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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 73 records · Page 4

Statistical Framework for Planning a Shelf Life Program with Binary Performance Data

This document outlines a statistical framework for establishing a shelf-life program for components whose performance is measured by a binary response, usually ‘pass’ or ‘fail.’ The approach applies to both single measurement devices and repeated measurement devices. The high-level objective of these plans is to quickly detect any sizeable increase in fraction defective as the product ages. The statistical approach is to choose a sample size and monitoring technique that alarms when the fraction defective increases to an unacceptably high level, but does not alarm when the process is at nominal. The nominal (acceptable) fraction defective is used, and an increased fraction defective (unacceptable) is assumed as part of the control chart design. The control chart recommended for this problem is the Bernoulli Cumulative Sum (CUSUM) control chart.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Utah FORGE: Well 16A(78)-32 Stimulation Tracer Test Results

This archive contains data from the tracer test performed during the Utah FORGE well 16A(78)-32 stimulation. This includes: 1. the raw data file from Pason in the csv format; 2. a one-page Word document from Pason that explains the headers and units used in their data file; 3. an Excel spreadsheet with concentration data and relevant Pason flow data; 4. a Word document with jpg versions of concentration charts (Figs. 1-3) and a tracer mass recovery chart (Fig. 4).

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Solar cell efficiency tables (version 57)

Abstract Consolidated tables showing an extensive listing of the highest independently confirmed efficiencies for solar cells and modules are presented. Guidelines for inclusion of results into these tables are outlined, and new entries since June 2020 are reviewed. In this issue, charts showing efficiency improvements since 1993 are included as well as cell and module area definitions and an updated list of recognized test centres.

Green, Martin↗

Monitoring covariance in multivariate time series: Comparing machine learning and statistical approaches

Abstract In complex systems with multiple variables monitored at high‐frequency, variables are not only temporally autocorrelated, but they may also be nonlinearly related or exhibit nonstationarity as the inputs or operation changes. One approach to handling such variables is to detrend them prior to monitoring and then apply control charts that assume independence and stationarity to the residuals. Monitoring controlled systems is even more challenging because the control strategy seeks to maintain variables at prespecified mean levels, and to compensate, correlations among variables may change, making monitoring the covariance essential. In this paper, a vector autoregressive model (VAR) is compared with a multivariate random forest (MRF) and a neural network (NN) for detrending multivariate time series prior to monitoring the covariance of the residuals using a multivariate exponentially weighted moving average (MEWMA) control chart. Machine learning models have an advantage when the data's structure is unknown or may change. We design a novel simulation study with nonlinear, nonstationary, and autocorrelated data to compare the different detrending models and subsequent covariance monitoring. The machine learning models have superior performance for nonlinear and strongly autocorrelated data and similar performance for linear data. An illustration with data from a reverse osmosis process is given.

Weix, Derek↗

Cooperation or Rivalry? Impact of alternative development pathways on India's long-term electricity generation and associated water demands

The world has witnessed a significant shift in the last decade in the way countries interact with each other. A cooperation based international paradigm is being challenged by countries engaging in rivalry with each other in the name of their national interests. What developmental pathway the world charts in the future is going to be path defining for global energy and emissions use. India, expected to play a critical role in the emissions mitigation debate, would contribute to and would be impacted by these pathways. In India specific literature, however, little attention has been paid to development pathways related uncertainties and their impact on energy futures. We seek to address this gap by modelling India's electricity futures and associated water demands under different development pathways. Our analysis shows that alternative development pathways would have significantly different implications for the energy access, electricity generation mix, associated water withdrawals, and carbon dioxide emissions in India. We conclude by arguing that energy, emissions and water policies should be conceived with an explicit understanding of uncertainties related to potential development pathways that the world and India can chart.

India, Electricity-Water Nexus, Development Pathwa↗

Experimental studies of the two-step scheme with an intense radioactive 132 Sn beam for next-generation production of very neutron-rich nuclei

The study of nuclei in the yet-unexplored, very neutron-rich, mid- to heavy-mass region of the nuclear chart, comprising perhaps half of all nuclei predicted to exist, is leading to new and/or upgraded facilities, as well as to research into the underlying production processes. In the present study, the usefulness of the two-step scheme, an alternate method to produce very neutron-rich nuclei, by a combination of an isotope-separation online (ISOL) system as a first step, and in-beam fragmentation of re-accelerated radioactive isotopes (RIs) as a second step, was investigated with a 132 Sn beam. In this work, very neutron-rich RIs around the neutron-rich neutron number N = 82 region were produced from the 278-MeV/nucleon 132 Sn beam impinging on a 5.97-mm Be target, and their production cross sections were measured. Yields were then estimated for the two-step scheme with the 132 Sn beam relative to the ones by a one-step scheme, in-flight fission of a 238 U beam, for 1-MW proton and 238 U beams at respective RI-beam facilities. This comparison suggests that the two-step scheme with the 132 Sn beam provides yields >40-times higher than those with the one-step scheme for the very neutron-rich N = 82 region. Moreover, by using various RI beams over the nuclear chart from ISOL, certain kinds of very neutron-rich RIs around the supernova r-process path can be produced with greater yields than by the one-step approach.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Hyperheavy spherical and toroidal nuclei: The role of shell structure

The properties of toroidal hyperheavy even-even nuclei and the role of toroidal shell structure are extensively studied within covariant density functional theory. The general trends in the evolution of toroidal shapes in the Z ≈ 130–180 region of the nuclear chart are established for the first time. These nuclei are stable with respect to breathing deformations. The most compact fat toroidal nuclei are located in the Z ≈ 136, N ≈ 206 region of the nuclear chart, but thin toroidal nuclei become dominant with increasing proton number and toward proton and neutron drip lines. The roles of toroidal shell structure, its regularity, supershell structure, and shell gaps as well as the role of different groups of the pairs of the orbitals in its formation are investigated in detail. The lowest in energy solutions at axial symmetry are characterized either by large shell gaps or low density of the single-particle states in the vicinity of the Fermi level in at least one of the subsystems (proton or neutron). Related quantum shell effects are expected to act against the instabilities in breathing and sausage deformations for these subsystems. The investigation with a large set of covariant energy density functionals reveals that substantial proton Z = 154 and 186 and neutron N = 228, 308, and 406 spherical shell gaps exist in all functionals. The nuclei in the vicinity of the combination of these particle numbers form the islands of stability of spherical hyperheavy nuclei. Furthermore, the study suggests that the N = 210 toroidal shell gap plays a substantial role in the stabilization of fat toroidal nuclei.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Charge radii in covariant density functional theory: A global view

A systematic global investigation of differential charge radii has been performed within the CDFT framework for the first time. Theoretical results obtained with conventional covariant energy density functionals and the separable pairing interaction of Tian et al. [Phys. Lett. B 676, 44 (2009)] are compared with experimental differential charge radii in the regions of the nuclear chart in which available experimental data crosses the neutron shell closures at N=28,50,82, and 126. The analysis of absolute differential radii of different isotopic chains and their relative properties indicate clearly that such properties are reasonably well described in model calculations in the cases when the mean-field approximation is justified. However, while the observed clusterization of differential charge radii of different isotopic chains is well described above the N=50 and N=126 shell closures, it is more difficult to reproduce it above the N=28 and N=82 shell closures because of possible deficiencies in the underlying single-particle structure. The impact of the latter has been evaluated for spherical shapes and it was shown that the relative energies of the single-particle states and the patterns of their occupation with increasing neutron number have an appreciable impact on the evolution of the δ$\langle$r2$\rangle$N,N' values. These factors also limit the predictive power of model calculations in the regions of high densities of the single-particle states of different origin. It is shown that the kinks in the charge radii at neutron shell closures are due to the underlying single-particle structure and due to weakening or collapse of pairing at these closures. The regions of the nuclear chart in which the correlations beyond mean field are expected to have an impact on charge radii are indicated; the analysis shows that the assignment of a calculated excited prolate minimum to the experimental ground state allows us to understand the trends of the evolution of differential charge radii with neutron number in many cases of shape coexistence even at the mean-field level. It is usually assumed that pairing is a dominant contributor to odd-even staggering (OES) in charge radii. Our analysis paints a more complicated picture. It suggests a new mechanism in which the fragmentation of the single-particle content of the ground state in odd-mass nuclei due to particle-vibration coupling provides a significant contribution to OES in charge radii.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Neural network emulation of spontaneous fission

Large-scale computations of fission properties are an important ingredient for nuclear reaction network calculations simulating rapid neutron-capture process (the 𝑟 process) nucleosynthesis. Due to the large number of fissioning nuclei potentially contributing to the 𝑟 process, a microscopic description of fission based on nuclear density functional theory (DFT) is computationally challenging. Here, we explore the use of neural networks (NNs) to construct DFT emulators capable of predicting potential energy surfaces and collective inertia tensors across the whole nuclear chart, starting from a minimal set of DFT calculations. We use constrained Hartree-Fock-Bogoliubov (HFB) calculations to predict the potential energy and collective inertia tensor in the axial quadrupole and octupole collective coordinates, for a set of nuclei in the 𝑟-process region. We then employ NNs to emulate the HFB energy and collective inertia tensor across the considered region of the nuclear chart. Least-action pathways characterizing spontaneous fission half-lives and fragment yields are then obtained by means of the nudged elastic band method. The potential energy predicted by NNs agrees with the DFT value to within a root-mean-square error of 500 keV, and the collective inertia components agree to within an order of magnitude. These results are largely independent of the NN architecture. The exit points on the outer turning line are found to be well emulated. For the spontaneous fission half-lives the NN emulation provides values that are found to agree with the DFT predictions within a factor of 10 3 across more than 70 orders of magnitude. Neural networks are able to emulate the potential energy and collective inertia well enough to reasonably predict physical observables. Future directions of study, such as the inclusion of additional collective degrees of freedom and active learning, will improve the predictive power of microscopic theory and further enable large-scale fission studies.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Reaching the prolate-oblate boundary at 𝑁=116 via first fragmentation of a 198 Pt beam: Sharp transition to triaxiality in 189 Ta

High-spin isomers in very-neutron-rich 𝐴≈190 Hf-Ta-W nuclei were populated via the pioneering fragmentation of a 198 Pt primary beam at the National Superconducting Cyclotron Laboratory. The nuclei were implanted in a Si detector stack surrounded by the Gamma-Ray Energy Tracking In-beam Nuclear Array (GRETINA) to detect delayed 𝛾 rays, providing first level schemes using 𝛾−𝛾 coincidence data from isomeric decays in this previously inaccessible region of the nuclear chart. Here, a sudden transition to a strong triaxial shape is observed in the very-neutron-rich 189 Ta (𝑁 = 116) nucleus from axially prolate shapes in lighter Ta isotopes, providing a critical experimental benchmark for competing theoretical predictions of nuclear-shape evolution.

150 ≤ A ≤ 189↗

Bayesian model mixing with multireference energy density functional

Reliably predicting nuclear properties across the entire chart of isotopes is important for applications ranging from nuclear astrophysics to superheavy science to nuclear technology. To this day, however, all the theoretical models that can scale at the level of the chart of isotopes remain semiphenomenological. Because they are fitted locally, their predictive power can vary significantly; different versions of the same theory provide different predictions. Bayesian model mixing takes advantage of such imperfect models to build a local mixture of a set of models to make improved predictions. Earlier attempts to use Bayesian model mixing for mass table calculations relied on models treated at single-reference energy density functional level, which fail to capture some of the correlations caused by configuration mixing or the restoration of broken symmetries. In this study we have applied Bayesian model mixing techniques within a multireference energy density functional (MR-EDF) framework. We considered predictions of two-particle separation energies from particle number projection or angular momentum projection with four different energy density functionals—a total of eight different MR-EDF models. We used a hierarchical Bayesian stacking framework with a Dirichlet prior distribution over weights together with an inverse log-ratio transform to enable positive correlations between different models. We found that Bayesian model mixing provides significantly improved predictions compared to the participating models. Published by the American Physical Society 2025

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Further steps toward the next generation of covariant energy density functionals

The present study aims at further development of covariant energy density functionals (CEDFs) towards more accurate description of binding energies across the nuclear chart. Infinite basis corrections to binding energies in the fermionic and bosonic sectors of the covariant density functional theory are taken into account in the fitting protocol within the covariant density functional theory. In addition, total electron binding energies are used in the conversion of atomic binding energies into nuclear ones. Their dependence on neutron excess is investigated across the nuclear chart within the atomic approach. Furthermore, these factors were disregarded in the previous generation of covariant energy density functionals, but their omission leads to substantial global calculation errors for physical quantities of interest. For example, these errors for binding energies are of the order of 0.8 MeV or higher for the three major classes of covariant energy density functionals.

Binding energy & masses↗

Faraday: A High-temperature Electrolysis Data Explorer

Faraday is a high-temperature electrolysis data visualization tool, which reveals the performance of various button cells under test conditions. These tests and the resulting analytics on their data constitute a state of the industry as the US Department of Energy pushes for the production of hydrogen. Faraday leverages the Idaho National Laboratory's DeepLynx data warehouse to standardize and query button cell data. Faraday programmatically accesses this data in DeepLynx by traversing the schema, represented by a custom ontology. The user interface queries DeepLynx for timeseries data associated with specific button cells in the warehouse, and renders them using JavaScript charts. Additional charting and data analysis techniques are made possible by an auxiliary Python server.

Woodruff, Nathan↗

NERSC_Lightweight Distributed Metric Service (NERSC_LDMS) v4.4.2

Miscellany This LDMS Loftsman/Helm Chart horizontally scales LDMS daemons in order to achieve a 1Hz sample rate from over 5,000 nodes, collecting 38k metrics per minute on Perlmutter. This LMDS Configuration relies on already running `ldmsd` producers running on nodes, which produce metrics via sampler plugins. The Helm chart distributes the collection of metrics from producer acrross many aggregator and storage `ldmsd` daemons, ensuring no damon is overloaded and data loss is avoided.

Stile, John [Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory↗

Human Factors Evaluation of Energy Visualization Dashboards

Energy visualization systems provide information about use in real-time to assist users with energy efficiency. In this study, three energy visualization dashboards for small businesses were developed and tested. Performance measurement, NASA Task Load Index (TLX) workload assessment, and posttest survey were used to conduct the usability testing. Compared with the dashboards that were designed using line charts and tables, a dashboard designed using visuals (e.g., gauges, pie charts, and flashing lights) produced quicker response time, lower mental and temporal demand and effort ratings, and higher ratings of engagement, interest, and trustworthiness.

Nimbarte, Ashish D. (ORCID:0000000210599112)↗

TEAMER: Twin Ocean Power Wave Energy Converter Comprehensive Overview

These files collectively provide a comprehensive overview of the testing process, data analysis, and validation for the Twin Ocean Power device tested at the O.H. Hinsdale Wave Research Laboratory, supported by TEAMER funding. This resource includes an overview of power results for a series of 7 trials. The files included in this comprehensive overview include a comprehensive log sheet for each trial, a summary of all trials, and processing scripts for the raw data. It includes all raw data in .tsv and MATLAB compatible formats, an average power chart, angular velocity charts for each trial, trial metrics, and power output files. This resource includes images of the Twin Ocean Power Wave Energy Converter device components and movement during testing and video recordings of each trial.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

Evolution of Programmatic Asset Lifecycle Planning at MESA

Early on in 2018 Sandia recognized the Microsystems Engineering, Science and Applications (MESA) Programmatic Asset Lifecycle Planning capability to be unpredictable, inconsistent, reactive, and unable to provide strong linkage to the sponsor's needs. The impetus for this report is to share learnings from MESA's journey towards maturing this capability. This report describes re-building the foundational elements of MESA's Programmatic Asset Lifecycle Planning capability using a risk-based, Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) approach. To begin, MESA's decades-old Piano Chart + Ad Hoc Hybrid Methodology is described with a narrative of its strengths and weaknesses. Then its replacement, the MCDA /Analytical Hierarchy Process, is introduced with a discussion of its strengths and weaknesses. To generate a realistic Programmatic Asset Lifecycle Planning budget outlook, MESA used its rolling 20-year Extended Life Program Plan (MELPP) as a baseline. The new MCDA risk-based prioritization methodology implements DOE/NNSA guidelines for prioritization of DOE activities and provides a reliable, structured framework for combining expert judgement and stakeholder preferences according to an established scientific technique. An in-house Hybrid Decision Support System (HDSS) software application was developed to facilitate production of several key deliverables. The application enables analysis of the prioritization decisions with charts to display and provide linkage of MESA's funding requests to the stakeholders' priorities, strategic objectives, nuclear deterrence programs, MESA priorities, and much more.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

MPACT Programmer's Manual (V.4.3)

Figure 1 shows a high-level call chart for MPACT. The call chart uses the actual procedure names, starting with the main program name, MPACT. The only exception is the italicized names where the upstream procedure contains a number of subroutines calls. These calls are logically separated into blocks, such as setup basic info/inputs. Brief descriptions of what the procedure accomplishes are provided where needed. More detailed procedure information, including procedure arguments and definitions, can be found directly in the procedure header in the MPACT source code or Doxygen documentation (http://www.doxygen.nl/).

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗