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At least 793 records · Page 44

Thermal Management System of an Outer-Rotor-Motor-Based Traction Drive With Integrated Power Electronics in its Central Cavity

Increasing power densities of electric vehicle traction drive systems necessitates combining the electric motor and the power electronics into one unit. A compact, integrated traction drive unit with fewer components also drives production costs down, enabling wider adoption of electric vehicles. However, the integration of power electronics in the electric machine is associated with challenges of designing an effective thermal management solution for the combined traction drive system. This paper focuses on the thermal management approach selected for Oak Ridge National Laboratory’s outer-rotor-motor-based integrated traction drive and evaluates its potential performance. The outer-rotor-motor configuration provided an opportunity for integration of the six-phase inverter in the available space in the central cavity of the internal stator. A cylindrical inverter enclosure with integrated coolant (water-ethylene glycol) channels in its walls was designed to enable heat removal from the power electronics. Numerical thermal-fluid modeling and initial channel/fin optimization results for the cylindrical heat sink are presented here. As permanent magnets are integrated in a high-speed (20 000 RPM) outer rotor, forced air convection provides cooling for the magnets. The magnets were segmented axially to mitigate the eddy current losses. Heat generated in the stator windings and laminations is removed by water-ethylene glycol coolant circulating in interpolar T-shape ceramic heat exchangers inserted between windings. General design concepts and numerical thermal-fluid simulations illustrating the electric motor thermal management solution are also presented.

Kekelia, Bidzina↗

Test and training simulator for ground-based teleoperated in-orbit servicing

For the Post-IOC(In-Orbit Construction)-Phase of COLUMBUS it is intended to use robotic devices for the routine operations of ground-based teleoperated In-Orbit Servicing. A hardware simulator for verification of the relevant in-orbit operations technologies, the Servicing Test Facility, is necessary which mainly will support the Flight Control Center for the Manned Space-Laboratories for operational specific tasks like system simulation, training of teleoperators, parallel operation simultaneously to actual in-orbit activities and for the verification of the ground operations segment for telerobotics. The present status of definition for the facility functional and operational concept is described.

Schaefer, Bernd E.↗

Foil X-Ray Mirrors for Astronomical Observations: Still an Evolving Technology

Foil X-ray mirrors, introduced by the Goddard X-ray Group in the late 1970s, were envisioned as an interim and complementary approach toward increased sensitivity for small inexpensive astronomical instruments. The extreme light weight nature of these mirrors dovetailed beautifully with Japan's small payload missions, leading to several collaborative, earth orbiting observatories, designed primarily for spectroscopy, of which SUZAKU is still in earth orbit. ASTRO-H is the latest joint instrument with Japan, presently in the implementation phase. At Goddard, some 30 years after we introduced them, we are involved with four separate flight instruments utilizing foil X-ray mirrors, a good indication that this technology is here to stay. Nevertheless, an improved spatial resolution will be the most welcomed development by all. The task of preparing upwards of 1000 reflectors, then assembling them into a single mirror with arcmin resolution remains a formidable one. Many, performance limiting approximations become necessary when converting commercial aluminum sheets into 8 quadrant segments, each with approximately 200 nested conical, approximately 4Angstrom surface reflectors, which are then assembled into a single mirror. In this paper we will describe the mirror we are presently involved with, slated for the Goddard high resolution imaging X-ray spectrometer (SXS) onboard ASTRO-H. Improved spatial resolution will be an important enhancement to the science objectives from this instrument. We are accordingly pursuing and will briefly describe in this paper several design and reflector assembly modifications, aimed toward that goal.

Serlemitsos, Peter J.↗

Large Area Crop Inventory Experiment (LACIE). Phase 1: Evaluation report

It appears that the Large Area Crop Inventory Experiment over the Great Plains, can with a reasonable expectation, be a satisfactory component of a 90/90 production estimator. The area estimator produced more accurate area estimates for the total winter wheat region than for the mixed spring and winter wheat region of the northern Great Plains. The accuracy does appear to degrade somewhat in regions of marginal agriculture where there are small fields and abundant confusion crops. However, it would appear that these regions tend also to be marginal with respect to wheat production and thus increased area estimation errors do not greatly influence the overall production estimation accuracy in the United States. The loss of segments resulting from cloud cover appears to be a random phenomenon that introduces no significant bias into the estimates. This loss does increase the variance of the estimates.

Source record↗

Sr-Nd-Pb isotope systematics of Australasian tektites: Implications for the nature and composition of target materials and possible volatile loss of Pb

The Australasian tektite (AAT) strewn field is the largest strewn field on the Earth with about ~10–30% coverage, both land and ocean, but a clearly identified source impact crater is absent despite the young age of AAT of ca. 790 ka. A genetic link between the Australasian tektites and their unequivocal parental materials is therefore largely impossible to establish. Nevertheless, the nature of the parental materials and the extent of volatilization can be constrained using the splash form tektites, carrying the chemical signatures of high-temperature processes, and the layered (so-called Muong Nong-type) tektites, which are less chemically homogenized and exceptionally abundant in the AAT field. New high-precision Sr, Nd and Pb isotopic measurements were obtained for a chemically and petrographically well-characterized suite of AAT, which included the Muong Nong-type (MN-AAT) with precisely known field locations in Laos and splash forms (SF-AAT) from different parts of the strewn field. Additionally, optically dark and light zones of the MN-AAT were also separately analyzed. Homogeneous ε Nd values from -11.8 to -11.2, combined with a narrow range of two-stage Nd model ages from 1.67 to 1.72 Ga for the entire AAT suite, point to a well-mixed source, in terms of REE, of the crustal segment from which the sedimentary material for tektites was ultimately derived. The Sr isotopic data largely overlap for SF-AAT and MN-AAT ( 87 Sr/ 86 Sr = 0.71636–0.72021) and indicate Paleozoic to Mesozoic sedimentary parentage. However, late Neogene to early Quaternary re-deposition and formation of a thick silt-sized sedimentary section with vertical stratification is required to comply with 10Be data. Lead isotope systematics documents at least three different components which can perhaps be represented by different mineral phases, such as feldspar, zircon, organic matter adsorbed on young sediments etc., sorted during fluvial transport and final deposition. In addition, the SF-AAT have systematically lower Pb contents than the MN-AAT, and generally show isotopically heavier Pb isotopic ratios. This is theoretically consistent with a preferential volatilization of lighter Pb isotopes during evaporation and considerably larger Pb loss from SF-AAT when compared to MN-AAT. Nevertheless, further experimental work would be necessary to unambiguously distinguish kinetic fractionation from source mixing.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Combining Distributed Electrochemical Measurements with a Semi-Empirical Model to Identify Local Variations in Overpotentials for PEM Water Electrolyzers

Abstract A segmented cell and PCB approach was used to demonstrate an advanced technique for measuring and understanding the electrochemical behavior of PEM water electrolyzers. By employing a semi-empirical model, discrete modes of overpotential and their spatial distributions were identified in an operating cell. Distributed area-specific resistance (DASR measurements indicate that local dehydration of the polymer electrolyte membrane is the primary driver of increased polarization, behaving similarly to mass transport-limited currents at low flow rates due to ineffective gas-phase bubble removal. To improve quantification, the overall ohmic overpotential is divided into background (η Ohm,b ) and mass transport-coupled (η Ohm,mt ) components. Two types of anode diffusion media, a baseline PTL and a thin foil liquid/gas diffusion layer (LGDL), were examined. The results show significant variations in η Ohm,b and highlight that ineffective bubble removal leads to pronounced local dehydration. The effect of cell temperature on various overpotentials was also examined. Negligible differences in diffusion overpotential were observed when comparing PEWE performance using the PTL and LGDL, despite major differences in two-phase fluid transport within each diffusion media. This underscores the critical role of the catalyst layer's micro-porous structure in diffusion processes. The study highlights the complex nature and intricacies of mass transport limitations within PEWEs.

Roy, Anirban (ORCID:0000000163803386)↗

NOvA in 10 Minutes

NOvA is a long-baseline neutrino oscillation experiment that utilizes the NuMI beamline at Fermilab. The experiment consists of two functionally identical, segmented liquid scintillator detectors. A 300-ton near detector sits at Fermilab, while a 14-kiloton far detector is located 810 km away in Ash River, Minnesota. Both are situated 14.6 mrad off the beam axis to peak the neutrino energy spectrum near the first oscillation maximum. NOvA measures muon neutrino disappearance and electron neutrino appearance in both neutrino and antineutrino beam modes, providing sensitivity to the neutrino mass ordering, the octant of the atmospheric mixing angle \theta_{23}, and the CP-violating phase \delta_{CP}. In this talk, I will give a concise overview of the NOvA experiment and its detectors, followed by highlights from recent oscillation analyses. I will also highlight notable cross-section measurements at the near detector. Finally, I will briefly introduce ongoing analyses beyond the standard three-flavor oscillation framework, including searches for sterile neutrinos and non-standard interactions, as well as exotic signatures such as magnetic monopoles, light dark matter, neutrino magnetic moments, and cosmic-ray muon studies.

Khanam, Aklima [Syracuse U. (main)] (ORCID:0009000↗

Low-Mass Planar Photonic Imaging Sensor

Continuing on the successful progress of NIAC (NASA Innovative Advanced Concepts) Phase I, this report summarizes the technical progress achieved under NIAC Phase II during the performance period September 19, 2014 to June 18, 2017. During this period, the research team has made the following accomplishments: designed and layout a silica photonic integrated circuit (PIC) as a two baselineinterferometric imager; constructed an experiment to utilize the two baselines for complex visibility measurementon a point source and a variable width slit; analyzed and studied the testbed results (in collaboration with Lockheed Martin); designed and layout Si3N4 PICs for the low-resolution and high-resolution SPIDER (Segmented Planar Imaging Detector for Electro-Optical Reconnaissance) telescope; fabricated the multi-layer Si3N4 PIC for low and high resolution SPIDER telescope; characterized the optical throughput and heater response for Si3N4 PIC for low and highresolution SPIDER telescopes; carried out imaging experiments using the Si3N4 PIC low-resolution version (in collaboration with Lockheed Martin); investigated signal-to-noise (SNR) ratio of SPIDER imager compared to the conventional panchromatic imager (in collaboration with Lockheed Martin); fulfilled the SNR simulation upon SPIDER imager (in collaboration with Lockheed Martin).

Yoo, S. J. Ben↗

Geothermal Play Fairway Analysis, Part 2: GIS methodology

Play Fairway Analysis (PFA) in geothermal exploration originates from a systematic methodology developed within the petroleum industry and is based on a geologic, geophysical, and hydrologic framework of identified geothermal systems. We tailored this methodology to study the geothermal resource potential of the Snake River Plain and surrounding region, but it can be adapted to other geothermal resource settings. We adapted the PFA approach to geothermal resource exploration by cataloging the critical elements controlling exploitable hydrothermal systems, establishing risk matrices that evaluate these elements in terms of both probability of success and level of knowledge, and building a code-based ‘processing model’ to process results. A geographic information system was used to compile a range of different data types, which we refer to as elements (e.g., faults, vents, heat flow, etc.), with distinct characteristics and measures of confidence. Discontinuous discrete data (points, lines, or polygons) for each element were transformed into continuous interpretive 2D grid surfaces called evidence layers. Because different data types have varying uncertainties, most evidence layers have an accompanying confidence layer which reflects spatial variations in these uncertainties. Risk layers, as defined here, are the product of evidence and confidence layers, and are the building blocks used to construct Common Risk Segment (CRS) maps for heat, permeability, and seal, using a weighted sum for permeability and heat, but a different approach with seal. CRS maps quantify the variable risk associated with each of these critical components. In a final step, the three CRS maps were combined into a Composite Common Risk Segment (CCRS) map, using a modified weighted sum, for results that reveal favorable areas for geothermal exploration. Additional maps are also presented that do not mix contributions from evidence and confidence (to allow an isolated view of evidence and confidence), as well as maps that calculate favorability using the product of components instead of a weighted sum (to highlight where all components are present). Our approach helped to identify areas of high geothermal favorability in the western and central Snake River Plain during the first phase of study and helped identify more precise local drilling targets during the second phase of work. By identifying favorable areas, this methodology can help to reduce uncertainty in geothermal energy exploration and development.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

An Analysis of MSFC Public Affairs Television and Target Audiences with Suggestions for Future Growth and Directions

Because of profound changes in government and the space program, this may be an ideal time to evaluate MSFC's Public Affairs television efforts. The changes are continued downsizing of government programs; reduction in research and development; changes in the space program from periodic manned launches to a full-time presence in space with Space Station; and greater emphasis on science and communicating science information. At the same time that NASA is undergoing change, the media and society are also undergoing substantial upheaval. Twenty-five years ago, the three main over-the-air television networks (ABC, CBS and NBC) had a 93 share of the television audience. We now have four popular over-the-air networks (ABC, CBS, NBC and Fox) who maintain a 52 percent share of the television audience. Technological development, competition, and changing consumer tastes have created specialized media and audiences. This media fragmentation is part of a normal maturation cycle of use or adoption. While phases in the cycle vary in length due to many factors, the cycle has been consistent and reflects patterns of adoption. The cycle is: (1) Elite Media usage, (2) Popular or Mass Media usage, and (3) Specialized Media usage. Another factor that affects the media development and adoption cycle is the creation of new and competing mass and personal mediums. While television remains the dominant and most popular mass medium, it is declining and we see (via cable television) specialized networks catering to small audience segments. Because of changing technology and consumer behavior, we may not see a dominant mass media like television again.

Smeyak, Gerald P.↗

Vacuum Nuller Testbed Performance, Characterization and Null Control

The Visible Nulling Coronagraph (VNC) can detect and characterize exoplanets with filled, segmented and sparse aperture telescopes, thereby spanning the choice of future internal coronagraph exoplanet missions. NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC) has developed a Vacuum Nuller Testbed (VNT) to advance this approach, and assess and advance technologies needed to realize a VNC as a flight instrument. The VNT is an ultra-stable testbed operating at 15 Hz in vacuum. It consists of a MachZehnder nulling interferometer; modified with a "W" configuration to accommodate a hexpacked MEMS based deformable mirror (DM), coherent fiber bundle and achromatic phase shifters. The 2-output channels are imaged with a vacuum photon counting camera and conventional camera. Error-sensing and feedback to DM and delay line with control algorithms are implemented in a real-time architecture. The inherent advantage of the VNC is that it is its own interferometer and directly controls its errors by exploiting images from bright and dark channels simultaneously. Conservation of energy requires the sum total of the photon counts be conserved independent of the VNC state. Thus sensing and control bandwidth is limited by the target stars throughput, with the net effect that the higher bandwidth offloads stressing stability tolerances within the telescope. We report our recent progress with the VNT towards achieving an incremental sequence of contrast milestones of 10(exp 8) , 10(exp 9) and 10(exp 10) respectively at inner working angles approaching 2A/D. Discussed will be the optics, lab results, technologies, and null control. Shown will be evidence that the milestones have been achieved.

Lyon, R. G.↗

Analysis of rare earth elements in coal fly ash using laser ablation inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry and scanning electron microscopy

Reference standard NIST SRM 1633b and FA 345, a fly ash sample from an eastern U.S. coal power plant, were analyzed to determine and quantify the mineralogical association of rare earth elements (REE). These analyses were completed using laser ablation inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry (LA-ICP-MS) and a scanning electron microscope, equipped with an energy-dispersive X-ray spectrometer (SEM-EDS). Internal standardization was avoided by quantifying elemental concentrations by normalizing to 100% oxides. Mineral grains containing elevated REE concentrations were found in diverse chemical environments, but were most commonly found in regions where Al and Si were predominant. Dividing the spot analyses into time segments yielded plots that showed the REE content changing over time as individual mineral grains were being ablated. SEM-EDS images of FA 345 confirmed the trends that were found in the LA-ICP-MS results. Small grains of apatite, monazite, or zircon were frequently observed as free mineral grains or embedded in amorphous aluminosilicate glass and were not associated with ferrous particles. This finding is consistent with previous reports that magnetic enrichment may be an effective way of concentrating non-magnetic REE phases. Moreover, aggressive mechanical and chemical-based separation schemes will be required to separate and recover REE from aluminosilicate glass.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Complexes of tubulin oligomers and tau form a viscoelastic intervening network cross-bridging microtubules into bundles

Abstract The axon-initial-segment (AIS) of mature neurons contains microtubule (MT) fascicles (linear bundles) implicated as retrograde diffusion barriers in the retention of MT-associated protein (MAP) tau inside axons. Tau dysfunction and leakage outside of the axon is associated with neurodegeneration. We report on the structure of steady-state MT bundles in varying concentrations of Mg 2+ or Ca 2+ divalent cations in mixtures containing αβ-tubulin, full-length tau, and GTP at 37 °C in a physiological buffer. A concentration-time kinetic phase diagram generated by synchrotron SAXS reveals a wide-spacing MT bundle phase (B ws ), a transient intermediate MT bundle phase (B int ), and a tubulin ring phase. SAXS with TEM of plastic-embedded samples provides evidence of a viscoelastic intervening network (IN) of complexes of tubulin oligomers and tau stabilizing MT bundles. In this model, αβ-tubulin oligomers in the IN are crosslinked by tau’s MT binding repeats, which also link αβ-tubulin oligomers to αβ-tubulin within the MT lattice. The model challenges whether the cross-bridging of MTs is attributed entirely to MAPs. Tubulin-tau complexes in the IN or bound to isolated MTs are potential sites for enzymatic modification of tau, promoting nucleation and growth of tau fibrils in tauopathies.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Testing of Advanced Capabilities to Enable In-time Safety Management and Assurance for Future Flight Operations

In order to refine an initial Concept of Operations, explore Concepts of Use, and expose/validate requirements for future In-Time Aviation Safety Management Systems (IASMS), testing architectures were created, along with a set of capabilities and underlying information exchange protocols. These systems were conceived and developed based on hazards associated with two envisioned urban area flight domains: (1) highly autonomous small uncrewed aerial systems (sUAS) operating at low altitudes, and (2) highly autonomous air taxis. The initial scope of this development is described in [1]; this report provides an update, focusing on the subsequent developments and test activities. As stated in [1], it is important to note that there are many capabilities already in use by the industry (or soon to be in use) that will play critical roles in future IASMS designs. Those reported here were developed to address a gap in the current state-of-the-art regarding specific hazards/risks, and/or to allow for investigation of the interplay between and across hazard types — particularly regarding how overall safety risk can be reduced or managed effectively. Results of testing and development activities are organized by the operational phase wherein a particular capability would be employed (i.e., preflight, in-flight, and post-flight/off-line). Pre-flight: A set of capabilities were developed to help mitigate safety risk prior to flight (e.g., during flight and mission planning). Results of testing summarize (1) validation activities to raise the Technology Readiness Level (TRL) and (2) evaluation activities where the capabilities were applied to flight/mission planning procedures and used by operators/pilots. For the latter, flight plans were automatically assessed, and operators/pilots were notified of hazardous flight segments so as to enable adjustment of the flight plan and re-evaluation, and/or to better inform go/no-go decisions. Capabilities addressed hazards associated with power consumption, third-party risk, wind, navigation system performance, radiofrequency interference, and proximity to geo-spatial threats (e.g., buildings, trees, and no-fly zones). In-flight: Flight experiments tested capabilities that detect and respond to hazards encountered during flight. In the first series, safety hazards were monitored and assessed onboard, and system-generated mitigation maneuvers were recorded (but not acted upon by the vehicle). In the second series, mitigation maneuver commands directed the aircraft in response to safety hazards (i.e., auto-mitigation). The sUAS used for testing is described in full, as is the test architecture, which included commercial avionics, research avionics, and onboard software designed to detect, assess, and respond to hazards. The onboard system was designed as a run-time assurance framework, consistent with [2] and supportive of both supervisory and automated modes. The primary functions included: real-time risk assessment (RTRA), auto-pilot monitoring, constraint monitoring, and contingency select/triggering. RTRA performs integrated risk assessment considering data from several hazard-related monitors (e.g., battery, motors, navigation, communications, population density, and loss-of-control). Post-flight/off-line: Data monitored and recorded during flights can enable IASMS capabilities that execute after flights have completed (or “off-line”). These include: (1) the ability to identify anomalies and trends that may only be observable when comparing data spanning a number of similar flights; (2) the ability to update and validate pre-flight and in-flight capabilities and any underlying models to improve their performance; (3) the ability to report anomalies/off-nominals that may indicate design changes or maintenance actions are needed; and (4) the ability for humans involved in operations to report safety-relevant observations to help in understanding the flight data and/or the operational context of a flight. Progress on three such capabilities is summarized; the first investigates anomaly detection given a limited set of flight logs and applies an approach previously used for space operations. The second explores what could be identified using a larger set of flight logs, including from web-based forums where flight logs are posted by sUAS autopilot users. The third creates a new means of collecting information on UAS incidents and accidents via the Aviation Safety Reporting System (ASRS).

sUAS↗

Traveling Molten Zone Refining Process Development for Innovative Fuel Cycle Solutions

Considering the phase diagrams of metallic spent fuel constituents, the melting and solidifying of spent metallic fuel causes three immiscible layers (actinide-rich, lanthanide-rich, and Group II-rich) and the condensate phase (Group I) to form. We believe this anticipated immiscibility offers an untapped opportunity for innovative fuel cycle solutions. Through the proposed project, we anticipate confirming the expected phase behavior and develop a thermal treatment process to rapidly extract actinides from spent metallic fuels. The prime apparatus for both purposes is a traveling molten zone system with induction heating. We envision that one rapid pass of the molten zone from the bottom to the top of the metallic rod incorporating species of spent metallic fuels should produce the expected immiscible layer formation and provide species partitioning data effectively and cleanly. It will also demonstrate an actinide extraction process by concentrating the impurities at the top segment of the rod and leaving the actinide species behind as the bulk rod. The successful execution of the project will demonstrate proof of concept for a transformative process path for used metal fuels in terms of economics and safeguards.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Encapsulating phosphorus inside carbon nanotubes via a solution approach for advanced lithium ion host

Conventional phosphorus anode materials in lithium/sodium-ion batteries are mainly based on the physical mixing and evaporation/condensation, in which external phosphorus on conductive matrix is unavoidable and hard to be removed due to the formation of crystalline phase. It has been found to break off from conductive matrix easily and deteriorate capacity rapidly. In this communication, we first report a solution processed encapsulation method which facilitates phosphorus anchored inside multi-walled carbon nanotubes (MWCNTs). Any possible external phosphorus adsorbents are hard to transform into crystalline and enable an easy removal by polar solvents. Eventually, the phosphorus rings and chains are successfully encapsulated only inside MWCNTs, exhibiting high cycling stability in lithium-ion battery because of the efficient physical confinement and unique discrete phosphorus segment assemblies inside MWCNTs which ensured enough vacant space for volume expansion.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

A Reliable Earth Return System for Safe Recovery of Mars Samples

The objective of a Mars sample return mission is to bring selected Mars surface materials to Earth. Numerous approaches for the Earth-return segment have been analyzed including propulsive or aerocapture return to low-Earth orbit followed by Space Shuttle rendezvous and direct entry. Of these approaches, ballistic entry of a small capsule terminating in a ground landing has been shown to be the lowest risk strategy. Over the past two years, significant work has been performed towards development of a robust direct entry vehicle for Mars sample return. In June 1999, the NASA Planetary Protection Officer provided initial guidance to the former Mars Sample Return Project. The sample return phase of the mission was assigned a restricted Earth return planetary protection classification. The draft mission requirement states that the total mean probability of release of unsterilized Mars material into the Earth;s biosphere must be less than 1.0E-06 (1 in a million). This strict requirement drives the approach and design of the Earth return system. To meet this requirement, selection of the Earth return strategy and development of the Earth return system must be guided by risk, not performance, based decisions. An initial Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) was performed to address the direct entry Earth return system containment assurance reliability and to identify high-risk elements of this system. The results of this PRA identified risk elements that include thermal protection system performance during entry, spin-eject orientation and aerodynamic stability during entry, structural integrity under atmospheric deceleration and impact loads, and tracking/recovery of this system. This initial probabilistic risk quantification demonstrates that, with the proper development program, a prototypical direct entry design can satisfy the containment assurance reliability requirement. Through the current Mars Sample Return Advanced Technology Development effort, an extensive design, analysis, and test program is presently proceeding with the aim of reducing the containment assurance risk of this system. This technology development effort, guided by a continuing PRA, focuses on key risk areas of a direct entry Earth return system including: the thermal protection system, impact dynamics, structural performance, aerodynamic stability, and ground recovery. This development program will culminate in a system validation flight test, 1-2 years prior to launch of the flight system. This flight test would include the launch, entry, and recovery of a full-scale Earth return system, as a scientific validation of the key risk elements to verify nominal design performance. The results of the initial PRA suggested several dominant failure sequences that can be validated in a flight test. These include: demonstrating the thermal protection system reliability and performance during entry, demonstrating the spin-eject orientation and aero-dynamic stability during entry, demonstrating the structural integrity under atmospheric deceleration and impact loads, and demonstrating tracking and recovery of the Earth return system. This single test will directly address over 50% of the total containment assurance risk elements. This presentation will begin by presenting the relative risk of various Earth return strategies. The results of the initial probabilistic risk assessment will be presented followed by a discussion of the development accomplishments and plans for demonstration of a highly reliable direct entry Earth return system.

Braun, R.↗