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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2026

Data Analytics Methods to Measure Plant Outage Resilience

Every 18 or 24 months nuclear power plants (depending on plant configuration, pressurized or boiling water reactor respectively) undergo a period of outage where the plant is taken offline and a large number of maintenance and surveillance activities (that cannot be performed while plant is running) are performed in typically 2–3 weeks. Planning of a plant outage is very challenging since all the activities are required to be performed in the shortest amount of time given available resources (typically contractor crews hired for the duration of the outage). Consequently, plant outages can be costly due the actual loss of power generation and crew costs and, because of it, there is a need to maximize resource usage in the outage planning phase and reduce the risk of outage delays. This paper is addressing these needs by providing a set of analytical methods designed to analyze plant outage schedule and identify critical elements based on available resources (time and crews). These methods are based on natural language processing and optimization algorithms. In this respect, two classes of methods have been developed: one that focuses on the time resource and how variability in the time to complete outage tasks may impact outage delays, and one that minimizes the risk of outage delays by integrating available resources to assess when daily activities should be performed.

97 - MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2022

High-pressure CO 2 permeation properties and stability of ceramic-carbonate dual-phase membranes

CO 2 permeation properties and stability of ceramic-carbonate dual-phase membranes at high pressures/temperatures are critical to their CO 2 separation and membrane reactor applications, but such data are not available in the literature. Here, this work aims to study the effect of high transmembrane pressure on CO 2 permeation flux and the stability of molten carbonate in the dual-phase samarium-doped ceria (SDC) and molten-carbonate (MC) membranes. Dead-end porous SDC tubular supports were made by a cold isostatic press (CIP)/sintering method with a low porosity (below 7%), and gas-tight SDC-MC membranes were prepared by direct infiltration of molten lithium and sodium carbonate mixture into SDC pores, with a MC volume fraction less than 7%. CO 2 permeation/separation tests were performed on the SDC-MC membranes using feed gas of equal molar CO 2 /N 2 mixture at feed pressures up to 15 atm and sweep gas of helium at 1 atm. CO 2 permeation flux for the SDC-MC membranes depends logarithmically on feed/permeate CO 2 pressure ratio in 660–810°C. The temperature dependence of CO 2 permeation shows activation energy of 30 kJ/mol. Due to the small MC volume fraction and hence low effective carbonate conductivity, CO 2 permeation of the SDC-MC membranes is dominated by the carbonate ionic conduction in the MC phase. The SDC-MC membranes remain in the same structure, morphology, and gas-tightness after CO 2 separation tests at high feed pressures and temperatures, showing high stability of SDC-MC membranes for high-temperature, high-pressure separation and chemical reaction applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Arctic Impact Identification with Less Data Using Variable Relationships: An Exploratory Express LDRD project.

Regional impacts from sea ice loss can be challenging to separate from internal climate variability, potentially requiring thousands of ensemble members. East Asian wintertime cooling has been linked to sea ice loss from present day conditions in the Polar Amplification Model Intercomparison Project with these large ensemble counts. This cooling is theorized to arise from a strengthened Siberian High and East Asian Jet response. The strengthened Siberian High can be detected with one fifth the ensemble members needed for the East Asian wintertime cooling in a single model. We thus hypothesize that leveraging relationships between multiple variables in a conditional pathways-based approach would reduce the number of required ensemble members to conclusively attribute East Asian wintertime cooling to future sea ice concentrations. In all analyzed cases, confidence was increased when evaluating sea ice loss’s responsibility for the joint effects of East Asian cooling, East Asian Jet strengthening, and Siberian High strengthening over just East Asian cooling. However, we were not able to confidently attribute future East Asian wintertime cooling to sea ice loss in a single model. We found that significant intra-ensemble variability within single Earth System Models (ESMs) produced highly uncertain forcing response models upon which attribution results were undermined. We were able to show that ensemble mean seasonally averaged metrics from multiple ESMs greatly improved the accuracy of the forcing response linear models and exposed the necessity of all three steps in the pathway (sea ice area, Siberian High pressure, and East Asian Jet speed) for accurate prediction of East Asian wintertime cooling. Although all three steps were necessary, East Asian wintertime cooling possesses a large dependence on the Siberian High pressure, which weakens the confidence associated with overall strong joint-attribution comparing present day and future scenarios. We believe transitioning the pathway nodes to relative changes between the Siberian High and Aleutian Low as well as between the midlatitude westerlies and subtropical jet in the East Asianj Jet region may be able to produce significant attribution more fully dependent upon all three steps. Ultimately, this research demonstrates the simple extensibility of conditional pathways-based attribution to sea ice loss forcing on the Earth system.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

In situ effective pumping speed measurements as a tool for non-evaporable getter activation and saturation monitoring

We have developed method of in situ effective pumping speed measurements based on injecting finite gas pulse into a vacuum volume and subsequent recording of pressure response using a Residual Gas Analyzer (RGA). The pressure burst caused by injected gas pulse falls exponentially in time and the exponential coefficient of such pressure decay is proportional to total effective pumping speed of all vacuum pumps acting on vacuum chamber volume. The effective pumping speed can be extracted from the dependence of injected gas species pressure vs time recorded by an RGA. Non-Evaporable Getters (NEGs) are widely used in multiple ultra and extremely high vacuum devices and applications during the last several decades. Areas of NEG applications were recently expanded into vacuum devices with relatively high-pressure levels (up to 10 -7 Torr) by the invention of high capacity ZAO NEG which can be operated at elevated temperatures. The intrinsic property of all NEG-based vacuum pumps is the reduction of their pumping speed, called “NEG saturation”, after an extended period of operation. Typical time interval for such process can span from about a month and up to a few years depending on NEG type, vacuum level of NEG pump operation, and residual gas content. After that, the NEG pump will require a re-activation cycle to restore its pumping speed close to the initial value. For many applications it is difficult to realize what is the current pumping speed of NEG pump is and when the pump should be re-activated. A method for in situ effective pumping speed measurements developed in this study can be used as a tool for NEG-based pump activation and saturation monitoring. Application of such an approach to monitor pumping status of NEG pumps was utilized and will be continually used at Extended EBIS which was recently developed and commissioned for Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider (RHIC) and future Electron Ion Collider (EIC). The results obtained during commissioning are presented and discussed.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Temperature- and Rate-Dependent Pathways in Formation of Metastable Silicon Phases under Rapid Decompression

High-pressure metallic beta-Sn silicon (Si-II), depending on temperature, decompression rate, stress, etc., may transform to diverse metastable forms with promising semiconducting properties under decompression. However, the underlying mechanisms governing the different transformation paths are not well understood. Here, two distinctive pathways, viz., a thermally activated crystal-crystal transition and a mechanically driven amorphization, were characterized under rapid decompression of Si-II at various temperatures using in situ time-resolved x-ray diffraction. Under slow decompression, Si-II transforms to a crystalline bc8/r8 phase in the pressure range of 4.3-9.2 GPa through a thermally activated process where the overdepressurization and the onset transition strain are strongly dependent on decompression rate and temperature. In comparison, Si-II collapses structurally to an amorphous form at around 4.3 GPa when the volume expansion approaches a critical strain via rapid decompression beyond a threshold rate. The occurrence of the critical strain indicates a limit of the structural metastability of Si-II, which separates the thermally activated and mechanically driven transition processes. The results show the coupled effect of decompression rate, activation barrier, and thermal energy on the adopted transformation paths, providing atomistic insight into the competition between equilibrium and nonequilibrium pathways and the resulting metastable phases.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2022

Pressure-induced shift of effective Ce valence, Fermi energy and phase boundaries in CeOs 4 Sb 12

Abstract CeOs 4 Sb 12 , a member of the skutterudite family, has an unusual semimetallic low-temperature L -phase that inhabits a wedge-like area of the field H —temperature T phase diagram. We have conducted measurements of electrical transport and megahertz conductivity on CeOs 4 Sb 12 single crystals under pressures of up to 3 GPa and in high magnetic fields of up to 41 T to investigate the influence of pressure on the different H – T phase boundaries. While the high-temperature valence transition between the metallic H -phase and the L -phase is shifted to higher T by pressures of the order of 1 GPa, we observed only a marginal suppression of the S -phase that is found below 1 K for pressures of up to 1.91 GPa. High-field quantum oscillations have been observed for pressures up to 3.0 GPa and the Fermi surface of the high-field side of the H -phase is found to show a surprising decrease in size with increasing pressure, implying a change in electronic structure rather than a mere contraction of lattice parameters. We evaluate the field-dependence of the effective masses for different pressures and also reflect on the sample dependence of some of the properties of CeOs 4 Sb 12 which appears to be limited to the low-field region.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2021

Constraining the initial stages of ultrarelativistic nuclear collisions

It is frequently supposed that quark-gluon plasma created in heavy-ion collisions undergoes free streaming at early times. Here, we examine this issue based on the assumption that a universal attractor dominates the dynamics already at the earliest stages, which offers a way to connect the initial state with the start of the hydrodynamic expansion in an approximate but conceptually transparent fashion. We demonstrate that the centrality dependence of the measured particle multiplicities can be used to quantitatively constrain the pressure anisotropy and find that it strongly depends on the model of the initial energy deposition. As an illustration, we compare three initial state models and show that they predict rather different early-time values of the pressure anisotropy. This suggests that while assuming free streaming prior to hydrodynamization may be compatible with some initial state models, in general, features of the prehydrodynamic flow need to be matched with the model of the initial state.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Thermodynamic origin of the pressure-induced Invar effect: General criterion and experimental study of Fe 68 ⁢Pd 32

Synchrotron X-ray diffraction measurements were performed on 57 Fe 68 Pd 32 at multiple pressures and two temperatures in a diamond-anvil cell. Between 4 and 11GPa, the thermal expansion was zero or slightly negative. This pressure-induced Invar effect was studied further with 57 Fe nuclear forward scattering and nuclear resonant inelastic X-ray scattering to obtain information on the pressure-induced changes in both the magnetization and the phonon density of states. Magnetic entropy and phonon entropy were obtained from these results, the latter with additional measurements from inelastic neutron scattering to account for the contributions from Pd atoms. The dependencies of these entropies on pressure gave the magnetic and phonon contributions to thermal expansion. These canceled in the region of pressure-induced Invar behavior, even though they individually increased by more than a factor of 2 below the Curie pressure. The behavior of phonons gives evidence for spin-phonon interactions in Fe 68 Pd 32 . A general explanation of the pressure-induced Invar effect is presented, showing that Invar behavior is typically expected at a pressure P* below a magnetic transition at pressure PC. The difference in pressure P C − P* scales with the fractional reduction in magnetic exchange interaction divided by the average Gr¨uneisen parameter.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Laser-driven ramp-compression experiments on the national ignition facility

This report details the analyses and related uncertainties in measuring longitudinal-stress–density paths in indirect laser-driven ramp equation-of-state (EOS) experiments. Experiments were conducted at the National Ignition Facility (NIF) located at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory. The NIF can deliver up to 2 MJ of laser energy over 30 ns and provide the necessary laser power and control to ramp compress materials to TPa pressures (1 TPa = 10 × 10 6 atmospheres). These data provide low-temperature solid-state EOS data relevant to the extreme conditions found in the deep interiors of giant planets. In these experiments, multi-stepped samples with thicknesses in the range of 40–120 µm experience an initial shock compression followed by a time-dependent ramp compression to peak pressure. Interface velocity measurements from each thickness combine to place a constraint on the Lagrangian sound speed as a function of particle velocity, which in turn allows for the determination of a continuous stress–density path to high levels of compressibility. In this report, we present a detailed description of the experimental techniques and measurement uncertainties and describe how these uncertainties combine to place a final uncertainty in both stress and density. Here, we address the effects of time-dependent deformation and the sensitivity of ramp EOS techniques to the onset of phase transformations.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2026

Governing in Time: Temporal Capacity and the Feasibility of Energy Transitions

Energy systems function as both technological systems and temporal institutions that shape how societies coordinate, justify, and support collective choices over time. This paper introduces the concept of governance horizons to explain why energy transitions can remain morally supported yet become institutionally weak under increasing pressure. We argue that governability depends on institutions' capacity to synchronize across multiple timeframes - aligning short-term decisions with intermediate coordination and long-term commitments. When this synchronization fails, transitions struggle not because their goals are dismissed, but because governance lacks sufficient time to justify, coordinate, and uphold decisions. Comparative analysis of San Antonio, Texas, and Interior Alaska reveals how energy system pressures generate distinct temporal configurations: San Antonio exhibits governance horizon stretching, where institutions must simultaneously meet near-term reliability demands and long-term transformation goals, while Interior Alaska exhibits horizon compression, where extreme environmental constraints force decision-making into short stabilization cycles. In both contexts, public support for sustainability goals coexists with institutional strain because evaluative judgments are unevenly distributed over time. A temporal configuration analysis is introduced as a diagnostic analytic stance for identifying these patterns. By treating temporal alignment as an explanatory variable rather than a background condition, this approach clarifies how feasibility, sequencing, and legitimacy are shaped by constraints on institutional time. The analysis demonstrates that successful energy transitions depend not only on technological innovation or institutional support, but on governance systems’ ability to sustain credible coordination across multiple time horizons.

Comparative case study↗
DOE OSTI2026

Assessment of Vibration and Shock Loading Environments on Steels Used in Railroad Applications Considering Hydrogen Embrittlement

Studies that examine the combined effects of hydrogen and rail loading environments in the context of hydrogen embrittlement of steels have not been performed. Large-scale hydrogen storage requires either gaseous hydrogen stored in pressure vessels and tubing or liquid hydrogen in cryogenic, insulated tanks. Since the focus of this study is on steels, we examine the influence of hydrogen on stainless steel used for high pressure tubing and cryogenic tanks and Cr-Mo steel liners used in gaseous pressure vessels. Literature studies show that despite hydrogen degradation, these steels can be used effectively and safely if the stresses are managed. The shock and vibration environment on railcars present unique environments where stresses and loading rates can be high. A literature review was conducted to understand the accelerations experienced in rail by examining instrumented railcars of nuclear fuel casks. Hydrogen studies were examined that focused on steel pressure hardware with an emphasis on fatigue, fast loading rates, and low temperatures. A simplified fatigue assessment was performed to examine design cycles for three different hydrogen components: stainless steel tubing, stainless steel cryogenic tanks, and gaseous pressure vessels. The assessments were idealized and used bounding cases of accelerations in both normal rail conditions and coupling events. In normal shock and vibration environments when accelerations were less than 2 g, infinite design life was calculated. In extreme shock or coupling environments, finite design life was calculated which was shown to be dependent on unsupported lengths of pressure components. It was shown that adjusting the unsupported length can reduce the bending stress thereby increasing design life.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Aldol Condensation and Esterification over Ti-Substituted *BEA Zeolite: Mechanisms and Effects of Pore Hydrophobicity

Aldol condensation and esterification reactions provide paths to upgrade ethanol and acetaldehyde to higher- value molecules useful as fuels or intermediates for the synthesis of polymers. Transition-metal-substituted BEA zeolites (M-BEA) catalyze these reactions; however, the mechanisms for these processes in M-BEA and the effects of incidental or purposefully included silanol groups are not reported. Here, we combine kinetic and spectroscopic measurements obtained during catalytic reactions of acetaldehyde (CH 3 CHO), ethanol (C 2 H 5 OH), and hydrogen (H 2 ) mixtures over a series of Ti-BEA catalysts that possess a known range of silanol group densities to examine the kinetic relevance of intervening steps and the impact of silanol groups on catalytic rates. Across all Ti-BEA, rates for aldol condensation and esterification increase with the pressure of CH 3 CHO; however, C 2 H 5 OH and H 2 O weakly inhibit the rates of these reactions. The substitution of CD 3 CDO for CH 3 CHO decreases aldol condensation rates slightly (~10%) but leads to greater esterification rates (2- to 5-fold). The kinetic isotope effects together with the measured dependence of rates on reactant pressures suggest that aldol condensation and esterification occur on unoccupied Ti sites and involve multiple kinetically relevant steps. CH 3 CHO deprotonates irreversibly, and the kinetically relevant nucleophilic attack of the enolate to CH 3 CHO* (i.e., adsorbed CH 3 CHO on Ti sites) leads to aldol products, while the nucleophilic attack of the enolate to C 2 H 5 OH* gives esters. Selectivities toward aldol condensation increase with the ratio of CH 3 CHO to C 2 H 5 OH pressure and with increases in the silanol density of the as-synthesized Ti-BEA. During catalysis, in situ infrared spectroscopy demonstrates that these silanol groups react with C 2 H 5 OH to form ethoxysilane groups (i.e., SiOC 2 H 5 ) that modify the polarity of the environment near Ti active sites. As initial silanol densities increase, steady-state turnover rates for aldol condensation and esterification increase by factors of 5 and 2, respectively. The changes in rates and selectivities among Ti-BEA catalysts likely reflect changes in excess free energies of transition states for enolization and nucleophilic attack of the enolate to adsorbed coreactants. The differences in excess stability report on the interactions among reactive intermediates at framework Ti atoms and the ethoxysilane and remaining silanol groups present. Furthermore, the in situ modification of these pore environments confers changes in the stability of reactive species in a manner that contradicts intuition when considering the initial state of the catalyst but can be reconciled after accounting for the formation of persistent alkoxy surface moieties in the pores.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

Flow Boiling Pressure Drop Characteristics of Next-generation Refrigerants in a Micro‑fin Copper Tube

This paper presents experimental frictional pressure-drop data for flow boiling of R-410A, R-134a, and next-generation alternatives R-454C, R-455A, R-1234yf, and R-1234ze(E) in a horizontal micro-fin copper tube. Tests were conducted over a range of mass fluxes and evaporation temperatures to characterize refrigerant-dependent two-phase pressure-drop behavior. The results show that frictional pressure gradient increased with mass flux and vapor quality and generally increased as evaporation temperature decreased, with liquid viscosity strongly affecting the observed trends. Among the evaluated correlations, the Goto et al. (2001) model gave the best overall agreement with the measurements before optimization. Further optimization of the Kuo and Wang (1996) and Goto et al. (2001) models reduced the overall mean absolute deviation to below 15%, with the optimized Goto (2001) model providing the most consistent predictions across all six refrigerants. The results support improved pressure-drop prediction and evaporator design for next-generation refrigerants in micro-fin tubes.

Hu, Yifeng [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000242875185)↗
DOE OSTI2022

Engineering Interlayer Electron–Phonon Coupling in WS 2 /BN Heterostructures

In van der Waals (vdW) heterostructures, the interlayer electron–phonon coupling (EPC) provides one unique channel to nonlocally engineer these elementary particles. However, limited by the stringent occurrence conditions, the efficient engineering of interlayer EPC remains elusive. Here we report a multitier engineering of interlayer EPC in WS2/boron nitride (BN) heterostructures, including isotope enrichments of BN substrates, temperature, and high-pressure tuning. The hyperfine isotope dependence of Raman intensities was unambiguously revealed. In combination with theoretical calculations, we anticipate that WS2/BN supercells could induce Brillouin-zone-folded phonons that contribute to the interlayer coupling, leading to a complex nature of broad Raman peaks. We further demonstrate the significance of a previously unexplored parameter, the interlayer spacing. By varying the temperature and high pressure, we effectively manipulated the strengths of EPC with on/off capabilities, indicating critical thresholds of the layer–layer spacing for activating and strengthening interlayer EPC. Our findings provide new opportunities to engineer vdW heterostructures with controlled interlayer coupling.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Equation of state for He bubbles in W and model of He bubble growth and bursting near W{100} surfaces derived from molecular dynamics simulations

Abstract Molecular dynamics (MD) simulations are performed to derive an equation of state (EOS) for helium (He) bubbles in tungsten (W) and to study the growth of He bubbles under a W(100) surface until they burst. We study the growth as a function of the initial nucleation depth of the bubbles. During growth, successive loop-punching events are observed, accompanied by shifts in the depth of the bubble towards the surface. Subsequently, the MD data are used to derive models that describe the conditions that cause the loop punching and bursting events. Simulations have been performed at 500, 933, 1500, 2000, and 2500 K to fit the parameters in the models. To compute the pressure in the bubble at the loop punching and bursting events from the models, we derive an EOS for He bubbles in tungsten with an accompanying volume model to compute the bubble volume for a given number of vacancies ( $$N_\text {V}$$ N V ), He atoms ( $$N_\text {He}$$ N He ), and temperature ( T ). To derive the bubble EOS, we firstly derive the EOS for a free He gas. The derived free-gas EOS can accurately predict all MD data included in the analysis (which span up to 54 GPa at 2500 K). Subsequently, the bubble EOS is derived based on the free-gas EOS by correcting the gas density to account for the interaction between He and W atoms. The EOS for the bubbles is fitted to data from MD simulations of He bubbles in bulk W that span a wide range of gas density and sizes up to about 3 nm in diameter. The pressure of subsurface bubbles at the loop punching events as calculated using the bubble-EOS and the volume model agrees well with the pressure obtained directly from the MD simulations. In the loop punching model, for bubbles consisting of $$N_\text {V}$$ N V vacancies and $$N_\text {He}$$ N He helium atoms, the $$N_\text {He}/N_\text {V}$$ N He / N V ratio that causes the event, the resulting increase in $$N_\text {V}$$ N V , and the associated shift of the bubble depth are formulated as a function of $$N_\text {V}$$ N V and T . In the bursting model, a bubble must simultaneously reach a certain depth and $$N_\text {He}/N_\text {V}$$ N He / N V ratio in order to burst. The burst depth and $$N_\text {He}/N_\text {V}$$ N He / N V are also modeled as a function of $$N_\text {V}$$ N V and T . The majority of the loop punching events occur at bubble pressures between 20 and 60 GPa, depending on the bubble size and temperature. The larger the bubble and the higher the temperature, the lower the bubble pressure. Furthermore, our results indicate that at a higher temperature, a bubble can burst from a deeper region.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Coupled confined phase behavior and transport of methane in slit nanopores

The proximity of the order of magnitude molecular mean free path and pore sizes in nanopores leads to remarkable interactions between molecules and walls. In such systems, the thermodynamic property and the transport behavior of fluids deviate from those at bulk conditions. Molecular dynamics (MD) simulation may be used to investigate the effects of confinement on fluid physics in nanosize pores. However, translating these subscale observations into a larger scale of interest remains a challenging task. In this work, we propose a modified extension of Peng-Robinson equation of state (PR-EOS) motivated and guided by MD simulation results. The shift of critical properties, i.e., pressure and temperature, are evaluated independently. A temperature dependent parameter is introduced to account for the existence of capillary pressure in the two-phase region. Here, this formulation is capable of capturing the shift in critical properties as well as density phase diagrams under various confinement scenarios. We incorporate the proposed EOS in the lattice Boltzmann method (LBM) to study coupled confined phase behavior and transport of methane in nano-size slit pores. Adsorptive strength is determined such that the resulting density ratio matches that from MD simulation. Results indicate that the use of the proposed EOS leads to smaller fluid velocities compared to PR-EOS. This effect is due to stronger interactions between fluid particles under confinement. Also, results show that transport characteristics are impacted by the pressure of the system: in systems with a relatively low pressure, transport seems to be dominated by Knudsen diffusion; however, at a higher pressure, the contribution from viscous flow increases as the pore widens while the influence of Knudsen and surface diffusion diminishes.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

The updated ITPA global H-mode confinement database: description and analysis

The multi-machine ITPA Global H-mode Confinement Database has been upgraded with new data from JET with the ITER-like wall and ASDEX Upgrade with the full tungsten wall. This paper describes the new database and presents results of regression analysis to estimate the global energy confinement scaling in H-mode plasmas using a standard power law. Various subsets of the database are considered, focusing on type of wall and divertor materials, confinement regime (all H-modes, ELMy H or ELM-free) and ITER-like constraints. Apart from ordinary least squares, two other, robust regression techniques are applied, which take into account uncertainty on all variables. Regression on data from individual devices shows that, generally, the confinement dependence on density and the power degradation are weakest in the fully metallic devices. Using the multi-machine scalings, predictions are made of the confinement time in a standard ELMy H-mode scenario in ITER. The uncertainty on the scaling parameters is discussed with a view to practically useful error bars on the parameters and predictions. One of the derived scalings for ELMy H-modes on an ITER-like subset is studied in particular and compared to the IPB98(y,2) confinement scaling in engineering and dimensionless form. Transformation of this new scaling from engineering variables to dimensionless quantities is shown to result in large error bars on the dimensionless scaling. Regression analysis in the space of dimensionless variables is therefore proposed as an alternative, yielding acceptable estimates for the dimensionless scaling. The new scaling, which is dimensionally correct within the uncertainties, suggests that some dependencies of confinement in the multi- machine database can be reconciled with parameter scans in individual devices. This includes vanishingly small dependence of confinement on line-averaged density and normalized plasma pressure (β), as well as a noticeable, positive dependence on effective atomic mass and plasma triangularity. Extrapolation of this scaling to ITER yields a somewhat lower confinement time compared to the IPB98(y, 2) prediction, possibly related to the considerably weaker dependence on major radius in the new scaling (slightly above linear). Further studies are needed to compare more flexible regression models with the power law used here. In addition, data from more devices concerning possible ‘hidden variables’ could help to determine their influence on confinement, while adding data in sparsely populated areas of the parameter space may contribute to further disentangling some of the global confinement dependencies in tokamak plasmas.

Database↗
DOE OSTI2024

Utilizing waste heat in wastewater treatment plants for water desalination: Modeling and Multi-Objective optimization of a Multi-Effect desalination system using Decision Tree Regression and Pelican optimization algorithm

This paper examines the feasibility of using waste heat from wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) for water desalination. A model was developed to utilize waste heat from the gensets at As Samra WWTP in Jordan, using real data and TRNSYS® software to calculate available waste heat. The desalination process was then modeled with ASPEN PLUS® software, focusing on multi-effect desalination (MED). Both series and parallel configurations for the MED system were compared. The study investigated the effects of system feeding flow rate, feeding pressure, and heat input on productivity, performance ratio, and recovery ratio. The study also introduces a novel optimization technique combining machine learning and modern optimization algorithms to maximize system productivity and performance. Initially, a decision tree regression (DTR) model is developed to establish relationships between key independent variables (flow rate, feed pressure, and heat input) and dependent variables (productivity, performance ratio, and recovery ratio). The Pelican Optimization Algorithm (POA) is then used to identify the optimal values of the independent variables for maximum productivity and performance. The results show that using a series configuration yields a system productivity of 3984.2 kg/hr, a performance ratio of 3.78, and a recovery ratio of 0.991 at a feed flow rate of 4000 kg/hr, feed pressure of 3 bars, and heat input of 719 kW. Optimal productivity (4421 kg/hr), performance ratio (3.81), and recovery ratio (0.851) are achieved at a feed flow rate of 5166 kg/hr, feed pressure of 3.2 bars, and heat input of 794 kW. In conclusion, the techno-economic assessment indicates a levelized cost of water of 1.63 USD/m 3 for parallel configurations and 1.65 USD/m 3 for series configurations, with a payback period of less than two years.

42 ENGINEERING↗