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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 163 records · Page 9

On-Orbit Performance Degradation of the International Space Station P6 Photovoltaic Arrays

This paper discusses the on-orbit performance and performance degradation of the International Space Station P6 solar array wings (SAWs) from the period of December 2000 through February 2003. Data selection considerations and data reduction methods are reviewed along with the approach for calculating array performance degradation based on measured string shunt current levels. Measured degradation rates are compared with those predicted by the computational tool SPACE and prior degradation rates measured with the same SAW technology on the Mir space station. Initial results show that the measured SAW short-circuit current is degrading 0.2 to 0.5 percent per year. This degradation rate is below the predicted rate of 0.8 percent per year and is well within the 3 percent estimated uncertainty in measured SAW current levels. General contributors to SAW degradation are briefly discussed.

Kerslake, Thomas W.↗

Root Cause Analysis of Degradation in Protonic Ceramic Electrochemical Cell with Interfacial Electrical Sensors Using Data‐Driven Machine Learning

Abstract Protonic ceramic electrochemical cells (PCECs) offer promising paths for energy storage and conversion. Despite considerable achievements made, PCECs still face challenges such as physiochemical compatibility between componenets and suboptimal solid–solid contact at the interfaces between the electrolytes and electrodes. In this study, a novel approach is proposed that combines in situ electrochemical characterization of interfacial electrical sensor embedded PCECs and machine learning to quantify the contributions of different cell components to total degradation, as well as to predict the remaining useful life. The experimental results suggest that the overpotential induced by the oxygen electrode is 48% less than that of oxygen electrode/electrolyte interfacial contact for up to 1171 h. The data‐driven machine learning simulation predicts the RUL of up to 2132 h. The root cause of degradation is overpotential increase induced by oxygen electrode, which accounts for 82.9% of total cell degradation. The success of the failure diagnostic model is demonstrated by its consistency with degradation modes that do not manifest in electrolysis fade during early real operations. This synergistic approach provides valuable insights into practical failure diagnosis of PCECs and has the potential to revolutionize their development by enabling improved performance prediction and material selection for enhanced durability and efficiency.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Evaluation of alternatives for best-fit paraboloid for deformed antenna surfaces

Paraboloid antenna surfaces suffer performance degradation due to structural deformation. A first step in the prediction of the performance degradation is to find the best-fit paraboloid to the deformed surface. Examined here is the question of whether rigid body translations perpendicular to the axis of the paraboloid should be included in the search for the best-fit paraboloid. It is shown that if these translations are included the problem is ill-conditioned, and small structural deformation can result in large translations of the best-fit paraboloid with respect to the original surface. The magnitude of these translations then requires nonlinear analysis for finding the best-fit paraboloid. On the other hand, if these translations are excluded, or if they are limited in magnitude, the errors with respect to the restricted not-so-best-fit paraboloid can be much greater than the errors with respect to the true best-fit paraboloid.

Baruch, Menahem↗

A comprehensive modeling of falling film evaporators subject to vapor flow, pass arrangements, and refrigerants

Improving the heat transfer performance of falling film evaporators is a crucial step for improving the energy efficiency of the heat pump or refrigeration systems. This study conducts a numerical investigation for the practical-scale falling film evaporator based on the epsilon–NTU method with an updated heat transfer correlation. The algorithm was validated with lab-scale and real-scale falling film evaporator experimental results, and the prediction reaches a mean absolute deviation of 12.5%. Here, the parametric study encompasses eight refrigerants: R-134a, R-410A, R-600a, R-717, R-1270, R-152a, R-1234yf, and R-1234ze(E). The results indicate that vaporization enthalpy of refrigerant is a key property in selecting an appropriate working fluid because it helps minimize severe heat transfer degradation caused by dry-out. Additionally, the vapor-flow–induced heat transfer degradation can be predicted using the critical Weber number. Furthermore, the trade-off between extending the tube length and increasing the number of tubes for heat transfer improvement is discussed. Finally, different two-pass arrangements show deviations of less than 4 %.

Dry-out↗

Performance degradation of the Block IV telemetry system due to the presence of a CW interference

The presence of an in-band continuous wave interference can seriously degrade the performance of a telemetry system. Degradation effects for a phase shift keying (PSK) system can be found in Refs. 1 and 2. The telemetry system employed for deep space communications is a binary phase-shift keying system (BPSK) with squarewave subcarriers. The use of squarewave subcarriers makes the system less sensitive to in-band interference than a system using sinusoidal subcarriers. A model that allows one to predict the telemetry degradation for the deep space telemetry system is presented and backed with experimental data.

Sue, M. K.↗

Quantitative Prediction of Perovskite Stability Using Accelerated Testing and Machine Learning

PV technologies based on hybrid perovskites offer the potential for reducing solar cell costs, but they are particularly vulnerable to degradation by environmental factors such as moisture, oxygen, and illumination. Commercialization will require not only stable materials and device architectures but also accelerated testing protocols and models that can predict degradation from the accelerated testing data. Here, we report results from in situ photoluminescence (PL) and photoconductivity (PC) measurements during perovskite degradation with simultaneous optical transmittance (Tr) measurements or reflected dark field (DF) imaging. From PL, PC, Tr, and DF, we determine (respectively) the steady-state quasi-Fermi level splitting, the mean effective carrier diffusion length, the extent of conversion of perovskite to higher bandgap degradation products, and the extent of scattering from domains with different orientation or composition, all as a function of time during degradation. Simultaneous measurement of PL-PC-Tr or PL-PC-DF on perovskite absorbers in an environmental chamber over a wide range of humidity, oxygen, temperature, and illumination levels yields a rich data set. We use machine learning to develop a model that accurately predicts (within 10%) the time for the diffusion length to decrease to 85% of its initial value. The model takes the environmental conditions and the first few measurements from the PL-PC-Tr or PL-PC-DF experiment as input. Thus, the model provides a framework to interpret the results of accelerated testing of absorber materials. One of the dominant features in the model of degradation for CH 3 NH 3 PbI 3 is the initial rate at which transmittance increase. For devices with opaque contacts, the pixel-averaged rate of change of the intensity in dark-field images can be used in place of transmittance. Results are also presented on full PV devices with in-situ current-voltage (JV) measurements. Here, the data from simultaneous PL-DF-JV under environmental stresses reveal intimate connection between degradation and shunts and provide a framework to extend accelerated testing to devices. Further, the presentation reveals underlying universal behavior in degradation pathways over a broad range of environmental stresses and perovskite compositions.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

An Analysis of Barriers Preventing the Widespread Adoption of Predictive and Prescriptive Maintenance in Aviation

The aviation industry has long recognized the potential benefits of predictive maintenance, a maintenance strategy that leverages sensor and operational data to predict the future degradation of components. Prescriptive maintenance takes this a step further and considers the entire aviation ecosystem to schedule maintenance actions optimally. With the ability to reduce maintenance costs by up to 30%, as reported by the Department of Energy, these maintenance strategies have been identified to be an important investment to reduce a airline costs. However, despite great interest and technological advances in areas such as diagnostics, prognostics, sensing, computation, and machine learning, the adoption of predictive and prescriptive maintenance has not been widely applied in aviation. To shed light on this issue, we conducted an analysis of the barriers preventing or limiting the adoption of predictive and prescriptive maintenance in aviation. Through discussions with subject matter experts across industry, academia, standards bodies, and government, we identified five key challenges: complexity of prediction; validation, safety assurance, and regulatory challenges; cost of adoption; difficulty in quantifying impact and informing decisions; and data availability, quality, and ownership challenges. This study provides a detailed overview of these barriers and areas where stakeholders could invest to overcome them, aiming to support the scaled adoption of predictive and prescriptive maintenance in aviation.

Christopher Teubert↗

Ground Testing of the MISSE-16 Materials

The harsh space environment imposes very stringent requirements upon spacecraft materials, especially those located on exterior surfaces of space objects in low Earth orbit (LEO). As humankind moves from space exploration to space commercialization, these materials may have to last for 15–20 years without considerable degradation of their optical, electrical, mechanical, and thermal properties. Operational requirements dictate that these materials continue to function according to expectations. Hence, we must understand the effects of the space environment on materials currently in use as well as on untested materials. For the years, the Materials International Space Station Experiment Flight Facility (MISSE-FF) have flown many different materials to investigate the effect of LEO space weather exposure on the performance and durability of materials and devices. The MISSE-16 scientific team members plan to launch fifteen different novel and well-characterized spacecraft-relevant materials to the LEO environment for a duration of six months during the MISSE-16 mission. Changes in spectral reflectivity will be measured throughout the mission as the samples are exposed to the space environment. The same chemical damage the produces changes in optical reflectance also causes changes in numerous other physical properties such as electrical conductivity, mechanical strength, and chemical reactivity. Correlation of the changes in each of these properties as a function of radiation type, flux, and fluence allows various material properties to be inferred from one experimentally tractable measurement: color change. Flying identical test fixtures on the ram, zenith, and wake positions of the MISSE-FF, collecting spectrally resolved images of the materials, and concomitantly measuring the ambient space environment allows deconvolution of the material effects which occur as a result of exposure to neutral atomic oxygen (AO), unfiltered solar ultraviolet (UV) radiation, and electrons. The flight experiment will function as a ground truth reference for our team’s ongoing laboratory-based space weather-material interactions experiments. Comparison of the MISSE-16 data with extensive testing of “flight-duplicate” samples under simulated space weather conditions will enable development of chemical models for prediction of material degradation. This paper discusses preliminary results from the ground test campaign including measurements of UV/VIS/IR reflectance spectra, bidirectional reflectance distribution function (BRDF), surface potential decay, and surface morphology under electron and AO exposure.

Elena A. Plis↗

Development of an Open-source Alloy Selection and Lifetime Assessment Tool for Structural Components in CSP

Lack of sufficient data on high temperature mechanical and corrosion behavior of structural materials is a huge barrier in the technological maturity of current and future Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) technologies. Rapid development and selection of materials cannot be achieved by expensive and time-consuming acquisition of experimental data. The goal of the proposed work is development of an open-source alloy selection and lifetime prediction tool that will integrate validated physics-based models to describe influence of temperature, alloy composition, environment and component geometry (thickness) on mechanical and corrosion behavior of Ni and Fe-based alloys employed in molten salts/sCO 2 heat exchangers. This one-year project leveraged the extensive dataset on the creep\corrosion behavior of candidate materials generated at ORNL through past projects and input from current collaborations with industrial partners. Based on previous experience and the feedback provided by industry (Brayton Energy and Echogen), three candidate materials of interest, Ni-based alloys 740H, 282 and 625 and application-specific operating conditions (max. temperature of 730 °C and stress of 150 MPa) were identified for the heat exchanger. An extensive corrosion and creep dataset was assimilated for the relevant operating conditions and was supported by detailed characterization of about 100 metallographic cross-sections. The corrosion dataset consisted of scanning electron microscopy images (secondary electron and backscatter electron), measured concentration profiles of alloying elements using energy dispersive X-ray spectroscopy (EDS), widths of denuded zones (dissolution of strengthening phases) and depths of attack in molten KCl-MgCl 2 mixtures using image analyses. The creep dataset comprised of creep rupture data and creep strain curves (for 740H and 282). Coupled thermodynamic-kinetic microstructure-based models were employed to predict the stress-corrosion induced compositional and phase evolutions in the alloy during operation under the identified operating conditions. Reduced order models were developed from advanced physics-based models and were integrated in a user-friendly alloy selection tool. The corrosion model was able to predict the time to a critical Cr concentration at the oxide/alloy interface (chemical lifetime) within ±10% (1 standard deviation) of typical statistical variation in corrosion tests and EDS measurement errors (±0.5 wt%). The initial scope of the project was limited to predict creep rupture times (Larson-Miller parameter). Based on the input provided by industry, the mechanical lifetime of the heat exchanger is governed by accumulated creep strains (2%) rather than creep rupture. To be able to predict the times to specific creep strains, a more extensive creep model development was undertaken largely beyond the initial scope of the project. The continuum damage mechanics creep model was able to predict times to 2% creep strain, t 2% with an accuracy of ±500h. Ultimately, a screening protocol for SiC was generated to demonstrate the pathway for integration of one of the currently immature materials from a commercial adoption standpoint in the current material evaluation tool. The modeling tool developed here is accessible to the science community and stakeholders and lays the foundation for methods that will enable a rapid evaluation of optimum materials for CSP applications and reliable prediction of material degradation thereby considerably reducing operational costs, improving reliability and increasing overhaul intervals. However, the complete potential of such a tool to include a wider range of materials and test conditions can only be realized with a more concentrated combined experimental-characterization-computation effort.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

HyBlend Collaborative Research Partnership (CRADA Final Report)

This agreement assembles a multi-lab, multi-industry team to address high-priority research topics related to the blending of hydrogen (H2) into the U.S. natural gas (NG) pipeline network. There are four main research objectives: 1. Compatibility of metals (SNL) – Develop general principles for operation of HyBlend™ delivery systems in the context of structural integrity and assess the role of gas impurities on degradation of metal pipelines. 2. Compatibility of polymers (PNNL) – Assess gas impurities in HyBlend for polymer pipeline degradation and lifetime predictions. 3. Life cycle analysis (LCA) (ANL) – Analyze the life cycle of technology pathways for hydrogen and NG blends, as well as alternative pathways. 4.Techno-economic analysis (TEA) (NREL) – Quantify the costs and opportunities for hydrogen production and blending with the NG network, as well as alternative pathways.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Advanced Perovskite Solar Cells and Modules

The “Advanced perovskite Cells and Modules” research project was the final agreement focused on enhancing perovskite solar cell (PSC) technologies funded by the US Department of Energy's Solar Energy Technologies Office. The project was designed to address three crucial areas in PSC development: stability, manufacturability, and efficiency. The project was then structured around three main tasks, each targeting one of these strategic goals. The team of experienced researchers in these materials worked collaboratively to address the targets outlined in the technical work plan. building on existing PSC research while also exploring promising new concepts arising in the field. An overview of each primary task is summarized below: Task 1 Stability: This first task, aims to identify material characteristics and metrics that can help predict the primary degradation mechanisms impacting PSC stability. This involved developing specific device tests based on hypotheses regarding mechanisms impacting stability, including fast failure procedures to speed up PSC development and improvement. Various strategies to enhance stability, like incorporating additives, post-treatments, novel contact materials etc. were developed using this fast feedback approach. The relationships between indoor and outdoor stresses were also validated. Task 2 Manufacturability: This second task, focused on creating a scalable production process for PSCs. Initially the objective is to establish a best-known method for a 182 cm2 minimodule. However, given resource limitations, these metrics were modified to focus on the other goal of outlined in the TWP. Specifically, this task worked to demonstrate the transferability of this best-known method to another research institution. Work scope in this area was expanded to material purity and understanding of reagent/process relationships. Examination of other difficulties in PSC production and potential solutions for large-scale production were also evaluated. Given challenges observed in process transfer, work to develop data infrastructure and recording tools for processing of material and devices was then also prioritized in this task. Task 3 Efficiency: This task was focused on improvements to PCE, while still considering Task 1 and Task 2 goal. The efforts targeted a PCE greater than 22% with a T95 exceeding 1000 hours at 25°C in a nitrogen environment for lab-scale devices (approximately 0.1 cm2 devices) across a range of solar-relevant perovskite compositions, including wide-gap (around 1.7 eV) and low-gap (around 1.3 eV) materials, using standard metal contacts. This work then provides a foundation for MHP-based tandem efforts undertaken in other projects and the All-MHP tandem efforts outlined in this projects TWP. Work in this project emphasized disseminating its findings through peer-reviewed publications (PRP), conference presentations, and industrial collaborations. Significant products were produced in all these areas, over 53 peer reviewed publications, 32 conference presentations and industrial investment based on NLR assistance on precompetitive challenges. The team also developed significant intellectual property and awards for their technical excellence, innovations and leadership. The team also leveraged traditional and social media platforms to engage with stakeholders and the public.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Development of reliability prediction technique for semiconductor diodes

New fundamental technique of reliability prediction for semiconductor diodes based on realistic mathematical models can be applied to component failure rate prediction including mechanical degradation, electrical degradation, environmental stress factors, and electrical load stress factors.

Ryerson, C. M.↗

Four-dimensional world-wide atmospheric models (surface to 25 km altitude)

Four-dimensional atmospheric models previously developed for use as input to atmospheric attenuation models are evaluated to determine where refinements are warranted. The models are refined where appropriate. A computerized technique is developed that has the unique capability of extracting mean monthly and daily variance profiles of moisture, temperature, density and pressure at 1 km intervals to the height of 25 km for any location on the globe. This capability could be very useful to planners of remote sensing of earth resources missions in that the profiles may be used as input to the attenuation models that predict the expected degradation of the sensor data. Recommendations are given for procedures to use the four-dimensional models in computer mission simulations and for the approach to combining the information provided by the 4-D models with that given by the global models.

Spiegler, D. B.↗

Degradation of large, period II lunar craters

Nighttime thermal maps of large, young lunar craters show an evolutionary sequence in the gross morphology of thermal patterns associated with the craters. The nature of the sequence is consistent with crater degradation models which predict a filling of large craters with material from the walls. Detailed comparison of a nighttime thermal map of Copernicus with a geologic map demonstrates that a smooth floor unit characterized as impact melt is more likely wall debris. Nighttime thermal maps will be particularly useful for quantifying crater modification which has occurred in the relatively quiescent post-basin period of lunar history.

Mendell, W. W.↗

Analysis of driver performance under reduced visibility

Mathematical models describing vehicle dynamics as well as human behavior may be useful in evaluating driver performance and in establishing design criteria for vehicles more compatible with man. In 1977, a two level model of driver steering behavior was developed, but its parameters were identified for clear visibility conditions only. Since driver performance degrades under conditions of reduced visibility, e.g., fog, the two level model should be investigated to determine its applicability to such conditions. The data analysis of a recently performed driving simulation experiment showed that the model still performed reasonably well under fog conditions, although there was a degradation in its predictive capacity during fog. Some additional parameters affecting anticipation and lag time may improve the model's performance for reduced visibility conditions.

Kaeppler, W. D.↗

Effect of space exposure on pyroelectric infrared detectors (A0135)

The effects of long-duration space exposure and launch environment on the performance of pyroelectric detectors which is important for the prediction of performance degradation, setting exposure limits, or determining shielding requirements was investigated. Air pollution monitoring and thermal mapping of the Earth, which includes the remote sensing of aerosols and limb scanning infrared radiometer projects, requires photodetection in the 6- to 20 micro m region of the spectrum. Pyroelectric detectors can detect radiation in the 1- to 100 micro m region while operating at room temperature. This makes tahe pyroelectric detector a prime candidate to fill the thermal infrared detector requirements.

Robertson, J. B.↗

A case study of GWE satellite data impact on GLA assimilation analyses of two ocean cyclones

The effects of the Global Weather Experiment (GWE) data obtained on January 18-20, 1979 on Goddard Laboratory for Atmospheres assimilation analyses of simultaneous cyclones in the western Pacific and Atlantic oceans are examined. The ability of satellite data within assimilation models to determine the baroclinic structures of developing extratropical cyclones is evaluated. The impact of the satellite data on the amplitude and phase of the temperature structure within the storm domain, potential energy, and baroclinic growth rate is studied. The GWE data are compared with Data Systems Test results. It is noted that it is necessary to characterize satellite effects on the baroclinic structure of cyclone waves which degrade numerical weather predictions of cyclogenesis.

Gallimore, R. G.↗

Ongoing development of a computer jobstream to predict helicopter main rotor performance in icing conditions

Work is currently underway at the NASA Lewis Research Center to develop an analytical method for predicting the performance degradation of a helicopter operating in icing conditions. A brief survey is performed of possibilities available to perform such a calculation along with the reasons for choosing the present approach. A complete description of the proposed jobstream is given as well as a discussion of the present state of the development.

Britton, Randall K.↗