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DOE OSTI2024

Predictive Indicators of the Performance of Large Language Models

In several mission contexts, it is desirable to estimate the performance of large language models (LLMs) on tasks that we cannot run directly. In light of published “scaling laws” our hypothesis is that some tasks should be consistently more challenging than others based on characteristics of the task. The goal of this project was to begin quantifying how much information about LLM performance can be gained from the features of a model and a task. Two of our statistical models struggled to converge. Pass/fail test results may provide limited information for inference beyond model quality and task difficulty, but we see no evidence at this time for significant feature interaction effect sizes, arguing for simple models. Future work extending the models to capitalize on perplexity of ground truth answers is suggested. This project also introduces “Depth of Knowledge Variant Testing” as a strategy for more finely assessing language models on open domain question and answer tasks. We developed sets of questions that ask a language model to produce similar information while demonstrating increasing depth of knowledge, and also relabeled existing Q&A test questions with their depth of knowledge. Our results suggest further consideration of Bloom’s taxonomy and further refinement of prompts to properly elicit information at varying depths. In the course of this work, we set up a basic infrastructure for standardizing tasks and testing many language models on these tasks. In addition to testing the predictive quality of model features and performance across test suites, with this project we have introduced two new task features to contextualize each test question: the Dewey Classification main category of information covered, and the Bloom’s taxonomy level that corresponds to the depth of knowledge probed by the question. Splits across these and other features produced over five hundred task subtypes with distinct feature vectors, which we tested on half a dozen models.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2022

Material Resilience in Harsh Service Conditions

Resilience describes the attributes of a material that allow it to withstand or resist detrimental environmental effects degrading properties and performance. In service, materials may experience harsh or extreme conditions, but even modest thermal or load conditions experienced over a long period can degrade performance. Thus, the National Nuclear Security Administration mission requires predictive understanding of materials performance in harsh and extreme conditions over long periods. This performance is particularly relevant for applications in which replacement is impractical, impossible, or costly. This area of leadership addresses the evolution of material properties in environments that include static and dynamic stress, radiation, and chemical or thermal extremes. A particular focus is on situations when environments coexist or for which collection of experimental data is challenging or impossible. The capability to predict and control the nature and evolution of properties to allow designing resilience is a crucial aspect of mission success in national nuclear, global, and energy security.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2022

Thermal performance sensitivity to radial power flattening considerations in Nuclear Thermal Propulsion Reactors

Nuclear thermal propulsion is currently being developed for manned Mars and Lunar missions by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration due to its increased specific impulse and significant thrust to reduce the total trip time and cost of deep space missions. To maximize the performance of the engine the exit hydrogen propellant temperature should, ideally, be uniformly distributed among all the fuel elements. Uniform exit temperatures imply that the power must be flattened as much as possible. This paper leverages decoupled neutronic and thermal-hydraulic models to assess the thermal performance and reactivity tradeoffs associated with flattening the radial power distribution by adjusting the fuel kernel loading for each fuel element within the core. The results suggest that a uniform radial power distribution for a single control drum position will not necessarily yield an optimal core design due to the higher variance in power and thus maximum fuel and exit propellant temperature as the control drums rotate out during operation. The results presented here only point to the design characteristics be considered when core-level multi-physics simulations are applied in the context of a specific mission. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Quantum Computing Technology Roadmaps and Capability Assessment for Scientific Computing - An analysis of use cases from the NERSC workload

The National Energy Research Scientific Computing Center (NERSC), as the high-performance computing (HPC) facility for the Department of Energy’s Office of Science, recognizes the essential role of quantum computing in its future mission. In this report, we analyze the NERSC workload and identify materials science, quantum chemistry, and high-energy physics as the science domains and application areas that stand to benefit most from quantum computers. These domains jointly make up over 50% of the current NERSC production workload, which is illustrative of the impact quantum computing could have on NERSC’s mission going forward. We perform an extensive literature review and determine the quantum resources required to solve classically intractable problems within these science domains. This review also shows that the quantum resources required have consistently decreased over time due to algorithmic improvements and a deeper understanding of the problems. At the same time, public technology roadmaps from a collection of ten quantum computing companies predict a dramatic increase in capabilities over the next five to ten years. Our analysis reveals a significant overlap emerging in this time frame between the technological capabilities and the algorithmic requirements in these three scientific domains. We anticipate that the execution time of large-scale quantum workflows will become a major performance parameter and propose a simple metric, the Sustained Quantum System Performance (SQSP), to compare system-level performance and throughput for a heterogeneous workload.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2021

Engineering Programs and Opportunities: Los Alamos National Laboratory and Sigma Division [Slides]

Our core mission is to ensure the U.S. nuclear deterrent. Our stockpile is as unique in manufacturing as the engine of this sports car. Los Alamos’s mission is ensure the safety, reliability, and performance of stockpile. Los Alamos uses a combination of fundamental science, sub-critical testing, and high performance computing and modeling to accomplish this mission

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2022

X-Ray Performance of Critical-angle Transmission Grating Prototypes for the Arcus Mission

Arcus is a proposed Explorer Class soft X-ray grating spectrometer. It aims to explore cosmic feedback by mapping hot gases within and between galaxies and galaxy clusters and characterizing jets and winds from supermassive black holes and to investigate the dynamics of protoplanetary disks and stellar accretion. Arcus features 12 m focal-length grazing-incidence silicon pore optics (SPO) developed for the Athena mission. Critical-angle transmission (CAT) gratings efficiently disperse high diffraction orders onto CCDs. We report new and improved X-ray performance results for Arcus-like CAT gratings, including a record resolving power for two coaligned CAT gratings. Multiple Arcus prototype grating facets were illuminated by an SPO at the PANTER facility. The facets consist of 32 × 32.5 mm 2 patterned silicon membranes, bonded to metal frames. The bonding angle is adjusted according to the measured average tilt angle of the grating bars in the membrane. Two simultaneously illuminated facets show a minor broadening of the Al-K α doublet in the 18th and 21st orders with the best-fit record effective resolving power of ${R}_{G}\approx {1.3}_{-0.5}^{+\infty }\times {10}^{4}$ (3σ), about three to four times the Arcus requirement. We measured the diffraction efficiency of quasi-fully illuminated gratings at O-K wavelengths in orders 4–7 in an Arcus-like configuration and compare results with synchrotron spot measurements. After corrections for geometrical effects and bremsstrahlung continuum, we find agreement between full and spot illumination at the two different facilities, as well as with the models used for Arcus effective area predictions. We find that these flight-like gratings meet the diffraction efficiency and greatly exceed the resolving power Arcus requires.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Berkeley Lab 2021 Annual Financial Report

Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL) continued to successfully operate during the ongoing COVID pandemic, providing world-class science facilities to both researchers and scientific users in its five national user facilities. The dedication and commitment of the Lab community to continuing the Lab’s mission has been unparalleled during this difficult time. Due to the diligence of the Lab’s Operations teams and each person who came on site, the Lab was able to safely operate these facilities. In December, the Lab received its annual appraisal from the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). The Lab received “A” grades for each of the performance goals which include mission accomplishment, leadership, health and safety, security and emergency management, business systems, and facilities. The University of California manages the Lab on behalf of the DOE.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2022

Research and Test Reactor Fuels

PRO-RR is the research reactor focused program element of the broader Proliferation Resistance Optimization program (PRO-X) under the National Nuclear Safety Administration (NNSA) in the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). PRO-X provides a framework for integrating proliferation resistance in nuclear system designs to minimize weapons usable nuclear materials (WUNM) production and diversion pathways while optimizing systems performance for peaceful use missions. PRO-RR applies the PRO-X mission objectives to research reactor system design. This document serves as one of the foundational documents for the PRO-RR-Fuel System Design technical team by documenting current research reactor fuels usage. The PRO-RR-Fuel System Design technical team consists of subject matter experts from Argonne National Laboratory (Argonne) and Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL). In order to determine the preferred fuel of use in upcoming research and test reactors to optimize proliferation resistance, performance, and safety, it is useful to assess the fuels that have been used in the past, or are currently in use. This report reviews the historical and current fuels used in research and test reactors to inform future fuel selection. Chapter 2 discusses the low-enriched uranium (LEU) fuels currently in use in terms of thermal power level and utilization of the reactor. Chapter 3 summarizes the fabrication processes for common fuel types. Chapter 4 discusses in detail the fuel types in use in research and test reactors. A review of the cladding types in use is presented in Chapter 5, and a historical review of research and test reactor fuel fabricators is presented in Chapter 6. The data collection strategy used the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) research reactor database [1] as a starting point. Information on the fuel used was gathered on research reactors (other than critical assemblies) that were listed as operational, planned, or in temporary shutdown in the IAEA database. Data on the fuel type, geometry, enrichment, uranium loading, cladding type, and fabricator were collected for each of the reactors available in the public domain. Sources of data included conference papers, journal articles, and facility and fabricator websites. Data on research reactors operating on LEU fuels are presented in Appendix A, while Appendix B presents data collected on all reactors at the time of publication of this report. Appendix C presents data collected on reactors that were part of the M3 research and test reactor conversion program.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Baseline Fuel Fabrication Facility

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2021

PPPL Laboratory Directed Research and Development (Project Final Reports, FY2018 - FY2020)

The U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE) Princeton Plasma Physics Laboratory (PPPL) is a collaborative national center for fusion energy science, basic sciences, and advanced technology. The Laboratory has three major missions: (1) to develop the scientific knowledge and advanced engineering to enable fusion to power the U.S. and the world; (2) to advance the science of nanoscale fabrication for technologies of tomorrow; and (3) to further the development of the scientific understanding of the plasma universe from laboratory to astrophysical scales. PPPL’s Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) program supports and encourages creativity and innovation and contributes to its long-term viability. New scientific and technical research areas emerge and are nurtured through the program. Furthermore, new capabilities are developed to enable the Laboratory to meet its and DOE’s missions. The program is used to systematically diversify the Laboratory’s programs and mission. In the last few years, the program has started projects in nanomaterial synthesis, microelectronics, advanced x-ray spectroscopy, high-energy-density physics, superconducting magnet technology, machine learning and artificial intelligence, 3D magnetic fields to optimize fusion plasmas, integration of permanent magnets with simple high-field magnets to reduce the cost of producing complex 3D magnetic fields, advanced computational methods for predictive understanding and control of fusion plasma, development of quantum computing algorithms for plasma physics, liquid metal plasma-facing components for fusion reactors, virtual engineering, and plasma-based space propulsion. The program is also the vehicle to recruit and train talented scientists and engineers with the new skills needed to perform the Laboratory’s mission. Many of the new hires through the program go on to become world-class scientists and engineers in their fields. This report provides descriptions and accomplishments of those LDRD projects that were completed during fiscal years 2018 through 2020.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2023

Nonlinear, real-time optimization for actuator management in tokamaks

Experiments in DIII-D have been carried out to test a novel actuator management approach in tokamaks. Here, the actuator management scheme is posed as a nonlinear-optimization problem in which the actuator commands are calculated in real time according to the changing control priorities, plasma state, and actuator availability. Such optimization problem is solved using the augmented Lagrangian method, combined with a gradient projection method and a conjugate-gradient iteration algorithm. The algorithmic approach followed in this work does not depend on the particular control objectives or actuators considered, which facilitates its integration with other independently-designed control components within a plasma-control system. In addition, the actuator-management algorithm is able to handle the optimization problem in a computationally efficient manner, making it suitable for real-time implementations. Initial DIII-D results in the steady-state high-q min scenario have demonstrated the capabilities of the actuator manager to perform both simultaneous multiple mission and repurposing sharing, which will be required in ITER.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Earthquake detection in a simulated lunar regolith using distributed acoustic sensing

Current models of inner lunar geology have largely been inferred from the seismic experiments and observations performed during the Apollo missions that comprised a relatively small number of seismic instruments. Refining constraints on fundamental lunar relationships such as crust-mantle and mantle-core boundaries in the future will require seismic arrays spanning larger epicentral distances. A promising technology for installing dense seismic arrays with minimal human effort is distributed acoustic sensing (DAS), an approach that allows a single length of fiber optic cable to act as hundreds or thousands of sensors when coupled with a DAS interrogator. While terrestrial uses of DAS technology for seismic monitoring rely on burying the cable to maximize fidelity of seismic signal transmission to the fiber, digging meters of trench to bury optical fiber on lunar or planetary surfaces is logistically infeasible. To evaluate DAS signal attenuation due to surface deployment of cable in lunar regolith, we completed earthquake detection analyses that evaluated the sensitivity of an optic-fiber DAS system to seismic signals at different burial depths. We deployed a single-mode fiber in a 10-m open-bottom wooden box filled with a lunar regolith simulant (LRS) with fiber buried at different depths within the LRS and recorded signals for four regional and local earthquakes. The results were used to identify and evaluate signal attenuation in surface-deployed fiber compared to buried fiber in the LRS. Burial depth responses to active-source signals were also evaluated similar to previous studies characterizing DAS sensitivity of surface-deployed fiber. Atmospheric noise was minimal as the cable was deployed in an indoor environment; however, where observed, atmospheric and anthropogenic noise was filtered out using the same bandpass filtering used to identify earthquake events. We found that signal attenuation of the surface-deployed fiber compared to buried fiber was relatively high in active-source experiments but was not consistently observed in earthquake signals. That burial depth is not highly correlated to attenuation of the observed earthquake signals indicates that in a noise-limited environment, placing DAS-interrogated fiber directly at the regolith surface may be a promising deployment strategy to consider for sensing remote seismic signals during lunar exploration.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Proactively Addressing Employee Well-Being to Foster Workplace Safety in a U.S. National Laboratory

The daily conduct of high-risk, high-consequence work, by its very nature, can be mentally demanding. Research demonstrates that failure to manage or mitigate these demands can degrade psychological well-being and mental health. Degradations in employee well-being impact individual performance, jeopardizing safety and mission success in the workplace. This Commentary describes efforts taken at Sandia National Laboratories over the past eight years to evaluate, understand, learn from, and mitigate factors such as stress, burnout, work-life imbalances, and disengagement in the workplace that can degrade employee well-being. After evaluating these four facets of employee well-being, Sandia National Laboratories initiated several programs to address observations and outcomes, including the Thrive program, the Take 10 Initiative, work-life balance resources, employee resource groups such as the Sandia Parents Group, and Workplace Improvement Networks. Collectively, the intent of these programs is to ensure employee mental readiness to conduct hazardous high-risk work effectively and safely. Preliminary data suggest that these programs are succeeding. In conclusion, other national laboratories and organizations, regardless of size, may wish to apply similar approaches to improve employee well-being and thereby increase the likelihood of mission success.

Absorption↗

DOE OSTI2024

The NASA ISRO SAR (NISAR) Mission - Validation of Science Measurement Requirements

The NASA ISRO Synthetic Aperture Radar (NISAR) is scheduled for launch early in 2024 from the Satish Dhawan Space Centre (SDSC), at Sriharikota, near Chennai, India. This mission is the result of a collaboration between NASA and Indian Space Research Organization (ISRO), where NASA has contributed elements of the mission such as an L-band SAR, and ISRO has contributed other elements, such as an S-band SAR. After successful launch, the NISAR mission will collect left-looking L-band SAR data over most of the Earth’s land areas twice during every 12-day exact repeat orbit. (once while in an ascending orbit direction and once while in a descending orbit direction). NASA and ISRO have individual and joint requirements on the mission that include the performance of the imaging radars onboard the spacecraft. For example, NASA must demonstrate that this L-band SAR will achieve a set of identified science measurement accuracy requirements that span Ecosystem science, Solid Earth science, and Cryosphere science disciplines. Likewise, ISRO has several applications objectives on both the L-band and S-band data from NISAR that the ISRO science team and project will be developing and testing. Pre-launch and post-launch activities have been planned to validate that these requirements are met. Here, we will discuss how the NASA plans are being executed and will present any initial results at the conference.

Chapman, Bruce↗

DOE OSTI2020

Sodium-Cooled Fast Reactor Proliferation Resistance and Physical Protection White Paper

The Sodium-Cooled Fast Reactor (SFR) system was identified during the Generation IV Technology Roadmap as a promising technology to perform the actinide management mission and, if enhanced economics for the system could be realized, also the electricity and heat production missions. The main characteristics of the SFR that make it especially suitable for the actinide management mission are: Consumption of transuranics in a closed fuel cycle, thus reducing the radiotoxicity and heat load which facilitates waste disposal and geologic isolation; Enhanced utilization of uranium resources through efficient management of fissile materials and multi-recycle; and, High level of safety achieved through inherent and passive means that accommodate transients and bounding events with significant safety margins.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2021

Evidence of Completion of Milestone 3: Experimental Testbed

Construction and deployment of the experimental testbed encountered scheduling delays, and completion was subsequently further delayed by curtailment of LANL operations due to the COVID–19 pandemic. Between March and October, LANL was in a state of “Limited Operations” such that only certain “mission–critical” work was performed with approximately 25% on–site staffing. In spite of this, much of the lab space preparation was executed and the five initial model house” units were constructed and installed during this period. Still, the pace of construction was impacted by difficulty in coordinating personnel and minimizing contact between workers.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2022

Machine Learning for Automated Metadata Assignment in Buildings: Cooperative Research and Development (Final Report, CRADA Number CRD-18-00767)

RealTerm Energy and NREL have identified a shared vision to evaluate opportunities to facilitate the organization and assignment of metadata to building control system (BCS) data via industry-informed machine learning (ML). Manual metadata assignment is labor intensive and costly, slowing down any Energy Management and Information System (EMIS) deployment in the building space. This project aims to develop methodologies to accurately assign this metadata and significantly decrease the level of effort associated with deploying EMIS. The objective of this project is to identify/design methodologies to assign metadata to HVAC control points automatically. The identified methodologies will be programmed in analytics algorithms so they can ingest a list of points and produce a detailed tagging following the Haystack classification nomenclature. To validate the efficacy of each methodology, tagging results will be compared utilizing a list of points extracted from RealTerm's building database-as well as data extracted from the NREL campus via the Intelligent Campus program-enabling testing against large datasets with real world challenges. The developed methodologies may leverage building manager/operator input on a limited basis to add context to the classifying algorithms. The partnership aims to advance global efforts in areas related to the DOE missions through improving operational performance of commercial buildings. It is well documented that buildings fall out of commission after they are occupied, wasting significant energy and incurring associated costs simply due to poor operational performance. Emerging EMIS technologies that perform continuous commissioning help to address this issue, yet integration of these systems can be labor intensive both for the technology vendor and the building owner/operator. This project will enable more efficient and cost-effective analytics for buildings, enabling improvement in building operations at lower cost points.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Low Purge and Mercury Recovery Testing with Sludge Batch 10 Tank 40 Simulant

Researchers at the Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL) have completed testing as requested by Savannah River Mission Completion (SRMC) to perform experiments to determine the impact of using a lower or inert purge in Sludge Batch (SB) 10 processing under the Nitric-Glycolic Acid (NGA) flowsheet. A key objective of this testing was also to determine the mercury speciation and recovery during each experiment. The testing was performed as part of the SB10 Technical Task Request (TTR) and Task Technical and Quality Assurance Plan (TTQAP). Two sets of tests were performed, and a Run Plan was approved prior to each set of experiments to document the planned testing. Three initial experiments were completed to determine whether a low air purge would be beneficial to CPC processing at higher acid stoichiometry (110%) based on the Koopman minimum acid (KMA) equation (116% Hsu). One of the tests, an inert nitrogen purge experiment, was also completed to demonstrate that excluding oxygen did not introduce any new hazards. The experiments were designed to be identical except for the change in purge gas and purge flowrate from run to run. After reviewing the results from the initial three experiments, six additional tests were proposed by SRNL to support the lower purge study and to look for processing alternatives for improving mercury recovery. These additional six tests were all completed at a very low acid stoichiometry to mimic the pH experienced during processing in DWPF (~7). DWPF is processing SB10 sludge at an acid stoichiometry of 90% based on the Hsu equation. The additional SRNL experiments were performed at an acid stoichiometry of 62.5% KMA stoichiometry (66.3% Hsu) to produce a Sludge Receipt and Adjustment Tank (SRAT) product with a pH of about 7. All experiments used simulants of both SWPF streams, although no entrained solvent was added during any of the experiments

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗