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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 91 records · Page 5
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NASA NTRS1987

Forecast of an exceptionally large even-numbered solar cycle

Using the 'dynamo theory' method to predict solar activity, an accurate prediction was made for solar cycle 21 by Schatten et al. (1978). Using the same dynamo technique for solar cycle 22, a value for the smoothed sunspot number of 170 + or - 25 is obtained. This large sunspot number is expected to peak in 1990 + or - 1 year. The F(10.7) radio flux is expected to reach a smoothed value of 210 + or - 25 flux units. Since this value is larger than values obtained with prediction schemes based upon 'statistical' and 'periodicity' methods, it provides a useful test for the current methodology, based upon the strength of the sun's polar field near solar minimum. The predicted degree of solar activity is expected to enhance the density and temperature of the earth's thermosphere to values somewhat larger than those found in solar cycle 21. This will have an impact on the orbital lifetime of low altitude satellites.

Schatten, Kenneth H.↗
NASA NTRS1984

Oscillating dynamo magnetic field in the presence of an external nondynamo field - The influence of a solar primordial field

Dynamo magnetic fields are self-excited and, once started, can perpetrate themselves with no outside source of magnetic flux, as long as the necessary fluid motions persist. Such dynamo fields behave completely independently of the field's overall polarity. In the presence of an external field of separate origin this polarity symmetry of the dynamo states is broken; the dynamo states become asymmetric with respect to polarity. In this paper a calculation is performed of the characteristics of a spherical shell dynamo in the presence of a fossil magnetic field penetrating into the dynamo from below. The asymmetric periodic states are found as a function of the strength of underlying fossil field. Applying these results to the sun, there appears to be no evidence of any intense large-scale primordial magnetic flux, having either dipole-like or quadrupole-like symmetry about the sun's equator, penetrating into the convection zone from the sun's radiative core. Indeed, the calculations indicate, even on the basis of the presently crude observations, that any such primordial field must have an intensity smaller than a few gauss.

Boyer, D. W.↗
NASA NTRS1973

A numerical study of polar ionospheric currents.

Numerical calculations for the electric current in the polar ionosphere have been made by assuming some realistic distributions of the electric field and conductivity. Two dynamo actions are taken into account; one of which is induced by ionospheric winds and the other by the solar wind. For the solar wind dynamo action, it is found that the secondary polarization field caused by nonuniform distribution of ionospheric conductivity is much larger than the primary field induced by the solar wind, suggesting its important effect on charged particles in the magnetosphere, and that the irrotational current having a source and sink is of the same order of magnitude as the solenoidal current closing its circuit in the ionosphere. It is also found that the solar wind is, in general, more effective than the ionospheric winds in producing polar current systems such as DP 1 and 2, but in some cases the ionospheric winds have a significant effect on the current distribution.

Maeda, H.↗
NASA NTRS1978

On the angular momentum loss of late-type stars

The observed surface angular velocity of main-sequence stars shows a sharp decrease at about spectral type F6. It is suggested that stars more massive than F6 cannot experience an appreciable angular-momentum loss because their convection zones cannot sustain a magnetic dynamo: without a magnetic field the angular-momentum loss is very small. The influence of rotation on the convective motions is essential for the existence of a solar-type dynamo. Rotation can influence these convective motions only if the typical convective time is larger than the rotation time. For main-sequence stars of different masses and chemical compositions the dimensionless parameter (convective velocity/sum's angular velocity times mixing length in the lower part of the convection zone) is evaluated. It is shown that this parameter increases very sharply for stars whose mass exceeds that defined by the relation log(star mass/solar mass) is of the order of 0.1. Thus even for large angular velocities, magnetic dynamos are not feasible if log(star mass/solar mass) appreciably exceeds 0.1.

Durney, B. R.↗
NASA NTRS1994

Origin of flux ropes in Venus' ionosphere

The joule dissipation inside flux ropes in Venus' ionosphere is so great that they must be formed near, and maintained at, the place where they are observed. Thus ropes are not formed by a Kelvin-Helmholtz instability of the ionopause. The hypothesis that ropes may be formed by the dynamo action of internal gravity waves in Venus' thermosphere (Luhmann and Elphic, 1985; Cole, 1993) is strengthened by discussion of a magnetic evolution equation which includes neutral air motion. However, the dynamo process would work only at altitudes at which v(sub in) is greater than or equal to omega(sub i). At altitudes or parts of a rope where v(sub in) is much less than omega(sub i), the process does not work. A solar wind dynamo is therefore examined to account for the ropes. Thereby a major new heat source for ions of the Venus ionosphere associated with the ropes is uncovered.

Cole, Keith D.↗
NASA NTRS1983

On the coronae of rapidly rotating stars. IV - Coronal activity in F dwarfs and implications for the onset of the dynamo

X-ray observations of 14 early F dwarfs are reported and these stars are used, together with a complete sample from the literature, to examine how the characteristics of coronal X-ray emission vary from dwarfs of spectral type A through G. Evidence for a rotation-activity relation in stars redder than B - V = 0.45 is found. Stellar duplicity and age, except insofar as they influence the rotation rate, do not appear to be important in determining the coronal X-ray flux level in F dwarfs. It is suggested that the appearance of a relation between rotation and activity at B - V = 0.45 indicates the turn-on of a solar-like dynamo. The high X-ray surface fluxes and small variance thereof for dwarfs with B - V = 0.3-0.45 are also discussed.

Walter, F. M.↗
NASA NTRS2010

Polar Coronal Hole Ephemeral Regions, the Fast Solar Wind and the Global Magnetic Dynamo

The X-Ray Telescope aboard Hinode has been regularly observing both the north and south solar polar coronal holes from November 2006 through March 2009. We use the observations of emerged flux regions within the coronal hole as evidenced by small x-ray bright points to study the physical properties of these regions. The width of the emerged flux region loop footpoints, the duration of the x-ray emission lifetime for the emerged flux region, the latitude of formation and whether an x-ray or EUV jet was observed were all recorded. In the present work we detail these observations and show a dependence on the width of the emerged flux region (bright point) to the number of x-ray jets observed. The distribution of base width is then related to a power law for number of emerged flux regions as a function of base width.

Cirtain, Jonathan W.↗
NASA NTRS1991

Future missions studies: Combining Schatten's solar activity prediction model with a chaotic prediction model

K. Schatten (1991) recently developed a method for combining his prediction model with our chaotic model. The philosophy behind this combined model and his method of combination is explained. Because the Schatten solar prediction model (KS) uses a dynamo to mimic solar dynamics, accurate prediction is limited to long-term solar behavior (10 to 20 years). The Chaotic prediction model (SA) uses the recently developed techniques of nonlinear dynamics to predict solar activity. It can be used to predict activity only up to the horizon. In theory, the chaotic prediction should be several orders of magnitude better than statistical predictions up to that horizon; beyond the horizon, chaotic predictions would theoretically be just as good as statistical predictions. Therefore, chaos theory puts a fundamental limit on predictability.

Ashrafi, S.↗
NASA NTRS1993

Relationship between Birkeland current regions, particle precipitation, and electric fields

The relationship of the large-scale dayside Birkeland currents to large-scale particle precipitation patterns, currents, and convection is examined using DMSP and Sondrestrom radar observations. It is found that the local time of the mantle currents is not limited to the longitude of the cusp proper, but covers a larger local time extent. The mantle currents flow entirely on open field lines. About half of region 1 currents flow on open field lines, consistent with the assumption that the region 1 currents are generated by the solar wind dynamo and flow within the surface that separates open and closed field lines. More than 80 percent of the Birkeland current boundaries do not correspond to particle precipitation boundaries. Region 2 currents extend beyond the plasma sheet poleward boundary; region 1 currents flow in part on open field lines; mantle currents and mantle particles are not coincident. On most passes when a triple current sheet is observed, the convection reversal is located on closed field lines.

De La Beaujardiere, O.↗
NASA NTRS1998

The Coronae of Moderate-Mass Giants in the Hertzsprung Gap and the Clump

We have used the Roentgensatellit (ROSAT), the Extreme Ultraviolet Explorer (EUVE), and the Hubble Space Telescope (HST) to measure X-ray and ultraviolet emissions of moderate-mass (APPROX. 2-3 solar mass) giants in the Hertzsprung gap (spectral types early F to mid-G) and the post-helium flash "clump" (approx. G8-K0). Our motivation was to document the evolution of hot coronae (T greater than 10(exp 6)K) along the post-main-sequence trajectories traveled by such stars in order to gain insight concerning the "X-ray deficiency" of the F-GO giants and the strong braking of stellar rotation at the red edge of the Hertzsprung gap. With few exceptions, Hertzsprung gap and clump giants observed by ROSAT PSPC show hot (T approx. 10(exp 7)K) coronal energy distributions, regardless of any X-ray deficiency, EUVE spectra of gap star 31 Com (G0 111) indicate a broad coronal emission measure hump at approx. 10(exp 7.2)K, while the active clump giant beta Ceti (K0 III) displays a sharp peak at approx. 10(exp 6.8)K, as seen previously in the mixed clump/gap binary Capella (alpha Aur: G8 III + G0 III). The gap giants upsilon Peg (F8 III) and 24 UMa (G4 III) have EUV emissions of intermediate temperature (approx. 10(exp 7.0)K). The stars 31 Com, psi(sup 3) Psc (G0 III), and beta Cet exhibit redshifted transition zone (TZ: approx. 10(exp 5)K) lines in HST GHRS spectra, as reported earlier in Procyon (alpha CMi: F5 IV-V) and Capella G0. Such redshifts on the Sun are thought to signify flows in magnetic loops. beta Cas (F2 III)-a rare soft coronal source among the gap stars-displays blueshifts of C iv and 0 iv], although emissions at cooler and hotter temperatures are near the photospheric velocity. The remarkably broad line profiles of the fastest rotating gap giants suggest that the 10(exp 5) K "subcoronal " emission zones extend to h approx. R(sub *) above the photosphere, about 50 scale heights. In contrast to the TZ line redshifts, the upper chromospheric emissions (e.g., Mg II and Si III) of 31 Com and upsilon(sup 3) Psc have blueshifted cores. Blue-asymmetric peaks in the solar Mg a lines are thought to indicate dynamical heating in the chromosphere. Observations of the H(sub I) Ly(alpha) feature of 31 Com taken 9 months apart reveal striking profile changes, reminiscent of those noted previously in the Ly(alpha) blue peak of the Capella G0 star. We used the far-ultraviolet diagnostics, in combination with ROSAT X-ray photometry and EUVE high-excitation line strengths, to constrain physical models of the stellar outer atmospheres. Quasi-static magnetic loops can simulate the empirical coronal emission measures of the giant stars, but the inferred pressures for sensible loop lengths conflict with direct measurements of subcoronal densities. Furthermore, the high rate of emission at approx. 10(exp 5) K cannot be explained by thermal conduction down the legs of hot quasi-static loops. On the other hand, the possible existence of elongated (l - R(sub *) emission structures on the gap giants leads to a speculative scenario to explain the X-ray deficiency. It is based on the increased importance of the dynamical filling phase ("explosive evaporation") of the loop life cycle; conductive cooling, yielding TZ emissions at the footpoints, when the heating is interrupted; and the possibility for transitions between " hot " and " cool " energy balance solutions owing to dynamical suspension and centrifugal trapping of the cooling gas. The long loops might represent a vestigial global " magnetosphere " inherited from the main-sequence phase, which ultimately is disrupted near approx. G0 by the deepening convective envelope and growth of a more solar-like dynamo. Coronal emissions might be boosted temporarily as the X-ray deficiency is removed but soon would be quenched by wind braking previously inhibited by the magnetospheric "dead zone."

Ayres, Thomas R.↗
NASA NTRS2005

Coronal Emission from dG Halo Stars

The halo dG star HD 114762 was observed with the XMM-Newton satellite on 28-29 June 2004, during orbit 834, and the data were processed using the XMM-Newton Science Analysis System (SAS), version 6.0.0. Somewhat surprisingly, the target was NOT detected during this approx.30 ks exposure, which yielded instead a count rate upper limit of less than 0.0041 cts/s. We computed an X-ray flux upper limit by assuming a Raymond-Smith thermal spectrum of coronal temperature 1 million degrees K, typical of quiet old stars, a hydrogen column density of 2-10$^{19)$ cm$^{-2)$ and sub-solar abundances of 0.2. Our calculated X-ray luminosity upper limit in the 0.25-7.8 keV band is L$_x < 4.95 $\time$10$^{26)$ erg/s, where we have assumed a stellar distance of 28 pc. This relatively low upper limit has implications for the capability of metal poor stars to host solar-like dynamos, as we will report in a forthcoming paper (now in preparation).

Mushotzky, Richard↗
NASA NTRS2022

Evolution of X-Ray Activity in <25 Myr Old Pre-main Sequence Stars

Measuring the evolution of X-ray emission from pre-main-sequence (PMS) stars gives insight into two issues: the response of magnetic dynamo processes to changes in the interior structure, and the effects of high-energy radiation on protoplanetary disks and primordial planetary atmospheres. We present a sample of 6003 stars with ages 7–25 Myr in 10 nearby open clusters from Chandra X-ray and Gaia-EDR3 surveys. Combined with previous results in large samples of younger (≲5 Myr) stars in MYStIX and SFiNCs star-forming regions, mass-stratified activity-age relations are derived for the early phases of stellar evolution. X-ray luminosity (LX) is constant during the first few Myr, possibly due to the presence of extended X-ray coronas insensitive to temporal changes in stellar size. LX then decays during the 7–25 Myr period, more rapidly as stellar mass increases. This decay is interpreted as decreasing efficiency of the α2 dynamo as radiative cores grow and a solar-type αΩ dynamo emerges. For more massive 3.5–7 M⊙ fully radiative stars, the X-ray emission plummets—indicating the lack of an effective magnetic dynamo. The findings provide improved measurements of high-energy radiation effects on circumstellar material, first for the protoplanetary disk and then for the atmospheres of young planets. The observed X-ray luminosities can be so high that an inner Earth-mass rocky, unmagnetized planet around a solar-mass PMS star might lose its primary and secondary atmospheres within a few (several) million years. PMS X-ray emission may thus have a significant impact on the evolution of early-planetary atmospheres and the conditions promoting the rise of habitability.

Konstantin V Getman↗
NASA NTRS2017

Using Data Assimilation Methods for Prediction of Solar Activity

The variability of solar magnetic activity known as the 11-­‐year solar cycles has the longest history of observations. These solar cycles dramatically affect conditions in the heliosphere and the Earth’s space environment. Our current understanding of the physical processes that make up global solar dynamics and the dynamo that generates the magnetic fields is sketchy, resulting in unrealistic descriptions in theoretical and numerical models of the solar cycles. The absence of long-­‐term observations of solar interior dynamics and photospheric magnetic fields hinders development of accurate dynamo models and their calibration. In such situations, mathematical data assimilation methods provide an optimal approach for combining the available observational data and their uncertainties with theoretical models in order to estimate the state of the solar dynamo and predict future cycles. In this presentation, we will discuss the implementation and performance of an Ensemble Kalman Filter data assimilation method based on the Parker migratory dynamo model complemented by the equation of magnetic helicity conservation and long-­‐term sunspot data series. This approach has allowed us to reproduce the general properties of the solar cycles and has already demonstrated a good predictive capability for the current cycle, 24. We will discuss further development of this approach, which includes a more sophisticated dynamo model, synoptic magnetogram data, and employs the DART Data Assimilation Research Testbed.

Solar Activity↗
NASA NTRS2017

Using Data Assimilation Methods of Prediction of Solar Activity

The variable solar magnetic activity known as the 11-year solar cycle has the longest history of solar observations. These cycles dramatically affect conditions in the heliosphere and the Earth's space environment. Our current understanding of the physical processes that make up global solar dynamics and the dynamo that generates the magnetic fields is sketchy, resulting in unrealistic descriptions in theoretical and numerical models of the solar cycles. The absence of long-term observations of solar interior dynamics and photospheric magnetic fields hinders development of accurate dynamo models and their calibration. In such situations, mathematical data assimilation methods provide an optimal approach for combining the available observational data and their uncertainties with theoretical models in order to estimate the state of the solar dynamo and predict future cycles. In this presentation, we will discuss the implementation and performance of an Ensemble Kalman Filter data assimilation method based on the Parker migratory dynamo model, complemented by the equation of magnetic helicity conservation and long-term sunspot data series. This approach has allowed us to reproduce the general properties of solar cycles and has already demonstrated a good predictive capability for the current cycle, 24. We will discuss further development of this approach, which includes a more sophisticated dynamo model, synoptic magnetogram data, and employs the DART Data Assimilation Research Testbed.

Prediction↗
NASA NTRS2017

Early Estimation of Solar Activity Cycle: Potential Capability and Limits

The variable solar magnetic activity known as the 11-year solar cycle has the longest history of solar observations. These cycles dramatically affect conditions in the heliosphere and the Earth's space environment. Our current understanding of the physical processes that make up global solar dynamics and the dynamo that generates the magnetic fields is sketchy, resulting in unrealistic descriptions in theoretical and numerical models of the solar cycles. The absence of long-term observations of solar interior dynamics and photospheric magnetic fields hinders development of accurate dynamo models and their calibration. In such situations, mathematical data assimilation methods provide an optimal approach for combining the available observational data and their uncertainties with theoretical models in order to estimate the state of the solar dynamo and predict future cycles. In this presentation, we will discuss the implementation and performance of an Ensemble Kalman Filter data assimilation method based on the Parker migratory dynamo model, complemented by the equation of magnetic helicity conservation and longterm sunspot data series. This approach has allowed us to reproduce the general properties of solar cycles and has already demonstrated a good predictive capability for the current cycle, 24. We will discuss further development of this approach, which includes a more sophisticated dynamo model, synoptic magnetogram data, and employs the DART Data Assimilation Research Testbed.

Kitiashvili, Irina N.↗