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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 127 records · Page 7

Uncertainty quantification in MELCOR Safety analysis of ARIES reactor designs

MELCOR-TMAP is a combined thermal-hydraulics and tritium tracking code developed to simulate severe accident scenarios in fission and fusion power plants. Here, we demonstrate the results of MELCOR-TMAP analyses on historical ARIES program reference designs. By coupling MELCOR-TMAP with the open source RAVEN probabilistic risk analysis framework’s Bayesian UQ capabilities, we also demonstrate key uncertainties in material properties with the highest impact on tritium inventory and plant risk.

70 - PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Lunar mission safety and rescue: Hazards analysis and safety requirements

The results are presented of the hazards analysis which was concerned only with hazards to personnel and not with loss of equipment or property. Hazards characterization includes the definition of a hazard, the hazard levels, and the hazard groups. The analysis methodology is described in detail. The methodology was used to prepare the top level functional flow diagrams, to perform the first level hazards assessment, and to develop a list of conditions and situations requiring individual hazard studies. The 39 individual hazard study results are presented in total.

Source record↗

Uncertainty analysis for Ulysses safety evaluation report

As part of the effort to review the Ulysses Final Safety Analysis Report and to understand the risk of plutonium release from the Ulysses spacecraft General Purpose Heat Source-Radioisotope Thermal Generator, the Interagency Nuclear Safety Review Panel (INSRP) performed an integrated, quantitative analysis of the uncertainties of the calculated risk of plutonium release from Ulysses. Using state-of-art probabilistic risk assessment technology, the uncertainty analysis accounted for both variability and uncertainty of the key parameters of the risk analysis. The results show that INSRP had high confidence that risk of fatal cancers from potential plutonium release associated with calculated launch and deployment accident scenarios is low.

Frank, Michael V.↗

An Elementary Algorithm for Autonomous Air Terminal Merging and Interval Management

A central element of air traffic management is the safe merging and spacing of aircraft during the terminal area flight phase. This paper derives and examines an algorithm for the merging and interval managing problem for Standard Terminal Arrival Routes. It describes a factor analysis for performance based on the distribution of arrivals, the operating period of the terminal, and the topology of the arrival routes; then presents results from a performance analysis and from a safety analysis for a realistic topology based on typical routes for a runway at Phoenix International Airport. The heart of the safety analysis is a statistical derivation on how to conduct a safety analysis for a local simulation when the safety requirement is given for the entire airspace.

White, Allan L.↗

Space Station Furnace Facility. Volume 2: Requirements Definition and Conceptual Design Study. Appendix 3: Environment Analysis

A Preliminary Safety Analysis (PSA) is being accomplished as part of the Space Station Furnace Facility (SSFF) contract. This analysis is intended to support SSFF activities by analyzing concepts and designs as they mature to develop essential safety requirements for inclusion in the appropriate specifications, and designs, as early as possible. In addition, the analysis identifies significant safety concerns that may warrant specific trade studies or design definition, etc. The analysis activity to date concentrated on hazard and hazard cause identification and requirements development with the goal of developing a baseline set of detailed requirements to support trade study, specifications development, and preliminary design activities. The analysis activity will continue as the design and concepts mature. Section 2 defines what was analyzed, but it is likely that the SSFF definitions will undergo further changes. The safety analysis activity will reflect these changes as they occur. The analysis provides the foundation for later safety activities. The hazards identified will in most cases have Preliminary Design Review (PDR) applicability. The requirements and recommendations developed for each hazard will be tracked to ensure proper and early resolution of safety concerns.

Source record↗

Liquid Fuel Qualification for Molten Salt Reactors: Identification of Gaps and Challenges

This report identifies and describes challenges in implementing the MSR fuel qualification process described in NUREG/CR-7299 Fuel Qualification for Molten Salt Reactors. This report provides additional information including examples and additional use case descriptions to assist applicants in understanding the content and structure of the information necessary to develop a fuel qualification report. In particular, the current report emphasizes the relationship of fuel salt qualification to the contents of the plant safety analysis report. This report is limited to the safety functions relevant to the reactor aspects of the nuclear power plant. MSRs that include significant fuel salt processing would also need to address the safety aspects of the processing facility. No significant gaps were found in NUREG/CR-7299. However, NUREG/CR-7299 focuses on generic descriptions of how the fuel salt supports achievement of plant fundamental safety functions. A fuel salt qualification report will need explicitly address the role of the fuel salt in meeting regulatory requirements for a particular plant. NUREG/CR-7299 also provides a regulatory mapping between NRC rules and the safety functions. However, by remaining at a fundamental level, NUREG/CR-7299 does not address plant specific safety analysis. Some aspects of the safety analysis may require additional emphasis for designs that incorporate particular features (such as additional confirmation of decay heat rejection performance for higher power reactors). This report provides additional structure to enable an applicant to develop their plant-specific safety analysis.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Adapting safety requirements analysis to intrusion detection

Several requirements analysis techniques widely used in safety-critical systems are being adapted to support the analysis of secure systems. Perhaps the most relevant system safety techique for Intrusion Detection Systems is hazard analysis.

requirements analysis safety intrusion detection↗

System safety engineering analysis handbook

The basic requirements and guidelines for the preparation of System Safety Engineering Analysis are presented. The philosophy of System Safety and the various analytic methods available to the engineering profession are discussed. A text-book description of each of the methods is included.

Ijams, T. E.↗

Space Station Freedom Safety Program

The renewed emphasis within NASA on the incorporation of firmly established safety design requirements and evolving new safety analysis techniques, including quantitative safety risk assessment methods, is discussed with particular reference to the Space Station Freedom Safety Program. The program provides for integration of the partial safety analysis performed by numerous NASA Centers and International Partners into a Programmatic Safety Assessment for each of the launch increments and the complete Space Station Freedom on orbit. Communication in the safety program will utilize state-of-the-art software and computers, which will provide broad accessibility to safety information among the NASA and International Partners.

Griggs, John G., III↗

ECAR-6440 Rev 2 MARVEL Hazard Evaluation

This hazard evaluation supports the Microreactor Applications Research, Validation, and Evaluation (MARVEL) Project’s design effort and the development of the preliminary documented safety analysis (PDSA) (addendum to safety analysis report [SAR]-420, “Transient Reactor Test [TREAT] Facility FSAR”) (SAR-420-ADD-1). The hazard evaluation process for the MARVEL project for compliance with the requirements in 10 CFR 830, “Nuclear Safety Management,” follows a process similar to the Licensing Modernization Project (LMP) as outlined in Nuclear Energy Institute (NEI)-18-04, “Risk-Informed Performance-Based Guidance for Non-Light Water Reactor Licensing Basis Development,” and supporting documents. The LMP process is adapted to fit Department of Energy (DOE) reactor regulatory requirements as applicable and appropriate using a graded approach based on the MARVEL microreactor design. This approach provides reasonable assurance of meeting the requirements of 10 CFR 830 for protection of the public, workers, and environment.

21 - SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLAN↗

Technical Considerations on MURR Control Blade Design Change and Testing using a New Metal Matrix Composite

The University of Missouri Research Reactor (MURR) is one of six research reactors, including a critical facility, that are pursuing conversion as part of a collaboration with the U.S. Department of Energy National Nuclear Security Administration Material Management and Minimization Office of Reactor Conversion and Uranium Supply, under the U.S. High Performance Research Reactors (USHPRR) conversion project. Five of the six USHPRR are planned to convert from highly enriched uranium (HEU) fuel using a low-enriched uranium (LEU) high assay monolithic alloy of uranium-10 wt% molybdenum (U-10Mo). As part of the conversion safety analysis, it is necessary to demonstrate the safety performance of the proposed core fueled with LEU as compared to the current HEU cores. The MURR reactor is planning to switch to a new control blade design that uses a metal matrix composite of boron carbide (B 4 C) and aluminum as the absorber in place of Boral®. Since MURR is expected to adopt the new metal matrix composite control blade design prior to conversion, the impact of the new blade design on the neutronics characteristics of the MURR cores for conversion are analyzed in this work through updates to incorporate the changes to the blade design in conversion models as they directly impact the LEU conversion safety analysis. The quantitative comparison shows that the neutronics and thermal hydraulic behavior of one metal matrix composite blade replacing a Boral blade is comparable for the two example MURR LEU and HEU cores states considered. Geometrical changes in the metal matrix composite blade design, combined with a 4% increase in areal boron density, showed local heating effects up to 20% higher than the Boral design. As expected, the metal matrix composite showed slightly lower heat depositions and absorber region temperatures for the LEU cases compared to HEU. Although this analysis was comparative for a single blade, maximum control blade temperatures for both Boral, metal matrix composite, and HEU/LEU remained below 100 °C, though additional analysis at a core level could differ. A qualitative irradiation behavior assessment concludes that the mechanisms that may drive swelling and blistering in the current Boral design are eased by the adoption of the metal matrix composite design. The work concludes that the two blade designs are essentially equivalent with regards to neutronics, thermal hydraulics, and expected material behavior under irradiation. However, due to the geometrical changes to the blades including redesigned and thinner cladding, new testing and increased surveillance for distortion and swelling are recommended to confirm the performance of the metal matrix composite control blade design. Where testing is completed prior to conversion, the only anticipated impacts on conversion to LEU U-10Mo fuel would be the need for models and safety analysis incorporating the metal matrix composite control blades.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Bayesian Statistics and Uncertainty Quantification for Safety Boundary Analysis in Complex Systems

The analysis of a safety-critical system often requires detailed knowledge of safe regions and their highdimensional non-linear boundaries. We present a statistical approach to iteratively detect and characterize the boundaries, which are provided as parameterized shape candidates. Using methods from uncertainty quantification and active learning, we incrementally construct a statistical model from only few simulation runs and obtain statistically sound estimates of the shape parameters for safety boundaries.

Active Learning↗

System Safety Risk Analysis Models (SSRAM)

This presentation provides a high level overview of the System Safety Risk Analysis (SSRAM) methodology and motivation.

Clark, Andrew Jordan [Sandia National Laboratories↗

Capability Enhancements for System-level thermal Hydraulic Modeling of Lead Fast Reactors

This project has focused on the use, assessment, and development of the SAS4A/SASSYS-1 (SAS) safety analysis software. Although SAS was originally intended as a safety analysis tool for Liquid Metal cooled Fast Reactors (LMFRs), which includes both Sodium Fast Reactors (SFRs) and Lead Fast Reactors (LFRs), the vast majority of its recent development and customization has been tailored to SFRs. In general, enhancements that are made to the software for SFRs are applicable to LFRs, however, the fuel composition and corrosive nature of lead requires careful consideration when performing safety analysis of an LFR. In this project an emphasis was placed on closing gaps that are associated with modeling LFRs using SAS. The principal objective of the project was to enhance the ability of SAS as a licensing tool for LFRs. This objective was to be accomplished through three tasks: 1) Enhance the ability of SAS to couple with external software; 2) Improve the underlying physics models in SAS, with priority given to models that are highly relevant to LFRs; 3) Extend the Verification and Validation (V&V) basis of the software

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Safety and environmental analyses for space nuclear programs

The tools and procedures for analyzing environmental quality and safety are reviewed. The process of preparing an environmental impact statement is outlined and the data sources for a safety analysis are discussed. The environmental safety analysis process is demonstrated, using examples from the Galileo, Ulysses, and Venus-earth-earth-gravity-assist programs.

Mcconnell, D. J.↗

Implementation of a realistic artificial data generator for crash data generation

In this paper, a framework is outlined to generate realistic artificial data (RAD) as a tool for comparing different models developed for safety analysis. The primary focus of transportation safety analysis is on identifying and quantifying the influence of factors contributing to traffic crash occurrence and its consequences. The current framework of comparing model structures using only observed data has limitations. With observed data, it is not possible to know how well the models mimic the true relationship between the dependent and independent variables. Further, real datasets do not allow researchers to evaluate the model performance for different levels of complexity of the dataset. RAD offers an innovative framework to address these limitations. Hence, we propose a RAD generation framework embedded with heterogeneous causal structures that generates crash data by considering crash occurrence as a trip level event impacted by trip level factors, demographics, roadway and vehicle attributes. Within our RAD generator we employ three specific modules: (a) disaggregate trip information generation, (b) crash data generation and (c) crash data aggregation. For disaggregate trip information generation, we employ a daily activity-travel realization for an urban region generated from an established activity-based model for the Chicago region. We use this data of more than 2 million daily trips to generate a subset of trips with crash data. For trips with crashes crash location, crash type, driver/vehicle characteristics, and crash severity. The daily RAD generation process is repeated for generating crash records at yearly or multi-year resolution. In conclusion, the crash databases generated can be employed to compare frequency models, severity models, crash type and various other dimensions by facility type - possibly establishing a universal benchmarking system for alternative model frameworks in safety literature.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Enhancing Operational Safety via Agentic Dialogue Hazard Identification Analysis

Operational safety in high-stakes domains such as industrial process control, autonomous, and safety-critical systems demand reliable hazard identification. While large language models (LLMs) have shown promise in automating safety analysis tasks, single-turn, monolithic inference is brittle: it lacks the self-correction, deliberation, and contextual refinement that safety engineers apply iteratively. In this paper, we introduce HAZDIAL, a framework that investigates whether structured agentic dialogue (multi-agent, multi-turn interactions) improves the quality of NLP-based hazard identification over single-pass baselines. We systematically compare two dialogue modalities: adversarial debate and constructive discussion, and propose an genetic algorithm-based agentic interaction optimization. We evaluate all configurations against a curated golden dataset using standard classification metrics (accuracy, precision, recall, F1) and a novel dialogue metrics. This work advances the intersection of dialogue systems, multi-agent reasoning, and AI safety, providing empirical evidence for dialogue-driven hazard analysis.

Das, Sanjay [ORNL] (ORCID:0009000542591915)↗