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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

Model-ready benchmarks for NPP, ANPP, litter fluxes, and recruitment into the 1 cm dbh size class

The intended use of this dataset is to serve as an observational benchmark to evaluate model predictions of NPP, ANPP, litter fluxes, and recruitment at Barro Colorado Island, Panama. This dataset contains four CSV files and one text file. “Benchmarks-NPP-ANPP-R-L.csv” provides estimates of annual ecosystem-level reproductive litter flux (R), leaf litter flux (L), aboveground net primary productivity (ANPP), and net primary productivity (NPP) for 61 field plots throughout tropical, temperate, and boreal forest biomes. An additional 499 plots (n = 550) include estimates of just R, L, and R/L. Each row reports a distinct set of estimates for one sampling interval at one plot. “Metadata-Benchmarks-NPP-ANPP-R-L.csv” contains field descriptions for all data fields in “Benchmarks-NPP-ANPP-R-L.csv”. “References-Benchmarks-NPP-ANPP-R-L.txt” contains full references to the original studies used to produce the observations at each plot included in the data. “Benchmarks-Recruitment.csv” provides estimates of species-level recruitment rates into the 1 cm dbh size class at four CTFS-ForestGeo sites using methods that account for unobserved mortality of new recruits between census intervals (Kohyama et al., 2018). “Metadata-Benchmarks-Recruitment.csv” contains field descriptions for all data fields in “Benchmarks-Recruitment.csv”.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Ultrasonic Measurements of Temperature Profile and Heat Fluxes in Coal-Fired Power Plants (Final Report)

Many industrial processes are inaccessible or inhospitable to characterization by traditional temperature measurement methods, such as thermocouples, especially over prolonged exposure to harsh environments. Ultrasound is an established characterization technology with diverse applications ranging from medical imaging to therapies to flaw detection to nondestructive evaluation. Ultrasound may characterize solid materials and components noninvasively as a nondestructive evaluation modality and obtain internal measurements of material properties. For example, the speed of ultrasound propagation changes with Young’s modulus and Poisson’s ratio, which can be found from its measurements. Traditional ultrasonic characterization assumes all material properties remain constant with the position. When this assumption holds, a property of interest may be measured by relating it to the speed of ultrasound propagation (or a speed of sound, SOS) and measuring the SOS by timing the ultrasound propagation through a known distance. However, when a property of interest is spatially distributed, the propagation time depends on the SOS changing with the position along the ultrasound propagation path. The multiple temperature distributions may lead to an identical time of flight (TOF). Temperature is one property that impacts the speed of ultrasound and often cannot be assumed to remain constant with the position. Previously, in the context of temperature, we addressed the challenge of ultrasonic characterization of spatially distributed properties by developing a method for measuring segmental temperature distributions (MSTD). This method divides the ultrasonic propagation into segments bound by echogenic features. These features provide ultrasonic interfaces where some energy is reflected toward the receiving transducer, and the rest continues through the medium. The time-of-flight between the echoes reflected from echogenic features characterizes the spatial distribution in the properties of interest in the corresponding segment of the ultrasonic propagation path. This project demonstrated the application of the MSTD method in industrial conditions of the coal-fired power plant. We implemented the MSTD using metals and alloys waveguides, which may be the existing structure for which the temperature distribution is characterized or purposefully designed waveguides added to the structure by welding or other means specifically to quantify thermal properties using the MSTD method. Previous iterations of the MSTD method used ceramic and cementitious waveguides, which significantly attenuate ultrasound. On the other hand, low attenuation in metallic waveguides creates interactions between echogenic features which compilates the signal analysis in the segmental TOF measurements. We have established the WG design principles that minimize the interferences between trailing and primary echoes and, in some cases, eliminate them. The waveguides in which echoes do not interfere improve the timing accuracy and the robustness of ultrasonic measurements of the spatial distributions in material properties. Our emphasis remained on the estimation of the temperature distributions. We have developed general recommendations for designing ultrasonically segmented waveguides with the reduced influence of trailing echoes. Two of our waveguide designs were tested in the industry. The first waveguide was designed for insertion into a combustion zone of the utility-scale coal-fired power plant boiler. The second design allows the characterization of temperature distribution in the direction normal to the boiler’s water wall, a large heat exchanger converting the chemical energy released during combustion to the steam driving the electrical power generation turbines. These waveguides were designed to operate within a restrictive space of thermally insulated water wall and incorporate densely located echogenic features while combatting the influence of trailing echoes. The project has successfully demonstrated the feasibility of using the developed method for accurate, continuous, and robust temperature measurements in extreme environments of power generation and other industrial processes. It, therefore, has achieved its overarching goal of advancing the technology readiness level of the novel Ultrasound Measurements of Segmental Temperature Distribution (US-MSTD) method for real-time measurements of the temperature distribution and heat fluxes closer to commercial availability, developing a prototype multipoint measurement system, and validating its performance on coal-fired utility boilers. The success of this project was achieved in collaboration with the power generator, Rocky Mountain Power, and set the stage for the transfer of this technology from the laboratory to the industry.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2026

Estimating Flexibility Envelopes for Residential Customers From Utility Smart Meter Data: Preprint

Demand response from residential customers has significant potential to support power system operations, but accurate flexibility estimation is challenging due to the limited resolution of advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) data. Most utility AMI measurements are recorded at hourly intervals, with only a small portion at higher resolutions, and even fewer households have appliance-level energy usage data. To address this issue, this paper proposes a two-stage long short-term memory (LSTM) framework for estimating household flexibility envelopes from low-resolution AMI data. In the first stage, the heating, ventilating, and air-conditioning (HVAC) load and non-HVAC loads are estimated by using a model trained on a small set of households with appliance-level profiles. These estimated data are then used to compute the upper- and lower-flexibility bounds, which are subsequently down-sampled to lower-resolution data. In the second stage, these flexibility bounds serve as training inputs for another LSTM model, enabling direct prediction of flexibility envelopes for households with only hourly AMI data. This method is validated using Pecan Street data from two different areas, and the results demonstrate its applicability and effectiveness.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2018

An overview of methods to identify and manage uncertainty for modelling problems in the water-environment-agriculture cross-sector

Uncertainty pervades the representation of systems in the water–environment–agriculture cross-sector. Successful methods to address uncertainties have largely focused on standard mathematical formulations of biophysical processes in a single sector, such as partial or ordinary differential equations. More attention to integrated models of such systems is warranted. Model components representing the different sectors of an integrated model can have less standard, and different, formulations to one another, as well as different levels of epistemic knowledge and data informativeness. Thus, uncertainty is not only pervasive but also crosses boundaries and propagates between system components. Uncertainty assessment (UA) cries out for more eclectic treatment in these circumstances, some of it being more qualitative and empirical. Here in this paper, we discuss the various sources of uncertainty in such a cross-sectoral setting and ways to assess and manage them. We have outlined a fast-growing set of methodologies, particularly in the computational mathematics literature on uncertainty quantification (UQ), that seem highly pertinent for uncertainty assessment. There appears to be considerable scope for advancing UA by integrating relevant UQ techniques into cross-sectoral problem applications. Of course this will entail considerable collaboration between domain specialists who often take first ownership of the problem and computational methods experts.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2016

SU-F-P-34: Commission of Enhanced Dynamic Wedge of Varian Truebeam Linac System with Feature Study

Purpose: To evaluate an Enhanced Dynamic Wedge (EDW) as part of machine commission process with feature study. Methods: The EDW system in this study was from a Truebeam, which is the Linear accelerator manufactured by Varian Medical Systems. The EDW feature vectors includes selected elements. These elements were dosimetric output spots check, field size, wedge angles, dose rate, collimator orientation, and different energy settings. Point dose measurement was done by a PTW farmer chamber, and profiles were measured by Gafchromic EBT2 films positing at different depths of the Solidwater based on the study elements. The output spot measurements were done with PTW farmer chamber with Solidwater setting for all orientation and wedge angles in the EDW system. The profiles comparisons were done by IMRT measurement function in RIT software at version 6.3. And the films were scanned by Vidar scanner. Dosimetry calculation were done by using the same Solidwater scanned by GE LightSpeed CT in Eclipse Treatment Planning System (TPS). Then measurements were compared to simulation results in TPS. Results: The energy average percentage difference between chamber measurement and TPS was 0.16% with standard deviation (SD) at 0.93%. For selected features, the average percentage difference between film measurement and computation was 0.93% with SD at 1.55% in horizontal profiles, and 1.18% with SD at 0.98% at vertical profiles. The average gamma difference for film measurement and TPS computing results was at 0.924 with SD at 0.314. Conclusion: A feature vector was developed to describe the commission of EDW, and developing a complete set of features for sufficiency of commission of a LINAC function could provide optimal commission instance with acceptable confident level of clinical application of the machine. Given the institution specific vector pattern and big data process, it could provide wide range clinical outcome comparison information in application of EDW.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2019

Robotic Solutions for Remote Access and Retrieval of High-Level Radioactive Waste - 19544

This paper describes the ongoing development of robotic solutions for accessing and retrieving high-level radioactive waste from underground storage bins as part of the Calcine Retrieval Project at the INL Site. The waste is in the form of a solid powder, referred to as calcine, stored in a set of stainless steel bins within an underground concrete vault. Due to the radiation field produced by the calcine, all operations must be performed remotely. The Calcine Retrieval Project is currently carrying out proof-of-concept testing of methods for the various stages of calcine retrieval. The bins were designed with no means for access, so retrieval operations will require welding access riser pipes to the bins, followed by cutting through the bin walls from within the risers. These tasks are complicated by the fact that four of the risers must be placed off center on a domed surface, resulting in a weld joint that is curved and tilted relative to the riser axis. The Access Riser Connection robot is being developed to perform these operations using interchangeable welding and plasma cutting attachments. The majority of the calcine will be removed using a vacuum system and pneumatically transferred to storage. This system is not described in this paper. However, the bins contain several internal features that are expected to retain calcine, most notably circumferential stiffening rings on the walls and radial ribs on the floors. One of the solutions being developed for the task of retrieving this residual calcine is a vacuum crawler, a wheeled robot using vacuum to adhere to the interior walls of the bins. The vacuum crawler would use a separate vacuum system to remove residual calcine or would use compressed air to move calcine to a location from which it can be retrieved more easily. While comparable welding and wall-climbing robots have been developed before, this particular application has several constraints that are not satisfied by existing systems. For this reason, both the access riser welder and the vacuum crawler, although still under development, may be of interest to other projects faced with similar constraints. (author)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2014

MCNP6 Elevation Scaling of Cosmic Ray Backgrounds - Paper 29

The galactic cosmic-ray (GCR) source option was implemented in the all-energy, all-particle transport code MCNP62 in 2010. This source option along with other newly added features to MCNP6 have been used to produce increasingly accurate global cosmic and terrestrial background flux data files (background.dat).3 This data file is produced on a grid and is read and sampled by MCNP6 whenever a user invokes the background source option. The most recent adaptation of this data file, Version 4, will be completed in 2014. This paper reports on current progress toward enhancements that have been made to the modeling and simulation of these background spectra, in particular the elevation scaling used to produce more accurate spectra at off-grid locations. Cosmic radiation continuously bombards Earth with various particles, such as protons, alpha particles, and heavier nuclei, some of which are deflected by the Earth's shielding magnetic field. Particles that carry sufficient momentum can overcome the deflection and penetrate into the atmosphere. The sufficient momentum is dependent on the terrestrial coordinates due to the shape of the Earth's magnetic field and the Lorentz force's proportionality to the sine of the angle between the velocity vector of the incoming particle and the magnetic field direction. As the particles propagate through the atmosphere, collisions with atmospheric molecules generate secondary particles such as neutrons, protons, photons, muons, pions, and other exotic particles. These secondary particles often have sufficient energy to undergo additional nuclear interactions, and so on, forming what is known as a cascade shower. The particles in the cascade shower are constantly undergoing energy losses due to interactions, especially charged particles whose paths are bent into helical trajectories around magnetic field lines. These energy losses make the integral flux of the cosmic background at the ground level highly dependent on the atmospheric depth traveled by the incident particle and its progeny, and therefore dependent on the elevation of the ground where the cascade deposits its energy. For relatively small depth changes of approximately 100 g/cm{sup 2} or less, the ground-level cosmic flux follows an exponential model. The tabulation of background particle fluxes on the surface of the earth is important for a variety of reasons, one of which is the design of nuclear material detection systems. This method is also useful in producing user-specified effective attenuation lengths for particles. Attenuation lengths are an essential parameter used to compare particle spectra from different locations, elevations, and energy ranges. Traditionally these attenuation lengths are inferred from measured data. Now with the ability to simulate an accurate galactic cosmic ray source and transport it and its shower through a modeled atmosphere, these attenuation lengths can be calculated for any set of conditions. (authors)

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗
DOE OSTI2018

Opinion: Making the Most of Colour Rendition Research

After decades of debate, new methods for characterizing color rendition have been formalized, providing an improved system of tools to aid technology developers and lighting specifiers. Solid-state lighting, previously burdened by legacy measures based on outdated science, is positioned to take advantage of these new tools to provide tailored, efficient lighting that better meets the needs of specific architectural lighting applications. This transition requires new guidance, however, presenting an opportunity for researchers. There are several key methodological considerations specific to experiments investigating color rendition that will help build a base of guidance that can be widely applied. The importance of these ideas mostly stems from new knowledge gained in the last five years, but their origins date back much further. 1.The spectral power distribution must be adequately varied to stress the measure(s) of color rendition being evaluated. Often, this means varying the gamut shape—the pattern of shift across different hues—to probe weaknesses of hue-averaged characterizations, avoiding misleading conclusions resulting from limited variation in the stimuli. 2.Evaluating the role of chromaticity on color quality evaluations requires careful accommodation of chromatic adaptation to prevent a centering bias. Asking for delayed responses may be insufficient if chromaticity changes are apparent to participants, just as side-by-side viewing of different chromaticities may not produce results that can be reliably applied in the field. It is also critical that color rendition and chromaticity conditions are varied independently. 3.The stimulus being viewed is the interaction of light and objects’ spectral reflectances. This interaction should be quantified in order to assess how derived guidelines will apply measures using standardized color sample sets. Although light source characterizations are typically used to model responses, the objects and their presentation may strongly influence evaluations. 4.Context is important. Many factors—some investigated, others hypothesized—can influence subjective evaluations of color quality, including illuminance level, type of scene, object familiarity, color composition, viewing duration, and viewer traits. Although their influence on research results is unavoidable, the effects of these contextual factors must be carefully considered in developing guidance. Appropriate experimental design can often mitigate negative consequences arising from these considerations. At a minimum, it is crucial to understand how each of these considerations can influence experimental outcomes, as well as the interpretation and application of the results in practice. Consulting other experts prior to conducting an experiment can help ensure appropriate, up-to-date research methods will be used, so that the results will be novel and useful—and not rejected during peer review. There is an interesting feedback loop: technology development provides new research tools, which allow for refined research methods and new results that lead to more technology development. It is time to make a concerted, collective effort to improve color rendition research so that the full potential of solid-state lighting and new characterization methods can be realized, ensuring that high-efficiency, high-utility, high-appeal lighting systems become standard.

Royer, Michael P.↗
DOE OSTI2022

Photovoltaic-assisted heat pump water heater system and method

A solar power system has a photovoltaic module that supplies electrical current derived from sunlight to a heater system of a hot water tank. The heater system uses the electrical energy from the photovoltaic module, and optionally also from a local power grid, to heat water up to a selected maximum stored hot water temperature. Control circuitry senses when the level of electrical power is below a threshold solar-power level, and in response sets the stored hot water temperature for the heater system to a first lower temperature value. The control circuitry also senses when the level of electrical power is above the threshold solar-power level, an in response sets the stored hot water temperature for the heater system to a second elevated temperature value higher than the lower temperature, making advantageous use of solar power when available. A mixing unit adds cold water to set the dispensed water temperature.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2018

A new hybrid algorithm combining a new chaos optimization approach with gradient descent for high dimensional optimization problems

Chaos optimization algorithm (COA) is a recently developed method for global optimization based on chaos theory. It has the features of easy implementation, short execution time and robust mechanisms of escaping from local optima compared with the existing stochastic searching algorithm. By integrating the gradient descent method with a new COA approach using new strategies including symmetrization and levelling, a novel hybrid method, called SCGD, is proposed in this paper. The main idea is to combine the good ability of exploitation of the gradient descent with the high ability of exploration of COA. The purpose is to avoid being trapped into local optima and to improve convergence in large space and high-dimension optimization problems. The simulation results based on a set of 50 benchmark functions with diverse properties and different dimensions show the efficiency and the abilities of the proposed method in finding the global optima compared with the existing methods.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Low-lying states and total internal partition sums of CH

The electronic structure and spin-orbit states of the CH radical have been systematically investigated using multi-reference configuration interaction (MRCI) and single-reference coupled-cluster (CC) methods. These calculations were performed in conjunction with large correlation-consistent basis sets of quadruple-, quintuple-, and sextuple-ζ quality. To achieve high accuracy, electronic energies for all states were extrapolated to the complete basis set (CBS) limit, enabling the detailed construction of potential energy curves and determination of reliable spectroscopic constants. Spin-orbit coupling effects were explicitly incorporated, and vibrational energy levels were computed via Numerov analysis. Furthermore, the resulting values exhibit good to excellent agreement with available experimental data. Dipole moment and transition dipole moment curves were evaluated to assess the opacity characteristics of CH, revealing that transitions such as Χ 2 Π (u′′ = 0) → Α 2 Δ (u′ = 0), Χ 2 Π (u′′ = 0) → Β 2 Σ − (u′ = 0), Χ 2 Π (u′′ = 0) → C 2 Σ + (u′ = 0), and Χ 2 Π (u′′ = 0) → D 2 Σ + (u′ = 3) are particularly probable. Finally, the total internal partition function sum (TIPS) of CH was computed over a broad temperature range (10–30,000 K) based on our high-accuracy ab initio results.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2014

A new potential energy surface and microwave and infrared spectra of the He-OCS complex

A new high quality potential energy surface for the He-OCS van der Waals complex was calculated using the CCSD(T) method and avqz+33221 basis set. It is found that the global minimum energy is −51.33 cm{sup −1} at R{sub e} = 6.30a{sub 0} and θ{sub e} = 110.0°, the shallower minimum is located at R = 8.50a{sub 0} and θ = 0° with well depth −32.26 cm{sup −1}. Using the fitted potential energy surface, we have calculated bound energy levels of the He-OCS, He-O{sup 13}CS, He-OC{sup 34}S, and {sup 3}He-OCS complexes. The theoretical results are all in better agreement compared to previous theoretical work.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2019

Robust predictions of specialized metabolism genes through machine learning

Plant specialized metabolism (SM) enzymes produce lineage-specific metabolites with important ecological, evolutionary, and biotechnological implications. Using Arabidopsis thaliana as a model, we identified distinguishing characteristics of SM and GM (general metabolism, traditionally referred to as primary metabolism) genes through a detailed study of features including duplication pattern, sequence conservation, transcription, protein domain content, and gene network properties. Analysis of multiple sets of benchmark genes revealed that SM genes tend to be tandemly duplicated, coexpressed with their paralogs, narrowly expressed at lower levels, less conserved, and less well connected in gene networks relative to GM genes. Although the values of each of these features significantly differed between SM and GM genes, any single feature was ineffective at predicting SM from GM genes. Using machine learning methods to integrate all features, a prediction model was established with a true positive rate of 87% and a true negative rate of 71%. In addition, 86% of known SM genes not used to create the machine learning model were predicted. We also demonstrated that the model could be further improved when we distinguished between SM, GM, and junction genes responsible for reactions shared by SM and GM pathways, indicating that topological considerations may further improve the SM prediction model. Application of the prediction model led to the identification of 1,220 A. thaliana genes with previously unknown functions, each assigned a confidence measure called an SM score, providing a global estimate of SM gene content in a plant genome.

data integration↗
DOE OSTI2023

Non-local contribution from small scales in galaxy–galaxy lensing: comparison of mitigation schemes

ABSTRACT Recent cosmological analyses with large-scale structure and weak lensing measurements, usually referred to as 3 × 2pt, had to discard a lot of signal to noise from small scales due to our inability to accurately model non-linearities and baryonic effects. Galaxy–galaxy lensing, or the position–shear correlation between lens and source galaxies, is one of the three two-point correlation functions that are included in such analyses, usually estimated with the mean tangential shear. However, tangential shear measurements at a given angular scale θ or physical scale R carry information from all scales below that, forcing the scale cuts applied in real data to be significantly larger than the scale at which theoretical uncertainties become problematic. Recently, there have been a few independent efforts that aim to mitigate the non-locality of the galaxy–galaxy lensing signal. Here, we perform a comparison of the different methods, including the Y-transformation, the point-mass marginalization methodology, and the annular differential surface density statistic. We do the comparison at the cosmological constraints level in a combined galaxy clustering and galaxy–galaxy lensing analysis. We find that all the estimators yield equivalent cosmological results assuming a simulated Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) Year 1 like set-up and also when applied to DES Y3 data. With the LSST Y1 set-up, we find that the mitigation schemes yield ∼1.3 times more constraining S8 results than applying larger scale cuts without using any mitigation scheme.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2016

A Comparative Study of Distribution System Parameter Estimation Methods

In this paper, we compare two parameter estimation methods for distribution systems: residual sensitivity analysis and state-vector augmentation with a Kalman filter. These two methods were originally proposed for transmission systems, and are still the most commonly used methods for parameter estimation. Distribution systems have much lower measurement redundancy than transmission systems. Therefore, estimating parameters is much more difficult. To increase the robustness of parameter estimation, the two methods are applied with combined measurement snapshots (measurement sets taken at different points in time), so that the redundancy for computing the parameter values is increased. The advantages and disadvantages of both methods are discussed. The results of this paper show that state-vector augmentation is a better approach for parameter estimation in distribution systems. Simulation studies are done on a modified version of IEEE 13-Node Test Feeder with varying levels of measurement noise and non-zero error in the other system model parameters.

distribution system analysis↗
DOE OSTI2016

Modeling and Analysis Methods for an On-line Enrichment Monitor

The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) has developed an On-Line Enrichment Monitor (OLEM) as one possible component in a new generation of safeguards measures for uranium enrichment plants. The OLEM measures 235U emissions from the UF6 gas flowing through a unit header pipe using NaI(Tl) spectrometers, and corrects for gas density changes using pressure and temperature sensors in order to determine the enrichment of the gas as a function of time. In parallel with the OLEM instrument development, a Virtual OLEM (VOLEM) software tool has been developed that is capable of producing synthetic gamma-ray, pressure, and temperature data representative of a wide range of enrichment plant operating conditions. VOLEM complements instrument development activities and allows the study of OLEM for scenarios that will be difficult or impossible to evaluate empirically. Uses of VOLEM include: investigation of hardware design options; inter-comparison of candidate gamma-ray spectral analysis and enrichment estimation algorithms; uncertainty budget analysis and performance prediction for typical and atypical operational scenarios; and testing of the OLEM data acquisition, analysis and reporting software. This paper describes the technical foundations of VOLEM and illustrates how it can be used. An overview of the nominal instrument design and deployment scenario for OLEM is provided, with emphasis on the key online-assay measurement challenge: accurately determining the portion of the total 235U signal that comes from a background that includes solid uranium deposits on the piping walls. Monte Carlo modeling tools, data analysis algorithms and uncertainty quantification methods are described. VOLEM is then used to quantitatively explore the uncertainty budgets and predicted instrument performance for a plausible range of typical plant operating parameters, and one set of candidate analysis algorithms. Additionally, a series of VOLEM case studies illustrates how an online enrichment monitor might respond in scenarios expected to be atypical, for example weak pressure transients or significant changes in background levels.

Smith, Leon E.↗
DOE OSTI2019

Variables Influenced by Thermal Mass and its Impact on Energy Performance in Buildings

There is no question that thermal mass has an impact on the energy performance of buildings, both the peak energy demand and overall consumption. However, there are many variables that contribute to and influence the impact of mass on energy performance. This paper is the result of an analytic study that evaluated thermal mass and associated building envelope energy performance for commercial and residential prototype buildings. Relationships between thermal mass, insulation levels, internal gains, outdoor climate, building usage and user preferences were studied. In this paper, authors analyzed how these variables interact and investigated optimized conditions for utilization of thermal mass. It is also discussed how air conditioning operation, exterior and interior loads, and thermostat set points impact the usefulness of thermal mass in a building to favorably impact peak demand and energy savings. Existing methods and approaches to evaluate the impact of thermal mass are discussed and a preferred design approach is presented to estimate the impact of thermal mass on energy peak demand and overall energy consumption under both heating and cooling conditions.

Pallin, Simon B.↗
DOE OSTI2025

MOOSE ProbML: Parallelizable Probabilistic Machine Learning and Uncertainty Quantification Capabilities

The Multiphysics Object Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) is a widely used open- source finite element software for performing multiphysics multiscale simulations in a massively parallel fashion. Recently, the computational team at Idaho National Laboratory (INL) has implemented Probabilistic Machine Learning (ProbML) capabilities in MOOSE—in a parallelized fashion—and enable active learning with large-scale computational models for tasks such as surrogate model development, scale bridging, forward/inverse uncertainty quantification (UQ), Bayesian optimization, etc. This presentation summarizes these developments in MOOSE along with demonstrations on several real applications relevant to nuclear energy. At the fundamental level, samplers like Monte Carlo/Latin Hypercube, variance reduction, parallelized Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) support uncertainty propagation in both forward and inverse settings. These samplers can be integrated with the Gaussian processes (GP) suite in MOOSE, which offer several variants like scalar GPs, multi-output GPs, and deep GPs, to enable active learning. These GPs can be tuned using gradient-based optimization methods like Adam and its variants or gradient-free methods like the elliptical slice sampler (a variant of MCMC adept under Gaussian settings) for more complex covariance kernels or likelihoods whose gradient computations can be cumbersome. A variety of batch acquisition functions permit parallelized evaluation of the computational model and support different learning objectives with high efficiency like Bayesian inference, global surrogate development, optimization, etc. Furthermore, libtorch integration supports training, evaluation, and re-training of neural networks and other complex machine learning models in active learning settings. The impacts of these developments are shown on several real applications: (1) nuclear fuel inverse UQ and model inadequacy assessment using the Kennedy O’Hagan framework; (2) uncertainty aware surrogate modeling for additive manufacturing to predict field quantities; (3) nuclear reactor rare events analysis; and (4) complex fluid flow prediction using a global surrogate with quantified prediction uncertainty. Finally, the outlook of MOOSE ProbML is discussed for both outer-loop and inner-loop computations in the broad view to accelerate fuels and materials qualification, address gaps in knowledge and data, and assess new reactor/fuel systems.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗