Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “Yield”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 613 records · Page 34

Base-Case 1% Yield Increase (BC1), All Energy Crops scenario of the 2016 Billion Ton Report

Scientific reason for data generation: to serve as the base-case scenario for the BT16 volume 1 agricultural scenarios to compare these projections of potential biomass supplies against a reference case (agricultural baseline 10.11578/1337885). The simulation runs from 2015 through 2040; a starting year of 2014 is used but not reported. How each parameter was produced (methods), format, and relationship to other data in the data set: This exogenous price simulations (also referred to as “specified-price” simulations) introduces a farmgate price, and POLYSYS solves for biomass supplies that may be brought to market in response to these prices. In specified-price scenarios, a specified farmgate price is offered constantly in all counties over all years of the simulation. This simulation begins in 2015 with an offered farmgate price for primary crop residues only between 2015 and 2018 and long-term contracts for dedicated crops beginning in 2019. Expected mature energy crop yield grows at a compounding rate of 1% beginning in 2016. The yield growth assumptions are fixed after crops are planted such that yield gains do not apply to crops already planted, but new plantings do take advantage of the gains in expected yield growth. Instruments used: Policy Analysis System –POLYSYS (version POLYS2015_V10_alt_JAN22B), an agricultural policy modeling system of U.S. agriculture (crops and livestock), supplied by the University of Tennessee Institute of Agriculture, Agricultural Policy Analysis Center.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

4% Yield Increase (HH4), All Energy Crops scenario of the 2016 Billion Ton Report

Scientific reason for data generation: to serve as an alternate high-yield scenario for the BT16 volume 1 agricultural scenarios to compare these projections of potential biomass supplies against a reference case (agricultural baseline 10.11578/1337885). The simulation runs from 2015 through 2040; a starting year of 2014 is used but not reported. Date the data set was last modified: 02/02/2016. How each parameter was produced (methods), format, and relationship to other data in the data set: This exogenous price simulations (also referred to as “specified-price” simulations) introduces a farmgate price, and POLYSYS solves for biomass supplies that may be brought to market in response to these prices. In specified-price scenarios, a specified farmgate price is offered constantly in all counties over all years of the simulation. This simulation begins in 2015 with an offered farmgate price for primary crop residues only between 2015 and 2018 and long-term contracts for dedicated crops beginning in 2019. Expected mature energy crop yield grows at a compounding rate of 4% beginning in 2016. The yield growth assumptions are fixed after crops are planted such that yield gains do not apply. Instruments used: Policy Analysis System –POLYSYS (version POLYS2015_V10_alt_JAN22B), an agricultural policy modeling system of U.S. agriculture (crops and livestock), supplied by the University of Tennessee Institute of Agriculture, Agricultural Policy Analysis Center.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

East Pacific ENSO Offers Early Predictive Signals for Harvest Yields

Abstract Annual wheat yields have steadily risen over the past century, but harvests remain highly variable and dependent on myriad weather conditions during a long growing season. In Kansas, for example, the 2014 crop year brought the lowest average yield in decades at 28 bushels per acre, while in 2016 farmers in the Wheat State, as Kansas is often called, enjoyed a historic high of 57 bushels per acre. It is broadly known that remote forces like El Niño–Southern Oscillation contribute to meteorological outcomes across North America, including in the wheat-growing regions of the U.S. Midwest, but the differential imprints of ENSO phases and flavors have not been well explored as leading indicators for harvest outcomes in highly specific agricultural regions, such as the more than 7 million acres upon which wheat is grown in Kansas. Here, we demonstrate a strong, steady, and long-term association between a simple “wheat yield index” and sea surface temperature anomalies, more than a year earlier, in the East Pacific, potentially offering insights into forthcoming harvest yields several seasons before planting commences.

Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences↗

Data for Approximately 15% of Miscanthus Yield is Lost at Current Commercial Cutting Heights in Iowa

Various works have quantitatively characterized the effects of environmental and management factors on Miscanthus x giganteus Greef et Deu ( mxg ) yield and, therefore, anticipated land requirement per unit production. However, little work has addressed the effects of cutting height, which may significantly contribute to the difference between the standing aboveground biomass at harvest (i.e., biological yield) and harvested yield. This study quantitatively characterized the effect of cutting height using a replicated nitrogen trial of a 5-year-old mxg stand in southeast Iowa and related this information to observations of cutting height in nearby commercial fields. Nitrogen fertilizer did not significantly change the relationship of the stem segment mass to length, and overall, a 1-cm stem segment contributes 0.5% of the total stem biomass within the bottom 44 cm of the stem. This results in an average harvest loss of 15% of the aboveground standing biomass when cutting at 30 cm, typically seen in commercial mxg fields in eastern Iowa. Cutting height should be considered when accurately predicting commercial mxg harvest yields and changes in soil organic carbon in a commercial mxg agroecosystem.

Biomass Analytics↗

Plasma Power Station with Quasi Spherical Direct Drive Capsule for Fusion Yield and Inverse Diode for Driver-Target Coupling

The Meier-Moir economic model for Pulsed Power Driven Inertial Fusion Energy shows at least two approaches for fusion energy at 7 to 8 cents/kw-hr: One with large yield at 0.1 Hz and presented by M. E. Cuneo at ICENES 2011 and one with smaller yield at 3 Hz presented in this paper. Both use very efficient and low cost Linear Transformer Drivers (LTDs) for the pulsed power. Here, we report the system configuration and end-to-end simulation for the latter option, which is called the Plasma Power Station (PPS), and report the first results on the two, least mature, enabling technologies: a magnetically driven Quasi Spherical Direct Drive (QSDD) capsule for the fusion yield and an Inverse Diode for coupling the driver to the target. In addition, we describe the issues and propose to address the issues with a prototype of the PPS on the Saturn accelerator and with experiments on a short pulse modification of the Z accelerator test the validity of simulations showing megajoule thermonuclear yield with DT on a modified Z.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Seismic Models for Near-Surface Explosion Yield Estimation in Alluvium and Sedimentary Rock

Seismic ground-motion data provide valuable constraints on explosion characteristics, such as yield and height-of-burst/depth-of-burial (HOB/DOB). In this study, we investigate a range of seismic amplitude features and their efficacy in minimizing errors associated with yield estimation. Using a set of explosion recordings from experiments conducted in alluvium and sedimentary rock geologies, we investigated the effectiveness of three different seismic feature types over a range of different frequencies. Using both velocity and displacement data, we investigated the zero-to-peak (ZTP) amplitude of the first arriving P wave, the peak-to-peak (PTP) amplitude of the first arriving P wave, and the P rms amplitude over various time windows starting with the P wave. These three basic features were measured on both vertical component only data and the vertical–radial vector sum. In total, there were 56 different combinations investigated. Our seismic models combine the effects of scaled range and scaled HOB/DOB on the observed seismic features. The results show that the vertical–radial vector sum of the ZTP amplitudes measured on displacement seismograms most consistently produce models with the smallest difference between predicted amplitude values and observed amplitude values when accounting for both alluvium and sedimentary rock lithology. The improvement in fit to the data when incorporating the difference in source lithology is significant. Lastly, if an alluvium lithology is assumed for a sedimentary rock lithology, the difference in yield could be up to ~3.0 times the appropriate yield in the far field.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Full Moment Tensor Solutions of U.S. Underground Nuclear Tests for Event Screening and Yield Estimation

Moment tensor (MT) solutions are proving increasingly valuable in explosion monitoring, especially now that they are more routinely calculated for the unconstrained, full (six component) MT. In this study, we have calculated MTs for U.S. underground nuclear tests conducted at the Nevada National Security Site using seismic recordings primarily from the Livermore Nevada Network. We are able to determine them for 130 nuclear explosions from 1970 to 1996 for a range of yields and under a variety of material conditions, which we have supplemented with 10 additional chemical explosions at the test site. The result is an extensive database of MTs that can be used to assess the performance of important monitoring tasks such as event identification and yield determination. We test the explosion event screening on the fundamental lune of the MT eigensphere and find MT screening to be a robust discriminant between earthquakes and explosions. We then explore the estimation of moment-derived yield, in which we find that material properties are the largest contributor to differences in the estimated moment-to-yield ratio. Additionally, further research conducted on this dataset can be used to develop, test, and improve various explosion monitoring methodologies.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Seismoacoustic Explosion Yield and Depth Estimation: Insights from the Large Surface Explosion Coupling Experiment

The Large Surface Explosion Coupling Experiment (LSECE) is a chemical explosion experiment conducted in Yucca Flat at the Nevada National Security Site in 2020. The experiment included two surface detonations of ~1000 kg trinitrotoluene equivalent. The main goal of this experiment was to provide the ground-truth data for seismoacoustic wave excitation by large chemical explosions near the ground surface. The seismic and acoustic energy partitioning between the surface is strongly governed by the depth or height of explosions, and either seismic or acoustic-only analysis may have inherent ambiguity in determining explosion yield and depth simultaneously. Previous studies suggested that joint seismoacoustic analysis can resolve the trade-off and reduce the uncertainty of yield and depth estimation dramatically. Here we demonstrate the capability of seismoacoustic analysis to improve the accuracy of explosion yield and depth estimation with the LSECE data. Local acoustic wave propagation in the atmosphere can be substantially affected by constantly varying weather conditions. Consisting of two detonations before dawn and in the afternoon, LSECE provides unique data to evaluate the model accuracy of acoustic wave propagation and seismoacoustic energy partitioning depending on local atmospheric conditions. We quantitatively evaluate the accuracy of yield and depth estimation depending on atmospheric variability and the improvement achieved by the joint seismoacoustic approach.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Space‐Plant versus Sward‐Plot Evaluation of Half‐Sib Families to Select Parents for Synthetic Cultivars with Superior Biomass Yield in Lowland Switchgrass

ABSTRACT Switchgrass ( Panicum virgatum L.) needs significant biomass yield improvement for its viable use as bioenergy feedstock. Conventional family evaluation under sward plot is very effective in cultivar improvement, but it is time and resource consuming. Family evaluation under space planting using honeycomb design can reduce time and inputs. The objective of this study was to compare conventional sward‐plot and modified space‐plant evaluation of half‐sib families in their biomass yield gain and resource use. Using same initial set of genotypes selected from ‘Alamo’, two experimental synthetics were developed by the following methods: (i) summer field polycrossing of selected genotypes to produce half‐sibs, half‐sib family evaluation under sward plot conditions (HSSward) at two locations for 2 yr, and polycrossing the five genotypes showing superior half‐sibs to produce the experimental and (ii) greenhouse polycrossing genotypes during the winter to produce half‐sibs, half‐sib family evaluation under space‐plant conditions using honeycomb design (HSSpace) for 2 yr at one location, and polycrossing the five best progeny within the five superior half‐sibs to produce the experimental. The 2 to 3 yr biomass yield performance of two experimentals across five locations demonstrated that both HSSward and HSSpace led to a significant biomass yield gain over Alamo in three and two of the five locations, respectively. The HSSward produced a superior and more stable synthetic across a wide region than HSSpace. However, the HSSpace produced its synthetic a year sooner and was more resource efficient and, under finite resources, it could be a method of choice for cultivar development especially for a narrow geographic region.

Bhandari, H. S.↗

Development of a “Fission-proxy” Method for the Measurement of 14-MeV Neutron Fission Yields at CAMS

Relative fission yield measurements were made for 50 fission products from 25.6±0.5 MeV alpha-induced fission of Th-232. Quantitative comparison of these experimentally measured fission yields with the evaluated fission yields from 14-MeV neutron-induced fission of U-235 demonstrates the feasibility of the proposed fission-proxy method. This new technique, based on the Bohr-independence hypothesis, permits the measurement of fission yields from an alternate reaction pathway (Th-232 + 25.6 MeV α → U-236* vs. U-235 + 14-MeV n → U-236*) given that the fission process associated with the same compound nucleus is independent of its formation. Other suitable systems that can potentially be investigated in this manner include (but are not limited to) Pu-239 and U-237.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

Experimentally Enhanced Computation (ExEC): Traditional Calibration of Anisotropic Yield Functions

This memo addresses the calibration of anisotropic yield functions based on data obtained from a series of uniaxial tension specimens extracted from a tubular Al 7079 circular cylindrical extrusion. Achieving the calibrations completed an important step in the Experimentally Enhanced Computations (ExEC) project. The focus of the project is on novel calibration approaches that will be based on advanced diagnostics and numerical simulations with the intention of reducing the overall calibration effort. The test data used here resulted from traditional tensile tests on specimens cut at 12 orientations within the extrusion. Two anisotropic yield surfaces — Hill’s (1948) and Barlat’s (2005) — were calibrated based on the test data. The methods used to conduct the calibrations are described, and the results show that the material exhibited significant yield anisotropy. The larger number of parameters in Barlat’s yield function allowed it to fit the test data more accurately than Hill’s. Although work remains to assess the sensitivity of the calibrated model parameters to various factors, the methods implemented and the results obtained here provide bases for further work and useful benchmarks for future calibrations to be conducted using the novel approach.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Methodology for Yield Determination of Surface Shots Over Water

Shockwave analysis is one of the few methods used to determine the yield of a nuclear detonation. It has been noted that the shockwave of these surface shots over water are asymmetric making accurate yield determination difficult. To calculate the yield of these shots more accurately, reanalysis of these films is required. Armed with the digitized replicas of the original nuclear test films and the latest image processing tools, a methodology for segmenting the shockwave from the digitized film and measuring these shockwaves is devised to quickly and accurately quantify the shape of these asymmetric shockwaves. With a two-dimensional result from these asymmetric shockwaves, several methods are discussed to transform the final shockwave contour to a scalar value which can be used in existing yield determination equations.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

THF Co-Solvent Biomass Fractionation to Catalytic Fuel Precursors with High Yields (Final Report)

The overall goal of this project is to utilize the Co-Solvent Enhanced Lignocellulosic Fractionation (CELF) as a platform technology to realize transformation of real biomass feedstocks to fungible transportation fuels. CELF is a solvolysis method that seeks to break the cost barrier for biomass deconstruction so that high yield liquid intermediates from both sugars and lignin can be recovered for their subsequent catalytic conversion to fungible transportation fuels. It is important for the DOE EERE mission to focus on supporting platform technologies that enable greater end-to-end utilization of biomass whereby the co-development of both process and catalyst is streamlined. CELF is one of the most competitive platform technologies that uses multifunctional co-solvents THF and water to provide the cleanest intermediate product streams that can allow advanced catalysts to be developed on real feedstocks instead of model compounds. For this project, we developed a hybrid catalytic process that first applies CELF homogeneous catalysis to convert solid biomass to a liquid stream containing intermediate fuel precursors (FPs) such as furfural (FF) and 5-hydroxymethylfurfural (5-HMF). Afterwards, a second heterogeneous catalytic step was then applied to selectively hydrodeoxygenate (HDO) the FPs produced from biomass into gasoline blendstocks methylfuran (MF) and dimethylfuran (DMF). Concurrently, capitalizing on CELF’s efficient lignin extraction capabilities, we further explored production C9+ cyclic hydrocarbons from biomass lignin to improve overall process economics. For the first step, the CELF process was optimized to achieve yields of >95% for FF and >60% for HMF from the xylan and glucan fractions in poplar wood, respectively. For the second step, we created a patent-pending bifunctional Cu-Ni solid catalyst that is tolerant to real product streams from the CELF process and simultaneously produce MF and DMF blendstocks at >80% yields. To provide more market versatility, we further explored the production of 2-pentanol from MF and have achieved >70% yields. During this project’s three year period, we also developed a dynamically informed technoeconomic computer model that helped to guide key project decisions that allowed us to reach a final biofuel selling price (MFSP) of <$\$$3/GGE (gallon gasoline equivalent) and total biomass carbon utilization of 60%. We also determined that the MFSP in our model could be further reduced to below $\$$2/GGE if the value of the lignin-derived aromatic hydrocarbon fuels could be sold at diesel-range prices (>$\$$500/tonne). Our process model was designed to consume 288 tonnes per day of poplar wood chips with minor consumption of hydrogen to produce a range of fuel blendstocks suitable for use in the transportation sector. The project was successful in meeting DOE EERE program criteria for application of an all-catalytic biofuels process to achieve a biofuel selling price target of <$\$$3/GGE as well as to achieve a 60% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) compared to conventional fossil petroleum processes. At project completion, the outlined catalytic process reported total utilization of up to 60% of the carbon found in biomass, rivaling more mature biological cellulosic ethanol technologies at a fraction of the fixed and operating costs. This project also resulted in 7 peer-reviewed publications, 2 provisional inventions, and 1 patent pending. NOTE: This public version of the document contains redacted text, tables, and figures as indicated within the document.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Nuclear Data – Benchmarking 19 F(α,n) Yield Data for Nuclear Safeguards

Fluorine compounds of U and Pu are ubiquitous in the nuclear fuel cycle, so F(α,n) neutrons are an important signature and quantitative source term that needs to be understood for physics-based interpretation of nondestructive assay measurements. Historically there have been large differences in the basic nuclear data for this reaction reported by various groups. UF 6 is the most prominent material in the nuclear fuel cycle, with the potential for short-term production into weaponizable form. Verification of bulk quantities, natural feed, depleted tails, and especially low enriched product in cylinders is particularly important. The principal physical measurement is neutron counting. For enriched material, the 19 F(α,n) reaction, driven by 234U, is the dominant source of neutrons. Basic nuclear data, cross sections, needed to calculate the yield, as well as information on the source spectrum for sensitivity studies are sparse and highly discrepant. This limits defensible physics-based performance evaluations. The same applies to holdup and criticality studies in which hydrated uranyl fluoride is the material of interest which accumulates in enrichment facilities. In the future we anticipate that the physics community will have made improved accelerator-based measurements and undertaken a more thorough evaluation and adjustment of all relevant available data. But in the short term, this does not help the safeguards community face the pressing real-world nondestructive assay requirements. To address this need, we have performed quality neutron measurements on UF6 materials using well-known material and high-capability neutron counters. A robust determination of the n/s/g of 234 U in UF 6 was generated along with a scientifically defensible uncertainty analysis. The weighted average value of the neutron yield is 509 n/s/g 234 U with a random uncertainty of approximately 1%. Dominant sources of systematic uncertainty are in the efficiency determination where we incur approximately 1.1% relative standard deviation associated with the 252 Cf reference source and about 0.9% uncertainty coming from the uncertainty in the F(α,n) spectrum. The stated uncertainties are an order of magnitude better than current data based on accelerator data reported in the literature. Aside from being of immediate and direct use by the safeguards community, this result will serve as an enduring integral benchmark for subsequent data evaluations that will need to match it in order to be credible. In addition to yield normalization, safeguards users of F(α,n) data also need guidance of the neutron emission spectrum. We have generated a neutron emission using a modified version of the well-known SOURCES 4C code, updated with new alpha stopping power coefficients, and a blended microscopic cross section data set. The yield and spectra are available in a form that MCNP users can readily use.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Report for Department of State (DoS) V-Fund Project "Tying Moment Tensor Solutions to Explosive Yield"

The goal of this study was to use U.S. nuclear explosions with known source parameters (yield, depth, shot point material and/or parameters) to determine moment-derived yield estimates. This work has been accomplished by performing full moment tensor solutions using regional network data from the LLNL network, and other regional broadband stations. As part of this study, we have calculated solutions for 130 U.S. nuclear explosions and 12 additional chemical explosions. We then take several approaches to using moment tensors to estimate yield, considering both the full and isotropic moment tensors, doing straight regression analysis on the whole dataset, then successively refining the calibration with additional information about material and overburden. We have also tried a completely new approach of using the seismic moment to help estimate the radiated seismic energy and tying this to yield through a seismic efficiency. Results appear to be promising, but more work might be required to make this more useful in an operational sense.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Heat Loss Correction Factor for Fireball Yield Measurements

Fireball yield calculations are performed using Taylor’s radius equation. However, at early times, the x-ray diffusion process has a significant effect on the size of the fireball, and at late times the shock wave degenerates into an acoustic wave. Thus, earlier research determined that the range of validity for Taylor’s equation was in the scaled time regime of 0.004–0.008 s. So, when performing a yield calculation, the only values that are analyzed are those that lie within that range of validity. While Taylor’s equations offer an approximation of the scaled yield, they also rely on several assumptions. For example, the equations assume that the shock wave is adiabatic, when, in fact, the first light pulse on the nuclear test films, which occurs as the shock wave is forming, suggests that the shock wave is not adiabatic. Furthermore, the amount of heat loss from the shock wave that occurs prior to the scaled time regime of 0.004–0.008 s can change significantly as a function of air density. This may cause the shock wave radius to be smaller relative to the assumed adiabatic shock wave. Therefore, the objective of this project was to determine the correction factor for heat transfer, which should be applied in order to produce a more accurate approximation of the weapon’s yield.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Revision of Fission Yields Uncertainties in ENDF/B-VIII.0

The spontaneous and neutron-induced fission yield sublibraries in the Evaluated Nuclear Data Files (ENDF/B) contain cumulative and independent fission yield values for dozens of fissioning systems, and hundreds of fission products. In this work, we report on a correction step that was undertaken after observing anomalously large uncertainties for several end-of-chain fission products. A total of 17 cumulative fission yield uncertainties and the value of 2 independent yields were corrected as a result of this revision.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Improving energy yield in photovoltaic modules with photonic structures

When installed outdoors, Si solar cells typically operate 20 – 30 K above ambient conditions. These elevated operating temperatures lead to diminished performance, reducing efficiency by ~0.4%/K for crystalline Si cells and decreasing module lifetime. Since much of the elevated temperature of the modules derives from parasitic absorption of sub-bandgap sunlight by the contacts, encapsulants, or other materials, reflectors that remove the sub-bandgap radiation from the module before it is absorbed promise to reduce the operating temperature. However, there are many competing strategies to reject this light: selective reflectors could be integrated into the outer module glass, at the textured Si-encapsulant interface, or on the rear. Furthermore, many of these approaches are complex and expensive to fabricate. The issue of heating can be even more critical in bifacial modules: high fractions of rear irradiance can lead to higher operating temperatures. Prior to this project, relatively little was known about the optical strategies for temperature reduction in bifacial modules. The goal of this project was to quantitatively assess optical strategies for improving the energy yield via a combination of improved anti-reflection and sub-bandgap light rejection. We studied two complementary concepts: the performance of ideal structures to determine the upper limits to performance, and low-complexity structures made from standard materials as cost-effective implementations. We also studied the performance of these reflectors in different types of modules, including Al BSF, PERC, and bifacial. Here we build from our prior accomplishments in developing mirror optimization techniques, and make use of simulation methods that accurately capture the optical properties of the modules throughout the visible and near-infrared spectrum. We connect these optical properties to energy yield under realistic, outdoor conditions. We also experimentally fabricated mirrors, incorporated them into mini-modules, and performed outdoor testing of performance at NREL. We found definitively that spectrally-selective mirrors on the outside of the module cover glass offer the best performance, both under ideal conditions and for realistic, low- complexity mirrors. Mirrors at the Si cell/encapsulant interface are limited by the multiple reflections needed to remove sub-bandgap light. Mirrors at the cell surface and mirrors on the rear also cannot remove all the sub-bandgap light, since parasitic absorption also occurs in the cover glass, encapsulant, and front contacts, depending on the module configuration. Also, cell texturing places higher demands on any cell-surface mirror because multiple interactions with the mirror are required to reject sub bandgap light which compounds losses. For bifacial modules, mirrors on the back do provide additional cooling and energy yield improvements, and the mirrors can have the same structure. In the monofacial case up to 3.3K of cooling is possible for mirrors on the front, compared to 2.2K at the cell surface and 1.2K at the rear. For bifacial modules, up to 2.4K of cooling is possible when mirrors are included at both the front and back. Our realistic designs utilize 4 – 6 layers of common photovoltaic materials such as SiO 2 , TiO 2 , and SiN x , making them more cost effective. Finally, we used our models to study thermal management in bifacial modules with different back lamination materials, finding that glass-glass laminated modules operated hotter than equivalent glass-polymer backsheet modules, due solely to the increased absorption of light incident from the rear of the module. Improving the energy yield by 2%, which is achievable with these realistic designs, would lead to LCOE reductions of $0.03/kWh by 2030. These benefits make photovoltaic panels more accessible to the public and may reduce associated maintenance costs.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗