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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 163 records · Page 9
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Comparing Life Histories of the Shortest-Lived Turtle Known (Chicken Turtles, Deirochelys reticularia ) with Long-Lived Blanding's Turtles ( Emydoidea blandingii )

Evolutionary theories predict major differences in life-history trait values of long- and short-lived organisms. Such comparisons have not been possible for chelonians because no shortlived turtle was known until research revealed that chicken turtles (Deirochelys reticularia; DR) have a maximum longevity of 21 yrs. Life-history trait values of DR females are 1) age at maturity of females = 5–6 yrs; 2) clutches per season = 1.6; 3) annual fecundity = 6–8 female eggs per female; 4) average juvenile survivorship from age 1 to maturity = 0.60; and 5) low average annual adult survivorship = 0.66. We compared DR with the very long-lived Blanding’s turtles (Emydoidea blandingii; EB) in Michigan. Over 14 yrs with no mortality (the minimum age at maturity of EB), the maximum potential fecundity produced by a single female embryo and her mature female offspring was 5 female eggs for EB and 1040 eggs for DR. Comparisons of life table output for approximately stable populations of DR and EB resulted in cohort generation times of 7 and 37 yrs, respectively. The life-history prediction that short-lived organisms should produce smaller offspring was not supported. Average wet mass of eggs is 10 g (8.4–11.3 g) for DR and 12 g (10–14 g) for EB; and average wet mass of hatchlings is 7.3 g (6–9 g) for DR and 9.3 g (6–13 g) for EB. Both differences are smaller than expected based on the difference in longevity. Here, short-lived female DR have an unusual tactic of investing in high fecundity and making substantial body sizespecific investment in large eggs, which may reflect why juvenile survivorship had greater influence on population change rates than did adult survivorship. In contrast, adult survivorship had the greatest influence on population change rates of EB. Comparison of cohorts of 1000 female DR and EB hatchlings highlights the differences in life histories of short- and long-lived turtles: all DR would be dead by the time the last female EB had reached maturity at 21 yrs of age.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Predictions of rhizosphere microbiome dynamics with a genome-informed and trait-based energy budget model

Abstract Soil microbiomes are highly diverse, and to improve their representation in biogeochemical models, microbial genome data can be leveraged to infer key functional traits. By integrating genome-inferred traits into a theory-based hierarchical framework, emergent behaviour arising from interactions of individual traits can be predicted. Here we combine theory-driven predictions of substrate uptake kinetics with a genome-informed trait-based dynamic energy budget model to predict emergent life-history traits and trade-offs in soil bacteria. When applied to a plant microbiome system, the model accurately predicted distinct substrate-acquisition strategies that aligned with observations, uncovering resource-dependent trade-offs between microbial growth rate and efficiency. For instance, inherently slower-growing microorganisms, favoured by organic acid exudation at later plant growth stages, exhibited enhanced carbon use efficiency (yield) without sacrificing growth rate (power). This insight has implications for retaining plant root-derived carbon in soils and highlights the power of data-driven, trait-based approaches for improving microbial representation in biogeochemical models.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Extending Component Lifetime And Improving Inverter Reliability (ECLAIIR)

Inverter reliability remains one of the most persistent challenges limiting the performance, availability, and economic viability of utility‑scale photovoltaic (PV) plants. Industry data consistently show that inverters account for the highest share of corrective maintenance events and unplanned outages across PV fleets. These failures result in energy losses, increased O&M costs, and reduced confidence in long‑term solar asset performance. Motivated by these challenges, this project—Extending Component Lifetime and Improving Inverter Reliability (ECLAIIR)—was undertaken to systematically investigate inverter degradation and failure mechanisms, develop predictive maintenance capabilities, and establish data‑driven pathways to improve service life and reduce the Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) for large‑scale PV systems. The primary goal of the project was to identify pre‑failure signatures in string inverters using both lab‑based accelerated lifetime testing and field‑based data and to develop predictive maintenance algorithms that can anticipate inverter faults before they occur. Through collaboration with inverter testing laboratory, solar PV plant owner, and failure‑analysis experts, the project advanced the technical understanding of inverter reliability. By instrumenting inverters with thermistors, humidity sensors, power‑quality meters, and acoustic sensors, the research established how multiple sensing modalities can reliably detect deviations from normal behavior hours to days before failure. These findings substantially enhance scientific understanding of inverter failure kinetics and provide the PV industry with the most comprehensive cross‑OEM characterization of early‑stage failure indicators reported to date. Technically, the project demonstrated the effectiveness of predictive maintenance by developing and validating the PreDICT (Predictive Diagnostics of PV Inverters Using Condition Monitoring and Trend Analysis) framework—a multi‑layer diagnostic architecture combining peer‑to‑peer analytics, historical trend modeling, and advanced machine‑learning techniques such as the Sequential Conditional Variational Autoencoder (SCVAE). This predictive model achieved more than 90% accuracy in detecting pre‑failure conditions and provided up to four days of lead time before inverter failure in field scenarios. Economically, the project’s LCOE analysis showed that predictive maintenance can reduce lifetime energy losses and minimize corrective maintenance interventions. Modeling indicated that, depending on inverter failure rates and replacement timelines, predictive maintenance can significantly reduce LCOE impacts associated with inverter downtime: from as high as 19.4% under conventional maintenance strategies to 0.1%–10.17% when predictive analytics are adopted. These results confirm that predictive maintenance is both technically feasible and economically advantageous for utilities and plant operators. The project’s findings also have broad public benefit. By improving inverter reliability and reducing downtime, predictive maintenance directly increases electricity generation from existing PV assets. Enhanced reliability lowers operational costs for utilities, which can translate over time into lower energy costs for consumers. Furthermore, the project’s technical publications, conference presentations, and industry workshops ensure that knowledge gained is shared broadly across the solar industry, supporting workforce development and enabling utilities of all sizes to adopt modern asset‑health monitoring practices. The retrofitting case study and service‑life prediction framework further support informed decision‑making for aging PV fleets, helping operators extend system life and reduce electronic waste. In summary, the ECLAIIR project significantly advanced the state of knowledge on inverter degradation, demonstrated the technical and economic value of predictive maintenance, and delivered actionable tools and insights that support more reliable, cost‑effective, and sustainable PV plant operation. The outcomes of this project will continue to inform utility practices, guide inverter design improvements, and strengthen the long‑term performance of solar assets nationwide.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Rapid assessment of the creep rupture life of metals: A model enabling experimental design

Prediction of the creep rupture life of engineering metals is critical for qualification and design of new materials. The use of long-term creep tests and the need to quantify the performance variability in a priori similar systems hinder the rapid creep assessment of a given material. Therefore, it is essential to develop methods that can extrapolate the long-term performance of alloys and the associated variability from short-term experiments. To this end, this study introduces a new model which enables the estimation of the rupture life of a material for a given stress and temperature. This model relies on two components. First, a new relation for the minimum creep rate (MCR) of materials is introduced. It includes a stress dependent stress exponent allowing the model to capture the variation of MCR across a wide range of temperatures and stresses. Second, employing the Monkman-Grant (MG) law, we establish a relation between stress, temperature and creep rupture life. Together, these two elements yield a new closed-form mathematical expression for the Larson Miller parameter as a function of stress and temperature. This expression captures the creep rupture time for many metals (Gr91, Copper, Gr122 and 347H) and compares favorably with alternate empirical approaches. The model is then used to assess the minimum duration of creep rates necessary to qualify the material up to 100000h. Furthermore, it is found that depending on the material system, creep tests as few as five limited to 5000 h for steels (Gr91, Gr122, 347H) and 100 h for copper are sufficient to model creep lifetimes. Finally, using a Bayesian inference-based approach to calibrate the model, we demonstrate that variability in rupture life can be captured via the quantification of the uncertainty in the model parameters and extrapolated from a limited number of short to moderately short creep tests; thereby paving the way for accelerated creep testing.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Soil microbiome predictability increases with spatial and taxonomic scale

Soil microorganisms shape ecosystem function, yet it remains an open question whether we can predict the composition of the soil microbiome in places before observing it. Furthermore, it is unclear whether the predictability of microbial life exhibits taxonomic- and spatial-scale dependence, as it does for macrobiological communities. Here, we leverage multiple large-scale soil microbiome surveys to develop predictive models of bacterial and fungal community composition in soil, then test these models against independent soil microbial community surveys from across the continental United States. We find remark- able scale dependence in community predictability. The predictability of bacterial and fungal communities increases with the spatial scale of observation, and fungal predictability increases with taxonomic scale. These patterns suggest that there is an increasing importance of deterministic versus stochastic processes with scale, consistent with findings in plant and animal communities, suggesting a general scaling relationship across biology. Biogeochemical functional groups and high-level taxonomic groups of microorganisms were equally predictable, indicating that traits and taxonomy are both powerful lenses for understanding soil communities. Here, by focusing on out-of-sample prediction, these findings suggest an emerging generality in our understanding of the soil microbiome, and that this understanding is fundamentally scale dependent

Biogeography↗
DOE OSTI2021

Quantifying the Influence of Charge Rate and Cathode-Particle Architectures on Degradation of Li-Ion Cells Through 3D Continuum-Level Damage Models

In this article, we develop a 3D, continuum-level damage model implemented on statistically generated LiNi 0.5 Mn 0.3 Co 0.2 O (NMC 532) secondary cathode particles. The primary motivation of the particle-level model is to inform cathode-particle design through detailed exploration of the influence of secondary and primary particle sizes on the damage predicted during operation, and determine charging profiles that reduce cathode fracture. The model considers NMC 532 secondary particles containing an agglomeration of anisotropic, randomly oriented grains. These brittle, Ni-based cathodes are prone to mechanical degradation, which reduces overall battery cycle life. The model predicts that secondary-particle fracture is primarily due to non-ideal grain interactions and high-rate charge demands. The model predicts that small secondary-particles with large grains develop significantly less damage than larger secondary particles with small grains. The model predicts most of the chemo-mechanical damage accumulates in the first few cycles. The chemo-mechanical model predicts monotonically increasing capacity fade with cycling and rate. Comparing to experimental results, the model is well suited for capturing initial capacity fade mechanisms, but additional physics is required to capture long-term capacity fade effects.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Remaining Useful Strength (RUS) Prediction of SiCf-SiCm Composite Materials Using Deep Learning and Acoustic Emission

Prognosis techniques for prediction of remaining useful life (RUL) are of crucial importance to the management of complex systems for they can lead to appropriate maintenance interventions and improvements in reliability. While various data-driven methods have been introduced to predict the remaining useful life (RUL) of machinery systems or batteries, no research has been reported on the remaining useful strength (RUS) prediction of silicon carbide fiber reinforced silicon carbide matrix (SiCf-SiCm) materials with pivotal role in its potential usage as a structural material in nuclear reactors and turbine engines. Knowledge of its degradation process is of the utmost importance to the manufacturers. For this purpose, two approaches based on the machine-learning techniques of random-forest (RF) and convolutional neural network (CNN) are proposed to predict the RUS of SiCf-SiCm using only acoustic emission (AE) signals generated during the material’s stress applying process. Experimental results show that the CNN models achieved better predictive performance than the RF models but the latter with expert-engineered features achieves better prediction for AE signals in the early stage of degradation. Additionally, our results demonstrate that both models can correctly predict the SiCf-SiCm RUS as evaluated by our robust testing method from which the best average root mean square error (RMSE) and Pearson correlation coefficient of 3.55 ksi units and 0.85 were obtained.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

A New Approach for Calculating the Alpha-Decay Half-Life for the Heavy and Super-heavy Elements and an Exact A Priori Result for Beyllium-8

A new general method for calculating the alpha decay half-life is presented. The method predicts an a priori exact value for the beryllium-8 half-life. Beryllium-8 is an exception to the current alpha decay theory captured in the Geiger-Nuttal law. The new method predicts the beryllium-8 alpha half-life using only constants and measured isotopic mass. The method also reliably predicts all the heavier isotope alpha decay half-lives consistent with the Geiger-Nuttal law. With respect to current theory, the inability of the Geiger-Nuttal Law to predict the alpha-decay half-life in the case of beryllium-8 has led to consideration of other decay mechanisms for this isotope, such as fission for example. One result is that given the consistency of the new method presented here for all isotopes including an exact a priori result for beryllium-8, the evidence strongly suggests that the beryllium-8 decay is in fact an alpha decay. A second result is that the method definitively demonstrates that the entire rest mass of the two helium-4 electrons is converted to energy in the decay process and this energy becomes part of the emitted alpha particle kinetic energy.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Regionalized Life-Cycle Water Impacts of Microalgal-Based Biofuels in the United States

While algal biofuels have the potential to reduce the national reliance on fossil fuels, high water consumption associated with algal biomass cultivation represents a major concern potentially compromising the sustainable commercialization of this technology. This study focuses on quantifying the water footprint (WF) and water scarcity footprint (WSF) of renewable diesel derived from algal biomass and provides insights into where algal cultivation is less water-intensive than traditional ethanol and biodiesel feedstocks. Results are generated with an engineering process model developed to predict the life-cycle water consumption, considering green, blue, and gray water, of algae facilities across the United States at a high spatiotemporal resolution. The total WFs for Florida and Arizona are determined to be 13.1 and 17.6 m 3 GJ –1 , respectively. The blue WF in Arizona is shown to be 8.5 times larger than in Florida, while the green WF is 4.5 times smaller, but when combined into a total WF, there is just a 26% difference between the two locations. The analysis reveals that the total life-cycle WFs of algal renewable diesel are smaller than the optimal WFs of corn ethanol and soybean biodiesel. Algal systems benefit from higher growth rates and offer the opportunity to manage wastewater streams, therefore generating smaller green and gray WFs than those of conventional biofuels. Here, the WSF analysis identifies the Gulf Coast as the most suitable region for algal cultivation, with cultivation in the western US shown to exacerbate local water stress levels.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Characterization of Long-Term Service Coal Combustion Power Plant Extreme Environment Materials

The objective of this DOE-sponsored project was to develop a comprehensive database of mechanical properties, alloy microstructures, and to a lesser extent, the oxidation/corrosion behaviors of coal-fired power plant components, such as boiler tubing, steam headers, and steam piping, which had been in service for at least 100,000 operating hours (preferably more than 200,000 operating hours) under the operating conditions of high temperatures and high mechanical stresses where creep, fatigue, steam-side oxidation, and fireside corrosion were life-limiting factors. The components included in this database consisted of ferritic steels, creep strength enhanced ferritic (CSEF) steels, and 300-series H-grade stainless steels, as well as dissimilar metal welds (DMWs) among these types of materials. As a result of extensive metallurgical characterization and mechanical testing performed in this project, a comprehensive database on mechanical properties and detailed quantitative microstructural information was successfully developed for several long-term serviced EEM components. Such a database can be used by material research communities to develop, calibrate, refine, and validate mechanical behaviors, models, and other assessment tools for accurate prediction of remaining life of major components under similar EEM operating conditions.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Ecological Dichotomies Arise in Microbial Communities Due to Mixing of Deep Hydrothermal Waters and Atmospheric Gas in a Circumneutral Hot Spring

Understanding the source and availability of energy capable of supporting life in hydrothermal environments is central to predicting the ecology of microbial life on early Earth when volcanic activity was more widespread. Little is known of the substrates supporting microbial life in circumneutral to alkaline springs, despite their relevance to early Earth habitats.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Riverscape heterogeneity in estimated Chinook Salmon emergence phenology and implications for size and growth

Abstract Many salmonid‐bearing rivers exhibit thermal and hydrologic heterogeneity at multiple spatial and temporal scales, but how this translates into spatiotemporal patterns of fry emergence is poorly understood. Understanding this variability is important because emergence timing determines the biophysical conditions fish first experience (e.g., temperature, flow, and food supply), thereby influencing growth opportunities and survival during this critical life stage. We predicted spring Chinook Salmon ( Oncorhynchus tshawytscha ) emergence phenology across four northeastern Oregon subbasins over 5–9 years using empirical spawning and temperature data. We then related interannual emergence timing estimates to juvenile salmon size and growth rates at consistent sampling locations. There were clear longitudinal patterns of predicted emergence timing in each subbasin: The shape of these patterns was consistent among years, but not among subbasins. In two subbasins, emergence occurred progressively later with distance upstream, whereas in the other two subbasins emergence was earliest at upstream sites. Within each year, median emergence dates among sites within each subbasin ranged between 44 and 58 days. This spatial variation was comparable to interannual variation, with median emergence dates for a given location in each subbasin ranging between 47 and 74 days among years. Contrary to our expectations, juvenile salmon were not larger in years with earlier emergence, owing to slower estimated spring and summer growth rates compared to years with later emergence. Despite large interannual variation in estimated emergence dates, these results suggest that other factors (e.g., stream flow, temperature, and density‐dependence) were more important than growth duration in determining juvenile salmon growth rates and size among years. We demonstrated considerable spatial and interannual variation in emergence phenology within these subbasins. Understanding how this variation translates to spatiotemporal patterns of juvenile salmon habitat use, growth, and survival has important implications for guiding restoration efforts and understanding how climate change may impact these populations.

Kaylor, Matthew J.↗
DOE OSTI2022

A New Residual Strain Mapping Program Using Energy Dispersive X-Ray Diffraction at the Advanced Photon Source

Here, the ability to non-destructively map the residual strain field inside an engineering component is important for predicting its fatigue life or developing processing methods to prevent failure or enhance performance. In this paper, we describe a new residual strain mapping program at the Advanced Photon Source, Argonne National Laboratory. The new program is based on energy dispersive x-ray diffraction (EDXRD). It is capable of non-destructively penetrating a several- cm thick polycrystalline sample fabricated from engineering alloys using high-energy x-rays and measuring the residual strain field with mm or better spatial resolution and approximately ±1 x 10 -4 strain resolution. A multi-element detector array is employed to measure multiple strain components simultaneously. The residual strain mapping setup is augmented with a high-energy tomography capability, allowing precise alignment of the material volume of interest for residual strain mapping and providing a complementary view of the structure to understand the measured strain field. These measurement capabilities are demonstrated using several strain mapping examples ranging from polycrystalline structural alloys to biological materials. We also provide some guidance for the future users of the program for a successful residual strain mapping experiment. We are expanding the capabilities of the new setup with various in situ capabilities including thermo-mechanical loading.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2025

A framework for challenges and solutions in biodesign research

The bioeconomy represents an advanced economic paradigm that builds upon previous agricultural, industrial, and digital economic models. It seeks to tackle critical global challenges such as resource scarcity, escalating healthcare demands, and environmental degradation. At the heart of the bioeconomy is biomanufacturing, which uses natural or engineered enzymes or cell factories built from ​biological components like promoters, terminators, regulatory sequences, reporters, and functional genes into various chassis hosts (including animal, microbial, plant, and de novo systems) to create products such as food, energy, medicine, materials, chemicals, and engineered tissue/organs. An enabler of biomanufacturing is biodesign – also known as biosystems design and closely related to synthetic biology or engineering biology. This interdisciplinary field aims to understand and predictably modify existing life forms or create entirely new biological entities/systems using rational engineering strategies and automated design tools. Through these capabilities, biodesign supports the discovery, optimization, and creation of efficient platforms for biomanufacturing.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Lifetime estimation of a BWR core shroud in terms of IGSCC

The continued operation of aging Boiling Water Reactors (BWRs) worldwide requires gradually increasing cost of inspection, maintenance, and repair. Intergranular Stress Corrosion Cracking (IGSCC) in sensitized austenitic stainless steel piping first became a major issue for BWRs in the 1980s, resulting in recognition of the susceptibility of reactor internals to IGSCC. Shroud cracking identified in 1993–1994 confirmed that IGSCC of internals is a significant issue for BWRs. IGSCC is a time-dependent, material degradation process, which is caused and accelerated by the presence of residual stresses, material sensitization, irradiation, cold work, elevated temperature, and corrosive environments. This paper emphasizes the importance of accounting for corrosive environments, or more exactly, electrochemical phenomena in modelling IGSCC and predicting the service life of BWR in-vessel components, and stresses the necessity of performing such modeling not just for a single state point under full power conditions, but for the whole operating history of the reactor, including startups and shutdowns. Overall, this paper demonstrates that ignoring electrochemical considerations may result in underestimating component lifetime and lead to unnecessary expenses for inspection and repair.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2025

A survey on degradation modeling, prognosis, and prognostics-driven maintenance in wind energy systems

Wind energy generation proliferated over the past decades, introducing unique challenges and opportunities for failure prediction, operation and maintenance. Decision-makers are continuously looking into new methods to infer failure mechanisms and behaviors of wind turbine components to detect and intervene in the failures before they happen. Evidently, degradation modeling and prognosis become engaging topics for researchers and practitioners to prevent catastrophic failures. Prognostics-driven approaches predict the time of failure for the components (e.g., predicting remaining useful life), which provides significant insights for scheduling of operations and maintenance activities. Integrating these prognostics-driven insights into wind farm operations and maintenance presents a substantial challenge, demanding careful consideration of numerous factors such as accessibility, crew routing, and spare part logistics. This study provides state-of-the-art review for degradation modeling, prognosis, and prognostics-driven maintenance techniques for wind energy systems. The discussed techniques align with the United Nations' sustainable development goals, in particular Goal 7 (Affordable and Clean Energy), by enhancing effectiveness and sustainability of wind energy operations. This work also showcases open research questions related to degradation modeling, prognosis, and prognostics-driven maintenance.

Altinpulluk, Nur Banu↗