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At least 145 records · Page 8
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

DASSH-F: Subchannel Based Thermal Analysis

The DASSH thermal analysis code is designed to rapidly allow a reactor design engineer to obtain flow rates requirements that satisfy peak temperature constraints in the domain. The advantage of using DASSH over a hand calculation is that it has a more rigorous treatment of the pin power distribution and coolant heat transfer within an assembly and between assemblies. The advantage of using DASSH over a conventional 3D subchannel code or a computational fluid dynamics code (CFD) is that it can obtain the desired solution in a matter of minutes in serial with minor computer memory needs. The DASSH methodology is virtually identical to SUPERENERGY-2 with additional functionalities taken from follow on work to SUPERENERGY-2 done at ANL in the 1980s. DASSH today is an integral component of the Argonne Fast Reactor analysis suite for reactor design work. DASSH obtains the power distribution from a coupled neutron-gamma heating calculation in GAMSOR (including DIF3D) at each time point of a companion fuel cycle analysis calculation with REBUS. The domain in DASSH assumes a hexagonal grid typical for fast reactors with much of the geometry information taken from the DIF3D model. DASSH assumes the assemblies that are loaded into each grid position are ducted to control the coolant flow. Considerable detail is given on the subchannel formulation of DASSH in this document. Much of the formulation and design of the code builds upon research done by previous authors with little new investigation. Thus the decisions made in developing the subchannel model used in DASSH have their origins over 50 years ago. Much of the heat transfer methodology in DASSH is built upon correlations for both the coolant mixing and heat transfer coefficients for pins and ducts. DASSH is thus not a rigorous treatment of a given problem, but a rapid assessment of the temperature field that has known limitations with respect to an experimental measurement or CFD calculation. The DASSH input and output are detailed along with usage of the software. The DASSH output provides tables of evaluated material properties and key coolant and pin temperature results. DASSH can create Python scripts that generate domain summary pictures. DASSH can also generate assembly temperature maps and VTK output files which allow the DASSH solution to be visualized. As the primary purpose of the DASSH software is to compute the coolant and fuel pin temperature distribution for a given model of a reactor, much of the output focus is giving the user quick summary tables needed to assess the performance of a given orifice flow specification. The present version of DASSH has a crude orifice search capability and an efficient orifice flow search capability. The flow search tries to meet user specified constraints for 1) peak 2-sigma clad midwall temperature, 2) peak coolant temperature, and 3) desired bulk outlet temperature. There are many development shortcomings in DASSH detailed in this document, but this version is functional for modern analysis needs. This document serves as the manual for the Fortran based DASSH software that was developed to replace the Python version of DASSH developed as part of the VTR program.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2026

DASSH-F: Subchannel Based Thermal Analysis

The DASSH thermal analysis code is designed to rapidly allow a reactor design engineer to obtain flow rates requirements that satisfy peak temperature constraints in the domain. The advantage of using DASSH over a hand calculation is that it has a more rigorous treatment of the pin power distribution and coolant heat transfer within an assembly and between assemblies. The advantage of using DASSH over a conventional 3D subchannel code or a computational fluid dynamics code (CFD) is that it can obtain the desired solution in a matter of minutes in serial with minor computer memory needs. The DASSH methodology for pin lattice models is virtually identical to SUPERENERGY-2 with additional functionalities taken from follow on work to SUPERENERGY-2 done at ANL in the 1980s. DASSH today is an integral component of the Argonne Fast Reactor analysis suite for reactor design work. DASSH obtains the power distribution from a coupled neutron-gamma heating calculation in GAMSOR (including DIF3D) at each time point of a companion fuel cycle analysis calculation with REBUS. The domain in DASSH assumes a hexagonal grid typical for fast reactors with much of the geometry information taken from the DIF3D model. DASSH assumes the assemblies that are loaded into each grid position are ducted to control the coolant flow. The user can alternatively provide their own geometry and power profile instead of inheriting it from DIF3D. Considerable detail is given on the subchannel formulation of DASSH in this document. Much of the formulation and design of the code builds upon research done by previous authors with little new investigation. Thus the decisions made in developing the subchannel model used in DASSH have their origins over 50 years ago. Much of the heat transfer methodology in DASSH is built upon correlations for both the coolant mixing and heat transfer coefficients for pins and ducts. DASSH is thus not a rigorous treatment of a given problem, but a rapid assessment of the temperature field that has known limitations with respect to an experimental measurement or CFD calculation. The DASSH input and output are detailed along with usage of the software. The DASSH output provides tables of evaluated material properties and key coolant and pin temperature results. DASSH can create Python scripts that generate domain summary pictures. DASSH can also generate assembly temperature maps and VTK output files which allow the DASSH solution to be visualized. As the primary purpose of the DASSH software is to compute the coolant and fuel pin temperature distribution for a given model of a reactor, much of the output focus is giving the user quick summary tables needed to assess the performance of a given orifice flow specification. The present version of DASSH has a crude orifice search capability and a sufficient orifice flow search capability. The flow search tries to meet user specified constraints for 1) peak 2-sigma clad temperature, 2) peak coolant temperature, and 3) desired bulk outlet temperature. This document serves as the manual for the Fortran based DASSH software that was developed to replace the Python version of DASSH developed as part of the VTR program.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Analysis and Control of a Three-Port Converter with High-Frequency AC Link for Hybrid Unmanned/Autonomous Aerial Vehicles

In this study, a three-port resonant converter with a high-frequency isolation link for hybrid unmanned/autonomous aerial vehicle (UAV/AAV) applications is analyzed. The rectified engine-generator set output supplies the first input ports while the other is connected to a battery energy storage system. Input ports consist of half-bridge high-frequency inverters, whereas output port utilizes a semi-bridgeless active rectifier. This rectifier is formed by replacing rectifier low-side diodes with active switching devices. A phase-shift duty-cycle control is implemented for switching signals to regulate the power share and flow between ports. The proposed control system implemented achieves zero voltage switching (ZVS), reduces switching losses, and minimum current flow optimization ensures regulation in a wide range of output power. Compared to the existing bidirectional pulse width modulation (PWM) converters, the proposed system decreases the number of power conversion stages and provides centralized control without needing communications between the ports. The proposed control technique operating in closed-loop control achieves the power flow between ports under various load conditions. Finally, theoretical analysis demonstrates the proposed converter’s viability and laboratory experimental validations at 500 W full power.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Three-Dimensional Bubble Fluidics in Architected Porous Media

Gas bubble flows in porous media often exhibit complex and seemingly unpredictable behaviors that are difficult to control. This lack of control limits the ability to design effective devices which manage multiphase flows. Here, we show how the design of 3D printed pores can deterministically control the flow path of an injected gas stream. Open cell structures can be designed to shape the gas/liquid interface with fidelity to control how the two phases are distributed throughout a porous material. The distributed gas volume is free to interact physically and chemically with the surrounding liquid phase, an effect we exploit to create a logical control gate to redirect flows within a lattice. This also allows us to design architectures for reactive capture and aerating bioreactors, resulting in patterned boundaries which can make more effective use of the liquid and gas reagents.

3D microfluidics↗
DOE OSTI2025

Effects of an External Magnetic Field on Keyhole Mode Laser Melting of 316 Stainless Steel

Keyhole-mode laser melting is an efficient method for joining or cutting large, thick components, but controlling keyhole depth and fluctuations has remained challenging. Applying an external magnetic field can control melt pool flows and indirectly influence keyhole morphology and dynamics. The induced Lorentz force, comprising Seebeck and damping components, plays a crucial role in the melt pool dynamics, depending on temperature gradient, flow rates, and magnetic field orientation and magnitude. This research investigates the effects of an external magnetic field on keyhole behavior during laser spot melting of 316 stainless steel using synchronized high-speed synchrotron X-ray and thermal imaging. Findings revealed that a longitudinal magnetic field (120 mT) increased keyhole depth but exacerbated lateral fluctuations, resulted in a 20% increase in the melt pool temperature gradient and a 27% decrease in cooling rate. Conversely, a transverse magnetic field (760 mT) reduced keyhole depth and improved porosity formation. The findings suggest that a decrease in keyhole depth correlates with a decrease in fluctuations, and vice versa. These insights enhance understanding of external magnetic fields’ impact on laser melting, with implications for improving part quality.

Alamdari, Aslan Bafahm [The Ohio State Univ., Colu↗
DOE OSTI2025

Butterfly valve performance factors using the multiphysics object oriented simulation environment

Butterfly valves are typically used in nuclear reactors to control incompressible fluid flow with high inlet velocities. Performance factors for butterfly valves include the pressure drop across the valve and the loss coefficient from which hydrodynamic torque and flow coefficients can be computed. This work explores a computational fluid dynamics approach for butterfly valve performance factors using the open-source Multiphysics Object Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) framework. While MOOSE is often used in the nuclear energy modeling and simulation community for simulations ranging from fuel characterization to heat pipe simulation, this work employs the MOOSE open-source Navier–Stokes solver capability for simulating butterfly valve performance factors and compares those to experimentally measured results from the Advanced Test Reactor at Idaho National Laboratory at Reynolds numbers in the order of 10 6 for the partially opened configuration. The MOOSE framework results are compared against experimentally measured butterfly valve performance factors across five valve opening angles using meshes with order 10 4 – 10 5 elements. This validation serves to enable MOOSE-based multiphysics simulations incorporating the open-source Navier–Stokes module.

97 - MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Resolving SPARC–HSA binding kinetics with an ultrasensitive photonic sensor based on bound states in the continuum

Secreted protein acidic and rich in cysteine (SPARC) is critical in cell-matrix interactions and tissue remodeling. It influences tumor progression through its affinity for human serum albumin (HSA) - the most abundant plasma protein, which also plays a crucial role in drug delivery. Strong molecular binding leads to a dissociation constant KD in the nanomolar range. Thus, determining KD requires detecting sub-nanomolar concentrations with ultrasensitive methods. This may be crucial for elucidating the nature of SPARC-HSA binding, as their interaction remains a subject of debate. Capturing these interactions accurately requires a platform capable of resolving rapid binding kinetics at extremely low analyte concentrations. In this work, we report on a microfluidics-integrated photonic nanostructure that supports bound states in the continuum (BICs) and is optimized for studying the fast kinetics of high-affinity protein-protein interactions. The unprecedented capability of detecting sub-nanomolar concentrations allows quantifying KD between SPARC and HSA beyond the state of the art. We leverage an all-dielectric photonic crystal slab (PhCS) sustaining two BIC branches arising from gapped Dirac cone dispersion. HSA is covalently immobilized on the PhCS bonded to a PDMS microfluidic chamber. SPARC dissociation is carried out using PBS buffer (pH 7.4), ensuring complete protein release through precise control of the flow rate and continuous spectral monitoring of the BICs. The measured KD=8.2±0.8 nM confirms the strong affinity of SPARC for HSA. This study highlights the potential of BIC-based sensing as a versatile tool for investigating protein interactions. These results also have implications for the optimization of drug delivery systems and cancer treatment strategies.

Albumin↗
DOE OSTI2024

Hydrogen embrittlement of Zircaloy-4 fabricated by ultrasonic additive manufacturing

Ultrasonic additive manufacturing (UAM) was successfully applied to the zirconium material system to create a planar geometry. Following fabrication, SS-J3 type tensile specimens of the UAM and wrought Zircaloy-4 with a nominal gage section of 5×1.2×0.75 mm were machined for hydriding studies and mechanical testing. The SS-J3 type tensile specimens were gas-charged with hydrogen using a custom system that precisely controls hydrogen gas flow rate, hydrogen partial pressure, and temperature. To avoid altering the UAM material, the maximum process temperature was limited to 550°C. Using different initial hydrogen gas pressures and flow rates, various hydrogen contents (70–1755 wppm) were achieved for Zircaloy-4 specimens. Tensile testing shows that, regardless of hydrogen content, all UAM specimens measured yield strengths in the range of 557±16 MPa and ultimate tensile strengths of 660±4MPa. However, total elongation clearly decreased as a function of increasing hydrogen content. Further, at the lowest hydrogen content, the total plastic elongation measured 21.5%, and this value decreased to less than 2% when the hydrogen content was increased to 1000 wppm. Cross-sectional optical microscopy images revealed that the hydride distributions are randomly oriented. For the low hydrogen content specimen, these randomly distributed hydrides are isolated from each other. A sandwiched structure, consisting of high-density and low-density layers, was also observed for the specimens with hydrogen content between 200 and 400 wppm. As the hydrogen content increases, the hydrides diffuse into the low-density hydride layers to form a network across the whole specimen. Although the tensile properties of UAM and wrought Zircaloy-4 exhibit the same behavior with increasing hydrogen content, the distinctions in grain orientations led to differences in the hydride orientations at low and intermediate hydrogen concentrations.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Dislocation half-loop control for optimal V-defect density in GaN-based light emitting diodes

V-defects are morphological defects that typically form on threading dislocations during epitaxial growth of $(0001)$-oriented GaN layers. A V-defect is a hexagonal pyramid-shaped depression with six {$10\bar{1}1$}-oriented sidewalls. These semipolar sidewalls have a lower polarization barrier than the polarization barriers present between the polar c-plane quantum wells and quantum barriers and can laterally inject carriers directly into quantum wells in GaN-based light emitting diodes (LEDs). This is especially important, as the high polarization field in c-plane GaN is a significant factor in the high forward voltage of GaN LEDs. The optimal V-defect density for efficient lateral carrier injection in a GaN LED (∼10 9 cm −2 ) is typically an order of magnitude higher than the threading dislocation density of GaN grown on patterned sapphire substrates (∼10 8 cm −2 ). Pure-edge dislocation loops have been known to exist in GaN, and their formation into large V-defects via low-temperature growth with high Si-doping has recently been studied. Here, in this work, we develop a method for pure-edge threading dislocation half-loop formation and density control via disilane flow, growth temperature, and thickness of the half-loop generation layer. We also develop a method of forming the threading dislocation half-loops into V-defects of comparable size to those originating from substrate threading dislocations.

Crystallographic defects↗
DOE OSTI2025

Competing mechanisms at vibrated interfaces of density-contrast fluids

Fluid-fluid interfacial instability and subsequent fluid mixing are ubiquitous in nature and engineering. The hydrodynamic instability of fluid interfaces has long centered on the pressure gradient-driven long-wavelength Rayleigh-Taylor instability and the resonance-induced short-wavelength Faraday instability. However, neither instability alone can explain the dynamics when both mechanisms are present. We identify a previously unseen multi-modal instability emerging from their coexistence. When the denser fluid is polydimethylsiloxane, the mixed region at a high density contrast (Atwood number = 0.9) spans a vibration amplitude range approximately twice the gravitational acceleration. Using Floquet stability analysis, we show how vibrations govern transitions between the RT and Faraday instabilities, leading to contention between these instabilities rather than resonant enhancement. Here, the initial transient growth is represented by the exponential modal growth of the most unstable Floquet exponent, along with its accompanying periodic behavior. Direct numerical simulations validate these findings and track interface breakup into the multiscale and nonlinear regimes. Specifically, we show that growing RT modes nonlinearly suppresses Faraday responses even when the initial growth rate of the Faraday instability is 3.63 times that of RT, so a bidirectional competition hinders their sustained coexistence.

Direct numerical simulations↗
DOE OSTI2024

Connected Traffic Signal Coordination Optimization Framework through Network-Wide Adaptive Linear Quadratic Regulator–Based Control Strategy

Traffic congestion in metropolitan areas causes several significant challenges, such as longer travel times, decreased productivity, increased fuel consumption and vehicle emissions, and even severe injuries during crashes. Traffic signal control is a management approach to reduce traffic congestion and allocate the appropriate right of way for safety and mobility efficiency, both in temporal and spatial domains. Here, this study proposes a network-wide adaptive signal control coordination optimization framework based on the linear quadratic regulator algorithm. The traffic flow conditions driven by signal control inputs are formulated based on their network-wide state-space representation. After modeling traffic control regulation constraints, an adaptive linear quadratic regulator algorithm is designed to maximize the network-wide total throughput under the current conditions. Optimal signal control split time durations for multiple intersections in the network are derived by solving the algebraic Riccati equation. Furthermore, the recursive least square parameter estimation method is employed to quantify dynamic traffic condition changes. To verify the effectiveness of this proposed signal control framework, both simulation and real-world experimental tests are conducted for multiple intersections in downtown Chattanooga, Tennessee, United States. In preparation for real-world experimental tests, pipelines for real-time data processing implementation and historical traffic flow data analysis are conducted. The test results demonstrate that the proposed control framework achieves a decrease in travel time by up to 19.4%, total time spent (TTS) by up to 11.9%, and relative queue balance (RQB) by up to 15.6%. The research findings indicate that the proposed signal control framework can be generalized to handle large scale signal control optimization network-wide.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Off-design operation and performance of pumped thermal energy storage

In this article, we describe off-design models and control strategies for a Pumped Thermal Energy Storage (PTES) system that uses liquid thermal energy storage: specifically molten salt for hot storage and methanol for cold storage. Off-design conditions arise when load-following, or due to variations in storage tank temperatures or ambient temperatures. We propose a control strategy that uses inventory control to manage the mass flow rate in the thermodynamic cycles, which facilitates load following. We also propose a control strategy for the storage fluid mass flow rates, which are varied to ensure the molten salt is maintained at its design temperature. This maximizes efficiency and minimizes problems with salt freezing or degradation. The cold storage fluid mass flow rate is varied so that the cold tanks have the same state-of-charge as the hot tanks. This leads to variations in cold fluid temperature, but these variations are shown to be acceptably small (e.g. 7.5% increase), and this control method is shown to be simpler and more efficient than an alternative strategy where tanks become unbalanced. The ambient temperature and storage tank temperatures are moved ±50 °C from the design values and the impact on power, duration, and tank temperatures is quantified. Results demonstrate that the proposed control strategy is stable and self-correcting - that is, storage temperatures converge on stable values after two-to-three charge-discharge cycles. When inputs return to design values, the system returns to its design point after two charge-discharge cycles. We also demonstrate that inventory control enables delivery of the target power output even when off-design conditions exist that would normally reduce the power output.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Theoretical background for a fast flow liquid metal divertor experiment

Tokamak Energy has developed a liquid metal experiment featuring a lithium loop that circulates lithium through the HIDRA stellarator at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign. The loop includes a replaceable divertor module, designed to demonstrate fast, steady, open-surface liquid metal flow. The first-generation divertor module was deliberately kept simple—an open-surface chute—to enable modelling validation and establish a benchmark for future design iterations. This paper presents the theoretical foundations of the experimental design. Specifically, we identify module overflooding as the primary challenge and determine the limits of fluid velocity and magnetic field strength necessary to prevent it. The steady-state flow patterns are expected to exhibit relatively slow surface velocities, which do not fully align with the fast-flow concept. Nevertheless, the experiment is designed to achieve controllable, continuous open-surface flow within an operational fusion device, representing a significant step toward the development of liquid metal divertor technology.

Experiment↗
DOE OSTI2024

A modern concept of Lagrangian hydrodynamics

Here, we offer a modern interpretation of Lagrangian hydrodynamics as employed in Lagrangian simulations of compressible fluid flow. Our main result is to show that artificial viscosity, traditionally viewed as a numerical artifice to control unphysical oscillations in flows with shocks, actually represents a physical process and is necessary to derive accurate simulations in any compressible flow. We begin by reviewing the origins of two numerical devices, artificial viscosity and finite-volume methods. We proceed to construct a mathematical (PDE) model that incorporates those numerics and in which a new length scale, the observer, arises representing the discretization. Associated with that length scale, there are new inviscid fluxes that are the artificial viscosity as first formulated by Richtmyer and an artificial heat flux postulated by Noh but typically not included in Lagrangian codes. We discuss the connection of our results to bivelocity hydrodynamics. We conclude with some speculation as to the direction of future developments in multidimensional Lagrangian codes as computers get faster and have larger memories.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Development of a Flow Stabilization Algorithm Enabling Measurement of Low Oxygen Concentrations in Liquid Sodium

To enhance the automated control of the plugging meter (PM) and thereby enhance detection fidelity in ultralow oxygen environments [≤1 parts per million by weight (wppm)], a novel proportional derivative controller has been implemented with conventional PM hardware. This ramp sign stabilized flow (RSSF) controller manipulates the sign (heating or cooling direction) at a fixed rate, enabling precise temperature adjustment around the saturation temperature of the bulk sodium. This adjustment helps maintain flow stability in a partially formed sodium oxide plug, thus greatly reducing the temperature amplitude in the plugging cycle and promoting simple and accurate oxygen determinations in addition to an increased sampling rate. Rather than relying on the subjective nature of indexing the time when the flow rate changes due to the plugging or unplugging onset to the PM temperature, a running average of the correlated oxygen concentration with time over multiple plugging events can provide oxygen readings ranging from an absolute uncertainty of 500 wppb in real time to less than 50 wppb for a 24-h sampling window. Finally, the RSSF controller was tested at 508 ± 7 wppb with measured oxygen of 542 ± 179 wppb, further reducing the variance between the saturation temperature and the plugging temperature.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2026

Differentiable multiphase flow model for physics-informed machine learning in reservoir pressure management

Accurate subsurface reservoir pressure control is extremely challenging due to geological heterogeneity and multiphase fluid-flow dynamics. Predicting behavior in this setting relies on high-fidelity physics-based simulations that are computationally expensive. Yet, the uncertain, heterogeneous properties that control these flows make it necessary to perform many of these expensive simulations, which is often prohibitive. To address these challenges, we introduce a physics-informed machine learning workflow that couples a fully differentiable multiphase flow simulator, which is implemented in the DPFEHM framework with a convolutional neural network (CNN). The CNN learns to predict fluid extraction rates from heterogeneous permeability fields to enforce pressure limits at critical reservoir locations. By incorporating transient multiphase flow physics into the training process, our method enables more practical and accurate predictions for realistic injection-extraction scenarios compared to previous works. To speed up training, we pretrain the model on single-phase, steady-state simulations and then finetune it on full multiphase scenarios, which dramatically reduces the computational cost. We demonstrate that high-accuracy training can be achieved with fewer than three thousand full-physics multiphase flow simulations – compared to previous estimates requiring up to ten million. This drastic reduction in the number of simulations is achieved by leveraging transfer learning from much less expensive single phase simulations.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Reshaping the Quantum Arrow of Time

While the microscopic laws of physics are often symmetric under time reversal, most natural processes that we observe are not. The emergent asymmetry between typical and time-reversed processes is referred to as the arrow of time. In quantum physics, an arrow of time emerges when a sequence of measurements is performed on a system. We introduce quantum control tools that can yield dynamics more consistent with time flowing backward than forward. The control tools are based on the explicit construction of a Hamiltonian that can replicate the stochastic trajectories of a monitored quantum system. Such a Hamiltonian can reverse the effect of monitoring and, via a feedback process, generate trajectories consistent with a reversed arrow of time. It can also be used to simulate the backward-in-time dynamics of an open quantum system. Finally, we design a feedback-driven continuous measurement engine powered by the energy pumped into the system by the monitoring process. We show that the engine can operate under experimentally realizable conditions with feedback delay and finite-efficiency measurements.

Entropy production↗
DOE OSTI2026

Rates of Sea‐Level Rise Are Highly Sensitive to Ice Viscosity Parameters in Model Benchmarks

Glacier flow plays a major role in current and future rates of globally averaged sea-level rise. The viscosity of glacial ice, controlling the rate of flow, decreases as stress increases and is highly sensitive to the value of the stress exponent, $n$, in the constitutive equation for viscous flow. Glaciologists and climate modelers almost exclusively assume $n=3$ when modeling ice flow and projecting sea-level rise through forward modeling. However, recent work suggests that $n\approx 4$ better fits observations, prompting the question: How sensitive are projections of sea-level rise to the value of $n$? We use an established community ice flow model and standard benchmark experiments designed as an idealized representation of Pine Island Glacier, West Antarctica. While initializing an $n=3$ model to match observations of an $n=4$ ice sheet is possible, we find that incorrectly assuming $n=3$ when in fact $n=4$ dramatically underestimates rates of sea-level rise. The scale of this error grows nonlinearly with the magnitude of the climate forcing, acting to increase projection uncertainties. Additionally, we find that models often account for this stress-dependent rheology mismatch during model initialization in a way that masks this rheological effect in the short term while leaving model outputs vulnerable to larger biases in longer-term projections. Initializations to observations of Pine Island Glacier display similar rheology-mismatch fingerprints to our idealized example.

climate sensitivity↗