SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “.NET”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

SourceResearch connectionFrom yearThrough year

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 433 records · Page 24

All sources NASA NTRS DOE OSTI

DOE OSTI2024

Facile Access to Organostibines via Selective Organic Superbase Catalyzed Antimony‐Carbon Protonolysis

The selective formation of antimony-carbon bonds via organic superbase catalysis under metal- and salt-free conditions is reported. Here, this novel approach utilizes electron-deficient stibine, Sb(C 6 F 5 ) 3 , to give upon base-catalyzed reactions with weakly acidic aromatic and heteroaromatic hydrocarbons access to a range of new aromatic and heteroaromatic stibines, respectively, with loss of C 6 HF 5 . Also, the significantly less electron-deficient stibines, Ph 2 SbC 6 F 5 and PhSb(C 6 F 5 ) 2 smoothly underwent base-catalyzed exchange reactions with a range of terminal alkynes to generate the stibines of formulae PhSb(C≡CPh) 2 , and Ph 2 SbC≡CR [R=C 6 H 5 , C 6 H 4 -NO 2 , COOEt, CH 2 Cl, CH 2 NEt 2 , CH 2 OSiMe 3 , Sb(C 6 H 5 ) 2 ], respectively. These formal substitution reactions proceed with high selectivity as only the C 6 F 5 groups serve as a leaving group to be liberated as C 6 HF 5 upon formal proton transfer from the alkyne. Kinetic studies of the base-catalyzed reaction of Ph 2 SbC 6 F 5 with phenyl acetylene to form Ph 2 SbC≡CPh and C 6 HF 5 suggested the empirical rate law to exhibit a first-order dependence with respect to the base catalyst, alkyne and stibine. DFT calculations support a pathway proceeding via a concerted σ-bond metathesis transition state, where the base catalyst activates the Sb-C 6 F 5 bond sequence through secondary bond interactions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2025

Can Charge Transfer Across C─H⋅⋅⋅O Hydrogen Bonds Stabilize Oil Droplets in Water?

Oil-water emulsions resist aggregation due to the presence of negative charges at their surface that leads to mutual repulsion between droplets, but the molecular origin of oil charge is currently under debate. Although much evidence has suggested that ionic species must accumulate at the interface, an alternative perspective attributes the negative charge on the oil droplet to charge transfer of electron density from water to oil molecules. Although the charge transfer mechanism is consistent with the correct sign of oil charge, it is just as important to provide good estimates of the charge magnitude to explain emulsion stability and electrophoresis experiments. Here, we show using energy decomposition analysis that the amount of net flow of charge from water to oil is negligibly small due to nearly equal forward and backward charge transfer through weak oil-water interactions, such that oil droplets would be unstable and coalesce, contrary to experiment. The lack of charge transfer also explains why vibrational sum frequency scattering reports a blue shift in the oil C-H frequency when forming emulsions with water, which arises from Pauli repulsion due to localized confinement at the interface. Finally, unlike ions, neither charge transfer nor dynamic polarization can produce a finite conductivity needed to couple to electric fields that would explain electrophoretic mobility.

Zhao, Ruoqi↗

DOE OSTI2024

Rejection of low-molecular weight neutral organics is highly sensitive to reverse osmosis system design and operation

A computational model was developed to investigate the significance of system design and operating conditions on the rejection of neutral, low-MW organics by reverse osmosis for potable reuse. Here, the model demonstrated that the decrease in local rejection as net driving pressure decreases is substantially greater for moderately rejected compounds than for highly rejected compounds. At recovery values less than 70%, the local permeate concentration can exceed the pressure vessel feed concentration for moderately rejected compounds. System-level rejection of moderately rejected compounds is likewise substantially more sensitive to operating conditions than highly rejected compounds. The findings highlight a drawback of relying on rejection results from bench-scale testing that operates at low recovery, which invariably has higher rejection than full-scale systems operating at similar pressure. The analysis demonstrates a trade-off in which the low-pressure, high-recovery operation desired for potable reuse systems can be detrimental to the removal of low-MW neutral organics. The removal of low-MW neutral organics can be improved if organics rejection is explicitly evaluated during the design process.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Redox‐Active Frustrated Lewis Pair‐Mediated B—H Bond Activation: From Proton Transfer to THF Ring Opening

The CAAC-stabilized dithiolene (L 0 ) zwitterion (1), an unusual redox-active intramolecular frustrated Lewis pair (FLP), activates the B─H bond of boranes via hydride-coupled reverse electron transfer processes. The reactions of 1 with catecholborane in THF give a zwitterionic bis(dithiolene)-based spiroborate ( 2 ), in which one sulphur atom (at the C2 carbon) bonds to the (CH 2 ) 4 OB(O) 2 C 6 H 4 chain due to the catecholborane (CatBH)/S thiourea Lewis pair-mediated THF ring opening. In addition to 2 , [CAAC(H)] + [(Cat) 2 B] − , ( 3 ), CAAC(H) 2 , ( 4 ), and [CAAC(H) 3 ] + [(Cat) 2 B] − , ( 5 ), are also isolated from these reactions. In addition to synthetic, structural, and spectroscopic data, a plausible reaction mechanism is proposed. This finding provides compelling experimental evidence of FLP-mediated B─H activation via net proton transfer.

carbenes↗

DOE OSTI2024

Predictive analytics of selections of russet potatoes

We explore the application of machine learning algorithms specifically to enhance the selection process of Russet potato (Solanum tuberosum L.) clones in breeding trials by predicting their suitability for advancement. This study addresses the challenge of efficiently identifying high-yield, disease-resistant, and climate-resilient potato varieties that meet processing industry standards. Leveraging manually collected data from trials in the state of Oregon, we investigate the potential of a wide variety of state-of-the-art binary classification models. The dataset includes 1086 clones, with data on 38 attributes recorded for each clone, focusing on yield, size, appearance, and frying characteristics, with several control varieties planted consistently across four Oregon regions from 2013 to 2021. We conduct a comprehensive analysis of the dataset that includes preprocessing, feature engineering, and imputation to address missing values. We focus on several key metrics such as accuracy, F1-score, and Matthews correlation coefficient (MCC) for model evaluation. The top-performing models, namely a feedforward neural network classifier (Neural Net), a histogram-based gradient boosting classifier (HGBC), and a support vector machine classifier (SVM), demonstrate consistent and significant results. To further validate our findings, we conducted a simulation study using the aims, data-generating mechanisms, estimands, methods, and performance measures (ADEMP) framework, simulating different data-generating scenarios to assess model robustness and performance through true positive, true negative, false positive, and false negative distributions, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC) and MCC. The simulation results highlight that non-linear models like SVM and HGBC consistently show higher AUC-ROC and MCC than logistic regression, thus outperforming the traditional linear model across various distributions, and emphasizing the importance of model selection and tuning in agricultural trials. Variable selection further enhances model performance and identifies influential features in predicting trial outcomes. The findings emphasize the potential of machine learning in streamlining the selection process for potato varieties, offering benefits such as increased efficiency, substantial cost savings, and judicious resource utilization. Our study contributes insights into precision agriculture and showcases the relevance of advanced technologies for informed decision-making in breeding programs.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Molten‐Salt‐Mediated Chemical Looping Oxidative Dehydrogenation of Ethane with In‐Situ Carbon Capture and Utilization

Abstract The molten‐salt‐mediated oxidative dehydrogenation (MM‐ODH) of ethane (C 2 H 6 ) via a chemical looping scheme represents an effective carbon capture and utilization (CCU) method for the valorization of ethane‐rich shale gas and concurrent mitigation of carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions. Here, stepwise experimentation with Li 2 CO 3 ‐Na 2 CO 3 ‐K 2 CO 3 (LNK) ternary salts (i) assessed how each component of the LNK mixture impacted ethane MM‐ODH performance and (ii) explored physicochemical and thermodynamic mechanisms behind melt‐induced changes to ethylene (C 2 H 4 ) and carbon monoxide (CO) yields. Of fifteen screened LNK compositions, nine exhibited ethylene yields greater than 50 % at 800 °C while maintaining C 2 H 4 selectivities of 85 % or higher. LNK salts rich in Li 2 CO 3 content yielded more ethylene and CO on average than their counterparts, and net CO 2 capture per cycle reached a maximum of ~75 %. Extended MM‐ODH cycling also demonstrated long‐term stability of a high‐performing LNK medium. Density functional theory (DFT) calculations andab initiomolecular dynamics (AIMD) simulations suggested that the molten salt does not directly activate C 2 H 6 . Meanwhile, an empirical model informed by experimental data and reaction thermodynamics adequately predicted overall MM‐ODH performance from LNK composition and provided insights into the system′s primary drivers.

Chemistry↗

DOE OSTI2025

Tuning the Properties of Lignin‐Derived Deep Eutectic Solvents for Biomass Processing

Lignin-derived deep eutectic solvents (DESs) have been investigated as sustainable green media for biomass processing. However, the properties and processability of DESs have not been fully understood with the chemical structures of their constituents for biomass fractionation. Here, in this article, the properties of the phenolic DESs are discussed with different numbers of functional groups, such as –OCH 3 and –CHO in their hydrogen bond donor (HBD) structures. The formation of DES is significantly related to the hydrogen bond between its constituents, identified by nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) analysis and density functional theory calculation (DFT). Lower viscosity and net basicity of DES are achieved with fewer –OCH 3 on HBD structures, resulting in enhanced processability and fractionation efficiency. The thermal stability of the DES is also influenced by the –OCH 3 and –CHO of HBD, as indicated by its onset temperature. The recyclability of the phenolic DES is confirmed by the fractionation performance of the recycled DES. Understanding the structural impacts of DES constituents on the properties and performance is crucial for designing solvents in biorefinery applications.

Ryu, Jiae [State University of New York (SUNY), Sy↗

DOE OSTI2024

Interactions Between Climate and Species Drive Future Forest Carbon and Water Balances

Global change is altering forest carbon and water balances; however, the extent to which tree species shape ecosystem‐scale responses to climate, particularly in biodiverse forests, remains unclear. To address this, we simulated the effects of an envelope of future climate conditions on watershed carbon and water balances and quantified the contributions of tree species based on their xylem anatomy. We accomplished this by incorporating species‐level transpiration calculations into a landscape‐scale ecosystem process model. Our revised model linked the effects of forest succession, species composition, and climate change on water and carbon. Calibration of forest water fluxes using sap flux measurements and catchment water balances captured variability in species transpiration and interannual ET in biodiverse, humid temperate forest catchments in the southern Blue Ridge Mountains, USA. Across wet and dry future climate projections, ET increased, and streamflow and net carbon uptake decreased, particularly under a scenario of increasing drought. Despite accounting for just 30% of current biomass, diffuse‐porous tree species were the main driver of carbon and water flux responses now and in the future, thus intensifying the increase in ET and decline in streamflow. As diffuse‐porous biomass continues to increase, these forests will be increasingly sensitive to drought, amplifying losses of carbon sequestration and freshwater delivery.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Characterizing suburban soil and microbial properties along a soil age chronosequence

Abstract Rapid urbanization is drastically altering ecosystem processes in landscapes around the world. In particular, suburban residential neighborhoods comprise novel ecosystems with water and nutrient inputs that differ greatly from the surrounding land area. These impacts generate concern over the sustainability of urban ecosystems, especially whether they will be characterized by net carbon gain or loss over time. To address this knowledge gap, we established a chronosequence of residential yards in Southern California to test how urban soils change after development. We predicted that urbanized soils would experience shifts in physical characteristics and microbial function over time consistent with ecological succession theory, but residential soils would maintain novel moisture and nutrient regimes compared to undeveloped soils, never “recovering” to a pre‐developed state. We compared different vegetation types to quantify impacts of homeowner landscaping choices and characterized yard soils and their microbial communities. We found that yard soils were nutrient‐ and moisture‐enriched compared to an adjacent undeveloped ecosystem, and turfgrass was associated with higher levels of water and nitrogen. Despite high respiration rates, yard soils accumulated carbon and nitrogen over time. We conclude that suburban residential soils comprise dynamic and heterogeneous ecosystems that are highly influenced by landscaping choices and management practices, and warrant closer study at small management‐relevant scales.

Suratt, Andie [Department of Ecology and Evolution↗

DOE OSTI2026

Modeling the Effects of Trimethylsilanol on Syngas Combustion Kinetics

A perturbation analysis modeling approach based on a genetic algorithm was used to identify possible reaction pathways to explain previous experimental observations of the strong acceleration of syngas auto-ignition by trimethylsilanol (TMSO). Organosilicon reactions were taken from an existing chemical kinetic mechanism for tetramethylsilane pyrolysis which also contained TMSO reactions. The experimental targets for optimization were ignition delay times and peak OH radical concentrations in the range 1010–1070 K, 5 atm with dilute (4%) ϕ = 0.1 syngas mixtures in N 2 /Ar containing 0, 200, and 1000 ppm TMSO. Hundreds of thousands of trials resulted in three models which accurately predicted the experimental auto-ignition times and peak OH concentrations. Rate of production analyses indicated that TMSO forms dimethylsilanediol, which then reacts creating two “catalytic loops.” The net effect of the loops is to accelerate the reaction H 2 + O = OH + H at a faster effective rate than H 2 /O 2 kinetics alone, thus enhancing the reactivity of syngas. The formation of the loops may be attributable to the high Si–C bond energies in siloxanols, reducing rates of thermal decomposition and allowing dimethylsilanediol to react with H 2 for a longer duration compared with its alkane analog. Here, the results of the current work provide valuable direction for fundamental studies of these new hypothesized reaction pathways.

Mansfield, Andrew B. [Eastern Michigan University,↗

DOE OSTI2025

Evaluating sulfurization as a blue carbon sink in a southern California salt marsh

Blue carbon ecosystems such as seagrass meadows, mangrove forests, and salt marshes are important carbon sinks that can store carbon for millennia. Recently, organic matter sulfurization and pyritization have been proposed as mechanisms of net carbon storage in blue carbon ecosystems. At our study site, organic sulfur that is resistant to acid hydrolysis (protokerogen) is an order of magnitude less abundant than pyrite sulfur, suggesting a dominance of pyritization over sulfurization. The C/N ratios and carbon isotope compositions suggest that nearly half of total organic carbon and ≥ 80% of protokerogen is composed of marsh plant material. Sediment protokerogen appears to be sulfurized based on its low δ 34 S values (− 10‰), abundance of disulfides, and higher S/C ratio (~ 1.0%) relative to potential biogenic sulfur sources. However, the interpretation of protokerogen δ 34 S values is complicated by the wide range in sulfur isotope compositions of marsh plants. Evidence for sulfurization occurs within the shallowest sediments across different vegetation zones, yielding consistent products, while pyritization appears to be more sensitive to alterations in sediment redox conditions. Based on organic sulfur and pyrite content, sulfurization may be a more spatially consistent process than pyritization, with implications for carbon storage. The relative abundance of pyrite and protokerogen organic sulfur indicates that pyritization is favored at our study site, but this is likely to vary across the spectrum of blue carbon ecosystems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2026

Evidence of Polarization‐Type Potential‐Induced Degradation (PID‐p) in the Field and Investigation of the Recovery Mechanism on Bifacial p ‐PERC Modules

This study investigates the polarization-type potential-induced degradation (PID-p) of bifacial glass/glass p-type passivated emitter rear contact (p-PERC) modules in the field and their recovery behavior. Modules were installed with three mounting configurations providing different albedo conditions. System voltage (–600, –1500, and +1500 V) was applied to the cell circuits, with respect to the grounded module frames. No degradation was observed for positively biased modules, but PID-p was identified on the rear side when cells are negatively biased, with maximum power dropping during the first days and stabilizing at values up to 8% loss. Electroluminescence images revealed a variation of the cells' PID-p susceptibility within a module. Three parameters were shown to impact the degradation rate: rear albedo light, voltage, and wetness conditions. Degraded modules were recovered either by (1) a positive bias (+1500 V), (2) outdoor illumination with the front side facing sun, (3) outdoor illumination with the rear side facing sun, or (4) dark storage. A recovery pattern was identified with I–V parameters decreasing to a local minimum before increasing to full recovery. The proposed mechanism is based on the band bending at the rear p-type Si/AlO x/SiN x interface, going from inversion to depletion and accumulation states. Full recovery was achieved in 2–7 h for the modules recovered with the rear side facing sun, four to eight nights for the modules positively biased at night, and 10–20 days for the modules with the front side facing sun. Dark storage showed slower recovery rates as I–V parameters were not improving even after 1 month. Here, the recovery rates were correlated with the net Coulombs transferred during the preceding PID stress: When more Coulombs are transferred during the degradation, the extent of degradation is greater, leading to slower recovery rates.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Anthromes and forest carbon responses to global change

Human effects on ecosystems date back thousands of years, and anthropogenic biomes—anthromes—broadly incorporate the effects of human population density and land use on ecosystems. Forests are integral to the global carbon cycle, containing large biomass carbon stocks, yet their responses to land use and climate change are uncertain but critical to informing climate change mitigation strategies, ecosystem management, and Earth system modeling. Using an anthromes perspective and the site locations from the Global Forest Carbon (ForC) Database, we compare intensively used, cultured, and wildland forest lands in tropical and extratropical regions. We summarize recent past (1900-present) patterns of land use intensification, and we use a feedback analysis of Earth system models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 to estimate the sensitivity of forest carbon stocks to CO 2 and temperature change for different anthromes among regions. Modeled global forest carbon stock responses are positive for CO 2 increase but neutral to negative for temperature increase. Across anthromes (intensively used, cultured, and wildland forest areas), modeled forest carbon stock responses of temperate and boreal forests are less variable than those of tropical forests. Tropical wildland forest areas appear especially sensitive to CO 2 and temperature change, with the negative temperature response highlighting the potential vulnerability of the globally significant carbon stock in tropical forests. The net effect of anthropogenic activities—including land-use intensification and environmental change and their interactions with natural forest dynamics—will shape future forest carbon stock changes. These interactive effects will likely be strongest in tropical wildlands.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Anthromes and terrestrial carbon

This article is the Editorial for the Special Collection ‘Anthromes and terrestrial carbon: From the deep past to net-zero’. See https://nph.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/hub/anthromes-and-terrestrial-carbon for more details.

Walker, Anthony P. [Oak Ridge National Laboratory ↗

DOE OSTI2025

Elucidating the Role of Hydrogen at c‐In 2 O 3 /a‐In 2 O 3− x Interface

Ab initio molecular dynamics simulations and hybrid functional electronic structure calculations are employed to determine the formation, the structural and electronic properties, and the dynamics of covalent (In—OH) and ionic (In—H—In) hydrogen defects at crystalline-In 2 O 3 /amorphous-In 2 O 3−x interface. This comprehensive computational study considers (i) various interstitial and substitutional hydrogen site locations within the crystalline, amorphous, and interfacial regions; (ii) several oxygen-to-hydrogen ratios; and (iii) possible defect charged states. The results reveal hydrogen's inability to fully passivate the undercoordinated under-shared in atoms in amorphous highly substoichiometric oxide, giving rise to the formation of deep electron traps even in net-charge neutral structures. These trap defects are found to be sensitive to photoexcitation, in contrast to In—OH with H's electronic states located below the valence band and to In—H—In, where H is found to maintain its charge state upon illumination. Nevertheless, H plays a critical role in photoinduced conductivity and its relaxation by promoting In—O coordination transformations at the interfacial region, including deterioration of the crystalline layer. Finally, the results help identify mobile H species and metastable H defect complexes (such as In—H—H—In, In—OH–H—In, and In—OH–O—In) that are responsible for long relaxation times of the conductivity decay.

H defects↗

DOE OSTI2024

Imaging the wakes of jets with energy-energy-energy correlators

As the partons in a high energy jet propagate through the droplet of quark-gluon plasma (QGP) produced in a heavy-ion collision they lose energy to, kick, and are kicked by the medium. The resulting modifications to the parton shower encode information about the microscopic nature of QGP. A direct consequence, however, is that the momentum and energy lost by the parton shower are gained by the medium and, since QGP is a strongly coupled liquid, this means that the jet excites a wake in the droplet of QGP. After freezeout, this wake becomes soft hadrons with net momentum in the jet direction meaning that what an experimentalist later reconstructs as a jet includes hadrons originating from both the modified parton shower and its wake. This has made it challenging to find experimental observables that provide an unambiguous view of the dynamical response of a droplet of QGP to a jet shooting through it. Recent years have seen significant substantial advances in the theoretical and experimental understanding of the substructure of jets, in particular, using correlation functions, $\langle$ ($\vec{n}$ 1 )•••$\mathcal{E}$($\vec{n}$ k ) $\rangle$, of the energy flux operator in proton-proton collisions and, recently, in heavy-ion collisions. So far, such studies have focused primarily on the two-point correlator, which allows for the identification of the angular scale of the underlying dynamics. Higher-point correlators hold the promise of mapping out the dynamics themselves. In this paper we perform the first study of the shape-dependent three-point energy-energy-energy correlator in heavy-ion collisions. Using the Hybrid Model to simulate the interactions of high energy jets with the QGP medium, we show that the three-point correlator presents us with a striking new opportunity. We find that hadrons originating from wakes are the dominant contribution to the three-point correlator in the kinematic regime in which the three points are well-separated in angle, forming a roughly equilateral triangle. This equilateral region of the correlator is far from the region populated by collinear vacuum emissions, making it a canvas on which jet wakes are laid out, where experimentalists can map their shapes. Our work provides a key step towards the systematic use of energy correlators to image and unravel the dynamical response of a droplet of QGP that has been probed by a passing jet, and motivates numerous experimental and theoretical studies.

Jets and Jet Substructure↗

DOE OSTI2024

Pore confinement enhances but surface adhesion reduces bacterial cell-to-cell conjugation

As the habitats of bacteria, soil pore network and surface properties control the distribution, adhesion, and motility of bacteria in soils. These physical processes in turn influence bacterial accesses to nutrients and bacterial interactions. Our understanding on the pore- and surface-mediated bacterial interactions is currently limited. In this research, we evaluated the effects of soil pore confinement and surface adhesion on conjugation-based bacterial interactions. The interaction was measured by plasmid transfer between donor and recipient cells within the population of soil bacterium Pseudomonas putida. We found that the presence of porous sand media led to a net increase in conjugation frequency compared to sand-free liquid control. The increase is attributed to the facilitated effect of pore confinement on the collision of bacteria within pores. In contrast, bacterial adhesion to sand surfaces under elevated ionic strength conditions decreased the conjugation frequency as a result of mobility reduction on the surface. Such collision and adhesion mechanisms jointly drive the conjugation as a function of pore and surface properties of porous media. Finally, these results provide valuable insights into the roles of soil pores and surfaces in regulating horizontal gene transfer, an essential cell-to-cell interaction sustaining key processes of soil ecology and health.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

The atmospheric effect of aerosols on future tropical cyclone frequency and precipitation in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model

This study uses experiments from the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) to compare the influence on tropical cyclone (TC) activity of: (i) the atmospheric effect of aerosols under specified sea-surface temperatures (SSTs); and (ii) the net effect of greenhouse gases (GhGs) (including changes in SSTs). The experiments were performed using the CMIP6 Shared Socioeconomic Pathway SSP5-8.5 emissions scenario with GhG-induced SST warming specified and atmospheric aerosol effects simulated but without explicit ocean coupling. Insignificant changes in global TC frequency are found in response to the atmospheric effect of future aerosols and GhGs, as significant regional responses in TC frequency counteract each other. Future GhGs contribute to more frequent TCs in the North Atlantic, and reductions over the Northwestern Pacific and Southern Indian Ocean. The atmospheric effect of future aerosols drives more frequent TCs over the Northwestern Pacific and reductions over the Northeast Pacific and North Atlantic. Along with increases in TC intensity, global TC precipitation (TCP) is projected to increase by 52.8% (14.1%/K) due to the combined effect of future aerosols and GhGs. Although both forcings contribute to TCP increases (14.7–19.3% from reduced aerosols alone and 28.1–33.3% from increased GhGs alone), they lead to different responses in the spatial structure of TCP. TCP increases preferentially in the inner-core due to increased GhGs, whereas TCP decreases in the inner-core and increases in the outer-bands in response to the atmospheric effects of decreased aerosols. These changes are distinct from those caused by aerosol-induced SST changes, which have been considered in other studies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗