RAVEN Sensitivity Analysis & Uncertainty Quantification_Workshop Material
This is a workshop material, introducing capabilities of RAVEN for sensitivity analysis and uncertainty quantification.
42 - ENGINEERING↗
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Results for “material analysis”
Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.
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Analysis as a Key Guiding Tool for Waste Carbon Utilization
Over a billion metric tons of waste and biomass are projected to be available in a future mature market in the United States. These resources represent an opportunity to decouple chemical and polymer production from conventional fossil fuel feedstocks, but such a broad solution space can also make for challenging decision-making. This talk will provide researchers with an introduction to key analysis techniques such as techno-economic analysis, life cycle assessment, and material flow analysis: how they are conducted and how they can be used to benchmark the costs, environmental impacts, and circularity of new innovations as well as to identify opportunities for prioritization and optimization. Using a series of examples related to plastic recycling and chemical manufacturing, we will explore how analysis can guide where and how to leverage waste carbon in supply chains towards a future circular economy.
chemical↗
On the bulk compaction of brittle granular materials, part I: SeS analysis of axial compression to 4000 MPa
The bulk compaction of granular materials has been studied for decades to interpret and manage responses for soils and powder-based component fabrication, and geophysical, celestial, and ballistic impact. Their bulk or macroscopic compaction response is limited by what occurs at the granular or microstructural scale. Motivation existed to more closely examine that association specific to granular brittle materials (e.g., ceramics and glasses). That examination is offered in a series of three companion papers where Part I describes a new supplemental analysis adopted to bulk compaction response involving relatively high compaction stresses (4000 MPa). Bulk compactions of vitreous silicates and crystalline quartzes were interpreted in three ways, including that of a new analysis that considers the product of void ratio (e) and stress (S) as a function of S, hereafter referred to as “SeS analysis”. In conclusion, the SeS analysis was found to be an informative supplement to conventional bulk compaction analyses because it provides more consistent higher sensitivity for the identification of bulk density rate increase with increasing compaction (softening); a rate increase that arises from the cumulative effect of the onsets and progression of compaction-induced yielding, fracture or comminution, densification, phase change, or combinations thereof occurring at the granular or microstructural scale.
compaction↗
DENNIS: a design and analysis tool for dynamic material x-ray diffraction experiments
We present DENNIS (Diffraction Experiment desigN and aNalysiS): a graphical software tool useful for the design and analysis of dynamic x-ray diffraction experiments, such as those performed on the Z Pulsed Power Facility, Thor Pulsed Power Generator, and Dynamic Compression Sector (DCS) of the Advanced Photon Source. DENNIS provides rapid powder and single-crystal diffraction pattern predictions and powder diffraction pattern image integration in three-dimensional geometries. Additional features include crystallographic information file reading, image processing, and synthetic diffraction pattern image generation. We overview the software's capabilities, detail the prediction and integration methodologies, and provide example implementations on Z and DCS experiments.
47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
Critical impact of experimentally-driven strut level anisotropic material models in advanced stress analysis of additively manufactured lattice structures
The rapid acceleration in materials discovery may overshadow the importance of thoroughly understanding the mechanical performance of newly developed materials in demanding environments. The recent interest in combining parametric studies with machine learning techniques to explore how changes in specific processing parameters or model inputs affect the overall behavior of a material system can only be truly beneficial if the governing constitutive relations describing material behavior are accurately established. In this study, we demonstrate the critical impact of accurately representing strut-level anisotropic material behavior in advanced stress analysis of additively manufactured lattice structures (AMLS). We introduce a systematic experimental and modeling approach for developing strut-level anisotropic elastoplastic material models that account for the influence of microstructural features such as porosity, texture, and surface roughness on the development of local anisotropic mechanical properties, which vary with strut orientation relative to the build direction (BD). As a result the presented material model captures and relates the statistics of spatially varying struts’ microstructural features to the local stress distribution. Our findings suggest that incorporating strut-level anisotropic material behavior into unit cell analysis significantly influences the load distribution and evolution of local stresses within the structure. Therefore, accounting for this anisotropy is critical for developing an understanding of unit cell behavior and performance, including subsequent topology/component design optimization based on this analysis.
Sahoo, Subhadip [University of Arizona]↗
Endpoint Slippage Analysis in the Presence of Impedance Rise and Loss of Active Material
Endpoint slippage analysis can be used to quantify the reduction and oxidation side-reactions occurring in rechargeable batteries. Application of this technique often disregards the interference of additional aging modes, such as impedance rise and loss of active material (LAM). Here, we show that these modes can themselves induce slippage of endpoints, making the direct determination of parasitic reactions more difficult. We provide equations that describe the slippages caused by LAM and impedance rise. We show that these equations can, in principle, account for the contribution of these additional modes to endpoint slippage, enabling “correction” of testing data to quantify the side-reactions of interest. However, the challenge with this approach is that it requires information about the average Li+ content of disconnected active material domains, which is, in many cases, unknowable. The present work explores mathematical connections between measurable quantities (such as capacity fade and endpoint slippages) and the extent of LAM or impedance rise endured by the cell, and discuss how the tracking of endpoints can better serve battery diagnostics.
Rodrigues, Marco-Tulio F. [Argonne National Labora↗
Analysis of Potential Target Materials for the Mu2e Production Target
The need for high intensity secondary beams in particular muon beams is becoming increasingly evident, necessitating innovation in target design. Ideal muon production targets are temperature stable while producing high muon yields. We have identified radiation length and nuclear interaction length as proxies for these parameters, with longer radiation length decreasing energy deposition in the target and shorter nuclear interaction length increasing muon yield. In this poster, we summarize some of our analysis of potential target materials in relation to these factors.
43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗
Environmental and socio-economic Pareto-front trade-off analysis of U.S. PET packaging material in a circular economy
Various recycling technologies are emerging to implement circular economy in plasticssupply chain systems. However, the environmental and socio-economic trade-offs of in circular economy are not well understood at a systems level. Particularly, quantifying these trade-offs as a function of end-of-life (EOL) management decisions, including transition of recycling technologies, systems level metrics such as circularity, recycled content, and the need for fossil-derived plastics are not well understood. Here, the present study addressed these research gaps by applying a systems analysis modeling approach that utilizes material flow analysis, life cycle assessment, socioeconomic data, and system optimization techniques for polyethylene terephthalate (PET) packaging supply chains in the United States. Pareto-front trade-offs between conflicting environmental and socio-economic impacts as well as those between socioeconomic impacts and circularity were explored using the epsilon constraint method. The Pareto-front trade-off analysis revealed the transition of EOL management strategies for PET packaging systems, including changes in selection of recycling technologies, to aid decision making process by quantifying studied system metrics. Transitioning from environmentally optimal to socio-economically optimal systems led to increased employment (by 17%), wages (by 26%), and revenues (by 6%) but also led to increased global warming potential (GWP; by 65%), energy consumption (by 59%), and reliance on fossil PET in the system (by 78%). Finally, the results show that there is not a unique set of recycling technologies to achieve a sustainable circular economy of PET packaging system, instead it depends on the decision maker’s objectives and targeted metrics of the system.
54 - ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES/GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE ↗
Operando pair distribution function analysis of nanocrystalline functional materials: the case of TiO 2 -bronze nanocrystals in Li-ion battery electrodes
Structural modelling of operando pair distribution function (PDF) data of complex functional materials can be highly challenging. To aid the understanding of complex operando PDF data, this article demonstrates a toolbox for PDF analysis. The tools include denoising using principal component analysis together with the structureMining , similarityMapping and nmfMapping apps available through the online service `PDF in the cloud' ( PDFitc , https://pdfitc.org/). The toolbox is used for both ex situ and operando PDF data for 3 nm TiO 2 -bronze nanocrystals, which function as the active electrode material in a Li-ion battery. The tools enable structural modelling of the ex situ and operando PDF data, revealing two pristine TiO 2 phases (bronze and anatase) and two lithiated Li x TiO 2 phases (lithiated versions of bronze and anatase), and the phase evolution during galvanostatic cycling is characterized.
Chemistry↗
Liquid lithium divertor analysis using coupled plasma material interaction model
A liquid lithium divertor can improve performance of future fusion devices by creating efficient power exhaust and improving the energy confinement via pumping of the hydrogen isotopes. In addition, significantly higher heat fluxes can be handled if controlled vapor shielding is used to redistribute the divertor heat flux over a wider area. Design and optimization of such a system calls for an analysis model which includes a strong two-way coupling between the plasma and divertor material. The incoming plasma heat and particle flux will affect the divertor surface temperature, which is a defining factor of the lithium evaporative and sputtered flux going into the plasma. Results of the coupled model based on the plasma edge code SOLPS-ITER and the computational fluid dynamics (CFD) code ANSYS-CFX will be presented for different configurations. An analytical slab flow model is used as a heat transfer boundary condition for SOLPS, defining particle flux from the wall via calculation of the surface temperature. At the final step, results of the SOLPS analysis are verified using a 3D CFD magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) analysis which uses heat and particle flux from SOLPS as a boundary condition. In addition to plasma heat flux, both analytical and CFD temperature models include several plasma material interaction effects, such as lithium evaporation, condensation and sputtering based on deuterium target flux. New adatom sputtering model based on the available experimental data is presented. Analytical model is expanded to include free surface axisymmetric configurations. Results of parametric studies of the divertor configurations with different lithium inlet temperature and velocity will be presented leading to the optimal design resulting in the lowest possible lithium contamination in the core.
70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
Clustering Algorithm for AM Parts using GSH and EDT with Autoencoder
SAND2025-10103O The Clustering Algorithm for AM Parts Using GSH and (EDT With Autoencoder is a software tool. It uses a clustering algorithm for additive manufacturing (AM) parts using generalized spherical harmonics (GSH) and Euclidean distance transform (EDT) with an autoencoder to quantify material microstructure. The tool offers improved sensitivity to microstructural changes compared to traditional approaches. The tool integrates multiple microstructural properties, such as grain morphology, crystallographic orientation, and material phase information, to provide a comprehensive analysis of material microstructures. Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-NA0003525.
Rodgers, Theron [Sandia National Lab. (SNL-CA), Li↗
A Method for Producing Hierarchical and Statistically Calibrated Predictions of Nuclear Material Properties from Existing Models
Computer vision-based analysis of micrographs of nuclear materials is an emerging technique for property prediction, synthetic route identification, and other material analysis tasks. These analysis tasks play a pivotal role in many material characterization applications such as signature development for treaty verification, process optimization, etc. The backbone in many of the recent computer vision-based techniques is a deep learning model, which takes a fixed-size set of pixels and provides a class prediction for that set of pixels. For example, previous work developed a deep convolutional neural network (CNN) to predict the synthetic route from a 256 px x 256 px patch taken from a larger image of uranium ore concentrates. In this work, we present several methods for first calibrating these models in a manner that they can provide accurate probabilities of their predictions’ veracity, and several methods of combining these probabilities. Overall, the combination of these two steps into a pipeline allows for full-image and even full-sample (where a sample has many images) predictions with associated confidence values. Finally, we show that one can also use the patch predictions and confidence to produce a visualization to map predicted constituents through the image. Results and examples for predicting and mapping uranium ore concentrates’ synthetic process from imagery will be presented.
artificial intelligence↗
Enhancing supply resilience for critical materials: case study of gallium supply in the United States
Accelerating energy technology development will increase demand for critical raw materials, such as gallium, that enable clean energy technologies. Processing of gallium is concentrated in mainland China (98 % of global production in 2023), resulting in high supply risks for importing countries. To investigate pathways for more resilient supply, we develop a material flow analysis and apply it to the United States, showing the impacts of future domestic primary raw material production and end-of-life (EoL) product recycling on reducing import reliance of raw gallium metal. We complement this analysis with a techno-economic assessment of North American gallium production costs under various demand growth scenarios. Our results indicate that sufficient domestic feedstocks exist to meet U.S. demand under most scenarios by 2035, while EoL recycling can supply up to 50 % under a low-demand growth scenario. Domestic primary production shows significant cost advantages over gallium recycling.
Cost analysis↗
PV backsheets survey protocol: A framework for geo-spatial field surveys for bulk material characterization and reliability analysis applied across 41 PV systems
As widespread adoption of photovoltaic (PV) technologies continues, understanding the lifetime of modules is paramount to the viability of the industry as an environmentally conscious alternative to traditional energy generation. Although power degradation can affect the total energy production of a module over its lifetime, module safety failures necessitate the removal of a module leading to a loss of not only the particular asset, but the earning potential of the device. Therefore, it is critical to ensure that the components that provide essential safety functions for PV module operate for their entire rated lifetime. PV backsheets provide necessary electrical insulation to the completed device and failure of this component is cause for a immediate removal of the module. Degradation of the PV module backsheet has led to module safety failures in large-scale installations, costing millions of dollars in damages and lost potential revenue. The spatio-temporal degradation of fielded PV modules is important to study in order to identify which modules within installations are experiencing the greatest exposure conditions and in turn have the highest chance of failure. This paper describes a comprehensive field survey protocol developed for monitoring PV module backsheet performance using solely non-destructive methods in commercial PV fields. The protocol establishes a field naming convention, sampling method, data handling requirements, and measurement procedures. By ensuring consistent data collection practices, the field survey protocol enables research groups to obtain data of uniform quality on backsheet performance over multiple years and locations. In this study, the developed protocol was implemented at forty-one PV sites. Eight different types of airside layer backsheet materials including poly(vinylidene fluoride) (PVDF), acrylic PVDF, poly(tetrafluoroethylene-co-hexafluoropropylene-co-vinylidene fluoride) (THV), poly(vinyl fluoride) (PVF), poly(ethylene terephthalate) (PET), fluoroethylene vinyl ether (FEVE), polyethylene naphthalate (PEN), and glass were identified using attenuated total reflection Fourier transform infrared (ATR-FTIR) spectroscopy. The field survey results show that the spatial distribution of degradation indicators are non-uniform within a particular module, individual site, and across site locations. The degradation of PV modules increased in severity for modules mounted at the edge of rows (across a field) and near the junction box (within a module). This study demonstrates the sensitivity of material performance to exposure length across different materials and climates.
14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
Boron isotopic analysis in bulk silicate materials using the Neoma MS/MS MC-ICP-MS
Boron (B) isotopes are a valuable tracer with applications ranging from geological, environmental, and nuclear studies because B isotopic fractionation is highly sensitive to chemical processes yielding distinct isotopic trends in natural and anthropogenic systems. Despite this wide applicability, there remain relatively few measurements on well-described reference materials and in some cases, poor agreement between various methods. We report a method for boron isotope ratio measurement in solution on the Neoma MS/MS MC-ICP-MS specifically targeting bulk silicates. We evaluate the performance of the method and instrument as it relates to the measurement of the absolute boron isotope ratio ( 10 B/ 11 B). The results indicate that the method produces data in agreement with literature values and that the sample–standard bracketing technique is appropriate for the Neoma MS/MS MC-ICP-MS which has been in use for decades on previous generation instruments. Careful tuning of the MS/MS lenses is required to obtain precision comparable to non MS/MS equipped MC-ICP-MS. With careful tuning, internal and external precisions of ∼0.3‰ were achieved. However, when the MS/MS is not properly tuned external precisions exceed 3‰. Nevertheless, our results for IAEA B-6, BCR-2, BHVO-2 and W-2a reference materials overlap the 1σ range of previously reported 10 B/ 11 B. Data are reported for total boron quantities down to a few tens of nanograms. Our procedure yielded blanks as low as 3 ng but up to 29 ng, making blank corrections important for small samples sizes in the few 10s of nanogram range. We report B isotope ratios for AGV-2G, SL-1G, GSC-2G, GSD-2G, GSE-2G, RLS-132, RLS-140, NKT-1G, and T1-G glass reference materials that have not been previously reported in the literature.
Scott, Sean R. [Pacific Northwest National Laborat↗
Analysis of nickel sulfoselenide materials by XPS
Metal chalcogenides are of interest as electrocatalysts, battery materials, and more. XPS is a valuable tool for studying changes to these materials before and after catalysis, making reference spectra for the pristine materials valuable. Here, we present XPS spectra for a family of nickel sulfoselenide (NiSSe) materials based on the Ni 3 X 2 crystal structure, Ni 3 S 2-x Se x . XPS surveys and high-resolution spectra of Ni 2p, S 2p, S 2s, Se 3d, Se 3p, and Se 3s were recorded using Al K α radiation.
36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
A Novel Concentrating Solar Weathering Apparatus for Experimental Validation of Multi-Modal Degradation Models
High-performance coatings for Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) receivers are subjected to remarkable environmental stressors during normal operations. Applied to the receiver tubes, these coatings serve to maximize the solar absorptivity of the receiver, transferring as much heat as possible from the solar collectors into the heat-transfer fluid (HTF). The lifecycle of these coatings is not well-defined, and the harsh operational conditions make them difficult to test. NREL has designed, built, and tested an apparatus to expose these samples to design levels of environmental stress and well beyond, into accelerated and destructive conditions. The chamber is actively cooled, monitored, and has the capability to supply humidification for cycling tests, allowing us to test multi-modal degradation and failure conditions at high temperature, high flux, and high humidity conditions. These conditions can catalyze high-temperature oxidation, mechanical degradation, and other modes of absorptivity loss seen in selective solar receiver coatings. The experimental data can feed lifecycle models for expensive and necessarily resilient materials, offering insights to aid maintenance schedules, technoeconomic analysis, and material industry performance benchmarks. This presentation will demonstrate the apparatus design and performance, as well as initial results for aging on a selective receiver coating.
14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
Project No. 5: Evaluating Dredged Materials for Energy Storage Applications with Economic and Carbon Benefits (CRADA Final Report)
The New York Power Authority (NYPA) is committed to supporting the Climate Leadership and Community Protection Act (CLCPA) through its VISION2030 strategic plan. As a clean energy provider, NYPA is seeking to demonstrate leadership in every aspect of its business by taking a comprehensive approach to sustainability management and integrating sustainability principles into day-to-day decision-making. This effort includes planning for climate resilience through projects that mitigate climate risk in our operations and prioritize climate opportunities in our investments. Canal Corporation, a subsidiary of NYPA, is charged with maintaining minimum water depths for navigation in the Cayuga-Seneca, Champlain, Erie and Oswego Canals. In order to do so, an average volume of 280,000 cubic yards of sediment is dredged annually and held in Upland Disposal Sites (UDS) permitted by the New York Department of Environmental Conservation (NYSDEC). The required on-land storage at UDSes are nearing capacity, and disposal opportunities are costly, both economically and environmentally. Novel energy storage technology developed by NREL provides an opportunity for meeting NYPA's need to find reuse options for dredged materials and commitment to providing clean reliable energy. This would also support NYPA's goal of developing 300 MW of utility scale storage and enabling 150 MW of distributed storage by 2030. NREL will consult NYPA on the environmental and economic impact of reusing dredged materials as useful commodities such as energy storage media, construction sand or industrial uses. Test and material characterization methods will be based on current NREL storage material characterization approaches. NREL worked with NYPA on sample preparation, material testing, test results analysis. Test and material characterization methods were based on current NREL storage material characterization approaches. The team analyzed the environmental and economic impact of reusing dredged materials as useful commodities such as energy storage media, construction sand or industrial uses. The test and analysis works have achieved the project goal in characterizing NYPA dredging materials and verifying their various uses including construction sand and thermal energy storage media. Uses of dredging materials as useful materials will bring economic and environmental benefits and avoid disposal costs.
25 ENERGY STORAGE↗