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At least 73 records · Page 4

Closing the Loops on Solar Photovoltaics Modules: An Agent-Based Modeling Approach for the Study of Circular Economy Strategies

Solar photovoltaics (PV) installed capacity have grown exponentially since the early 2000s (average annual growth rate of 50%). With 4,700 GW projected installed capacity by 2050, the volume of PV panels waste is also expected to become substantial. Though renewables are a sine qua non to the establishment of a truly circular economy (CE), the issue arising from their end-of-life management needs to be resolved. The management of PV end-of-life also represent a singular opportunity to create value, from recovered valuable, rare or critical materials (e.g. silver, tellurium, indium). Moreover, the PV case illustrates some of the current barriers to CE; for instance, the need for a common definition of waste (PV are defined as e-waste in the European Union but as general waste in the United States) and potential loss of innovations' advantages (PV average efficiency has continuously grown the past 10 years). In this study, an agent-based modeling (ABM) approach is proposed to simulate PV end-of-life management in the United States. The model explores how the decisions of the various actors involved in handling PV waste affect the quantities of PV that are reused, recycled, or land-filled. In the model, manufacturers, residential, and nonresidential PV owners, installers, and recyclers are represented by agents while governmental policies and regulations are treated as exogenous variables. PV-market data are used to define agents' characteristics (e.g., installed PV capacities or producing costs). Agents' decision rules draw on the literature related to industrial symbiosis (IS) and peoples' waste behaviors as they appear as the most widely used model to implement CE principles at a meso level. Specifically, the concepts of mutual trust between IS actors and knowledge about the IS philosophy are yielded to define the agents' decision process. The primary outputs of the ABM are the costs and volume of waste associated with each end-of-life pathway. Preliminaries results indicate recycling of residential PV is affected by the cost, perceived difficulty of recycling behaviors, and social norms. Moreover, the type of network connecting agents and the initial recycling rate strongly influence results. The model also highlights the crucial role of recycling behavior adoption: in case of early failure of PV, recycled volumes increase by about 40%. This represents an additional 5.7 billion USD from potential recovered silver. Finally, although results for the PV case are presented here, the developed ABM aims at being a general tool for the study of CE strategies and the CE transition. Furthermore, steps of this research include extending the model to encompass circular economy strategies (e.g., design for recycling or lifetime extension) and validating its general architecture from various case studies.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Gearbox bearing crack growth prognostics and uncertainty quantification with physics-informed machine learning

This paper introduces the extreme theory of functional connections (X-TFC), a physics-informed machine learning algorithm, and tailors it to estimate the remaining useful life (RUL) of wind turbine gearbox bearings experiencing fatigue crack growth. Unlike purely data-driven methods, X-TFC embeds a physics model, based on Head's theory in this work, into its training objective. The core of X-TFC is a random-projection single-layer neural network trained via an extreme learning machine, which requires only limited damage progression data and solves for output weights with a least-squares optimization algorithm. A composite loss function balances the network's fit to observed degradation data against the residuals of the governing crack growth differential equation, ensuring the learned damage trajectory remains physically plausible. When applied to a vibration-based health-index (HI) dataset measured during the growth of a crack on the inner ring of a high-speed bearing in a wind turbine gearbox (Bechhoefer and Dubé, 2020), X-TFC achieves near-zero prediction bias. Even when trained on only the first 10 %–20 % of the damage progression data, with sufficient physics weighting its predictions remain monotonic and smooth, delivering high prognosability and trendability. To quantify the epistemic uncertainty, we employ a Monte Carlo ensemble of independently initialized X-TFC models trained on noise-perturbed data, which yields confidence intervals around each RUL estimate and captures both model-parameter and epistemic uncertainty. In addition to a vibration-based HI, we demonstrate that the proposed framework can be directly applied to a supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) data-based HI (Eftekhari Milani et al., 2026) measured during similar wind turbine gearbox bearing crack faults, preserving its accuracy and interpretability. This extension shows the versatility of our approach, which is applicable to bearings of multiple gearbox manufacturers, models, and ratings using only SCADA data. By integrating domain knowledge with machine learning, X-TFC offers a rapid, reliable tool for crack prognostics. Its adaptability to other bearing failure modes, such as pitch bearing ring cracks, positions X-TFC as a powerful enabler of data-driven, physics-informed asset management in the wind energy sector and beyond.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Draft ASME Code Case to qualify L-PBF 316H material for Section III, Division 5 applications

This report documents the AMMT program’s development and submission of a draft ASME Code Case to qualify Laser Powder Bed Fusion (L PBF) Type 316H stainless steel for Section III, Divi-sion 5 Class A and SM high temperature nuclear applications. It summarizes the technical basis, the comprehensive high temperature mechanical test database assembled between 2023–2026, and the proposed code language and qualification framework submitted to ASME. The work was co-ordinated across multiple national laboratories and leverages prior ASME efforts to integrate additive manufacturing into the Boiler & Pressure Vessel Code. The body of the report describes the experimental database and analysis supporting the Code Case: tensile, creep, fatigue, creep fatigue, and thermal aging tests collected from multiple additive manufacturing sites, machine types, and powder lots, with material processed by a solution anneal heat treatment. The dataset — including both full size and subsized specimens and tests oriented parallel and perpendicular to build direction — shows limited tensile anisotropy, tensile properties comparable to wrought 316H, creep strength within the scatter of wrought material, but markedly reduced creep ductility above about 650 °C associated with rapid σ phase formation in L PBF microstructures. The draft Code Case itself prescribes a staged qualification model (manufacturing process qualification, component qualification, and per build witness testing), treats L PBF components as equivalent to Type 316 weld metal for design and inspection, and requires mechanical, chemical, and metallographic controls tied to ASTM/ISO 52946. Key acceptance criteria include tensile tests within a 90% prediction interval of the AMMT dataset, a creep fatigue screening test adapted from ASME Section III, Division 5, Subsection HB, HBB 2800 but with the cycle acceptance reduced to 100 for L PBF material, and double volumetric inspection of production components. The report concludes that the present data support treating L PBF 316H as analogous to conventional fusion weld metal for Division 5 design and inspection, while highlighting important caveats: the σ phase driven loss of creep ductility above ~650 °C, preliminary indications of enhanced creep fatigue sensitivity in some lots, and remaining gaps in long term aging and additional cyclic testing. Recommended next actions include completing outstanding cyclic and long duration creep/aging tests on the solution annealed condition, supporting inclusion of the 316H chemistry and heat treatment in ASTM/ISO 52946, and continuing engagement with ASME and NRC during balloting and review to enable industry adoption.

Messner, Mark C. (ORCID:0000000200404385)↗

An economic model of the manufacturers' aircraft production and airline earnings potential, volume 3

A behavioral explanation of the process of technological change in the U. S. aircraft manufacturing and airline industries is presented. The model indicates the principal factors which influence the aircraft (airframe) manufacturers in researching, developing, constructing and promoting new aircraft technology; and the financial requirements which determine the delivery of new aircraft to the domestic trunk airlines. Following specification and calibration of the model, the types and numbers of new aircraft were estimated historically for each airline's fleet. Examples of possible applications of the model to forecasting an individual airline's future fleet also are provided. The functional form of the model is a composite which was derived from several preceding econometric models developed on the foundations of the economics of innovation, acquisition, and technological change and represents an important contribution to the improved understanding of the economic and financial requirements for aircraft selection and production. The model's primary application will be to forecast the future types and numbers of new aircraft required for each domestic airline's fleet.

Kneafsey, J. T.↗

MODELLING OF ADDITIVE MANUFACTURING – COMPRESSION MOLDING PROCESS USING COMPUTATIONAL FLUID DYNAMICS

A computational fluid dynamics model has been developed to predict the behavior of a printed strands during a novel material extrusion additive manufacturing and compression molding process. While the traditional additive manufacturing process enables control over the fiber orientation within the part, it would also result in high void content. On the other hand, compression molding produces parts with low porosity levels at rapid processing cycle time but lacks control over the microstructure. The novel additive manufacturing – compression molding (AM-CM) integrating both these processes offers control over both the microstructure and porosity to manufacturing high performance composite parts. The numerical model developed here enables to analyze the effect of processing parameters on the behaviour of printed layer that is subsequently compressed and to determine the optimal printing parameters for high-performance composite part design.

Seta, Berin↗

A semiempirical transparency model for dual energy cargo radiography applications

Cargo containers passing through ports are scanned by non-intrusive inspection systems to search for concealed illicit materials. By using two photon beams with different energy spectra, dual energy inspection systems are sensitive to both the area density and the atomic number of cargo contents. Most literature on the subject assumes a simple exponential attenuation model for photon intensity in which only free streaming photons are detected. However, this approximation neglects second order effects such as scattering, leading to a biased model and thus incorrect material predictions. This work studies the accuracy of the free streaming model by comparing it to simulation outputs, finding that the model shows poor atomic number reconstruction accuracy at high- Z and suffers significantly if the source energy spectra and detector response function are not known exactly. To address these challenges, this work introduces a semiempirical transparency model which modifies the free streaming model by rescaling different components of the mass attenuation coefficient, allowing the model to capture secondary effects ignored by the free streaming model. The semiempirical model displays improvement agreement with simulated results at high- Z and shows excellent extrapolation to materials and thicknesses which were not included during the calibration step. Furthermore, this work demonstrates that the semiempirical model yields accurate atomic number predictions even when the source spectra and detector response are not known exactly. In conclusion, using the semiempirical model, manufacturers can perform a simple calibration to enable more precise Z reconstruction capabilities, which has the potential to significantly improve the performance of existing dual energy radiographic systems.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Solid State Ionics: Materials Development by Multiscale Modeling and Advanced Manufacturing Techniques

Solid-state ionic materials are an important enabling technology for energy conversion and storage. Solid-state batteries would be a safer and higher energy density alternative to commercially available lithium ion batteries (LIB), however their implementation requires ion conduction in solids at room temperature to occur on the same level as the current generation of liquid electrolytes. Microstructural modifications have been demonstrated to play a major role on ion transport through the control of grain boundary interfaces, which traditionally serve as “blocking” layers. Ultimately, these materials will be fabricated in thin films form as electrolytes in order to minimize ohmic losses in electrochemical devices. This work uses advanced manufacturing techniques in combination with theoretical modeling to implement a science-based approach in the deposition of thin films ion conductors with controlled microstructures used in ceramic energy conversion and storage devices.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Reducing Mass of Steel Auto Bodies using Thin Advanced High Strength Steel with Carbon-Fiber Reinforced Epoxy

Diversitak, a company based in Detroit, MI, has developed a proprietary, low specific gravity, carbon fiber-reinforced epoxy (CFRE) under U.S. patent number 9,963,58832. Preliminary testing on this new material conducted in collaboration with ArcelorMittal Steel Company proved out the CFRE concept. A thin layer of this CFRE was applied to a stamped sheet of steel with residual stamping oils from a mill, in a time corresponding to automotive processing (e.g., ~15 seconds), and processed following automotive e-coat procedures (phosphating + 175–200°C heating), to complete the curing. No problems with adherence or performance were noted. While the CFRE does add weight to a thin gauge steel panel, it weighs much less than what is displaced by using thicker conventional mild steel gauges. The application of the coating showed a significant increased dent resistance, oil canning resistance, and part stiffness.This current two-year project was designed to mature this new technology to near manufacturing readiness to reduce the weight of a vehicle and lower the cost of weight reduction. The process involves the use of thinner gauge steels than are currently used. The collaborative development team included two industrial manufacturers: Diversitak and ArcelorMittal Steel Company; LightMAT; and two National Laboratories: Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) and Idaho National Laboratory (INL). The team developed a new manufacturing process to reduce the weight of a vehicle and lower the cost of weight reduction, as well as a better understanding of how to apply the coating so that it will perform to a high standard in-service. The team also performed an in-depth study to determine the long-term durability of the materials manufactured using this technology and well-known automotive industry standard tests.The overall process involved stiffening the thinner gauge steel by applying the CFRE on only one side. To accomplish this goal, the optimal reinforcement fiber length and fiber concentration was first determined. This was followed by measuring the coefficient of thermal expansion (CTE) in all three directions, so it could be fed into manufacturing models and methods for rapidly and inexpensively applying the coating. This was followed by panel level evaluations of the coating and steel combination, and then by full part demonstration of the technology on door panels. The final step was corrosion testing of the parts.ArcelorMittal characterized the advanced high strength steel (AHSS) (e.g., metallurgy-heat treatment for required AHSS properties as a function of the sheet thickness, state of internal stress) and quantified CFRE adhesion to the steel as a function of sheet preparation (e.g., rolling and stamping).ORNL optimized the fiber length, fiber concentration, and coating thickness for best vehicle function and performance at the least cost. Along with the suppliers, ORNL developed a durable CFRE application process (e.g., gun material, design, robotic dispensing process) and identified the adhesion stability of the CFRE during process holding. An approach to ensure that application/curing timing conforms to conventional assembly line speed and plant cycle times was determined. ORNL also determined the CTE of the material in all three directions and performed material scanning electron microscopy (SEM) analyses.INL characterized the corrosion properties of the steel panels coated with CFRE. The panels were investigated for corrosion resistance and stability as replacement materials used in automotive body panels to reduce mass. The coupons tested at INL were supplied by Diversitak after an optimized CFRE formulation was achieved in the already coated form for corrosion testing.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Labeling Solar-Cell Modules

Photocopying machine produces durable identification label. Process used for double glass photovoltaic-cell modules. Matrix of cells sandwiched between thin, flexible glass mats and covered above and below by protective sheets of glass. Label contains such information as manufacturer, model number, voltage and power ratings, and serial number. May also contain electrical-shock hazard warning and identification of positive and negative terminals. Method saves expense of procuring and applying conventional labels.

Watson, E. G.↗

Thermal Protection System of the Space Shuttle

The Thermal Protection System (TPS), introduced by NASA, continues to incorporate many of the advances in materials over the past two decades. A comprehensive, single-volume summary of the TPS, including system design rationales, key design features, and broad descriptions of the subsystems of TPS (E.g., reusable surface insulation, leading edge structural, and penetration subsystems) is provided. Details of all elements of TPS development and application are covered (materials properties, manufacturing, modeling, testing, installation, and inspection). Disclosures and inventions are listed and potential commercial application of TPS-related technology is discussed.

Cleland, John↗

Approximation methods for stochastic petri nets

Stochastic Marked Graphs are a concurrent decision free formalism provided with a powerful synchronization mechanism generalizing conventional Fork Join Queueing Networks. In some particular cases the analysis of the throughput can be done analytically. Otherwise the analysis suffers from the classical state explosion problem. Embedded in the divide and conquer paradigm, approximation techniques are introduced for the analysis of stochastic marked graphs and Macroplace/Macrotransition-nets (MPMT-nets), a new subclass introduced herein. MPMT-nets are a subclass of Petri nets that allow limited choice, concurrency and sharing of resources. The modeling power of MPMT is much larger than that of marked graphs, e.g., MPMT-nets can model manufacturing flow lines with unreliable machines and dataflow graphs where choice and synchronization occur. The basic idea leads to the notion of a cut to split the original net system into two subnets. The cuts lead to two aggregated net systems where one of the subnets is reduced to a single transition. A further reduction leads to a basic skeleton. The generalization of the idea leads to multiple cuts, where single cuts can be applied recursively leading to a hierarchical decomposition. Based on the decomposition, a response time approximation technique for the performance analysis is introduced. Also, delay equivalence, which has previously been introduced in the context of marked graphs by Woodside et al., Marie's method and flow equivalent aggregation are applied to the aggregated net systems. The experimental results show that response time approximation converges quickly and shows reasonable accuracy in most cases. The convergence of Marie's method and flow equivalent aggregation are applied to the aggregated net systems. The experimental results show that response time approximation converges quickly and shows reasonable accuracy in most cases. The convergence of Marie's is slower, but the accuracy is generally better. Delay equivalence often fails to converge, while flow equivalent aggregation can lead to potentially bad results if a strong dependence of the mean completion time on the interarrival process exists.

Jungnitz, Hauke Joerg↗

Development and implementation of the NASA Metrology and Information System

The NASA Metrology Information System (NMIS) was developed as a subsystem of the NASA Equipment Management System (NEMS) to provide a standardized technique in managing the calibration programs of its field Centers and facilities. The NMIS is a computerized data-base system providing: automatic instrument calibration recall and control, historical data including calibration and repair labor and parts costs, incoming instrument performance condition; instrument data including description, manufacturer, model and serial number, and instrument user name location. NMIS automatically provides 28 standardized calibration system performance reports on a user selected schedule. An ad hoc report generation capability is also provided. A standardized form, the Metrology Control Document, was developed for use as a calibration work order and data input document. System implementation plan is presented.

German, Earl S.↗

Nondestructive Evaluation and Monitoring Results from COPV Accelerated Stress Rupture Testing, NASA White Sands Test Facility (WSTF)

Develop and demonstrate NDE techniques for real-time characterization of CPVs and, where possible, identification of NDE capable of assessing stress rupture related strength degradation and/or making vessel life predictions (structural health monitoring or periodic inspection modes). Secondary: Provide the COPV user and materials community with quality carbon/epoxy (C/Ep) COPV stress rupture progression rate data. Aid in modeling, manufacturing, and application of COPVs for NASA spacecraft.

Saulsberry Regor↗

Overview of the RCAP Presented at the ISRU Thermal Integration Meeting

An In-Situ Resource Utilization (ISRU) mission has been proposed for Mars. The ISRU mission would process Oxygen from the Carbon Dioxide in the Martian atmosphere or create Methane and Oxygen from the Martian soil and atmosphere. The Rapid Cycle Adsorption Pump (RCAP) is a proposed technology for Carbon Dioxide separation from residual gases (mainly Nitrogen and Argon) and pressurization for downstream chemical processing from the Martian atmosphere. The RCAP works by using a temperature swing adsorption cycle. We talk about the current RCAP technology development efforts at NASA (modeling, manufacturing, testing, and adsorbent development) and discuss the thermal challenges that are specific to this technology.

Iannetti, Anthony↗

Enabling rapid X-ray CT characterisation for additive manufacturing using CAD models and deep learning-based reconstruction

Metal additive manufacturing (AM) offers flexibility and cost-effectiveness for printing complex parts but is limited to few alloys. Qualifying new alloys requires process parameter optimisation to produce consistent, high-quality components. High-resolution X-ray computed tomography (XCT) has not been effective for this task due to artifacts, slow scan speed, and costs. We propose a deep learning-based approach for rapid XCT acquisition and reconstruction of metal AM parts, leveraging computer-aided design models and physics-based simulations of nonlinear interactions between X-ray radiation and metals. This significantly reduces beam hardening and common XCT artifacts. We demonstrate high-throughput characterisation of over a hundred AlCe alloy components, quantifying improvements in characterisation time and quality compared to high-resolution microscopy and pycnometry. Our approach facilitates investigating the impact of process parameters and their geometry dependence in metal AM.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

In-situ magnetic alignment model for additive manufacturing of anisotropic bonded magnets

In this work, we report a mathematical framework which predicts the degree of alignment (DoA) in an in-situ aligned additively manufactured 3D printed bonded magnets. A multiphysics model is developed which couples the harmonious interactions of magnetic particles in a viscous flowing polymer under the presence of an external magnetic field. The hydrodynamic fluid-particle interaction is paired with the magnetophoretic force to predict the particle trajectory and distribution during extrusion through a 3D printer nozzle. Succeeding the force balance, a magnetohydrodynamic torque equilibrium analysis is performed to predict the net-orientation of the magnetic particles as a function of the applied field strength, viscous forces, and particle-to-particle interactions (P2P). Experimental validation of the DoA predictions is performed using 65 vol% Nd-Fe-B+Sm-Fe-N in Nylon12 (DoA exp = 0.620 and DoA theory = 0.686) and 15 vol% Sm-Co in PLA (DoA exp = 0.830 and DoA theory = 0.863). A parametric analysis is performed to analyze the effect of operating and design parameters like alignment field strength, magnetic loading fraction, extrusion load, and particle size. The model predicts a competing behavior between particle-fluid and particle-particle interactions under the presence of an applied field. Lastly, the model provides a framework to efficiently predict the DoA in tandem with a functionalized-magnetic 3D printer and allows the user to adjust the operating parameters according to the desired DoA.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Design Through Manufacturing: The Solid Model - Finite Element Analysis Interface

State-of-the-art computer aided design (CAD) presently affords engineers the opportunity to create solid models of machine parts which reflect every detail of the finished product. Ideally, these models should fulfill two very important functions: (1) they must provide numerical control information for automated manufacturing of precision parts, and (2) they must enable analysts to easily evaluate the stress levels (using finite element analysis - FEA) for all structurally significant parts used in space missions. Today's state-of-the-art CAD programs perform function (1) very well, providing an excellent model for precision manufacturing. But they do not provide a straightforward and simple means of automating the translation from CAD to FEA models, especially for aircraft-type structures. The research performed during the fellowship period investigated the transition process from the solid CAD model to the FEA stress analysis model with the final goal of creating an automatic interface between the two. During the period of the fellowship a detailed multi-year program for the development of such an interface was created. The ultimate goal of this program will be the development of a fully parameterized automatic ProE/FEA translator for parts and assemblies, with the incorporation of data base management into the solution, and ultimately including computational fluid dynamics and thermal modeling in the interface.

Rubin, Carol↗