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How numerical simulations helped to achieve breakeven on the NIF

The inertial confinement fusion program relies upon detailed simulations with inertial confinement fusion (ICF) codes to design targets and to interpret the experimental results. These simulations treat as much physics from essential principles as is practical, including laser deposition, cross beam energy transfer, x-ray production and transport, nonlocal thermal equilibrium kinetics, thermal transport, hydrodynamic instabilities, thermonuclear burn, and transport of reaction products. Improvements in radiation hydrodynamic code capabilities and vast increases in computing power have enabled more realistic, accurate 3D simulations that treat all known asymmetry sources. We describe how numerical simulations helped to guide the program, assess the impediments to breakeven, and optimize every aspect of target design. A preshot simulation of the first National Ignition Facility experiment that surpassed breakeven predicted an increased yield that matches the experimental result, within the preshot predicted uncertainty, with a target gain of 1.5. We will cover the key developments in Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory ICF codes that enabled these simulations and give specific examples of how they helped to guide the program.

Marinak, M. M. (ORCID:0009000331127696)↗

A High Specific Output Gasoline Low Temperature Combustion Engine

This report summarizes activities conducted in support of the project “A High Specific Output Gasoline Low Temperature Combustion Engine” under COOPERATIVE AGREEMENT NUMBER DE-EE0007788. This cooperative agreement was structured as a 51%/49% recipient/DOE NETL cost share with two Go / no-Go decision gates spanning three budget periods. The primary objective of the program is the development and demonstration of a downsized boosted, lean, low temperature gasoline combustion engine system capable of demonstrating a 15-17% fuel economy improvement relative to a contemporary naturally aspirated stoichiometric combustion engine consistent with relevant emissions constraints and the use of marketplace gasolines. The program focused on maximizing internal combustion engine fuel economy potential by combining the benefits of downsized boosted engine technology with next generation gasoline lean-burn, low temperature combustion and novel low temperature plasma ignition. The project achieved a 20.5% improvement from hot FTP cycle test and 18.9% improvement from cold FTP cycle test while meeting stringent SULEV30 emissions regulation for both test cycles (HOT FTP: 15.37 mg of NOx+HC; 0.16 g/mile of CO, COLD FTP: 23.1 mg of NOx+HC; 0.33 g/mile of CO).

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

AmeriFlux FLUXNET-1F US-xWR NEON Wind River Experimental Forest (WREF)

This is the AmeriFlux Management Project (AMP) created FLUXNET-1F version of the carbon flux data for the site US-xWR NEON Wind River Experimental Forest (WREF). This is the FLUXNET version of the carbon flux data for the site US-xWR NEON Wind River Experimental Forest (WREF) produced by applying the standard ONEFlux (1F) software. Site Description - Located in an old growth Pacific Northwest forest west of the Cascade Range, Wind River Experimental Forest has a rich history of research and timber management since the early 1900s. The area is best known for its old-growth forests of Douglas-fir and western hemlock. Data collected at this site provides an interesting comparison to NEON’s ABBY site which is located Yacolt Burn State Forest, a relatively young growth industrial timber production forest.

Network), NEON (National Ecological Observatory [N↗

Time Projection Chamber (TPC) detectors for nuclear astrophysics studies with gamma beams

Gamma-Beams at the HIS facility in the USA and anticipated at the ELI-NP facility, now constructed in Romania, present unique new opportunities to advance research in nuclear astrophysics; not the least of which is resolving open questions in oxygen formation during stellar helium burning via a precise measurement of the 12C() reaction. Time projection chamber (TPC) detectors operating with low pressure gas (as an active target) are ideally suited for such studies. We look over the progress of the current research program and plans for the future at the HIS facility with the optical readout TPC (O-TPC) and the development of an electronic readout TPC for the ELI-NP facility (ELITPC).

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

ndi

The Nuclear Data Interface (NDI) is an application programming interface (API) that allows access to standard nuclear data parameters while hiding the underlying details of the data libraries and their storage. It allows access to multigroup transport data (neutron and gamma), thermonuclear burn data, dosimetry data, production/depletion chain data, radiochemistry data, and secondary neutron multiplicity data. The name NDI refers to both the code and data formats supported by the code.

Saller, Thomas↗

Evidence for multi-decadal fuel buildup in a large California wildfire from smoke radiocarbon measurements

In recent decades, there has been a significant increase in annual area burned in California's Sierra Nevada mountains. This rise in fire activity has prompted the need to understand how historical forest management practices affect fuel composition and emissions. Here we examined the total carbon (TC) concentration and radiocarbon abundance (Δ 14 C) of particulate matter (PM) emitted by the KNP Complex Fire, which occurred during California's 2021 wildfire season and affected several groves of giant sequoia trees in the southern Sierra Nevada. During a 26 h sampling period, we measured concentrations of fine airborne PM (PM 2.5 ), as well as dry air mole fractions of carbon monoxide (CO) and methane (CH 4 ), using a ground-based mobile laboratory. We also collected filter samples of PM 2.5 for analysis of TC concentration and Δ 14 C. High correlation among PM 2.5 , CO, and CH 4 time series confirmed that our PM 2.5 measurements captured variability in wildfire emissions. Using a Keeling plot approach, we determined that the mean Δ 14 C of PM 2.5 was 111.6 ± 7.7‰ (n = 12), which was considerably enriched relative to atmospheric carbon dioxide in the northern hemisphere in 2021 (-3.2 ± 1.4‰). Combining these Δ 14 C data with a steady-state one-box ecosystem model, we estimated that the mean age of fuels combusted in the KNP Complex Fire was 40 years, with a range of 29–57 years. These results provide evidence for emissions originating from woody biomass, larger-diameter fine fuels, and coarse woody debris that have accumulated over multiple decades. This is consistent with independent field observations that indicate high fire intensity contributed to widespread giant sequoia mortality. With the expanded use of prescribed fires planned over the next decade in California to mitigate wildfire impacts, our measurement approach has the potential to provide regionally-integrated estimates of the effectiveness of fuel treatment programs.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Molten Salt Thermal Property Uncertainty Workshop Report

Operation of a molten salt fueled reactor is governed, more so than any other type of reactor, by the thermal properties of the molten salt fuel because it is in a liquid form. The composition of the fuel salt will evolve during use in a reactor, as fission products are generated and corrosion of structural materials release corrosion products into the salt. The recently released NUREG/CR7299 states that fuel qualification for molten salt fuels will be based upon maintaining fuel salt properties within an acceptable range that results in achievement of fundamental safety functions (NUREG/CR-7299). Understanding the dependence of fuel properties on temperature and composition across the anticipated range of operating temperatures, burn-up and anticipated levels of contamination is required to qualify molten salt fuels. Measuring aspects of salt chemistry is appropriately a major thrust of the Molten Salt Reactor (MSR) campaign under the Advanced Reactor Technology program.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

US-UK fusion energy collaborations in the digital space

The US and UK share the vision for fusion as a vital part of the clean energy future. This vision is reflected in the respective national plans in the form of the Bold Decadal Vision for Commercial Fusion (BDV) in the US and the Spherical Tokamak for Energy Production (STEP) program in the UK. Digital tools such as simulation and control frameworks, design tools, AI/ML, high performance computing (HPC), and virtual reality (VR) will play an important role in developing, diagnosing, operating, and further improving burning-plasma-class fusion power plants. Therefore, a collaborative approach, involving both the public and private sectors, to developing these digital tools can accelerate the path to fusion energy commercialization. In this report we discuss previous and ongoing collaborations and opportunities to expand these collaborations into new areas. We conclude this report with near term actions and a vision of the collaboration to the Joint Coordinating Committee.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

AGR-5/6/7 Ceramography Report

The Advanced Gas Reactor (AGR) Fuel Development and Qualification Program was established in 2002 to conduct research and development on tri-structural isotropic (TRISO)-coated particle fuel for High Temperature Gas-cooled Reactors (HTGRs). All AGR irradiations have been completed: AGR-1 (Collin 2015), AGR-2 (Collin 2014), AGR-3/4 (Collin 2016) and AGR-5/6/7 (Pham 2021). The objectives of each program are presented in Figure 1.1. The purpose of the AGR-5/6/7 program was to provide a baseline fuel qualification data set to support licensing, deployment, and operation of HTGRs in the United States. To achieve these goals, the program includes fuel fabrication, irradiations of TRISO fuels and high-temperature materials, safety testing and post-irradiation examination (PIE), fuel performance modeling, and fission product (FP) transport (Sharp 2020). The AGR-5/6/7 work continues as a final irradiation program of the Advanced Reactor Technologies (ART) program, that began in February 2018 and ended in July 2020. The AGR-5/6/7 fuel compacts were irradiated for a total of approximately 360.9 effective full power days (EFPDs) (Stempien 2023), resulting in final burn-up values, on a per-compact basis, ranging from 5.66% to 15.26% fissions per initial heavy metal atom (FIMA), and fast fluence values ranging from 1.62×1025 n/m2 to 5.55×1025 n/m2 (E >0.18 MeV) (Stempien 2022)

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Precursor Analysis Report: Remote Access Attack on Oldsmar Water Treatment Facility 2021

The Remote Access Attack on Oldsmar Water Treatment Facility 2021 Precursor Analysis Report leverages publicly available information about the Oldsmar cyber attack and catalogs anomalous observables for each technique employed in the attack. This analysis is based upon the methodology of the Cybersecurity for the Operational Technology Environment (CyOTE) program. On 5 February 2021, an adversary gained unauthorized remote access to Bruce T. Haddock Water Treatment Plant in Oldsmar, Florida, which provides treated water to 15,000 customers. The adversary accessed the facility’s Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition (SCADA) workstation and human machine interface (HMI) to change the chemical concentration of sodium hydroxide, commonly referred to as lye and used to regulate acidity levels, from 100 parts per million (PPM) to 11,100 PPM. The chemical was raised to lethal levels that if ingested could lead to serious soft tissue damage, burns, or even death. The facility, however, had redundancies and alarms in place to alert personnel of dangerous chemical levels, and facility officials stated it would have taken 24 to 36 hours for the chemical changes to affect the water supply. Researchers and analysts identified six unique techniques utilized during the attack with a total of 23 observables using MITRE ATT&CK® for Industrial Control Systems. The CyOTE program assesses observables accompanying techniques used prior to the triggering event to identify opportunities to detect malicious activity. If observables accompanying the attack techniques are perceived and investigated prior to the triggering event, earlier comprehension of malicious activity can take place. Four of the identified techniques used during the Oldsmar cyber attack were precursors to the triggering event. Analysis identified 21 observables associated with these precursor techniques, 20 of which were assessed to have an increased likelihood of being perceived in the minutes preceding the triggering event. The response and comprehension time could have been reduced if the observables had been identified earlier. The information gathered in this report contributes to a library of observables tied to a repository of artifacts, data sources, and technique detection references for practitioners and developers to support the comprehension of indicators of attack. Asset owners and operators can use these products if they experience similar observables or to prepare for comparable scenarios.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Upgrade of the Materials Analysis Particle Probe (MAPP-U) to decipher the impact of lithium-based surfaces on NSTX-U plasma behavior

Understanding the plasma wall interaction (PWI) remains a critical issue for the feasibility of thermonuclear magnetic fusion energy solutions. Key issues with PWI mechanisms in fusion tokamak reactors include: evolution of surface chemistry and its role on hydrogen retention. In particular how low-Z coatings such as lithium can impact the behavior of plasma at the edge and in the core. PMI (plasma-material interactions) are particularly important for strategies that involve low-recycling regimes and the use of lithium PFS (plasma-facing surfaces) to attain them, as in the case of NSTX-U. Recent reports have indicated the importance of access to the evolving plasma-facing surface during and in-between plasma discharges. Changes in surface chemistry and morphology due to ion bombardment and the difficulty of diagnosing plasma-facing surfaces, especially reactive surfaces, complicate the development of a predictive understanding of the wall and its interaction with the plasma. Consequently, this impairs the ability to design advanced PFC materials for future plasma-burning fusion reactors and appropriate PMI code validation. The Materials Analysis Particle Probe (MAPP) is an established and on-going PMI probe diagnostic system compatible with the highly chemically reactive system of lithium and boron coatings adopted by the NSTX-U research program. MAPP is the first PMI diagnostic to capture the surface physics and chemistry in-vacuo in a fusion tokamak system and correlate this data to controlled plasma shots. Currently MAPP captures this information at a fixed radial location at the NSTX-U outboard divertor region. The MAPP diagnostic has enabled understanding of the near-surface and surface chemistry of complex evolving lithiated and borated carbon-based PFC surfaces retention and transport of hydrogen. Coupled to atomistic simulations in collaboration with P. Krstic of Stony Brook U. MAPP has been very successful in achieving high-impact scientific research in its current grant period evidenced by two invited review articles and over 20 peer-reviewed manuscripts and over 40 contributed and invited presentations at both national and international conferences.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

The Dual-Axis Radiographic Hydrodynamic Test Facility Capability eXpansion (DCX) Strategy

This document details the strategy proposed to meet the National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA) requirement for the Dual-Axis Radiographic Hydrodynamic Test (DARHT) Facility Sustainment and Modernization projects identified in multiple NNSA Stockpile Stewardship and Management Plan (SSMP) reports to Congress [NNSA, 2020; 2021; 2022; 2023; 2024]. DARHT has become indispensable for the certification of the primaries of U.S. nuclear weapons since the current U.S. moratorium halted underground nuclear testing more than 30 years ago. However, aging facilities, evolving technology, and other issues are limiting or threatening the capability of DARHT to meet NNSA’s expanding mission needs now and into the future. This DARHT Capability eXpansion (DCX) strategy was developed to address NNSA needs by extending DARHT’s reliability and resilience, increasing the quality and quantity of DARHT data, and enabling hydrodynamic measurements in complex environments. The strategy can be implemented through integration of line-item projects, acquisition of major items of equipment, and other actions coordinated with the execution of the SSMP. This strategy document is intended for U.S. Government officials, particularly authorizers, appropriators, and program leaders. It may also be furnished to DARHT users, customers, collaborators, stakeholders, and visitors as needed

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Systematically tracking the hourly progression of large wildfires using GOES satellite observations

Abstract. In the western United States, prolonged drought, a warming climate, and historical fuel buildup have contributed to larger and more intense wildfires as well as to longer fire seasons. As these costly wildfires become more common, new tools and methods are essential for improving our understanding of the evolution of fires and how extreme weather conditions, including heat waves, windstorms, droughts, and varying levels of active-fire suppression, influence fire spread. Here, we develop the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites (GOES)-Observed Fire Event Representation (GOFER) algorithm to derive the hourly fire progression of large wildfires and create a product of hourly fire perimeters, active-fire lines, and fire spread rates. Using GOES-East and GOES-West geostationary satellite detections of active fires, we test the GOFER algorithm on 28 large wildfires in California from 2019 to 2021. The GOFER algorithm includes parameter optimizations for defining the burned-to-unburned boundary and correcting for the parallax effect from elevated terrain. We evaluate GOFER perimeters using 12 h data from the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS)-derived Fire Event Data Suite (FEDS) and final fire perimeters from the California's Fire and Resource Assessment Program (FRAP). Although the GOES imagery used to derive GOFER has a coarser resolution (2 km at the Equator), the final fire perimeters from GOFER correspond reasonably well to those obtained from FRAP, with a mean Intersection-over-Union (IoU) of 0.77, in comparison to 0.83 between FEDS and FRAP; the IoU indicates the area of overlap over the area of the union relative to the reference perimeters, in which 0 is no agreement and 1 is perfect agreement. GOFER fills a key temporal gap present in other fire tracking products that rely on low-Earth-orbit imagery, where perimeters are available at intervals of 12 h or longer or at ad hoc intervals from aircraft overflights. This is particularly relevant when a fire spreads rapidly, such as at maximum hourly spread rates of over 5 km h−1. Our GOFER algorithm for deriving the hourly fire progression using GOES can be applied to large wildfires across North and South America and reveals considerable variability in the rates of fire spread on diurnal timescales. The resulting GOFER product has a broad set of potential applications, including the development of predictive models for fire spread and the improvement of atmospheric transport models for surface smoke estimates. The resulting GOFER product has a broad set of potential applications, including the development of predictive models for fire spread and the improvement of atmospheric transport models for surface smoke estimates (https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8327264, Liu et al., 2023).

Geology↗

Impact of Heaters on Molten Salt Reactors Dynamics

Recently, there has been renewed interest in the Molten Salt Reactor (MSR) concept. This interest is mainly due to its advantages over Light Water Reactors (LWRs). Among these advantages are the flexibility in the fuel choice and the possibility to burn actinides [1]. Currently, two molten research reactors are under development. A 2 MW molten salt experimental reactor has been constructed and is planned for operation in China. A 1 MW Molten Salt Research Reactor is under construction in the United States [2]. Thus, Research and Development (R&D) programs are needed for the MSR technology. Reactor dynamics studies are crucial safety evaluation studies. The development of reactor dynamics tools for MSRs started during the Molten Salt Reactor Program (MSRP) at ORNL, focusing on the Molten Salt Reactor Experiment (MSRE) [3]. Although various dynamic simulation tools are available, R&D efforts to develop specialized tools for MSRs are still ongoing [4]. The primary motivation for this interest is the goal of commercializing MSRs. Developing a dynamics tool for MSRs is crucial for analyzing their safety and supporting their demonstration efforts. A crucial safety issue in MSRs is ensuring that the fuel salt in the primary loop remains molten. This concern becomes particularly important when the reactor operates at lower power levels. Most chloride and fluoride salts used as fuel have a melting point of approximately 450 °C [5]. Therefore, maintaining fuel salt temperatures above this melting point is essential to prevent it from freezing. Freezing of the fuel salt can lead to volume expansion, potentially causing damage to reactor components [6]. Moreover, it can create local blockages within fuel salt channels, reducing cooling efficiency and resulting in hot spots [7]. Various methods can prevent fuel salt from freezing at low power levels. These include reducing the fuel mass flow rate in the primary loop, decreasing heat exchange between the primary and secondary loops in the reactor, and using electric fuel salt heaters. Reducing the mass flow rate of fuel salt in the primary loop can increase the fuel salt transit time in the core, enhancing heat production and increasing temperature. However, it can potentially lead to challenges. These include increasing the potential for fuel salt deposition on the reactor channel walls [8], affecting the overall heat transfer processes. Thus, alternative methods should be used [9]. This research investigates the effects of fuel salt heaters on the dynamics and stability during MSR operation. The investigation includes studying the reactor stability with the fuel salt heaters on and off. In addition, the reactor response to transients is compared with and without the operation of fuel salt heaters. These transients include reactivity insertion, primary and secondary pump failure, and heat sink temperature increase. The results of the reactivity insertion transient are presented in the summary.

73 - NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Heating effects on pyrogenic organic matter mass loss and temperature in a sand matrix in a lab setting from 2022

This dataset contains data associated with the preprint “A laboratory method for simulating the effects of subsequent fires on pyrogenic organic matter at different exposure depths in a sand matrix” (https://doi.org/10.1101/2024.07.30.605814), which has been accepted for publication in the International Journal of Wildland Fire. The dataset was generated to investigate the effects of subsequent fires on preexisting pyrogenic organic matter (PyOM) at different soil depths. Specifically, we designed a laboratory method to simulate soil heating from above, applying realistic heat flux profiles (High, Low, Control) derived from jack pine (Pinus banksiana Lamb.) log burns. Using a cone calorimeter, these profiles were applied to buried jack pine PyOM (produced at 350°C) in a sand matrix pyrocosm to examine PyOM mass loss at different depths (surface, 1 cm, 5 cm). Each treatment (e.g., High heat flux at 1 cm depth) was applied once to five replicates in a pyrocosm.The dataset includes mass loss fraction of PyOM and time-series temperature profiles (measured with type K thermocouples). Additionally, calibration datasets for high and low heat flux profiles are provided, including programmed heat flux profile data and three sets of calibration results. All datasets are in .csv format and were analyzed in R using code found at https://github.com/MengmengLuo/Reburning-pyrogenic-organic-matter-A-laboratory-method-for-dosing-dynamic-heat-fluxes-from-above. This dataset supports research on PyOM transformations during subsequent fires, and methodological advancements in simulating soil heating. It can be used to explore fire-induced PyOM alterations across different fire intensities and soil depths.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Quantifying fission yields at the National Ignition Facility using depleted uranium foil experiments

There are programs for high-Z shell experiments at the National Ignition Facility (NIF). For shells made of actinide material, a quantitative fission diagnostic is needed in order to determine how much fission took place and whether the fission was sufficient to produce a non-negligible heat source in the burning capsule. Here, we present a viable coupled experimental and theoretical technique for making quantitative fission measurements possible. The proposed scheme involves using a well-characterized set of depleted uranium foils outside an NIF capsule to verify the conversion of xenon and krypton fission fragments collected at the Radiochemical Analysis of Gaseous Samples (RAGS) facility into total fission yield. We present the calculations needed for this conversion, including the decays in and out of fission fragment chains during the RAGS pump-down of the NIF chamber.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Measuring an Off-center Detonation through Infrared Line Profiles: The Peculiar Type Ia Supernova SN 2020qxp/ASASSN-20jq

In this study, we present and analyze a near-infrared (NIR) spectrum of the underluminous Type Ia supernova SN 2020qxp/ASASSN-20jq obtained with NIRES at the Keck Observatory, 191 days after B-band maximum. The spectrum is dominated by a number of broad emission features, including the [Fe ιι] at 1.644 μm, which is highly asymmetric with a tilted top and a peak redshifted by ≈2000 km s -1 . In comparison with 2D non-LTE synthetic spectra computed from 3D simulations of off-center delayed-detonation Chandrasekhar-mass (M ch ) white dwarf (WD) models, we find good agreement between the observed lines and the synthetic profiles, and are able to unravel the structure of the progenitor’s envelope. We find that the size and tilt of the [Fe ιι] 1.644 μm profile (in velocity space) is an effective way to determine the location of an off-center delayed-detonation transition (DDT) and the viewing angle, and it requires a WD with a high central density of ~4 × 10 9 g cm -3 . We also tentatively identify a stable Ni feature around 1.9 μm characterized by a “pot-belly” profile that is slightly offset with respect to the kinematic center. In the case of SN 2020qxp/ASASSN-20jq, we estimate that the location of the DDT is ~0.3M WD off center, which gives rise to an asymmetric distribution of the underlying ejecta. We also demonstrate that low-luminosity and high-density WD SN Ia progenitors exhibit a very strong overlap of Ca and 56 Ni in physical space. This results in the formation of a prevalent [Ca ιι] 0.73 μm emission feature that is sensitive to asymmetry effects. Our findings are discussed within the context of alternative scenarios, including off-center C/O detonations in He-triggered sub-M Ch WDs and the direct collision of two WDs. Snapshot programs with Gemini/Keck/Very Large Telescope (VLT)/ELT-class instruments and our spectropolarimetry program are complementary to mid-IR spectra by the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST).

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Connecting the Radiative Influences of Aerosol upon the Mass Flux Profiles of Shallow Cumuli across the Southeast Atlantic Ocean Basin and its Boundaries (Final Report)

The Atlantic Ocean covers approximately 25% of Earth’s surface and the atmosphere above it is home to a complex array of clouds and aerosols that have important influences on regional and global weather and climate. These influences must be accurately depicted in short range, medium range, seasonal, and climate forecast models. Conditions over the tropical Atlantic are particularly complex due to continental scale plumes of dust from the Sahara Desert and smoke from agricultural burning in Africa that drift across the Atlantic Ocean basin toward the Americas. These plumes are often found meandering in the lower atmosphere above shallow tropical clouds that form above the ocean surface, presumably mingling with these clouds on occasion due to convective mixing processes. Elevated dust and smoke particles absorb incoming sunlight and substantially warm the marine atmosphere in the layer in which they are present. This warming may alter the thermal stability of the marine atmosphere and may throttle or enhance the development of clouds, change their internal structure and the rate at which they precipitate. Alternatively, it may isolate the lower atmosphere from drier layers above enabling water vapor to accumulate near the ocean surface potentially leading to the development of deeper convection. Our study was organized around the principal concept of determining the impact of African smoke and dust plumes upon cloud development at ASI and understanding how a popular shallow convection parameterization used in models responds to the presence of this aerosol. We analyzed observations collected during the US Department of Energy (DOE) Layered Atlantic Smoke Interactions with Clouds (LASIC) campaign using the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Program’s Mobile Facility #1 (AMF-1), which was deployed to Ascension Island (ASI) in Southeastern Atlantic for a one-year period. Ascension Island is immediately downwind from an African source of these plumes, but far enough removed to enable the lower atmosphere to have reacted to their presence. A main goal of our study was to compute radiative heating rate profiles over Ascension Island and along the trajectory from the biomass burning regions along coastal Africa to Ascension Island. To compute the radiative heating rate due to aerosols and clouds, we employed observed profiles of temperature, humidity, and clouds from LASIC alongside aerosol optical properties from the Modern-era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications Version 2 (MERRA-2), as input for the Rapid Radiation Transfer Model (RRTM). Radiative heating was also assessed across the southeast Atlantic Ocean using an ensemble of back trajectories from the Hybrid Single Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory (HYSPLIT) model. We were successful in this effort and the resulting publication is already being cited despite its relatively short lifetime in the literature. The second part of our study involved the process-level representation of the clouds observed over the Southeastern Atlantic in models. Our initial task, upon which the balance of this portion of the study depended, was to evaluate the representativeness of the clouds observed by AMF-1. What orographic influence did Ascension Island have on the measured cloud structure? We set out to answer this question by trying to separate observations that were clearly indicative of orographic forcing from those that were representative of open ocean. The siting of AMF-1, which was 340-m above sea-level on the slope of a steep escarpment, proved demonstrably problematic for cloud process measurements. Despite considerable effort using multiple approaches including artificial intelligence (AI), we were unable to successfully compensate for the orographic forcing present at the AMF-1 site on ASI and, hence, produce process-level summaries of the convective mass flux representative of open ocean over the Southeastern Atlantic. Even though the project has officially ended, we are making a final attempt using two new types of clustering algorithm (i.e., AI) on the recommendation of a former student, who is an expert in this area. Since we have only recently begun to test these new AI schemes, the recommendations from the second part of our project outlined below are based on our experience at the time of this report.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗