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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 55 records · Page 3

Benefits and Challenges of California Offshore Wind Electricity: An Updated Assessment

Offshore wind (OSW) technology has recently been included in California’s plans to achieve 100% carbon-free electricity by 2045. As an emerging technology, many features of OSW are changing more rapidly than established renewable options and are shaped by local circumstances in unique ways that limit transferrable experiences globally. This paper fills a gap in the literature by providing an updated technological assessment of OSW in California to determine its viability and competitiveness in the state’s electricity generation mix to achieve its near-term energy and environmental goals. Through a critical synthesis and extrapolation of technical, social, and economic analyses, we identify several major improvements in its potential. First, we note that while estimates of OSW’s costs per MWh of installed capacity have generally documented and projected a long-term decline, recent technical, microeconomic, and macroeconomic factors have caused significant backsliding of this momentum. Second, we project that the potential dollar value benefits of OSW’s greenhouse gas reduction capabilities have increased by one to two orders of magnitude, primarily due to major upward revisions of the social cost of carbon. Several co-benefits, including enhanced reliability, economic growth, and environmental justice, look to be increasingly promising due to a combination of technological advances and policy initiatives. Despite these advancements, OSW continues to face several engineering and broader challenges. We assess the current status of these challenges, as well as current and future strategies to address them. We conclude that OSW is now overall an even more attractive electricity-generating option than at the beginning of this decade.

Rose, Adam (ORCID:0000000333477684)↗

Antarctic Meltwater Accelerates Southern Ocean Evolution Under Projected Atmospheric Warming

Increasing basal meltwater from Antarctic ice shelves may impact the Southern Ocean properties that feed back on the rate of melting. We investigate this feedback in a high‐emissions scenario using an Earth‐system model with interactive ice‐shelf basal melting, an improvement on previous studies that did not have the capability to evolve melt rates and the ocean state self‐consistently. We find that when interactive melt increases, it primarily accelerates the evolution of a spatial pattern of continental shelf warming and cooling that is initiated by freshening and sea‐ice formation decline due to projected atmospheric warming. The competition between enhanced warming at depth from reduced ventilation and enhanced continental shelf cooling from reduced dense water export leads to net ~35% reduction in ice‐shelf meltwater input into the Southern Ocean over the 21st century. Omitting this feedback introduces a bias in the timing of projected ocean‐melt‐driven ice loss from Antarctica.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

The GREEN ‘omics of Nutrient Feedbacks to Soil Warming

The GREEN ‘omics of Nutrient Feedbacks in Soil project advanced the DOE Biological and Environmental Research (BER) mission by developing and applying isotope-enabled ’omics tools to understand how soil microbes regulate carbon and nutrient cycling. Guided by the Growth Rate, growth Efficiency, and stoichiometry of Essential Nutrients (GREEN ’omics) framework, the project aimed to build a predictive, systems-level understanding of microbial traits that control ecosystem biogeochemistry. In a collaboration among Northern Arizona University (lead), West Virginia University, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, and Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, we combined quantitative stable isotope probing (qSIP), Chip-SIP, NanoSIMS, and genome-resolved metagenomics across long-term experiments in Arctic, boreal, temperate, and tropical ecosystems. The project produced three key outcomes: 1) We showed that community-weighted temperature sensitivities of bacterial growth (Q10) can predict ecosystem-scale soil respiration responses across diverse soils. 2) We provided the first in situ evidence for density-dependent population dynamics in soil bacteria and demonstrated that nutrient additions intensify competition, concentrating carbon use into fewer taxa. 3) We improved and extended isotope-enabled ’omics methods by quantifying qSIP measurement error to guide experimental design and coupling SIP with genome-resolved metagenomics to reveal cross-kingdom interactions among bacteria, fungi, and viruses. Together, these results show that a small number of microbial traits and taxa exert disproportionate control over soil carbon and nutrient cycling, providing critical data and methods to improve representation of microbial processes in Earth system models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Transformative Efficiency and Automation in Modular Homes (TEAMH)

This report documents the Transformative Efficiency and Automation in Modular Homes (TEAMH) project, which evaluates the integration of advanced building envelope technologies and automation-assisted modular construction to improve residential energy performance and construction efficiency. The study investigates high-performance insulation systems, including vacuum insulation panels (VIPs), combined with light gauge steel (LGS) modular construction and factory automation. Laboratory testing, whole-building energy modeling across multiple climate zones, and factory demonstrations were conducted to assess thermal performance, energy savings, and production efficiency. Results indicate that upgraded envelope assemblies can achieve up to ~50% heating and ~34% cooling energy savings relative to IECC 2018 code-compliant homes, while automation-assisted construction can reduce wall assembly time by 24%–46% compared to conventional wood framing. The findings demonstrate the potential for scalable, high-performance modular homes that deliver significant energy savings with competitive projected costs.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Improving the Cost-Effectiveness of Algal CO2 Utilization by Synergistic Integration With Power Plant and Wastewater Treatment Operations

Creating an economic demand for carbon utilization products will require lowering the overall cost of the products to compete within the current market. Photosynthetic uptake of carbon dioxide is an emerging pathway for product development in the animal feed market that globally amounts to over 400 Billion USD and is expected to continue growing. This project aims to continue the development of a process that utilizes carbon dioxide while increasing the cost competitiveness of algae as an animal feed product. The overall goal of the project is to demonstrate an engineering-scale open raceway pond algae cultivation system (180 m2) including integration of technologies that utilize coal-fired power plant CO2 and wastewater nutrient inputs. The system is designed to maximize the cost-effectiveness and environmental benefits of algal biomass production for commodity animal feed.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

Policy Reforms to Unleash Domestic Critical Minerals Mining and Processing

The United States faces growing strategic and economic risks due to its limited ability to mine, process, and refine the minerals required for national defense, energy systems, advanced manufacturing, and emerging technologies. Although the country possesses significant geological resources, development has been slowed by long and unpredictable permitting timelines, fragmented regulatory responsibilities, limited midstream processing capacity, and a shrinking technical workforce. These structural barriers have created supply chain vulnerabilities that constrain industrial growth and reduce national resilience. This report presents a comprehensive set of reforms intended to modernize the nation’s approach to critical minerals. The recommendations address federal permitting, environmental review processes, the legal framework governing mining activities, interagency coordination, domestic processing and refining capacity, and the education and workforce systems needed to support long term industry development. The analysis emphasizes practical steps to shorten project timelines, improve regulatory clarity, expand processing infrastructure, enable recovery from both conventional and nontraditional sources, and update outdated requirements that hinder the development of essential materials. Taken together, the recommended reforms would strengthen domestic supply chains, improve investment certainty, and reduce dependence on external minerals and processing infrastructure. By aligning policy, regulatory frameworks, and workforce capabilities with national needs, the United States can build a more resilient and secure critical minerals ecosystem that supports long term economic competitiveness and technological leadership.

29 - ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY AND ECONOMY↗

EXERGETIC: De-Risking Next-Generation Resilient Geothermal Hybrids via At-Scale Evaluation Using Virtual Emulation Digital Twin Environment for Efficient Operation

The DOE-GTO-funded project, award number 5.1.2.12, entitled "EXERGETIC - De-risking Next Generation Resilient Geothermal Hybrids via at-Scale Evaluation Using a Virtual Emulation Digital Twin Environment for Efficient Operation," advances the solution to these challenges by developing and validating a geothermal co-emulation environment implemented at the National Laboratory of the Rockies (NLR)'s Advanced Research on Integrated Energy Systems (ARIES) platform. This framework enables the de-risking of next-generation geothermal and geothermal hybrid systems through high-fidelity modeling, real-time digital emulation, advanced control strategies, and techno-economic assessment. The project focused on geothermal hybrid configurations that integrate geothermal power plants with concentrated solar power and underground thermal energy storage, enabling enhanced efficiency, flexibility, and grid support capabilities. The main goal of this project was the development of a geothermal digital co-emulation environment to demonstrate the technical and economic value of geothermal hybrid systems and their contribution to grid stability and flexibility. The EXERGETIC framework combined physics-based models, controls, and real assets at ARIES, including digital real-time simulators (DRTS), a 20-MW-scale controllable grid interface (CGI), and a 2-MW conventional generator. Detailed transient models were developed for the key subsystems of a hybrid geothermal plant, including parabolic trough solar collectors, reservoir thermal energy storage (RTES), and a binary Organic Rankine Cycle (ORC) power plant. The ORC model explicitly captured thermal inertia and off-design operation and integrated control strategies to dynamically respond to electric load profiles. The models were validated against published experimental and numerical studies, demonstrating strong agreement and confirming the accuracy and robustness of the modeling approach. The resulting digital twin represents geothermal-solar-storage systems at multiple scales (1 MW to 100 MW) and enables realistic emulation of grid-connected operation. The control architecture allows the geothermal resource to provide stable baseload generation, while solar and stored thermal energy supply flexible, dispatchable support during periods of high demand or variable grid conditions. A key contribution of the EXERGETIC project is the demonstration that geothermal hybrid systems can be designed to be active grid assets rather than passive baseload generators. Using the ARIES platform, the digital twin was evaluated under multiple grid scenarios, including load following, voltage support at the distribution level, and frequency response at the transmission level. Results show that hybrid geothermal systems can respond effectively to dynamic grid conditions, providing inertia-like behavior, primary frequency support, and voltage regulation through coordinated control. In addition to the performance and grid services capability analysis of geothermal and hybrid geothermal systems, the EXERGETIC project also focused on scalability and techno-economic analysis of geothermal hybrid plants. In particular, for the scalability analysis, machine-learning (ML)-based surrogate models were trained using data generated from the geothermal digital twin under different grid-connected scenarios and plant capacities. These ML models demonstrated strong interpolation and extrapolation capabilities across plant sizes, accurately reproducing both steady-state and transient responses with very low errors. Regarding the techno-economic analysis, plant performance results were integrated with cost models for hybrid geothermal systems, and the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) was used as the main economic metric to evaluate system performance across a range of system capacities, solar shares, solar multiples, and storage durations. Results indicate that economies of scale significantly reduce geothermal LCOE as plant capacity increases, with large-scale systems (25-100 MW) achieving substantially lower costs than small plants. Hybridization with solar thermal energy and storage further improves economic performance by increasing capacity utilization and enabling flexible dispatch. In addition, thermal storage plays a critical role in reducing LCOE by maximizing geothermal, solar, and stored energy resources. In summary, the results from this project demonstrate that geothermal hybrid systems represent a promising alternative for increasing the energy conversion efficiency of geothermal technologies, contributing to the preservation of geothermal resources, and supporting the transition of geothermal plants from traditional baseload resources into flexible, resilient, and cost-competitive energy conversion technologies.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Marine Algae Industrialization Consortium (MAGIC): Combining biofuel and high-value bioproducts to meet the RFS

The Marine Algae Industrialization Consortium (MAGIC) was formed to address pressing challenges in the commercialization of microalgae as a source of biofuel. The “Marine Algae Industrialization Consortium (MAGIC): Combining biofuel and high-value bioproducts to meet the RFS” project formally addressed two US Department of Energy Bioenergy Technologies Office (BETO) goals: (1) Model the sustainable supply of 1 million metric tonnes ash free dry weight (AFDW) cultivated algal biomass and (2) Demonstrate valuable co-products produced along with biofuel intermediates to increase value of algal biomass by 30%. To achieve these goals, the project demonstrated and validated high-value co-products to drive down the cost of biofuel by increasing the value of algae “co-products” towards increasing the selling price of total algae biomass as one of the key drivers of economics and adoption. This was accomplished through five core, interdependent tasks including: (1) strain selection to identify and deliver strains for mass culture, (2) mass culture using a hybrid cultivation system and following key operating parameters for downstream applications to provide algae feedstock, (3) recovery and conversion to evaluate two alternative methods to separate dry algae biomass into oil and residuals for downstream testing, (4) product assessment to determine biofuel, aquafeed or poultry feed product efficacy using algae biomass fractions as well as to provide critical performance data for valuation and (5) commercialization to use technoeconomic and life cycle assessments (TEA/LCA) as iterative design and assessment tools including consideration of target markets, competitors, and distribution channels to guide product assessment, development and valuation. A total of 46 peer-review publications, many open-access, provide detail of much of the work carried out and the results of the tasks. Additional reports and presentations provide other technical and public engagement material. At a high level, using a variety of approaches, more than 1000 marine microalgae strains were evaluated to ultimately identify the seven winners that were down-selected to be grown in mass culture. Strain selection demonstrated that there were no ‘super strains’ and that each candidate had strengths and limitations for specific products, growth conditions or operational considerations. Mass culture growth of these seven strains at >5000 L / 29 m 2 scale found that four them were suitable for product assessment. More than 250 kg of biomass was produced across hundreds of pond runs along with thousands of cultivation entries on the growth and biomass characteristics as well as environmental parameters. In the process, dozens of standard operating procedures were generated as was custom software to process and analyze cultivation data. Recovery and conversion of algae biomass demonstrated that a hexane solvent based extraction protocol was most effective at recovering oil (biocrude) from algae and four strains were processed to produce oil and lipid extracted algae (residuals) for downstream testing. Membrane-based oil separation was less successful, but may still be applicable to other commercial applications in the future. Product testing demonstrated that algae biocrude is of high quality and hydrotreating generated numerous fractions of high quality composition for fuel and lubricate based applications. Aquafeed studies performed at a variety of scales showed that both whole and defatted (lipid extracted algae) microalgae were suitable as a feed ingredient, but that the specifics of the fed animal and biochemical composition of the algae are critical factors when determining formulation. Similarly, poultry studies on whole and defatted microalgae generally showed positive outcomes on animal growth and health, with some microalgae providing enhanced nutritional composition of the animal product. Economic and life cycle assessments covered a wide range of possible commercialization and sustainability scenarios. Replacement value, improved product value added, consumer values marketing added valuation and improved animal health were considered as alternatives for microalgae valuation. Using the open pond system, algae productivity was identified as the key driver of commercialization economics, but combination of co-products (e.g. animal feed) with biofuel production substantially increased the total selling price of algae. Modeled microalgae selling price exceeded $\$$1500/tonne and could generate competitive biofuel selling prices below $\$$5 gallon gas equivalents using realistic algal productivities. Short (process scale) and longer (decadal trends) sustainability assessments show that marine microalgae can enhance the sustainability of energy production and lead to other realized benefits in water, fertilizer and land use for other sectors (e.g. agriculture). This project successfully demonstrated all of the components of an end-to-end process from mass microalgae cultivation and dewatering, to recovery and conversion of algae biomass components, to final product demonstration and process valuation; the combined results provide a framework for future commercialization of algae based biofuels.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

CdTe Core: Final Technical Report (FTR)

CdTe is presently the cost-leading thin-film PV technology, directly competing with Si at scale, even when domestically manufactured. While an impressive technology, its efficiency remains much below the detailed balance limit with the largest cause due to its low photovoltage and fill factor. To realize gains, the carrier concentration, minority carrier lifetime, and interface recombination all need to be improved simultaneously over historic levels. Using a new defect chemistry (group V doping instead of copper) has been identified as a viable route using single crystal systems. This project focused on implementing this new defect chemistry in scalable, polycrystalline thin-film photovoltaic CdTe devices with tasks focusing improvements to the front interface, absorber, and rear interface as well as capability development & stakeholder engagement. The goal of the project was to establish a strategy using devices, test structures, detailed characterization, and modeling to quantify the sources of losses in state-of-the-art CdTe photovoltaic devices. Using this strategy and advanced synthesis, losses at the front interface, absorber, and rear interface were worked on in parallel. The final objective was to significantly improve the voltage deficit in CdTe devices to enable improvements in photovoltage and efficiency that can be implemented by industry in the near-term. Over the course of the project, the team developed new characterization techniques, analysis, and modeling which were then applied to state-of-the-art materials generated internally and collaboratively. In particular to enable rapid progress, NREL worked closely with First Solar where NREL grew complete devices as well as ones that interleaved process steps where First Solar had completed different steps such as absorber growth or absorber growth and activation using their baseline methods. Using detailed characterization and analysis including photoemission, photoluminescence, and scanning probe techniques enabled understanding of the loss pathways and area for improvements in our own and First Solar s materials. Ultimately, this contributed to the first series of new world record CdTe efficiencies since 2016, culminating in a 23.1% certified cell that was P-doped along with As-doped cells of similar performance. Internally, NREL improved the statistical variation in baseline As-doped devices and improved average photovoltage by over 100 mV. This was done through an improvement in absorber quality, changed front interface, and improved back contact. In addition to materially improving the fabrication processes at NREL, characterization, analysis, and modeling were developed and disseminated. NREL also played a pivotal role in community building over the course of this project working closely with the Cadmium Telluride Accelerator Consortium. NREL worked in a series of collaborations with academic and industry partners, leveraging knowledge and innovations from this project, as well as helped organize a series of workshops to ensure rapid progress in the field. Working closely with the academic community has led to a dissemination of knowledge; working with First Solar as increased US competitiveness First Solar expanded domestic production to ~10 GW and opened new facilities.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Hydrophobic Carbon Nanosheets as Passivation Layer for Perovskite Solar Cells with High Efficiency and Stability (Final Technical Report)

Hybrid organic-inorganic metal halide perovskites have continually demonstrated competitive advantages for photovoltaic applications due to their high light absorption coefficient, tunable bandgaps, ambipolar charge mobility and high tolerance of defects. However, there are many challenges yet to overcome to bring this technology to the market. For instance, bridging the ‘scaling gap’ and transitioning PSCs from a lab scale to an industrial scale is a serious challenge. This project developed a high stability and inexpensive perovskite solar cell (PSC) by incorporating hydrophobic carbon nanosheets as counter electrodes (CEs). We demonstrated that the hydrogenated carbon nanosheets with tunable hydrophobic properties as CEs can improve life-time stability of PSCs in operating conditions (i.e. humid air) while achieving impressive power conversion efficiency (PCE).

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Considerations for Maritime Nuclear Technologies, Economic Viability and Public Acceptance

The Maritime Nuclear Application Group (MNAG) is a working group convened by the National Reactor Innovation Center at Idaho National Laboratory (INL), the American Bureau of Shipping, and Morgan, Lewis, and Bockius LLP. This report documents an MNAG examination of considerations relevant to implementing nuclear technology in commercial maritime applications. In general, two types of use case are examined: maritime nuclear power plants and nuclear reactors used on board shipping vessels for propulsion and other ship needs. The report finds that there may be economic benefits related to maritime nuclear technologies, including the flexible deployment of maritime nuclear reactors, which would allow them to complement land-based nuclear projects, and operational differences for nuclear cargo ships that may lead to an overall increase in revenue. High-level analyses in this report show that, based on general small modular reactor and microreactor cost estimates developed by INL, maritime nuclear reactors may be economically competitive for electricity production in remote regions and for use in the propulsion of large cargo ships. Besides economic viability, public acceptance will be key to implementing maritime nuclear technologies. The report discusses the public’s current perception of nuclear technologies. Engaging with the public will be important to improving this perception. The report discusses some key benefits and risks associated with maritime nuclear technologies. Benefits include the creation of jobs, the production of reliable energy, and the potential to improve air quality. Risks that concern the public are the potential for radioactive releases during operation and decommissioning, as well as those related to waste management. Communicating the benefits and the risks of maritime nuclear technologies will be essential to improving public perception.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Improving unfolding and systematic uncertainty estimation using generative diffusion networks (Final Technical Report)

This final technical report summarizes the key accomplishments on the unfolding using diffusion model project, a DOE award received by PI Pierre-Hugues Beauchemin at Tufts University. This project main goal was to investigate the potential of diffusion models for unfolding experimental High Energy Physics data from detector effects while controlling systematics uncertainties. The project accomplished its goals by completing the following objectives: 1) Performing an object-by-object, event-by-event unfolding of various kinematic distributions reconstructed from detector data in HEP in a way that keeps correlations between unfolded observables while demonstrating competitive performance compared to standard algorithms used in the field; 2) Address the generalization problem by developing an unfolding algorithm capable to correctly infer the underlying distributions of observables and processes never seen before, while controlling the dominant theoretical uncertainties affecting the process, therefore increasing the effectiveness, the precision, and the applicability of the developed algorithm; 3) Understand the theoretical foundations between the developed algorithm so to extend it to applications beyond experimental HEP, for broader benefits to the society. This report provides an overview of the accomplishments related to each of these key objectives.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Electric Drive Technologies Consortium (EDTC)/ Cost competitive, high-Performance, highly Reliable (CPR) Power Devices on 4H-SiC (Final Report)

4H-Silicon carbide (4H-SiC) is a wide bandgap semiconductor that offers superior material properties over silicon, including higher critical electric field, thermal conductivity, and electron saturation velocity. These advantages make 4H-SiC highly attractive for high-voltage, high-efficiency power electronics. However, realizing the full potential of SiC requires device technologies that are not only high-performing but also manufacturable and reliable under real-world operating conditions. This report summarizes the outcomes of a five-year R&D effort funded by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) under the Electric Drive Technologies Consortium (EDTC), focused on developing cost-competitive, high-performance, and highly reliable (CPR) power devices on 4H-SiC substrates. The program targeted scalable and manufacturable 1.2 kV-class SiC MOSFETs optimized for next-generation electric vehicles, renewable energy systems, and industrial power conversion. The project delivered transformative advancements in SiC power device performance and ruggedness. Particularly, Specific on-resistance (R on,sp ) was reduced by up to 37%, from ~4.0 m$\Omega \cdot$cm 2 in earlier designs to an industry-leading 2.40 m$\Omega \cdot$cm 2 , driven by optimized doping, refined JFET widths, and layout engineering. Breakdown voltages (BV) exceeded 1600 V, marking improvement over legacy baselines, and demonstrating the robustness of newly implemented junction profiles and edge terminations. Short-circuit withstand time (SCWT) saw a remarkable 4$\times$ increase, from ~2 $\mu$s to over 8 $\mu$s, achieved through the successful deployment of deep P-well structures (~1.8–2.0 $\mu$m) via channeling implantation. This innovative process breakthrough enabled precise junction formation without MeV-class implantation tools, reduced leakage under high field stress, and allowed even the shortest-channel devices (down to 0.3 $\mu$m) to achieve both high BV and excellent ruggedness—breaking the traditional trade-off between conduction efficiency and blocking capability. Several novel architectures pushed the performance envelope further. JBSFETs—featuring embedded Schottky portions—eliminated bipolar degradation and drastically reduced third-quadrant leakage, while Ladder MOSFETs introduced a clever orthogonal conduction path that achieved a 15.4% reduction in R on,sp over standard linear designs. Switching performance reached new benchmarks: short-channel devices showed a 31% reduction in total switching energy compared to 0.5 $\mu$m counterparts, while maintaining manageable gate drive requirements. Layout-optimized structures not only improved transconductance but also accelerated switching transitions, pointing to real-world benefits in converter-level efficiency. The devices also passed rigorous reliability validation. Stress-tested across TDDB, HTGB, HTRB, HVP, and burn-in, the devices screened under 30 V/10 hr and 43 V/1 s protocols consistently exhibited tighter lifetime distributions and long-term oxide robustness. These screening techniques proved effective in identifying latent defects and ensuring deployment-grade reliability. Meanwhile, advanced 3D TCAD simulations revealed and resolved electric field hotspots—particularly in HEXFET corners—where fields exceeding 4.8 MV/cm were mitigated through geometry-aware layout corrections. Overall, the results of this project demonstrate a manufacturable and scalable SiC power device platform that addresses key DOE performance targets for efficient, robust, and reliable 1.2kV 4H-SiC Power Devices. The developed technologies represent a meaningful step forward in the commercial readiness of high-voltage SiC solutions and provide a strong foundation for continued advancement in wide bandgap power electronics.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Durable and High-Performance SOECs Based on Proton Conductors for Hydrogen Production

Proton-conducting solid oxide electrolysis cells (P-SOECs) are a promising technology for cost-effective and efficient production of green hydrogen. Breakthroughs in materials development, optimization of cell structure, and achievement of high performance and durability are essential to significantly increase the commercial competitiveness of these technologies. The main objective of this project is to gain scientific knowledge for the rational design, fabrication, and demonstration of a robust, highly efficient, and low-cost SOEC technology based on a proton-conducting electrolyte membrane for hydrogen production. We focused on better understanding the degradation mechanisms of proton-conducting electrolytes, air electrodes, and catalyst materials under electrolysis mode to develop an effective strategy for rationalizing new materials that are vital for enhancing cell performance and durability. The scope includes enhancing the performance and durability of the electrolyte and electrode materials under realistic operating conditions, developing highly active and robust catalysts to minimize electrode losses while improving tolerance to contaminant poisoning, revealing the mechanism of enhanced activity and stability of the catalyst, and understanding the underlying degradation mechanisms. In addition, various characterization techniques were employed to gain a fundamental understanding of the materials’ behavior and their impact on cell performance, providing vital information to guide materials discovery and cell design. After defect chemistry engineering, the optimized donor and acceptor co-doped electrolytes BaMo/W 0.03 Ce 0.71 Yb 0.26 O 3-δ (BM/W03) showed substantially improved chemical stability against high concentrations of CO 2 and H 2 O compared to the state-of-the-art electrolyte (BaZr 0.1 Ce 0.7 Y 0.1 Yb 0.1 O 3-δ , BZCYYb1711) while maintaining comparable ionic conductivity and ionic transference number. To bypass the inherent trade-off between conductivity and chemical stability, we fabricated a bi-layer electrolyte composed of BZCYYb1711 coated with a highly-stable thin layer of BaHf 0.83 Yb 0.17 O 3-δ (BHYb). This bi-layer electrolyte displayed excellent chemical stability against high concentration CO 2 ; there was no detectable formation of BaCO 3 after exposure to 97% CO 2 (with 3% H 2 O) at 500 °C for 1000 hours and the rate of degradation in resistance was about 0.4% per 1,000 hours (kh). In contrast, the same BZCYYb1711 electrolyte without a BHYb coating degraded significantly under the same testing conditions; the degradation rate was increased to 5.1%/kh. In addition, a triple conducting air electrode Ba 0.9 Pr 0.1 Hf 0.1 Y0.1Co 0.8 O 3-δ (BPHYC) was developed by heavily doping transition metal ions into a proton-conducting material. This air electrode material, composed of 3 distinct phases, exhibits superior electrocatalytic activity due to the synergistic effect from the three component phases. Moreover, an active and durable catalyst, La 2 Ni 0.5 Fe 0.5 O 4+δ (LNF), was developed, showing excellent catalytic activity and contaminant tolerance, with a degradation rate of only 0.49%/kh when exposed to high concentrations of steam and Cr. Finally, single cells were constructed from the best electrolytes, electrodes, and catalyst coatings developed in this project. These cells demonstrated superior high current density at a given cell voltage, high roundtrip efficiency, and remarkable durability (up to 1000 hours of operation).

08 HYDROGEN↗

Evolving Competitive Markets in SAPP: Leveraging Competitive Wholesale Electricity Markets to Drive Renewable Generation Capacity in the Southern African Power Pool (SAPP)

The SADC region has significant natural resource potential to increase renewable energy generation, improve electricity reliability, and support economic development. This research finds an apparent lack of confidence from electricity infrastructure investors in SAPP wholesale electricity markets, which increases risk perception and lowers the likelihood of capital deployment. With respect to free market fundamentals, competitive market obstacles and renewable energy development obstacles are characterized. Stakeholders identified the top obstacles to well-functioning competitive markets as insufficient transmission infrastructure for interconnection and regional movement of electricity, dominance of national single-buyer markets, and lack of or weak nation-state regulatory frameworks. Stakeholders prioritized the top three obstacles for renewable energy development as a lack of viable commercial arrangements for variable renewable energy (VRE) balancing, lack of functional and consistent nation-level regulations, and higher project costs related to reliance on imported equipment. With respect to potential solution options, stakeholders prioritized the development of new cost allocation and finance methods to facilitate new transmission expansion, training to educate new or potential new market entrants on SAPP processes, as well as modeling and analysis of regional SAPP participation benefits disaggregated to the nation-state level. From these perspectives, this research identified strategy options for consideration including transitioning SAPP to a regional transmission operator (RTO) for operation and planning of cross-border transmission facilities and market administration, shifting operations of SAPP member transmission systems to Independent System Operators (ISOs), establishing a regional regulatory authority and enhancing market data transparency. Implementing these reforms is expected to be challenging, but not insurmountable, given the domestic political, legal, and jurisdictional complexities of the SADC region.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

The Wind Turbine Rotors of the Future: A Research Agenda from the Big Adaptive Rotor Project

This white paper outlines a roadmap to inform future research efforts around the wind turbine rotors of the future. The document is authored by researchers that have been working on the Big Adaptive Rotor (BAR) and related initiatives at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory and Sandia National Laboratories. The Wind Energy Technologies Office of the U.S. Department of Energy has been funding BAR since 2018. The learnings from BAR have been documented in dozens of publications. This new paper identifies unresolved critical challenges in wind turbine rotor technology and structures them in four large topic areas: 1. Predictive and validated numerical tools. 2. Design methods and standards. 3. Improvements in manufacturing. 4. Technological innovations. Although wind turbines have not changed in their core architecture, with the market almost entirely dominated by three-bladed upwind rotors, a vast amount of research has allowed to introduce technological innovations resulting in a reduction in levelized cost of energy that made wind competitive with all traditional sources of electricity. Focusing on the rotor, blades will keep following the trend of mass and stiffness reduction, will adopt segmentation, and will keep growing in length, both land-based and offshore. To support this continuous innovation, this white paper argues that research efforts in rotor technology at the national labs are best directed to the first three topic areas and to low technology-readiness-levels (1-3) innovations, leaving the task of implementing higher-TRL (4-9) technological innovations to industry stakeholders. This research roadmap is also well aligned with the upcoming roadmap defined during the International Energy Agency 109th Topical Expert Meeting on the Grand Challenges of Wind Energy.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Critically assessing sodium-ion technology roadmaps and scenarios for techno-economic competitiveness against lithium-ion batteries

Sodium-ion batteries have garnered notable attention as a potentially low-cost alternative to lithium-ion batteries, which have experienced supply shortages and price volatility for key minerals. Here we assess their techno-economic competitiveness against incumbent lithium-ion batteries using a modelling framework incorporating componential learning curves constrained by minerals prices and engineering design floors. We compare projected sodium-ion and lithium-ion price trends across over 6,000 scenarios while varying Na-ion technology development roadmaps, supply chain scenarios, market penetration and learning rates. Assuming that substantial progress can be made along technology roadmaps via targeted research and development, we identify several sodium-ion pathways that might reach cost-competitiveness with low-cost lithium-ion variants in the 2030s. In addition, we show that timelines are highly sensitive to movements in critical minerals supply chains—namely that of lithium, graphite and nickel. Our modelled outcomes suggest that being price advantageous against low-cost lithium-ion variants in the near term is challenging and increasing sodium-ion energy densities to decrease materials intensity is among the most impactful ways to improve competitiveness.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Hawaii Solar Desalination Project

This project built the world’s largest Forward Osmosis (FO) solar thermal desalination plant at the NELHA Hawaii Ocean Science and Technology Park for a high visibility “on sun” demonstration of seawater desalination for agricultural applications. The project included re-commissioning an existing 2MW micro-dish solar thermal array and coupling it to a next-generation 500m3/day FO system. The purpose of the project was to validate FO at commercial scale; to verify that the water produced is safe for potential downstream agricultural users; to gather data on capital cost, energy consumption and operating expense for the technology; and to demonstrate that FO can be successfully coupled to low-grade thermal resources. The plant implemented advancements in FO component technology, including hot nano-filtration, polymeric heat exchangers, draw solutions, and improved FO membranes, and operated from June 2022 to September 2023 - producing 30gpm of permeate water. Thermal energy was below 30kWh/m 3 during operation, establishing a new benchmark in thermal desalination technology, with recovery rates at times exceeding 65%, well above what commercial RO systems can achieve. Combining the plant capital cost (CAPEX) and the operating expenses (OPEX) yields a Levelized Cost of Water (LCOW) that is competitive with existing carbon-intensive technologies such as RO. The ability of the plant to operate from a renewable resource paves the way toward a low-carbon desalination future using low-grade thermal resources.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗