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DOE OSTI2023

Understanding and Predictability of Integrated Mountain Hydroclimate (Workshop Report)

Mountainous systems cover approximately 23% of Earth’s land and are distributed across all continents. They can capture and store atmospheric moisture that is then cycled through the terrestrial surface and subsurface system, released to downstream communities, and cycled back to the atmosphere. Mountain hydroclimate—characterized by steep gradients, geological, ecological, and biogeochemical diversity—is influenced by topographic forcing and elevated warming and susceptible to large subseasonal to multidecadal variability and rapid changes. Terrestrial hydrological and biogeochemical cycles also experience cascading effects from global warming impacts, such as multidecadal declines in mountain snowpack, longer growing seasons, and increased frequency and severity of extreme events like droughts and wildfires. However, little is known about the effects of these impacts and their feedbacks on climate systems and surface-subsurface compartments. Also unknown are the full implications of changing hydroclimate and extreme events on hydro biogeochemical cycles across atmosphere, terrestrial, and human systems in mountain regions and beyond. This knowledge gap is critical, given human reliance on mountain systems for stable water supply and quality. Mountain systems’ increasing vulnerability to climate change and human perturbations motivates the need to improve understanding of integrated mountain hydroclimate (IMHC) systems and their feedbacks and impacts on humans across scales. However, due to large heterogeneity and strong gradients, coupled natural-human processes in mountain regions present significant challenges for observations, modeling, predictions, and projections. Motivated by gaps in mountain hydroclimate understanding, observations, and modeling and the need for credible projections of future changes, the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE) Biological and Environmental Research (BER) program organized a virtual workshop on “Understanding and Predictability of Integrated Mountain Hydroclimate.” Sponsored by BER’s Earth and Environmental Systems Sciences Division (EESSD), the workshop aimed to inform and catalyze EESSD’s growing interests in enhancing predictive understanding of IMHC. Organizers structured the workshop to identify (1) knowledge gaps, (2) observational and modeling challenges, (3) short-term (1 to 3 years) and long-term (10 years and beyond) research opportunities, and (4) strategies for fostering collaboration and coordination. To address the outstanding challenges of IMHC, the workshop included two sessions organized by disciplinary, cross-disciplinary, and crosscutting science topics. The disciplinary and cross-disciplinary topics focused on essential IMHC elements: atmosphere, terrestrial, and human systems and their interactions. Breakout sessions on disciplinary and cross-disciplinary topics facilitated identification of crosscutting topics and central emerging themes. Session 1 focused on connecting existing DOE investments to accelerate progress related to scientific challenges in understanding mountain hydroclimate. In Session 2, participants further explored key Session 1 takeaways through the lens of multiagency collaborations and coordination.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Understanding and Tailoring Diffusion and Co-Adsorption Inside the Confined Pores of Metal-Organic Frameworks (Final Scientific/Technical Report for Award DE-SC0019902)

The aim of this program was to gain a fundamental understanding of the behavior of various guest molecules in nano-confined environments, such as metal organic frameworks (MOFs), using a combination of novel synthesis, ab initio modeling, and in situ characterization. Through this project, we developed a concise understanding of the mechanisms that control adsorption/desorption of gaseous molecules and their mixtures, leading to design/synthesis guidelines for MOFs with desired functionality. We further developed methods to disentangle kinetic from thermodynamic effects during adsorption, as well as to characterize the interactions at play. In the first funding cycle, the focus was on the unambiguously characterization of co-adsorption and diffusion of gasses/vapors and their mixtures. In the second funding cycle, the focus was on characterizing the effects of the nano-confinement on the kinetics and thermodynamics of adsorption processes inside MOFs, again with an emphasis on mixtures of gasses and vapors. The nano-confinement can tip the thermodynamic vs. kinetic balance, and current understanding and theory based on single-component analysis can lead to incorrect predictions for mixtures. This is of particular interest in real-world applications, where gasses/vapors are typically mixed, contain impurities, or are often exposed to humid conditions. Our main findings were: (i) within confined environments the adsorption behavior of mixed gasses/vapors can be drastically different from the “sum” of the corresponding single phases; (ii) co-adsorption is often competitive and detrimental to performance, but it can also be cooperative and beneficial; (iii) in some co-adsorbed gasses/vapors, molecules that are strongly bound in the single-component phase can be replaced by molecules that are nominally weaker bound (molecular exchange) due to guest-guest interactions that lower the kinetic barriers and favor the final adsorption state; (iv) kinetic and thermodynamic effects can be precisely controlled through pore-size engineering and synthesis; and, (v) kinetic effects can be identified and disentangled from thermodynamic effects during adsorption through a series of sequential and simultaneous gas loading measurements. The short-term goal of this program was the controlling and understanding of common MOF systems in real-world situations where gasses/vapors are mixed, which will have an important impact on industrial processes and applications from gas storage and sequestration to catalysis and sensors. The long-term goals include the development of theoretical and experimental methods for gaining a fundamental understanding of adsorption/reaction processes within MOFs, as well as new guidelines for synthesizing MOFs with tailored physical and chemical properties.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

NASA NTRS2018

Bringing Climate Scientist's Tools into Classrooms to Improve Conceptual Understandings

Efforts to address anthropogenic global climate change (AGCC) require public understanding of Earth and climate science. To meet this need, educational reforms and prominent scientists have called for instructional approaches that teach students how climate scientists examine AGCC. Yet, only a few educational studies have reported clear empirical results on what instructional approaches and climate education technologies best accomplish this goal. This manuscript presents detailed analysis and statistically significant results on the educational impact pre to post of students learning to use a National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) global climate model (GCM). This series of case studies demonstrates that differing instructional approaches and climate education technologies result in differing levels of understanding of AGCC and ability to engage with policies addressing it. Students who learned the scientific process of climate modeling scored significantly higher pre to post on exams (quantitatively) and gained more complete conceptual understandings of the issue (qualitatively). Yet, teaching students to conduct research with complex technology can be difficult. This study also found lecture-based learning better improved recall of facts about GCMs tested by multiple-choice questions. Our findings indicate what educational systems and related technologies might provide the public with the conceptual understandings necessary to engage in the political debate over AGCC.

Public understanding↗

DOE OSTI2024

Virtual texture analysis to understand microstructure effects on deformation twinning and detwinning behavior in BCC metals

Understanding and predicting deformation twinning contributions to plastic deformation in BCC metals has been a long-standing challenge due to the interplay with dislocation slip and non-Schmid effects that render an asymmetry under tension and compression. This paper uses molecular dynamics simulations to understand the effect of unloading and grain orientation on deformation twinning in a nanocrystalline Fe (nc-Fe) system as a model BCC metal. The nc-Fe system is loaded under uniaxial stress tension and compression to understand the effect of grain orientation (Schmid effects) on deformation twinning behavior and the tension/compression asymmetry (non-Schmid effects). A new virtual texture analysis “VirTex” tool is used to understand the role of grain orientation on the nucleation of twins and their contributions to the observed stress–strain response. For certain grain orientations, the twinnability is observed to be different in tension and compression. In addition, the flow stress accommodation from twins in certain grains is observed to be different in tension and compression and different from that for the grains. Subsequent unloading leads to detwinning in the deformed microstructures, where the extent of detwinning depends on the strain from which the system is unloaded and on the morphology of the twin. Lastly, the simulations are carried out to analyze the role of the Schmid factor on the twinnability and asymmetry in tension and compression.

Kannan, Aadhithyan [University of Connecticut, Sto↗

DOE OSTI2023

Astrovirology: how viruses enhance our understanding of life in the Universe

Abstract Viruses are the most numerically abundant biological entities on Earth. As ubiquitous replicators of molecular information and agents of community change, viruses have potent effects on the life on Earth, and may play a critical role in human spaceflight, for life-detection missions to other planetary bodies and planetary protection. However, major knowledge gaps constrain our understanding of the Earth's virosphere: (1) the role viruses play in biogeochemical cycles, (2) the origin(s) of viruses and (3) the involvement of viruses in the evolution, distribution and persistence of life. As viruses are the only replicators that span all known types of nucleic acids, an expanded experimental and theoretical toolbox built for Earth's viruses will be pivotal for detecting and understanding life on Earth and beyond. Only by filling in these knowledge and technical gaps we will obtain an inclusive assessment of how to distinguish and detect life on other planetary surfaces. Meanwhile, space exploration requires life-support systems for the needs of humans, plants and their microbial inhabitants. Viral effects on microbes and plants are essential for Earth's biosphere and human health, but virus–host interactions in spaceflight are poorly understood. Viral relationships with their hosts respond to environmental changes in complex ways which are difficult to predict by extrapolating from Earth-based proxies. These relationships should be studied in space to fully understand how spaceflight will modulate viral impacts on human health and life-support systems, including microbiomes. In this review, we address key questions that must be examined to incorporate viruses into Earth system models, life-support systems and life detection. Tackling these questions will benefit our efforts to develop planetary protection protocols and further our understanding of viruses in astrobiology.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2023

Understanding Impacts of Frequency Calculations on Underfrequency Load Shedding

Power system fundamental frequency-dependent protection decisions and control decisions are increasingly common in the distribution system space. Understanding the algorithms used in frequency measurements is critical to understanding the decisions made by the many intelligent electronic devices in the power system. These decisions are critically important for reliability analysis for interconnected power systems as they bear directly on resource planning to mitigate under-frequency conditions that would result in under-frequency load shedding (UFLS). This work aims to improve the understanding of frequency measurement algorithms, evaluate the intelligent electronic devices that use frequency measurements for decision making, and understand the algorithms' direct impact on frequency related decision making. First, this work presents background information on the use of frequency measurements in protection logic, specifically UFLS. Second, the paper presents a relay hardware evaluation test bed used to detect and protect systems from under-frequency events. Finally, the paper presents the dynamic events used to evaluate commercially available, off-the-shelf relay equipment and the results from the relay evaluation.

COMTRADE↗

DOE OSTI2025

SUNSet: The Software Understanding for National Security Dataset Repo

SAND2025-00511O SUNSet: The Software Understanding for National Security Dataset Repo serves as a repository for software understanding researchers to conduct systematic research in the field. It provides a platform for storing questions, answers, and scripts related to software programs, supporting research in software understanding. The repository is a nascent effort aimed at exploring the support needed by researchers and documenting how software understanding questions can be addressed using existing tools. The software consists of a simple database and front end interface for easy access and management of the stored information. Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-NA0003525.

Amon, Tod [Sandia National Lab. (SNL-CA), Livermor↗

DOE OSTI2018

A Systems Biology and Pond Culture-based Understanding and Improvement of Metabolic Processes Related to Productivity in Diverse Microalgal Classes for Viable Biofuel Production

The overarching goal of this project was to understand and manipulate fundamental molecular mechanisms involved in maximizing growth rate and lipid accumulation in diverse classes of microalgae under authentic diurnal conditions to enhance production capabilities for biofuels. The research was aimed at filling two critical knowledge gaps by addressing fundamental cellular issues that govern growth and fuel molecule accumulation in conjunction with realistic climate-simulated cultivation: 1) The insufficient understanding of the effect of metabolic topology on cellular carbon partitioning and its regulation with regards to productivity. 2) The understudied effect of the diurnal and cell cycles on cellular metabolism, resource allocation, and resource mobilization under simulated production conditions. To unravel broader as well as lineage-specific regulatory mechanisms that determine productivity, we compared green algae with diatoms. Complementing the systems approach with a pond-based cultivation method under authentic diurnal conditions, we anticipated an understanding of how the effect of diurnal and cell cycles affects growth and lipid productivity. Elucidation of the topology and regulation of relevant metabolic networks in proposed new model organisms was expected to enable improvements in functional capabilities and biosynthetic pathways. The major goals of the project were achieved by the following accomplishments. Genome assemblies and functional annotations for the green algae S. obliquus strain DOE0152Z and Coleastrella sp. strain DOE0202. Development of a metabolic map for the core carbon metabolism for S. obliquus. Analyzed the cellular topology for the core carbon network and proposed differences in core carbon metabolism for the Chlorophyceae versus the Trebouxiophyceae. Discovered the genes for enzymes involved in dicarboxylic acid metabolism and proposed the existence of C4-type metabolism for S. obliquus. Calculated the energy and reducing equivalencies for TAG and isoprenoid biosynthesis based on the core carbon network created in this project. Identified one newly created strain SOM-P004 (UV-Mutagenesis), which performed better at higher culture densities than wild type in LEAPS reactors under simulated environmental conditions. Results obtained within the course of this project were used in 2017 to apply for a Community Science Program (CSP) at the DOE Joint Genome Institute (JGI). The project (JGI Proposal Id: 503423) with the Title “Comparative genomics and germ plasm diversity in Acutodesmus, a green microalgal bioenergy feedstock candidate with potential for breeding and hybridization.” was selected for CSP 2018 for sequencing of up to 30 genomes of the alga A. obliquus (=S. obliquus). Our genome of the strain DOE0152Z serves as a reference for this new CSP project. Characterization of synchronized cultures of Cyclotella cryptica and the implications on productivity. Determination that some cellular pigments respond to light, but others to the cell cycle. Characterization of productivity of C. cryptica in PNNL ponds. Genome sequence and metabolic mapping of Marinichlorella kaistiae KAS603. Demonstration that some green algae store and utilize starch in the cytoplasm. Photorespiratory pathway clarified in T. pseudonana leading to a better understanding of carbon flux pathways in diatoms. Genome sequence determination, annotation, and comparison completed for C. cryptica, identifying potential metabolic differences that lead to high biomass and lipid accumulation ability for this species. Transcriptomic comparison of silicon (Si) and nitrogen (N) limited triacylglycerol accumulation in Cyclotella cryptica.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2019

Breaking the Bottleneck of Genomes: Understanding Gene Function Across Taxa Workshop Report

In the last few decades, high-throughput technologies using various “omics” have enabled unprecedented views of biological systems at the molecular level. In parallel, the integration of omic datasets using computational modeling has provided new understanding of biological processes in organisms relevant to the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE) missions in energy and the environment. Collectively, these developments have spearheaded the advancement of systems biology, which can be viewed as a holistic approach for deciphering the complexity of biological systems. However, as high-throughput omic technologies and integrative systems biology efforts have improved our understanding of some biological systems, analyzing and finding meaningful answers within these massive datasets remain extremely challenging, in large part due to the lack of fundamental knowledge of gene function. Indeed, all sequenced genomes, both microbes and plants, contain large numbers of genes of “unknown function” that significantly limit scientists’ ability to model, predict, and engineer organisms with enhanced functions relevant to DOE. Current methodologies can be employed to decipher gene function, but they are typically slow, laborious, inefficient, and not scalable. This “bottleneck” in genome understanding could be broken with new, innovative, and transformative experimental tools, datasets, and computation that can define gene function on a massive and high-throughput scale compatible with the pace of DNA sequencing. In light of this grand challenge, DOE’s Office of Biological and Environmental Research (BER) convened the Breaking the Bottleneck of Genomes: Understanding Gene Function Across Taxa workshop on November 1–2, 2018. This workshop brought together leaders in microbiology, plant sciences, technology, and computation, who collectively identified the experimental and data analysis gaps preventing large-scale gene function determination as well as opportunities for overcoming these gaps.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

First-Principles Understanding of Optical Excitations within Low-Dimensional Materials

The objective of this project is to utilize first-principles computational approaches to understand optical excitations within two-dimensional monolayers and heterostructures, with the ultimate goal of designing new materials by modifying the chemical and physical structure on the nanoscale. In 2D heterostructures, the nature and movement of the exciton is determined to a large extent by the electron-electron and electron-phonon strengths within individual monolayers, as well as the coupling between layers, all of which in turn depend on chemistry, solid-state screening properties, and quantum confinement. Controlling the nature and migration properties of excitons requires an understanding of the complex relationship between electrons, phonons, defects, disorder, and dynamics. The aim of this project is to determine, by analysis of highly accurate density functional theory (DFT) and many-body perturbation theory (MBPT) calculations, how these complexities can be decomposed into simple, tunable parameters. The specific goals of this project are to 1) understand electron conductivity, absorption and transparency of monolayer semiconductors and metals; 2) develop a theory of excitons near defects in low dimensions; and 3) understand the influence of inter-layer interactions in heterostructures.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

DOE OSTI2025

Advanced Materials & Manufacturing Technology (AMMT): Process understanding for qualifying LPBF 316H SS

Investigations were conducted in fiscal years (FY) 2023 and 2024 to gather relevant data sets addressing challenges related to qualifying 316H stainless steel (SS) for use in future nuclear reactors. This work was a collaborative effort involving researchers from Idaho National Laboratory (INL), Argonne National Laboratory (ANL), and Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL). Key outcomes included: • Development of process-structure-property data sets to better understand the relationships between manufacturing processes, material structure, and performance characteristics. • Establishment of an in-situ monitoring system to link these various data sets together. • Detailed characterization of the raw material feedstock to further strengthen the understanding of process-structure and process-property relationships. Building on this foundation, in FY25 there was interest in exploring the behavior of additively manufactured 316H SS under different test conditions to support the overall material qualification process. Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) was tasked with providing specimen samples to the collaborating labs, who then conducted a round-robin study examining factors like selective heat treatment, low-cycle fatigue (LCF), and tensile-creep (T-C) properties. Additionally, high-temperature differential scanning calorimetry (DSC) was performed by LANL to better understand how the material's thermal characteristics change as it is heated up to the melting point. This provided a more comprehensive understanding of the material's behavior. The combined results from these investigations could potentially be used to support the inclusion of 316H stainless steel in Section III, Division 5 of the relevant codes and standards, allowing its use in future nuclear reactor applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Understanding Fracture Aperture and Permeability Evolution due to Carbonate Mineralization Utilizing 3D Printing

Caprock formations are a crucial part of subsurface-engineered systems. Composed largely of shale, caprocks act as natural barriers that prevent the upward migration of fluids, thereby ensuring the containment of stored substances in subsurface formations. Fractures in these formations are potential leakage pathways for stored fluids. Mineral precipitation reactions in these fractures, particularly calcite, can significantly restrict the fluid permeability, reducing leakage potential. However, predictive capabilities of mineral precipitation in fractures and associated permeability evolution are limited due to a lack of fundamental understanding of such reactions in natural samples, complicated by mineral heterogeneity and the complexity of the fracture structure. In this study, 3D-printed fracture samples are used to understand the impact of carbonate mineralization on fracture aperture and permeability evolution. Samples were printed using a digital light processing (DLP) 3D printer and commercial liquid resin. Calcite precipitation was first tested on printed 2D films before conducting plug flow column experiments aimed to understand fracture permeability changes due to mineral precipitation. Contact angle measurement and Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) spectroscopy on printed 2D films show evidence of a substantial amount of surface energy for calcite nucleation and precipitation. Surface topography analysis of printed fractured surfaces reveals comparable values, highlighting the high replicability of the printed samples. During the column experiments, the permeability reduces exponentially due to a decrease in fracture aperture. Reductions in fracture aperture estimated from effluent concentration and 3D X-ray computed tomography (CT) show comparable results. Moreover, 3D X-ray CT images suggest the impact of local flow velocities on precipitation. The insights gained from this research contribute to a deeper understanding of the permeability evolution due to carbonate mineralization in caprock formations.

3D printing↗

NASA NTRS1988

A representational framework and user-interface for an image understanding workstation

Problems in image understanding involve a wide variety of data (e.g., image arrays, edge maps, 3-D shape models) and processes or algorithms (e.g., convolution, feature extraction, rendering). The underlying structure of an Image Understanding Workstation designed to support mulitple levels and types of representations for both data and processes is described, also the user-interface. The Image Understanding Workstation consists of two parts: the Image Understanding (IU) Framework, and the user-interface. The IU Framework is the set of data and process representations. It includes multiple levels of representation for data such as images (2-D), sketches (2-D), surfaces (2 1/2 D), and models (3-D). The representation scheme for processes characterizes their inputs, outputs, and parameters. Data and processes may reside on different classes of machines. The user-interface to the IU Workstation gives the user convenient access for creating, manipulating, transforming, and displaying image data. The user-interface follows the structure of the IU Framework and gives the user control over multiple types of data and processes. Both the IU Framework and user-interface are implemented on a LISP machine.

Schroeder, Joyce D.↗

NASA NTRS2002

The Intelligent Data Understanding Element of NASA's Intelligent Systems Program

Within the NASA Intelligent Systems Program, the Intelligent Data Understanding (IDU) element develops techniques for transforming data into scientific understanding. Automating such tools is critical for space science, space-based earth science, and planetary exploration with onboard scientific data analysis. Intelligent data understanding (IDU) is about extracting meaning from large, diverse science and engineering databases, via autonomous techniques that transform very large datasets into understanding. The earth science community in particular needs new tools for analyzing multi-formatted and geographically distributed datasets and for identifying cause-effect relationships in the complex data. Research within the IDU program element seeks to automate data analysis tasks so that humans can focus on creative hypothesis generation and knowledge synthesis. It may also enable NASA space missions in which autonomous agents must generate knowledge and take actions, and missions where limited bandwidth permits transmission of only the most interesting scientific observations, summaries, and conclusions. Twenty-seven research projects are-currently funded.

Coughlan, Joseph C.↗

NASA NTRS2012

Molecular Technique to Reduce PCR Bias for Deeper Understanding of Microbial Diversity

Current planetary protection policies require that spacecraft targeted to sensitive solar system bodies be assembled and readied for launch in controlled cleanroom environments. A better understanding of the distribution and frequency at which high-risk contaminant microbes are encountered on spacecraft surfaces would significantly aid in assessing the threat of forward contamination. However, despite a growing understanding of the diverse microbial populations present in cleanrooms, less abundant microbial populations are probably not adequately taken into account due to technological limitations. This novel approach encompasses a wide spectrum of microbial species and will represent the true picture of spacecraft cleanroom-associated microbial diversity. All of the current microbial diversity assessment techniques are based on an initial PCR amplification step. However, a number of factors are known to bias PCR amplification and jeopardize the true representation of bacterial diversity. PCR amplification of a minor template appears to be suppressed by the amplification of a more abundant template. It is widely acknowledged among environmental molecular microbiologists that genetic biosignatures identified from an environment only represent the most dominant populations. The technological bottleneck overlooks the presence of the less abundant minority population and may underestimate their role in the ecosystem maintenance. DNA intercalating agents such as propidium monoazide (PMA) covalently bind with DNA molecules upon photolysis using visible light, and make it unavailable for DNA polymerase enzyme during polymerase chain reaction (PCR). Environmental DNA samples will be treated with suboptimum PMA concentration, enough to intercalate with 90 99% of the total DNA. The probability of PMA binding with DNA from abundant bacterial species will be much higher than binding with DNA from less abundant species. This will increase the relative DNA concentration of previously "shadowed" less abundant species available for PCR amplification. These PCR products obtained with and without PMA treatment will then be subjected to downstream diversity analyses such as sequencing and DNA microarray. It is expected that PMA-coupled PCR will amplify the "minority population" and help in understanding microbial diversity spectrum of an environmental sample at a much deeper level. This new protocol aims to overcome the major potential biases faced when analyzing microbial 16S rRNA gene diversity. This study will lead to a technological advancement and a commercial product that will aid microbial ecologists in understanding microbial diversity from various environmental niches. Implementation of this technique may lead to discoveries of novel microbes and their functions in sustenance of the ecosystem.

Vaishampayan, Parag A.↗

NASA NTRS2013

Advancing Drought Understanding, Monitoring and Prediction

Having the capacity to monitor droughts in near-real time and providing accurate drought prediction from weeks to seasons in advance can greatly reduce the severity of social and economic damage caused by drought, a leading natural hazard for North America. The congressional mandate to establish the National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS; Public Law 109-430) in 2006 was a major impulse to develop, integrate, and provide drought information to meet the challenges posed by this hazard. Significant progress has been made on many fronts. On the research front, efforts by the broad scientific community have resulted in improved understanding of North American droughts and improved monitoring and forecasting tools. We now have a better understanding of the droughts of the twentieth century including the 1930s "Dust Bowl"; we have developed a broader array of tools and datasets that enhance the official North American Drought Monitor based on different methodologies such as state-of-the-art land surface modeling (e.g., the North American Land Data Assimilation System) and remote sensing (e.g., the evaporative stress index) to better characterize the occurrence and severity of drought in its multiple manifestations. In addition, we have new tools for drought prediction [including the new National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Climate Forecast System, version 2, for operational prediction and an experimental National Multimodel Ensemble] and have explored diverse methodologies including ensemble hydrologic prediction approaches. Broad NIDIS-inspired progress is influencing the development of a Global Drought Information System (GDIS) under the auspices of the World Climate Research Program. Despite these advances, current drought monitoring and forecasting capabilities still fall short of users' needs, especially the need for skillful and reliable drought forecasts at regional and local scales. To tackle this outstanding challenging problem, focused and coordinated research efforts are needed, drawing from excellence across the broad drought research community. To meet this challenge, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)'s Drought Task Force was established in October 2011 with the ambitious goal of achieving significant new advances in the ability to understand, monitor, and predict drought over North America. The Task Force (duration of October 2011-September 2014) is an initiative of NOAA's Climate Program Office Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP) program in partnership with NIDIS. It brings together over 30 leading MAPP-funded drought scientists from multiple academic and federal institutions [involves scientists from NOAA's research laboratories and centers, the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), U.S. Department of Agriculture, National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), and many universities] in a concerted research effort that builds on individual MAPP research projects. These projects span the wide spectrum of drought research needed to make fundamental advances, from those aimed at the basic understanding of drought mechanisms to those aimed at testing new drought monitoring and prediction tools for operational and service purposes (as part of NCEP's Climate Test Bed). The Drought Task Force provides focus and coordination to MAPP drought research activities and also facilitates synergies with other national and international drought research efforts, including those by the GDIS.

GDIS↗

NASA NTRS2016

Understanding Oceanic Heavy Precipitation Using Scatterometer, Satellite Precipitation, and Reanalysis Products

The primary aim of this study is to understand the heavy precipitation events over Oceanic regions using vector wind retrievals from space based scatterometers in combination with precipitation products from satellite and model reanalysis products. Heavy precipitation over oceans is a less understood phenomenon and this study tries to fill in the gaps which may lead us to a better understanding of heavy precipitation over oceans. Various phenomenon may lead to intense precipitation viz. MJO (Madden-Julian Oscillation), Extratropical cyclones, MCSs (Mesoscale Convective Systems), that occur inside or outside the tropics and if we can decipher the physical mechanisms behind occurrence of heavy precipitation, then it may lead us to a better understanding of such events which further may help us in building more robust weather and climate models. During a heavy precipitation event, scatterometer wind observations may lead us to understand the governing dynamics behind that event near the surface. We hypothesize that scatterometer winds can observe significant changes in the near-surface circulation and that there are global relationships among these quantities. To the degree to which this hypothesis fails, we will learn about the regional behavior of heavy precipitation-producing systems over the ocean. We use a "precipitation feature" (PF) approach to enable statistical analysis of a large database of raining features.

Winds↗

NASA NTRS2017

Understanding the International Space Station Crew Perspective following Long-Duration Missions through Data Analytics & Visualization of Crew Feedback

The International Space Station (ISS) first became a home and research laboratory for NASA and International Partner crewmembers over 16 years ago. Each ISS mission lasts approximately 6 months and consists of three to six crewmembers. After returning to Earth, most crewmembers participate in an extensive series of 30+ debriefs intended to further understand life onboard ISS and allow crews to reflect on their experiences. Examples of debrief data collected include ISS crew feedback about sleep, dining, payload science, scheduling and time planning, health & safety, and maintenance. The Flight Crew Integration (FCI) Operational Habitability (OpsHab) team, based at Johnson Space Center (JSC), is a small group of Human Factors engineers and one stenographer that has worked collaboratively with the NASA Astronaut office and ISS Program to collect, maintain, disseminate and analyze this data. The database provides an exceptional and unique resource for understanding the "crew perspective" on long duration space missions. Data is formatted and categorized to allow for ease of search, reporting, and ultimately trending, in order to understand lessons learned, recurring issues and efficiencies gained over time. Recently, the FCI OpsHab team began collaborating with the NASA JSC Knowledge Management team to provide analytical analysis and visualization of these over 75,000 crew comments in order to better ascertain the crew's perspective on long duration spaceflight and gain insight on changes over time. In this initial phase of study, a text mining framework was used to cluster similar comments and develop measures of similarity useful for identifying relevant topics affecting crew health or performance, locating similar comments when a particular issue or item of operational interest is identified, and providing search capabilities to identify information pertinent to future spaceflight systems and processes for things like procedure development and training. In addition, the comments were scored for sentiment using a polarity scoring algorithm to identify both positive and negative comments for particular groups and clusters, allowing the team to make analytically informed decisions regarding future hardware and operating procedures. The use of polarity scoring with time series analysis was used to provide insight into how crew health and habitability is changing throughout various spaceflight increments or the station lifecycle as a whole. Finally, a visualization framework was developed to address the needs of the end users to search for and analyze comments by user, category or mission. This paper will discuss how the use of an analytical framework in conjunction with the current human interface, improved the understanding of crew perspective and shortened the time for analysis allowing for more informed decisions and rapid development of improvements. These methods are significantly optimizing the way that this valuable data can be assessed and applied to current and future spaceflight design and development. This collaboration allows the FCI OpsHab team to effectively analyze and share data in a more automated and timely fashion. Trends are no longer derived manually and can be illustrated effectively and accurately with these evolving techniques to an ever growing group of human spaceflight end users.

Bryant, Cody↗