of the civil contractor commensurate with demobilization of the self-perform staff will be covered. Partnering with the contractor to establish a good Client/Contractor relationship and tips on where to invest owner resources will be shared. Development of a solid baseline project schedule that incorporates regulatory constraints, client expectations and contract constraints and its importance to safe, compliant project execution will be shared. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Data-Informed Synthetic Networks of Water Distribution Systems for Resilience Analysis in Puerto Rico

The increasing potential of infrastructure disruptions calls for high-quality infrastructure models to be used in resilience analysis and decision making. Unfortunately, many utilities and communities do not have access to accurate and detailed models due to a lack of data and resources. Furthermore, security restrictions on sharing infrastructure models present roadblocks to research, analysis, and decision making. Recent advances in the development of synthetic water distribution models provide a potential solution to this problem. There is an opportunity to improve these methods by leveraging incomplete pipe datasets to aid synthetic network generation. To address this gap, we developed a methodology for synthetic network generation that incorporates partial pipe data using a modification of the minimum cost flow algorithm for network generation and pipe sizing. This methodology demonstrates how partial pipe data can be leveraged to improve site-specific synthetic network generation. For the study area of Mayagüez, Puerto Rico, a synthetic model generated using 50% of real pipe data matches the pressure of the validation system with an average error of 23.5 m of head, which improves upon the average error of 31.6 m of head produced by a synthetic model generated using no data of the real pipes. Additionally, synthetic networks are shown to replicate the pressure response under a disruption scenario of the validation network, suggesting potential use in resilience analysis.

resilience analysis↗

Short arc orbit determination for altimeter calibration and validation on TOPEX/POSEIDON

TOPEX/POSEIDON (T/P) is a joint mission of United States' National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) and French Centre National d'Etudes Spatiales (CNES) design launched August 10, 1992. It carries two radar altimeters which alternately share a common antenna. There are two project designated verification sites, a NASA site off the coast at Pt. Conception, CA and a CNES site near Lampedusa Island in the Mediterranean Sea. Altimeter calibration and validation for T/P is performed over these highly instrumented sites by comparing the spacecraft's altimeter radar range to computed range based on in situ measurements which include the estimated orbit position. This paper presents selected results of orbit determination over each of these sites to support altimeter verification. A short arc orbit determination technique is used to estimate a locally accurate position determination of T/P from less than one revolution of satellite laser ranging (SLR) data. This technique is relatively insensitive to gravitational and non-gravitational force modeling errors and is demonstrated by covariance analysis and by comparison to orbits determined from longer arcs of data and other tracking data types, such as Doppler Orbitography and Radiopositioning Integrated by Satellite (DORIS) and Global Positioning System Demonstration Receiver (GPSDR) data.

Williams, B. G.↗

A Low Power, High Speed Readout for Pixel Detectors Based on an Arbitration Tree

A low-power, high-speed arbitration tree for pixel detector readout is presented. The synchronized, binary tree priority encoder establishes a position dependent priority list at the start of every time frame. Pixels that indicate the presence of data for readout, are sequentially granted access to a shared bus for data transfer to the periphery, without the use of an additional global strobe signal. It can be used for either full frame imaging or zero-suppressed readout, in which case it can simultaneously generate the pixel address. To increase the readout frame rate, the pixel array is subdivided into two halves, which allows interleaved latching of data at the output serializer. The design was implemented in a 65 nm LP-CMOS process for the readout of a 64 x 64 pixel array. Measurement results demonstrate a deadtime-less, full frame imaging rate of ~50 kfps, achieved with a dedicated output for every (32 x 32) 1024 pixels and for a pixel data packet of 11 bits, with no bit errors detected over 1000 frames. The measured energy per bit is 0.94 pJ.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Myths of German Graphite in World War II, with Original Translations

We re-examine the common narrative that a 1941 experimental error by physicists Walther Bothe and Peter Jensen led Germany to abandon graphite as a reactor moderator during World War II. We first detail the history of both German and American graphite experiments, noting that the Americans faced similar setbacks but succeeded only at the end of a costly 18-month graphite purification program. We then use Monte Carlo N-Particle simulations to reconstruct Bothe's 1941 experiment. We find the thermal absorption cross section of Bothe's Siemens electrographite to be 12.2 mb, in contrast to his reported 7.9 mb. This discrepancy arises because the neutrons in Bothe's experiment did not reach thermal equilibrium, leading to an underestimation of neutron absorption. Additionally, despite misconceptions that the Germans were unaware of boron impurities, we share evidence that Wilhelm Hanle accurately measured boron and cadmium impurities in the electrographite. To support our findings, we provide 9 excerpted and 3 complete English translations of classified wartime reports by Heisenberg, Joos, Bothe, Jensen, Höcker, Hanle, and Kremer. Our work aims to illuminate the rational constraints behind Germany's decision to forgo graphite moderation.

Park, Patrick J.↗

X-ray emission from gamma-ray sources in the galactic anticentre region

An X-ray survey of three high energy gamma-ray sources in the galactic anticenter region conducted using the large area sky survey instrument on HEAO 1 is presented. The sensitivity of this survey is highest reported, and two, and possibly three, X-ray sources were detected in the vicinity of gamma 195+5. Three new X-ray sources have been discovered within a few degrees of CG176-7, but none overlaps the gamma-ray error box. These results demonstrate that gamma-ray sources like CG195+4 and CG176-7 have emission characteristics different from the Crab pulsar, but may be similar to the Vela pulsar. Alternatively, the lack of detectable X-ray flux suggests that the gamma-ray emission arises from cosmic-ray interactions in dense interstellar clouds. An interesting feature of the new X-ray sources is that four of them may be associated with early-type stars which exhibit emission lines.

Share, G. H.↗

Target Strength of Southern Resident Killer Whales (Orcinus orca): Measurement and Modeling

A major criterion for tidal power licensing in Washington’s Puget Sound is the management of the risk of injury to killer whales due to collision with moving turbine blades. An active monitoring system is being proposed for killer whale detection, tracking, and alerting that links to and triggers temporary turbine shutdown when there is risk of collision. Target strength (TS) modeling of the killer whale is critical to the design and application of any active monitoring system. A 1996 study performed a high-resolution measurement of acoustic reflectivity as a function of frequency of a female bottlenose dolphin (2.2 m length) at broadside aspect and TS as a function of incident angle at 67 kHz frequency. Assuming that killer whales share similar morphology structure with the bottlenose dolphin, we extrapolated the TS of an adult killer whale 7.5 m in length at 67 kHz frequency with -8 dB at broadside aspect and -28 dB at tail side. The backscattering data from three Southern Resident killer whales were analyzed to obtain the TS measurement. These data were collected at Lime Kiln State Park using a split-beam system deployed from a boat. The TS of the killer whale at higher frequency (200 kHz) was estimated based on a three-layer model for plane wave reflection from the lung of the whale. The TS data of killer whales were in good agreement with our model. In this paper, we also discuss and explain possible causes for measurement estimation error.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

NLR HPC Eagle GPU Node Metrics

Ganglia node metrics and iLO (Integrated Lights Out) power data captured from six representative Eagle GPU nodes The Eagle HPC operated at NLR from 2019 through 2024. Eagle was a 2,000-node, 8-petaflop system. This dataset is a representative sample of metrics for 6 of the GPU nodes. Each GPU node contained 2 CPUs and 2 GPUs. Data provided in compressed CSV format. Ganglia and iLO Power Time Series Fields ts: Timestamp dv: Device / Node - Rack and Unit - r103u17 == r(ack)103u(nit)17 mt: Metric (only present for Ganglia) vl: Value - Value in watts for iLO power (instantaneous value at sampling time) or specified Ganglia metric below Ganglia Metrics Metric name -- Metric description -- Unit cpu_aidle -- Percent of time since boot idle CPU -- Percent cpu_idle -- Percent CPU idle -- Percent cpu_nice -- Percent CPU nice -- Percent cpu_speed -- Speed in MHz of CPU -- MHz cpu_user -- Percent CPU user -- Percent cpu_wio -- The percentage of CPU Wait I/O -- Percent gpu0_bar1_memory -- Used GPU bar1 memory -- MB gpu0_decoder_util -- GPU decoder utilization -- Percent gpu0_ecc_db_error -- Total ECC error counts for the GPU -- Number gpu0_encoder_util -- GPU encoder utilization -- Percent gpu0_fan -- Fan speed -- RPM gpu0_fb_memory -- Used GPU framebuffer memory -- MB gpu0_graphics_clock_report -- Current clock speeds for the device -- MHz gpu0_mem_total -- Memory total -- MB gpu0_mem_util -- Memory utilization -- Percent gpu0_power_usage_report -- Power usage report -- Watts gpu0_temp -- GPU 1 temperature -- Celsius gpu1_bar1_memory -- Used GPU bar1 memory -- MB gpu1_decoder_util -- GPU decoder utilization -- Percent gpu1_ecc_db_error -- Total ECC error counts for the GPU -- Number gpu1_encoder_util -- GPU encoder utilization -- Percent gpu1_fan -- Fan speed -- RPM gpu1_fb_memory -- Used GPU framebuffer memory -- MB gpu1_graphics_clock_report -- Current clock speeds for the GPU -- MHz gpu1_mem_total -- Memory total -- MB gpu1_mem_util -- Memory utilization -- MB gpu1_power_usage_report -- Power usage report -- Watts gpu1_temp -- GPU 1 temperature -- Celsius ipmi_cpu1_temp -- CPU 1 temperature -- Celsius ipmi_cpu2_temp -- CPU 2 temperature -- Celsius ipmi_inlet_ambient_temp -- Temperature measured at intake -- Celsius ipmi_vr_p1_temp -- CPU 1 voltage regulator temperature -- Celsius ipmi_vr_p2_temp -- CPU 2 voltage regulator temperature -- Celsius mem_buffers -- Amount of buffered memory -- Bytes mem_cached -- Amount of cached memory -- Bytes mem_free -- Amount of available memory -- Bytes mem_shared -- Amount of shared memory -- Bytes mem_total -- Amount of available memory -- Bytes

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Model of Procedure Usage – Results from a Qualitative Study to Inform Design of Computer-Based Procedures

The nuclear industry is constantly trying to find ways to decrease the human error rate, especially the human errors associated with procedure use. As a step toward the goal of improving procedure use performance, researchers, together with the nuclear industry, have been looking at replacing the current paper-based procedures with computer-based procedure systems. The concept of computer-based procedures is not new by any means; however most research has focused on procedures used in the main control room. Procedures reviewed in these efforts are mainly emergency operating procedures and normal operating procedures. Based on lessons learned for these previous efforts we are now exploring a more unknown application for computer based procedures - field procedures, i.e. procedures used by nuclear equipment operators and maintenance technicians. The Idaho National Laboratory, the Institute for Energy Technology, and participants from the U.S. commercial nuclear industry are collaborating in an applied research effort with the objective of developing requirements and specifications for a computer-based procedure system to be used by field operators. The goal is to identify the types of human errors that can be mitigated by using computer-based procedures and how to best design the computer-based procedures to do this. The underlying philosophy in the research effort is “Stop – Start – Continue”, i.e. what features from the use of paper-based procedures should we not incorporate (Stop), what should we keep (Continue), and what new features or work processes should be added (Start). One step in identifying the Stop – Start – Continue was to conduct a baseline study where affordances related to the current usage of paper-based procedures were identified. The purpose of the study was to develop a model of paper based procedure use which will help to identify desirable features for computer based procedure prototypes. Affordances such as note taking, markups, sharing procedures between fellow coworkers, the use of multiple procedures at once, etc. were considered. The model describes which affordances associated with paper based procedures should be transferred to computer-based procedures as well as what features should not be incorporated. The model also provides a means to identify what new features not present in paper based procedures need to be added to the computer-based procedures to further enhance performance. The next step is to use the requirements and specifications to develop concepts and prototypes of computer-based procedures. User tests and other data collection efforts will be conducted to ensure that the real issues with field procedures and their usage are being addressed and solved in the best manner possible. This paper describes the baseline study, the construction of the model of procedure use, and the requirements and specifications for computer-based procedures that were developed based on the model. It also addresses how the model and the insights gained from it were used to develop concepts and prototypes for computer based procedures.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Biomimetic model-based advanced control strategy integrated with multi-agent optimization for nonlinear chemical processes

Here, a novel framework is proposed for integrating biomimetic-based advanced control and multi-agent optimization approaches for nonlinear chemical process applications. In particular, a Biologically-Inspired Optimal Control Strategy, denoted as BIO-CS, is combined with multi-agent optimization (MAO) techniques to provide optimal solutions for dynamic systems. In this combined framework, the BIO-CS algorithm employs gradient-based optimal control solvers for the intermediate problems associated with the leader-follower agents’ local interactions. Also, the MAO uses the capabilities of heuristic-based optimization techniques by sharing process information to obtain optimal operating setpoints for the controller considering an overall process objective. The applicability of the proposed method is demonstrated using a nonlinear, multivariable, process model of a fermentation system. Specifically, the optimal operating points are computed by the MAO implementation for setpoint tracking, trajectory tracking and plant-model mismatch scenarios for BIO-CS application. Results of the developed framework are compared to a gradient-based Sequential Quadratic Programming (SQP) technique and a classical proportional-integral (PI) controller in terms of optimization and control studies, respectively. As an additional contribution, BIO-CS is also cast as a model predictive controller (MPC) for the first time and compared to the agent-based BIO-CS approach in terms of computational time and tracking error. Closed-loop control results show up to 46% improvement in tracking performance during transient for the multi-agent BIO-CS when compared to BIO-CS as MPC for additional computational expense. The obtained results illustrate the capabilities of this novel integrated framework including BIO-CS as MPC to achieve desired nonlinear system performance for various scenarios.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Biweekly Maps of Wind Stress for the North Pacific from the ERS-1 Scatterometer

The European Remote-sensing Satellite (ERS-1) was launched in July 1991 and contained several instruments for observing the Earth's ocean including a wind scatterometer. The scatterometer measurements were processed by the European Space Agency (ESA) and the Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL). JPL reprocessed (Freilich and Dunbar, 1992) the ERS-1 backscatter measurements to produced a 'value added' data set that contained the ESA wind vector as well as a set of up to four ambiguities. These ambiguities were further processed using a maximum-likelihood estimation (MLE) and a median filter to produce a 'selected vector.' This report describes a technique developed to produce time-averaged wind field estimates with their expected errors using only scatterometer wind vectors. The processing described in this report involved extracting regions of interest from the data tapes, checking the quality and creating the wind field estimate. This analysis also includes the derivation of biweekly average wind vectors over the North Pacific Ocean at a resolution of 0.50 x 0.50. This was done with an optimal average algorithm temporally and an over-determined biharmonic spline spatially. There have been other attempts at creating gridded wind files from ERS-1 winds, e.g., kriging techniques (Bentamy et al., 1996) and successive corrections schemes (Tang and Liu, 1996). There are several inherent problems with the ERS-1 scatterometer. Since this is a multidisciplinary mission, the satellite is flown in different orbits optimized for each phase of the mission. The scatterometer also shares several sub-systems with the Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) and cannot be operated while the SAR is in operation. The scatterometer is also a single-sided instrument and only measures backscatter along the right side of the satellite. The processing described here generates biweekly wind maps during the wktwo years analysis period regardless of the satellite orbit or missing data.

SYNTHETIC APERTURE RADAR↗

Multi-level Simulation of a Real Time Vibration Monitoring System Component

This paper describes the development of a custom built Digital Signal Processing (DSP) printed circuit board designed to implement the Advanced Real Time Vibration Monitoring Subsystem proposed by MSFC Transportation Directorate in 2000 for the Space Shuttle Main Engine Advanced Health Management System (AHMS). This Real Time Vibration Monitoring System (RTVMS) is being developed for ground use as part of the AHMS Health Management Computer-Integrated Rack Assembly (HMC-IRA). The HMC-IRA RTVMS design contains five DSPs which are highly interconnected through individual communication ports, shared memory, and a unique communication router that allows all the DSPs to receive digitized data from two multi-channel analog boards simultaneously. This paper will briefly cover the overall board design but will focus primarily on the state-of-the-art simulation environment within which this board was developed. This 16-layer board with over 1800 components and an additional mezzanine card has been an extremely challenging design. Utilization of a Mentor Graphics simulation environment provided the unique board and system level simulation capability to ascertain any timing or functional concerns before production. By combining VHDL, Synopsys Software and Hardware Models, and the Mentor Design Capture Environment, multiple simulations were developed to verify the RTVMS design. This multi-level simulation allowed the designers to achieve complete operability without error the first time the RTVMS printed circuit board was powered. The HMCIRA design has completed all engineering unit testing and the deliverable unit is currently under development.

Roberston, Bryan↗

Development of Particulates and Aerosols Research

During the past year several accomplishments were made for both the Particulate Matter Characterization and Measurement System, (PMCMS) and PAGEMS projects. The PAGEMS focus is to measure particulate emissions as a function of combustor parameters such as inlet temperature, inlet pressure and fuel air ratio. These measurements are used to evaluate combustor performance in hopes of correlating particulate emissions with engine conditions. These measurements have taken place at in-house NASA combustor facilities and off-site facilities. Ths work is unique because particulate measurements at high- pressure conditions are not commonly made. Some calibration of the PAGEMS instrumentation was done as well as minor modifications to the PAGEMS plumbing setup. These led to measurement improvements. The instrumentation and measurement process for PAGEMS was assessed and new instruments such as a thermodenuder, thermal mass flow meters and a cyclone separator were purchased to improve the PAGEMS instrumentation and measurement process. A worksheet was created to simulate varying inlet conditions to the DMA. This worksheet allows the user to assess the error in the measurements when certain conditions exist. Two technical papers were written with the PAGEMS team for the EXCAVATE field project. A paper was also reviewed for an in house publication. Also data was processed and analyzed for another field project (PAX) and will be part of a third PAGEMS paper. Accomplishments were also made with the PMCMS project. The calibration of the radial differential mobility analyzer, (RDMA) in the particle sizing system in the PMCMS was completed and provided satisfactory results. The voltages used for the RDMA depending on the particle of interest were corrected. The measurement capability of the PMCMS was increased by replacing the MetOne CPC with a TSI CPC. Lastly, assistance was provided to three college summer students with calibration of their particulate equipment and Monica Rivera shared her understanding of the aerosol technology with them. She also provided input for their end of the summer presentations. And attended the Aviation and Particle Emissions workshop. This workshop brought together experts in the aircraft particulate emissions field. As a result Ms. Rivera made two significant contacts with academia (UMR) and government (WPAFB) which could lead to future collaboration. She also attended the Aerosol and Particle Measurement Class held at the University of Minnesota. This class refreshed her particulate knowledge and introduced her to new aerosol applications and technology. Furthermore at the class contacts were made with private industry (TSI) and government (WPAFB). Ms. Rivera also enhanced her education by taking an in-house class on aircraft design and operation.

DeWitt, Kenneth↗

Multi-level Simulation of a Real Time Vibration Monitoring System Component

This paper describes the development of a custom built Digital Signal Processing (DSP) printed circuit board designed to implement the Advanced Real Time Vibration Monitoring Subsystem proposed by Marshall Space Flight Center (MSFC) Transportation Directorate in 2000 for the Space Shuttle Main Engine Advanced Health Management System (AHMS). This Real Time Vibration Monitoring System (RTVMS) is being developed for ground use as part of the AHMS Health Management Computer-Integrated Rack Assembly (HMC-IRA). The HMC-IRA RTVMS design contains five DSPs which are highly interconnected through individual communication ports, shared memory, and a unique communication router that allows all the DSPs to receive digitized data fiom two multi-channel analog boards simultaneously. This paper will briefly cover the overall board design but will focus primarily on the state-of-the-art simulation environment within which this board was developed. This 16-layer board with over 1800 components and an additional mezzanine card has been an extremely challenging design. Utilization of a Mentor Graphics simulation environment provided the unique board and system level simulation capability to ascertain any timing or functional concerns before production. By combining VHDL, Synopsys Software and Hardware Models, and the Mentor Design Capture Environment, multiple simulations were developed to verify the RTVMS design. This multi-level simulation allowed the designers to achieve complete operability without error the first time the RTVMS printed circuit board was powered. The HMC-IRA design has completed all engineering and deliverable unit testing. P

Robertson, Bryan A.↗

Experiment in Onboard Synthetic Aperture Radar Data Processing

Single event upsets (SEUs) are a threat to any computing system running on hardware that has not been physically radiation hardened. In addition to mandating the use of performance-limited, hardened heritage equipment, prior techniques for dealing with the SEU problem often involved hardware-based error detection and correction (EDAC). With limited computing resources, software- based EDAC, or any more elaborate recovery methods, were often not feasible. Synthetic aperture radars (SARs), when operated in the space environment, are interesting due to their relevance to NASAs objectives, but problematic in the sense of producing prodigious amounts of raw data. Prior implementations of the SAR data processing algorithm have been too slow, too computationally intensive, and require too much application memory for onboard execution to be a realistic option when using the type of heritage processing technology described above. This standard C-language implementation of SAR data processing is distributed over many cores of a Tilera Multicore Processor, and employs novel Radiation Hardening by Software (RHBS) techniques designed to protect the component processes (one per core) and their shared application memory from the sort of SEUs expected in the space environment. The source code includes calls to Tilera APIs, and a specialized Tilera compiler is required to produce a Tilera executable. The compiled application reads input data describing the position and orientation of a radar platform, as well as its radar-burst data, over time and writes out processed data in a form that is useful for analysis of the radar observations.

Holland, Matthew↗

Developing and Testing a Common Space Systems Ontology using the Ontological Modeling Language

This paper describes the development and testing of the initial version of a common space systems ontology (CoSSO) for use by the Advanced Concepts Office (ACO) at NASA's Marshall Space Flight Center. The ontology provides a shared conceptualization of concepts of interest to the ACO for modeling aerospace systems concepts in a pre-phase A context to aid with the transition to a more model-based paradigm. The ontological concepts and relations, as well as the anticipated use cases, were developed through interactions with the relevant subject matter experts at the ACO and implemented in the Ontological Modeling Language (OML). The ontology builds on the Basic Formal Ontology (BFO) and the Common Core Ontologies (CCO). While most of the ontology is still in the initial stages, an Environmental Control and Life Support System (ECLSS) ontology is being built on top of the main CoSSO and heavily developed as a proof of concept. The ECLSS ontology is designed with different use cases in mind, namely predicting and diagnosing errors in ECLS systems on long-duration missions, with a focus on the Four-Bed CO$_2$ carbon dioxide scrubber currently on board the ISS. The ECLSS ontology is being developed in a similar manner to the CoSSO, and designed to be compatible with it. The current state of both ontologies is presented and discussed, along with plans for future development and testing.

Conceptual Design↗

Day-ahead photovoltaic power production forecasting methodology based on machine learning and statistical post-processing

A main challenge towards ensuring large-scale and seamless integration of photovoltaic systems is to improve the accuracy of energy yield forecasts, especially in grid areas of high photovoltaic shares. The scope of this paper is to address this issue by presenting a unified methodology for hourly-averaged day-ahead photovoltaic power forecasts with improved accuracy, based on data-driven machine learning techniques and statistical post-processing. More specifically, the proposed forecasting methodology framework comprised of a data quality stage, data-driven power output machine learning model development (artificial neural networks), weather clustering assessment (K-means clustering), post-processing output optimisation (linear regressive correction method) and the final performance accuracy evaluation. The results showed that the application of linear regression coefficients to the forecasted outputs of the developed day-ahead photovoltaic power production neural network improved the performance accuracy by further correcting solar irradiance forecasting biases. The resulting optimised model provided a mean absolute percentage error of 4.7% when applied to historical system datasets. Finally, the model was validated both, at a hot as well as a cold semi-arid climatic location, and the obtained results demonstrated close agreement by yielding forecasting accuracies of mean absolute percentage error of 4.7% and 6.3%, respectively. Finally, the validation analysis provides evidence that the proposed model exhibits high performance in both forecasting accuracy and stability.

42 ENGINEERING↗