NASA Quesst Mission Overview
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In its mission to expand knowledge and improve aviation, NASA conducts research to address sonic boom noise, the prime barrier to overland supersonic flight. NASA is currently preparing for a community survey campaign to assess response to noise from the new X-59 aircraft. During each community survey, a substantial number of observations must be collected over a limited timeframe to generate a dose response relationship. A sample of residents will be recruited in advance to fill out a brief survey each time X-59 flies over, approximately 80 times throughout a month. In preparation NASA conducted a month-long test of survey methods in 2023. A sample of 800 residents was recruited from a simulated fly-over area. Because there were no actual X-59 fly-overs, respondents were asked about their reactions to noise from normal aircraft operations. The respondents chose whether to fill out the survey on the web or via a smartphone application. Evaluating response rates and how they evolved over time was a specific focus of the test. Also, a graduated incentive structure was implemented to keep respondents engaged. Finally, location data was collected from respondents since it will be needed to estimate individual noise exposure from X-59. The results of this survey test will help determine the design of the community survey campaign.
Since the publication of R.A. Fisher’s “The Arrangement of Field Experiments” in 1926, the enumerated principles that contributed to the improvement of agricultural field experiments in the early 20th century (randomization, replication, blocking, and appropriate variation of factors) remain hallmarks of all well-designed clinical trials and scientific endeavors in the 21st century. Beginning in 2026, NASA will conduct community noise campaigns with the first-of-kind X-59 experimental aircraft to 1) demonstrate the possibility of quiet supersonic flight over land and 2) to collect live data about annoyance (a categorical response) in relation to estimated noise levels (an experimental factor) produced by the new noise phenomenon, a low-noise “sonic thump”. The resulting predicted relationship between perceptual response and estimated noise level, e.g., mixed logistic regression or related models in the class of generalized linear (mixed) models, is believed to be a useful policy tool that domestic and international regulators can use when deciding whether existing prohibitions of supersonic flight over land can be replaced with a noise-based limit. The X-59 is engineered with the expectation that annoyance in the tested ranges should be a rare outcome, and, consequently, NASA convened an interdisciplinary team to examine and refine the rationale underlying the experimental design for future community campaigns. In this presentation, we review relevant literature on experiments with rare binary outcomes, relate the deliberations of the NASA team to tenets of good experimental design, and highlight several challenges and operational realities of this ambitious campaign.
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Explore the source record for details and available documents.
Explore the source record for details and available documents.
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Active trim shape control can be used to minimize error between target and actual aircraft trim shape during flight. Trim shape sensing for aircraft during flight is not only important for highly flexible aircraft, such as the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Helios Prototype remotely piloted flying wing aircraft, but also for a delta-wing type aircraft, such as a supersonic commercial transport aircraft. A two-step theory utilizing distributed strain for a real-time shape sensing of a full three-dimensional structure has been introduced previously. This study focuses on the application of the two-step theory to finite element models of a wing with spars and ribs such as the X-59 QueSST aircraft (Lockheed Martin Corporation, Bethesda, Maryland), a tapered wing, a dihedral/anhedral wing, and a stiffened dihedral/anhedral wing. A finely meshed finite element structural model is desired to capture accurate curvature distributions along the neutral axes of the wing cross sections during pre-test analysis for shape sensing of a wing with ribs and spars. The two-step theory used in this study gives excellent deformation correlation with the MSC/NASTRAN (MSC Software, Newport Beach, California) results along the neutral axis for all test cases used in this study except the X-59 QueSST aircraft.
An aircraft shape must be measured during flight to implement an active trim shape control, such as an active dihedral control for a highly flexible aircraft with a high-aspect-ratio wing, and an active sonic boom control for a supersonic transport aircraft. A basis function method for linear as well as geometrically nonlinear structural shape sensing is proposed in this study. Basis functions can be mode shapes, linear static deformation shapes, or geometrically nonlinear static deformation shapes. The proposed basis function method is validated using a high-aspect-ratio wing, a swept test plate, and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration Low Boom Flight Demonstration mission X-59 Quiet Supersonic Technology (QueSST) aircraft (Lockheed Martin, Bethesda, Maryland). A large structural deformation of a high-aspect-ratio wing is successfully captured using the proposed basis function method with less than 0.3-percentprediction error at the wing-tip section. The basis function method gives excellent deformation prediction, even with stress concentration. Performance of the basis functions is compared using the X-59 stabilator sample case. In most of the sample load cases, static deformations give a better correlation with the target deformation than do mode shapes. Wing shape sensing with sparse strain data is also demonstrated in this study using the X-59 QueSST aircraft. Predicted structural deformations match reasonably with the target deformations even without strain gauges on some structural components. The predicted deformations have a good match with the target deformations.
- Brief history of supersonic flight - Shock waves and sonic booms - Sonic boom pressure signatures and loudness - Tools for studying quiet supersonic flight - CFD (Computational Fluid Dynamics) - Wind tunnels - Flight test - Quesst Mission - X-59 airplane - Mission profile - Flight simulations - Wind tunnel data validations - Video: Supersonic flight research leading to Quesst
Repeated measurement will be a feature of the survey data collected during the Quesst missionX-59 community response tests (CRT). Since each participant will report his or her categorical level of annoyance in response to multiple events, the responses from any single individual may be correlated with one another. Several models within the class of generalized linear mixed models (GLMM) are pertinent to the analysis of correlated categorical outcomes; the random intercept logistic regression model is one example. Both Bayesian and frequentist methods for fitting these models are available, with frequentist methods relying on some form of approximation (of either an integral or the integrand) that appears in the marginal likelihood function. Given several anticipated similarities of the X-59 CRT data to data collected during a past risk reduction, Quiet Supersonic Flights 2018 (QSF18), this short note is intended to create awareness. It documents an instance in which a reported population average dose-response relationship derived from QSF18 single event data was distorted by the integral approximation applied in likelihood-based methods. We review some of the available literature on the topic, compare the outputs of several different computational approaches implemented in available statistical software, and present simple corrective actions that may be useful during the Quesst mission.
- Brief history of supersonic flight - Shock waves and sonic booms - Sonic boom pressure signatures and loudness - Tools for studying quiet supersonic flight - CFD (Computational Fluid Dynamics) - Wind tunnels - Flight test - Quesst Mission - X-59 airplane - Mission profile - Flight simulations - Wind tunnel data validations - Video: Supersonic flight research leading to Quesst
- Brief history of supersonic flight - Shock waves and sonic booms - Sonic boom pressure signatures and loudness - Tools for studying quiet supersonic flight - CFD (Computational Fluid Dynamics) - Wind tunnels - Flight test - Quesst Mission - X-59 airplane - Mission profile - Flight simulations - Wind tunnel data validations - Video: Supersonic flight research leading to Quesst
Supersonic flight over land has been prohibited since 1973 due to the loudness of sonic booms. NASA is building the X-59 aircraft as part of its Quesst mission to demonstrate low-loudness shaped sonic booms, or “sonic thumps.” The Quesst mission will gather human perception data via a series of community noise surveys across the USA. The noise dose and perceptual response data will be provided to the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) and the Federal Aviation Administration for use in determining potential future supersonic aircraft noise certification standards, effectively changing the prohibition from a speed limit to a noise limit. These noise regulations must be globally effective, as long travel distances see the largest benefit to supersonic flight. The state of the atmosphere through which a sonic boom travels affects the size of the region exposed to sound, the “carpet width” (CW), as well as the loudness. The focus of this dissertation is to understand and quantify the expected loudness and CW of sonic booms due to the macroscopic atmospheric effects around the world. A pair of large-scale propagation simulation studies were conducted using the NASA PCBoom code to compare predicted sonic boom loudness and CW statistics first across the USA and then across the world. For the USA study, near-field data of the X-59 in steady cruise was propagated at 4 cardinal headings at 138 locations through 5 years of Climate Forecast System Version 2 (CFSv2) atmospheric profiles. Results of a bootstrap forest predictor screening model indicated the importance of climate zone, latitude, ground elevation, season, and heading. It also noted the unimportance of time of day for predicting loudness and CW. The data is visualized in aggregate, and then broken out geographically, by season and heading, and by climate zone. Multiple linear regression models were fit to the data from the 138 locations so that estimates of the loudness and CW can be produced anywhere in the US. The results can aid in planning when and where to fly the X-59. For the global study, near-field data from three aircraft, the X-59 in a quiet and loud configuration, B-58, and Concorde, were propagated at four cardinal headings through data from three atmospheric models, the CFSv2, the Global Forecast System (GFS), and the ECMWF Reanalysis Version 5 (ERA5), at 100 global locations over 1 year. Results of a bootstrap forest predictor screening model indicated the importance of climate zone, ground elevation, season, and heading. Similar to the US study, the model indicated time of day was not an important predictor. The model also indicated that choice of weather model was not important, so the atmospheric model data are effectively interchangeable. The ERA5 model was chosen for use in an extension of the study to include 18 additional locations to ensure sampling of every climate zone. Loudness and CW results are shown in aggregate, and split geographically and by heading, season, and climate. Multiple linear regression models were fit to the data from the 118 locations so that estimates of loudness and CW can be produced around the world. N-waves and shaped booms did not have the same global variability. Koppen-Geiger climate zones were used as the climate zone definition for the global study. These are available as present-day and future climate projections. Making use of the multiple linear regression models, the future climate zones were input to estimate the effect of the changing climate on sonic boom loudness and CW. Results indicate that a changing climate would have little impact on the effectiveness of noise regulations.
The National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) has performed two supersonic flight test campaigns in preparation for the extensive ground measurements that will be taken during Quesst Phase 2 to verify the low boom from the X-59. The first test campaign was Carpet Determination In Entirety Measurements (CarpetDIEM) Phase II, with F/A-18B aircraft and a subscale ground sensor array and the second campaign was CarpetDIEM Phase III,with both F-15B and F/A-18D aircraft and a geographically large scale ground sensor array. CarpetDIEM Phase II served to evaluate prototypes of the state-of-the-art Ground Recording System (GRS) which NASA is developing in order to record the low boom of X-59. The prototype GRS measured both N-wave and evanescent wave sonic booms which were1.4±1.1PLdB from co-located truth sources during these flights. CarpetDIEM Phase II was also used to down select two NASA developed unattended trigger concepts, one based on Automatic Dependent Surveillance-Broadcast (ADS-B) and the other utilizing satellite communications. Both unattended trigger concepts performed well, with the ADS-B based concept being chosen at the conclusion of CarpetDIEM Phase II for integration with the GRS. CarpetDIEM Phase III was primarily a logistics risk-reduction effort for Quesst Phase 2, but also sought to evaluate the capabilities, including the newly implemented ADS-B unattended trigger, and ruggedness of the GRS during a long-term deployment. The F-15B stood in for the X-59, flying two different X-59flight profiles, including an accelerating climb maneuver. The GRS successfully self-triggered to capture 80% of sonic booms generated from both steady and dynamic flight maneuvers. Low booms, defined by the project as being≤80 PLdB, were recorded by the GRS near the end of CarpetDIEM Phase III. The GRS measured low booms were found to be within0.4±0.1PLdB of a co-located truth source.
Propagation simulations of sonic booms from supersonic aircraft through atmospheric data over time at fixed locations provides the opportunity to assess noise exposure statistics for different climate regions. Knowledge of climate-based differences in sonic boom noise exposure statistics is important to ensure that future civil supersonic aircraft noise certification standards are globally applicable and effective. In this presentation, simulated sonic booms from the NASA X-59 Quesst quiet supersonic aircraft and conventional supersonic aircraft were propagated through atmospheric data at 100 locations across the world using PCBoom. Noise exposure statistics are compared for propagation results from three different atmospheric databases (NOAA Global Forecast System, NOAA Climate Forecast System Version 2, and the ECMWF Reanalysis Version 5). These atmospheric models were chosen due to their global coverage, popularity, and database availability. Preliminary statistical models are fit to assess the impact of several factors including flight direction, season, ground elevation, and climate on noise exposure size and loudness. Areas with prevalence of higher noise due to their climate are identified, which could help inform future supersonic aircraft noise standards.
Student internships provide the opportunity for students to work side by side with a mentor to contribute to the NASA mission. During Fiscal Year 2018, NASA Armstrong welcomed students from universities in states ranging from Washington to Massachusetts. Student interns were represented in different organizations across NASA Armstrong and supported exciting projects such as SOFIA, X-57 Maxwell, UASNAS, FOSS, X-59 QueSST, TGALS, PRANDTL - M, and PRANDTL-D3c.