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DOE OSTI2023

Public perceptions of wave energy development on the west coast of North America: Risks, benefits, and coastal attachment

While solar and wind energy continue to grow as significant sources of renewable energy, a global energy transition away from fossil fuels will require an expanding portfolio of generating resources. Marine renewable energy has the potential to contribute greatly in the coming decades, as the more predictable nature of wave energy can support the resiliency of the power grid and complement solar and inland wind generation. Yet, the broad deployment of marine energy technologies like wave energy will depend on public support, making it critical to identify the relevant factors associated with public attitudes and risk/benefit perceptions. This paper draws on social representations theory to specifically examine perceptions of wave energy on the west coast of North America, a site chosen because of the high suitability for wave energy generation and the fact that one of only three wave energy test sites in the world is under development off the coast of Oregon. Using an online survey in June 2020, we recruited a sample of 2000 respondents from California, Oregon, Washington, and British Columbia. We found a majority of respondents held positive attitudes to wave energy, but respondents also had low familiarity – with a quarter of respondents lacking sufficient information to form an opinion. We used logistic regression to identify factors correlated with wave energy attitudes, finding that respondents who were more supportive of wind and solar energy, more optimistic about new technology, and reported more familiarity with wave energy were significantly more likely to have a positive impression of wave energy. Respondents with higher levels of place attachment to coastal areas were more split, as they perceived higher benefits of wave energy – but also higher risks. Our results indicate broad appeal of wave energy on the west coast, but we caution policymakers and developers to not take initial siting processes for granted. As experience has shown for offshore wind, broad appeal does not guarantee a smooth siting process in a local context. Furthermore, the role of place attachment to coastal areas must be taken seriously or risk alienating local communities.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

DOE OSTI2023

Controlled Self-Assembly of Gold Nanotetrahedra into Quasicrystals and Complex Periodic Supracrystals

The self-assembly of shape-anisotropic nanocrystals into large-scale structures is a versatile and scalable approach to creating multifunctional materials. The tetrahedral geometry is ubiquitous in natural and manmade materials, yet regular tetrahedra present a formidable challenge in understanding their self-assembly behavior as they do not tile space. Here, we report diverse supracrystals from gold nanotetrahedra including the quasicrystal (QC) and the dimer packing predicted more than a decade ago and hitherto unknown phases. We solve the complex three-dimensional (3D) structure of the QC by a combination of electron microscopy, tomography, and synchrotron X-ray scattering. Nanotetrahedron vertex sharpness, surface ligands, and assembly conditions work in concert to regulate supracrystal structure. We also discover that the surface curvature of supracrystals can induce structural changes of the QC tiling and eventually, for small supracrystals with high curvature, stabilize a hexagonal approximant. Finally, our findings bridge the gap between computational design and experimental realization of soft matter assemblies and demonstrate the importance of accurate control over nanocrystal attributes and the assembly conditions to realize increasingly complex nanopolyhedron supracrystals.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2021

Demonstration of resonant tunneling effects in metal-double-insulator-metal (MI2M) diodes

Abstract Although the effect of resonant tunneling in metal-double-insulator-metal (MI 2 M) diodes has been predicted for over two decades, no experimental demonstrations have been reported at the low voltages needed for energy harvesting rectenna applications. Using quantum-well engineering, we demonstrate the effects of resonant tunneling in a Ni/NiO/Al 2 O 3 /Cr/Au MI 2 M structures and achieve the usually mutually exclusive desired characteristics of low resistance ( $${R}_{0}^{DC} \sim$$ R 0 D C ~ 13 kΩ for 0.035 μm 2 ) and high responsivity ( β 0 = 0.5 A W −1 ) simultaneously. By varying the thickness of insulators to modify the depth and width of the MI 2 M quantum well, we show that resonant quasi-bound states can be reached at near zero-bias, where diodes self-bias when driven by antennas illuminated at 30 THz. We present an improvement in energy conversion efficiency by more than a factor of 100 over the current state-of-the-art, offering the possibility of engineering efficient energy harvesting rectennas.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2020

Evaluation of Leading Modes of Climate Variability in the CMIP Archives

The adequate simulation of internal climate variability is key for our understanding of climate as it underpins efforts to attribute historical events, predict on seasonal and decadal time scales, and isolate the effects of climate change. Here the skill of models in reproducing observed modes of climate variability is assessed, both across and within the CMIP3, CMIP5, and CMIP6 archives, in order to document model capabilities, progress across ensembles, and persisting biases. A focus is given to the well-observed tropical and extratropical modes that exhibit small intrinsic variability relative to model structural uncertainty. These include El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and the northern and southern annular modes (NAM and SAM). Significant improvements are identified in models’ representation of many modes. Canonical biases, which involve both amplitudes and patterns, are generally reduced across model generations. For example, biases in ENSO-related equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature, which extend too far westward, and associated atmospheric teleconnections, which are too weak, are reduced. Stronger tropical expression of the PDO in successive CMIP generations has characterized their improvement, with some CMIP6 models generating patterns that lie within the range of observed estimates. For the NAO, NAM, and SAM, pattern correlations with observations are generally higher than for other modes and slight improvements are identified across successive model generations. Finally, for ENSO and PDO spectra and extratropical modes, changes are small compared to internal variability, precluding definitive statements regarding improvement.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

High Performance PEFC Electrode Structures

Raytheon Technologies Research Center (RTRC) in collaboration with Ion Power Inc. and the University of Arkansas at Little Rock and the FC-PAD consortium executed a project that: (1) developed comprehensive models of oxygen and proton transport in cathode catalyst layers that provided new insights about losses associated with reducing platinum loading to 0.1 mg/cm 2 , (2) designed, fabricated, characterized, and tested cells featuring carbon-supported catalyst layers with low platinum loadings that met efficiency and power density targets set forth by the Hydrogen and Fuel Cells Technology Office, and (3) designed, fabricated, characterized, and tested novel catalyst structures. The modeling efforts produced eight scientific publications that shared new descriptions of oxygen and proton transport in catalyst layers with the broader technical community. The key physical insights from the models are expressed in straightforward algebraic expressions, facilitating easy adoption by other researchers. The models developed during the project explain why resistance to oxygen transport is inversely proportional to interfacial area of platinum – an observation that eluded quantitative explanation for a decade. The models quantitatively predict polarization when measured morphological parameters and transport properties are input. Membrane-electrode assemblies made during the project met stated goals for current at high voltage and power density at rated voltage for transportation fuel cells at the end of budget period 2. High performance was achieved by developing a diffusion layer with low resistance to oxygen transport and a PtCo/C cathode catalyst layer capable of supporting rapid proton and oxygen transport. The project was subsequently directed to curtail experimental work and focus on modeling during budget period 3. Ion Power Inc. developed new expertise in fabricating catalyst layers containing platinum-cobalt catalysts, and processing very thin membranes. The University of Arkansas at Little Rock developed novel nanocolumnar self-supported thin film electrocatalysts that can be grown on carbon supports using a simple high pressure sputter deposition method. The nanocolumnar microstructure provides adequate surface-to-volume ratio for efficient platinum utilization, and the conformal platinum shell with larger crystal grain sizes covering the carbon support surface may eliminate durability issues associated with catalyst dissolution, agglomeration, and carbon corrosion.

08 HYDROGEN↗

DOE OSTI2023

Spectroscopy of Degenerate One-Dimensional Electrons in Carbon Nanotubes (Final Report)

The goal of this research program was to understand the fundamental properties of degenerate one-dimensional (1-D) electrons in single-wall carbon nanotubes (SWCNTs). SWCNTs provide an ideal 1-D environment in which to study many-body physics. Semiconducting SWCNTs exhibit rich optical spectra dominated by extremely stable 1-D excitons, whereas metallic SWCNTs contain massless 1-D carriers with ultralong mean-free paths. Despite the large number of electrical, optical, and magnetic studies of SWCNTs during the last two decades, most of the predicted exotic properties of interacting 1-D electrons have yet to be observed, and some reported experimental results remain highly controversial. Here, we report on our research projects for the last 16 years summarizing spectroscopy on SWCNTs using an arsenal of spectroscopic methods from the terahertz to the visible spectral range, including ultrafast optical spectroscopy and ultrahigh magnetic fields. These studies provided a wealth of new insights into the nature of strongly correlated carriers in the ultimate 1-D limit that will lead to novel nanodevice concepts and implementations. Particular emphasis was placed on dynamical 1-D phenomena in the terahertz, infrared, and optical frequency ranges. Because SWCNTs are direct-band-gap materials, they are one of the leading candidates to unify electronic and optical functions in nanoscale circuits and elucidate how electron correlations can affect and control finite-frequency phenomena in 1-D systems. As a result, we have published 78 research articles (Web of Science), including ten reviews and book volumes/chapters. Below, we highlight and summarize several accomplishments that provided new insights into the fundamental properties of1-D carriers, excitons, and phonons of SWCNTs.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

DOE OSTI2021

Recommended reporting items for epidemic forecasting and prediction research: The EPIFORGE 2020 guidelines

Background: The importance of infectious disease epidemic forecasting and prediction research is underscored by decades of communicable disease outbreaks, including COVID-19. Unlike other fields of medical research, such as clinical trials and systematic reviews, no reporting guidelines exist for reporting epidemic forecasting and prediction research despite their utility. We therefore developed the EPIFORGE checklist, a guideline for standardized reporting of epidemic forecasting research. Methods and findings: We developed this checklist using a best-practice process for development of reporting guidelines, involving a Delphi process and broad consultation with an international panel of infectious disease modelers and model end users. The objectives of these guidelines are to improve the consistency, reproducibility, comparability, and quality of epidemic forecasting reporting. The guidelines are not designed to advise scientists on how to perform epidemic forecasting and prediction research, but rather to serve as a standard for reporting critical methodological details of such studies. Conclusions: These guidelines have been submitted to the EQUATOR network, in addition to hosting by other dedicated webpages to facilitate feedback and journal endorsement.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Synthetic Pathways to gamma-Graphyne and Related Allotropes of Carbon

Graphynes, two-dimensional carbon lattices combining sp 1 and sp 2 hybridized atoms, were predicted theoretically more than three decades ago, but few structures have been realized to date. These carbons are believed to possess remarkable mechanical and electronic properties, including high charge carrier mobilities comparable to those in graphene (10 4 to 10 5 cm 2 V -1 s -1 ). Unlike graphene, certain graphynes are predicted to be intrinsic semiconductors. Among these intriguing structures, γ-graphyne stands out as the structurally simplest and most symmetric sp 1 /sp 2 lattice. γ-Graphyne was first theorized in 1987. In contrast with graphene, γ-graphyne will be a semiconductor with a small band gap suitable for fabrication of electronic devices. This solves one of the fundamental problems of carbon-based electronics, the necessity for inducing a band gap in graphene. γ-Graphyne has the potential to form the basis for the next generation of carbon-based electronics operating at speeds unattainable by traditional silicon chips. Unlike silicon, γ-graphyne is a direct band gap semiconductor, and it will feature exceptional strength comparable to that of other 2D carbon allotropes. Such combination of properties may enable a new generation of highly efficient, ultra-light and flexible solar cells. Despite being a potentially “magical” material, γ-graphyne remained synthetically elusive for over three decades. The primary goals of this project were: (1) Synthesis of bulk γ-graphyne phases through solution-phase 2D polymerizations; (2) Experimental exploration of the physical and chemical properties of γ-graphyne; and (3) Mechanistic and theoretical studies of the novel chemical transformations developed in Goal 1. Common pyrolytic and vapor-deposition methodologies used for the synthesis of graphitic allotropes are unsuitable for graphyne and other sp 1 -contaning structures, as acetylenes readily convert to graphene and amorphous carbon at high temperatures. In contrast, this proposal is based on solution-based 2D polymerization. The major advantages of this approach over the traditional high temperature techniques are the potential to adjust the structure of the material with atomic precision, and the possibility of using structurally complex and relatively fragile repeat units. The outcomes of this research can revolutionize carbon nanotechnology, expanding the field’s structural toolbox beyond primarily graphitic and benzenoid structures. Understanding the chemistry of sp 1 carbon allotropes can lead to entirely new classes of structures with unique properties, including graphyne ribbons, nanotubes, quantum dots, and heterostructures with other 2D materials. Furthermore, the development of reliable and robust synthetic pathways towards periodic covalent molecular sheets with atomically precise structures shall have a profound impact on chemistry and materials science.

2D polymerization↗

DOE OSTI2022

Improvement of eukaryotic protein predictions from soil metagenomes

During the last decades, metagenomics has highlighted the diversity of microorganisms from environmental or host-associated samples. Most metagenomics public repositories use annotation pipelines tailored for prokaryotes regardless of the taxonomic origin of contigs. Consequently, eukaryotic contigs with intrinsically different gene features, are not optimally annotated. Using a bioinformatics pipeline, we have filtered 7.9 billion contigs from 6,872 soil metagenomes in the JGI’s IMG/M database to identify eukaryotic contigs. We have re-annotated genes using eukaryote-tailored methods, yielding 8 million eukaryotic proteins and over 300,000 orphan proteins lacking homology in public databases. Comparing the gene predictions we made with initial JGI ones on the same contigs, we confirmed our pipeline improves eukaryotic proteins completeness and contiguity in soil metagenomes. The improved quality of eukaryotic proteins combined with a more comprehensive assignment method yielded more reliable taxonomic annotation. This dataset of eukaryotic soil proteins with improved completeness, quality and taxonomic annotation reliability is of interest for any scientist aiming at studying the composition, biological functions and gene flux in soil communities involving eukaryotes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2022

A probabilistic inverse prediction method for predicting plutonium processing conditions

In the past decade, nuclear chemists and physicists have been conducting studies to investigate the signatures associated with the production of special nuclear material (SNM). In particular, these studies aim to determine how various processing parameters impact the physical, chemical, and morphological properties of the resulting special nuclear material. By better understanding how these properties relate to the processing parameters, scientists can better contribute to nuclear forensics investigations by quantifying their results and ultimately shortening the forensic timeline. This paper aims to statistically analyze and quantify the relationships that exist between the processing conditions used in these experiments and the various properties of the nuclear end-product by invoking inverse methods. In particular, these methods make use of Bayesian Adaptive Spline Surface models in conjunction with Bayesian model calibration techniques to probabilistically determine processing conditions as an inverse function of morphological characteristics. Not only does the model presented in this paper allow for providing point estimates of a sample of special nuclear material, but it also incorporates uncertainty into these predictions. This model proves sufficient for predicting processing conditions within a standard deviation of the observed processing conditions, on average, provides a solid foundation for future work in predicting processing conditions of particles of special nuclear material using only their observed morphological characteristics, and is generalizable to the field of chemometrics for applicability across different materials.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2020

Efficient bi-directional coupling of 3D computational fluid-particle dynamics and 1D Multiple Path Particle Dosimetry lung models for multiscale modeling of aerosol dosimetry

The development of predictive aerosol dosimetry models has been a major focus of environmental toxicology and pharmaceutical health research for decades. One-dimensional (1D) models successfully predict overall deposition averages but fail to accurately predict local deposition. Computational fluid-particle dynamics (CFPD) models provide site-specific predictions but at a computational cost that prohibits whole lung predictions. Thus, there is a need for developing multiscale strategies to provide a realistic subject-specific picture of the fate of inhaled aerosol in the lungs. CT-based 3D/CFPD models of the large airways were bidirectionally coupled with individualized 1D Navier-Stokes airflow and particle transport based upon the widely used Multiple Path Particle Dosimetry Model (MPPD). Distribution of airflows among lobes was adjusted by measured lobar volume changes observed in CT images between FRC and FRC + 1.5 L. Additionally, as a test of the effectiveness of the coupling procedures, deposition modeling of previous 1 µm aerosol exposure studies was performed. The complete coupled model was run for 3 breaths, with the computation-intense portion being the 3D CFD Lagrangian particle tracking calculation. The average deposition per breath was 11% in the combined multiscale model with site-specific doses available in the CFPD portion of the model and airway- or region-specific deposition available for the MPPD portion. In conclusion, the key methods developed in this study enable predictions of ventilation heterogeneities and aerosol deposition across the lungs that are not captured by 3D or 1D models alone. Overall, these methods can be used as the foundation for multi-scale modeling of the full respiratory system.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Novel and Emerging Capabilities that Can Provide a Holistic Understanding of the Plant Root Microbiome

In recent years, the root microbiome (i.e., microorganisms growing inside, on, or in close proximity to plant roots) has been shown to play an important role in plant health and productivity. Despite its importance, the root microbiome is challenging to study because of its complexity, heterogeneity, and subterranean location. Fortunately, root microbiome research has seen a tremendous influx of novel technologies (e.g., imaging tools, robotics, and molecular analyses), experimental platforms (e.g., micro- and mesocosms), and data integration, modeling, and prediction tools in the past decade that have greatly increased our ability to dissect the complex network of interactions between above- and belowground environmental parameters, plants, bacteria, and fungi that dictate soil and broader ecosystem health. Herein, we discuss methods that are currently used in root microbiome research and that can be expanded to phytobiome research in general ranging from laboratory studies to mesocosm-scale studies and, finally, to field studies; evaluate their relevance to ecosystem studies; and discuss future root microbiome research directions.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2020

Accelerating Quantum Technologies Through Fermilab SRF Expertise

Industry forecast of exponential growth in quantum computing power still predicts that transformative applications are decades away. System performance is limited by decoherence and requires 5-10x the number of physical qubits per effective qubit.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

DOE OSTI2021

A Hybrid Climate Modeling System Using AI-assisted Process Emulators

This white paper addresses Focus Area II. We advocate developing a hybrid modeling system to improve the understanding of decadal- and longer-scale predictability of high impact water cycle components. This hybrid model combines a partial differential equation (PDE)-based dynamic core with AI/ML based emulators to represent many of the computationally expensive processes in Earth’s climate models. The hybrid modeling system has the potential to exploit emerging graphics processing unit (GPU)-accelerated architectures and allows for the generation of large ensemble (~1000’s) simulations to better characterize the model uncertainty and understand predictability.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2022

Physics Informed Neural Networks as Computational Physics Emulators

This report is a brief overview and evaluation of Physics Informed Neural Networks (PINNs). Karniadakis and co-workers, e.g., Karniadakis et al. (2021) assert that the PINNs approach integrates seamlessly both data and mathematical physics models, even in partially understood, uncertain and high-dimensional contexts. They further claim that PINNs are effective and efficient for ill-posed and inverse problems, and when combined with domain decomposition, are scalable to large problems and a tool to discover hidden physics. While they demonstrate the capabilities in specific academic instances, their overarching claims about PINNs seem to be an overstatement, at least at the current time. We have briefly considered a few of the limitations of PINNs in this investigation. It is not clear to us if the PINNs approach can ever be competitive with approaches that use specialized algorithms to achieve high-accuracy solutions of governing equations and other techniques that can combine observational data with such solutions. As an example of the latter, consistent with the principles of Bayesian inference, data assimilation, or more generally data-model fusion, is a process that fuses observational data typically with a computational model that respects certain constraints such as conservation laws. For example, improvements in observational network combined with data assimilation have been key in improving weather predictions over the past four decades Kalnay (2003).

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2023

NOW-23: The 2023 National Offshore Wind Data Set

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2023

NOW-23: the 2023 National Offshore Wind Data Set

In this report, we present the latest wind resource data specifically tailored for offshore regions in the United States. The data set, known as the 2023 National Offshore Wind data set (NOW-23), has been developed by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) and its partners, and surpasses the previous resource data set, the Wind Integration National Dataset (WIND) Toolkit, which was released approximately ten years ago, in its offshore component. The WIND Toolkit has been widely utilized by stakeholders involved in wind resource assessments across the continental United States. However, with significant advancements in numerical weather prediction modeling over the past decade, the NOW-23 data set incorporates the latest research and development progress to provide stakeholders with an updated and cutting-edge resource for offshore wind analysis. The NOW-23 data set is created using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model and its output is available, as for its predecessor, at 5-minute time resolution and 2-kilometer horizontal spatial resolution. However, the NOW-23 data set improves upon the WIND Toolkit through: 1. A modeling period of at least 20 years (and as long as 23 years in selected regions), starting in 2000 (compared to the 7-year 2007–2013 modeling period in the WIND Toolkit). 2. For several offshore regions, a region-specific sensitivity analysis, driven by an ensemble of WRF simulations, to assess the most adequate region-specific WRF setup. 3. An updated WRF model, from Version 3.4 used in the WIND Toolkit to Version 4.2.1 used for the NOW-23 data set, which incorporates significant research advancements. 4. The use of the state-of-the-art reanalysis product ERA5 (which supersedes the older ERA-Interim used in the WIND Toolkit) to provide atmospheric forcing at the WRF domain boundaries. Figure 1 shows the NOW-23 mean wind speed at 160 m above sea level (asl), which we use as proxy for hub-height of a commercial offshore wind turbine in this report across all regions.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Structural Insights into Mechanisms Underlying Mitochondrial and Bacterial Cytochrome c Synthases

Mitochondrial holocytochrome c synthase (HCCS) is an essential protein in assembling cytochrome c (cyt c) of the electron transport system. HCCS binds heme and covalently attaches the two vinyls of heme to two cysteine thiols of the cyt c CXXCH motif. Human HCCS recognizes both cyt c and cytochrome c1 of complex III (cytochrome bc1). HCCS is mutated in some human diseases and it has been investigated recombinantly by mutational, biochemical, and reconstitution studies in the past decade. Here, we employ structural prediction programs (e.g., AlphaFold 3) on HCCS and its two substrates, heme and cytochrome c. The results, when combined with spectroscopic and functional analyses of HCCS and variants, provide insights into the structural basis for heme binding, apocyt c binding, covalent attachment, and release of the holocyt c product. Results from in vitro reconstitution of purified human HCCS using cyt c and cyt c1 peptides as acceptors are consistent with the structural modeling of substrate binding. Reconstitution of HCCS and cyt c1 provides an approach to studying cyt c1 assembly, which has been refractile to recombinant in vivo reconstitution (unlike HCCS and cyt c). We propose a structural basis for release of the holocyt c product from HCCS based on in vitro studies and on cryoEM structures of the bacterial cyt c synthase (CcsBA) active site. We analyze the kinetoplastid mitochondrial synthase (KCCS), and hypothesize a molecular evolutionary path from mitochondrial endosymbiosis to the current HCCS.

Biochemistry & Molecular Biology↗