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At least 739 records · Page 41

Integration of Uncertainty Quantification in a Model-Based Systems Analysis and Engineering Framework

This paper presents a technical approach to improve the confidence in the systems analysis process by integrating Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) techniques within a Model-Based Systems Analysis and Engineering (MBSA&E) framework. The MBSA&E architecture uses system models and multidisciplinary analytical solutions as central artifacts for system design and analysis. The integration of UQ enables engineers to assess and mitigate uncertainties associated with a system model, design parameters, and constraint inputs, leading to more complete design studies and further informed decision-making processes. The proposed approach leverages the strengths of MBSA&E and extends it with a UQ methodology to quantify uncertainties in the input parameters and to trace the uncertainties as they propagate throughout the system model. To demonstrate the effectiveness of an integrated MBSA&E-UQ approach, a case study involving a simplified analysis of a Transonic Truss-Braced Wing (TTBW) concept vehicle is performed. This integration enables a more comprehensive evaluation of system performance and behavior under uncertainty and a more robust approach for system design and analysis. Lastly, the paper addresses the challenges and considerations associated with integrating UQ into an MBSA&E framework.

systems analysis↗

Integration of Uncertainty Quantification in a Model-Based Systems Analysis and Engineering Framework

This paper presents a technical approach to improve the confidence in the systems analysis process by integrating Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) techniques within a Model-Based Systems Analysis and Engineering (MBSA&E) framework. The MBSA&E architecture uses system models and multidisciplinary analytical solutions as central artifacts for system design and analysis. The integration of UQ enables engineers to assess and mitigate uncertainties associated with a system model, design parameters, and constraint inputs, leading to more complete design studies and further informed decision-making processes. The proposed approach leverages the strengths of MBSA&E and extends it with a UQ methodology to quantify uncertainties in the input parameters and to trace the uncertainties as they propagate throughout the system model. To demonstrate the effectiveness of an integrated MBSA&E-UQ approach, a case study involving a simplified analysis of a Transonic Truss-Braced Wing (TTBW) concept vehicle is performed. This integration enables a more comprehensive evaluation of system performance and behavior under uncertainty and a more robust approach for system design and analysis. Lastly, the paper addresses the challenges and considerations associated with integrating UQ into an MBSA&E framework.

systems analysis↗

Strategies for connecting whole-building LCA to the low-carbon design process

Abstract Decarbonization is essential to meeting urgent climate goals. With the building sector in the United States accounting for 35% of total U.S. carbon emissions, reducing environmental impacts within the built environment is critical. Whole-building life cycle analysis (WBLCA) quantifies the impacts of a building throughout its life cycle. Despite being a powerful tool, WBLCA is not standard practice in the integrated design process. When WBLCA is used, it is typically either speculative and based on early design information or conducted only after design completion as an accounting measure, with virtually no opportunity to impact the actual design. This work proposes a workflow for fully incorporating WBLCA into the building design process in an iterative, recursive manner, where design decisions impact the WBLCA, which in turn informs future design decisions. We use the example of a negative-operational carbon modular building seeking negative upfront embodied carbon using bio-based materials for carbon sequestration as a case study for demonstrating the utility of the framework. Key contributions of this work include a framework of computational processes for conducting iterative WBLCA, using a combination of an existing building WBLCA tool (Tally) within the building information modeling superstructure (Revit) and a custom script (in R) for materials, life cycle stages, and workflows not available in the WBLCA tool. Additionally, we provide strategies for harmonizing the environmental impacts of novel materials or processes from various life cycle inventory sources with materials or processes in existing building WBLCA tool repositories. These strategies are useful for those involved in building design with an interest in reducing their environmental impact. For example, this framework would be useful for researchers who are conducting WBLCAs on projects that include new or unusual materials and for design teams who want to integrate WBLCA more fully into their design process in order to ensure the building materials are consciously chosen to advance climate goals, while still ensuring best performance by traditional measures.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Idaho National Laboratory Integrated Multisite SSHAC Level 3: Probabilistic Volcanic Hazards Assessment

The Idaho National Laboratory (INL) resides on the eastern Snake River Plain (ESRP), part of the Snake River Plain (SRP) with a complex origin and geologic history of volcanism. Much of the Quaternary (last 2.58 million years) volcanism within 400 km of INL is genetically associated with a major thermal anomaly referred to as the Yellowstone hotspot, which is currently located more than 180 km northeast of INL. Near INL, local volcanic sources include silicic domes near its southern border, and numerous dike-fed basaltic vents of the ESRP, some of which are near or within the INL boundaries. Quantitative probabilistic assessments of screened-in volcanic hazardous phenomena for nine different facility complexes at the INL are presented for a Senior Seismic Hazard Analysis Committee (SSHAC) Level 3 (SL3) study. The comprehensive, integrated multisite SSHAC study consists of a single regional Probabilistic Volcanic Hazards Assessment (PVHA) that pertains to all nine INL facility complexes, with site-specific information developed at each respective area of interest (AOI), referred to as the "INL facility AOI" (Figure ES-1). Hazard products are generated for specified INL facility AOIs for use by multiple stakeholders from different agencies in risk-informed decision-making regarding site selection, operations, and design of nuclear facilities at INL, consistent with U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) and U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) regulatory guidance. The study also serves as the basis for future periodic safety assessments required for existing DOE facilities, such as 10-year evaluations of natural-phenomena hazards. Elements of the INL PVHA including initial characterization, screening, quantitative assessments of eruption and hazard potential, and consideration of facility needs are conducted using the three phases of the SSHAC process: evaluation, integration, and documentation. As per regulatory guidance, the SSHAC framework provided the necessary processes and procedures for the PVHA Technical Integration (TI) team, at three workshops, five formal working meetings and many TI team remote meetings, to conduct initial characterization, screen the volcanic hazards, create PVHA model inputs, exercise those models in the PVHA, consider facility-specific volcanic hazard needs, and perform final hazard calculations. The Participatory Peer Review Panel (PPRP) provided independent oversight and performed process and technical reviews of the PVHA throughout its duration. The study included an extensive New Data Collection and Analyses (NDCA) program developed by the PVHA TI team to reduce uncertainties in hazard-significant elements in the PVHA model. NDCA activities generated 20 reports providing important contributory datasets and results to the project database for characterizing the ESRP. For example, a report compiling the dimensions of ESRP shield volcanoes and lava fields was used to construct volcanic footprints (areas of impact), was compared with data from INL subsurface cores, and was used to validate the results of lava-flow inundation modeling on the contemporary terrain. Another example is the acquisition of aeromagnetic data over INL and its surrounding area, with maps of buried magmatic features (e.g., subsurface volcanoes and swarms of feeder dikes) that informed the PVHA conceptual model of volcanism. The SSHAC evaluation process was used to conduct all elements of the PVHA including initial characterization and screening. Existing data and NDCA activities provided the foundation to develop the tectonomagmatic conceptual model of volcanism for the region of geographical interest in the SRP and Yellowstone hotspot volcanic system, and for considering volcanoes in the western US. Considering Quaternary volcanic sources active during this period, the screening approach identified and evaluated magma compositions, types of eruptive and intrusive phenomena, types of hazardous phenomena, and proximity of sources to INL. The PVHA TI team evaluated 18 types of magmatic sources in terms of 20 potentially hazardous phenomena, resulting in 360 screening decisions. The screening process resulted in 140 screened-in hazardous volcanic phenomena for Quaternary volcanic sources 1) proximal to INL facility complexes in the ESRP (64 basaltic and 54 silicic), 2) regional sources associated with the Yellowstone caldera system and Blackfoot Reservoir volcanic field (7), and 3) more distal sources from thirteen Cascade volcanoes and two volcanoes at Long Valley caldera (CA).

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Fault Diagnosis of Hybrid Computing Systems Using Chaotic-Map Method

Computing systems are becoming increasingly complex with nodes consisting of a combination of multi-core central processing units (CPUs), many integrated core (MIC) and graphics processing unit (GPU) accelerators. These computing units and their interconnections are subject to different classes of hardware and software faults, which should be detected to support mitigation measures. We present the chaotic-map method that uses the exponential divergence and wide Fourier properties of the trajectories, combined with memory allocations and assignments to diagnose component-level faults in these hybrid computing systems. We propose lightweight codes that utilize highly parallel chaotic-map computations tailored to isolate faults in arithmetic units, memory elements and interconnects. The diagnosis module on a node utilizes pthreads to place chaotic-map threads on CPU and MIC cores, and CUDA C and OpenCL kernels on GPU blocks. We present experimental diagnosis results on five multi-core CPUs; one MIC; and, seven GPUs with typical diagnosis run-times under a minute.

Rao, Nageswara↗

Planning for Space Station Freedom laboratory payload integration

Space Station Freedom is being developed to support extensive missions involving microgravity research and applications. Requirements for on-orbit payload integration and the simultaneous payload integration of multiple mission increments will provide the stimulus to develop new streamlined integration procedures in order to take advantage of the increased capabilities offered by Freedom. The United States Laboratory and its user accommodations are described. The process of integrating users' experiments and equipment into the United States Laboratory and the Pressurized Logistics Modules is described. This process includes the strategic and tactical phases of Space Station utilization planning. The support that the Work Package 01 Utilization office will provide to the users and hardware developers, in the form of Experiment Integration Engineers, early accommodation assessments, and physical integration of experiment equipment, is described. Plans for integrated payload analytical integration are also described.

Willenberg, Harvey J.↗

Unstructured Grid Adaptation and Solver Technology for Turbulent Flows

Unstructured grid adaptation is a tool to control Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) discretization error. However, adaptive grid techniques have made limited impact on production analysis workflows where the control of discretization error is critical to obtaining reliable simulation results. Issues that prevent the use of adaptive grid methods are identified by applying unstructured grid adaptation methods to a series of benchmark cases. Once identified, these challenges to existing adaptive workflows can be addressed. Unstructured grid adaptation is evaluated for test cases described on the Turbulence Modeling Resource (TMR) web site, which documents uniform grid refinement of multiple schemes. The cases are turbulent flow over a Hemisphere Cylinder and an ONERA M6Wing. Adaptive grid force and moment trajectories are shown for three integrated grid adaptation processes with Mach interpolation control and output error based metrics. The integrated grid adaptation process with a finite element (FE) discretization produced results consistent with uniform grid refinement of fixed grids. The integrated grid adaptation processes with finite volume schemes were slower to converge to the reference solution than the FE method. Metric conformity is documented on grid/metric snapshots for five grid adaptation mechanics implementations. These tools produce anisotropic boundary conforming grids requested by the adaptation process.

Park, Michael A.↗

Thermal Energy Storage Selection for Near Term Nuclear Integration

Thermal energy storage (TES) integration with existing and future light water reactors (LWRs) has the capability to increase the deployment options and uses for the large amounts of heat produced in nuclear reactor cores. The present method of exclusively producing electricity has become less economical with increases in renewable energy penetration leading to times of low or negative electricity prices. Some response to this new grid reality has been to begin load following nuclear reactors, an unideal choice due to the relatively small modular cost of producing nuclear energy compared to the revenue that could be received by using all of the heat produced. To support research in this area, Idaho National Laboratory (INL) has joined with Utah Associated Municipal Power Systems (UAMPS) on the Carbon Free Power Project (CFPP) to contract the Joint Use Modular Plant (JUMP). CFPP is planned to be a 12-module NuScale operating site built on INL property, with the first module dedicated to JUMP for research, development, and demonstration purposes. The JUMP module coming online around the beginning of fiscal year 2027 in the current project timeline. One primary goal of JUMP is to demonstrate TES integrated with an operating LWR in a real-world environment. TES integration will allow for the demonstration of nuclear power’s capability to participate in grid load following without reactor cycling, process heat integration, and electrical ancillary market opportunities. The goal of this research is to support both SMR deployment opportunities as well as support LWR retrofit capabilities. In a discussion limited to load following or energy arbitration, “charging” and “discharging” can be simply defined. TES charging refers to time when energy is removed from the nuclear reactor power conversion cycle and directed to be stored in the TES storage medium resulting in less available energy available for grid output. Discharging refers to the process of releasing energy stored in the TES medium and having an increase in grid. This paper quantifies energy storage technologies for use with nuclear reactors.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

In Situ Transmission Electron Microscopy: Signal processing challenges and examples

Transmission electron microscopy (TEM) is a powerful tool for imaging material structure and characterizing material chemistry. Recent advances in data collection technology for TEM have enabled high-volume and high-resolution data collection at a microsecond frame rate. Here, taking advantage of these advances in data collection rates requires the development and application of data processing tools, including image analysis, feature extraction, and streaming data processing techniques. In this article, we highlight a few areas in materials science that have benefited from combining signal processing and statistical analysis with data collection capabilities in TEM and present a future outlook on opportunities of integrating signal processing with automated TEM data analysis.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Photonic Integrated Circuits

Integrated photonics generally is the integration of multiple lithographically defined photonic and electronic components and devices (e.g. lasers, detectors, waveguides passive structures, modulators, electronic control and optical interconnects) on a single platform with nanometer-scale feature sizes. The development of photonic integrated circuits permits size, weight, power and cost reductions for spacecraft microprocessors, optical communication, processor buses, advanced data processing, and integrated optic science instrument optical systems, subsystems and components. This is particularly critical for small spacecraft platforms. We will give an overview of some NASA applications for integrated photonics.

Laser↗

Photonic Integrated Circuits

Integrated photonics generally is the integration of multiple lithographically defined photonic and electronic components and devices (e.g. lasers, detectors, waveguides passive structures, modulators, electronic control and optical interconnects) on a single platform with nanometer-scale feature sizes. The development of photonic integrated circuits permits size, weight, power and cost reductions for spacecraft microprocessors, optical communication, processor buses, advanced data processing, and integrated optic science instrument optical systems, subsystems and components. This is particularly critical for small spacecraft platforms. We will give an overview of some NASA applications for integrated photonics.

laser↗

Novel ammonia recovery from anaerobic digestion by integrating biogas stripping and gypsum absorption

Recovering ammonia from anaerobic digestion (AD) effluent offers the opportunity to produce a renewablefertilizer and reduce environmental impact. A novel process developed for such an application was evaluatedduring this study. The feature of the process is integrating biogas stripping and gypsum (CaSO 4 •2H 2 O) absorption. The result revealed that the lower CO 2 content and the absorption temperature contributed the higherefficiency of ammonia recovery. The gypsum solution recovered around 95% of the stripped ammonia when thestripping gas contained 10% CO 2 and it rose to 100% when the gas contained more than 30% CO 2 . Furthermore,a statistical model and genetic algorithm were applied to estimate the total ammonia recovery and optimize theoperating parameters. The experimental and modeling results indicated that integrating biogas stripping withgypsum absorption can effectively harvest ammonia nitrogen and reduce CO 2 emissions while producing(NH 4 ) 2 SO 4 fertilizer from AD effluent.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Recent advances in integrated multidisciplinary optimization of rotorcraft

A joint activity involving NASA and Army researchers at NASA LaRC to develop optimization procedures to improve the rotor blade design process by integrating appropriate disciplines and accounting for all of the important interactions among the disciplines is described. The disciplines involved include rotor aerodynamics, rotor dynamics, rotor structures, airframe dynamics, and acoustics. The work is focused on combining these five key disciplines in an optimization procedure capable of designing a rotor system to satisfy multidisciplinary design requirements. Fundamental to the plan is a three-phased approach. In phase 1, the disciplines of blade dynamics, blade aerodynamics, and blade structure are closely coupled while acoustics and airframe dynamics are decoupled and are accounted for as effective constraints on the design for the first three disciplines. In phase 2, acoustics is integrated with the first three disciplines. Finally, in phase 3, airframe dynamics is integrated with the other four disciplines. Representative results from work performed to date are described. These include optimal placement of tuning masses for reduction of blade vibratory shear forces, integrated aerodynamic/dynamic optimization, and integrated aerodynamic/dynamic/structural optimization. Examples of validating procedures are described.

Adelman, Howard M.↗

Investigation of Transient Xenon Processes in VVER-1200 at the Novovoronezh NPP

The results of experimental studies of the integral and spatial transient xenon processes in the No. 6 unit of the Novovoronezh NPP with VVER-1200 are presented. An unconventional method of measurement was tested in the study of integral processes: the course of the xenon process was recorded as the change in the critical concentration of boric acid in the reactor simultaneously with a calculation of the concentration in real-time. The spatial transient processes were studied for the example of axial and diametral free xenon oscillations of energy release in the core.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Biomass Attributes and Attribute Modifications Affecting Systems and Methods to Separate and Fractionate

Chemical and physical heterogeneity in biomass feedstocks such as agricultural or forestry residues is due to substantial differences in plant tissue types. These differences can contribute significant challenges to handling, preprocessing, and conversion in biorefining processes. An understanding of this chemical and physical heterogeneity can be used to inform fractionation technologies that could facilitate more streamlined processing and potentially be employed to yield multiple co-product streams for a single feedstock. In this chapter, the motivation and scope of biomass fractionation is first outlined. Physical and chemical properties of biomass feedstocks, along with their distribution and diversity within plants, are next discussed with respect to how these differences can be exploited in a fractionation process. A summary of some of the key physical principles that allow for fractionation is next covered along with how these physical principles are exploited in equipment designs. Examples from the literature are briefly discussed that highlight how these approaches can be employed to achieve processing objectives. Several case studies on physical fractionation of corn stover and forestry residues are presented that illustrate how integrated fractionation processes could be employed. Lastly, prospects and potential economic drivers for adoption of biomass fractionation technologies are discussed.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Biomass Attributes and Attribute Modifications Affecting Systems and Methods to Separate and Fractionate. In: Handbook of Biorefinery Research and Technology

Chemical and physical heterogeneity in biomass feedstocks such as agricultural or forestry residues is due to substantial differences in plant tissue types. These differences can contribute significant challenges to handling, preprocessing, and conversion in biorefining processes. An understanding of this chemical and physical heterogeneity can be used to inform fractionation technologies that could facilitate more streamlined processing and potentially be employed to yield multiple co-product streams for a single feedstock. In this chapter, the motivation and scope of biomass fractionation is first outlined. Physical and chemical properties of biomass feedstocks, along with their distribution and diversity within plants is next discussed with respect to how these differences can be exploited in a fractionation process. A summary of some of the key physical principles that allow for fractionation is next covered along with how these physical principles are exploited in equipment designs. Examples from the literature are briefly discussed that highlight how these approaches can be employed to achieve processing objectives. Several case studies on physical fractionation of corn stover and forestry residues are presented that illustrate how integrated fractionation processes could be employed. Finally, prospects and potential economic drivers for adoption of biomass fractionation technologies are discussed.

Biomass chemical properties↗

An Ensemble of Neural Networks for Moist Physics Processes, Its Generalizability and Stable Integration

Abstract With the recent advances in data science, machine learning has been increasingly applied to convection and cloud parameterizations in global climate models (GCMs). This study extends the work of Han et al. (2020, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020MS002076 ) and uses an ensemble of 32‐layer deep convolutional residual neural networks, referred to as ResCu‐en, to emulate convection and cloud processes simulated by a superparameterized GCM, SPCAM. ResCu‐en predicts GCM grid‐scale temperature and moisture tendencies, and cloud liquid and ice water contents from moist physics processes. The surface rainfall is derived from the column‐integrated moisture tendency. The prediction uncertainty inherent in deep learning algorithms in emulating the moist physics is reduced by ensemble averaging. Results in 1‐year independent offline validation show that ResCu‐en has high prediction accuracy for all output variables, both in the current climate and in a warmer climate with +4K sea surface temperature. The analysis of different neural net configurations shows that the success to generalize in a warmer climate is attributed to convective memory and the 1‐dimensional convolution layers incorporated into ResCu‐en. We further implement a member of ResCu‐en into CAM5 with real world geography and run the neural‐network‐enabled CAM5 (NCAM) for 5 years without encountering any numerical integration instability. The simulation generally captures the global distribution of the mean precipitation, with a better simulation of precipitation intensity and diurnal cycle. However, there are large biases in temperature and moisture in high latitudes. These results highlight the importance of convective memory and demonstrate the potential for machine learning to enhance climate modeling.

Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences↗

High-Efficiency Conversion of Ionic Liquid-Pretreated Woody Biomass to Ethanol at the Pilot Scale

We report that with a diverse and widely distributed global resource base, woody biomass is a compelling organic feedstock for conversion to renewable liquid fuels. In California, woody biomass comprises the largest fraction of underutilized biomass available for biofuel production, but conversion to fuels is challenged both by recalcitrance to deconstruction and by toxicity toward downstream saccharification and fermentation due to organic acids and phenolic compounds generated during pretreatment. In this study, we optimize pretreatment and scale-up of an integrated one-pot process for deconstruction of California woody biomass using the ionic liquid (IL) cholinium lysinate [Ch][Lys] as a pretreatment solvent. By evaluating the impact of solid loading, solid removal, yeast acclimatization, fermentation temperature, fermentation pH, and nutrient supplementation on final ethanol yields and titers, we achieve nearly full conversion of both glucose and xylose to ethanol with commercial C5-utilizing Saccharomyces cerevisiae. We then demonstrate process scalability in 680 L pilot-scale fermentation, achieving >80% deconstruction efficiency, >90% fermentation efficiency, 27.7 g/L ethanol titer, and >80% ethanol distillation efficiency from the IL-containing hydrolysate post fermentation. This fully integrated process requires no intermediate separations and no intermediate detoxification of the hydrolysate. Using an integrated biorefinery model, current performance results in a minimum ethanol selling price of $\$$8.8/gge. Reducing enzyme loading along with other minor process improvements can reduce the ethanol selling price to $\$$3/gge. This study is the largest scale demonstration of IL pretreatment and biofuel conversion known to date, and the overall biomass-to-ethanol efficiencies are the highest reported to date for any IL-based biomass-to-biofuel conversion.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗