From inherent correlation to constrained measurement: Model-assisted calibration in MBMS experiments
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As global electrification becomes more prominent, demand is projected to increase for electric vehicles (EVs), their components (EV batteries, rare earth traction motors), and their raw materials (cobalt, rare earths). To analyze the supply chain constraints associated with these components and raw materials, a system dynamics model was developed to simulate the interactions between the rare earth and cobalt supply chains. The results showed that under current understanding of raw material resources, production of the projected volume of EVs could be inadequate. To meet the aggressive EV volume sale projections set by the International Energy Agency, EV manufacturers will need to implement a large portion of traction motors without rare earths and utilize non-cobalt batteries as much as possible. On the supply side, a much faster ramp-up than what being modeled would be needed to meet much higher demand than current market forecasts.
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In the Northeastern United States, natural gas supply constraints have led to periods when gas shortages have caused up to a quarter of all unscheduled power plant outages. Dual fuel oil/gas generators or local gas storage might mitigate gas supply shortages. We use historical power plant operational and availability data to develop a supply curve of the costs required for generators to mitigate fuel shortage failures in New England. Based on 2012–2018 data, we find that the historical fuel shortages at approximately 2 GW worth of gas-fired capacity could be mitigated using on-site fuel storage. For comparison, New England’s average reserve margin was 1.7–2.8 GW over our sample period. Oil dual fuel plants would recoup their investment if compensated with a reliability adder of $\$ 3-7$/MWh during their normal operations, while $\$ 7-16$/MWh would incentivize using onsite, compressed natural gas storage. We estimate that the capital expenses associated with the fuel storage options would be less expensive than installing battery backup for resource adequacy at current battery prices.
Currently, one of the key challenges preventing the wide commercialization of polymer-based solid-state batteries is achieving high-rate capabilities. This work unravels chain structure and segmental dynamics in a polymer-based composite cathode consisting of LiFePO 4 (LFP), carbon, and poly(ethylene oxide) (PEO) with lithium bis(trifluoromethanesulfonyl)imide. Small-angle neutron scattering (SANS) data reveal that PEO chains are adsorbed on the surface of LFP particles during slurry processing to make the composite electrode. The strong interaction between LFP and PEO chains leads to greatly reduced segmental dynamics of PEO, as discovered by quasi-elastic neutron scattering (QENS). The reduced segmental dynamics results in 70% decreased Li + mobility of the polymer electrolyte in the composite cathode. The combined SANS and QENS study indicates that one of the key bottlenecks that limits the rate performance of PEO-based polymer batteries originates from molecular interactions within the cathode.
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Plasma jets are widely investigated both in the laboratory and in nature. Astrophysical objects such as black holes, active galactic nuclei and young stellar objects commonly emit plasma jets in various forms. With the availability of data from plasma jet experiments resembling astrophysical plasma jets, classification of such data would potentially aid in not only investigating the underlying physics of the experiments but also the study of astrophysical jets. In this work we use deep learning to process all of the laboratory plasma images from the Caltech Spheromak Experiment spanning two decades. We found that cosine similarity can aid in feature selection, classify images through comparison of feature vector direction and be used as a loss function for the training of AlexNet for plasma image classification. We also develop a simple vector direction comparison algorithm for binary and multi-class classification. Using our algorithm we demonstrate 93 % accurate binary classification to distinguish unstable columns from stable columns and 92 % accurate five-way classification of a small, labelled data set which includes three classes corresponding to varying levels of kink instability.
A surrogate model of the runaway electron avalanche growth rate in a magnetic fusion plasma is developed. This is accomplished by employing a physics-informed neural network (PINN) to learn the parametric solution of the adjoint to the relativistic Fokker–Planck equation. The resulting PINN is able to evaluate the runaway probability function across a broad range of parameters in the absence of any synthetic or experimental data. This surrogate of the adjoint relativistic Fokker–Planck equation is then used to infer the avalanche growth rate as a function of the electric field, synchrotron radiation and effective charge. Predictions of the avalanche PINN are compared against first principle calculations of the avalanche growth rate with excellent agreement observed across a broad range of parameters.
Traditional approaches to analytical method optimization (e.g., univariate and “guess-and-check”) can be time-consuming, costly, and often fail to identify true optima within the parameter space. Previous work defined and implemented a generalized technique for method optimization for continuous method parameters, but a knowledge gap remains for the incorporation of categorical variables into these advanced method optimization schemes. This work presents and validates a generalized optimization approach that incorporates both continuous and categorical variables while also utilizing a multivariate, multiobjective optimization scheme with Karush–Kuhn–Tucker conditions to bound the optimization space to solutions within the physical limitations of the parameter space. Method optimization from a case study using GC–MS for the analysis of 11 analytical standards with objectives to minimize peak width and maximize peak height resulted in a 3 orders of magnitude improvement in the average peak height and a 2 orders of magnitude improvement in the average peak width compared to the least optimal (but reasonable) instrumental parameters utilized in this study. This approach to optimization allows for a customizable method optimization in which users can include both continuous and categorical variables to achieve objectives specific to their analytical goals. This approach significantly reduces the labor and cost associated with traditional method development approaches and can be applied in a variety of scientific fields across a range of laboratory techniques (e.g., instrument method development, sample preparation, and extraction techniques).
Metal–organic frameworks (MOFs) are a class of crystalline, nanoporous materials that are recognized for their tunability. While some MOFs demonstrate flexibility, this characteristic can pose challenges in achieving precise pore control or establishing permanent porosity. Specifically, MIL-88B, is notable for its high flexibility, as it is constructed from metal trimer clusters and 2-dimensional linkers (2DLs) featuring planar, aromatic cores, allowing significant structural changes. In this study, we synthesized two new MOFs, NU-2010 and NU-2011, which are structurally analogous to MIL-88B but incorporate ditopic 3-dimensional linkers (3DLs) with sterically bulky cores and higher symmetry. Our aim was to investigate whether the introduction of 3DLs could mitigate the flexibility observed in MIL-88B. We employed a combination of single crystal and powder X-ray diffraction techniques to assess the flexibility of MIL-88B, NU-2010, and NU-2011 under various conditions including thermal activation, solvent exchange, and temperature changes. Furthermore, our findings indicate that incorporating 3DLs significantly reduces framework flexibility in NU-2010 and NU-2011 relative to MIL-88B.