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DOE OSTI2025

Modeling and Analysis of Wind Turbine Wake Vortex Evolution Due to Time-Constant Spatial Variations in Atmospheric Flow

Modern utility-scale wind turbines are evolving toward larger, lighter, and more flexible designs to meet the growing demand for renewable energy while minimizing logistical costs. However, these advancements in lightweight design result in heightened aeroelastic sensitivity, leading to complex interactions which affect the rotor’s capacity to withstand aerodynamic loading and the cascading effects that manifest in the wake’s vortex-structure evolution under variable atmospheric conditions. In this paper, we analyze the influence of stream-wise fluctuating atmospheric flow conditions on wind turbines with large, flexible rotors through simulations of the National Rotor Testbed (NRT) turbine, located at Sandia National Labs’ Scaled Wind Farm Technology (SWiFT) facility in Lubbock, Texas. The Common Ordinary Differential Equation Framework (CODEF) modeling suite is used to simulate wind turbine aeroelastic oscillatory behavior and wind farm vortex–wake interactions for a range of conditions with spatially variant atmospheric flow. CODEF solutions for turbine operation in wind conditions featuring only one parameter fluctuation are compared to wind conditions with several wind parameter variations in combination. By isolating individual inflow variations and comparing them to multi-parameter scenarios, we determine the contributions of each atmospheric factor to rotor dynamics, wake evolution, and downstream wind farm interactions. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the effects of spatial variations in atmospheric flow on the topological evolution of wind turbine vortex wakes, which constitutes a gap in the current understanding of wind turbine wake dynamics. The insights gained from this study are particularly valuable for the development of wind farm control strategies aimed at mitigating the adverse effects of wake interactions, enhancing energy capture, and improving the overall stability of wind farm operations. With these insights, we aim to contribute to the development of modeling and simulation tools to optimize utility-scale wind power plants operating in diverse atmospheric environments.

Farrell, Alayna (ORCID:000000023555720X)↗

DOE OSTI2024

Bactericidal effectors of the Stenotrophomonas maltophilia type IV secretion system: functional definition of the nuclease TfdA and structural determination of TfcB

ABSTRACT Stenotrophomonas maltophilia expresses a type IV protein secretion system (T4SS) that promotes contact-dependent killing of other bacteria and does so partly by secreting the effector TfcB. Here, we report the structure of TfcB, comprising an N-terminal domain similar to the catalytic domain of glycosyl hydrolase (GH-19) chitinases and a C-terminal domain for recognition and translocation by the T4SS. Utilizing a two-hybrid assay to measure effector interactions with the T4SS coupling protein VirD4, we documented the existence of five more T4SS substrates. One of these was protein 20845, an annotated nuclease. A S. maltophilia mutant lacking the gene for 20845 was impaired for killing Escherichia coli , Klebsiella pneumoniae , and Pseudomonas aeruginosa . Moreover, the cloned 20845 gene conferred robust toxicity, with the recombinant E. coli being rescued when 20845 was co-expressed with its cognate immunity protein. The 20845 effector was an 899 amino-acid protein, comprised of a GHH-nuclease domain in its N-terminus, a large central region of indeterminant function, and a C-terminus for secretion. Engineered variants of the 20845 gene that had mutations in the predicted catalytic site did not impede E. coli , indicating that the antibacterial effect of 20845 involves its nuclease activity. Using flow cytometry with DNA staining, we determined that 20845, but not its mutant variants, confers a loss in DNA content of target bacteria. Database searches revealed that uncharacterized homologs of 20845 occur within a range of bacteria. These data indicate that the S. maltophilia T4SS promotes interbacterial competition through the action of multiple toxic effectors, including a potent, novel DNase. IMPORTANCE Stenotrophomonas maltophilia is a multi-drug-resistant, Gram-negative bacterium that is an emerging pathogen of humans. Patients with cystic fibrosis are particularly susceptible to S. maltophilia infection. In hospital water systems and various types of infections, S. maltophilia co-exists with other bacteria, including other pathogens such as Pseudomonas aeruginosa . We previously demonstrated that S. maltophilia has a functional VirB/D4 type VI protein secretion system (T4SS) that promotes contact-dependent killing of other bacteria. Since most work on antibacterial systems involves the type VI secretion system, this observation remains noteworthy. Moreover, S. maltophilia currently stands alone as a model for a human pathogen expressing an antibacterial T4SS. Using biochemical, genetic, and cell biological approaches, we now report both the discovery of a novel antibacterial nuclease (TfdA) and the first structural determination of a bactericidal T4SS effector (TfcB).

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

CalWave's xWave Design for PacWave (Final Technical Report)

CalWave Inc. (CalWave) is developing a wave energy converter (WEC) technology that can generate electricity from ocean waves. CalWave’s design offers a unique approach to wave energy conversion that operates fully submerged and can actively adjust the wave excitation. This capability gives the architecture enhanced survivability in ocean storms without adding significant costs. Prior to this project, CalWave had completed a demonstration of a fully functional WEC system in an open ocean demonstration at nominal 1:5 scale under FOA 1663. The goal of this project was the detailed design, following relevant standards and industry best-practices, of a variant of the xWave WEC technology that can safely and efficiently operate at the DOE’s PacWave South test site for a targeted deployment of up two years. The WEC design and associated review processes proceeded in two distinct project phases: a ‘Preliminary’ and a ‘Final’ design phase. The first phase of the project consisted of the systematic design of the WEC’s key features with regards to appropriate IEC standards. The work resulted in a preliminary design of the xWave hull including structural and Power Take-Off (PTO) load estimates, as well as performance estimates for all ocean conditions the WEC would operate in at PacWave South. Following the first open-water demonstration of CalWave’s small-scale “x1” device under FOA 1663, lessons learned were fed directly into a comprehensive review of the xWave design in the second design phase of this FOA project. CalWave’s work was supported by Sandia National Lab (SNL) and the National Renewable Energy Lab (NREL) on the holistic WEC design, and detailed feedback from specialized partners on hull design, mooring and anchoring specification, and electrical grid interconnection. Optimization of the WEC system was performed using a novel numerical optimization tool developed by Sandia and optimization trends were confirmed via an experimental model scale tank test campaign. Performance estimates for PacWave and a detailed xWave design including integration of all relevant system components were concluded. The mooring design was also concluded in the Final design phase using the most up to date sea floor characterization (CPT) data.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

DOE OSTI2022

Covalent narlaprevir- and boceprevir-derived hybrid inhibitors of SARS-CoV-2 main protease

Emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants continue to threaten the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines, and small-molecule antivirals can provide an important therapeutic treatment option. The viral main protease (Mpro) is critical for virus replication and thus is considered an attractive drug target. We performed the design and characterization of three covalent hybrid inhibitors BBH-1, BBH-2 and NBH-2 created by splicing components of hepatitis C protease inhibitors boceprevir and narlaprevir, and known SARS-CoV-1 protease inhibitors. A joint X-ray/neutron structure of the M pro /BBH-1 complex demonstrates that a Cys145 thiolate reaction with the inhibitor’s keto-warhead creates a negatively charged oxyanion. Protonation states of the ionizable residues in the M pro active site adapt to the inhibitor, which appears to be an intrinsic property of M pro . Structural comparisons of the hybrid inhibitors with PF-07321332 reveal unconventional F···O interactions of PF-07321332 with Mpro which may explain its more favorable enthalpy of binding. BBH-1, BBH-2 and NBH-2 exhibit comparable antiviral properties in vitro relative to PF-07321332, making them good candidates for further design of improved antivirals.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Evaluation of Corrosion Behavior of Various Fe- and Ni-Based Alloys in Molten Li 2 BeF 4 (FLiBe)

Reliable performance of structural alloys is essential for the successful implementation of Generation-IV fluoride salt–cooled high-temperature reactors (FHRs). Most FHR designs are considering molten salt (2LiF-BeF 2 ), or FLiBe, as a primary coolant or fuel carrier. The main corrosion mechanism for alloys exposed to molten fluoride salts is the selective dealloying of active alloying elements. Alloy composition has a significant effect on their high-temperature mechanical properties, but also affects their corrosion behavior. Although Hastelloy-N and its variants show good corrosion resistance compared to higher Cr-containing Ni- or Fe-based alloys, the mechanical properties of these alloys degrade quickly at temperatures above ~600°C. Twelve Ni-based or Fe-based alloys were selected due to their high temperature stability or their low Cr alloy composition and tested for their corrosion behavior in FLiBe. The results show that the mode and the extent of alloy degradation by selective dissolution mechanism corelates well with the overall alloy composition, and not just the concentration of active elements. It was found that there was good correlation between weight loss of the tested alloys and the ratio of major active elements (Cr, Mn) to that of the more noble alloying elements (Ni, Mo).

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Microstructural and nanomechanical studies of PVD Cr coatings on SiC for LWR fuel cladding applications

The microstructure and nanomechanical properties of pure Cr coatings deposited on SiC with various physical vapor deposition (PVD) methods have been investigated for the mitigation of hydrothermal corrosion of SiC-SiC f (SiC fiber-reinforced SiC matrix) composite fuel cladding in light water reactors (LWR). Cr coatings (4–7 μm thick) were deposited on unbiased SiC substrates using six variants of magnetron sputtering processes: (i) standard (S-DCMS), (ii) pulsed (P-DCMS), (iii) ion-assisted (I-DCMS), and (iv) pulsed ion-assisted direct current magnetron sputtering (PI-DCMS), (v) high-power impulse magnetron sputtering (HiPIMS), and (vi) bipolar HiPIMS (B-HiPIMS). Microstructural characterization and nanoindentation testing were used to evaluate effects of deposition technique on coating microstructure and nanomechanical properties. The application of positive reverse pulses to the sputter target induced coarsening of the columnar grain structure, while ion bombardment of substrates during deposition promoted densification of the coating microstructure. Both effects are exemplified in B-HiPIMS deposition, resulting in a high-density microstructure with compressive residual stress. Material pile-up around nano-indents and plastic work during nanoindentation were analyzed to understand deformation behavior of the coatings. Finally, the results suggest the B-HiPIMS process to be among the promising methods for the deposition of Cr coatings on SiC-SiC f for LWR cladding application.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2020

X-ray diffraction at the National Ignition Facility

We report details of an experimental platform implemented at the National Ignition Facility to obtain in situ powder diffraction data from solids dynamically compressed to extreme pressures. Thin samples are sandwiched between tamper layers and ramp compressed using a gradual increase in the drive-laser irradiance. Pressure history in the sample is determined using high-precision velocimetry measurements. Up to two independently timed pulses of x rays are produced at or near the time of peak pressure by laser illumination of thin metal foils. The quasi-monochromatic x-ray pulses have a mean wavelength selectable between 0.6 Å and 1.9 Å depending on the foil material. The diffracted signal is recorded on image plates with a typical 2 θ x-ray scattering angle uncertainty of about 0.2° and resolution of about 1°. Analytic expressions are reported for systematic corrections to 2 θ due to finite pinhole size and sample offset. A new variant of a nonlinear background subtraction algorithm is described, which has been used to observe diffraction lines at signal-to-background ratios as low as a few percent. Variations in system response over the detector area are compensated in order to obtain accurate line intensities; this system response calculation includes a new analytic approximation for image-plate sensitivity as a function of photon energy and incident angle. This experimental platform has been used up to 2 TPa (20 Mbar) to determine the crystal structure, measure the density, and evaluate the strain-induced texturing of a variety of compressed samples spanning periods 2–7 on the periodic table.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

DOE OSTI2020

Smart Microbial Cells Couple Catalysis and Sensing to Provide High-Throughput Selection of an Organophosphate Hydrolase

Enzyme engineering for gain of function requires navigating a large combinatorial sequence space efficiently. Typically, many mutations are needed to get significant improvements, while a single “bad” mutation can inactivate the enzyme. To establish high-throughput screening and achieve enhanced resolution between two variants, genetic libraries of the organophosphate hydrolase enzyme paraoxonase 1 (PON 1 ) were rapidly screened via an engineered positive-feedback circuit: a p-nitrophenol (PNP)-specific transcription factor (TF) regulated expression of PON 1 , which catalyzed paraoxon breakdown and PNP production. Rare active mutant colonies, picked by simple visual fluorescence of a PON 1 –green fluorescent protein (GFP) fusion, were characterized. Furthermore, in a single screening round, high (library-scale) throughput enabled the discovery of enhanced paraoxon degradation activity in PON 1 , including structurally unexpected mutations.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Molecular basis of β-lactam antibiotic resistance of ESKAPE bacterium E. faecium Penicillin Binding Protein PBP5

Abstract Penicillin-binding proteins (PBPs) are essential for the formation of the bacterial cell wall. They are also the targets of β-lactam antibiotics. In Enterococcus faecium , high levels of resistance to β-lactams are associated with the expression of PBP5, with higher levels of resistance associated with distinct PBP5 variants. To define the molecular mechanism of PBP5-mediated resistance we leveraged biomolecular NMR spectroscopy of PBP5 – due to its size (>70 kDa) a challenging NMR target. Our data show that resistant PBP5 variants show significantly increased dynamics either alone or upon formation of the acyl-enzyme inhibitor complex. Furthermore, these variants also exhibit increased acyl-enzyme hydrolysis. Thus, reducing sidechain bulkiness and expanding surface loops results in increased dynamics that facilitates acyl-enzyme hydrolysis and, via increased β-lactam antibiotic turnover, facilitates β-lactam resistance. Together, these data provide the molecular basis of resistance of clinical E. faecium PBP5 variants, results that are likely applicable to the PBP family.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Promising approaches for the assembly of the catalytically active, recombinant Desulfomicrobium baculatum hydrogenase with substitutions at the active site

Background: Hydrogenases (H2ases) are metalloenzymes capable of the reversible conversion of protons and electrons to molecular hydrogen. Exploiting the unique enzymatic activity of H2ases can lead to advancements in the process of biohydrogen evolution and green energy production. Results: Here we created of a functional, optimized operon for rapid and robust production of recombinant [NiFe] Desulfomicrobium baculatum hydrogenase (Dmb H2ase). The conversion of the [NiFeSe] Dmb H2ase to [NiFe] type was performed on genetic level by site-directed mutagenesis. The native dmb operon includes two structural H2ase genes, coding for large and small subunits, and an additional gene, encoding a specific maturase (protease) that is essential for the proper maturation of the enzyme. Dmb, like all H2ases, needs intricate bio-production machinery to incorporate its crucial inorganic ligands and cofactors. Strictly anaerobic, sulfate reducer D. baculatum bacteria are distinct, in terms of their biology, from E. coli. Thus, we introduced a series of alterations within the native dmb genes. As a result, more than 100 elements, further compiled into 32 operon variants, were constructed. The initial requirement for a specific maturase was omitted by the artificial truncation of the large Dmb subunit. The assembly of the produced H2ase subunit variants was investigated both, in vitro and in vivo. This approach resulted in 4 recombinant [NiFe] Dmb enzyme variants, capable of H 2 evolution. The aim of this study was to overcome the gene expression, protein biosynthesis, maturation and ligand loading bottlenecks for the easy, fast, and cost-effective delivery of recombinant [NiFe] H2ase, using a commonly available E. coli strains. Conclusion: The optimized genetic constructs together with the developed growth and purification procedures appear to be a promising platform for further studies toward fully-active and O 2 tolerant, recombinant [NiFeSe] Dmb H2ase, resembling the native Dmb enzyme. It could likely be achieved by selective cysteine to selenocysteine substitution within the active site of the [NiFe] Dmb variant.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2020

Modeling the role of local crystallographic correlations in microstructures of Ti-6Al-4V using a correlated structure visco-plastic self-consistent polycrystal plasticity formulation

This paper presents a multi-level crystal plasticity-based simulation framework for modeling mechanical response and microstructure evolution of Ti-6Al-4V with α-lath/lamellar microstructures. Here, the model is a correlated structure visco-plastic self-consistent (CS-VPSC) formulation linking three scales: a single crystals micro-scale, a lath/lamellar colony meso-scale, and a lath/lamellar aggregate macro-scale. A selected hardening law for the evolution of critical resolved shear stress per slip system used in CS-VPSC is phenomenological. However, it adjusts the resistances of basal and prismatic slip systems based on the geometry of slip transfer between adjacent lamellae. Consistent with experimental evidences, the resolved shear stress on the pyramidal slip planes is dependent not only on the stress in the direction of slip but also on the two orthogonal shear stress components and the three normal stress components (non-Schmid effects). Electron backscatter diffraction (EBSD) data in conjunction with a procedure relying on α→β phase transformation is used to construct paired variants of α-laths/lamellae satisfying their local crystallographic correlations. The procedure fits volume fractions of individual laths/lamellae with the experimental EBSD data and selects a distribution of habit planes between adjacent variants with respect to the loading direction. The simulation framework is applied to interpret the deformation behavior in tension and compression along two sample directions of Ti-6Al-4V fabricated via laser powder bed fusion. Moreover, the model is used to simulate texture evolution during rolling of the material to large strains. It is demonstrated that the model is capable of predicting plastic anisotropy/asymmetry and the concomitant texture evolution. While the model reveals a significant effect of habit plane inclination with respect to the loading direction on yield stress, the comparison of the data and model predictions shows that a random distribution of habit planes fits the flow response. It is further inferred that the tension-compression asymmetry arises from the non-Schmid effects.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2020

Unraveling magneto-structural coupling of Ni 2 MnGa alloy under the application of stress and magnetic field using in situ polarized neutron diffraction

The magneto-structural evolution of a Ni 2 MnGa single crystal was investigated by in situ polarized neutron diffraction under both magnetic field and mechanical loading. The ability to separate the nuclear and magnetic scatterings by polarized neutrons enables simultaneous observations of the twin reorientation (through twin boundary motion) and magnetic moment configuration. It is found that under a 1.0 T saturating magnetic field, twin reorientation can be activated by compressive stress and is accompanied by a realignment of the magnetic moment, which follows the easy axis of the twin variant. On the other hand, compressive stress as small as 1.0 MPa can freeze the twin reorientation. The evolution of the magnetic scattering amplitudes suggests that the change in magnetization was mainly achieved through the magnetic domain wall motion, while the twin boundary motion was blocked.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Characterization of wood fiber insulation for the development of wood fiber-insulated panels (WIPs) for use in building envelope

Wood fiber insulation (WFI) was studied as an eco-friendly alternative for fossil-based building insulation, focusing on its use in new wood fiber-insulated panels (WIPs). Rigid WFI boards with densities of 110, 140, and 180 kg/m³, including a 140 kg/m³ variant without paraffin wax, were evaluated. Key properties investigated included porosity, water vapor transmission, liquid water adsorption, and thermal conductivity. The porosity ranged between 85 and 92%, primarily influenced by density. Water vapor permeability ranged from 65 to 90 ng·s-1m-1Pa-1, while liquid water absorption was between 2.5 and 20% by volume, influenced by both wax and density. The thermal conductivity coefficient ranged from 0.038 to 0.055 W/(m·K). Bond strength tests with WFI (140 kg/m³ with wax) laminated to various materials using structural adhesives showed tensile perpendicular-to-grain strengths of 10 to 16 kPa and shear strengths of 60 to 90 kPa, with failure only occurring within the WFI. It was concluded that WFI is a promising material for novel WIPs, offering competitive hygrothermal properties and compatibility with structural adhesives. However, its bio-based nature suggests variability and complexity, necessitating further rigorous testing in various climates and in more complex assemblies.

Materials Science↗

DOE OSTI2023

RAD51C-XRCC3 structure and cancer patient mutations define DNA replication roles

$RAD51C$ is an enigmatic predisposition gene for breast, ovarian, and prostate cancer. Currently, missing structural and related functional understanding limits patient mutation interpretation to homology-directed repair (HDR) function analysis. Here we report the RAD51C-XRCC3 (CX3) X-ray co-crystal structure with bound ATP analog and define separable RAD51C replication stability roles informed by its three-dimensional structure, assembly, and unappreciated polymerization motif. Mapping of cancer patient mutations as a functional guide confirms ATP-binding matching RAD51 recombinase yet highlights distinct CX3 interfaces. Analyses of CRISPR/Cas9-edited human cells with $RAD51C$ mutations combined with single-molecule, single-cell and biophysics measurements uncover discrete CX3 regions for DNA replication fork protection, restart and reversal, accomplished by separable functions in DNA binding and implied 5’ RAD51 filament capping. Collective findings establish CX3 as a cancer-relevant replication stress response complex, show how HDR-proficient variants could contribute to tumor development, and identify regions to aid functional testing and classification of cancer mutations.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Code Coverage Status of ARC Code-DIF3D

The Argonne Reactor Code (ARC) software system supports users in their fast reactor design goals by providing neutronic, thermal-hydraulic, and structural analysis capabilities. DIF3D plays a pivotal role in the ARC system as the primary homogenized assembly neutronic calculation methodology for fast reactor problems. Over its 40 years history, ARC software usage with DIF3D has been applied to numerous fast and thermal spectrum reactor analysis projects with good to excellent comparison against experiments. With continued improvement of computation resources, many of the geometry modeling capabilities in DIF3D that were primarily used in low order schemes are not really needed anymore. Today, the diffusion and transport capabilities of DIF3D-VARIANT are primarily used in the reactor design process with some scattered usage of DIF3D-FD and DIF3D-Nodal. In recent work, the DIF3D software verification was completed for DIF3D-FD and DIF3D-VARIANT on the geometry options used in the Versatile Test Reactor project. While we can be confident that these capabilities of DIF3D are well used and thus trusted, it does not demonstrate that all possible input options of DIF3D are actually working, but just those that were tested as part of VTR are and that they are correct. Thus, the purpose of the present work is to identify a set of test problems for DIF3D and assess the code coverage of DIF3D for those test problems. The goal is to document what parts of the existing DIF3D code are touched by the set of test problems and which are not. Because the verification work done on DIF3D-VARIANT and DIF3D-FD was focused on the most common uses of DIF3D for fast reactor analysis, the code coverage assessment of those capabilities is the highest priority. This will ensure that nothing is being missed by the existing verification test problems that DIF3D relies upon. The DIF3D-Nodal capability will also be inspected for code coverage as part of this work to further ensure that regular regression testing of DIF3D will trap any likely errors the end user might experience with the DIF3D software. The code coverage analysis of DIF3D was performed with the Code Coverage Tool of the Intel Fortran compiler which requires modifications to the compilation of DIF3D. The detailed coverage tables are given for each submodule of DIF3D separately, and for the submodules which are primarily developed for DIF3D, most of the source files could be at least partially touched. Most of the uncovered parts/files could be easily ignored, because they are either for error message and debugging output or obviously not needed by DIF3D. Out of the entire source codes of DIF3D, only a few uncovered modules deserve further investigation.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Code Coverage Status of the ARC Code DIF3D

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Design of light- and chemically responsive protein assemblies through host-guest interactions

Host-guest (HG) interactions have been widely used to build responsive materials and molecular machines owing to their inherently dynamic nature, interaction specificity, and responsiveness to diverse stimuli. Here, in this work, we have set out to exploit these advantages of HG chemistry in the design of dynamic protein assemblies, using a C 4 symmetric protein, C98 RhuA, as a building block. We show that a C98 RhuA variant individually modified with β-cyclodextrin (βCD) (host) or azobenzene (guest) functionalities can specifically pair with each other to form highly ordered 1D and 2D assemblies. Association and dissociation of βCD RhuA- azo RhuA assemblies can be controlled by UV and visible light as well as by small-molecule modulators of βCD-azobenzene interactions. Kinetics analyses reveal that βCD RhuA- azo RhuA nanotubes assemble without a nucleation barrier, a highly unusual occurrence for helical supramolecular systems. Taken together, our findings provide a compelling example for achieving complex structural and dynamic outcomes in protein assembly through simple chemical design.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2022

Recurrent neural networks for short-term and long-term prediction of geothermal reservoirs

Accurate prediction of geothermal reservoir responses to alternative energy production scenarios is critical for optimizing the development of the underlying resources. While the conventional physics-based models offer a comprehensive prediction tool, data-driven models provide an efficient alternative to build fit-for-purpose predictive models by extracting and using the statistical patterns in the collected data to make predictions. The recurrent neural network (RNN) is a data-driven model that is commonly applied to predict time series sequences. This paper presents a variant of RNN that also utilizes the efficiency of convolutional neural networks (CNN) for the prediction of energy production from geothermal reservoirs. Specifically, a CNN–RNN architecture is developed that takes historical well controls as input (features) and their corresponding production response data as output (labels) to learn an input-output mapping that can predict the future well production responses/performance for any given future well control inputs. The model is paired with a labeling scheme to handle real field disturbances that create data gaps. In addition to the model structure, we introduce a thorough workflow for applying the model, which includes data pre-processing, feature selection, as well as different training strategies for short-term and long-term prediction. Finally, the performance and accuracy of the model are evaluated by applying it to multiple datasets, including a field reservoir model.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗