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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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67 records · Page 4

Exploring the Evolutionary Accident Hypothesis: Are Extant Protein Folds the Fittest or the Luckiest?

Considering the range of functions proteins perform, it is surprising they fold into a relatively small set of structures or "folds" that facilitate such function. One explanation is that only a minority were fit enough to emerge from Darwinian selection during the early evolution of life. Alternatively, perhaps only a fraction of all possible folds were trialed. Understanding proto-catalyst selection will aid understanding of the origins and early evolution of life. To investigate which explanation is correct, we study a protein evolved in vitro to bind ATP by Jack Szostak (Fig. 1). This protein adopts a fold which is absent from nature. We are testing whether this fold would have possessed the capability to evolve that would have been essential to survive natural selection on early Earth. Folds that couldn't improve their fitness and evolve to perform new functions would have been replaced by rivals that could. To determine whether the fold is evolvable, we are attempting to change the function of the protein by rationally redesigning to bind GTP. Two design strategies in the region of the nucleobase have been implemented to provide hydrogen bonding partners for the ligand i) an insertion ii) a MET to ASN mutation. Redesigns are being studied computationally at Ames Research Center including free energy of binding calculations. Binding affinities of promising redesigns are to be validated by experimental collaborators at ForteBio using Super Streptavidin Biosensors. If the fold is found to be non-evolvable, this may suggest that many structures were trialed, but the majority were pruned on the basis of their evolvability. Alternatively, if the fold is demonstrated to be evolvable, it would be difficult to explain its absence from nature without considering the possibility that the fold simply wasn't sampled on early Earth. This would not only further our understanding of the origins of life on Earth but also suggest a common phe-nomenon of proto-catalyst evolution.

Shannon, G.

Clustering Days with Similar Airport Weather Conditions

On any given day, traffic flow managers must often rely on past experience and intuition when developing traffic flow management initiatives that mitigate imbalances between the aircraft demand and the weather impacted airport capacity. The goal of this study was to build on recent efforts to apply data mining classification and clustering algorithms to vast archives of historical weather and air traffic data to identify patterns and past decisions that can ultimately inform day-of-operations decision-making. More specifically, this study identified similar weather impacted days at select U.S. airports, and analyzed the traffic management initiatives implemented on these representative days. The identification of the similar days was accomplished by applying a decision tree algorithm to the hourly Localized Aviation Model Output Statistics Program observations and the arrival delays for Newark Liberty International Airport. The branches from the trained decision tree were subsequently pruned to identify four weather conditions that resulted in medium to high delays for the arrivals scheduled to Newark in 2012. Using these weather conditions, four, daily airport-level Weather Impacted Traffic Index values were calculated using the Localized Aviation Model Output Statistics Program observations and the 2012 scheduled arrival counts from the FAAs Aviation System Performance Metric system. The four, daily Weather Impacted Traffic Index values for 2012 were subsequently clustered using an Expectation Maximization clustering algorithm, and nine unique types of weather days at Newark were identified. By far the most prominent type of day at Newark was a day associated with relatively good weather conditions, where there was little convective activity, winds were low, ceilings and visibility were high and there was little precipitation. Moderate levels of convective activity characterized the next most prominent type of day. Days with persistently high winds or low ceiling and visibility levels were relatively rare in 2012. Lastly, the frequency at which Ground Delay Programs, Ground Stops and Miles-in-Trail restrictions were implemented on each of the typical types of days at Newark were analyzed. Based on the results, it does appear as if the usage of Miles-in-Trail, Ground Delay Program and Ground Stop restrictions correlates well with the severity of the weather associated with each unique type of weather impacted day at Newark. Furthermore, the results demonstrate that it is feasible to use historical weather and air traffic archives to provide guidance on the types of traffic management restrictions to implement in response to the weather conditions impacting an airport.

traffic flow management

Libration Orbit Eclipse Avoidance Maneuver Study for the James Webb Space Telescope Mission

Mission analysis of libration orbit trajectories at Sun-Earth/Moon L2 typically includes predictions of lunar and Earth eclipses during the mission life-time. The NASA James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) trajectory, by design, avoids these eclipses by pruning its launch window. In an off-nominal scenario where an eclipse is predicted, a maneuver strategy is needed. In this paper, trade studies are examined for JWST that characterize the burn magnitude, location, and epochs of multiple maneuver plans to avoid an eclipse. The results enable analysts to explore the space of feasible maneuver strategies during routine operations.

Maneuver design

Clustering Days with Similar Airport Weather Conditions

On any given day, traffic flow managers must often rely on past experience and intuition when developing traffic flow management initiatives that mitigate imbalances between the aircraft demand and the weather impacted airport capacity. The goal of this study was to build on recent efforts to apply data mining classification and clustering algorithms to vast archives of historical weather and air traffic data to identify patterns and past decisions that can ultimately inform day-of-operations decision-making. More specifically, this study identified similar weather impacted days at select U.S. airports, and analyzed the traffic management initiatives implemented on these representative days. The identification of the similar days was accomplished by applying a decision tree algorithm to the hourly Localized Aviation Model Output Statistics Program observations and the arrival delays for Newark Liberty International Airport. The branches from the trained decision tree were subsequently pruned to identify four weather conditions that resulted in medium to high delays for the arrivals scheduled to Newark in 2012. Using these weather conditions, four, daily airport-level Weather Impacted Traffic Index values were calculated using the Localized Aviation Model Output Statistics Program observations and the 2012 scheduled arrival counts from the FAAs Aviation System Performance Metric system. The four, daily Weather Impacted Traffic Index values for 2012 were subsequently clustered using an Expectation Maximization clustering algorithm, and nine unique types of weather days at Newark were identified. By far the most prominent type of day at Newark was a day associated with relatively good weather conditions, where there was little convective activity, winds were low, ceilings and visibility were high and there was little precipitation. Moderate levels of convective activity characterized the next most prominent type of day. Days with persistently high winds or low ceiling and visibility levels were relatively rare in 2012. Lastly, the frequency at which Ground Delay Programs, Ground Stops and Miles-in-Trail restrictions were implemented on each of the typical types of days at Newark were analyzed. Based on the results, it does appear as if the usage of Miles-in-Trail, Ground Delay Program and Ground Stop restrictions correlates well with the severity of the weather associated with each unique type of weather impacted day at Newark. Furthermore, the results demonstrate that it is feasible to use historical weather and air traffic archives to provide guidance on the types of traffic management restrictions to implement in response to the weather conditions impacting an airport.

weather

Explorations of Quantum-Classical Approaches to Scheduling a Mars Lander Activity Problem

An effective approach to solving problems involving mixed (continuous and discrete) variables and constraints, such as hybrid systems, is to decompose them into subproblems and integrate dedicated solvers geared toward those subproblems. Here, we introduce a new framework based on a tree search algorithm to solve hybrid discrete-continuous problems that incorporates: (1) a quantum annealer that samples from the configuration space for the discrete portion and provides information about the quality of the samples, and (2) a classical computer that makes use of information from the quantum annealer to prune and focus the search as well as check a continuous constraint. We consider four variants of our algorithm, each with progressively more guidance from the results provided by the quantum annealer. We empirically test our algorithm and compare the variants on a simplified Mars Lander task scheduling problem. Variants with more guidance from the quantum annealer have better performance.

scheduling

Do You See What I See? Interactive Visualization of Mission Design and Navigation

Mission Design and Navigation (MDNav) is an intensive process requiring advanced computational resources, expert human intuition, and many successive human-in-the-loop iterations to converge on acceptable trajectory designs or navigation solutions. The current bottleneck in MDNav is not the underlying computational algorithms but the human cognitive capacity to prune through a multitude of simulated results to select high-value candidates. One approach to alleviate this burden is through the judicious application of visualizations that allow humans to interactively filter data in multiple dimensions to reveal salient patterns and highlight divergences. When designed efficiently, such interactive visualizations should aid human operators to get familiar with data faster, visually observe correlations, and communicate findings more effortlessly. In this work, we present three visualization case studies that have the potential to increase human operator efficiency in MDNav. While identifying the most critical “pain points” that operators face, and also working on potential solutions, we followed a human-centered design approach. We started with a series of interviews with potential users, and then rapidly created prototypes for alternative solutions, validated outcomes with feedback from users through out development of these proof of concept visualizations. With this survey of our current efforts, we demonstrate the transformative capability of interactive data visualizations for improving mission development and operations, enabling operators to grow intuition, and communicating key concepts across diverse mission teams.

Arora, Nitin

Vibrational and Rovibrational Spectroscopy Applied to Astrochemistry

The detection of molecules in astrophysical environments almost always requires remote sensing. While radioastronomical observation and associated rotational spectroscopy are powerful astronomical tools, infrared spectral analysis provides a unique means of examining the observable universe, especially for molecules where permanent dipole moments are small or even non-existent. The molecular vibrations of small molecules are now able to be modeled via quantum chemistry and electronic structure theory conjoined to vibrational analysis to within spectroscopic accuracy in many cases. This chapter will showcase this success and build upon it to show how such advances are now being leveraged to describe molecular vibrations for molecules containing dozens of atoms, electronically excited states, "hot bands," exoplanetary atmospheric opacity data, and even emission of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons. All of these are required to prune the interstellar spectral garden of its "weeds" in search of "flowers" that will provide the necessary fingerprints for astronomers to be able to probe the heavens for its past, present, and future secrets.

Ryan C. Fortenberry

Towards Finding Energy Efficient Paths for Hybrid Airships in the Atmosphere of Venus

This paper presents a solution to the motion planning problem for an autonomous airship under superrotation winds of the Venusian atmosphere. The airship uses both buoyancy and aerodynamic lift to control its altitude. In addition, solar panels distributed over the aircraft provide energy to the propellers and allow for battery recharging. Our approach uses a sampling-based planner that relies on Dubins’ Airplane paths deformed under the influence of the winds to create a tree of kinematically feasible trajectories. We use the battery state to prune energetically unfeasible trajectories and we propose a cost function that accounts for the energy expenditure of the propulsive system and that considers battery charging by using the Economics notion of opportunity cost. The method is illustrated through a series of simulations that show how the vehicle takes longer and high-altitude paths to minimize the use of energy and favor battery recharge. Our results also show that naive trajectories are not feasible in terms of energy, justifying the need for more efficient solutions.

Bernardo Martinez R. Jr

Aerial Vehicle Routing and Scheduling for UAS Traffic Management: A Hybrid Monte Carlo Tree Search Approach

We present the Multi-Route Weighted Package Delivery Problem (MRWPDP) and a scalable solution methodology as a major step towards enabling an airspace deconfliction service for drone delivery operations. The problem is motivated by Strategic deconfliction under the FAA’s “Unmanned Aircraft Systems Traffic Management” Concept of Operations. MRWPDP falls under a class of vehicle routing and scheduling problems, and as such is NP-Hard. In MRWPDP, a graph network is given which consists of depots, drop-off sites, and multiple routes connecting the two. In addition, routes are weighted by the associated ground risk and total travel distance for package delivery. The goal is to optimally schedule the departure time and assign routes to a known set of vehicles at the depot. We propose a heuristic solution to the problem by borrowing techniques from Mixed Integer Linear Programming (MILP), Constraint Programming, and Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS). The resulting hybrid framework is MCTS with Bound-and-Prune (BP) and rapid simulated updates (U), or MCTS-BP-U. This approach is able to quickly provide a feasible solution for MRWPDP, even for large problem instances up to 1000 vehicles. We provide a MILP formulation of MRWPDP and compare its performance against MCTS-BP-U in terms of solution quality. An agent-based model simulation is conducted as a final step to validate the efficacy of our approach.

air traffic scheduling

Aerial Vehicle Routing and Scheduling for UAS Traffic Management: A Hybrid Monte Carlo Tree Search Approach

We present the Multi-Route Weighted Package Delivery Problem (MRWPDP) and a scalable solution methodology as a major step towards enabling an airspace deconfliction service for drone delivery operations. The problem is motivated by Strategic deconfliction under the FAA’s “Unmanned Aircraft Systems Traffic Management” Concept of Operations. MRWPDP falls under a class of vehicle routing and scheduling problems, and as such is NP-Hard. In MRWPDP, a graph network is given which consists of depots, drop-off sites, and multiple routes connecting the two. In addition, routes are weighted by the associated ground risk and total travel distance for package delivery. The goal is to optimally schedule the departure time and assign routes to a known set of vehicles at the depot. We propose a heuristic solution to the problem by borrowing techniques from Mixed Integer Linear Programming (MILP), Constraint Programming, and Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS). The resulting hybrid framework is MCTS with Bound-and-Prune (BP) and rapid simulated updates (U), or MCTS-BP-U. This approach is able to quickly provide a feasible solution for MRWPDP, even for large problem instances up to 1000 vehicles. We provide a MILP formulation of MRWPDP and compare its performance against MCTS-BP-U in terms of solution quality. An agent-based model simulation is conducted as a final step to validate the efficacy of our approach.

air traffic scheduling

Expanding the Deep Space Network to Support the Heliophysics System Observatory

Difficulties associated with receiving telemetry from satellites severely limit the volume of scientific data that can be downlinked to the ground. Current missions employ techniques such as compressing and pruning datasets to reduce the data volume they transmit. While existing mission designs are already restricted by limited telemetry budgets, future Heliophysics System Observatory missions will produce ever larger data volumes with higher resolution and cadence observations from constellations of satellites spread throughout the heliosphere1. In addition, heliophysics missions often produce data for the operational Space Weather community that requires a low latency between observation and downlink. In light of current limitations, the infrastructure to receive NASA satellite telemetry must be expanded and modernized to support the science needs of future data-rich heliophysics missions.

deep space network (DSN)

System-Theoretic Analysis of Unsafe Collaborative Control in Teaming Systems

The interactions that occur in human-teaming are inspiring novel aerospace designs aimed at improving how humans and machines, or multiple machines, work together. Unfortunately, current Systems Engineering processes are ill-equipped to handle these complex relationships and are unable to design and assure the safety for these systems. To close part of this gap, this paper introduces a novel system-theoretic analytical process to identify unsafe collaborative control actions. It is part of a broader set of techniques that extend the state-of-the-art in hazard analysis, System Theoretic Process Analysis (STPA), to systematically address collaboration. The method rigorously expresses the different ways multiple commands may be unsafe together. Using Systems Theory, it employs abstraction to manage the combinatorial complexity in enumerating control contributions from multiple collaborating components. An algorithm integrates these concepts into an end-to-end process and is supported by automation to enumerate, refine, prune, and prioritize unsafe combinations of control actions. The output of the method feeds the specification of system requirements to implement safety-guided design starting early in concept development. The process is demonstrated on a manned-unmanned aircraft teaming case study and finds new causal factors that were not previously found in a past hazard analysis of the same system.

System Safety

Decision Space Modeling: Trade Space Ontology

As the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) works to develop a crewed Moon to Mars Architecture, it is dealing with a large decision space consisting of the overlay of human exploration architectures for both the Moon and for Mars. Efforts are underway to enable reasoning, analysis, and deliberation on this decision space. A critical first step is to develop a model of the decision space, which will then allow for various methods and techniques to be applied in support of the larger architecture decision-making process. The Trade Space Ontology consists of a set of terminologies and relations (an ontology) and a MagicDraw resource that enables documentation of decisions and alternatives. It also provides a means by which decisions and alternatives can be traced to other Systems Engineering artifacts. For documenting alternatives, the Trade Space Ontology adapts the Morphological Matrix methodology to The Systems Modeling Language (SysML) through a profile; custom diagrams are also implemented to simplify the profile's use. With the profile and custom diagrams, system architects can specify options for architecture attributes, as well as compatibility between them, in a compact visual format. While the approach shares similarities to a trade tree, the emphasis at this stage is less on enumerating specific combinations of options and instead on specifying the options and their compatibility. Enumeration of alternatives is performed by an external analysis that operates on an output file from a model constructed using the Trade Space Ontology. For decisions, the Trade Space Ontology provides a way to model generic precedence relationships as well as documenting inputs and outputs. These may include what alternatives, criteria, and rationale are understood to be relevant for each decision. Importantly, the decision-making side of the Trade Space Ontology is defined at a more general level, such that it can be adapted to the specific terms in use by projects and programs at NASA. However, this adaptability also means that less capability is provided ``out-of-the-box'' from installation. Currently the resource includes plugin functionality to enumerate paths through generic precedence relationships between decisions and to export these paths to a spreadsheet. Custom dependency stereotypes are included in the profile to indicate the cross-cutting relationships between the trade space and the architecture decisions, providing a means to map which parts of the trade space enumerate alternatives for a decision, and to identify how the output of a decision may modify the trade space through pruning or down-selection. While the motivating use case for this resource is in human exploration architectures, the broad applicability of the Morphological Matrix methodology indicates that the Trade Space Ontology should also be useful for other activities and tasks at the agency.

Trade Tree