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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 127 records · Page 7
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DOE OSTI2024

Leveraging Extremal Dependence to Better Characterize the 2021 Pacific Northwest Heatwave

Abstract In late June, 2021, a devastating heatwave affected the US Pacific Northwest and western Canada, breaking numerous all-time temperature records by large margins and directly causing hundreds of fatalities. The observed 2021 daily maximum temperature across much of the U.S. Pacific Northwest exceeded upper bound estimates obtained from single-station temperature records even after accounting for anthropogenic climate change, meaning that the event could not have been predicted under standard univariate extreme value analysis assumptions. In this work, we utilize a flexible spatial extremes model that considers all stations across the Pacific Northwest domain and accounts for the fact that many stations simultaneously experience extreme temperatures. Our analysis incorporates the effects of anthropogenic forcing and natural climate variability in order to better characterize time-varying changes in the distribution of daily temperature extremes. We show that greenhouse gas forcing, drought conditions and large-scale atmospheric modes of variability all have significant impact on summertime maximum temperatures in this region. Our model represents a significant improvement over corresponding single-station analysis, and our posterior medians of the upper bounds are able to anticipate more than 96% of the observed 2021 high station temperatures after properly accounting for extremal dependence. Supplementary materials accompanying this paper appear online.

Zhang, Likun (ORCID:0000000154584556)↗
DOE OSTI2025

Impacts of sea ice leads on sea salt aerosols and atmospheric chemistry in the Arctic

Abstract. The processes contributing to Arctic cold-season (November–April) sea salt aerosols (SSAs) remain uncertain. Observations from coastal Alaska suggest that emissions from open leads in sea ice, which are not included in climate models, may play a dominant role. Their Arctic-wide significance has not yet been quantified. Here, we create an emission parameterization of SSAs from leads by combining satellite data of lead area (the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer–Earth Observation System (AMSR-E) product) and a chemical transport model (GEOS-Chem) to quantify pan-Arctic SSA emissions from leads during the cold season from 2002 to 2008 and to predict their impacts on atmospheric chemistry, evaluating the results of our simulated SSAs against in situ observations. The AMSR-E product detects large leads with certainty (> 3 km in size), and, hence, our study is limited to quantifying emissions from large leads. Lead emissions vary seasonally and interannually. Simulated total monthly SSA emissions increase by 1.1 %–1.8 % (≥60° N latitude) and 5.6 %–7.5 % (≥75° N) for the 2002–2008 cold seasons. SSA concentrations primarily increase at the location of leads, where standard model concentrations are low. GEOS-Chem overestimates SSA concentrations at Arctic sites compared to ground observations, even when lead emissions are not included, suggesting underestimation of SSA sinks and/or uncertainties in SSA emissions from blowing snow and the open ocean. Multi-year monthly mean surface bromine atom (Br) concentrations increase by 2.8 %–8.8 % due to SSAs from leads for the 2002–2008 cold seasons. Changes in ozone concentrations are negligible. While leads contribute < 10 % to Arctic-wide SSA emissions in the years 2002–2008, these emissions occur in regions of low background aerosol concentrations. Leads may increase in frequency under future climate change, which could increase SSA emissions from leads.

Emme, Erin J. (ORCID:0000000268406352)↗
DOE OSTI2025

CoCoMET v1.0: a unified open-source toolkit for atmospheric object tracking and analysis

Advances in performance and analysis capabilities have accelerated the development of object tracking algorithms for atmospheric research. This has resulted in a growing number of studies using Lagrangian tracking techniques to analyze the evolution of atmospheric phenomena and the underlying processes. However, the increasing complexity and variety of tracking algorithms present a steep learning curve for new users and make it difficult for existing users to compare algorithm performance. We introduce CoCoMET (Community Cloud Model Evaluation Toolkit), an open-source toolkit that addresses these issues. CoCoMET simplifies the process of running multiple tracking algorithms simultaneously and analyzing objects in both model and observational datasets by specifying parameters in a single configuration file. It standardizes input data from different sources into a consistent format and unifies the tracking output across algorithms. CoCoMET enhances the functionality of existing tracking methods by calculating additional properties such as cell growth and dissipation rates, perimeter, surface area, convexity, and irregularity. In addition, CoCoMET includes a novel method for identifying mergers and splits in 2D and 3D tracks and supports the integration of Eulerian/stationary datasets external to the tracking data for process studies. Its potential utility is demonstrated through examples of model intercomparison, model evaluation against observations, and comparisons between tracking algorithms. Designed for open-source environments, CoCoMET will continue to expand with future releases, incorporating more input data types and tracking algorithms.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Recommendations for Comprehensive and Independent Evaluation of Machine Learning‐Based Earth System Models

Abstract Machine learning (ML) is a revolutionary technology with demonstrable applications across multiple disciplines. Within the Earth science community, ML has been most visible for weather forecasting, producing forecasts that rival modern physics‐based models. Given the importance of deepening our understanding and improving predictions of the Earth system on all time scales, efforts are now underway to develop Earth‐system models (ESMs) capable of representing all components of the coupled Earth system (or their aggregated behavior) and their response to external changes over long timescales. Building trust in ESMs is a much more difficult problem than for weather forecast models, not least because the model must represent the alternate (e.g., future or paleoclimatic) coupled states of the system for which there are no direct observations. Given that the physical principles that enable predictions about the response of the Earth system are often not explicitly coded in these ML‐based models, demonstrating the credibility of ML‐based ESMs thus requires us to build evidence of their consistency with the physical system. To this end, this paper puts forward five recommendations to enhance comprehensive, standardized, and independent evaluation of ML‐based ESMs to strengthen their credibility and promote their wider use.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

SENSEI: A Search for Diurnal Modulation in Sub-GeV Dark Matter Scattering

Dark matter particles with sufficiently large interactions with ordinary matter can scatter in the Earth’s atmosphere and crust before reaching an underground detector. This Earth-shielding effect can induce a directional dependence in the dark matter flux, leading to a sidereal daily modulation in the signal rate. We perform a search for such a modulation using data from the SENSEI experiment, targeting MeV-scale dark matter. We achieve nearly an order-of-magnitude improvement in sensitivity over previous direct-detection bounds for dark-matter masses below ∼ 1 MeV , assuming the standard halo model with a Maxwell-Boltzmann velocity distribution, and restrict the amplitude of a general daily modulation signal to be below 6.8 e / g / d .

Bloch, Itay M. [UC, Berkeley; LBL, Berkeley]↗
DOE OSTI2025

ILAMBv2.7 benchmarking results comparing E3SMv2.1 land-atmosphere coupled (BGCv2LNDATM) and stand alone land (ELM) simulations with CMIP6 emission driven historical simulations

This dataset contains land model benchmarking results for the Energy Exascale Earth System Model version 2.1 (E3SMv2.1), including outputs from both coupled biogeochemistry simulations and stand-alone land model simulations. These results are compared against several emission-driven historical simulations from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). Benchmarking was conducted using the International Land Model Benchmarking (ILAMB) package, version 2.7 (ILAMBv2.7). CMIP6 model outputs were sourced from the Earth System Grid Federation (ESGF), while the E3SMv2.1 results were derived from raw model outputs. These outputs underwent processing steps such as time serialization, conservative regridding, and data standardization to ensure comparability. For spatial interpolation, the Earth System Modeling Framework (ESMF) tool, ESMF_RegridWeightGen, was employed to generate regridding weights, enabling the transformation of E3SM’s native cubed-sphere grid to a regular latitude-longitude grid.

Feng, Sha [PNNL]↗
DOE OSTI2026

Open-Air Manufacturing of Efficient Large-Area Perovskite Solar Cells to Meet Stability and Cost Targets

This SETO-funded project (DE-EE0009516) developed a fully open-air manufacturing pathway for perovskite solar cells and modules, eliminating vacuum-based processing steps while improving device stability. Open-air ultrasonic spray deposition, solution combustion synthesis, rapid thermal processing, and atmospheric plasma curing were developed and optimized for all functional device layers — perovskite absorber, hole transport layers (HTLs), electron transport layers (ETLs), transparent conducting oxides (TCOs), and rear electrodes — without reliance on vacuum. Sprayed organic ETLs preserved perovskite crystal structure and enabled power conversion efficiencies exceeding 20%, and open-air processed TCOs and rear electrodes achieved optoelectronic performance comparable to sputtered alternatives at substantially lower manufacturing cost. Device stability was assessed through accelerated aging protocols aligned with IEC and ISOS standards, combined with high-throughput optical diagnostics that identified key degradation mechanisms and antagonistic interactions among heat, humidity, and illumination stressors. A comprehensive technoeconomic analysis quantified the cost and throughput advantages of open-air manufacturing over conventional vacuum-based processes, identifying vacuum deposition as the dominant cost driver and demonstrating a clear pathway toward the $0.02/kWh target. The project produced five peer-reviewed journal publications, eleven conference presentations, two patents/applications, and five Ph.D. dissertations.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

AmeriFlux FLUXNET-1F US-PFr SE4 Tussock-2 CHEESEHEAD 2019

This is the AmeriFlux Management Project (AMP) created FLUXNET-1F version of the carbon flux data for the site US-PFr SE4 Tussock-2 CHEESEHEAD 2019. This is the FLUXNET version of the carbon flux data for the site US-PFr SE4 Tussock-2 CHEESEHEAD 2019 produced by applying the standard ONEFlux (1F) software. Site Description - This tower (3m tripod) is located in the southeastern quadrant of the 10 x 10km study domain. It is located in a tussock (0.3 - 1m grasses). Located next to stream.

Desai, Ankur [University of Wisconsin-Madison]↗
DOE OSTI2025

Retrospective on decadal progress of the NOAA/NPS ocean noise reference station network

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), in partnership with the U.S. National Park Service (NPS), established the Ocean Noise Reference Station Network (NRS) in 2014 as a foundational component of NOAA’s Ocean Noise Strategy. This long-term effort aims to characterize baseline ocean ambient sound conditions across diverse marine environments and to inform management of noise impacts on protected species and habitats within U.S. waters. The NRS is now composed of 13 autonomous passive acoustic monitoring stations strategically positioned across the U.S. Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ), extending from Arctic regions to tropical waters in depths ranging from 33 to 4,790 m. These locations include several National Marine Sanctuaries and National Parks, such as the recently designated Chumash Heritage National Marine Sanctuary off the coast of California. Each station is equipped to continuously sample low-frequency underwater sound at five kHz, enabling the detection of anthropogenic, geophysical, and biological acoustic signals. To date the network has sampled over 72 years of calibrated acoustic data. The spatial breadth and consistent methodology of the NRS allow for comparative acoustic assessments across diverse marine ecosystems. In addition to applied research functions, the NRS has served as a platform for education and training, offering opportunities for students to develop skills for marine science and data analysis. Looking forward, the NRS project team is focused on network expansion, improved data delivery, and broader integration with collaborative scientific initiatives. NRS recordings are being archived in partnership with NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information to enhance accessibility and long-term utility. Efforts are underway to develop standardized metadata and summary products to accompany raw audio files, making the data more usable for a wide range of stakeholders in the ocean science community. The NRS is evolving into a fully integrated national framework for ocean sound monitoring that supports scientific inquiry, management decision-making, national security interests, and public engagement with ocean acoustic environments.

Long-term monitoring↗
DOE OSTI2025

Round Robin Analysis of Uranium Isotopics on Cotton Swipes Measured Using Microextraction-Based Sampling Versus Conventional Bulk Analysis

A comparison of microextraction sampling methods to directly analyze uranium isotopics on cotton swipes was performed concurrently with traditional bulk-processing methods. For the microextraction sampling approach, two different detection platforms were evaluated, a quadrupole-based inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometer (ICP-MS) and the liquid sampling-atmospheric pressure glow discharge (LS-APGD) coupled to an Orbitrap mass spectrometer. Results presented from this innovative sampling approach (i.e., microextraction) are compared with a more traditional approach employed for analysis of cotton-based environmental swipes, namely bulk ashing/digestion, separation, and subsequent analysis by high-precision multi-collector ICP-MS. Overall, the microextraction approach proved to be a reliable and accurate means to determine isotopic ratios of uranium collected on cotton swipes. The ICP-MS-based detection had relative standard deviations of <0.65% for the major isotopic determinations, whereas the LS-APGD-Orbitrap method had relative standard deviations of <3%. The percent relative difference for the 235 U/ 238 U ratios, in comparison to the expected values, was <1% for ICP-MS and <4% for the microplasma-Orbitrap method. Additionally, the microextraction ICP-MS accurately (<2%) and precisely (<5%) determined the minor isotopic compositions (i.e., 234 U/ 238 U and 236 U/ 238 U).

ICP-MS↗
DOE OSTI2025

AmeriFlux FLUXNET-1F US-PFi NE3 Hardwood-1 CHEESEHEAD 2019

This is the AmeriFlux Management Project (AMP) created FLUXNET-1F version of the carbon flux data for the site US-PFi NE3 Hardwood-1 CHEESEHEAD 2019. This is the FLUXNET version of the carbon flux data for the site US-PFi NE3 Hardwood-1 CHEESEHEAD 2019 produced by applying the standard ONEFlux (1F) software. Site Description - This tower (32m, trailer-based, telescoping) is located in the northeastern quadrant of the 10 x 10km study domain. It is located in a mixed hardwood forest (canopy height: 18 - 20m).

Desai, Ankur [University of Wisconsin-Madison]↗
DOE OSTI2025

Corrigendum to “The Emissions Model Intercomparison Project (Emissions-MIP): quantifying model sensitivity to emission characteristics” published in Atmos. Chem. Phys., 23, 14779–14799, 2023

Anthropogenic emissions of aerosols and precursor compounds are known to significantly affect the energy balance of the Earth–atmosphere system, alter the formation of clouds and precipitation, and have a substantial impact on human health and the environment. Global models are an essential tool for examining the impacts of these emissions. In this study, we examine the sensitivity of model results to the assumed height of SO 2 injection, seasonality of SO 2 and black carbon (BC) particulate emissions, and the assumed fraction of SO 2 emissions that is injected into the atmosphere as particulate phase sulfate (SO 4 ) in 11 climate and chemistry models, including both chemical transport models and the atmospheric component of Earth system models. We find large variation in atmospheric lifetime across models for SO 2 , SO 4 , and BC, with a particularly large relative variation for SO 2 , which indicates that fundamental aspects of atmospheric sulfur chemistry remain uncertain. Of the perturbations examined in this study, the assumed height of SO 2 injection had the largest overall impacts, particularly on global mean net radiative flux (maximum difference of -0.35?W?m-2), SO2 lifetime over Northern Hemisphere land (maximum difference of 0.8?d), surface SO 2 concentration (up to 59?% decrease), and surface sulfate concentration (up to 23?% increase). Emitting SO 2 at height consistently increased SO 2 and SO 4 column burdens and shortwave cooling, with varying magnitudes, but had inconsistent effects across models on the sign of the change in implied cloud forcing. The assumed SO 4 emission fraction also had a significant impact on net radiative flux and surface sulfate concentration. Because these properties are not standardized across models this is a source of inter-model diversity typically neglected in model intercomparisons. These results imply a need to ensure that anthropogenic emission injection height and SO 4 emission fraction are accurately and consistently represented in global models.

Ahsan, Hamza [Pacific Northwest National Laborator↗
DOE OSTI2026

Fortran mimetic abstraction language (Formal) v0.1.

The Fortran mimetic abstraction language ("Formal") is a domain-specific language (DSL) embedded in Fortran 202Y [1]. Formal provides novel software abstractions for simulating phenomena governed by the partial differential equations (PDEs) of vector and tensor calculus. Such equations model an extremely broad set of physical phenomena, ranging from atmospheric winds to light propagation. Formal's data structures and algorithms mimic in form and behavior continuous functions and operators. Formal supports these mathematical constructs using mimetic discretizations that define a discrete calculus satisfying various tensor calculus theorems, thereby ensuring high-fidelity representations of the physics being modeled. [2] Formal 0.1.0 also lays a foundation for the future use of Fortran 202Y type-safe templates to facilitate the formal verification of tensor contractions in computational physics and artificial intelligence [3]. [1] "Fortran 202Y" is Fortran standard committee's informal designation for the next Fortran revision, which will likely be "Fortran 2028". [2] Corbino, J. and Castillo, J. (2020) Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cam.2019.06.042. [3] Haveraaen, M., Järvi, J., & Rouson, D. (2019). Reflecting on Generics for Fortran. https://j3-fortran.org/doc/year/19/19-188.pdf.

Rouson, Damian [Lawrence Berkeley National Laborat↗
DOE OSTI2025

Projections of future climate for U.S. national assessments: past, present, future

Climate assessments consolidate our understanding of possible future climate conditions as represented by climate projections, which are largely based on the output of global climate models. Over the past 30 years, the scientific insights gained from climate projections have been refined through model structural improvements, emerging constraints on climate feedbacks, and increased computational efficiency. Within the same period, the process of assessing and evaluating information from climate projections has become more defined and targeted to inform users. As the size and audience of climate assessments has expanded, the framing, relevancy, and accessibility of projections has become increasingly important. This paper reviews the use of climate projections in national climate assessments (NCA) while highlighting challenges and opportunities that have emerged over time. Reflections and lessons learned address the continuous process to understand the broadening assessment audience and evolving user needs. Insights for future NCA development include (1) identifying benchmarks and standards for evaluating downscaled datasets, (2) expanding efforts to gather research gaps and user needs to inform how climate projections are presented in the assessment (3) providing practitioner guidance on the use, interpretation, and reporting of climate projections and uncertainty to better inform decision-making.

Assessment↗
DOE OSTI2025

Equation of State for the Thermodynamic Properties of Trans-1,2-dichloroethene [R-1130(E)]

We present an empirical equation of state in terms of the Helmholtz energy for trans-1,2-dichloroethene [R-1130(E)]. The range of validity is from the triple-point temperature, 223.31 K to 525 K with pressures up to 30 MPa. It may be used to calculate all thermodynamic properties in the fluid phase, including liquid, gas, and supercritical regions. Comparisons are given with existing literature data and estimated uncertainties are provided. In addition, checks were made for correct extrapolation behavior so that the equation behaves in a physically realistic manner when used outside of its range of validity, enabling its use in mixture models. The estimated uncertainties (at a k = 2 or 95 % level of confidence) are based on comparisons with critically assessed data and are 0.25 % for vapor pressure for temperatures in the range 300 K < T < 454 K, rising to 1.5 % as the temperature decreases from 300 K to 265 K. For density in the liquid phase the estimated uncertainty is 0.14 % for temperatures 270 K < T < 410 K and for pressures up to 30 MPa. For the vapor phase the estimated uncertainty in density is 3 %. The uncertainty for liquid-phase heat capacity is 1 % at atmospheric pressure over the temperature range 268 K < T < 309 K, and the uncertainty for the speed of sound in the liquid phase is 0.25 % for temperatures 230 K < T < 420 K and for pressures up to 30 MPa. The uncertainties are larger outside of these specified ranges and in the critical region.

1,2-Dichloroethene↗
DOE OSTI2025

AmeriFlux FLUXNET-1F US-PFh NE2 Pine-3 CHEESEHEAD 2019

This is the AmeriFlux Management Project (AMP) created FLUXNET-1F version of the carbon flux data for the site US-PFh NE2 Pine-3 CHEESEHEAD 2019. This is the FLUXNET version of the carbon flux data for the site US-PFh NE2 Pine-3 CHEESEHEAD 2019 produced by applying the standard ONEFlux (1F) software. Site Description - This tower (32m, trailer-based, telescoping) is located in the northeastern quadrant of the 10 x 10km study domain. It is located in a forest jack pine forest (18 - 20m), with some aspens.

Desai, Ankur [University of Wisconsin-Madison]↗
DOE OSTI2026

Direct and rapid uranium isotopic analysis of environmental sample swipes via microextraction – LS-APGD/Orbitrap mass spectrometry

Accurate and precise isotopic analysis of actinides collected on environmental sample swipes from within nuclear facilities is an important safeguarding measure for detecting undeclared materials and activities. Traditional isotope ratio (IR) analysis of actinides using a bulk digestion approach can be laborious and time-consuming. Recently, direct analysis of environmental swipe samples using a microextraction approach has been explored as an alternative to conventional bulk digestion methods. The present study further evaluates this approach for accurate and precise isotopic analysis of uranium (U) in cotton swipe samples using the liquid sampling-atmospheric pressure glow discharge (LS-APGD)/Orbitrap-FTMS Booster detection system. The instrumental parameters were optimized, and quantitative capabilities were demonstrated through excellent linearity (R2 = 0.99) across a deposited mass range of 1 to 500 ng, with a limit of detection of 90 pg (in a 2 × 4 mm region) for total U; well below typical U concentrations (ng–mg range) in environmental sample swipes. The 235U/238U ratio showed excellent accuracy (−0.3% relative difference from the certificate value), with ∼20× improvement over previous microextraction-Orbitrap methods. Precision (∼1% relative standard deviation) was also greatly enhanced by ∼5×. This study also demonstrates that figures of merit achieved with neat U solution were not highly degraded when various external interfering elements/matrices were introduced. Finally, the developed method was successfully applied to analyze practical swipe samples representative of laboratory and outdoor environments. The presented figures of merit and applicability to practical samples further validate the capability of the platform for rapid analysis (<7 minutes) of environmental swipe samples.

Shrestha, Suraj [Clemson University, SC]↗
DOE OSTI2026

ProtoDUNE-VD for Beyond the Standard Model Searches: Initial Studies and Future Prospects

The Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment (DUNE) is a next-generation long-baseline neutrino program designed to address fundamental questions in neutrino and astroparticle physics. ProtoDUNE, operating at the CERN Neutrino Platform, serves as a full-scale prototype for the DUNE Far Detector. In particular, the ProtoDUNE Vertical Drift (ProtoDUNE-VD) detector provides a powerful testbed for validating reconstruction and event selection techniques for future DUNE operations. In addition to detector R&D, ProtoDUNE enables a novel parasitic beam-dump search for beyond-the-Standard-Model (BSM) particles. However, it faces several challenges. Most notably, the ProtoDUNE-VD modules operate on the surface and are consequently exposed to an intense flux of cosmic rays, which requires a dedicated trigger. In addition, standard neutrinos are also produced in the T2 target area from the decay of unstable mesons, constituting a relevant background, which needs to be well understood and characterized a priori. We present the first studies based on 2025 data taken with a trigger designed to identify neutrino candidates at ProtoDUNE-VD. ProtoDUNE-VD’s high-resolution LArTPC imaging allows detailed reconstruction of decay and scattering signatures. This work demonstrates the complementarity of traditional tools such as Pandora and modern machine-learning approaches, providing key input for atmospheric neutrino and rare-event searches in the DUNE Vertical Drift program.

Bagdu, Halit [U. Iowa, Iowa City]↗