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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 145 records · Page 8

Emergent Recursive Multiscale Interaction in Complex Systems

This project studied the potential for multiscale group dynamics in complex social systems, including emergent recursive interaction. Current social theory on group formation and interaction focuses on a single scale (individuals forming groups) and is largely qualitative in its explanation of mechanisms. We combined theory, modeling, and data analysis to find evidence that these multiscale phenomena exist, and to investigate their potential consequences and develop predictive capabilities. In this report, we discuss the results of data analysis showing that some group dynamics theory holds at multiple scales. We introduce a new theory on communicative vibration that uses social network dynamics to predict group life cycle events. We discuss a model of behavioral responses to the COVID-19 pandemic that incorporates influence and social pressures. Finally, we discuss a set of modeling techniques that can be used to simulate multiscale group phenomena.

42 ENGINEERING↗

HyBlend Collaborative Research Partnership (CRADA Final Report)

This agreement assembles a multi-lab, multi-industry team to address high-priority research topics related to the blending of hydrogen (H2) into the U.S. natural gas (NG) pipeline network. There are four main research objectives: 1. Compatibility of metals (SNL) – Develop general principles for operation of HyBlend™ delivery systems in the context of structural integrity and assess the role of gas impurities on degradation of metal pipelines. 2. Compatibility of polymers (PNNL) – Assess gas impurities in HyBlend for polymer pipeline degradation and lifetime predictions. 3. Life cycle analysis (LCA) (ANL) – Analyze the life cycle of technology pathways for hydrogen and NG blends, as well as alternative pathways. 4.Techno-economic analysis (TEA) (NREL) – Quantify the costs and opportunities for hydrogen production and blending with the NG network, as well as alternative pathways.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Large Area Detection of Microstructural Defects with Multi-Mode Ultrasonic Signals

Cyclic loading or other stresses can lead to development of cracks and crack growth in mechanical structures, leading to eventual failure. While ultrasound imaging can be used for non-destructive testing of such structures, conventional ultrasound techniques are often limited by crack size, density, and areal coverage. An effective characterization of real-world, large-area structures is required at an early damage stage to prevent catastrophic failure and predict remaining life. In this study, a new nonlinear ultrasonic testing (NUT) method is proposed for large-area monitoring of practical structures with arbitrary complexity by using multiple-mode guided-wave ultrasonic signals. The proposed guided-wave NUT technique requires single-element transducers, simple electronics, and a mixed time-frequency domain signal processing. As a proof-of-concept demonstration, numerical simulations and experiments are performed on an A36 carbon steel beam assembly with previously formed microstructural defects that cause nonlinearities in ultrasonic response. The quadratic dependence of the nonlinear wave excitation on the input ultrasonic signal amplitude is shown by numerical simulations, and such a nonlinear ultrasonic response is experimentally observed in the zone with a high density of microstructural defects.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Evaluation of H-Canyon Ventilation Exhaust Tunnel Inspection at the Savannah River Site - 20052

The Department of Energy (DOE) H-Canyon Facility at the Savannah River Site (SRS) is operated by Savannah River Nuclear Solutions (SRNS). The Facility Structural Integrity Program [1] provides a process to inspect, evaluate, and document the conditions of passive safety related structural systems and components, their degradation mechanisms and their impact on the safety envelope. The Structural Integrity Program performs periodic visual inspections to confirm the systems and components can perform their safety function and recommend corrective actions before the function is compromised. The H-Canyon Exhaust Tunnel is part of the H-Canyon Ventilation System and is periodically inspected under the Structural Integrity Program. The Tunnel performs a Safety Class passive design feature function that is available 100% of the time. The underground reinforced concrete Tunnel directs Canyon process air from the Canyon to the Sand Filter System. The radiological and chemical airborne activity coupled with the physical configuration of the tunnel precludes a manned entry into the tunnel to perform the inspection. Unlike active systems that can be subjected to physical testing to confirm capability, qualification calculations, including modeling, is performed to assess passive design feature capabilities relative to operational, accident and natural phenomena hazards events. Input for these calculations come from knowledge of field conditions, design drawings and conservative assumptions. The knowledge of field conditions comes from concrete and soil testing activities as well as inspection data. The use of cameras on crawlers to obtain inspection data and how that data is used in qualification calculations is the focus of this discussion. Remote Tunnel inspections have been performed using cameras on a stick, referred to as pole cameras, prior to Calendar Year 2003 (CY2003). Since CY2003, six camera equipped crawlers have been used. Crawlers have evolved and improved by incorporating lessons learned from the previous inspections. The latest 2019 crawler successfully traveled the entire length of the tunnel between the Canyon and Sand Filter System and captured images that were previously unseen, thus providing key visual data for the Structural Integrity Program report [2]. The inspection data serves as 1) input to qualification calculations, 2) validates current conditions remain bounded by qualification calculations, and 3) documents a record of change over time. This data is vital for the effective evaluation of the tunnel structure and aids with predicting the life cycle service life safety envelope to protect the public, environment, and facility worker. The goal of the 2019 deployment was to use a more robust vehicle to ensure travel over obstacles, perform the inspection with higher resolution cameras, and have the ability to elevate the cameras to view surfaces previously obscured by abandon-in-place ducts in the tunnel. The inspection information will serve to strengthen the input basis for qualification calculations, versus using excessive conservative calculation assumptions. This 2019 inspection was compared with previous crawler visual evidence to identify change over time to project remaining service life and confirm field conditions remain bounded by qualification calculations. The results of the 2019 Exhaust Tunnel inspection continue to improve and provide a firm basis to make sound engineering judgements regarding tunnel capability and approaches in projecting remaining service life with an aging system and component. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Modeling Marangoni Convection using a Velocity-Time Relationship

The Waste Treatment and Immobilization Plant (WTP) at the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) Handford site is designed to treat 56 million gallons of radioactive waste through vitrification. The melting vessels physical and chemical integrity is essential to maintain, as failure has a high safety and financial penalty. Monofrax® K-3 refractory, the material widely used for the melting vessel, undergoes significant corrosion over time, concentrated at the triple-point junction between the gaseous atmosphere, refractory, and glass melt, producing a characteristic neck-like profile that significantly limits refractory service life. Accurate prediction of the corrosion within the melter can be used to prevent this and extend the lifetime of the melters. A computational fluid dynamics (CFD) model was previously developed, and predicted subsurface refractory corrosion, but failed to predict the neck-line profile observed experimentally. To address this limitation, the glass-melt meniscus geometry at the glass-refractory interface was estimated from experimentally measured neck profiles and wettability experiments. A curve was fitted to the neck profile to identify the triple point location, and the meniscus shape was characterized by a contact angle of 1°. A velocity profile accounting for Marangoni convection-driven corrosion was derived from the estimated meniscus geometry. Surface tension measurements from LORPM14R1 glasses of varying composition were coupled with K-3 coupon dissolution rates to establish a surface tension–time relationship. This analytical velocity-time model was integrated into the existing CFD framework to improve prediction of the neck corrosion profile. Work was done in a computational setting with national collaboration, resulting in professional development through presentational and technical writing growth.

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Multifunctional Fiber-Reinforced Polymer Composites for Damage Detection and Memory

Self-structural health monitoring (SHM) functionalities for fiber-reinforced polymer composites have become highly sought after to ensure the structural safety of newly advancing components in the automotive, civil, mechanical, and aerospace industries. This paper introduces a self-damage detection and memory (SDDM) hybrid composite material, where the structural carbon fiber tow is transformed into a piezoresistive sensor network, and the structural glass fiber operates as electrical insulation. In this study, SDDM specimens were fabricated, and tensile and impact tests were performed. The tensile tests of SDDM specimens find two distinct loading peaks: first where the carbon fiber fails, and second where the glass fiber fails. A linear correlation was observed between the carbon fiber resistance and composite strain up to a threshold, beyond which a sharp nonlinear increase in resistance occurred. The resistance then approached infinity, coinciding with the first loading peak and failure of the carbon fiber elements. This demonstrates the potential for a damage early warning threshold. Additionally, the effect of stitching the sensor tow in a zig-zag pattern over a large area was investigated using tailored fiber placement (TFP) of 1-loop, 3-loop, and 5-loop specimens. Tensile testing found that increasing the number of loops improved the sensor’s accuracy for strain sensing. Furthermore, impact tests were conducted, and as the impact energy progressively increased, the sensor resistance permanently increased. This illustrates a capability for self-memory of microdamage throughout the life cycle of the structure, potentially useful for predicting the remaining life of the composite.

Demo, Luke B. (ORCID:0000000208806522)↗

University of Miami G-band Vapor Radiometer Calibration (UMGVR_CAL) Field Campaign Report

Cold-air outbreak (CAO) clouds in the Arctic are commonly mixed-phase (MP); however, the partitioning of the amount of ice and water in CAO clouds and precipitation is not always well observed. Understanding how cloud phases partition as a function of cloud life cycle is important for predicting snowfall rates, convective life cycle, and intensity at weather timescales. The partitioning into liquid versus ice also has radiative impacts that are consequential for climate. These concerns motivated the incorporation of an airborne G-band vapor radiometer (GVR) into an National Science Foundation-supported aircraft campaign named the Cold Air outbreak Experiment in the Sub-Arctic Region (CAESAR). The GVR is an upward-pointing passive microwave radiometer using four frequencies centered around the 183.31 GHz water vapor absorption line, displaced by +- 1, 3, 7, and 14 GHz. For context, The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)’s Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) user facility operates a surface-based GVR at its North Slope of Alaska (NSA) site. The same GVR has been used previously for a field campaign in the southeast Pacific, where an offset was noticed between brightness temperatures (Tbs) measured under clear skies compared to those calculated from a radiative transfer model. To account for any calibration offsets to the Tbs, a request was made to DOE to allow the GVR to operate at ARM’s Southern Great Plains (SGP) observatory and enable comparisons between its measurements and those available at SGP. This request was granted, titled ‘UMGVR_CAL’, short for ‘UMGVR_Calibration’. From October 30 to November 10, 2023, the GVR was deployed to the ARM SGP site to take advantage of their regular, nearby radiosonde launches under clear-sky conditions. The latter were determined using the SGP total sky imagery data. The GVR brightness temperatures in these clear-sky conditions were compared to those calculated by a radiative transfer code (PAMTRA) based on the SGP radiosondes. During the campaign, four suitable clear-sky episodes could be used for the GVR calibration. While few in number, these proved to be enough to satisfy our goal.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Logistic classification for tool life modeling in machining

This paper describes the application of logistic classification for tool life modeling and prediction in an industrial setting using shop floor data. Tool life is treated as a classification problem since tool wear can only be measured at the time of tool replacement in a production environment. Laboratory tool wear experiments are used to simulate shop floor wear data by two states: not worn (class 0); and worn (class 1). To incorporate non-linearity in logistic classification, a log-transformation of input features is performed. The logistic classification approach, results, and interpretability of the logistic model are presented.

Karandikar, Jaydeep↗

Projecting Life-Cycle Environmental Impacts of Corn Production in the U.S. Midwest under Future Climate Scenarios using machine learning approach

Emission factors and process-based mechanism models are popular approaches used to estimate life-cycle environmental impacts. However, emission factors are often incapable of describing spatial and temporal heterogeneity of agricultural emissions, whereas process-based mechanism models, capable of capturing the heterogeneity, tend to be very complicated, and time-consuming. Efficient predictions of life-cycle environmental impacts from agricultural production are lacking. This study develops a rapid predictive model to quantify life-cycle global warming (GW), eutrophication (EU) and acidification (AD) impacts of corn production using a novel machine learning approach. We used the boosted regression tree (BRT) model to estimate current and future life-cycle environmental impacts of corn production in 12 U.S. Midwest at county scale under four Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)’s climate scenarios (RCP2.6. 4.5, 6.0, and 8.5) for years 2009-2100. Results show that future life-cycle GW, EU and AD impacts of corn production will increase under all four scenarios, with the worst environmental impacts shown under the RCP 8.5 scenario. Significant spatial variation were estimated to be 3.6, 29.9 and 1.8-folds under the RCP4.5 scenario, and 6.6, 152.9 and 1.6-folds under the RCP8.5 scenario, respectively. Findings from this study demonstrate the importance of considering county-level life-cycle environmental impacts and the influences of climate change in future years to aid in developing potential adaptation and mitigation programs and policies.

Machine learning, climate change, projections, env↗

Umbilical Fatigue Analysis for a Wave Energy Converter

Unique umbilical designs for wave energy converters (WECs), including the ability to handle significantly larger motions and loads over long deployments, are often required when conventional marine umbilical designs for offshore oil and gas and offshore wind may not meet the design and cost needs of wave energy technologies. This study details a fatigue analysis of a dynamic power umbilical attached to a two-body floating point absorber WEC system, using the sea states provided for the PacWave testing facilities. The 6 degrees of freedom motion time history for the WEC was simulated, and the motions of the attachment point for the umbilical on the WEC and respective sea states were used to analyze the dynamic motions and fatigue of the connected power umbilical to predict the fatigue life. The results show that the fatigue damage observed is more significant in shallow water, and extensive fatigue damage may occur because of the larger curvature response of the umbilical. The umbilical configurations departing at 90 deg off incoming waves were found to have the highest fatigue life attributed to less extension or compression of the umbilical. However, additional bend stiffener/limiter features may need to be incorporated into the buoyancy section and touchdown regions to minimize curvature-induced fatigue.

50 EE - Wind and Water Power Program - Water (EE-4↗

Life Expectancy of Evaporating Capillary Bridges Predicted by Tertiary Creep Modeling

The evaporation of capillary bridges is experimentally investigated at the microscale through a three-grain capillary cluster. This setting provides the minimum viable description of Haines jumps during evaporation, that is, capillary instabilities stemming from air entry into a saturated granular material. The displacement profile of a meniscus is obtained via digital image correlation for different grain materials, geometries, and separations. While it is well known that Haines jumps are triggered at the pore throat, we find that these instabilities are of three types depending on the separation. We also provide a temporal characterization of Haines jumps; we find that they are accurately described, as tertiary creep instabilities, by Voight’s relation, similarly to landslides and volcanic eruptions. This finding extends the description of capillary instabilities beyond their onset predicted by Laplace equilibrium. Our contribution also paves the way for a microscopically-informed description of desiccation cracks, of which Haines jumps are the precursors.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Bayesian learning for rapid prediction of lithium-ion battery-cycling protocols

Advancing lithium-ion battery technology requires the optimization of cycling protocols. A new data-driven methodology is demonstrated for rapid, accurate prediction of the cycle life obtained by new cycling protocols using a single test lasting only 3 cycles, enabling rapid exploration of cycling protocol design spaces with orders of magnitude reduction in testing time. We achieve this by combining lifetime early prediction with a hierarchical Bayesian model (HBM) to rapidly predict performance distributions without the need for extensive repetitive testing. The methodology is applied to a comprehensive dataset of lithium-iron-phosphate/graphite comprising 29 different fast-charging protocols. HBM alone provides high protocol-lifetime prediction performance, with 6.5% of overall test average percent error, after cycling only one battery to failure. Here, by combining HBM with a battery lifetime prediction model, we achieve a test error of 8.8% using a single 3-cycle test. In addition, the generalizability of the HBM approach is demonstrated for lithium-manganese-cobalt-oxide/graphite cells.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

BACKFLIP Project: Determination of BACKsheet Material Properties: A Comparison of Market-Benchmark Technologies to Novel Non-Fluoro-Based Co-Extruded Backsheet Materials and Their Correlation and Impact on PV Module Degradation Rates

Quantifying degradation rate of backsheets will help procuring materials for 30+ years. Today most backsheets on the market have a laminated PET core; polyolefin materials may provide better properties for backsheets (barrier to water, mechanical properties through UV and hydrolytic environments, etc.). End-of-life regulations may require fluorine-free backsheet products in future global markets. Parametrized equation predicting the service life of backsheets, and validated by both lab and outdoor extensive testing. Technical and commercial confidence to the entire value chain: from backsheet and module manufacturers to the downstream community (IPP, banks, developers) that materials of higher quality can help reduce finance costs, therefore driving down LCOE. A fast track PV module market adaptation for novel high-quality materials, such as co-extruded polyolefin-core backsheets, by obtaining unbiased durability data.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

PyBLM (Python-based Battery Life Model) [SWR-21-50]

PyBLM is a battery life model to predict the capacity fade of two home battery energy storage systems, manufactured by LG and Tesla. The battery life model is built from experimental test data, and accounts for calendar and cycling aging mechanisms as functions of cell environmental conditions and use. PyBLM is developed in Python and formatted to work in conjunction with another NREL software named TEMPEST (Thermo-Electric Model for Powering Energy Storage Technologies).

Mishra, Partha↗