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DOE OSTI2025

Performance evaluations of signed and unsigned noisy approximate quantum Fourier arithmetic

The Quantum Fourier Transform (QFT) grants competitive advantages, especially in resource usage and circuit approximation, for performing arithmetic operations on quantum computers, and offers a potential route toward a numerical quantum-computational paradigm. In this paper, we utilize efficient techniques to implement QFT-based integer addition and multiplications. These operations are fundamental to various quantum applications including Shor’s algorithm, weighted-sum optimization problems in data processing and machine learning, and quantum algorithms requiring inner products. We carry out performance evaluations of these implementations based on IBM’s superconducting-qubit architecture using different compatible noise models. We isolate the sensitivity of the component quantum circuits on both one-/two-qubit gate error rates, and the number of the arithmetic operands’ superposed integer states. We analyze performance and identify the most effective approximation depths for unsigned quantum addition and quantum multiplication within the given context. We then perform a similar analysis of signed addition and compare to the unsigned results. We observe significant dependency of the optimal approximation depth on the degree of machine noise and the number of superposed states in certain performance regimes. Finally, we elaborate on the algorithmic challenges—relevant to signed, unsigned, modular and non-modular versions—that could also be applied to current implementations of QFT-based subtraction, division, exponentiation, and their potential tensor extensions. Here, we analyze the performance trends in our results and speculate on possible future developments within this computational paradigm.

Computational models↗

DOE OSTI2025

A Geometric Volume of Fluid-Based Multiphase Flow Solver Extension to the Reacting Flow Solver, PeleLM

A new algorithm is presented to simulate multiphase flows with surface tension in a pathway for spray combustion simulation. The algorithm combines capabilities from two open-source packages, including the interface reconstruction library (IRL), a library of computational geometry routines to enable the volume of fluid (VOF) method, and PeleLM, a solver for the reacting Navier-Stokes equations. Additionally, surface tension is implemented using the continuum surface force (CSF) model with an improved height function technique in the volume fraction field. Spurious errors in volume fraction arising from our combined strategy are corrected through a topology-based method that improves both numerical stability and accuracy. Multiple validation simulations are conducted, including (i) translations and rotations of Zalesak's disk, (ii) a stationary circular droplet with surface tension, (iii) an oscillating elliptical droplet, and (iv) three-dimensional deformation of a spherical droplet. Results indicate that the combined scheme retains the favorable properties of each of the component algorithms.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Autonomous anomaly detection of proliferation in the AGN-201 nuclear reactor digital twin

The expansion of global nuclear power necessitates advanced methods for analyzing proliferation indicators. This study introduces a novel application of the Isolation Forest Machine Learning (IFML) algorithm within a digital twin (DT) of the AGN-201 nuclear reactor to autonomously detect anomalies. Leveraging real-time operational data from the AGN-201 DT, the IFML algorithm identifies outliers without prior data labeling and operates as a lightweight, complementary approach to traditional physics-based anomaly detection methods for nuclear safeguards. In a simulated Red vs. Blue team exercise, the IFML algorithm successfully detected six significant unseen anomalies related to reactivity changes, achieving an accuracy of 99% for identifying operational deviationxs. These anomalies, caused by deliberate perturbations, were detected alongside known physics-based models, underscoring the potential of IFML to enhance real-time monitoring without displacing traditional methods. Further, this study highlights the applicability of IFML in nuclear environments by providing an additional, redundant layer of anomaly detection to improve safeguards and operational safety in complex systems.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

DOE OSTI2024

Flexible dynamic boundary microgrid operation considering network and load unbalances

Flexible microgrids with dynamic boundaries have recently been introduced in the literature. With the ability to reconfigure the topology of the microgrids dynamically through remotely controlled switches, flexible microgrids with dynamic boundaries can further improve the resiliency and energy efficiency of microgrids with distributed energy resources (DERs). This paper focuses on the optimal operation considering one of the predominant characteristics of microgrids and distribution systems – unbalanced networks and loads. In existing literature, balanced modeling of microgrids is more common due to its attractive simplicity. The three-phase power unbalance has not been considered as a constraint on the generation units in a microgrid. Further, negative sequence constraints have also been neglected. In this article, we propose a set of constraints that is specifically related to the capabilities of inverter interfaced resources to supply unbalanced current/power when the microgrid is islanded from the main distribution grid. We incorporate the new set of constraints into two optimization formulations leveraging two convex relaxations of the three-phase power flow equations: mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) and mixed-integer semidefinite programming (MISDP) that optimize the dispatch of controllable switches and DERs in the microgrid. The algorithms are then extended to networked microgrids with grid-forming sources. We test the algorithms on a realistic community microgrid model in Puerto Rico as well as standardized IEEE distribution test feeders. The testing results demonstrate the performance of the proposed algorithms. The MILP is fast and scalable, and the MISDP enforces the negative sequence voltage constraints.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2024

Agent-based modeling for multimodal transportation of CO 2 for carbon capture, utilization, and storage: CCUS-agent

Here, to understand the system-level interactions between the entities in Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage (CCUS), an agent-based foundational modeling tool, CCUS-Agent, is developed for a large-scale study of transportation flows and infrastructure in the United States. Key features of the tool include (i) modular design, (ii) multiple transportation modes, (iii) capabilities for extension, and (iv) testing against various system components and networks of small and large sizes. Five matching algorithms for CO 2 supply agents (e.g., powerplants and industrial facilities) and demand agents (e.g., storage and utilization sites) are explored: Most Profitable First Year (MPFY), Most Profitable All Years (MPAY), Shortest Total Distance First Year (SDFY), Shortest Total Distance All Years (SDAY), and Shortest distance to long-haul transport All Years (ACAY). Before matching, the supply agent, demand agent, and route must be available, and the connection must be profitable. A profitable connection means the supply agent portion of revenue from the 45Q tax credit must cover the supply agent costs and all transportation costs, while the demand agent revenue portion must cover all demand agent costs. A case study employing over 5500 supply and demand agents and multimodal CCUS transportation infrastructure in the contiguous United States is conducted. The results suggest that it is possible to capture over 9 billion tonnes (GT) of CO 2 from 2025 to 2043, which will increase significantly to 22 GT if the capture costs are reduced by 40 %. The MPFY and SDFY algorithms capture more CO 2 earlier in the time horizon, while the MPAY and SDAY algorithms capture more later in the time horizon.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2024

Constraining Galaxy-Halo connection using machine learning

We investigate the potential of machine learning (ML) methods to model small-scale galaxy clustering for constraining Halo Occupation Distribution (HOD) parameters. Our analysis reveals that while many ML algorithms report good statistical fits, they often yield likelihood contours that are significantly biased in both mean values and variances relative to the true model parameters. This highlights the importance of careful data processing and algorithm selection in ML applications for galaxy clustering, as even seemingly robust methods can lead to biased results if not applied correctly. ML tools offer a promising approach to exploring the HOD parameter space with significantly reduced computational costs compared to traditional brute-force methods if their robustness is established. Using our ANN-based pipeline, we successfully recreate some standard results from recent literature. Properly restricting the HOD parameter space, transforming the training data, and carefully selecting ML algorithms are essential for achieving unbiased and robust predictions. Among the methods tested, artificial neural networks (ANNs) outperform random forests (RF) and ridge regression in predicting clustering statistics, when the HOD prior space is appropriately restricted. We demonstrate these findings using the projected two-point correlation function (w p (r p )), angular multipoles of the correlation function (ξ ℓ (r)), and the void probability function (VPF) of Luminous Red Galaxies from Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument mocks. Our results show that while combining w p (r p ) and VPF improves parameter constraints, adding the multipoles ξ 0 , ξ 2 , and ξ 4 to w p (r p ) does not significantly improve the constraints.

cosmology↗

DOE OSTI2024

Minimum entropy filtering for a single output non-Gaussian stochastic system using state transformation

This paper presents a novel filter design for the single-output stochastic non-linear systems subjected to non-Gaussian noises and the proposed assumptions. Based on a state transformation, the unmeasurable states of the systems can be estimated where non-linear terms in the systems have been eliminated. It has been shown that the estimation error is linearly dynamical regarding to the presented vector-valued filter gain which can be optimised by minimising the entropy-based performance criterion. In addition, the convergence of the presented algorithm is analysed in mean-square sense and a numerical example is given to verify the effectiveness of the presented filtering algorithm. Meanwhile, the extended Kalman filter, unscented particle filter and minimum entropy filter are given for the comparisons of the filtering performance. Following the presented framework, some extensions of the presented filtering algorithm are discussed to indicate the flexibility of the filter design. The contribution of this paper can be summarised as establishing a novel minimum entropy filtering framework which consists of model transformation, entropy optimisation and convergence analysis.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Local practically safe extremum seeking with assignable rate of attractivity to the safe set

We present Assignably Safe Extremum Seeking (ASfES), an algorithm designed to minimize a measured, static objective function while maintaining a measured, static metric of safety (a control barrier function or CBF) to be positive in a practical sense. We ensure that for trajectories with safe initial conditions, the violation of safety can be made arbitrarily small through appropriately chosen design constants. We also guarantee an assignable “attractivity” rate: from unsafe initial conditions, the trajectories approach the safe set, in the sense of the measured CBF, at a rate no slower than a user-assigned rate. Similarly, from safe initial conditions, the trajectories approach the unsafe set, in the sense of the CBF, no faster than the assigned attractivity rate. The feature of assignable attractivity is not present in the semiglobal version of safe extremum seeking, where the semiglobality of convergence is achieved by slowing the adaptation. We also demonstrate local convergence of the parameter to a neighborhood of the minimum of a quadratic objective function constrained to the safe set with a linear CBF. The ASfES algorithm and analysis are multivariable, but we also extend the algorithm to a Newton-Based ASfES scheme which we show is only useful in the scalar case. The proven properties of the designs are illustrated through simulation examples.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Intrepid MCMC: Metropolis-Hastings with exploration

In engineering examples, one often encounters the need to sample from unnormalized distributions with complex shapes that may also be implicitly defined through a physical or numerical simulation model, making it computationally expensive to evaluate the associated density function. For such cases, MCMC has proven to be an invaluable tool. Random-walk Metropolis Methods (also known as Metropolis-Hastings (MH)), in particular, are highly popular for their simplicity, flexibility, and ease of implementation. However, most MH algorithms suffer from significant limitations when attempting to sample from distributions with multiple modes (particularly disconnected ones). Here, in this paper, we present Intrepid MCMC - a novel MH scheme that utilizes a simple coordinate transformation to significantly improve the mode-finding ability and convergence rate to the target distribution of random-walk Markov chains while retaining most of the simplicity of the vanilla MH paradigm. Through multiple examples, we showcase the improvement in the performance of Intrepid MCMC over vanilla MH for a wide variety of target distribution shapes. We also provide an analysis of the mixing behavior of the Intrepid Markov chain, as well as the efficiency of our algorithm for increasing dimensions. A thorough discussion is presented on the practical implementation of the Intrepid MCMC algorithm. Finally, its utility is highlighted through a Bayesian parameter inference problem for a two-degree-of-freedom oscillator under free vibration.

97 - MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2025

A Computational Framework to design 3D stiffness gradient acoustic metamaterials for impedance matching

Acoustic waves play a crucial role in various applications, including medical imaging, non-destructive testing, and sonar systems. One of the significant challenges in these applications is impedance matching, which is essential for minimizing reflections and maximizing the transfer of acoustic energy between different media. Acoustic metamaterials offer a promising solution to this challenge. In addition to impedance control, gradient stiffness can enhance structural efficiency and enable spatial control of wave propagation, making it a valuable feature in acoustic metamaterial design. In this pa- per, we present our developed computational method to design 3D stiffness gradient acoustic metamaterials for impedance matching. The key steps in our approach include generating initial designs using a periodic covariance function to provide unit cells that are both periodic on the boundaries and randomly formed inside the unit cell. Furthermore, we integrated manufacturing constraints into the design process, ensuring that the structures are interconnected for fabrication. We propose two computational optimization algorithms: GenUnit, based on a non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm (NSGA-II), and MLMatch, which leverages differentiable machine learning. The two approaches are not separate contributions but complementary com- ponents of a unified framework. GenUnit requires no training data and directly interfaces with physics-based simulations, making it highly accurate but slower for large-scale exploration. In contrast, MLMatch is data-hungry during training but, once trained, enables near-instantaneous inference and broad design-space coverage. Together, they form a hybrid strategy: ML- Match rapidly explores the global design space, and GenUnit provides local refinement with high-fidelity accuracy. This balance between training cost, inference time, and precision is the motivation for including both methods in the same study. We applied this dual-algorithm framework to generate two metallic-based metamaterial designs that match the acoustic impedance of water while exhibiting a controlled gradient in stiffness (from stiff to soft). The stiffness gradient is particularly advantageous in applications where one side of the structure must interface with soft or sensitive surfaces, such as human tissue or delicate components. Here, this work paves the way for improved materials in various acoustic applications, particularly in ultrasound devices, by providing better impedance.

Metamaterial↗

DOE OSTI2025

A direct-adjoint approach for material point model calibration with application to plasticity

Here, this paper proposes a new approach for the calibration of material parameters in local elastoplastic constitutive models. The calibration is posed as a constrained optimization problem, where the constitutive model evolution equations for a single material point serve as constraints. The objective function quantifies the mismatch between the stress predicted by the model and corresponding experimental measurements. To improve calibration efficiency, a novel direct-adjoint approach is presented to compute the Hessian of the objective function, which enables the use of second-order optimization algorithms. Automatic differentiation is used for gradient and Hessian computations. Two numerical examples are employed to validate the Hessian matrices and to demonstrate that the Newton–Raphson algorithm consistently outperforms gradient-based algorithms such as L-BFGS-B.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Integration and Optimization of a Waste Heat Driven Organic Rankine Cycle for Power Generation in Wastewater Treatment Plants

The study focuses on achieving energy self-sufficiency in Wastewater Treatment Plants by proposing a comprehensive model for integrating, sizing, and optimizing an Organic Rankine Cycle system. The Organic Rankine Cycle system is designed to utilize waste heat from the gensets at As Samra Wastewater Treatment Plant in Jordan, where it will contribute to the overall electrical energy supply of the plant. Real data from As Samra Wastewater Treatment Plant is used to model and calculate the available waste heat using TRNSYS® software. The Organic Rankine Cycle model is then developed using ASPEN PLUS® software to explore the impact of operational parameters and determine their optimal values for maximizing the plant's energy profile. An economic analysis is conducted to assess the feasibility of the proposed model, considering system components, installation, operation, and maintenance costs. To optimize the Organic Rankine Cycle system, the study employs the Multi-Output Support Vector Regression technique to capture nonlinear relationships between independent variables (fluid type, turbine inlet pressure, turbine inlet temperature, turbine outlet pressure, and mass flow rate) and dependent variables (pump power input, waste heat input, and turbine specific work). The Osprey optimization algorithm is used to address the multi-objective optimization problem, with the proposed Pareto-based Osprey Optimization Algorithm and the Multi-Objective Particle Swarm Optimization technique being employed to evaluate critical performance and economic parameters such as system thermal efficiency, net power output, and the levelized cost of electricity. The results of the optimization strategies indicate that the M-SVR model's prediction accuracy is significantly improved after parameter optimization, with the model returning high R 2 and low Mean Square Error values of 0.991 and 0.00216, respectively. The Pareto-Based Osprey Optimization Algorithm optimizer identifies the best working fluid as Isobutane/Isopentane in a ratio of 66:34, with optimal turbine inlet pressure and temperature of 15 bars and 218 °C, respectively. In conclusion, the Organic Rankine Cycle model at these optimal conditions achieves a cycle efficiency of 19.93% and an Levelized Cost of Electricity value of 0.0353 USD/kWh.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2025

Artificial intelligence driven laser parameter search: Inverse design of photonic surfaces using greedy surrogate-based optimization

Photonic surfaces designed with specific optical characteristics are becoming increasingly crucial for novel energy harvesting and storage systems. The design of these surfaces can be achieved by texturing materials using lasers. The optimal adjustment of laser fabrication parameters to achieve target surface optical properties is an open challenge. Thus, we develop a surrogate-based optimization approach. Our framework employs the Random Forest algorithm to model the forward relationship between the laser fabrication parameters and the resulting optical characteristics. During the optimization process, we use a greedy, prediction-based exploration strategy that iteratively selects batches of laser parameters to be used in experimentation by minimizing the predicted discrepancy between the surrogate model’s outputs and the user-defined target optical characteristics. This strategy allows for efficient identification of optimal fabrication parameters without the need to model the error landscape directly. We demonstrate the efficiency and effectiveness of our approach on two synthetic benchmarks and two specific experimental applications of photonic surface inverse design targets. By calculating the average performance of our algorithm compared to other state of the art optimization methods, we show that our algorithm performs, on average, twice as well across all benchmarks. Additionally, a warm starting inverse design technique for changed target optical characteristics enhances the performance of the introduced approach.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2026

Short-term electricity load forecasting: Application-driven evaluation of machine learning models across spatial and temporal scales

As we transition towards a decarbonized economy, the integration of variable renewable energy resources and new demands (e.g., electric vehicles, heat pumps) into the electricity grid places unprecedented pressure on grid operators to effectively anticipate and manage peak load. In this context, machine learning algorithms are proving to be indispensable for accurate short-term load forecasting, a crucial task to address these challenges. This study benchmarks 6 machine learning algorithms, including three neural networks and three tree-based algorithms, across various levels of spatial aggregation and time horizons (1, 4, 8, 24, and 48 h). The central contribution of this work is the comparison and analysis of load forecasting models not only based on statistical metrics, but also based on a novel error metric, which evaluates the cost implications of forecast errors for power system stakeholders. Results show that tree-based models outperform neural networks, based on statistical metrics, and yield less skewed error distributions for most spatial scales. However, through the lens of the novel error metric, neural networks are the more competitive choice, especially for forecast horizons that exceed 8 h. The study concludes with actionable recommendations to grid operators and highlights the need for the development of error metrics that link forecasting accuracy to operational costs. To promote transparency and open science, the datasets and Python code are open-sourced via a supplementary repository.

Houben, Nikolaus↗

DOE OSTI2024

Aerial drone fleet deployment optimization with endogenous battery replacements for direct delivery of time-sensitive products

Aerial drones offer a distinct potential to reduce the delivery time and energy consumption for the delivery of time-sensitive and small products. However, there is still a need in the relevant industry to understand the performance of drone-based delivery under different business needs and drone operating conditions. We studied a drone deployment optimization problem for direct delivery of time-sensitive products with release dates to customers maintaining a specified time window. This paper presents a new mixed-integer programming model, new valid inequalities, a new greedy heuristic algorithm, and a Genetic algorithm to help business owners optimally schedule and route their drone fleet minimizing the required fleet size, the required number of additional batteries, and total energy consumption. A realistic feature of the optimization method is that instead of replacing the drone battery after each return to the depot, it keeps track of the remaining energy in the drone battery and decides on battery replacements accounting for the drone routing and the user-specified minimum required battery energy. Numerical results based on real data from drone flight tests and prepared food delivery industry provide insights into the effect of different practical drone operating parameters on the required fleet size, the required number of battery replacements, and energy consumption. Here, results demonstrate that the proposed heuristic algorithm substantially outperforms the accelerated CPLEX in runtime while sacrificing the solution quality by a small amount. Additionally, results show that using a mixed fleet of hexacopter and quadcopter drones reduces the total energy consumption by 48.52% compared to using a homogeneous fleet of only hexacopters.

Drone energy consumption↗

DOE OSTI2025

Vacuum vessel design with lofted toroidal surfaces for a QHS configuration

A vacuum vessel in between the hot plasma and the magnetic coils is crucial for a fusion reactor. In this study, a tool is presented to perform the initial design of such a vessel automatically. Starting from the last closed flux surface, an algorithm is developed which lofts this manifold out as much as possible. At the same time, the algorithm makes sure that no intersection with the coils takes place. In the presented work, this algorithm is applied to the HSX stellarator and it has been verified that the resulting vessel wall can be built from an engineering perspective. Using field line tracing, the strikepoints on the vessel wall indicate the initial locations for a divertor.

HSX↗

DOE OSTI2024

Assessing and advancing the potential of quantum computing: A NASA case study

Quantum computing is one of the most enticing computational paradigms with the potential to revolutionize diverse areas of future-generation computational systems. While quantum computing hardware has advanced rapidly, from tiny laboratory experiments to quantum chips that can outperform even the largest supercomputers on specialized computational tasks, these noisy-intermediate scale quantum (NISQ) processors are still too small and non-robust to be directly useful for any real-world applications. In this paper, we describe NASA’s work in assessing and advancing the potential of quantum computing. We discuss advances in algorithms, both near- and longer-term, and the results of our explorations on current hardware as well as with simulations, including illustrating the benefits of algorithm-hardware co-design in the NISQ era. This work also includes physics-inspired classical algorithms that can be used at application scale today. We discuss innovative tools supporting the assessment and advancement of quantum computing and describe improved methods for simulating quantum systems of various types on high-performance computing systems that incorporate realistic error models. We provide an overview of recent methods for benchmarking, evaluating, and characterizing quantum hardware for error mitigation, as well as insights into fundamental quantum physics that can be harnessed for computational purposes.

Rieffel, Eleanor G.↗

DOE OSTI2025

Bridging the gap: Deploying AI-based Models in Real-Time Fusion Plasma Control Systems

Achieving reliable real-time control in fusion plasma experiments requires strict timing guarantees across entire control algorithms. In earlier work by Abbate et al. (2023), we demonstrated the feasibility of neural-network-based control algorithms on the DIII-D tokamak using the internally developed open-source Keras2C library for model conversion into C (Conlin et al. (2021)). However, the initial implementations relied on data buffering and branching logic outside the neural network code, causing variability in execution times. Subsequent deployments on DIII-D and KSTAR—including the RTCAKENN algorithm for kinetic profile reconstruction—proved that minimizing branching and buffering throughout the pipeline yields consistent millisecond-level cycle times under real experimental conditions (Shousha et al. (2023)). However, keeping pace with rapidly evolving AI frameworks (e.g. PyTorch) is challenging. Finally, we, therefore, propose a community-driven open-source effort to expand the tool, enabling real-time deployment across diverse systems that require strictly bounded execution times.

AI-based models↗