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At least 1,045 records · Page 58

Climatology of Linear Mesoscale Convective System Morphology in the United States based on Random Forests Method

This study uses machine learning methods, specifically the random forest (RF), on a radar-based mesoscale convective system (MCS) tracking dataset to classify the five types of linear MCS morphology in the contiguous United States during the period 2004-2016. The algorithm is trained using radar- and satellite-derived spatial and morphological parameters, and reanalysis environmental information from 5-26yr manually identified nonlinear and five linear MCS modes. The algorithm is then used to automate the classification of linear MCSs over 8 years with high accuracy, providing a systematic, long-term climatology of linear MCSs. Results reveal that nearly 40% of MCSs are classified as linear MCSs, in which half of the linear events belong to the type of system having a leading convective line. The occurrence of linear MCSs shows large annual and seasonal variations. On average, 113 linear MCSs occur annually during the warm season (through March to October), with most of these events clustered from May through August in the central eastern Great Plains. MCS characteristics, including duration, propagation speed, orientation, and system cloud size, have large variability among the different linear modes. The systems having a trailing convective line and the systems having a back-building area of convection typically move more slowly and have higher precipitation rate, and thus have higher potential in producing extreme rainfall and flash flooding. Analysis of the environmental conditions associated with linear MCSs show that the storm-relative flow is of most importance in determining the organization mode of linear MCSs.

Cui, Wenjun↗

Growth modeling to evaluate alternative cultivation strategies to enhance national microalgal biomass production

In this paper, we present a model-based assessment of alternative cultivation strategies on algal biomass production within the conterminous United States. Our assessment focuses on two basic cultivation strategies: 1) seasonal rotation of three representative freshwater algal strains that are well suited for warm weather, cold weather, and all-season diverse weather conditions, respectively; and 2) variation between three open pond water depths (15cm, 20cm, and 25cm). The enhanced Biomass Assessment Tool (BAT) is applied on a site-specific, hourly basis at 5,832 North American Land Data Assimilation System Phase 2 1/8° meteorological model grid cells over a 30-year period (1980-2009) to evaluate the operational strategies. Recognizing that resource management decisions may also consider scales beyond the individual site, we also conduct a regional assessment of focused on 7 representative climate zones in the conterminous United States. Results demonstrate that the spatial variability of algal productivity is largely affected by the strain-specific growth response to light and temperature that vary significantly by climate zone and latitude. Therefore, with a limited set of alternative cultivation strategies, the BAT identified the best performing combination of cultivation strategies on a site-specific basis that considerably enhances national annual biomass productivity. Specifically, the appropriate choice of seasonal strain rotation is able to significantly dampen climate-driven seasonal and spatial variability.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Using heterogeneous data to identify signatures of dengue outbreaks at fine spatio-temporal scales across Brazil

Dengue virus remains a significant public health challenge in Brazil, and seasonal preparation efforts are hindered by variable intra- and interseasonal dynamics. Here, we present a framework for characterizing weekly dengue activity at the Brazilian mesoregion level from 2010–2016 as time series properties that are relevant to forecasting efforts, focusing on outbreak shape, seasonal timing, and pairwise correlations in magnitude and onset. In addition, we use a combination of 18 satellite remote sensing imagery, weather, clinical, mobility, and census data streams and regression methods to identify a parsimonious set of covariates that explain each time series property. The models explained 54% of the variation in outbreak shape, 38% of seasonal onset, 34% of pairwise correlation in outbreak timing, and 11% of pairwise correlation in outbreak magnitude. Regions that have experienced longer periods of drought sensitivity, as captured by the “normalized burn ratio,” experienced less intense outbreaks, while regions with regular fluctuations in relative humidity had less regular seasonal outbreaks. Both the pairwise correlations in outbreak timing and outbreak trend between mesoresgions were best predicted by distance. Our analysis also revealed the presence of distinct geographic clusters where dengue properties tend to be spatially correlated. Forecasting models aimed at predicting the dynamics of dengue activity need to identify the most salient variables capable of contributing to accurate predictions. Our findings show that successful models may need to leverage distinct variables in different locations and be catered to a specific task, such as predicting outbreak magnitude or timing characteristics, to be useful. This advocates in favor of “adaptive models” rather than “one-size-fits-all” models. The results of this study can be applied to improving spatial hierarchical or target-focused forecasting models of dengue activity across Brazil.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Simulation of Creep Deformation and Failure in Graded AM Microstructures

This report describes modeling tools and techniques developed to simulate the long-term material performance of 316H stainless steel manufactured using Laser Powder Bed Fusion (LPBF). A physics-based Crystal Plasticity Finite Element model is used to simulate creep in microstructures and to study the roles of grain morphology, porosity, and texture. We describe our modeling methodology, including an orientation-mapping technique to capture the spatially varying crystallographic orientation that results from the build conditions. Our study of microstructural features shows that AM microstructures produced by LPBF tend to creep faster in the build direction, while texture and grain boundaries strengthen the transverse directions. However, when grain-boundary porosity and the consequent cavity growth are included in the model, the transverse directions begin to creep faster. In examining texture, the results indicate that spatially varying orientation arising from the build conditions increases anisotropy in the material, making it critical to account for orientation gradients in the material to accurately model its mechanical behavior. We also describe a material-model calibration campaign in which we calibrated the constitutive model specifically for LPBF 316H stainless steel at 725℃ for both solution-annealed and as-built conditions. Finally, these tools and techniques are used to model creep in microstructures representing different regions of an LPBF material with graded microstructure, owing to intentional variation in processing conditions. The creep simulation results show good agreement with experimental data across all three microstructures, with future work planned to study rupture in the material.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Results of the second Ice Shelf–Ocean Model Intercomparison Project (ISOMIP+)

Ocean-driven basal melting of Antarctic ice shelves plays an important role in the mass loss of the Antarctic Ice Sheet. Ice shelf cavity-resolving ocean models are a valuable tool for understanding ice shelf-ocean interactions and for simulating projections of ice shelf and ocean states under future climate. Designed to assess the current state of ice shelf–ocean modelling, the second Ice Shelf–Ocean Model Intercomparison Project, ISOMIP+, consists of 12 ocean model configurations submitted with a common, idealised experimental setup. Here, we focus on the experiments Ocean0–2 (Asay-Davis et al., 2016), which are ocean models with idealised, static ice shelf geometries, but where the ocean reaches a balance with prescribed far-field ocean conditions. Different thermal transfer coefficient values (ranging from 0.011 to 0.2) are used for each model in the melting parameterisation to achieve a common, tuned melt rate since the models cover a range of types of vertical coordinates, ice–ocean boundary layer treatments, and numerical schemes. These model differences lead to spread in the resultant ocean properties, circulation, boundary-layer structure and spatial distribution of melting. We also highlight similarities between models, such as a shared linear relationship across most models between melt rate and overturning and barotropic streamfunctions during the spin-up and spin-down, demonstrating a robust relationship between melt and circulation across models and forcing conditions. The ISOMIP+ results provide a systematic comparison of ice shelf cavity-capable ocean models. However, we also demonstrate the need for realistic ice shelf–ocean model intercomparison projects (some already underway) to assess model biases and inter-model variation against sparse observations. Further research is needed to understand the differences between models and further improve our modelled representations of the ice–ocean boundary layer and ice shelf cavity circulation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Spatially Resolved Potential and Li-Ion Distributions Reveal Performance-Limiting Regions in Solid-State Batteries

The performance of solid-state electrochemical systems is intimately tied to the potential and lithium distributions across electrolyte–electrode junctions that give rise to interface impedance. Here, we combine two operando methods, Kelvin probe force microscopy (KPFM) and neutron depth profiling (NDP), to identify the rate-limiting interface in operating Si-LiPON-LiCoO 2 solid-state batteries by mapping the contact potential difference (CPD) and the corresponding Li distributions. The contributions from ions, electrons, and interfaces are deconvolved by correlating the CPD profiles with Li-concentration profiles and by comparisons with first-principles-informed modeling. Furthermore, we find that the largest potential drop and variation in the Li concentration occur at the anode–electrolyte interface, with a smaller drop at the cathode–electrolyte interface and a shallow gradient within the bulk electrolyte. Correlating these results with electrochemical impedance spectroscopy following battery cycling at low and high rates confirms a long-standing conjecture linking large potential drops with a rate-limiting interfacial process.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Machine learning to predict biomass sorghum yields under future climate scenarios

Crop yield modeling is critical in the design of national strategies for agricultural production, particularly in the context of a changing climate. Forecasting yields of bioenergy crops at fine spatial resolutions can help to evaluate near-term and long-term pathways for scaling up bio-based fuel and chemical production, and for understanding the impacts of abiotic stressors such as severe droughts and temperature extremes on potential biomass supply. In this work we used a large dataset of 28,364 Sorghum bicolor yield samples (uniquely identified by county and year of observation), environmental variables, and multiple approaches to analyze historical trends in sorghum productivity across the USA. We selected the most accurate machine learning approach (a variation of the random forest approach) to predict future trends in sorghum yields under four greenhouse gas (GHG) emission scenarios and two irrigation regimes. We identified irrigation practices, vapor pressure deficit, and time (a proxy for technological improvement) as the most important predictors of sorghum productivity. Our results showed a decreasing trend of sorghum yields over future years (on average 2.7% from 2018 to 2099), with greater decline under a high GHG emissions scenario (3.8%) and in the absence of irrigation (4.6%). Geographically, we observed the steepest predicted declines in the Great Lakes (8.2%), Upper Midwest (7.5%), and Heartland (6.7%) regions. Our study demonstrates the use of machine learning to identify environmental controllers of sorghum biomass yield and predict yields with reasonable accuracy. These results can inform the development of more realistic biomass supply projections for bioenergy if sorghum production is scaled up. (c) 2020 Society of Chemical Industry and John Wiley & Sons, Ltd

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Observations of Greenhouse Gas Changes across Summer Frontal Boundaries in the Eastern United States

Our knowledge about synoptic-scale variations of atmospheric CO2 produced by interactions between mid-latitude cyclones and regional-scale surface fluxes remains limited by scarcity of observations. We synthesize observations of greenhouse gases (GHG) with respect to frontal passages to understand how GHG distributions change vertically and horizontally during a synoptic event. We use the airborne in-situ measurements of GHGs collected during the first Atmospheric Carbon and Transport–America (ACT) summer field campaign across three regions of the eastern US. We find that frontal structures are consistently and clearly associated with spatially coherent, significant changes in GHG composition. Warm sector CO2 mole fractions (henceforth, [CO2]) are significantly higher than those in the cold sector. The CO2 frontal differences (5-30 ppm) are largest in the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) with smaller differences (3-5 ppm) in the free troposphere (FT). Bands of elevated CO2 (5-20 ppm enhancement compared to warm-sector mean [CO2]) repeatedly occurred in the ABL adjacent to the frontal boundary. Analyses of 84 vertical profiles reveal higher [CO2] in the FT than in the ABL in the cold-sector, the opposite pattern in the warm-sector. Average ABL-to-FT [CO2] differences are 12 ppm and -6 ppm in the warm and cold sectors, respectively. The same analysis for CH4 shows higher [CH4] in the ABL than in the FT in both warm and cold sectors with at least 30-ppb higher ABL-to-FT [CH4] differences in the warm-sector than in the cold-sector. The observational analyses presented here define new metrics for model evaluation of GHG transport.

Pal, Sandip↗

AnisONet: A deep neural operator-based anisotropic permeability upscaler from pore to Darcy scale

Directional permeability variations, which govern directional fluid flow in porous media with anisotropy, are important to accurately predict flow behavior, reactive transport, and fluid–solid interactions for various processes such as enhanced geothermal systems, energy storage devices, and biological systems. However, the intricate architecture of porous media makes it difficult to predict directional permeabilities. In this work, we present a novel machine learning (ML) framework, AnisONet, built upon an integration of a convolutional neural network, Swin transformer, and the deep operator network architecture, designed to predict anisotropic permeability and upscale predictions to larger spatial domains. First, AnisONet was evaluated with three classes of two-dimensional (2D) porous media, including synthetic circular and elliptical grains and natural sandstone grains from micro-computed tomography images. A lattice Boltzmann model (LBM) was used to calculate directional permeabilities at every 10° angle, producing 19 data points per image of porous media. AnisONet is then trained to predict permeability as a function of rotation angle. AnisONet showed strong predictive capability of directional permeability. Second, we tested our model for five upscaling cases with a large image size in the finite-element method (FEM) for 2D Darcy flow with various permeability tensor construction methods. Overall, upscaled permeability tensors in FEM simulations produce a reasonably good match with LBM results, highlighting the importance of selecting appropriate tensor formation strategies for accurate permeability upscaling. AnisONet, as a directional permeability estimator, could be further developed for more complex geometries, with the potential to develop a foundational ML model for various applications in porous media.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Bidisperse supension balance model

The suspension balance model (SBM) for viscous Stokes flow has been well studied for the case of identical, monodisperse spherical particles in a channel, however, more work remains to be done to explore the bidisperse and polydisperse SBM. Here, we present a simple extension of the SBM that allows for modeling of suspensions of particles of bidisperse size. The comparison with avaiable experiments and direct simulations is found to be good. Additionally, we present a range of simulations to justify the assumptions made in the polydisperse suspension balance model for non-Brownian, neutrally buoyant particles that vary in size with a bidisperse distribution. The aim is to study the effects of moderate size variation on the rheology of the suspension and the distribution of the particles across the flow, especially in the near-wall regions. It is shown that, at the size ratios considered, bidispersity in the particle size does not significantly affect rheological parameters including the particle volume fraction and relative viscosity in the bulk of a Couette flow. The particle phase stresses are distributed between small and large particles in proportion to the relative volume fractions of each species. In bidisperse suspensions, the large particles in the wall layer develop a spatial structure and form chains in the streamwise direction.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Cis-regulatory evolution shapes facial diversity in birds and mammals

Birds and mammals exhibit extraordinary facial diversity, reflecting adaptations to distinct ecological niches and feeding strategies. While core face-building developmental programs are conserved and orchestrated by interactions between ectodermal organizers and the underlying mesenchyme, mechanisms driving facial shape variation remain poorly understood. Here, we integrate single-cell transcriptomic and chromatin accessibility profiling of mouse and chicken developing face to construct a comparative regulatory map. Although both ectodermal and mesenchymal populations display distinct regulatory features in each species, the mesenchyme exhibits markedly greater divergence, pointing to its central role in shaping facial morphology. We further reveal unexpected molecular complexity in the main face-shaping organizer, including a mouse-specific Shh/Wnt5a expression domain. At key morphogen loci (Bmp4, Fgf8, and Wnt5a), conserved and lineage-specific enhancers exhibit spatially restricted activity patterns that mirror divergent signaling domains. These findings demonstrate how cis-regulatory evolution modulates conserved developmental programs to generate morphological novelty, providing a valuable resource for studying vertebrate facial evolution.

Kyomen, Stella [Max Planck Institute for Evolution↗

6 nm super-resolution optical transmission and scattering spectroscopic imaging of carbon nanotubes using a nanometer-scale white light source

Abstract Optical transmission and scattering spectroscopic microscopy at the visible and adjacent wavelengths denote one of the most informative and inclusive characterization methods in material research. Unfortunately, restricted by the diffraction limit of light, it cannot resolve the nanoscale variation in light absorption and scattering, diagnostics of the local inhomogeneity in material structure and properties. Moreover, a large quantity of nanomaterials has anisotropic optical properties that are appealing yet hard to characterize through conventional optical methods. There is an increasing demand to extend the optical hyperspectral imaging into the nanometer length scale. In this work, we report a super-resolution hyperspectral imaging technique that uses a nanoscale white light source generated by superfocusing the light from a tungsten-halogen lamp to simultaneously obtain optical transmission and scattering spectroscopic images. A 6-nm spatial resolution in the visible to near-infrared wavelength regime (415–980 nm) is demonstrated on an individual single-walled carbon nanotube (SW-CNT). Both the longitudinal and transverse optical electronic transitions are measured, and the SW-CNT chiral indices can be identified. The band structure modulation in a SW-CNT through strain engineering is mapped.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Hot electron preheat effects in two-photon polymerization plastic lattice laser-driven shock-tube experiments on the OMEGA laser

We present simulations of Omega shock tube experiments designed to investigate hot electron preheat effects in 3D-printed, two-photon polymerization (2PP) plastic lattices. Preheat is inferred in the experiments from the expansion of a plastic witness disk embedded in the lattice. Using the Eulerian radiation-hydrodynamics code xRAGE, we model shock propagation and preheat from both radiative and hot electron energy sources to evaluate their relative impact. To simulate the transport of laser-generated hot electrons, the nonlocal electron heat transport model proposed by Schurtz, Nicolaï, and Busquet (SNB) is extended with a hot electron source term and an energy cascade algorithm. We explore how variations in ablator, lattice geometry, and laser drive affect the shock velocity and witness disk expansion. Simulations show that the inclusion of a 5 μm gold layer reduces shock pressure by 60% and shock speeds by 30%–40% but does not significantly reduce the hot electron preheat, and that different lattice geometries lead to enhanced shock velocities—up to 40% faster than in homogeneous foams. However, radiative and conductive preheat from classical mechanisms alone fail to match experiment. By including a hot electron source term, we reproduce experimental observables such as disk expansion rates and spatial radiographic features. We find that a hot electron population corresponding to 4%–8% of the incident laser energy with T hot = 50 keV produces expansion which agrees with the experimental data, suggesting hot electron preheat is the most plausible explanation.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Nanoscale chemical imaging with structured X-ray illumination

High-resolution imaging with compositional and chemical sensitivity is crucial for a wide range of scientific and engineering disciplines. Although synchrotron X-ray imaging through spectromicroscopy has been tremendously successful and broadly applied, it encounters challenges in achieving enhanced detection sensitivity, satisfactory spatial resolution, and high experimental throughput simultaneously. In this work, based on structured illumination, we develop a single-pixel X-ray imaging approach coupled with a generative image reconstruction model for mapping the compositional heterogeneity with nanoscale resolvability. This method integrates a full-field transmission X-ray microscope with an X-ray fluorescence detector and eliminates the need for nanoscale X-ray focusing and raster scanning. We experimentally demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach by imaging a battery sample composed of mixed cathode materials and successfully retrieving the compositional variations of the imaged cathode particles. Bridging the gap between structural and chemical characterizations using X-rays, this technique opens up vast opportunities in the fields of biology, environmental, and materials science, especially for radiation-sensitive samples.

Li, Jizhou↗

Deciphering exopolysaccharide functional specificity via visualization of chemical motifs that mediate microbial-microenvironment interactions in soil micromodels

Exopolysaccharides (EPS) are carbohydrate-based matrices of microbial biofilms that microbes use to adapt to their surroundings. Microbial EPS also promotes soil aggregate stability and contributes toward soil health by reducing erosion caused by continued land use. The chemical structure of EPS, even within single species biofilms, can vary greatly: from repeating units and branching patterns to the non-carbohydrate decorations. Despite the wealth of knowledge on EPS chemistry, many unresolved questions regarding the biological implications of EPS chemical variations remain. Here, we develop a mass spectrometry imaging toolbox that reveal how EPS chemistry enables microbial adaptation to different microenvironments such as specific moisture, soil-biofilm interfaces, and food source proximity. First, we developed emulated soil micromodels (ESMs), microfluidic channels that simulate the physical properties of soil, for biofilm formation in different microenvironments. Then, in order to map chemical features of EPS in these micromodels, we develop strategies for in-situ releasing of oligosaccharides using specific enzymes. Lastly, we optimized matrix-assisted laser desorption ionization (MALDI) mass spectrometry imaging (MSI) to spatially analyze the released compounds in ESMs.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Angular Momentum Variation of the Milky Way Thick Disk: The Dependence of Chemical Abundance and Evidence of the Inside-out Formation Scenario

We investigate the angular momentum of mono-abundance populations (MAPs) of the Milky Way thick disk by using a sample of 26,076 giant stars taken from APOGEE Data Release (DR) 17 and Gaia early DR3. The vertical and perpendicular angular momentum components, L Z and L P , of the MAPs in narrow bins have significant variations across the [α/M]–[M/H] plane. L Z and L P systematically change with [M/H] and [α/M] and can be alternatively quantified by the chemical gradients: d[M/H]/dL Z = 1.2 × 10 -3 dex kpc -1 km -1 s, d[M/H]/dL P = -5.0 × 10 -3 dec kpc -1 km -1 s, and d[α/M]/dL Z = -3.0 × 10 -4 dex kpc -1 km -1 s, d[α/M]/dL P = 1.2 × 10 -3 dec kpc -1 km -1 s. These correlations can also be explained as the chemical dependence of the spatial distribution shape of the MAPs. We also exhibit the corresponding age dependence of the angular momentum components. Under the assumption that the guiding radius (R g ) is proportional to L Z , this provides direct observational evidence of the inside-out structure formation scenario of the thick disk, with dR g /dAge = -1.9 kpc Gyr -1 . The progressive changes in the disk thickness can be explained by the upside-down formation or/and the consequent kinematical heating.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Isotopic Heterogeneity Imaged in a Uranium Fuel Pellet with Extreme Ultraviolet Laser Ablation and Ionization Time-of-Flight Mass Spectrometry

We use extreme ultraviolet laser ablation and ionization time-of-flight mass spectrometry (EUV TOF) to map uranium isotopic heterogeneity at the nanoscale (=100 nm). Using low-enriched uranium fuel pellets that were made by blending two isotopically distinct feedstocks, we show that EUV TOF can map the 235U/238U content in 100 nm-sized pixels. The two-dimensional (2D) isotope maps reveal U ratio variations in sub-microscale to =1 µm areas of the pellet that had not been fully exposed by microscale or bulk mass spectrometry analyses. Compared to the ratio distribution measured in a homogeneous U reference material, the ratios in the enriched pellet follow a ~3× wider distribution. These results indicate U heterogeneity in the fuel pellet from incomplete blending of the different source materials. EUV TOF results agree well with those obtained on the same enriched pellets by nanoscale secondary ionization mass spectrometry (NanoSIMS), which reveals a comparable U isotope ratio distribution at the same spatial scale. EUV TOF’s ability to assess and map isotopic heterogeneity at the nanoscale makes it a promising tool in fields such as nuclear forensics, geochemistry, and biology that could benefit from uncovering sub-microscale sources of chemical modifications.

Rush, Lydia A.↗

In Situ Velocity‐Strain Sensitivity Near the San Jacinto Fault Zone Analyzed Through Train Tremors

Abstract We utilize train tremors as P‐wave seismic sources to investigate velocity‐strain sensitivity near the San Jacinto Fault Zone. A dense nodal array deployed at the Piñon Flat Observatory is used to detect and identify repeating train energy emitted from a railway in the Coachella valley. We construct P‐wave correlation functions across the fault zone and estimate the spatially averaged dt / t versus strain sensitivity to be 6.25 × 10 4 . Through numerical simulations, we explore how the sensitivity decays exponentially with depth. The optimal solution reveals a subsurface sensitivity of 1.2 × 10 5 and a depth decay rate of 0.05 km −1 . This sensitivity aligns with previous findings but is toward the higher end, likely due to the fractured fault‐zone rocks. The depth decay rate, previously unreported, is notably smaller than assumed in empirical models. This raises the necessity of further investigations of this parameter, which is crucial to study stress and velocity variations at seismogenic depth.

Geology↗