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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,441 records · Page 80

Ecosystem biogeochemistry model parameterization: Do more flux data result in a better model in predicting carbon flux?

Reliability of terrestrial ecosystem models highly depends on the quantity and quality of thedata that have been used to calibrate the models. Nowadays, in situ observations of carbon fluxes areabundant. However, the knowledge of how much data (data length) and which subset of the time seriesdata (data period) should be used to effectively calibrate the model is still lacking. This study uses theAmeriFlux carbon flux data to parameterize the Terrestrial Ecosystem Model (TEM) with an adjoint-baseddata assimilation technique for various ecosystem types. Parameterization experiments are thus conductedto explore the impact of both data length and data period on the uncertainty reduction of the posteriormodel parameters and the quantification of site and regional carbon dynamics. We find that: the modelis better constrained when it uses two-year data comparing to using one-year data. Further, two-year datais sufficient in calibrating TEM’s carbon dynamics, since using three-year data could only marginallyimprove the model performance at our study sites; the model is better constrained with the data thathave a higher‘‘climate variability’’than that having a lower one. The climate variability is used to measurethe overall possibility of the ecosystem to experience all climatic conditions including drought and extremeair temperatures and radiation; the U.S. regional simulations indicate that the effect of calibration datalength on carbon dynamics is amplified at regional and temporal scales, leading to large discrepanciesamong different parameterization experiments, especially in July and August. Our findings areconditioned on the specific model we used and the calibration sites we selected. The optimal calibrationdata length may not be suitable for other models. However, this study demonstrates that there may exist athreshold for calibration data length and simply using more data would not guarantee a better modelparameterization and prediction. More importantly, climate variability might be an effective indicator ofinformation within the data, which could help data selection for model parameterization. As a result, we believe ourfindings will benefit the ecosystem modeling community in using multiple-year data to improve modelpredictability.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

SimScape Terrain Modeling Toolkit

This paper describes the SIMSCAPE middleware toolkit that has been developed recently to provide a common infrastructure for importing terrain model data from multiple data sources and making them available to simulation applications. The SIMSCAPE infrastructure simplifies the overall simulation design by eliminating the traditional need for custom terrain model interfaces to terrain data sources and simulation users. SIMSCAPE provides a collection of libraries and tools to use and manage terrain environment models within a wide range of simulation applications.

terrain↗

Community Geothermal: Soil Conductivity, Borehole Design, Energy Models, and Load Data for a Residential System Development - Hinesburg, VT

This dataset contains materials from the Coalition for Community-Supported Affordable Geothermal Energy Systems (C2SAGES) project, which evaluated the techno-economic feasibility of a community geothermal system for a residential development in Hinesburg, VT. The dataset includes detailed soil conductivity test reports, energy models, borehole design reports, hourly energy loads for heating, cooling, and hot water, and design layouts. EnergyPlus was used to model building energy loads, and Modelica software was applied for geothermal loop sizing based on these loads and soil conductivity results. Python scripts for network design further refined the models. Key files include PDF reports on borehole design (with projections for 1-year, 15-year, and 30-year systems), soil conductivity test results, EnergyPlus modeling outputs, and 2D/3D design drawings in PDF, DWG, and DXF formats. Python notebooks for network design and OnePipe model files are also provided, with Modelica required for viewing certain files. Outputs and modeling data are in various formats including CSV, JPG, HTML, and IDF, with units and data clearly labeled to support understanding of system design and performance for the proposed geothermal solution.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Improving Ocean Angular Momentum Estimates Using a Model Constrained by Data

Ocean angular momentum (OAM) calculations using forward model runs without any data constraints have, recently revealed the effects of OAM variability on the Earth's rotation. Here we use an ocean model and its adjoint to estimate OAM values by constraining the model to available oceanic data. The optimization procedure yields substantial changes in OAM, related to adjustments in both motion and mass fields, as well as in the wind stress torques acting on the ocean. Constrained and unconstrained OAM values are discussed in the context of closing the planet's angular momentum budget. The estimation procedure, yields noticeable improvements in the agreement with the observed Earth rotation parameters, particularly at the seasonal timescale. The comparison with Earth rotation measurements provides an independent consistency check on the estimated ocean state and underlines the importance of ocean state estimation for quantitative. studies of the variable large-scale oceanic mass and circulation fields, including studies of OAM.

Ponte, Rui M.↗

Correaltion of full-scale drag predictions with flight measurements on the C-141A aircraft. Phase 2: Wind tunnel test, analysis, and prediction techniques. Volume 1: Drag predictions, wind tunnel data analysis and correlation

The degree of cruise drag correlation on the C-141A aircraft is determined between predictions based on wind tunnel test data, and flight test results. An analysis of wind tunnel tests on a 0.0275 scale model at Reynolds number up to 3.05 x 1 million/MAC is reported. Model support interference corrections are evaluated through a series of tests, and fully corrected model data are analyzed to provide details on model component interference factors. It is shown that predicted minimum profile drag for the complete configuration agrees within 0.75% of flight test data, using a wind tunnel extrapolation method based on flat plate skin friction and component shape factors. An alternative method of extrapolation, based on computed profile drag from a subsonic viscous theory, results in a prediction four percent lower than flight test data.

Macwilkinson, D. G.↗

Integrated System Planning: Emerging Software Requirements in the Power Industry

Power system planning software remains fragmented across organizational boundaries, with specialized tools for capacity expansion, production cost modeling, power flow, and dynamic analysis operating on incompatible data models and assumptions. This article argues that the fragmentation is not merely a technical problem but a predictable consequence of Conway's law: software architectures mirror the departmental structures within which they are developed. Regulatory milestones like Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) Order 888 formalized these divisions, but the roots trace back to the distinct engineering disciplines-mechanical, chemical, and electrical-that staffed generation and transmission planning departments in vertically integrated utilities. As the industry moves toward integrated system planning (ISP) that coordinates generation, transmission, and distribution investment decisions, the software ecosystem must evolve accordingly. We identify five categories of software requirements to enable this transition: coherent data inputs decoupled from individual applications, unified and extensible data schemas, modular component representations that support multiple abstraction levels, lifecycle management of planning datasets, and well-defined application programming interface (API) contracts that separate data exchange from algorithmic control. We examine how these requirements interact with three common workflow patterns-serial gate clearing, sequential multiapplication, and convergence oriented-and discuss the interface design principles each demands. We then outline a vision for platform-based planning architectures where specialized analytical services compose through standardized interfaces and where artificial intelligence (AI)/machine learning (ML) tools augment decision support within a disciplined software infrastructure. The practices proposed here offer a path from today's siloed tool collections toward collaborative planning ecosystems capable of handling the complexity of modern power system transformation.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Kronecker-structured covariance models for multiway data

Many applications produce multiway data of exceedingly high dimension. Modeling such multi-way data is important in multichannel signal and video processing where sensors produce multi-indexed data, e.g. over spatial, frequency, and temporal dimensions. We will address the challenges of covariance representation of multiway data and review some of the progress in statistical modeling of multiway covariance over the past two decades, focusing on tensor-valued covariance models and their inference. We will illustrate through a space weather application: predicting the evolution of solar active regions over time.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Hybrid methods for cybersecurity analysis :

Early 2010 saw a signi cant change in adversarial techniques aimed at network intrusion: a shift from malware delivered via email attachments toward the use of hidden, embedded hyperlinks to initiate sequences of downloads and interactions with web sites and network servers containing malicious software. Enterprise security groups were well poised and experienced in defending the former attacks, but the new types of attacks were larger in number, more challenging to detect, dynamic in nature, and required the development of new technologies and analytic capabilities. The Hybrid LDRD project was aimed at delivering new capabilities in large-scale data modeling and analysis to enterprise security operators and analysts and understanding the challenges of detection and prevention of emerging cybersecurity threats. Leveraging previous LDRD research e orts and capabilities in large-scale relational data analysis, large-scale discrete data analysis and visualization, and streaming data analysis, new modeling and analysis capabilities were quickly brought to bear on the problems in email phishing and spear phishing attacks in the Sandia enterprise security operational groups at the onset of the Hybrid project. As part of this project, a software development and deployment framework was created within the security analyst work ow tool sets to facilitate the delivery and testing of new capabilities as they became available, and machine learning algorithms were developed to address the challenge of dynamic threats. Furthermore, researchers from the Hybrid project were embedded in the security analyst groups for almost a full year, engaged in daily operational activities and routines, creating an atmosphere of trust and collaboration between the researchers and security personnel. The Hybrid project has altered the way that research ideas can be incorporated into the production environments of Sandias enterprise security groups, reducing time to deployment from months and years to hours and days for the application of new modeling and analysis capabilities to emerging threats. The development and deployment framework has been generalized into the Hybrid Framework and incor- porated into several LDRD, WFO, and DOE/CSL projects and proposals. And most importantly, the Hybrid project has provided Sandia security analysts with new, scalable, extensible analytic capabilities that have resulted in alerts not detectable using their previous work ow tool sets.

Dunlavy, Daniel M.↗

Validation and Verification of Operational Land Analysis Activities at the Air Force Weather Agency

The NASA developed Land Information System (LIS) is the Air Force Weather Agency's (AFWA) operational Land Data Assimilation System (LDAS) combining real time precipitation observations and analyses, global forecast model data, vegetation, terrain, and soil parameters with the community Noah land surface model, along with other hydrology module options, to generate profile analyses of global soil moisture, soil temperature, and other important land surface characteristics. (1) A range of satellite data products and surface observations used to generate the land analysis products (2) Global, 1/4 deg spatial resolution (3) Model analysis generated at 3 hours

Shaw, Michael↗

Validation and Verification of Operational Land Analysis Activities at the Air Force Weather Agency

The NASA developed Land Information System (LIS) is the Air Force Weather Agency's (AFWA) operational Land Data Assimilation System (LDAS) combining real time precipitation observations and analyses, global forecast model data, vegetation, terrain, and soil parameters with the community Noah land surface model, along with other hydrology module options, to generate profile analyses of global soil moisture, soil temperature, and other important land surface characteristics. (1) A range of satellite data products and surface observations used to generate the land analysis products (2) Global, 1/4 deg spatial resolution (3) Model analysis generated at 3 hours. AFWA recognizes the importance of operational benchmarking and uncertainty characterization for land surface modeling and is developing standard methods, software, and metrics to verify and/or validate LIS output products. To facilitate this and other needs for land analysis activities at AFWA, the Model Evaluation Toolkit (MET) -- a joint product of the National Center for Atmospheric Research Developmental Testbed Center (NCAR DTC), AFWA, and the user community -- and the Land surface Verification Toolkit (LVT), developed at the Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC), have been adapted to operational benchmarking needs of AFWA's land characterization activities.

Shaw, Michael↗

Modeling Transient Soil Moisture Limitations on Microbial Carbon Respiration

Soil microorganisms are known to survive periods of aridity and to recover rapidly after wetting events, with the ability to transition between a dormant state in dry conditions and an active state in wet conditions. While this dynamic behavior has been previously incorporated into soil carbon respiration modeling frameworks, a direct comparison between this active-dormant transition mechanism and a more simplified first-order model has yet to be made. Here, we demonstrate the necessary extent of model complexity needed to reproduce transient carbon respiration rates obtained from a set of soil incubation experiments implemented over a range of soil depths and time intervals. Two approaches are tested, one uses simplified first-order kinetics, whereas the other employs a transition between active and dormant biomass. The performance of each model is evaluated using an Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) based on the accuracy with which they reproduce an experimental dataset consisting of two sets of time series soil incubations collected across a range of time and depth resolutions. Based on the AIC evaluation and model-data comparison, we conclude that a dormancy-enabled model featuring two distinct microbial strategists performs best for the majority of the soil profile (above 108 cm) for both high and low depth resolution and sampling frequency, despite the added parameters required. In contrast, the first-order model achieves better AIC scores when simulating our deepest soils (112–165 cm), where moisture fluctuations are expected to be less prevalent. These findings guide how and where we choose to apply more cost intensive models.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Canopus: A Paradigm Shift Towards Elastic Extreme-Scale Data Analytics on HPC

Scientific simulations on high performance computing (HPC) platforms generate large quantities of data. To bridge the widening gap between compute and I/O, and enable data to be more efficiently stored and analyzed, simulation outputs need to be refactored, reduced, and appropriately mapped to storage tiers. However, a systematic solution to support these steps has been lacking on the current HPC software ecosystem. To that end, this paper develops Canopus, a progressive JPEGlike data management scheme for storing and analyzing big scientific data. It co-designs the data decimation, compression and data storage, taking the hardware characteristics of each storage tier into considerations. With reasonably low overhead, our approach refactors simulation data into a much smaller, reduced-accuracy base dataset, and a series of deltas that is used to augment the accuracy if needed. The base dataset and deltas are compressed and written to multiple storage tiers. Data saved on different tiers can then be selectively retrieved to restore the level of accuracy that satisfies data analytics. Thus, Canopus provides a paradigm shift towards elastic data analytics and enables end users to make trade-offs between analysis speed and accuracy on-the-fly. We evaluate the impact of Canopus on unstructured triangular meshes, a pervasive data model used by scientific modeling and simulations. In particular, we demonstrate the progressive data exploration of Canopus using the “blob detection” use case on the fusion simulation data.

Lu, Tao↗

Integrated Evaluation of Power Sector Decarbonization

MARKAL-PROMOD Integration presentation for USAEE conference on November 4, 2024. The presentation shows the construction of the MAGIIC translation tool to convert MARKAL capacity expansion to PROMOD model data, and PROMOD unit dispatch results to MARKAL technology availability data to allow a more robust analysis leveraging both modeling tools.

Sharma, Smriti↗

A Parallel Graph Environment for Real-World Data Analytics Workflows

Economic competitiveness and national security depend increasingly on the insightful analysis of large data sets. The diversity of real-world data sources and analytic workflows impose challenging hardware and software requirements for parallel graph platforms. The irregular nature of graph methods is not supported well by the deep memory hierarchies of conventional distributed systems, requiring new processor and runtime system designs to tolerate memory and synchronization latencies. Moreover, the efficiency of relational table operations and matrix computations are not attainable when data is stored in common graph data structures. In this paper, we present HAGGLE, a high-performance, scalable data analytics platform. The platform’s hybrid data model supports a variety of distributed, thread-safe data structures, parallel programming constructs, and persistent and streaming data. An abstract runtime layer enables us to map the stack to conventional, distributed computer systems with accelerators. The runtime uses multithreading, active messages, and data aggregation to hide memory and synchronization latencies on large-scale systems.

Graph Analytics↗

A framework for benchmarking land models

Land models, which have been developed by the modeling community in the past few decades to predict future states of ecosystems and climate, have to be critically evaluated for their performance skills of simulating ecosystem responses and feedback to climate change. Benchmarking is an emerging procedure to measure performance of models against a set of defined standards. This paper proposes a benchmarking framework for evaluation of land model performances and, meanwhile, highlights major challenges at this infant stage of benchmark analysis. The framework includes (1) targeted aspects of model performance to be evaluated, (2) a set of benchmarks as defined references to test model performance, (3) metrics to measure and compare performance skills among models so as to identify model strengths and deficiencies, and (4) model improvement. Land models are required to simulate exchange of water, energy, carbon and sometimes other trace gases between the atmosphere and land surface, and should be evaluated for their simulations of biophysical processes, biogeochemical cycles, and vegetation dynamics in response to climate change across broad temporal and spatial scales. Thus, one major challenge is to select and define a limited number of benchmarks to effectively evaluate land model performance. The second challenge is to develop metrics of measuring mismatches between models and benchmarks. The metrics may include (1) a priori thresholds of acceptable model performance and (2) a scoring system to combine data–model mismatches for various processes at different temporal and spatial scales. The benchmark analyses should identify clues of weak model performance to guide future development, thus enabling improved predictions of future states of ecosystems and climate. The near-future research effort should be on development of a set of widely acceptable benchmarks that can be used to objectively, effectively, and reliably evaluate fundamental properties of land models to improve their prediction performance skills.

Biophysical Processes↗

MLP-NN vs Gauss-Newton files

-Input files for randomly selected subset data (30 instances) from primary dipole-dipole forward modeling data.-Inversion results in surfer grid format as well as in .DAT format.-Scatterplots for MLP-NN vs Gauss-Newton present in the excel sheet.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗