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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,153 records · Page 64

Quantification, Trade-off Analysis, and Optimal Checkpoint Placement for Reliability and Availability

Checkpointing is the most widely used technique in high-performance computing (HPC) to ensure the application progress in the presence of failures. In this paper, we present mathematical models of the checkpointing systems to quantify their reliability and availability. We perform trade-off analysis with respect to resource costs and reliability. Then, we explore the optimal checkpoint placement for checkpointing systems to maximize system availability. Finally, in a rigorous manner, we comparatively analyze the behavior of redundant systems where replication and repair mechanisms are employed. We postulate that the proposed models can aid system designers, who can instantiate our models to assess and quantify the availability and reliability of systems of interest. Our study demonstrates that the configuration with most reliable and available systems depends on the parameter settings.

Subasi, Omer↗

Planning for Resilient Power Distribution Systems using Risk-Based Quantification and Q-Learning

Grid hardening is one of the most effective approaches that reduce the component failures and restoration efforts thus increasing the resilience of the power systems against extreme events. However, hardening and upgrading the entire system is prohibitively expensive and hence the optimal design of a distribution network is challenging. This paper adopted a reinforcement learning algorithm to identify the optimal hardening strategy to enhance the resilience of power distribution systems. Adopting the Q-learning algorithm as the reinforcement learning technique, we found the sequential optimal action for hardening measures to enhance the grid's resilience for the given budget. To identify the optimal strategy through Q-learning, Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) is used as a rewarding metric. A study on the IEEE 123-bus test feeder validate the effectiveness of the proposed model and show how to effectively allocate budget limited resources to plan a resilient power distribution network.

Paul, Shuva↗

Towards Improved Decision Making for the Smarter Grid: Geomagnetic Disturbance Implicit Modeling Uncertainty Quantification

Geomagnetic disturbances can greatly disrupt the power grid operation. This is caused by low-frequency changes in the earth’s magnetic field, which upon interaction with the deep earth conductivity induces a changing electric field at the earth’s surface. This in turn induces quasi-direct currents which have the potential to cause protective devices to operate, widespread damage to high-voltage transformers, or voltage collapse due to induced reactive power losses. While these impacts have been known since the 1940s, only recently have standards for GMD response been implemented. Because these standards are heavily based on models, it is important to understand when it is appropriate to make certain modeling assumptions. In this work, implicit modeling uncertainty is quantified for the purpose of enhanced decision making for disturbance impact mitigation. Considering electromagnetic models, modeling assumptions of non-uniform grounding, imbalanced operation, transformer saturation, and geomagnetically induced currents, voltage estimation values are analyzed. Statistical characteristics of modeling uncertainty are obtained by analysis of synthetically generated data. Results statistically characterize geomagnetic disturbances modeling uncertainty, providing an important tool for impact mitigation.

grid analysis↗

Correction for Metastability in the Quantification of PID in Thin-Film Module Testing

A fundamental change in the analysis for the accelerated stress testing of thin-film modules is proposed, whereby power changes due to metastability and other effects that may occur due to the thermal history are removed from the power measurement that we obtain as a function of the applied stress factor. In this work, initial thermal treatment of the module is performed before application of the independent variable stress of system voltage so that any temperature-dependent processes (e.g., diffusion) that affect the module power are largely activated beforehand. Secondly, the power of reference modules normalized to an initial state-undergoing the same thermal and light exposure history but without the applied stress factor such as humidity or voltage bias-is subtracted from that of the stressed modules. For better understanding and appropriate application in standardized tests, the method is demonstrated and discussed for potential-induced degradation testing in view of the paralleloccurring but unrelated physical mechanisms that can lead to confounding power changes in the module.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Platform for Accurate Efficiency Quantification of > 35% Efficient Thermophotovoltaic Cells

Thermophotovoltaic (TPV) devices convert thermal radiation directly into electricity using semiconductor diodes and have a variety of uses from waste heat recovery to energy storage to primary power conversion. Recent results have demonstrated promising cells nearing and surpassing 30% conversion efficiency. As TPV cells continue to increase in efficiency, they become attractive for a wider range of applications. Their efficiencies must be quantified in a standardized fashion to compare results accurately across research groups. Here, we outline and quantify the most important characteristics of an accurate and precise TPV efficiency measurement. Using a custom-built measurement apparatus that takes these characteristics into account, we report 19 cells with greater than 30% conversion efficiency and 2 cells with greater than 35% conversion efficiency. This confirms that our reported cell efficiencies are not simply those of hero cells but rather of a distribution of cells that can be produced in a consistent, high-quality process.

III-V↗

Uncertainty Quantification of Bifacial Performance Modeling

Analysis on uncertainty in the annual energy of PV systems that can be attributed to parameters of particular importance to bifacial PV modules is presented. Monte Carlo simulations are used to evaluate the effect of uncertain module bifaciality factors, module transmission fractions, albedo values, and ground clearance. The analyses cover a wide spectrum of potential PV array archetypes through variation of installation parameters. The results of the Monte Carlo analysis reveal that the uncertainty is largely dependent on albedo uncertainty, but more simulations are needed to identify trends across system archetypes. The simulations are aimed at attributing an annual energy uncertainty factor for bifacial considerations that can be applied in post-processing of project probability of exceedance analysis.

energy modeling↗

Electric Water Heaters for Transactive Systems: Model Evaluations and Performance Quantification

Electric water heaters (EWHs) are opportune appliances for implementing demand-side control. EWH models serve as a fundamental step toward accurately estimating EWH flexibility potential and designing proper control strategies. Existing studies have adapted numerous modeling approaches in evaluating the potential of EWHs for a variety of grid applications. This paper presents an analytical study that evaluates the performance of state-of-art EWH models in terms of accuracy and computational complexity for adaptation in evaluation studies for the transactive system. The work proposes a transactive control strategy that optimally utilizes the thermal inertia of EWHs for providing grid services. Here, the performance of the control strategy and the impact of modeling accuracy is evaluated for device-level and feeder-level use cases using the IEEE 123 node test distribution system appropriately populated with EWHs. The simulation results illustrate the effectiveness of the control strategy in reducing the feeder demand during peak period by 13% and also quantities the impact of using simplified modeling approaches for determining the potential of EWHs for providing grid services.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Improved Gamma-Ray Point Source Quantification in Three Dimensions by Modeling Attenuation in the Scene

We discuss using a series of detector measurements taken at different locations to localize a source of radiation as a well-studied problem. The source of radiation is sometimes constrained to a single point-like source, in which case the location of the point source can be found using techniques such as maximum likelihood. Recent advancements have shown the ability to locate point sources in 2D and even 3D, but few have studied the effect of intervening material on the problem. In this work we examine gamma-ray data taken from a freely moving system and develop voxelized 3-D models of the scene using data from the onboard LiDAR. Ray casting is used to compute the distance each gamma ray travels through the scene material, which is then used to calculate attenuation assuming a single attenuation coefficient for solids within the geometry. Parameter estimation using maximum likelihood is performed to simultaneously find the attenuation coefficient, source activity, and source position that best match the data. Using a simulation, we validate the ability of this method to reconstruct the true location and activity of a source, along with the true attenuation coefficient of the structure it is inside, and then we apply the method to measured data with sources and find good agreement.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Maximum Likelihood Spectrum Decomposition for Isotope Identification and Quantification

A spectral decomposition method has been implemented to identify and quantify isotopic source terms in high-resolution gamma-ray spectroscopy in static geometry and shielding scenarios. Monte Carlo simulations were used to build the response matrix of a shielded high-purity germanium detector monitoring an effluent stream with a Marinelli configuration. The decomposition technique was applied to a series of calibration spectra taken with the detector using a multi-nuclide standard. These results are compared with decay-corrected values from the calibration certificate. For most nuclei in the standard ( 241 Am, 109 Cd, 137 Cs, and 60 Co), the deviations from the certificate values were generally no more than 6% with a few outliers as high as 10%. Furthermore, for 57 Co, the radionuclide with the lowest activity, the deviations from the standard reached as high as 25%, driven by the meager statistics in the calibration spectra. In addition, a complete treatment of error propagation for the technique is presented.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Ion Number Density Quantification Utilizing Pulsing Frequency in Negative Differential Resistance (NDR) Regime of Microplasma Operation

A mathematical model is presented for quantifying the ion number density over a range of discharge current in microplasma discharges. The ion number density is determined from measured discharge voltage, current, pulsing frequency, and trace impurity that is injected into the system deliberately. Experiments are conducted in pure helium with nitrogen being introduced as the trace species. The ion number density is estimated over a range of discharge current and is compared with multidimensional simulation results.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Framework for Analysis and Quantification of Wide-Area Control Resilience for Power Systems

Wide-area control helps damp the inter-area oscillations in modern power systems. However, compared to traditional local control, it is more vulnerable to cyber attacks due to its dependence on remote real-time-communicated measurements. In this paper, a formal mathematical framework for analyzing resilience of various wide-area controllers under adversarial scenarios is proposed. A novel resilience index based on the $\H_2$ norm of the post-attack closed-loop system is defined. Computation of such an index is, in general, challenging due to the combinatorial nature of the attack profiles and the bilinear nature of the problem. To address these difficulties, a gradient-based path-following-like solution is developed in this paper to solve a relaxed version of the original non-convex problem. Case studies on IEEE 39-bus system are performed to demonstrate the usage of the proposed framework.

Marinovici, Laurentiu D.↗

Quantifications of growth rate and particle size of magnesium silicate hydrate cement using small‐angle X‐ray scattering

The focus of recent research on cement binders has shifted to alternatives such as magnesium silicate hydrate (M-S-H) to mitigate the environmental impact of conventional concrete production. However, a detailed understanding of the morphology and growth rate of M-S-H, which informs its applicability as a cementing agent, is lacking. These properties are important as they influence cement hydration and consequently the development of macroscopic properties. Here, in this study, the particle size distribution and growth rate of M-S-H synthesized by mixing aqueous stock solutions were analyzed using synchrotron-based small-angle X-ray scattering. The reaction solutions contained dissolved magnesium and silicon with concentrations ranging from 2 to 500 mM, corresponding to saturation indices with respect to M-S-H endmembers, M 0.75 -S-H and M 1.50 -S-H, between 5.8 and 10.3. The precipitation rates of M-S-H align with affinity-based kinetic models and can be described by the following equations: For M 0.75 -S-H: 𝑟 M 0.75 −S−H =10 −9.54±0.70 ⁢(Ω$^{0.59±0.08}_{M_{0.75}⁢\textrm{SH}}$−1), and for M 1.50 -S-H: 𝑟 M 1.50 −S−H =10 −7.56±0.37 ⁢(Ω$^{0.34±0.04}_{M_{1.50}⁢\textrm{SH}}$−1), where 𝑟 is the rate in mol/L/s, and Ω represents the saturation ratio with respect to M-S-H. Moreover, we observed that changing the [Mg]/[Si] ratio affects particle size, a trend that cannot be fully explained by changes in the saturation index alone. These insights are critical for improving the predictability and control of cementation in concrete that utilizes M-S-H-based binders.

M-S-H↗