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On the Path to SunShot - Executive Summary
The halfway mark of the SunShot Initiative’s 2020 target date is a good time to take stock: How much progress has been made? What have we learned? What barriers and opportunities must still be addressed to ensure that solar technologies achieve cost parity in 2020 and realize their full potential in the decades beyond? To answer these questions, the Solar Energy Technology Office launched the On the Path to SunShot series in early 2015 in collaboration with the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) and with contributions from Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), Sandia National Laboratories (SNL), and Argonne National Laboratory (ANL). The reports focus on the areas of technology development, systems integration, and market enablers.
RFA for Solar/Geothermal Hybrid Thermal Energy Storage Modeling: Cooperative Research and Development Final Report, CRADA Number CRD-16-646
Hyperlight Energy is an innovative concentrated solar power (CSP) company whose business charter is to commercialize a disruptively low-cost, CSP collector system that is ultimately for providing heat for solar thermal/geothermal hybrid power plants, process heat applications (e.g., enhanced oil recovery), and solar thermal power generation. Hyperlight's CSP collector system utilizes a linear Fresnel reflector (LFR) configuration. This LFR configuration consists of mirrors mounted in low-cost, precision plastic extrusions, which are integrated into raft assemblies and floated on low-cost, sealed waterbeds. Hyperlight's CSP collector technology has been developed under private equity investment, government grant and commercial funding. Hyperlight has been awarded a 1.5-million DOE COLLECTS contract with an additional 1.6 million in matched funds from private investment and the California Energy Commission. This DOE project will support the final steps of product development for bulk commercialization and deployment of the Hyperlight CSP collector system. The work will culminate in a final operational deployment at a commercially relevant site. Several such site options are currently under evaluation, including two geothermal sites. Hyperlight identified a very low-cost way to put renewable energy electrons on the grid at peak times, upgrading underutilized geothermal plants with Hyperlight's low cost CSP and thermal energy storage (TES). While Hyperlight's CSP collector work is maturing quickly for commercial pilot launch, an optimal TES system for solar thermal/geothermal hybridization needs to be evaluated and ultimately developed so Hyperlight can develop commercial retrofit projects at a scale of hundreds of megawatts of renewable energy power output at sites across the United States, followed by greenfield projects in a multi-GW sized market.
Simulation of thermal hydraulic performance of multiple parallel micropin arrays for concentrating solar thermal applications with supercritical carbon dioxide
Concentrated solar power (CSP) plants have the potential to provide 24 h, renewable electricity. Current CSP systems have high capital and operational costs which makes the levelized cost of electricity uncompetitive with conventional techniques. Recent experimental research has shown the potential of small unit cells (up to 2 × 2 cm) containing micropin arrays (D H < 1 mm) to operate efficiently at high incident flux (>140 W cm -2 ) using supercritical carbon dioxide as the working fluid. Applying this technology to CSP systems would result in a smaller central receiver, which would reduce thermal losses, increase receiver efficiency and reduce the capital cost of the receiver component. This study investigates and addresses the practical thermal and hydraulic issues in numbering up these small unit cells into numerous parallel cells within an integrated module design. A thermal hydraulic network model is developed to quantify the distribution and the overall receiver efficiency of an integrated module. This model is used to specify maximum allowable unit cell size and header dimensions to maintain acceptable thermal performance and pressure loss. Once a module design was finalized, parametric studies were performed to study the effects of varying incident flux on flow distribution and thermal performance of the module. Finally, the results show that an integrated module design can be achieved with less than 5% flow maldistribution and a pressure drop acceptable to the remainder of the system.
3D Chip Scale Package (CSP)
Package/die stacking technology enhances most aspects of electronic systems such as size, weight, speed, yield, and power consumption.
Evaluation of external tubular configurations for a high-temperature chloride molten salt solar receiver operating above 700°C
Next-generation concentrating solar power (CSP) tower technologies target operating temperatures exceeding 700°C to increase the thermal-to-electric conversion efficiency. Molten chloride salts are one possible alternative to current commercial molten nitrate salts to enable the higher operating temperature. This paper analyzes the predicted optical, thermal-fluids, and structural performance of traditional external tubular solar receiver configurations applied with a chloride salt heat transfer fluid (HTF) and inlet/outlet temperatures of 500°C/735°C, and considers sensitivity analysis and optimization relative to receiver sizing, tube sizing, number of panels, flow circuit configurations, and solar flux concentration under constraints on internal velocity, pressure drop, wall thickness, and required creep-fatigue lifetime. The high temperature conditions increase the significance of inelastic deformation mechanisms such as creep relative to that expected in commercial 565°C nitrate salt designs. High-temperature creep and creep-fatigue damage in the metal alloy tubes are the key factors that limit allowable solar flux concentration and achievable receiver thermal efficiency at the near-800°C wall temperature conditions. For a traditional external cylindrical receiver configuration, the design parameters and conditions capable of satisfying all constraints produced, at best, a design point receiver efficiency of 78.2%, or 80.5% when excluding receiver intercept efficiency. Variation in the optimal receiver performance relative to uncertainty in the binding maximum velocity, minimum wall thickness, and minimum lifetime constraints is presented.
CSP Systems Analysis - Final Project Report
The CSP Systems Analysis project was a three-year effort supporting the Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) Subprogram within the Solar Energy Technologies Office of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). The goal of the CSP Systems Analysis project was to provide timely and accurate CSP cost data to the DOE and predict performance and cost for emerging technologies that may impact research directions and industry investment. The project consisted of six, mostly independent tasks. Major accomplishments over the three-year period of performance were as follows. The NREL team maintained current cost estimates for CSP technologies by annual updates to the cost input parameters within NREL's System Advisor Model (SAM). SAM is a performance and cost simulation software that includes technology models for the primary CSP technologies. During the period from 2016 to 2018, the estimated cost within SAM's default CSP molten-salt power tower technology dropped from 13.0 to 11.1 cent/kWh (real dollars without incentives). Power cycle models for the supercritical carbon dioxide (sCO2) Brayton Cycle were developed and made an option within SAM's molten-salt power tower model. These models were subsequently used to evaluate the cost reduction potential of alternative salts. The partial-cooling model was found to provide the greatest cost-reduction potential due to its combination of efficiency and temperature differential across the turbine and thermal energy storage (TES) system. These studies were documented in two journal articles. NREL's optical modeling software SolTrace and SolarPILOT were made more versatile and released as open-source software to the CSP community. These tools help researchers and developers to model and optimize the optical performance of CSP collector systems. The new features were highlighted in a recorded webinar that can be accessed from the NREL SAM website. New models for solar-thermal systems, that is, applications for solar industrial process heat, were developed, validated, and installed within SAM. The analysis includes a 2018 review of linear collectors in the market that are tailored for solar process heat applications. In 2018 the NREL team also developed an annual simulation for a direct steam generation system integrated with a latent-heat TES system. This analysis was submitted for journal publication. The NREL team continued to support the exchange of information and development of CSP guidelines within the international CSP community of SolarPACES. Much of the work under this project was presented at SolarPACES, including the development of a modeling checklist to help CSP stakeholders standardize the models used for estimating CSP performance and cost. The CSP Systems Analysis project also supported DOE requests for tracking and reporting programmatic targets for the CSP Subprogram.
Evaluating Microchannel Heat Exchanger Lifetime for Concentrating Solar Power Applications FY24Q4 (RPPR-1)
Microchannel heat exchanger technology is being pursued for next generation CSP concepts for primary power cycle heat addition and power cycle heat recuperation due to the high heat transfer coefficients and pressure containment advantages of small sCO 2 channels. The economics of future CSP plants as dictated by the SETO 2020 or 2030 targets depend on a heat exchanger with a 30-year lifetime (resisting creep, fatigue, corrosion, erosion) and operational characteristics such as fast ramping and the ability to withstand thermal shock. However, the lifetime and operational limits of microchannel heat exchangers operating at high-temperatures, particularly those constructed from high-nickel alloys, are not well known. This uncertainty has resulted in heat exchanger vendors not being able to accurately forecast heat exchanger lifetime as required by customers, specify operational limits as required by process engineers to prevent premature heat exchanger failure, or overdesign heat exchanger which leads to higher cost than necessary. Our goal is to evaluate heat exchanger lifetime and operational limits for the manufacturing and prototype design for next-generation CSP heat exchanger technology through a combination of collecting experimental data and modeling studies.
Scaling Up CSP: How Long Will it Take?
Concentrating solar power (CSP) is one of the few scalable technologies capable of delivering dispatchable renewable power. Therefore, many expect it to shoulder a significant share of system balancing in a renewable electricity future powered by cheap, intermittent PV and wind power: the IEA, for example, projects 73 GW CSP by 2030 and several hundred GW by 2050 in its Net-Zero by 2050 pathway. In this paper, we assess how fast CSP can be expected to scale up and how long time it would take to get new, high-efficiency CSP technologies to market, based on observed trends and historical patterns. We find that to meaningfully contribute to net-zero pathways the CSP sector needs to reach and exceed the maximum historical annual growth rate of 30%/year last seen between 2010-2014 and maintain it for at least two decades. Any CSP deployment in the 2020s will rely mostly on mature existing technologies, namely parabolic trough and molten-salt towers, but likely with adapted business models such as hybrid CSP-PV stations, combining the advantages of higher-cost dispatchable and low-cost intermittent power. New third-generation CSP designs are unlikely to play a role in markets during the 2020s, as they are still at or before the pilot stage and, judging from past pilot-to-market cycles for CSP, they will likely not be ready for market deployment before 2030. CSP can contribute to low-cost zero-emission energy systems by 2050, but to make that happen, at the scale foreseen in current energy models, ambitious technology-specific policy support is necessary, as soon as possible and in several countries.
Design and Techno-Economic Analysis of a 150-MW Hybrid CSP-PV Plant
The interest in concentrated solar power (CSP) has increased significantly over the years since it is dispatchable and requires thermal storage instead of electric storage. When compared to photovoltaics (PV), CSP has a higher Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE). In this paper, we present the design of a hybrid power plant using CSP and PV technologies. The hybrid system offers a lower LCOE than CSP but will still have dispatchability. The 150-MW hybrid system consists of 100-MW CSP and 50-MW PV capacity. Furthermore, the CSP system (central receiver system) has a molten salt-based thermal storage of 12 hours. The geographical focus of this study is Pakistan, which is a developing country struggling with energy crises, but which has high solar potential. The hybrid system is modeled using the System Advisor Model (SAM). The results show that by hybridizing CSP with PV, the LCOE can be reduced by 18.5%.
Development of an Open-source Alloy Selection and Lifetime Assessment Tool for Structural Components in CSP
Lack of sufficient data on high temperature mechanical and corrosion behavior of structural materials is a huge barrier in the technological maturity of current and future Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) technologies. Rapid development and selection of materials cannot be achieved by expensive and time-consuming acquisition of experimental data. The goal of the proposed work is development of an open-source alloy selection and lifetime prediction tool that will integrate validated physics-based models to describe influence of temperature, alloy composition, environment and component geometry (thickness) on mechanical and corrosion behavior of Ni and Fe-based alloys employed in molten salts/sCO 2 heat exchangers. This one-year project leveraged the extensive dataset on the creep\corrosion behavior of candidate materials generated at ORNL through past projects and input from current collaborations with industrial partners. Based on previous experience and the feedback provided by industry (Brayton Energy and Echogen), three candidate materials of interest, Ni-based alloys 740H, 282 and 625 and application-specific operating conditions (max. temperature of 730 °C and stress of 150 MPa) were identified for the heat exchanger. An extensive corrosion and creep dataset was assimilated for the relevant operating conditions and was supported by detailed characterization of about 100 metallographic cross-sections. The corrosion dataset consisted of scanning electron microscopy images (secondary electron and backscatter electron), measured concentration profiles of alloying elements using energy dispersive X-ray spectroscopy (EDS), widths of denuded zones (dissolution of strengthening phases) and depths of attack in molten KCl-MgCl 2 mixtures using image analyses. The creep dataset comprised of creep rupture data and creep strain curves (for 740H and 282). Coupled thermodynamic-kinetic microstructure-based models were employed to predict the stress-corrosion induced compositional and phase evolutions in the alloy during operation under the identified operating conditions. Reduced order models were developed from advanced physics-based models and were integrated in a user-friendly alloy selection tool. The corrosion model was able to predict the time to a critical Cr concentration at the oxide/alloy interface (chemical lifetime) within ±10% (1 standard deviation) of typical statistical variation in corrosion tests and EDS measurement errors (±0.5 wt%). The initial scope of the project was limited to predict creep rupture times (Larson-Miller parameter). Based on the input provided by industry, the mechanical lifetime of the heat exchanger is governed by accumulated creep strains (2%) rather than creep rupture. To be able to predict the times to specific creep strains, a more extensive creep model development was undertaken largely beyond the initial scope of the project. The continuum damage mechanics creep model was able to predict times to 2% creep strain, t 2% with an accuracy of ±500h. Ultimately, a screening protocol for SiC was generated to demonstrate the pathway for integration of one of the currently immature materials from a commercial adoption standpoint in the current material evaluation tool. The modeling tool developed here is accessible to the science community and stakeholders and lays the foundation for methods that will enable a rapid evaluation of optimum materials for CSP applications and reliable prediction of material degradation thereby considerably reducing operational costs, improving reliability and increasing overhaul intervals. However, the complete potential of such a tool to include a wider range of materials and test conditions can only be realized with a more concentrated combined experimental-characterization-computation effort.
Deployment Potential of Concentrating Solar Power Technologies in California
As states within the United States respond to future grid development goals, there is a growing demand for reliable and resilient nighttime generation that can be addressed by low-cost, long-duration energy storage solutions. This report studies the potential of including concentrating solar power (CSP) in the technology mix to support California’s goals as defined in Senate Bill 100. A joint agency report study that determined potential pathways to achieve the renewable portfolio standard set by the bill did not include CSP, and our work provides information that could be used as a follow-up. This study uses a capacity expansion model configured to have nodal spatial fidelity in California and balancing-area fidelity in the Western Interconnection outside of California. The authors discovered that by applying current technology cost projections CSP fulfills nearly 15% of the annual load while representing just 6% of total installed capacity in 2045, replacing approximately 30 GWe of wind, solar PV, and standalone batteries compared to a scenario without CSP included. The deployment of CSP in the results is sensitive to the technology’s cost, which highlights the importance of meeting cost targets in 2030 and beyond to enable the technology’s potential contribution to California’s carbon reduction goals.
Solar Technology Research at Sandia: PV and CSP (presentation).
Abstract not provided.
Metal-to-Ceramic Joining Methods to Support Development of Advanced Ceramic-Based CSP Components
The National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Missouri University of Science and Technology (MS&T), Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), and Colorado School of Mines (CSM) collaborated to design, develop, and test a material concept at bench scale which will be used to achieve a ceramic-to-metal (C2M) joint between a selected metal HTF loop material and a selected ceramic material used by the Gen3 CSP technology pathway. The final joint assembly will need to possess sufficient mechanical properties to withstand static high-temperature (650 degrees-700 degrees C) and high-pressure (20 MPa) and thermal cycling (between 650 degrees C and 100 degrees C) conditions. The material concept consists of three key components: (1) a ceramic matrix composite (CMC) that serves as a compliant transition material aiming to mitigate the stresses due to the mismatch of coefficient of thermal expansion (CTE) from a direct ceramic-to-metal joint, (2) a metal-end joint utilizing a multi-principal element alloy (MPEA) with changing percentage of particle loading to bond the candidate metal to the CMC, and (3) a ceramic-end joint utilizing a glass ceramic to bond the candidate ceramic to the CMC.
Sandia Capabilities for the Measurement, Characterization, and Analysis of Heliostats for CSP
The Concentrating Solar Technologies Organization at Sandia National Laboratories has a long history of performing important research, development, and testing that has enabled the Concentrating Solar Power Industry to deploy full-scale power plants. Sandia continues to pursue innovative CSP concepts with the goal of reducing the cost of CSP while improving efficiency and performance. In this pursuit, Sandia has developed many tools for the analysis of CSP performance. The following capabilities document highlights Sandia's extensive experience in the design, construction, and utilization of large-scale testing facilities for CSP and the tools that Sandia has created for the full characterization of heliostats. Sandia has extensive experience in using these tools to evaluate the performance of novel heliostat designs.
Dry cooler contribution to LCOE in a sCO 2 power cycle for CSP
In order to maintain viability as a future power-generating technology, concentrating solar power (CSP) must reduce its levelized cost of electricity (LCOE). One component of solving this problem is reducing the cost of the power block while simultaneously increasing the efficiency of the thermodynamic cycle. One disruptive technology that has the promise to accomplish this is supercritical CO 2 (sCO 2 ) based power cycles. Here, these cycles are conceptually similar to steam cycles; however, they have substantially smaller turbomachinery at equivalent power while also delivering more efficiency at turbine inlet temperatures of 500-700 °C.
Role of Concentrating Solar Power in Integrating Solar and Wind Energy: Preprint
As wind and solar photovoltaics (PV) increase in penetration it is increasingly important to examine enabling technologies that can help integrate these resources at large scale. Concentrating solar power (CSP) when deployed with thermal energy storage (TES) can provide multiple services that can help integrate variable generation (VG) resources such as wind and PV. CSP with TES can provide firm, highly flexible capacity, reducing minimum generation constraints which limit penetration and results in curtailment. By acting as an enabling technology, CSP can complement PV and wind, substantially increasing their penetration in locations with adequate solar resource.
Facility to Alleviate Salt Technology Risks (FASTR): Preliminary Design Report with Failure Modes and Effects Analysis
The Facility to Alleviate Salt Technology Risks (FASTR) is a versatile, high-temperature (>600°C) molten chloride salt test facility designed to enable a variety of testing to advance the Generation 3 (Gen 3) Concentrated Solar Power (CSP) molten salt technology. FASTR includes a salt preparation system and a forced flow test loop with a suite of instrumentation. The FASTR loop is capable of 725°C operation, flow rates of 3–7 kg/s, includes heated and cooled sections, and swappable components to enable testing of future vendor-supplied hardware. The salt preparation system supplies large batches (e.g., 200 kg) of clean salt for use in the FASTR forced convection loop. This report summarizes the planned design and capabilities of FASTR. In addition, a failure modes and effects analysis of the system is reported.