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DOE OSTI2021

Evaluating China's Road to Cyber Super Power

This report examines open source, non-classified qualitative analysis to evaluate China’s current cyber maturity. Evidence for this document draws on materials from academia, private cybersecurity companies, and national security research institutions. Private sector threat intelligence firms produce high quality analysis on Chinese APTs tactics, techniques, and procedures (TTPs), and investigation from companies such as FireEye illuminate China’s ability to wield cyber means for its security ends. None of the materials cited in this assessment originate from classified United States or foreign government sources. Any references to United States government sources are sourced entirely to unclassified information.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

DOE OSTI2021

Agricultural impacts of sustainable water use in the United States

Abstract Governance measures such as restrictions on groundwater pumping and adjustments to sectoral water pricing have been suggested as response strategies to curtail recent increases in groundwater pumping and enhance sustainable water use. However, little is known about the impacts of such sustainability strategies. We investigate the implications of such measures, with the United States (U.S.) as an example. Using the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM) with state-level details in the U.S., we find that the combination of these two governance measures can drastically alter agricultural production in the U.S. The Southwest stands to lose upwards of 25% of their total agricultural production, much of which is compensated for by production increases in river basins on the east coast of the U.S. The implementation of future sustainable water governance measures will require additional investments that allow farmers to maximize production while minimizing water withdrawals to avoid potentially detrimental revenue losses.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Optimality versus reality: Closing the gap between renewable energy decision models and government deployment in the United States

Energy decision models are widely used to evaluate the technical and economic feasibility of renewable energy, as well as to help inform the deployment of these technologies. However, a gap exists between the optimal model solutions and what is deployed. This paper explores why these gaps exist in the public sector using the results of interviews with 20 federal, state, and city government agencies that have used the Renewable Energy Integration and Optimization (REopt™) model to inform energy decisions. We then propose adaptations to technical modeling capabilities, and communication of results, which may help increase clean energy deployment. This research may be useful to both analytical modelers and the organizations using such decision tools to inform policy, regulation, planning, and deployment of clean energy systems.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2022

Life Cycle Assessment for Closed-Loop Pumped Hydropower Energy Storage in the United States

The federal government has initiated an aggressive set of policies to achieve a net-zero carbon emission goal for the electricity sector by 2050. As a result, rapid growth in deployment of renewable energy technologies is expected. Most commercially mature technologies are temporally variable and do not provide grid inertia, while renewable technologies with high projected deployment have intermittent generation methods. Energy storage technologies are needed to both dispatch power on-demand and help provide the needed grid inertia. Pumped storage hydro (PSH) is a well-established technology that has gained renewed interest in recent years offering energy-balancing, grid stability, control of electrical network frequency, and large-scale storage capacity. For widespread adoption of PSH, more information is needed regarding its current life cycle environmental impacts. The objective of this study is to perform a full life cycle assessment (LCA) of new closed-loop PSH in the U.S. The functional unit for this study is 1 kWh of electrical power delivered to the grid and the base case project lifetime is 80 years. The life cycle inventory for this project accounts for all material and energy flows associated with the green-field construction, operation, maintenance, and decommissioning of a closed-loop PSH plant in the U.S. Collected data represents a range of potential PSH specifications and geographic locations coming from all prospective closed-loop PSH installations in the U.S. with data available. In addition, existing PSH installations are used to provide assumptions for inventory inputs. Results presented will include the global warming potential (GWP IPCC 100a) and Energy Return on Investment (EROI) from our base case (average PSH installation) as well as from scenario analyses and model sensitivity. These results will be compared to the impacts from existing PSH sites and alternate storage technologies. Methods align with the assumptions and guidelines put in place by previous PSH LCAs to ensure an accurate comparison with the results from this report.

ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY,HYDRO ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Finding gaps in the national electric vehicle charging station coverage of the United States

Abstract The United States federal government has invested $7.5 billion into charging infrastructure, including the National Electric Vehicle Infrastructure Program, to build fast charging stations along designated highways for long-distance car travel. We develop a consecutive coverage metric to compute the percent of United States roads (traffic-weighted) that are consecutively accessible within 500 miles of each county. We answer (1) what the state of consecutive coverage is in each county and (2) what the increase in coverage is when designated highways receive fast chargers. In 2023, 10% of counties had at least 75% minimum viable coverage. We find that if all designated highways receive fast-charging stations, 94% of United States counties will reach at least 75% fast charger coverage. However, the remaining counties are rural. This demonstrates that federal funding for fast chargers will help connect most—but not all—counties to the national network of continuously accessible charging stations.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2023

Wettability Alteration with Weak Acid-Assisted Surfactant Flood

Oil-wetness and heterogeneity are two key reasons for low oil recovery by waterflooding in carbonate reservoirs. Surfactants have been effective in altering the oil-wet matrix to a more water-wet condition and initiating spontaneous imbibition. Because it takes time for the surfactant to alter wettability, oil recovery from the tight matrix is slow and sometimes not economically feasible. Acids have the potential of dissolving minerals, which may alter wettability. In this study, the enhanced oil recovery (EOR) performance of an acid-assisted surfactant solution, a novel technique, was evaluated for low-temperature applications. A set of acids and their acetates were tested. Bulk rock-acid reaction, wettability alteration (WA) tests, and spontaneous imbibition measurements were conducted at reservoir temperature (35°C) to identify effective candidates. Coreflood tests were then performed to evaluate the selected acid-surfactant formulations. Before and after a coreflood test, the core was scanned using micro-computed tomography (CT) to investigate pore structure alteration. Bulk reaction measurements showed that weak acids, especially acetic acid (AA), have the desired low reaction rates at 35°C. WA tests showed that AA can remove the crude oil off the rock surface and alter wettability through mineral dissolution. The surfactant can reduce contact angles from 160° to 58°; adding acid into the surfactant can further reduce it to 52°. Spontaneous imbibition experiments showed the synergy between the acid and the surfactant; the AA-surfactant solution had the highest oil recovery (62.6%) among acid-surfactant formulations. The acid improves the WA efficiency by the surfactant through surface mineral dissolution and lower ζ-potential. The imbibition transports the acid-surfactant solutions into the matrix, which minimizes face dissolution. Coreflood tests show that the AA-surfactant flood can increase the oil recovery rate and recover about 8% more oil compared to the surfactant flood. Micro-CT showed that a few mineral particles were transported along the core and partially plugged pore throats, which reduced permeability and diverted flow leading to improved oil recovery. Here, the transport of the acid in reservoirs and the potential plugging issues have to be carefully evaluated in future studies.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2020

Tailored Cyber Strategies for the 21st Century (Summary Report)

On December 9, 2020, Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) convened a diverse set of voices from across the federal government, the United States (U.S.) military, the private sector, and national laboratories to understand current and future trends affecting our national cyber strategy, and to illuminate the role of Federally Funded Research and Development Centers (FFRDCs) in contributing to national cyber strategy objectives.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2022

Earned Value Management Systems for Operations Activities

An earned value management system (EVMS), which monitors contractor performance, is a requirement for program and project management for all major acquisitions by the United States Federal Government with development effort: (i.e., an asset requiring management attention because of its importance to an agency’s mission; high development, operating, or maintenance costs; high risk and/or high return). As an area less explored in earned value management (EVM) practices, this paper will survey the application of an EVMS for operations activities defined as: (1) Non-capital asset activities that are projects (or project - like) with definable start and end dates, with discrete scopes of work, and measurable accomplishments; as well as (2) Routine or recurring facility or environmental operations. This paper will examine the use of an EVMS to evaluate performance of operations and maintenance activities required once construction of a capital asset is complete and being used as intended. Such activities include upgrades and maintenance in order for capital assets to meet their mission function over a life-cycle (through repair, replacement, etc.). This paper will provide background on this topic from the perspective of the Department of Energy (DOE) Environmental Management (EM) Program. In addition, it will provide material from a panel discussion provided by a group of experts from the October 2019 Office of Environmental Management Project Management Workshop, as well as material from subsequent research on this topic.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2023

Using Low-Field Nuclear Magnetic Resonance and X-Ray Computed Microtomography Imaging to Explore Potential of Microbially-Induced Calcium Carbonate Precipitation Treatment to Seal Shale Fractures

Microbially-induced calcium carbonate precipitation (MICP) is a biological process in which microbially produced urease enzymes convert urea and calcium into solid calcium carbonate (CaCO 3 ) deposits. Studies have shown that MICP can be used to seal fractures in shale, raising the possibility of applying this technology to restimulate fracking wells by plugging underperforming fractures. For this and other applications to become a reality, non-invasive tools are needed to determine how effectively MICP seals shale fractures under subsurface conditions. In this study, a 2.54 cm wide and 5.08 cm long Marcellus shale core with a single, ~1 mm wide fracture held open by sand "proppant" underwent MICP-treatment at 60°C until reaching three orders of magnitude permeability reduction. Low-field nuclear magnetic resonance (LF-NMR) and X-Ray computed microtomography (μ-CT) techniques were used to assess the extent of biomineralization within the fracture. These tools revealed that while CaCO 3 precipitation occurred throughout the fracture, there was preferential precipitation around proppant, and the core sealed at the effluent end before filling most of the fracture. Both tools were able to independently calculate of the amount of solid biomineral formed inside the fracture. Furthermore, this study found that the distribution of proppant within the shale fracture was an important parameter controlling the degree of biomineralization.

clastic rock↗

DOE OSTI2023

Developing Methods to Assess Changes in Mechanical Properties of Shale Modified by Engineered Mineral Precipitation

Fractures in subsurface shale formations serve multiple purposes, for example, in the recovery of resources in hydraulic fracturing or as potential harmful leakage passages through caprocks that may contribute undesired fluids to the atmosphere or functional groundwater aquifers. A proposed method to seal or influence fracture properties is Ureolysis-Induced Calcium Carbonate Precipitation (UICP), a bio-mineralization technology driven by the enzymatic hydrolysis of urea, resulting in the formation of calcium carbonate. The resulting calcium carbonate can bridge the gaps in fractured shale and reduce fluid flow through fractures. This study represents the first step toward determining the influence of UICP treatment on shale material and its subsequent mechanical strength properties. The goal of this preliminary work is twofold: first, we aim to identify a method to test tensile strength along a core axis and second, we seek to assess the effect of temperature on the tensile strength of intact, unfractured shale cores (2.54 cm (1 in) diameter, 5.08 cm (2 in) long for comparison with future fractured and UICP-treated cores. A modified Brazilian indirect tensile strength test successfully measured splitting tensile strength of shale cores from Eagle Ford and Wolfcamp formations at room temperature and 60°C.

clastic rock↗

DOE OSTI2020

ePROJECT BUILDER: PROMOTING WIDER ADOPTION OF ENERGY SAVINGS PERFORMANCE CONTRACTS THROUGH STANDARDIZATION AND TRANSPARENCY

The United States Federal Government has been conducting guaranteed savings energy savings performance contracts for over 20 years and now relies on ESPC for the majority of its energy efficiency work. Along with a related financed project type, these deals resulted in $4.2 billion of project investment in the five years ending in 2016, a pace that has even accelerated since. Measurement and verification (M&V) on the projects is the key to assuring savings realization and persistence. Perceived as a weakness or burdensome added cost in the early years of the program, M&V has become a strength. All energy conservation measures (ECMs) have some form of measurement – defined as a measured baseline establishment followed by at least one measurement of the main energy-saving parameter taken in the performance period for each ECM. The government’s in-house energy consulting office, the Federal Energy Management Program (FEMP), now recommends measurement of these “Option A” M&V ECMs throughout the contract term, usually annually. Moreover, a significantly higher percentage of projects are now characterized by more ambitious M&V, including Option B (all parameter measurement) for most generation (including renewable) and some efficiency measures, and more frequent Option C (whole facility utility bill analysis) for “deep retrofit” projects with multiple, interactive ECMs. Coincident with this progress in M&V has been a much greater embracing of ESPC by the federal agencies, resulting in the enormous rate of projects now executed. This paper traces the evolution of M&V in federal ESPC and argues that the heightened credibility of the savings has contributed significantly to the procurement vehicle’s long-term viability. This focus on savings integrity via M&V has been learned over two decades for U.S. federal ESPC, but countries with developing ESPC markets would be wise to emphasize it as their markets emerge, allowing them to avoid some of the “growing pains” experienced in the U.S.

Earni, Shankar↗

DOE OSTI2020

M&V in ESPC: The U.S. Federal Experience and Implications for Developing ESPC Markets

Coleman, Philip↗

DOE OSTI2020

M&V in ESPC: The U.S. Federal Experience and Implications for Developing ESPC Markets

The United States Federal Government has been conducting guaranteed savings energy savings performance contracts for over 20 years and now relies on ESPC for the majority of its energy efficiency work. Along with a related financed project type, these deals resulted in $4.2 billion of project investment in the five years ending in 2016, a pace that has even accelerated since.Measurement and verification (M&V) on the projects is the key to assuring savings realization and persistence. Perceived as a weakness or burdensome added cost in the early years of the program, M&V has become a strength. All energy conservation measures (ECMs) have some form of measurement – defined as a measured baseline establishment followed by at least one measurement of the main energy-saving parameter for a given ECM taken in the performance period. The government’s in-house energy consulting office, the Federal Energy Management Program (FEMP), now recommends measurement of these “Option A” M&V ECMs throughout the contract term, usually annually. Moreover, a significantly higher percentage of projects are now characterized by more ambitious M&V, including Option B (all parameter measurement) for most generation (including renewable) and some efficiency measures, and more frequent Option C (whole facility utility bill analysis) for “deep retrofit” projects with multiple, interactive ECMs. Coincident with this progress in M&V has been a much greater embracing of ESPC by the federal agencies, resulting in the enormous rate of projects now executed. This paper traces the evolution of M&V in federal ESPC and argues that the heightened credibility of the estimated (and guaranteed) savings has contributed significantly to the procurement vehicle’s long-term viability. This focus on savings integrity via M&V has been learned over two decades for U.S. federal ESPC, but countries with developing ESPC markets would be wise to emphasize it as their markets emerge, allowing them to avoid some of the “growing pains” experienced in the U.S.

Coleman, Philip↗

DOE OSTI2020

Quantifying Occupant Health and Productivity for Deep Retrofits: Beyond Traditional IEQ Studies

As energy-efficiency standards for both new construction and existing building renovations become more stringent, further reductions become less tractable and more expensive. With increasing interest and rising investment in healthy built environments, integrating energy efficiency with improved occupant experience (i.e., health, comfort, and work performance) offers a new path to drive deep energy retrofits. However, the difficulty in quantifying and verifying health and productivity gains from building upgrades leads to lower valuation of human benefits in practice. Building codes and standards have progressive energy targets but often give minimum requirements to occupant health for factors such as ventilation and thermal comfort. State and federal laws in the United States that govern the energy service performance contract (ESPC) have no clear and consistent guidance on quantifying non-energy benefits and incorporating them into a formal cost-effectiveness analysis. This paper presents a methodology to measure a building’s potential performance improvement regarding occupant health based on existing evidence correlating IEQ to occupant outcomes. Health improvement measures are integrated with a building energy model to identify and measure the impact of holistic improvement strategies. The net present value of these measures is determined based on the investment costs required to attain those improvements, energy savings, and personnel gains. We will discuss results from one pilot building, which showed nearly $50 per square foot 20-year net present value using the integrated approach.

Keene, Kevin M.↗

DOE OSTI2025

Nanolipoprotein particle (NLP) vaccine confers protection against Yersinia pestis aerosol challenge in a BALB/c mouse model

Introduction: Yersinia pestis is the etiological agent of plague, a disease that remains a concern as demonstrated by recent outbreaks in Madagascar. Infection with Y. pestis results in a rapidly progressing illness that can only be successfully treated with antibiotics given shortly after symptom onset. Live attenuated or whole cell inactivated vaccines confer protection against bubonic plague, but pneumonic plague has been more difficult to prevent. Novel effective subunit vaccine formulations may circumvent some of these shortfalls. Here, we compare the immunogenicity generated by an advanced subunit vaccine (F1V fusion protein) and a nanolipoprotein particle (NLP)-based vaccine. Methods: The NLP, a high-density lipoprotein mimetic, provides a nanoscale delivery platform for recombinant Y. pestis antigens LcrV (V) and F1. BALB/c mice were immunized via subcutaneous injection twice, three or four weeks apart. Four weeks later, splenocytes and sera were collected for immune profiling, and mice were challenged with aerosolized Y. pestis CO92. Results: Both formulations induced a strong IgG response against the F1 and V proteins, along with a robust memory B cell response and a balanced cell-mediated immune response as evidenced by both Th1- and Th2-related cytokines. The NLP-based vaccine induced a stronger cytokine response against F1, V, and F1V proteins relative to the F1V vaccine. As with F1V, the inclusion of Alhydrogel (Alu) in NLP vaccine formulations was critical for enhanced immunogenicity and protective efficacy. Mice that received two doses of F1:V:NLP + Alu and CpG were completely protected from a challenge with approximately eight median lethal doses of aerosolized Y. pestis CO92 and this protection confirmed the well-documented synergy between the F1 and V antigens in context of pneumonic plague. The NLPs have defined regions of polarity that facilitates the incorporation of a wide range of adjuvants and antigens with distinct physicochemical properties and are an excellent candidate platform for the development of multi-antigen vaccines.

F1↗

DOE OSTI2025

Under-capacitated and over-powered? Rural austerity and asymmetrical negotiating relationships in US wind energy development

Though rural local governments are central actors in renewable energy development, local governments in the United States (US) remain systematically under-funded. This paper considers what the manifestations of austerity in local governments broadly and rural localities specifically mean for renewable energy development and for energy transitions. Drawing on a survey of 262 elected county officials with experience with wind energy in eight US states, this paper asks how local officials understand the impacts of wind development, how local governments are involved in wind energy negotiations, how the resources and expertise needed to navigate negotiations are distributed among counties, and analyze the relationship between local capacity, access to resources, and involvement in negotiations. We find that local officials express simultaneously affective and material concerns with the impacts of wind development and see negotiations with the developer as central to realizing local benefits. However, the expertise and staffing needed to negotiate with developers is less accessible to poorer or sparsely populated counties, and counties with lower overall revenues have narrower scopes of negotiation, and counties incre. Our results suggest that uneven rural capacity heightens an already asymmetrical relationship between localities and developers. In analyzing how infrastructure developments are shaped by relationships between localities and developers that are conditioned by austerity and (under)capacity, this paper contributes to and bridges scholarly discussions on rural austerity, rescaling, and renewable energy transitions. These results challenge conventional wisdoms around centralizing energy siting processes, contextualize popular and academic debates about opposition to renewable energy development, and highlight the need for rural reinvestment to realize meaningfully participatory energy developments.

Elmallah, Salma↗

DOE OSTI2025

Corrigendum to ‘Under-capacitated and over-powered? Rural austerity and asymmetrical negotiating relationships in US wind energy development’ [J. Rural Stud., 119 (2025) 1–14]

The authors regret that there is an incomplete sentence in the abstract of the article, and request that the portion “, and counties incre” be deleted from the abstract (found at the end of the sentence beginning with “However …”). The portion to be deleted is underlined and bolded below. The authors would like to apologise for any inconvenience caused. Current abstract: Though rural local governments are central actors in renewable energy development, local governments in the United States (US) remain systematically under-funded. This paper considers what the manifestations of austerity in local governments broadly and rural localities specifically mean for renewable energy development and for energy transitions. Drawing on a survey of 262 elected county officials with experience with wind energy in eight US states, this paper asks how local officials understand the impacts of wind development, how local governments are involved in wind energy negotiations, how the resources and expertise needed to navigate negotiations are distributed among counties, and analyze the relationship between local capacity, access to resources, and involvement in negotiations. We find that local officials express simultaneously affective and material concerns with the impacts of wind development and see negotiations with the developer as central to realizing local benefits. However, the expertise and staffing needed to negotiate with developers is less accessible to poorer or sparsely populated counties, and counties with lower overall revenues have narrower scopes of negotiation, and counties incre. Our results suggest that uneven rural capacity heightens an already asymmetrical relationship between localities and developers. In analyzing how infrastructure developments are shaped by relationships between localities and developers that are conditioned by austerity and (under)capacity, this paper contributes to and bridges scholarly discussions on rural austerity, rescaling, and renewable energy transitions. These results challenge conventional wisdoms around centralizing energy siting processes, contextualize popular and academic debates about opposition to renewable energy development, and highlight the need for rural reinvestment to realize meaningfully participatory energy developments.

Elmallah, Salma↗

DOE OSTI2023

Accelerating Informed Local Climate Action by Improving Access to DOE Predictive Modeling and Science-Based Tools

The threat of climate change is becoming increasingly urgent, and local governments across the United States are working to develop and implement climate action plans to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and mitigate the impacts of climate change. At the same time, the U.S. Department of Energy's Office of Science, Earth and Environmental Systems Sciences Division (EESSD) has been developing a range of tools and technologies to help predict the potential multi-faceted impacts from climate change given varying environmental and socioeconomic scenarios. However, local governments have been slow to engage with these scientific assets due to a lack of understanding and awareness. The DOE researchers interviewed highlighted three primary types of resources that could benefit local governments and climate practitioners: climate models, modeled datasets, and scientific journal articles. Although many of these resources are open source and available to the public, there were several challenges identified in translating these resources and their research insights directly to decision-makers.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗