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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 163 records · Page 9
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Large scale polymer toughening of two-dimensional materials revealed by in situ TEM fracture tests and multiscale simulations

Two-dimensional (2D) materials offer significant potential for applications in energy-harvesting devices, batteries, sensors, and transistors. However, their intrinsic brittleness makes them prone to mechanical failure, limiting their practical use. In this work, we perform in situ transmission electron microscopy (TEM) fracture tests on monolayer MoSe2 and uncover an extrinsic toughening effect induced by an ultrathin adsorbed polystyrene adlayer. This adlayer substantially enhances the fracture resistance of the 2D flakes. Through a combination of molecular dynamics simulations and finite element analysis, we elucidate the molecular mechanism behind this toughening effect. Further, it arises from the active crack-bridging behavior of entangled polymer chains and the formation of a fracture process zone that stabilizes crack propagation and increases the energy required for crack extension. The proposed toughening mechanism offers a pathway to improving the mechanical reliability of 2D material-based devices by mitigating the risk of sudden failure.

2D materials↗
DOE OSTI2026

From Filamentary Failure to Durable Halide Perovskite Memristors

Halide perovskites have emerged as promising materials for memristive devices. While their pronounced electrochemical reactivity and fast ionic mobility enable numerous advantages including low-voltage operation and fast switching, the same features also render perovskite-based memristors vulnerable to metallic shunts and poor endurance, limiting their practical applications. Here, we elucidate both the resistive switching and failure mechanisms in perovskite memristors with a fluorine-doped tin oxide (FTO)/methylammonium lead triiodide (MAPbI3)/Ag structure and demonstrate a strategy to substantially enhance device durability. As opposed to commonly invoked filamentary mechanisms, electrical, structural, and spectroscopic analyses reveal that resistive switching arises from interfacial barrier modulation by reversible Ag redox reactions that drive electrochemical doping/dedoping within the perovskite. Device failure, however, originates from metallic Ag0 filamentation that ultimately forms permanent conductive pathways. Introducing an ultrathin Al2O3 interlayer at the inert-electrode interface improves device endurance by more than 30-fold, exceeding 15,000 switching cycles, without compromising other performance metrics. Interfacial characterization indicates that the Al2O3 layer modifies wettability of Ag deposits, promoting planar island growth rather than through-film filamentation. These findings establish a clear link between interfacial electrochemistry, metal precipitation behavior, and memristor reliability, highlighting inert-electrode interfacial engineering as an effective pathway toward durable perovskite-based memristors.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

A Computational Study of the Shear Behavior of Reinforced Concrete Beams Affected from Alkali–Silica Reactivity Damage

In this study, an investigation of the shear behavior of full-scale reinforced concrete (RC) beams affected from alkali–silica reactivity damage is presented. A detailed finite element model (FEM) was developed and validated with data obtained from the experiments using several metrics, including a force–deformation curve, rebar strains, and crack maps and width. The validated FEM was used in a parametric study to investigate the potential impact of alkali–silica reactivity (ASR) degradation on the shear capacity of the beam. Degradations of concrete mechanical properties were correlated with ASR expansion using material test data and implemented in the FEM for different expansions. The finite element (FE) analysis provided a better understanding of the failure mechanism of ASR-affected RC beam and degradation in the capacity as a function of the ASR expansion. The parametric study using the FEM showed 6%, 19%, and 25% reduction in the shear capacity of the beam, respectively, affected from 0.2%, 0.4%, and 0.6% of ASR-induced expansion.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Infusible Thermoplastic Composites for Wind Turbine Blade Manufacturing: Fatigue Life of Thermoplastic Laminates under Ambient and Low-Temperature Conditions

Traditionally, thermoset resins such as polyesters (PE) and epoxies are used as the polymer matrix for construction of wind turbine blades. However, concern about their end-of-life treatment garners interest to use thermoplastics for increased recyclability. However, the high viscosity of molten thermoplastics inhibits their use in manufacturing wind turbine blades with injection or compression molding. A recently developed, infusible, reactive thermoplastic resin overcomes this technological barrier. Toward verifying that this recyclable resin is suitable for use in wind turbine blades, a dataset of R?=?0.1 and R?=?10 fatigue data for glass fiber-reinforced acrylic composites is provided and equal fatigue life to industry standard epoxy and unsaturated PE resin systems is demonstrated. Specifically, R?=?0.1 fatigue data for acrylic composites at room temperature and -30?degrees C for verification of low-temperature performance are tabulated. To elucidate failure mechanisms, in situ mechanical testing with X-ray computed tomography demonstrates that damage accumulation occurs by crack propagation along the fiber-matrix interface under cyclic loading. Infrared (IR) thermography predicts failure points in composites specimens with porosity defects introduced from nonideal manufacturing processes. Furthermore, these manufacturing defects are shown to compromise the fatigue life of the acrylic laminates by an order of magnitude.

effect of defects↗
DOE OSTI2022

Coupled diffusion-deformation-damage model for polymers used in hydrogen infrastructure

The soft materials used in the infrastructure of hydrogen storage and distribution systems are vulnerable because exposure to high-pressure hydrogen can lead to mechanical damage and property degradation. Some materials, such as polymers, can undergo mechanical failure due to a phenomenon wherein hydrogen gas diffuses through the polymer chains and occupies preexisting cavities or voids inside the polymer material. If the hydrogen gas pressure is reduced more quickly than hydrogen can diffuse back out of the polymer which is necessary for some applications, the trapped hydrogen gas instead escapes by rupturing the material, causing surface blistering or permanent damage. In this study, a continuum mechanics-based fully coupled diffusion-deformation model with damage is developed to predict the stress distribution and damage propagation while the polymer undergoes rapid decompression failure. The hyperelastic material model, along with the maximum principal strain failure theory, was chosen for this study as it represents the nonlinear material response with brittle failure observed in uniaxial tensile tests perfectly. EPDM polymer was chosen for this study because of its commercial availability and common use in hydrogen storage and distribution system. It has superior mechanical properties, high and low temperature resistance, and certain compounds work well in hydrogen gas. This work is useful for design engineers to alter the parameters while manufacturing polymer composites to increase their performance in a high-pressure hydrogen environment.

Kulkarni, Shank S.↗
DOE OSTI2025

Stress Corrosion Cracking of NaSICON Membranes in Aqueous Electrolytes for Redox-Flow Batteries

The sodium super-ionic conductor (NaSICON) has versatile applications as a ceramic electrolyte for energy storage, where it can serve as an impermeable separator in solid-state batteries and redox flow systems. In particular, NaSICON systems have been proposed to be relatively stable in contact with water, making them compatible with aqueous battery chemistries. However, owing to their brittle nature and metal oxide constituents, stress-corrosion cracking (SCC) is an important failure mechanism that has not been previously explored. In this study, we assess the fracture toughness of NaSICON membranes in contact with aqueous solutions that are relevant to redox flow systems. Microindentation was performed to generate visible surface cracks and residual stress, which were observed to grow in length after exposure to aqueous solutions. This allows for a quantitative measurement of fracture toughness, which decreases after exposure to water. To contextualize these results, we develop a simplified model of the fracture behavior in aqueous redox-flow batteries that incorporate NaSICON membranes, illustrating the importance of SCC in cell design. This work provides quantitative insights into SCC as a failure mode in NaSICON, enhancing our understanding of the chemo-mechanical behavior of ceramic electrolytes in contact with aqueous solutions.

Zhang, Mengyao↗
DOE OSTI2020

In situ Diagnostics of Coupled Electrochemical-Mechanical Properties of Solid Electrolyte Interphases on Lithium Metal Rechargeable Batteries (Final Technical Report)

The fundamental understanding of the coupled mechanical/chemical degradation of the SEI layer during lithium cycling will enable the project to identify the desirable mechanical properties on SEI/lithium as a system and the specific transport properties that enable the homogenous lithium stripping/plating while avoiding the mossy structure. Furthermore, it will allow the project to develop a highly impactful strategy to protect lithium metal and achieve dendrite free high cycle efficiency, which can dramatically increase the energy density of lithium batteries for EV applications. During past three years, four coherent steps have been taken to solve the coupled mechanical and electrochemical degradation: (1) Developed a comprehensive set of in-situ diagnostic techniques to investigate the coupled mechanical/chemical properties of SEI layer and its impact on lithium striping/plating. (2) Identified failure mechanisms of SEI/Li as a whole electrode system using in-situ electrochemical tools. (3) Established a design strategy of protective coatings on Li metal to extend the cycle life Li meal electrode. (4) Developed novel surface coatings as the artificial SEI layer to protect Li metal and significantly extend cycle life. During past 3-year budget period, we have published over 16 peer-reviewed paper, filed 7 patents, and given over 30 invited talks. 5 graduated students and 2 postdocs were supported by this project.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Machine learning for photovoltaic single axis tracker fault detection and classification

More than 81% of the annual capacity of utility-scale photovoltaic (PV) power plants in the U.S. use single-axis trackers (SATs) due to SATs delivering 4% in capacity factor on average over fixed-array systems. However, SATs are subject to faults, such as software misconfigurations and mechanical failures, resulting in suboptimal tracking. If left undetected, the overall power yield of the PV power plant is reduced significantly. Minimizing downtime and ensuring efficient operation of SATs requires robust detection and diagnosis mechanisms for SAT faults. We present a machine learning framework for implementing real-time SAT fault detection and classification. Our implementation of the proposed framework reliably identifies measurements taken from a test PV system undergoing emulated SAT faults relative to state-of-the-art algorithms and produces nearly zero false positives on our testing days. Code and data are available at https://pvpmc.sandia.gov/tools.

Fault classification↗
DOE OSTI2022

Polymorphism of garnet solid electrolytes and its implications for grain-level chemo-mechanics

Understanding and mitigating filament formation, short-circuit and solid electrolyte fracture is necessary for advanced all-solid-state batteries. Here, we employ a coupled far-field high-energy diffraction microscopy and tomography approach for assessing the chemo-mechanical behaviour for dense, polycrystalline garnet (Li 7 La 3 Zr 2 O 12 ) solid electrolytes with grain-level resolution. In situ monitoring of grain-level stress responses reveals that the failure mechanism is stochastic and affected by local microstructural heterogeneity. In this work, coupling high-energy X-ray diffraction and far-field high-energy diffraction microscopy measurements reveals the presence of phase heterogeneity that can alter local chemo-mechanics within the bulk solid electrolyte. These local regions are proposed to be regions with the presence of a cubic polymorph of LLZO, potentially arising from local dopant concentration variation. The coupled tomography and FF-HEDM experiments are combined with transport and mechanics modelling to illustrate the degradation of polycrystalline garnet solid electrolytes. The results showcase the pathways for processing high-performing solid-state batteries.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Mapping 3D grain and precipitate structure during in situ mechanical testing of open-cell metal foam using micro-computed tomography and high-energy X-ray diffraction microscopy

Open-cell metal foams are ultra-low-density cellular metals with complex hierarchical structures that span bulk, cell, ligament, and sub-ligament scales and give rise to desirable properties such as high strength-to-weight ratio and excellent energy absorption. Although literature suggests that intrinsic material structures at sub-ligament length scales (e.g., grains and precipitates) play an important role in mechanical behavior of open-cell metal foams, there are very few experimental measurements of such structures in three dimensions and for meaningful volumes of foam. This study seeks to map and track the three-dimensional (3D) grain and precipitate structures of an intact volume of open-cell aluminum foam by advancing microstructural characterization techniques that leverage X-ray micro-computed tomography (μCT) and far-field high-energy X-ray diffraction microscopy (FF-HEDM). A 6%-relative-density aluminum foam sample was mechanically tested in compression while μCT and FF-HEDM measurements were collected at interrupted loading states at beamline 1-ID of the Advanced Photon Source. Further, a new scanning strategy and reconstruction algorithm were established to enable characterization of a foam volume with diameter approximately four times wider than the nominal width of the X-ray beam. The result is a set of maps that detail both the 3D grain and precipitate structures throughout the foam volume at successive strain steps. A novel grain tracking procedure was developed to track individual grains within the foam volume by accounting for the large rigid-body motions that individual ligaments can undergo during mechanical loading. The ability to track grains and precipitate structures in three dimensions throughout large bulk deformation of ultra-low-density polycrystalline materials enables new possibilities for validating numerical models and investigating local failure mechanisms. Furthermore, the methods and procedures developed in this study could be applied to other ultra-low-density structures, such as additively manufactured lattices.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Development of Predictive Model for Accurate Rupture Time from Multi-Axial Creep in Alloy 709 with Physics-Based Simulations

A physics-based model is developed to predict multiaxial creep behavior in Alloy 709 (A709), an advanced austenitic stainless steel intended for high-temperature applications such as Sodium Fast Reactors (SFRs). Compared to conventional stainless steels like 316H, A709 offers superior high-temperature performance; however, comprehensive data on its multiaxial creep response remain limited. To address this gap, a crystal plasticity finite element (CPFE) framework is used to simulate the deformation and failure mechanisms of A709 under multiaxial loading conditions. The model incorporates an extended Hu-Cocks dislocation creep formulation that accounts for precipitation effects, along with the Sham–Needleman model to capture grain boundary cavitation-driven failure. These advanced constitutive models enable a detailed understanding of the interplay between microstructural evolution and macroscopic creep response. Furthermore, the study evaluates the predictive accuracy of various effective stress measures in estimating creep rupture life, leveraging simulated multiaxial creep data. The findings provide critical insights into the applicability of different stress measures for engineering design and life prediction of A709 components operating under complex loading conditions. This work contributes to improving the reliability of high-temperature structural components by advancing predictive modeling capabilities for advanced austenitic steels.

Alloy 709↗
DOE OSTI2021

Melt Pool and Heat Treatment Optimization for the Fabrication of High-Strength and High-Toughness Additively Manufactured 4340 Steel

Additively manufactured (AM) components offer superior design flexibility compared to their conventionally manufactured counterparts, and optimizing processing parameters is key to achieving high-quality depositions with desirable and predictable mechanical properties. This study was focused on 4340 steel fabricated using laser powder bed fusion (LPBF), and 42 laser power and scan speed combinations have been systematically investigated to determine an optimized melt pool geometry that would ensure fully-dense parts. The AM material was compared with a wrought 4340 equivalent and studied in two customized heat treated conditions, optimized for strength and toughness, respectively. The microstructures of the as-fabricated and heat treated AM and wrought materials were characterized to assess differences introduced by the layer-by-layer fabrication process and subsequent heat treatment. Tensile properties of both materials were also evaluated and demonstrate that the AM materials offer equal or superior properties compared to the wrought equivalents. Differences in fracture surface morphologies indicate the distinct failure mechanisms associated with the materials’ characteristic microstructures, and the role of inclusions in the failures was studied to elucidate these differences. Complementary to the experimental investigations, the dataset was leveraged to make recommendations for future design of experiments to optimize AM build parameters in other material systems. A statistical Monte Carlo analysis was used to predict the interpolation error produced using reduced datasets and to enable informed processing parameters selection. These findings are discussed to make recommendations for the use of AM materials for high-integrity structural applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Extending Component Lifetime And Improving Inverter Reliability (ECLAIIR)

Inverter reliability remains one of the most persistent challenges limiting the performance, availability, and economic viability of utility‑scale photovoltaic (PV) plants. Industry data consistently show that inverters account for the highest share of corrective maintenance events and unplanned outages across PV fleets. These failures result in energy losses, increased O&M costs, and reduced confidence in long‑term solar asset performance. Motivated by these challenges, this project—Extending Component Lifetime and Improving Inverter Reliability (ECLAIIR)—was undertaken to systematically investigate inverter degradation and failure mechanisms, develop predictive maintenance capabilities, and establish data‑driven pathways to improve service life and reduce the Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) for large‑scale PV systems. The primary goal of the project was to identify pre‑failure signatures in string inverters using both lab‑based accelerated lifetime testing and field‑based data and to develop predictive maintenance algorithms that can anticipate inverter faults before they occur. Through collaboration with inverter testing laboratory, solar PV plant owner, and failure‑analysis experts, the project advanced the technical understanding of inverter reliability. By instrumenting inverters with thermistors, humidity sensors, power‑quality meters, and acoustic sensors, the research established how multiple sensing modalities can reliably detect deviations from normal behavior hours to days before failure. These findings substantially enhance scientific understanding of inverter failure kinetics and provide the PV industry with the most comprehensive cross‑OEM characterization of early‑stage failure indicators reported to date. Technically, the project demonstrated the effectiveness of predictive maintenance by developing and validating the PreDICT (Predictive Diagnostics of PV Inverters Using Condition Monitoring and Trend Analysis) framework—a multi‑layer diagnostic architecture combining peer‑to‑peer analytics, historical trend modeling, and advanced machine‑learning techniques such as the Sequential Conditional Variational Autoencoder (SCVAE). This predictive model achieved more than 90% accuracy in detecting pre‑failure conditions and provided up to four days of lead time before inverter failure in field scenarios. Economically, the project’s LCOE analysis showed that predictive maintenance can reduce lifetime energy losses and minimize corrective maintenance interventions. Modeling indicated that, depending on inverter failure rates and replacement timelines, predictive maintenance can significantly reduce LCOE impacts associated with inverter downtime: from as high as 19.4% under conventional maintenance strategies to 0.1%–10.17% when predictive analytics are adopted. These results confirm that predictive maintenance is both technically feasible and economically advantageous for utilities and plant operators. The project’s findings also have broad public benefit. By improving inverter reliability and reducing downtime, predictive maintenance directly increases electricity generation from existing PV assets. Enhanced reliability lowers operational costs for utilities, which can translate over time into lower energy costs for consumers. Furthermore, the project’s technical publications, conference presentations, and industry workshops ensure that knowledge gained is shared broadly across the solar industry, supporting workforce development and enabling utilities of all sizes to adopt modern asset‑health monitoring practices. The retrofitting case study and service‑life prediction framework further support informed decision‑making for aging PV fleets, helping operators extend system life and reduce electronic waste. In summary, the ECLAIIR project significantly advanced the state of knowledge on inverter degradation, demonstrated the technical and economic value of predictive maintenance, and delivered actionable tools and insights that support more reliable, cost‑effective, and sustainable PV plant operation. The outcomes of this project will continue to inform utility practices, guide inverter design improvements, and strengthen the long‑term performance of solar assets nationwide.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

An assessment of spall failure modes in laser powder bed fusion fabricated stainless steel 316L with low-volume intentional porosity

Here, this paper reports on spall failure and damage modes in Laser Powder Bed Fusion fabricated Stainless Steel 316L (SS316L) with intentional levels of low-volume (1–5 vol. %) porosity and pore sizes of 200, 350, and 500 μm. The fabricated specimens were subjected to uniaxial-strain plate-impact loading at ~4.5 GPa, to initiate incipient spall failure. Analysis of velocimetry profiles measured using multi-probe photon-Doppler velocimetry coupled with post-mortem analysis of soft-recovered samples reveals local suppression of spall failure (termed as spall-dominated) as a function of porosity, as the failure mechanism transitions from spall-centered tensile stress dominated to a pore-centered microstructure-dominated damage mode involving void/crack nucleation and growth at pre-existing pores. The critical porosity level where the suppression of spall failure is first observed, as well as the spall location, is dependent on both the volume fraction and the size of the initially fabricated pores. In samples of 500 μm pore size, the suppression of spall failure is observed with as little as 1 vol. % porosity, while samples with smaller pores (200 μm) still experience spall-centered tensile stress dominated failure with higher levels (5 vol. %) of porosity. In the case of pore-centered microstructure-dominated failure, spall damage can occur but the spall plane is shifted toward the rear free surface, or more generally in areas further away from the region with pores. Highly heterogeneous deformation twinning, shear banding, grain rotation, and cracking are observed in the vicinity of pre-existing pores and expected spall failure sites.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Characterization of Fuel-to-Coolant Heat Transfer During Reactivity-Initiated Accidents Using Tightly Coupled Thermal Hydraulics and Fuel Thermomechanics

The reactivity-initiated accident (RIA) is a complex scenario with several tightly interacting physical phenomena. Accurately predicting fuel behavior during these transients is difficult due to limitations in the modeling of fuel-to-coolant heat transfer. Common approaches to simulate RIAs involve standalone calculations using either a fuel performance code or a thermal-hydraulic code. The complex interdependencies of thermal-hydraulic and fuel mechanical behavior suggest that a tight coupling between these codes may provide more accurate predictions of fuel-to-coolant heat transfer and cladding mechanical response. Here, RELAP5-3D and BISON are coupled in this paper to simulate RIAs, and a sensitivity analysis is performed to rank key thermal properties and two-phase heat transfer parameters relevant for fuel-to-coolant heat transfer and cladding failure mechanisms in UO 2 –Zircaloy-4 systems. Gas gap conductance, film boiling heat transfer uncertainty, pulse width, fuel-specific heat capacity, and cladding-specific heat capacity were identified as important parameters. Variations in figures of merit resulting from changes to pulse width and the material thermal properties indicate that time-dependent heat transfer rates are significant for safety-relevant mechanical parameters due to the time dependence of cladding ductility and pellet-cladding mechanical interaction loading. The results suggest that the thermal-hydraulic factors have a nonnegligible influence on the thermomechanical solution and vice versa. Tight coupling of both sets of physics is recommended to improve prediction of fuel behavior during RIAs. Highlights include the following: 1. The RELAP5-3D thermal-hydraulic code and the BISON fuel performance code are tightly coupled for simulation of RIA transients with energy depositions at the Zircaloy-4 cladding failure threshold. 2. Departure from nucleate boiling occurred for all simulated cases. Due to the ductility of fresh fuel, substantial ballooning occurred in most cases. 3. Gas gap conductance, fuel-specific heat capacity, cladding-specific heat capacity, transient pulse width, and film boiling heat transfer were the dominant thermal factors impacting the safety figures of merit at energy depositions.

Critical Heat Flux (CHF)↗
DOE OSTI2024

Micro-Tensile Properties of Irradiated AGR-2 TRISO Fuel Pyrolytic Carbon (PyC) and Silicon Carbide (SiC) Coatings

Tristructural isotropic (TRISO) coated nuclear fuel particles are emerging as a versatile option for new reactor designs, with the silicon carbide (SiC) layer crucial for retaining fission products. However, the mechanical properties of TRISO coating layers, particularly after irradiation, are not fully understood due to their small size and high radioactivity. Recent in situ micro-tensile testing of various TRISO layers aims to better understand the SiC layer's failure mechanisms, advancing TRISO fuel qualification. These micro-tensile results will be presented.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Microstructural Characterization of AGR-2 TRISO-coated Particle Buffer, IPyC, and Buffer-IPyC Interfaces

Investigating the microstructural, mechanical, and chemical behaviors of Tristructural Isotropic (TRISO) fuel particles is vital for its qualification and use in advanced reactors. Central to the study of TRISO particles is understanding the silicon carbide (SiC) layer's ability to confine fission products, with failure mechanisms linked to chemical degradation following mechanical degradation of the buffer and IPyC layers. Research has been done to quantify the micro-tensile properties of the buffer, inner pyrolytic carbon (IPyC), and buffer-IPyC interlayer regions and their interactions within both irradiated and un-irradiated TRISO particles. Techniques such as atom probe tomography (APT) and transmission electron microscopy (TEM) have also been deployed to examine microstructural defects and fission product distribution in detail. The goal is to understand layer delamination, establish connections between microstructure and mechanical attributes, and inform computational predictions of fuel performance. This work may help refine predictive models of TRISO fuel behavior and facilitating its certification for use in advanced reactors.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Defect Kinetics and Control for Module Reliability

Potential induced degradation is currently one of the most important module degradation mechanisms. It has been suggested that stacking faults decorated with sodium from the module glass are responsible for this effect and authors have also shown the reversibility of this effect upon reverse biasing of the module. The importance of sodium in the failure mechanism is clear, however, little is known regarding the factors that control its diffusion into the wafer, making it nearly impossible to predict the performance of a given module and engineer it to be better. Sodium migration from module glass into silicon cells and the resulting module degradation is a clear example of how defect kinetics can determine overall module performance and long-term reliability. To the detriment of the industry and its bankability, no quantitative models yet exist to predict defect-assisted module degradation, limiting the progress in improving reliability. In particular, the understanding of defect behavior under high electric fields, under stresses imparted by encapsulation or temperature, and under real operating conditions over long periods of time is a crucial gap in the current state-of-the-art. In this work we developed a Defect-Device-Degradation model to predict defect behavior and its impact on device performance over the module operational lifetime using experimentally-determined defect parameterizations. The validated model will provide a platform for manufacturing process optimization across input materials and architectures to avoid deleterious defects upstream and enable enhanced module robustness.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗