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Single-molecule imaging of lignocellulose deconstruction by SCATTIRSTORM microscopy

The goal of this project is to build a multimodal optical microscope to measure the binding, processive degradation, and pausing behaviors of cellulases as they interact with and degrade both synthetic and naturally occurring lignocellulosic walls. To achieve this, we will use high spatio-temporal single-molecule imaging to track cellulases, while visualizing specific molecular components of cellulose, lignin and hemicellulose, that make up their lignocellulose substrate. The microscope will combine Interferometric Scattering (iSCAT), which provides unprecedented spatiotemporal resolution; Total Internal Reflection Fluorescence (TIRF), which provides single-molecule resolution of multiple fluorophore-labeled molecules; and Stochastic Reconstruction (STORM), which allows for three-dimensional super-resolution imaging of intact plant cell walls during degradation. Initial studies will investigate cellulase dynamics on in vitro-assembled cell wall analogs, and later work will progress to using native plant cell walls.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Editorial special issue: Advancing foundational sun-induced chlorophyll fluorescence science

The first research on the possibilities offered by chlorophyll-a fluorescence to track the daily course of CO 2 assimilation by leaves dates back to the last century (Kautsky and Hirsch, 1931). In the second half of the XXth Century, the development of the field of active fluorescence, which relies mainly on the pulse amplitude modulation (PAM) fluorimetry technique, allowed the unraveling of the relationship between the yield of chlorophyll-a fluorescence and photochemistry (linear electron transport), which is modulated by a third process known as non-photochemical quenching (Genty et al., 1989). Since then, active fluorescence has been regularly used in ecophysiology, forestry, and crop sciences to understand the plant response to stress (Schreiber, 2004). Since the beginning of the 2000s, the development of portable field spectrometers allows for measuring passive sun-induced fluorescence (SIF) at strong solar or telluric absorption features, which do not rely on the use of artificial excitation light (e.g., Meroni and Colombo, 2006; Meroni et al., 2009; Perez-Priego et al., 2005). Since then, the field has rapidly evolved, and now fluorescence is measurable with automated field spectrometers in the field (Grossmann et al., 2018; Gu et al., 2019b; Rossini et al., 2010), airborne platforms (Rascher et al., 2015; Zarco-Tejada et al., 2000), and satellites (Guanter et al., 2012; Sun et al., 2018). These advances offer the potential to couple ecosystem-scale measurements of CO 2 fluxes and SIF to probe new aspects related to ecosystem structural impacts on SIF andphotosynthesis processes at different time-scales and on different ecosystems (e.g., Damm et al., 2010; Magney et al., 2019; Porcar-Castell et al., 2021). While SIF has been proven as a good proxy of gross primary productivity (GPP), mainly across large spatial and temporal gradients, a series of studies showed that different factors could confound this relationship, namely different canopy structures (e.g., Dechant et al., 2020; Migliavacca et al., 2017), stress conditions (e.g., Martini et al., 2022; Wieneke et al., 2018; Wohlfahrt et al., 2018), nutritional conditions (Cendrero-Mateo et al., 2015; Martini et al., 2019), species-specific differences (e.g., Van Wittenberghe et al., 2013) and light regimes (e.g., Liu and Liu, 2018). At the same time, the modeling of SIF developed rapidly (Gu et al., 2019a; Han et al., 2022; Han et al., 2021; van der Tol et al., 2014; van der Tol et al., 2009) and with an increasing degree of realism, offering the possibility to retrieve important vegetation parameters from remote sensing (Pacheco-Labrador et al., 2019; Verrelst et al., 2015; Verrelst et al., 2016; Zhang et al., 2014). Excellent and comprehensive reviews of the field are by (Mohammed et al., 2019; Porcar-Castell et al., 2021; Porcar-Castell et al., 2014; Sun et al., 2023a; Sun et al., 2023b). Despite the exponential increase in the number of publications in the field, significant progress is still needed. Here, this special issue aims to report foundational SIF science, including theoretical modeling and measurement-based research that is urgently needed to unleash the full potential of SIF for physiological and ecological applications at scales spanning from leaf to globe. The 14 articles collected in this special issue reported on the following specific aspects: first, technical capabilities enabling spectrally resolved SIF observations and their inter-comparability in space and time; second, theoretical developments in SIF-photosynthesis relationships to correctly interpret the signal and extract mechanistic information on vegetation structure and function; third, evaluation of the potential of SIF to track process beyond photosynthesis, such as transpiration; fourth, large scale-applications of SIF observations; and finally, upscaling fluorescence from leaf to canopy scales.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Alaska Liquid Natural Gas Pipeline Front-End Engineering & Design (Final Technical Report)

The Alaska Gasline Development Corporation (AGDC) is Alaska’s natural gas infrastructure development corporation established in 2013. AGDC’s mission is to maximize the benefit of Alaska’s vast North Slope natural gas resources for Alaskans through the development of infrastructure necessary to move the gas into local and international markets. AGDC was identified for a Congressionally Directed Spending (CDS) project for funding in the Energy and Water Development and Related Agencies Appropriations Act, 2023 under the heading: “Congressionally Directed Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Projects.” The CDS included $\$$4,000,000 of direct funding, with required match funds, to move the project forward. Alaska’s North Slope holds America’s largest proven and conventional natural gas supply. The integrated Alaska LNG Project will deliver 3.5 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day from Alaska’s North Slope gas fields to Alaskans as well as to a marine terminal located at tidewater in Cook Inlet. Alaska LNG is an integrated gas infrastructure project with three major components: a gas treatment plant (GTP) located at Prudhoe Bay, an 807-mile (1,287 km) gas pipeline (Mainline Pipeline) to Southcentral Alaska with interconnections for in-state gas use, and a natural gas liquefaction facility (LNG Facility) in Nikiski, Alaska. The integrated Alaska LNG Project has several strategic advantages including proven gas resources, existing upstream infrastructure, an advantageous arctic climate for LNG production, proximity to LNG markets, a track record of reliability from a state that first began exporting LNG to Japan in 1969, and broad support from Alaskans. North Slope natural gas is a conventional resource and can be produced with minimal drilling at a fraction of the carbon dioxide emissions of shale gas from the Lower 48 states. Through the development of the Alaska LNG Project, Alaska can provide energy security to Alaskans and a stable source of LNG to the Asia-Pacific region for generations. The Alaska LNG Project has been progressed through Pre-Front-End Engineering Design (Pre-FEED) and has obtained all major federal and State of Alaska permits and authorizations to construct the project, including the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) Order Granting Authorization Under Section 3 of the Natural Gas Act. On September 5, 2024, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL) awarded Project No. DE-FE0032307 to AGDC with the objective to progress the project to Front-End Engineering Design (FEED) entry for the Alaska LNG Project Phase 1 Pipeline. The award Start Date was made effective July 1, 2023, with a Period of Performance through June 30, 2025. On March 27, 2025, AGDC announced the execution of definitive commercial agreements with Glenfarne Alaska LNG, LLC, an affiliate of Glenfarne Group, LLC, (together as “Glenfarne”), to lead the development of the Alaska LNG Project and enter FEED for the Phase 1 Pipeline. Project activities are now funded and directed by this private sector partner who holds a 75% interest in 8 Star Alaska, LLC (8 Star). 8 Star holds the assets of the Alaska LNG Project. As planned, AGDC continues to hold 25% minority interest in 8 Star and will play a governance role moving forward with Alaska LNG. This definitive commercial agreement milestone led to the successful completion of AGDC’s Statement of Project Objectives (SOPO) for FEED entry and led to the completion of DOE Project No. DE-FE0032307. At conclusion of the SOPO, AGDC also reached the award’s maximum federal cost share of $\$$4,000,000. AGDC is, therefore, providing Final Technical Report to close out DOE Project No. DE-FE0032307.

02 PETROLEUM↗

Probing the evolution of fault properties during the seismic cycle with deep learning

We use seismic waves that pass through the hypocentral region of the 2016 M6.5 Norcia earthquake together with Deep Learning (DL) to distinguish between foreshocks, aftershocks and time-to-failure (TTF). Binary and N-class models defined by TTF correctly identify seismograms in test with > 90% accuracy. We use raw seismic records as input to a 7 layer CNN model to perform the classification. Here we show that DL models successfully distinguish seismic waves pre/post mainshock in accord with lab and theoretical expectations of progressive changes in crack density prior to abrupt change at failure and gradual postseismic recovery. Performance is lower for band-pass filtered seismograms (below 10 Hz) suggesting that DL models learn from the evolution of subtle changes in elastic wave attenuation. Tests to verify that our results indeed provide a proxy for fault properties included DL models trained with the wrong mainshock time and those using seismic waves far from the Norcia mainshock; both show degraded performance. Our results demonstrate that DL models have the potential to track the evolution of fault zone properties during the seismic cycle. If this result is generalizable it could improve earthquake early warning and seismic hazard analysis.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

WBS 4.1.2.31 Bioproduct Transition System Dynamics

Bioproducts are chemicals derived from a biomass feedstock; they can be produced on their own or as co-products of a biorefinery that also produces biofuels. Bioproducts have historically been difficult to scale up and bring to market, despite a broad understanding developed within BETO of the various conversion processes that can be used to produce bioproducts. Expanding the bioproducts industry by bringing more bioproducts to market would have a variety of positive impacts. Growth in the bioproducts industry would support the biofuels industry by enabling biorefinery co-products that yield additional revenue streams, allowing biofuel selling prices to be reduced and expanding the biofuels market. A larger bioproducts industry also has the potential to reduce carbon and other emissions associated with the U.S. chemical sector and contribute to increased price stability in some areas of the chemical market by shifting portions of the chemical sector away from reliance on fossil feedstocks. The key barrier to realizing these positive impacts is a lack of knowledge around the factors that prevent or enable bioproducts to reach the commercial market. To date, there has been essentially no research done on how successful bioproducts (commercially produced bioproducts that have captured market share) become successful, why failed bioproducts fail, and what the similarities and differences are between successful and failed bioproducts. The current project addresses this knowledge gap with a decision support tool that can be used by investors, technology developers and government agencies to bring more bioproducts to market, thereby simultaneously growing the bioproducts and biofuels industries. Development of the decision support tool was based on research on the technology development process and success rates in analogous industries, data gathered during previous BETO-funded projects, and a series of interviews with subject-matter experts within BETO, the bioproducts industry, and the investment community. This information formed a knowledge base around how bioproducts are developed from applied research to commercial scale was assembled, which was used to build the Bioproduct Transition Dynamics (BTD) model, a system dynamics (SD) model that tracks bioproduct development projects from applied research through the 'valley of death' of piloting and demoing to commercial scale production. The end-of-project goal is to release the BTD, along with supporting documentation, as a transparent open-source model that will inform decisions around bioproduct development and investments and enable more bioproducts to reach the market. The BTD takes as inputs techno-economic data on specific bioproducts, behavioral parameters for developers and investors, expectations around government support, and exogenous market factors. Model outputs include bioproduct technological progress over time, a cash flow statement for the development project, and market share estimates. Following initial model development, a sensitivity analysis was performed on a subset of model inputs to determine, first, if the BTD could be used to answer analysis questions of interest to BETO, and second, which of the inputs considered were most influential on bioproduct success. Results indicate that the BTD can be used to identify scenarios that enable bioproduct development, and that 'soft' or semi-quantitative factors play a large role in determining if a bioproduct will reach the market. A workshop was also held for subject-matter experts and prospective BTD users in July 2018. The workshop covered BTD model logic, input data and assumptions as well as the sensitivity analysis results and a discussion of potential use cases. Workshop feedback was used to identify additional model development tasks and was incorporated into a draft technical report completed in September 2018. BTD model development, validation and application will continue through 2019.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Bright x-rays reveal shifting deformation states and effects of the microstructure on the plastic deformation of crystalline materials

The plastic deformation of crystalline materials is usually modeled as smoothly progressing in space and time, yet modern studies show intermittency in the deformation dynamics of single-crystals arising from avalanche behavior of dislocation ensembles under uniform applied loads. However, once the prism of the microstructure in polycrystalline materials disperses and redistributes the load on a grain-by-grain basis, additional length and time scales are involved. Thus, the question is open as to how deformation intermittency manifests for the nonuniform grain-scale internal driving forces interacting with the finer-scale dislocation ensemble behavior. In this work we track the evolution of elastic strain within individual grains of a creep-loaded titanium alloy, revealing widely varying internal strains that fluctuate over time. Here, the findings provide direct evidence of how flow intermittency proceeds for an aggregate of ~700 grains while showing the influences of multiscale ensemble interactions and opening new avenues for advancing plasticity modeling.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Ground observations of a space laser for the assessment of its in-orbit performance

The wind mission Aeolus of the European Space Agency was a groundbreaking achievement for Earth observation. Between 2018 and 2023, the space-borne lidar instrument ALADIN onboard the Aeolus satellite measured atmospheric wind profiles with global coverage, which contributed to improving the accuracy of numerical weather prediction. The precision of the wind observations, however, declined over the course of the mission due to a progressive loss of the atmospheric backscatter signal. The analysis of the root cause was supported by the Pierre Auger Observatory in Argentina whose fluorescence detector registered the ultraviolet laser pulses emitted from the instrument in space, thereby offering an estimation of the laser energy at the exit of the instrument for several days in 2019, 2020, and 2021. The reconstruction of the laser beam not only allowed for an independent assessment of the Aeolus performance, but also helped to improve the accuracy in the determination of the laser beam’s ground track on single pulse level. The results presented in this paper set a precedent for the monitoring of space lasers by ground-based telescopes and open new possibilities for the calibration of cosmic-ray observatories.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

SDAV Viz July Progress Update: LANL

SDAV Viz July Progress Update: (1) VPIC (Vector Particle in Cell) Kinetic Plasma Simulation Code - (a) Implemented first version of an in-situ adapter based on Paraview CoProcessing Library, (b) Three pipelines: vtkDataSetMapper, vtkContourFilter, vtkPistonContour, (c) Next, resolve issue at boundaries of processor domains; add more advanced viz/analysis pipelines; (2) Halo finding/merger trees - (a) Summer student Wathsala W. from University of Utah is working on data-parallel halo finder algorithm using PISTON, (b) Timo Bremer (LLNL), Valerio Pascucci (Utah), George Zagaris (Kitware), and LANL people are interested in using merger trees for tracking the evolution of halos in cosmo simulations; discussed possible overlap with work by Salman Habib and Katrin Heitmann (Argonne) during their visit to LANL 7/11; (3) PISTON integration in ParaView - Now available from ParaView github.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Statistics of particle time-temperature histories: Progress report for August 2012

Progress toward predictions of the statistics of particle time-temperature histories is presented. The joint statistics of a scalar like the temperature and an exposure time scale are of interest. We have related these quantities to statistics of conserved scalars, their gradients and their diffusive time scales. Future work will apply the one-dimensional turbulence (ODT) model to evaluate the suitability of these statistics to predicting particle time-temperature histories. To that end, we have reported on past performance of the ODT model and have implemented a Lagrangian particle tracking capability into the ODT code. The results of ODT-driven particle dispersion have been compared with classical experimental data, and preliminary statistics of particle evolution in reacting flows are also reported.

Hewson, John C.↗

Parallel analysis tools and new visualization techniques for ultra-large climate data set

ParVis was a project funded under LAB 10-05: “Earth System Modeling: Advanced Scientific Visualization of Ultra-Large Climate Data Sets”. Argonne was the lead lab with partners at PNNL, SNL, NCAR and UC-Davis. This report covers progress from January 1st, 2013 through Dec 1st, 2014. Two previous reports covered the period from Summer, 2010, through September 2011 and October 2011 through December 2012, respectively. While the project was originally planned to end on April 30, 2013, personnel and priority changes allowed many of the institutions to continue work through FY14 using existing funds. A primary focus of ParVis was introducing parallelism to climate model analysis to greatly reduce the time-to-visualization for ultra-large climate data sets. Work in the first two years was conducted on two tracks with different time horizons: one track to provide immediate help to climate scientists already struggling to apply their analysis to existing large data sets and another focused on building a new data-parallel library and tool for climate analysis and visualization that will give the field a platform for performing analysis and visualization on ultra-large datasets for the foreseeable future. In the final 2 years of the project, we focused mostly on the new data-parallel library and associated tools for climate analysis and visualization.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Automated Progress Monitoring in Modular Construction Factories Using Computer Vision and Building Information Modeling

Modular construction methods have recently gained interest due to the advantages offered in terms of safety, quality, and productivity for projects. In this method, a significant portion of the construction is performed off-site in factories where modular components are built in different workstations, assembled on the production line, and shipped to the site for installation. Due to the labor-intensive nature of tasks, cycle times in modular construction factories are highly variable, which commonly leads to major bottlenecks and delays in construction projects. To remedy this effect, recent methods rely on sensors such as RFID to monitor the production process, which is reportedly expensive, and intrusive to the work process. Recently, computer vision-based methods have been proposed to track the production process in modular construction factories. However, these methods overlook monitoring the assembly process on the production line. Therefore, this paper presents a method to monitor the assembly process by integrating computer vision-based methods with Building Information Modeling (BIM). The proposed method detects the modular units using object segmentation; superimposes the installation area with the corresponding 2D region using BIM, and identifies the installation of the components using image processing techniques. The proposed method has been validated using surveillance videos captured from a modular construction factory in the US. Successful implementation of the proposed method can lead to timely identification of delays during the assembly process and reduce delays in modular integrated construction projects.

building information modeling↗

Tracking DO 2 with Compensatory Reserve during Whole Blood Resuscitation in Baboons

Background Hemorrhagic shock can be mitigated by timely and accurate resuscitation designed to restore adequate delivery of oxygen (DO 2 ) by increasing cardiac output (CO). However, standard care of using systolic blood pressure (SBP) as a guide for resuscitation has proven ineffective and can be associated with increased morbidity. We have developed a novel vital sign called the compensatory reserve (CRM) generated from analysis of arterial pulse waveform feature changes that has been validated in experimental and clinical models of hemorrhage. We tested the hypothesis that thresholds of DO 2 could be accurately defined by CRM while avoiding over resuscitation during whole blood resuscitation following a 25% hemorrhage in non‐human primates. Methods To accomplish this, adult male baboons (n=12) were exposed to a progressive controlled hemorrhage that resulted in an average (± SD) maximal reduction of 601 ± 18 ml of their estimated circulating blood volume of 1,262 ± 64 ml based on body weight. Values of DO 2 were calculated as the product of CO times O 2 carrying capacity of hemoglobin (i.e., Hb content × 1.34). Results Average (± SD) CRM increased from 6 ± 5 % at the end of hemorrhage to 70 ± 7 % at the end of resuscitation. DO 2 of 12.1, 10.3, and 7.0 ml O 2 ·kg −1 ·min −1 were calculated at 0% (baseline), 12.5% and 25% blood loss. By linear regression, CRM values of 6% (decompensation), 35%, and 68% corresponded to calculated DO 2 values of 6.0, 9.2, and 12.1 ml O 2 ·kg −1 ·min −1 during resuscitation. As such, return of CRM to baseline during resuscitation with only ~ 450 ml provided adequate DO 2 (12.5 ml O 2 ·kg −1 ·min −1 ) while total blood volume replacement (~600 ml) resulted in over resuscitation as indicated by an average increase in SBP (+17 mmHg) and CO (+0.1 L/min) over baseline values. Conclusion Consistent with our hypothesis, thresholds of DO 2 were associated with specific CRM values. A target resuscitation CRM value of 70% minimized the requirement for whole blood, while avoiding over resuscitation. Furthermore, CRM at 0% provided a noninvasive metric for determining critical DO 2 at approximately 5.4 ml O 2 ·kg −1 ·min −1 . Support or Funding Information This research was supported in part by appointment of Ms. Koons to the Postgraduate Research Fellowship Program at the US Army Institute of Surgical Research administered by the Oak Ridge Institute for Science and Education through an interagency agreement between the US Department of Energy and USAMRMC. Study funding was provided by a grant from the US Army Combat Casualty Care Research Program (D‐009‐2014‐USAISR). Linearregression of the relationship between DO 2 and compensatory reserve during whole blood resuscitation in baboons. Data are expressed as mean ± SE. image Linearregression of the relationship between DO 2 and compensatory reserve during whole blood resuscitation in baboons. Data are expressed as mean ± SE. This abstract is from the Experimental Biology 2019 Meeting. There is no full text article associated with this abstract published in The FASEB Journal .

Koons, Natalie Jane↗

Introduction to the Bioproduct Transition Dynamics Model

The U.S. Department of Energy, Bioenergy Technologies Office has a broad understanding of different conversion processes that produce bioproducts (chemicals derived from biomass feedstocks) and the market attributes of those processes. However, bioproducts have in many cases proven to be difficult to scale up to commercial production and bring to market, and there is currently a need for greater understanding around the possible successful scenarios for advancing the bioproducts industry. Insight into the myriad factors that impact the success of individual bioproducts and the growth of the bioproducts industry will enable bioproduct stakeholders to evaluate strategies for development and investment that could achieve the greatest impact. An understanding of these factors will also enable the identification of synergies between the bioproducts and biofuels industries that occur through shared learning and co-production. The Bioproduct Transition Dynamics (BTD) model explores questions such as the following: what are the factors that separate a successful, commercially produced bioproduct like succinic acid from one that never progresses beyond bench-scale lab research? Can these factors be influenced by stakeholders, and to what extent? The BTD model uses system dynamics to capture the impacts of investor decision-making, bioproduct techno-economics, and market factors during the early stages of bioproduct development. Key components of the BTD model include techno-economic benchmarks that inform the investor decision-making process, failures and setbacks in development and the resulting need for additional work, and the impacts of effective or ineffective management during each development stage. These factors and their interactions are tracked through bench-scale laboratory research, piloting, demoing, and the construction and operation of the first commercial-scale plant. Bioproduct development is linked to the biofuels industry through a shared-learning model, enabling the benefit to biofuels from bioproduct technology and feedstock supply chain development to be quantified. A wide variety of bioproducts can be analyzed using the BTD model, including bioproducts that have been developed through economic or policy-driven mechanisms, and those with either niche (low volume) or scalable (high volume) markets. The BTD model also has the potential to apply to technology development processes outside the bioproducts industry; background research performed for this project has shown that the early stages of technology development are similar, and impacted by similar factors, regardless of the exact industry. This presentation will cover the BTD model logic, input data, validation process, and results of a sensitivity analysis based on techno-economic data for succinic acid. The sensitivity analysis was performed to identify factors with the largest impact on the eventual success or failure of a bioproduct. Results indicate that management effectiveness, which affects how efficiently money spent is converted into technological advancements, is the single most important factor in determining whether a bioproduct reaches commercial-scale production. The capacity of the first commercial plant and the type of biomass feedstock used, as well as the presence of government support in the form of cost-sharing, were also identified as significant factors.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Visualizing the Three-Dimensional Arrangement of Hydrogen Atoms in Organic Molecules by Coulomb Explosion Imaging

Structure-sensitive methods based on femtosecond light or electron pulses are now making it possible to measure how molecular structures change during light-induced processes. Despite significant progress, high-fidelity imaging of nuclear positions remains a challenge even for relatively small molecular systems and, notably, regarding the positions of hydrogen atoms. As demonstrated in recent work, X-ray-induced Coulomb explosion imaging (CEI) may overcome this obstacle, as its sensitivity does not depend on the mass of the imaged atoms. The photoinduced ring opening of the heterocyclic molecule 2(5 H )-thiophenone has attracted recent interest. Here, in this work, we show that CEI offers a powerful route to imaging the peripheral H atoms in this molecule and thus, more generally, to tracking detailed nuclear motions (e.g., isomerizations) in organic molecules on ultrafast time scales. Specifically, we record momentum-space Coulomb explosion images that report on the three-dimensional positioning of all nuclei within the molecule, for instance, distinguishing H atoms in C–H bonds that lie within or are directed out of the plane defined by the heavy atoms. The prospect of imaging peripheral H atoms to probe photochemical dynamics is explored by coupling ab initio molecular dynamics with classical Coulomb explosion simulations, thereby differentiating potential photoproduct isomers, including those whose structures primarily differ in the position of the hydrogens.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Guidance and Recommendations for Streamlining Reporting for Federal Energy and Water Efficiency Projects

Federal agencies are required to report on their progress in meeting various energy and water management requirements. These reporting requirements encompass energy and water projects at federal facilities, including projects that are alternatively financed, e.g., conducted through energy savings performance contracts (ESPCs) or utility energy service contracts (UESCs). The purpose of this guidance is to provide recommendations to streamline federal agency reporting. The guidance recommends the use of eProject Builder (ePB), a project development and archiving tool for energy projects. ePB carries additional value in its simplification of federal agency reporting by dovetailing with the Federal Energy Management Program’s (FEMP’s) EISA 432 Compliance Tracking System (CTS).

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

A System Dynamics Model of Early-Stage Transition Dynamics in the Bioproducts Industry

The U.S. Department of Energy, Bioenergy Technologies Office has a broad understanding of different conversion processes that produce bioproducts (chemicals derived from biomass feedstocks) and the techno-economic attributes of those processes. However, bioproducts have in many cases proven to be difficult to scale up to commercial production, and there is currently a need for greater understanding around the possible successful scenarios for advancing the bioproducts industry. Insight into the myriad factors that impact the success of individual bioproducts and the growth of the bioproducts industry will enable bioproduct stakeholders to evaluate strategies for development and investment that could achieve the greatest impact. An understanding of these factors will also enable the identification of synergies between the bioproducts and biofuels industries that occur through shared learning and co-production. The Bioproduct Transition Dynamics (BTD) model explores questions such as the following: what are the factors that separate a successful, commercially produced bioproduct like succinic acid from one that never progresses beyond bench-scale lab research? Can these factors be influenced by stakeholders, and to what extent? The BTD model uses system dynamics to capture the impacts of investor decision-making, bioproduct techno-economics, and end use factors during the early stages of bioproduct development. Key components of the BTD model include techno-economic benchmarks that inform the investor decision-making process, failures and setbacks in development and the resulting need for additional work, and the impacts of effective or ineffective management during each development stage. These factors and their interactions are tracked through bench-scale laboratory research, piloting, demoing, and the construction and operation of the first commercial-scale plant. Bioproduct development is linked to the biofuels industry through a shared-learning model, enabling the benefit to biofuels from bioproduct technology and feedstock supply chain development to be quantified. A wide variety of bioproducts can be analyzed using the BTD model, including bioproducts that have been developed through economic or policy-driven mechanisms, and those with either niche (low volume) or scalable (high volume) demand. The BTD model also has the potential to apply to technology development processes outside the bioproducts industry; background research performed for this project has shown that the early stages of technology development are similar, and impacted by similar factors, regardless of the exact industry. This presentation will cover the BTD model logic, input data, validation process, and results of a sensitivity analysis based on techno-economic data for succinic acid. The sensitivity analysis was performed to identify factors with the largest impact on the eventual success or failure of a bioproduct. Results indicate that management effectiveness, which affects how efficiently money spent is converted into technological advancements, is the single most important factor in determining whether a bioproduct reaches commercial-scale production. The capacity of the first commercial plant and the type of biomass feedstock used, as well as the presence of government support in the form of cost-sharing, were also identified as significant factors.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Numerical Simulation of Carbon Dioxide Injection in the Western Section of the Farnsworth Unit

Numerical simulation is an invaluable analytical tool for scientists and engineers in making predictions about of the fate of carbon dioxide injected into deep geologic formations for long-term storage. Current numerical simulators for assessing storage in deep saline formations have capabilities for modeling strongly coupled processes involving multifluid flow, heat transfer, chemistry, and rock mechanics in geologic media. Except for moderate pressure conditions, numerical simulators for deep saline formations only require the tracking of two immiscible phases and a limited number of phase components, beyond those comprising the geochemical reactive system. The requirements for numerically simulating the utilization and storage of carbon dioxide in partially depleted petroleum reservoirs are more numerous than those for deep saline formations. The minimum number of immiscible phases increases to three, the number of phase components may easily increase fourfold, and the coupled processes of heat transfer, geochemistry, and geomechanics remain. Public and scientific confidence in the ability of numerical simulators used for carbon dioxide sequestration in deep saline formations has advanced via a natural progression of the simulators being proven against benchmark problems, code comparisons, laboratory-scale experiments, pilot-scale injections, and commercial-scale injections. This paper describes a new numerical simulator for the scientific investigation of carbon dioxide utilization and storage in partially depleted petroleum reservoirs, with an emphasis on its unique features for scientific investigations; and documents the numerical simulation of the utilization of carbon dioxide for enhanced oil recovery in the western section of the Farnsworth Unit and represents an early stage in the progression of numerical simulators for carbon utilization and storage in depleted oil reservoirs.

carbon sequestration↗

Lithium-Ion Battery Technologies for Electric Vehicles: Progress and challenges

Electric Vehicle (EV) sales and adoption have seen a significant growth in recent years, thanks to advancements and cost reduction in lithium-ion battery technology, attractive performance of EVs, governments' incentives, and the push to reduce greenhouse gases and pollutants. In this article, we will explore the progress in lithium-ion batteries and their future potential in terms of energy density, life, safety, and extreme fast charge. Here we will also discuss material sourcing, supply chain, and end-of-life-cycle management as they have become important considerations in the ecosystem of batteries for the sustained growth and adoption of EVs. With significant government and private sector investments in research and development, processing, and manufacturing and advances in anodes (lithium and silicon), cathodes (high nickel), designs, supply chain development, and the circularity of lithium-ion batteries, lithium-based batteries are on track to make EVs mainstream, addressing climate concerns of fossil-fueled vehicles.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗