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NASA NTRS2014

AE Geomagnetic Index Predictability for High Speed Solar Wind Streams: A Wavelet Decomposition Technique

High speed solar wind streams cause geomagnetic activity at Earth. In this study we have applied a wavelet interactive filtering and reconstruction technique on the solar wind magnetic field components and AE index series to allowed us to investigate the relationship between the two. The IMF Bz component was found as the most significant solar wind parameter responsible by the control of the AE activity. Assuming magnetic reconnection associated to southward directed Bz is the main mechanism transferring energy into the magnetosphere, we adjust parameters to forecast the AE index. The adjusted routine is able to forecast AE, based only on the Bz measured at the L1 Lagrangian point. This gives a prediction approximately 30-70 minutes in advance of the actual geomagnetic activity. The correlation coefficient between the observed AE data and the forecasted series reached values higher than 0.90. In some cases the forecast reproduced particularities observed in the signal very well.The high correlation values observed and the high efficacy of the forecasting can be taken as a confirmation that reconnection is the main physical mechanism responsible for the energy transfer during HILDCAAs. The study also shows that the IMF Bz component low frequencies are most important for AE prediction.

Space weather↗
NASA NTRS1995

Magnetic observations during the recent declining phase of solar activity

Changes in the heliospheric magnetic field during the recent declining phase in solar activity are reviewed and compared with observations during past sunspot cycles. The study is based principally on data obtained by IMP-8 and Ulysses. The field magnitude is found to have increased during the declining phase until it reached a maximum value of 11.5nT in approximately 1991.5, approximately two years after sunspot maximum. The field of the sun's south pole became negative after a reversal in early 1990. The sector structure disappeared at Ulysses in April 1993 when the latitude of the spacecraft was -30 deg revealing a low inclination of the heliospheric current sheet. A large outburst of solar activity in March 1991 caused four Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) and numerious shocks at the location of Ulysses. Following a delay of more than a year, a series of recurrent high speed streams and Corotating Interaction Regions commenced in July 1992 which were observed by IMP-8, Ulysses and Voyager 2. In all these respects, the behavior of the magnetic field mimics that seen in the two earlier sunspot cycles. The comprehensive data set suggests a correlation between the absolute value of B and sunspot number. The major solar cycle variations in the radial component (and magnitude) of the field have been successfully reproduced by a recent model consisting of a tilted solar dipole, whose strength and tilt undergo characteristic changes over the sunspot cycle, and the heliospheric current sheet. The large outbursts of activity in mid-1972, mid-1982 and the first quarter of 1991 may represent a characteristic last 'gasp' of solar activity before the sun evolves to a different state. The recurrent high speed streams in 1973, 1984 and 1992 accompany the developemnt of large asymetrical polar coronal holes and the growth in intensity of the polar cap fields. After they endure for about one year, the polar coronal holes recede and the high speed streams are replaced by weaker streams more characteristic of solar minimum.

Smith, E. J.↗
NASA NTRS1992

Interaction of fast steady flow with slow transient flow - A new cause of shock pair and interplanetary B(z) event

The occurrence of the nonspiral magnetic field (high helium density) Cold Magnetic Enhancement and counterstreaming suprathermal electron flux in the slow flow around the forward shock indicates that the slow flow is a CME in interplanetary space (ICME). The characteristics of the field and plasma in the fast flow around the reverse shock is typical for a high speed stream. Thus the shock pair here appears to be caused by the interaction of a high speed stream with a slow ICME. The fact that a -B(z) event occurred in such a shock pair suggests that the slow ICME is disconnected from the sun. It is shown that compression alone appears to be adequate to explain the large southward IMF component within the shocked plasma because of the large southward field component present in the ICME ahead of the forward shock. In addition, a new method to infer the shock angle and Mach number from the observed upstream plasma B and the jump ratios of proton density and total magnetic flux density across a shock is described.

Zhao, Xuepu↗
NASA NTRS2010

Interplanetary Circumstances of Quasi-Perpendicular Interplanetary Shocks in 1996-2005

The angle (theta(sub Bn)) between the normal to an interplanetary shock front and the upstream magnetic field direction, though often thought of as a property "of the shock," is also determined by the configuration of the magnetic field immediately upstream of the shock. We investigate the interplanetary circumstances of 105 near-Earth quasi-perpendicular shocks during 1996-2005 identified by theta(sub Bn) greater than or equal to 80 degrees and/or by evidence of shock drift particle acceleration. Around 87% of these shocks were driven by interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs); the remainder were probably the forward shocks of corotating interaction regions. For around half of the shocks, the upstream field was approximately perpendicular to the radial direction, either east-west or west-east or highly inclined to the ecliptic. Such field directions will give quasi-perpendicular configurations for radially propagating shocks. Around 30% of the shocks were propagating through, or closely followed, ICMEs at the time of observation. Another quarter were propagating through the heliospheric plasma sheet (HPS), and a further quarter occurred in slow solar wind that did not have characteristics of the HPS. Around 11% were observed in high-speed streams, and 7% in the sheaths following other shocks. The fraction of shocks found in high-speed streams is around a third of that expected based on the fraction of the time when such streams were observed at Earth. Quasi-perpendicular shocks are found traveling through ICMEs around 2-3 times more frequently than expected. In addition, shocks propagating through ICMEs are more likely to have larger values of theta(sub Bn) than shocks outside ICMEs.

Richardson, I. G.↗
NASA NTRS1978

Characteristic electron variations across simple high-speed solar wind streams

The paper deals with electron variations across simple high-speed streams. Comprehensive scans of the shapes of electron distributions measured at the highest bulk speeds confirm the results of Rosenbauer et al. (1976, 1977) and show that the electron velocity distributions can be broken down into a low-energy or core component and a high-energy strongly beamed component. The low-energy component displays many characteristics expected from a fluid: the internal particle coupling necessary to maintain this state must result from both binary Coulomb collisions and wave-particle interactions. The high-energy or halo component displays many characteristics expected to develop in the absence of collisions beyond a certain base radius. These electrons appear to evolve under the primary influence of static interplanetary magnetic and electric fields and, therefore, develop very anisotropic velocity distributions.

Feldman, W. C.↗
NASA NTRS1976

Mariner 10 interplanetary magnetic field results

Interplanetary magnetic field data obtained by Mariner 10 between November 1973 and March 1974 are examined. Though large variations in the field due to the effects of high speed streams and stream-stream interactions were observed, on average the large scale interplanetary magnetic field radial component was found to have a distance dependence of r to the minus 2.0 plus or minus 0.3, while the azimuthal field component was found to vary as r to the minus 1.3 plus or minus 0.4, and a dependence of r to the minus 1.4 plus or minus 0.6 was found for the component normal to the solar equatorial plane. A close correspondence was found between the magnetic field stream signatures and persistent but evolving coronal hole regions on the sun, and a clear pattern of large southward fields in stream interaction regions and high levels of field fluctuations within the high-speed streams was detected.

Behannon, K. W.↗
NASA NTRS1974

Evidence of solar-cycle variations in the solar wind

Solar-wind observations are presented from July 1965 through June 1971 that show the first evidence for long-term variations in the solar wind associated with changes in the solar-cycle. The observations indicate that the frequency of high-speed streams in the solar wind and their duration vary over the solar cycle. There are more days associated with high-speed streams during solar maximum than during solar minimum. The yearly average of the solar-wind speed varies over the solar cycle and is highest at solar maximum. These measurements also provide the first direct observational evidence for changes in the solar wind which can account for the solar-cycle modulation of the cosmic-ray intensity.

Intriligator, D. S.↗
NASA NTRS1976

High-latitude observations of solar wind streams and coronal holes

Interplanetary scintillation observations of the solar wind velocity during 1973 and the first part of 1974 reveal several corotating high-speed streams. These streams, of heliographic latitudes from +40 deg to -60 deg, have been mapped back to the vicinity of the sun and have been compared with coronal holes identified in wide band XUV solar images taken during the manned portions of the Skylab mission. There is some evidence that the high-speed streams are preferentially associated with coronal holes and that they can spread out from the hole boundaries up to about 20 deg in latitude. However, this association is not one to one; streams are observed which do not map back to coronal holes, and holes are observed which do not lie at the base of streams. To the extent that a statistical interpretation is possible the association is not highly significant, but individual consideration of streams and holes suggests that the statistical result is biased somewhat against a strong correlation.

Ricket, B. J.↗
NASA NTRS1992

Initial overview of disconnection events in Halley's Comet 1986

We present an initial overview of the disconnection events (DE's) in Comet Halley in 1986. Although disconnection events are arguably the most spectacular of all dynamic comet phenomena, the mechanisms by which they occur are not fully understood. It is generally believed that the solar wind plays a major role in determining when disconnection events occur, but the details of the solar wind/cometary interactions responsible for initiating the tail disconnection are still under debate. The three most widely accepted models are: (1) high speed streams in the solar wind cause the tail to disconnect due to pressure effects; (2) decreased production of cometary ions in a high speed stream allows magnetic field to slip away from the comet; and (3) the tail disconnects after frontside reconnection of the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) as the comet crosses a magnetic field sector boundary. We find that the front-side magnetic reconnection model is the best explanation for the DE's we have considered.

Brandt, John C.↗
NASA NTRS1990

Large-scale variations of thermal electron parameters in the solar wind between 0.3 and 1 AU

Variations of thermal electron parameters in the solar wind are studied at heliocentric distances from 0.3 to 1 AU using Helios data from 1974 to spring 1976 just before solar minimum. Consideration is given to variations across plasma streams and across the sector structure of the IMF. It is found that, in high-speed streams in the interior of magnetic sectors, the electron temperatures are relatively low and strongly anisotropic. The electron temperatures become larger and less anisotropic toward sector boundaries in the slow solar wind. Radial gradients for the thermal electron parameters and polytrope indices for the core temperatures and electron temperatures are studied. Evidence is presented that the electrons in high-speed streams are heated by external heat sources. Interplanetary electrostatic potential differences caused by the thermal electron pressure gradients are estimated to be between 30 and 90 V.

Pilipp, W. G.↗
NASA NTRS1978

The prediction of fast stream front arrivals at the earth on the basis of solar wind measurements at smaller solar distances

The problems involved in the prediction of the arrival of fast solar wind streams at the earth on the basis of measurements made by space probes in the region between 0.3 and 1 AU are discussed. It is shown that arrival time predictions accurate to within a few hours that can be made at least as long as the large scale conditions on the Sun are relatively stationary as observed near the time of solar minimum. However, the latitudinal extent of the respective high speed streams is found to be important for making quantitative predictions. Coronal data sufficient for locating the sources of high speed streams can improve the precision of these predictions.

Rosenbauer, H.↗
NASA NTRS1991

An experimental study of curved mixing layers: Flow visualization using volume rendering

The existence and importance of large-scale spanwise vortical structures for 2-D straight mixing layers has been well documented in the last decade. Computer models and simulations have sought to reproduce these vortical structures associated with the Kelvin-Helmholtz (K-H) instability mode which is due to the shear per se. Secondary streamwise vortical structures for the same flows were also seen experimentally and have recently been given importance in computational efforts. Curved mixing layers can be characterized as stable (the high-speed stream is placed on the outside of the longitudinal bend), leading to a suppression of the Taylor-Gortler (T-G) instability, and unstable (high-speed stream on the inside of the bend), leading to an enhancement of the T-G instability. The T-G instability is associated with the centripetal acceleration that the curvature imparts. Thus, curvature superimposed on 2-D shear layer flows provides a way for studying the importance of streamwise vorticity, its competition with spanwise vorticity, and changes to entrainment and mixing. Furthermore, the outcome of the competition of a relatively enhanced or suppressed T-G instability with the K-H instability offers the possibility of achieving passive mixing enhancement. As a first step in understanding the competition between the K-H and the T-G instabilities and the resulting changes to the structure of the flow, highly resolved visualizations of the flow structure for the stable and the unstable configurations are provided. The straight layer is also visualized for comparison with earlier works.

Karasso, Paris S.↗
NASA NTRS1976

Coronal holes, solar wind streams, and recurrent geomagnetic disturbances - 1973-1976

Observations of coronal holes, solar-wind streams, and geomagnetic disturbances during 1973-1976 are compared in a 27-day pictorial format which shows their long-term evolution. The results leave little doubt that coronal holes are related to the high-speed streams and their associated recurrent geomagnetic disturbances. In particular, these observations strongly support the hypothesis that coronal holes are the solar origin of the high-speed streams observed in the solar wind near the ecliptic plane.

Sheeley, N. R., Jr.↗
NASA NTRS1989

Modeling of an interplanetary disturbance event tracked by the interplanetary scintillation method

The interplanetary disturbance event of August 25-29, 1978 was modeled in an attempt to reproduce the corresponding interplanetary scintillation observations and simultaneous ISEE-3 satellite data. A shock wave generated from the region of a disappearing filament on August 23 is shown to account for the observed shock wave structure, but not the broad high-speed stream behind the shock wave. A shock wave generated by the sudden activation of the coronal hole on the same day is able to account for the high-speed stream.

Akasofu, S.-I.↗
NASA NTRS1985

Study of dominating parameters of high speed solar plasma streams in relation to cosmic ray and geomagnetic storms

The high speed solar wind streams observed near Earth are generally associated with the solar features, such as solar flares and coronal holes. Past studies of these streams from the two sources have revealed distinctly different effects on cosmic ray intensity, whereas the effect is similar for geomagnetic disturbances. Moreover, the effect of the magnitude of the high speed streams (V) and its rate of increase (dv/dt) has also been a subject of investigation to understand their relative contribution in producing geomagnetic disturbances. From the analysis of some of the fast streams presented here, it is difficult to predict, which one of the two (V, dv/dt) is more effective in producing geo-magnetic disturbances. Further, in most of the cases, no substantial decrease in cosmic ray intensity is observed.

Mishra, B. L.↗
NASA NTRS1991

Numerical simulations of high-speed solar wind streams within 1 AU and their signatures at 1 AU

A parametric study of the evolution within, and signatures at, 1 AU of high-speed streams is performed with the use of a MHD two-and-a-half-dimensional time-dependent model. This study is an extension of an earlier one by Smith and Dryer (1990) who examined the ecliptic plane consequences of relatively short-duration, energetic solar disturbances. The present study examines both the erupting and corotating parts of long-duration, high-speed streams characteristic of coronal hole flows. By examining the variation of the simulated plasma velocity, density, temperature, and magnetic field at 1 AU, as well as the location of the solar coronal hole sources relative to the observer at 1 AU, it was possible to provide some insight into the identification of the solar sources of interplanetary disturbances. Two definitions for angle locating the solar source of interplanetary disturbances at 1 AU are presented and discussed. The results are applied to the suggestion by Hewish (1988) that low-latitude coronal holes are suitably positioned to be the sources of major geomagnetic storms when the holes are in the eastern half of the solar hemisphere at the time of the commencement of the storm. The results indicate that, for these cases, the streams emanating from within the hole must be very fast, greater than 1000 km/s, or very wide, greater than 60 deg, at the inner boundary of 18 solar radii.

Smith, Z.↗
NASA NTRS1980

The equatorial latitude of auroral activity during 1972-1977

The equatorial latitude of auroral activity has been derived from both electron and optical observations with the DMSP satellites. Virtually all of the observations obtained during the five-year interval June 1972-September 1977 have been used to construct a nearly continuous plot of invariant geomagnetic latitude versus time. This plot has two main characteristics: (1) a diurnal variation of approximately plus or minus 5 deg which is associated with the precession of the earth's magnetic dipole axis about the earth's rotation axis; and (2) an irregular variation of roughly 5-10 deg for intervals of one to several days associated with the occurrence of solar flares and coronal holes. Using a condensed, Bartels-type display of these measurements, it is concluded that: (a) modest auroral expansions (to latitude about 60 deg) occur during the main body of high-speed streams from coronal holes; (b) great expansions (to latitude less than 55 deg) occur only during intervals of intense interplanetary magnetic fields such as may occur at the leading edge of a high-speed stream or at a flare-produced interplanetary shock.

Sheeley, N. R., Jr.↗
NASA NTRS1992

The structure of the inner heliosphere from Pioneer Venus and IMP observations

The IMP 8 and Pioneer Venus Orbiter (PVO) spacecraft explore the region of heliographic latitudes between 8 deg N and 8 deg S. Solar wind observations from these spacecraft are used to construct synoptic maps of solar wind parameters in this region. These maps provide an explicit picture of the structure of high speed streams near 1 AU and how that structure varies with time. From 1982 until early 1985, solar wind parameters varied little with latitude. During the last solar minimum, the solar wind developed strong latitudinal structure; high speed streams were excluded from the vicinity of the solar equator. Synoptic maps of solar wind speed are compared with maps of the coronal source surface magnetic field. This comparison reveals the expected correlation between solar wind speed near 1 AU, the strength of the coronal magnetic field, and distance from the coronal neutral line.

Gazis, P. R.↗