Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “PREDICTION THEORY”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 145 records · Page 8
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Multiple Operando Fields Can Identify a Predictive Mass Transport Theory in Electrolytes

An electrolyte transport theory connects its transport properties, evolution of spatiotemporal fields (e.g., concentration), and corresponding macroscopic current and voltage responses. Given this interconnection, the transport properties are typically inferred by analyzing the macroscopic response through the lens of a chosen electrolyte transport theory. Unfortunately, the same macroscopic measurements can be analyzed by using different theories to arrive at seemingly dissimilar properties that are inconsistent with each other. Here, we offer a resolution to this dilemma by analyzing multiple spatiotemporal (i.e., operando) fields for a given electrolyte. We show that predictive transport theory can analyze operando fields to estimate underlying transport properties and subsequently predict another operando field. A theory passing this test identifies meaningful transport properties such that the electrolyte behavior can be accurately predicted over a wide range of excitations, and is critical to property-based electrolyte screening and electrolyte discovery efforts.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
NASA NTRS1979

Gyro precession and Mach's principle

The precession of a gyroscope is calculated in a nonrelativistic theory due to Barbour which satisfies Mach's principle. It is shown that the theory predicts both the geodetic and motional precession of general relativity to within factors of order 1. The significance of the gyro experiment is discussed from the point of view of metric theories of gravity and this is contrasted with its significance from the point of view of Mach's principle.

Eby, P.↗
NASA NTRS2001

Spectroscopic diagnostics of organic chemistry in the protostellar environment

A combination of astronomical observations, laboratory studies, and theoretical modelling is necessary to determine the organic chemistry of dense molecular clouds. We present spectroscopic evidence for the composition and evolution of organic molecules in protostellar environments. The principal reaction pathways to complex molecule formation by catalysis on dust grains and by reactions in the interstellar gas are described. Protostellar cores, where warming of dust has induced evaporation of icy grain mantles, are excellent sites in which to study the interaction between gas phase and grain-surface chemistries. We investigate the link between organics that are observed as direct products of grain surface reactions and those which are formed by secondary gas phase reactions of evaporated surface products. Theory predicts observable correlations between specific interstellar molecules, and also which new organics are viable for detection. We discuss recent infrared observations obtained with the Infrared Space Observatory, laboratory studies of organic molecules, theories of molecule formation, and summarise recent radioastronomical searches for various complex molecules such as ethers, azaheterocyclic compounds, and amino acids.

Ethers/analysis/chemical synthesis/chemistry↗
NASA NTRS1990

Nonlinear development of crossflow vortices

Nonlinear crossflow vortices in an incompressible three-dimensional boundary layer are computed by weakly nonlinear theory and direct numerical simulations. The parallel basic flow is defined by Falkner-Skan-Cooke similarity profiles. The temporal evolution of spanwise periodic, quasi-two-dimensional disturbances without variations along the vortex axis is considered. The nonlinear theory is based on the approach of Herbert (1980, 1983). The theory predicts the existence of the finite amplitude equilibrium states seen in earlier simulations. When the disturbance amplitudes are small, there is very good quantitative agreement in the fundamental disturbance velocity components between the theory and the simulations.

Singer, Bart A.↗
NASA NTRS1982

Misconceptions in recent papers on special relativity and absolute space theories

Several recent papers which purport to substantiate or negate arguments in favor of certain theories of absolute space have been based on fallacious principles. This paper discusses three related instances, indicating where misconceptions have arisen. It is established, contrary to popular belief, that the classical Lorentz ether theory accounts for all the experimental evidence which supports the special theory of relativity. It is demonstrated that the ether theory predicts the null results obtained from pulsar timing and Moessbauer experiments. It is concluded that a measurement of the one-way velocity of light has physical meaning within the context of the Lorentz theory, and it is argued that an adequately designed experiment to measure the one-way velocity of light should be attempted.

Torr, D. G.↗
NASA NTRS1982

Nonlinear structural and life analyses of a turbine blade

The most critical structural requirements that aircraft gas turbine engines must meet result from the diversity of extreme environmental conditions in the turbine section components. Accurate life assessment of the components under these conditions requires sound analytical tools and techniques. The utility of advanced structural analysis techniques and advanced life prediction techniques in the life assessment of hot-section components was evaluated. The extend to which a three-dimensional cyclic isoparametric finite element analysis of a hot-section component would improve the accuracy of component life predictions was assessed. At the same time, high temperature life prediction theories such as strainrange partitioning and the frequency modified approaches were applied and their efficiency judged. A stress analysis was performed on a commercial air-cooled turbine blade. The evaluation of the life prediction methods indicated that none of those studied were satisfactory.

Kaufman, A.↗
NASA NTRS2011

Discovery and Mass Measurements of a Cold, 10-Earth Mass Planet and Its Host Star

We present the discovery and mass measurement of the cold, low-mass planet MOA-2009-BLG-266Lb, made with the gravitational microlensing method. This planet has a mass of mp = 10.4 +/- M(Earth) and orbits a star of Mstar = 0.56 +/- 0.09 M(Sun) at a semi-major axis of a = 3.2 + 1.9/-0.5 AU, and an orbital period of 7.6 +7.7/-1.5 yrs. The planet and host star mass measurements are due to the measurement of the microlensing parallax effect. This measurement was primarily due to the orbital motion of the Earth, but the analysis also demonstrates the capability measure micro lensing parallax with the Deep Impact (or EPOXI) spacecraft in a Heliocentric orbit. The planet mass and orbital distance are similar to predictions for the critical core mass needed to accrete a substantial gaseous envelope, and thus may indicate that this planet is a failed gas giant. This and future microlensing detections will test planet formation theory predictions regarding the prevalence and masses of such planets

Barry, Richard K.↗
DOE OSTI2026

Mu2e Experiment

The goal of the Mu2e experiment is right in the name. Mu2e (pronounced “mew-to-ee”) is shorthand for “muon to electron.” Scientists are looking for the one-to-one conversion of a particle called the muon into its more familiar relative, the electron. New theories predict this never observed transformation, and Mu2e will be 10,000 times more sensitive than previous attempts to discover it. A successful sighting could hint at undiscovered particles and potentially illuminate a grand unification theory of nature’s four forces. The experiment complements research at the Large Hadron Collider in Europe, potentially clarifying the origins of new particles.

Fermilab, Fermilab↗
DOE OSTI2025

Interpretable machine learning-guided design of Fe-based soft magnetic alloys

Here, we present a machine learning (ML) guided approach to predict saturation magnetization (𝑀 S ) and coercivity (𝐻 C ) in Fe-rich soft magnetic alloys, particularly Fe-Si-B systems. ML models trained on experimental data reveal that increasing Si and B content reduces 𝑀 S from 1.81 T (DFT ≈ 2.04 T) to ≈1.54 T (DFT ≈ 1.56T) in Fe-Si-B, which is attributed to decreased magnetic density and structural modifications. Experimental validation of ML predicted magnetic saturation on Fe-1Si-1B (2.09 T), Fe-5Si-5B (2.01 T), and Fe-10Si-10B (1.54 T) alloy compositions further supports our findings. These trends are consistent with density functional theory predictions, which link increased electronic disorder and band broadening to lower 𝑀 S values. Experimental validation on selected alloys confirms the predictive accuracy of the ML model, with good agreement across compositions. Beyond predictive accuracy, detailed uncertainty quantification and model interpretability including through feature importance and partial dependence analysis reveal that 𝑀 S is governed by a nonlinear interplay between Fe content and early transition metal ratios, while 𝐻 C is more sensitive to processing conditions such as ribbon thickness and thermal treatment windows. The ML framework was further applied to Fe-Si-B/Cr/Cu/Zr/Nb alloys in a pseudoquaternary compositional space, which shows comparable magnetic properties to NANOMET (Fe 84.8 ⁢Si 0.5 ⁢B 9.4 ⁢Cu 0.8⁢ P 3.5 ⁢C 1 ), FINEMET (Fe 73.5 ⁢Si 13.5 ⁢B 9 Cu 1 ⁢Nb 3 ), NANOPERM (Fe 88 ⁢Zr 7⁢ B 4 ⁢Cu 1 ), and HITPERM (Fe 44 ⁢Co 44 ⁢Zr 7⁢ B 4 ⁢Cu 1 . Our findings demonstrate the potential of the ML framework for accelerated search of high-performance soft magnetic materials.

density functional theory↗
NASA NTRS1989

Cosmological velocity correlations - Observations and model predictions

By applying the present simple statistics for two-point cosmological peculiar velocity-correlation measurements to the actual data sets of the Local Supercluster spiral galaxy of Aaronson et al. (1982) and the elliptical galaxy sample of Burstein et al. (1987), as well as to the velocity field predicted by the distribution of IRAS galaxies, a coherence length of 1100-1600 km/sec is obtained. Coherence length is defined as that separation at which the correlations drop to half their zero-lag value. These results are compared with predictions from two models of large-scale structure formation: that of cold dark matter and that of baryon isocurvature proposed by Peebles (1980). N-body simulations of these models are performed to check the linear theory predictions and measure sampling fluctuations.

Gorski, Krzysztof M.↗
NASA NTRS1961

Free Flight Observation of a Separated Turbulent Flow Including Heat Transfer Up to Mach 8.5

A turbulent boundary layer separated by a forward-facing step was observed on the cylindrical portion of a hemisphere-cone-cylinder test vehicle. Tip blunting, producing a shear flow, was found to induce higher pressures on the cylindrical portion than were predicted from ballistic tunnel data of unblunted projectiles. An approximate method for predicting this blunt-body pressure distribution was hypothesized. These findings, along with the hypothesis, were substantiated by a wind tunnel test of a similar body. The peak pressure ratios of the separation were smaller in magnitude than flat plate theory predicted because of the effect of the shear flow. The decrement in heating of the separated flow, relative to the corresponding attached flow, was found to compare well with the expected results.

McConnell, Dudley George↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Heat Transfer Measurements of NASA Liquid Kerosene/Oxygen Rotating Detonation Rocket Engine

The RDRE has been identified as a viable high performance propulsion system with numerous advantages over the state-of-the-art (SOA) liquid rocket engine. NASA has been investigating this combustion device for applications ranging from lander, upper stage, thruster, and hypersonics. All of the activities funded to date have been focused on closing major technology gaps preventing the RDRE from being used more broadly by industry. One of those gaps include the prediction and management of heat transfer to the walls from the extreme combustion environment. This work overviews the heat transfer measurements made using new and existing hardware. A liquid oxygen / liquid RP-1 RDRE was tested utilizing a calorimeter outer body and outer body nozzle extension. An actively cooled inner body with axial running cooling channels was also used. A bimetallic GRCop-42 / Monel K500 injector was developed and demonstrated to be a viable technology for RDRE environments. Trends in bulk heat loads are discussed along with a direct comparison to constant pressure theory predictions of wall heat transfer. The experimental data obtained in this investigation showed similar heat fluxes to constant pressure theory indicating deflagration may have dominated the flow field. Only a single detonation wave was observed in all tests which imparted a significant dynamic load (vibration) on the test article making measurement of combustor performances extremely challenging. Both accelerometer and load cell data corroborate the extreme G-forces measured. The single wave mode yielded relatively low performances compared with other hot fire test data sets available. This leads to the conclusion that a single detonation wave in this geometry is not sufficient for high performance. Wave multiplicity, or rather, a specific number of waves may yield higher performances.

Thomas Teasley↗
NASA NTRS1980

Theoretical prediction of nonlinear propagation effects on noise signatures generated by subsonic or supersonic propeller or rotor-blade tips

The nonlinear propagation equations for sound generated by a constant speed blade tip are presented. Propagation from a subsonic tip is treated as well as the various cases that can occur at supersonic speeds. Some computed examples indicate that the nonlinear theory correlates with experimental results better than linear theory for large amplitude waves. For swept tips that generate a wave with large amplitude leading expansion, the nonlinear theory predicts a cancellation effect that results in a significant reduction of both amplitude and impulse.

Barger, R. L.↗
NASA NTRS2002

Chandra Observations of Magnetic White Dwarfs and Their Theoretical Implications

Observations of cool DA and DB white dwarfs have not yet been successful in detecting coronal X-ray emission but observations of late-type dwarfs and giants show that coronae are common for these stars. To produce coronal X-rays, a star must have dynamo-generated surface magnetic fields and a well-developed convection zone. There is strong observational evidence that the DA star LHS 1038 and the DB star GD 358 have weak and variable surface magnetic fields. Since these fields are likely to be generated by dynamo action and since both stars have well-developed convection zones, theory predicts detectable levels of coronal X-rays from these white dwarfs. However, we present analysis of Chandra observations of both stars showing no detectable X-ray emission. The derived upper limits for the X-ray fluxes provide strong constraints on theories of formation of coronae around magnetic white dwarfs.

Musielak, Z. E.↗
NASA NTRS2003

Chandra Observations of Magnetic White Dwarfs and their Theoretical Implications

Observations of cool DA and DB white dwarfs have not yet been successful in detecting coronal X-ray emission, but observations of late-type dwarfs and giants show that coronae are common for these stars. To produce coronal X-rays, a star must have dynamo-generated surface magnetic fields and a well-developed convection zone. There is some observational evidence that the DA star LHS 1038 and the DB star GD 358 have weak and variable surface magnetic fields. It has been suggested that such fields can be generated by dynamo action, and since both stars have well-developed convection zones, theory predicts detectable levels of coronal X-rays from these white dwarfs. However, we present analysis of Chandra observations of both stars showing no detectable X-ray emission. The derived upper limits for the X-ray fluxes provide strong constraints on theories of formation of coronae around magnetic white dwarfs. Another important implication of our negative Chandra observations is the possibility that the magnetic fields of LHS 1038 and GD 358 are fossil fields.

Musielak, Z. E.↗
NASA NTRS1990

Formula for the rms blur circle radius of Wolter telescope based on aberration theory

A formula for the rms blur circle for Wolter telescopes has been derived using the transverse ray aberration expressions of Saha (1985), Saha (1984), and Saha (1986). The resulting formula for the rms blur circle radius over an image plane and a formula for the surface of best focus based on third-, fifth-, and seventh-order aberration theory predict results in good agreement with exact ray tracing. It has also been shown that one of the two terms in the empirical formula of VanSpeybroeck and Chase (1972), for the rms blur circle radius of a Wolter I telescope can be justified by the aberration theory results. Numerical results are given comparing the rms blur radius and the surface of best focus vs the half-field angle computed by skew ray tracing and from analytical formulas for grazing incidence Wolter I-II telescopes and a normal incidence Cassegrain telescope.

Shealy, David L.↗
NASA NTRS1994

Early stellar evolution

Research into the formation and early evolution of stars is currently an area of great interest and activity. The theoretical and observational foundations for this development are reviewed in this paper. By now, the basic physics governing cloud collapse is well understood, as is the structure of the resulting protostars. However, the theory predicts protostellar luminosities that are greater than those of most infrared sources. Observationally, it is thought that protostars emit powerful winds that push away remnant cloud gas, but both the origin of these winds and the nature of their interaction with ambient gas are controversial. Finally, the theory of pre-main-sequence stars has been modified to incorporate more realistic initial conditions. This improvement helps to explain the distribution of such stars in the H-R diagram. Many important issues, such as the origin of binary stars and stellar clusters, remain as challenges for future research.

Stahler, Steven W.↗