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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,387 records · Page 77
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Random Forest Regressor-Based Approach for Detecting Fault Location and Duration in Power Systems

Power system failures or outages due to short-circuits or “faults” can result in long service interruptions leading to significant socio-economic consequences. It is critical for electrical utilities to quickly ascertain fault characteristics, including location, type, and duration, to reduce the service time of an outage. Existing fault detection mechanisms (relays and digital fault recorders) are slow to communicate the fault characteristics upstream to the substations and control centers for action to be taken quickly. Fortunately, due to availability of high-resolution phasor measurement units (PMUs), more event-driven solutions can be captured in real time. In this paper, we propose a data-driven approach for determining fault characteristics using samples of fault trajectories. A random forest regressor (RFR)-based model is used to detect real-time fault location and its duration simultaneously. This model is based on combining multiple uncorrelated trees with state-of-the-art boosting and aggregating techniques in order to obtain robust generalizations and greater accuracy without overfitting or underfitting. Four cases were studied to evaluate the performance of RFR: 1. Detecting fault location (case 1), 2. Predicting fault duration (case 2), 3. Handling missing data (case 3), and 4. Identifying fault location and length in a real-time streaming environment (case 4). A comparative analysis was conducted between the RFR algorithm and state-of-the-art models, including deep neural network, Hoeffding tree, neural network, support vector machine, decision tree, naive Bayesian, and K-nearest neighborhood. Experiments revealed that RFR consistently outperformed the other models in detection accuracy, prediction error, and processing time.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2023

Machine learning models for estimating contamination across different curbside collection strategies

Contaminated recyclables, which are frequently discarded as waste, pose a significant challenge to the implementation of a circular economy. These contaminated recyclables impede the circulation of resources, resulting in higher processing costs at material recovery facilities (MRFs). Over the past few decades, machine learning (ML) models such as linear regression (LR), support vector machine (SVM), and random forest (RF) have evolved to provide new methods for predicting inbound contamination rates in addition to traditional statistical models. In this study, we applied ML models to predict inbound contamination rates using demographic features from 15 counties in the U.S. with different curbside collection strategies. In general, we found that ML models outperformed linear mixed models. Specifically, SVM models had the highest performance (R 2 = 0.75; mean absolute error (MAE) = 0.06), which may be due to their ability to model nonlinear relationships between features and inbound contamination rates. Further, the key predictor was population, with poverty rate being positively correlated and median age negatively correlated with inbound contamination rates. To improve the management of contamination and enhance the implementation of a circular economy, better models are needed to understand and estimate inbound contamination rates as well as identify critical factors in the present and future.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Minimizing thickness variation in monolithic U-10Mo fuel foil and Zr interlayer during hot rolling: A microstructure-based finite element method analysis

Low-enriched uranium alloyed with 10 wt. % molybdenum (U-10Mo) has been identified as a promising alternative to highly enriched uranium fuel for the United States’ high performance research reactors. The monolithic U-10Mo fuel plate consists of a metallic U-10Mo fuel foil with a 25 µm Zr interlayer and a relatively thick cladding of aluminum alloy 6061. The Zr interlayer is typically applied during the hot co-rolling process, and this process dictates the uniformity of the Zr interlayer. Thickness variation observed in the U-10Mo and Zr interlayer has been attributed to several sources: the initial grain size of the U-10Mo castings, can materials, rolling temperature, inhomogeneous molybdenum content, and porosity in the cast U-10Mo. This thickness variation limits the ability to meet the dimensional specification; thus, a better understanding of the factors causing the nonuniform thickness is needed. In this work, we used a novel, microstructure-based finite element method to model the hot rolling process to address these concerns. Grain microstructures in U-10Mo were tessellated and explicitly considered in the finite element model. Each grain was assigned a random material property to mimic the grain strength variations induced by different grain orientations. Simulations were performed using six steel can thicknesses, four grain sizes, and with or without a Zr interlayer to investigate the influences of those variables on the thickness nonuniformity. The simulation results showed that a thinner steel can and finer U-10Mo grain size reduce thickness variations in both the U-10Mo fuel foil and Zr interlayer. The direct findings from the simulations and analysis can be used to optimize the hot rolling schedule, reduce fabrication defects, and meet the dimensional specifications. The proposed microstructure-based finite element model can be also coupled with experimental microstructure characterization data, images, and models to simulate multi-pass hot rolling.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Global-Scale Convergence Obscures Inconsistencies in Soil Carbon Change Predicted by Earth System Models

Soil carbon (C) responses to environmental change represent a major source of uncertainty in the global C cycle. Feedbacks between soil C stocks and climate drivers could impact atmospheric CO 2 levels, further altering the climate. Here, we assessed the reliability of Earth system model (ESM) predictions of soil C change using the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phases 5 and 6 (CMIP5 and CMIP6). ESMs predicted global soil C gains under the high emission scenario, with soils taking up 43.9 Pg (95% CI: 9.2–78.5 Pg) C on average during the 21st century. The variation in global soil C change declined significantly from CMIP5 (with average of 48.4 Pg [95% CI: 2.0–94.9 Pg] C) to CMIP6 models (with average of 39.3 Pg [95% CI: 23.9–54.7 Pg] C). For some models, a small C increase in all biomes contributed to this convergence. For other models, offsetting responses between cold and warm biomes contributed to convergence. Although soil C predictions appeared to converge in CMIP6, the dominant processes driving soil C change at global or biome scales differed among models and in many cases between earlier and later versions of the same model. Random Forest models, for soil carbon dynamics, accounted for more than 63% variation of the global soil C change predicted by CMIP5 ESMs, but only 36% for CMIP6 models. Although most CMIP6 models apparently agree on increased soil C storage during the 21st century, this consensus obscures substantial model disagreement on the mechanisms underlying soil C response, calling into question the reliability of model predictions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Insights into the copolymerization of metal–organic nanotubes from ligand mixtures using small angle neutron scattering

Metal–organic nanotubes (MONTs) are porous, tunable 1D nanomaterials akin to metal–organic frameworks (MOFs). MONTs are synthesized via metal salts and coordinating ligands akin to MOFs, but crucially they are anisotropic, unlike most MOFs. Recently, MONTs have been shown to form statistically random copolymers; however, their mechanism of growth remains largely unexplored. Full realization of the potential of MONTs necessitates a thorough understanding of the mechanism of MONT growth. Herein, small-angle neutron scattering (SANS) was employed to investigate the copolymerization mechanism of two 1,2,4-ditriazole ligands and to quantify the inclusion of a solvent within the MONT pores. The results show parallelepiped-shaped structures are initially formed, which then aggregate to form larger lamellar structures. Additional experimentation with a deuterated ligand showed that the reactivities of all ligands are approximately equal, causing random ligand distribution within the resulting MONT. Finally, the results quantify the amount of solvent incorporated within the nanostructure pores at different stages of the formation process. These results show that early in the reaction the MONTs contain ca. 45% solvent, and they contain ca. 55% solvent late in the reaction when the MONTs are nearly fully formed.

Haque, Md Ashraful [Univ. of Tennessee, Knoxville,↗
DOE OSTI2021

Compositional patterning in irradiated alloys: Effective potentials and effective interfacial energy

Compositional patterning (CP) in binary alloys during energetic particle irradiation is studied using a kinetic model that considers two competing kinetic processes, a thermally activated one promoting macroscopic phase separation (MPS) of the concentration field c(r,t) and a forced one resulting in finite-range random atomic mixing. The forced mixing is modeled by a Gaussian relocation distribution with a characteristic distance R. A series of approximate kinetic models are introduced by expanding the mixing function into a series of n terms, thus replacing the non-local evaluations of the concentration field c(r'-r,t) by local derivatives of c(r,t). This approach makes it possible to obtain exact effective potentials and build steady-state diagrams for each order-n model. Phase field (PF) simulations using these order-n models reveal that near the onset of patterning, phase evolution is accurately described using an order-3 model, which changes smoothly from an extended Cahn-Hilliard free energy in the MPS regime to a one-mode Swift-Hohenberg functional in the CP regime. Deeper into the patterning regime, higher-order models are required to achieve convergence, yielding square-like concentration profiles characteristic of a strong segregation regime. These higher-order effective free energies are analogous to multimodal Swift-Hohenberg functionals. Here, a new definition for the effective interfacial energy is proposed in the CP regime, since the interfacial area is no longer an excess quantity in that regime, precluding the use of the standard thermodynamic definition of interfacial energy.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Contact-Less Integrity Verification of Microelectronics Using Near-Field EM Analysis

Modern microelectronics life-cycle and supply chain ecosystem bring multiple untrusted entities, which can compromise their integrity. A major integrity issue of microelectronics stems from piracy of intellectual properties (IP) and counterfeiting, which causes significant revenue loss to the semiconductor manufacturers. Further, these components often lead to compromised functionality, reliability, security, and safety of an electronic system. This paper presents secure information transmission and probing methods for verifying the integrity of digital integrated circuit (ICs) based on their electromagnetic (EM) near-field emissions and thereby protecting systems against counterfeit components. The proposed method has been tested on both high-level instructions executed by microprocessors or Systems-on-Chip (serving as examples of software), and also logic circuits within FPGA fabrics and ASICs (serving as examples of hardware). The authentication information required by each digital system is generated using a pseudo-random number generator circuit and securely transmitted via near-field magnetic emissions. The authorized party can probe these emissions using a near-field probe, process the acquired signals to improve the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR), and then recover the secure information through matched filtering. Experimental results from commercial SoCs are used to demonstrate the proposed technique. Methods for reducing EM interference during integrity verification of both FPGAs and ASICs are also described.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2024

Parasitic Modulation of Microwave Signals by a Hypersonic Plasma Layer

During hypersonic flight, compressional and viscous heating of the air can form a plasma layer which encases the aircraft. If the boundary layer becomes turbulent, then the electron density fluctuations can effect a parasitic modulation in microwave signals transmitted through the plasma. We developed an approach for studying the interaction of microwave signals with a turbulent, hypersonic plasma layer. The approach affords a great deal of flexibility in both the plasma layer model and the antenna configuration. We then analyzed a situation in which microwaves, transmitted from a rectangular aperture antenna, propagate through a turbulent plasma layer to a distant receiver. We characterized the first-and second-order statistics of the computed parasitic modulation and quantified the depolarization of the signal. The amplitude fluctuations are lognormally distributed at low frequencies and Rice-distributed at high frequencies. Fluctuations in the copolarized phase and amplitude of the far-field signal are strongly anticorrelated. Here, we used a multioutput Gaussian process (MOGP) to model these quantities. The efficacy of the MOGP model is demonstrated by recovering the time evolution of the copolarized phase given the copolarized amplitude and occasional measurements of the phase.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Efficient QAOA Optimization using Directed Restarts and Graph Lookup

Variational Quantum Algorithms (VQA) aim to enhance the capabilities of Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ) devices. These algorithms utilize parameterized circuits and classical optimizers to iteratively execute circuits with varying parameters. However, VQA faces computational overheads due to repeated iterations and random restarts. Prior work suggests using basic sub-graphs to transfer parameters for the input graph, reducing optimizer overheads but limiting applicability to structured regular graphs. In real-world applications, random irregular graphs are common, and existing methods are not scalable or practical for such graphs. This paper presents a framework that aims to improve random irregular graphs in VQA. The framework uses graph similarity and important features like total edge counts, average edge counts, and variance. It follows an iterative process to choose basis sub-graphs from a small database and adjust parameters accordingly. Classical optimizers then utilize these parameters to determine when to restart and perform gradient descent. This approach increases the chances of reaching global maximum points.

Wang, Meng↗
DOE OSTI2025

High-resolution leaf area index maps generated from unoccupied aerial system, Teller Mile 27, Seward Peninsula, Alaska

Leaf area index (LAI), a measure of the amount of one-side leaf area per ground unit, is an important indicator of plant carbon, energy, and water cycle. In the heterogeneous Arctic landscapes, it has been challenging to accurately measure LAI across species and space needed for Earth system model validation. Here, we use multispectral unoccupied aerial systems (UASs) to scale up and map leaf area index (LAI) , in a low-Arctic tundra landscape on the Seward Peninsula, Alaska. We linked previous published LAI measurements with high-resolution, UAS-collected multispectral data collected over the region of Next Generation Ecosystem Experiments in the Arctic (NGEE Arctic)’s Teller Mile Maker 27 site in 2022 to develop random forest (RF) machine learning models to predict and map LAI. 100 RF models were developed to account for uncertainties in ground LAI plot measurements and process scaling. This dataset includes a raster (*.tif) map of the mean LAI value of the 100 RF models, a raster (*.tif) map of the standard deviation of the RF-modeled LAI data, and a user guide (*.pdf).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Double Shell Inertial Confinement Fusion X-Ray Spectral Analysis

At the National Ignition Facility (NIF), lasers are used to compress a double shell capsule with deuterium and tritium in order to create nuclear fusion processes. The lasers aim at the inside of a gold hohlraum which excite electrons which further release photons in the range of 0~20keV. The photons randomly disperse, ultimately either going towards the fuel capsule or back out the laser entrance holes. The photons that go towards the fuel capsule work towards the compression of the multi-shell capsule whereas the photons that leave the hohlraum have a chance at being picked up by the Lawrence Livermore National Lab’s ‘Dante’ photon detector. ‘Dante’ analyzes photon data by having 18 planar vacuum x-ray diodes (XRD) behind unique filters to differentiate data amongst various photon energies. The goal of the project was to analyze the characteristics of low and high energy photons released by the gold shell.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Performance and automatic calibration scheme of the waveform sampler in the ETROC2 ASIC chip

The waveform sampler in the CMS ETROC2 chip for LGAD gain aging monitoring is a 2.56-GS/s 12-bit 8x-Interleaved ADC that consists of a coarse SAR stage, and a fine stage. This architecture delivers high performance on a relatively modest 65 nm process, while requires finding up to 24 calibration constants through calibration. We developed an automatic calibration method using charge injection test data. After calibration, the baseline random error is reduced by a factor of 2.5–3 compared to the default calibration, and a 5% charge measurement precision is achieved in 15 fC charge injection tests.

Fu, Tao [Unlisted, US]↗
DOE OSTI2019

Principles of robust innate immune response to viral infections: a multiplex network analysis

The human innate immune response, particularly the type-I interferon (IFN) response, is highly robust and effective first line of defense against virus invasion. IFN molecules are produced and secreted frominfected cells upon virus infection and recognition. They then act as signaling/communicationmolecules to activate an antiviral response in neighboring cells so that those cells become refractory to infection. Previous experimental studies have identified the detailed molecular mechanisms for the IFN signaling and response. However, the principles underlying how host cells use IFN to communicate with each other to collectively and robustly halt an infection is not understood. Here we take a multiplex network modeling approach to provide a theoretical framework to identify key factors that determine the effectiveness of the IFN response against virus infection of a host. In this approach, we consider the virus spread among host cells and the interferon signaling to protect host cells as a competition process on a two-layer multiplex network. We focused on two types of network topology, i.e., the Erdős-Rényi (ER) network and the Geometric Random (GR) network, which represent the scenarios when infection of cells is mostly well mixed (e.g., in the blood) and when infection is spatially segregated (e.g., in tissues), respectively.We show that in general, the IFN response works effectively to stop viral infection when virus infection spreads spatially (a most likely scenario for initial virus infection of a host at the peripheral tissue). Importantly, we show that the effectiveness of the IFN response is robust against large variations in the distance of IFN diffusion as long as IFNs diffuse faster than viruses and they can effectively induce antiviral responses in susceptible host cells. This suggests that the effectiveness of the IFN response is insensitive to the specific arrangement of host cells in peripheral tissues. Thus, our work provides a quantitative explanation of why the IFN response can serve an effective and robust response in different tissue types to a wide range of viral infections of a host.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
NASA NTRS1973

Diffusion of ring current particles by low-frequency long-wavelength electrostatic oscillations.

The diffusion of charged particles by randomly fluctuating low-frequency long-wavelength electrostatic oscillations in the magnetosphere is investigated as a possible mechanism for transporting ring current particles. The diffusion process is assumed to preserve the first adiabatic invariant. The magnetosphere is represented by a simple model with cylindrical geometry. In the model the ionospheres are assumed to be perfectly conducting and the ring current is assumed to have a Maxwellian distribution of velocities. The electrostatic oscillations are treated as natural modes of the magnetospheric cavity which are driven by variations in the electric potential on the magnetopause. It is concluded that diffusion of ring current protons by this process is not important in the magnetosphere.

Maggs, J. E.↗
NASA NTRS1974

Feasibility study in the application of optical signal analysis to non-destructive testing of complex structures

Advantages of the large time bandwidth product of optical processing are presented. Experiments were performed to study the feasibility of the use of optical spectral analysis for detection of flaws in structural elements excited by random noise. Photographic and electronic methods of comparison of complex spectra were developed. Limitations were explored, and suggestions for further work are offered.

Baker, B.↗
NASA NTRS1975

Study of Dynamic Characteristics of Aeroelastic Systems Utilizing Randomdec Signatures

The feasibility of utilizing the random decrement method in conjunction with a signature analysis procedure to determine the dynamic characteristics of an aeroelastic system for the purpose of on-line prediction of potential on-set of flutter was examined. Digital computer programs were developed to simulate sampled response signals of a two-mode aeroelastic system. Simulated response data were used to test the random decrement method. A special curve-fit approach was developed for analyzing the resulting signatures. A number of numerical 'experiments' were conducted on the combined processes. The method is capable of determining frequency and damping values accurately from randomdec signatures of carefully selected lengths.

Chang, C. S.↗
NASA NTRS1979

Classification results using spacially correlated Landsat data

Tubbs and Coberly (1978) demonstrated that Landsat multispectral scanner data are not independent random observations, but, are in fact highly correlated. They also demonstrated that the correlation structure for the data is similar to that of a stationary autoregressive process of order one. This paper investigates the effect that serially correlated training data have upon both the estimation of parameters and the classification problem. Results are included for both the Bayesian and maximum likelihood classification procedures.

Tubbs, J. D.↗
NASA NTRS1980

System identification of large space structures

The paper deals with the problem of system identifiability for a linear dynamical system. Two theorems are given relating the sufficient condition of system identifiability for certain linear structures to the total number of inputs and outputs. The principle of least squares, that seeks the minimization of a cost function is employed to carry out the system identification process. To illustrate the concept of the paper, a structural model of a beam with point masses is examined. Parameter identification methods are studied and a random search technique is introduced.

Juang, J. N.↗