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Despite its use in one form or another for at least four decades, HALT and related techniques [e.g., highly accelerated-stress screening (HASS) and stress audits (HASA)] are not well understood within the statistical community and remain controversial. This largely reflects a conflict in motivation between engineers, testing under harsh conditions to discover and eliminate failure modes, and statisticians, taking a more cautious approach to develop quantitative estimates of parameters such as mean time between failures (MTBF). Here, this review article will clarify HALT concepts and methods and explain where it fits within the universe of methods that involve the application of accelerating factors to compress the time required to evaluate or enhance product reliability. A major distinction is between methods such as HALT, a high-stress test-analyze-fix-test iterative process directed at improving reliability by discovering and fixing weak points in a design, and quantitative accelerated life testing (QALT), whose goal is the estimation of product life for a fixed design. We discuss methods such as physics of failure that offer some hope of bridging the gap between the qualitative nature of HALT, and purely quantitative statistical methods. We present a variety of engineering applications of HALT including metal fatigue, piping and pressure vessels, structural damage, radiation damage, and rotating machinery. We also discuss potential synergies between HALT and QALT, such as rapid identification, through HALT, of failure modes requiring quantitative analysis. For further study, extensive references to the applicable literature are provided as well as an appendix that describes related methods.
The project aims to develop mechanistic degradation models that realistically predict long-term Solid Oxide Electrolysis Cell (SOEC) durability, using input data from accelerated electrochemical life testing combined with quantitative microstructural and microchemical evaluation. A promising SOEC type will be further developed. The understanding achieved by combining experimental results and theory will be used to guide improvements in long-term SOEC durability, and validate that this technology can reach DOE H 2 production cost and durability targets. Planned outcomes include: (1) new experimental accelerated testing data on SOEC degradation at the oxygen electrode, fuel electrode, and electrolyte; (2) predictive theory of degradation developed based on the accelerated test data; (3) new electrode materials and processing methods that minimize degradation rate; (4) determination of the impact of SOEC electrolyte thickness and electrode composition/microstructure on performance and degradation; (5) determination of the operating conditions where degradation is minimized; and (6) validation of degradation models for extrapolating accelerated test data to predict long-term durability.
This TEAMER project allows NREL to use and augment a custom special-purpose testing system to perform accelerated-life testing of rotating seals for use in the Marine Renewable Energy (“MRE”) industry. The requirements of this industry are different from most applications including marine, and relevant performance information is lacking. In order to achieve low costs with extremely effective and reliable operation over long periods deployed underwater, more study of the best seals and arrangements of seals must be performed. By developing a rigorous framework for such testing, NREL hopes to greatly improve understanding of the relevant factors and provide significant data to the industry. Further, this work can inform standards developments for this critical component of MRE systems, leading to maturation and improved acceptance of the industry in commerce.
The reliability of photovoltaic (PV) inverters is critical for long-term solar system performance, with cooling fan failures frequently leading to costly downtime. While much research exists on general cooling fan reliability, little attention has been given to fans operating within PV inverters and their unique environmental challenges. Here, this article proposes a comprehensive methodology to address this gap. First, a failure mode and effects analysis is performed on fans to identify the key failure mechanisms in PV applications, their corresponding stressors, and the models necessary for lifetime prediction. Second, an accelerated life test is designed and conducted to collect valuable experimental data for PV inverter fans in a reasonable amount of time. Third, a mathematical conversion of dynamic mission profiles into effective constant stress levels is derived. Fourth, case studies are given, showcasing lifetime estimates that account for geographic variations in mission profile data. The results demonstrate that this integrated approach leads to an accurate reliability assessment for PV inverter cooling fans.
Abstract In this study, thermal interface material (TIM) degradation is driven through highly accelerated life test (HALT) using temperature cycling with a prescribed vibrational acceleration for two commercially available materials having thermal conductivities of 6.0 and 8.5 W/m K. HALT specimens were prepared by applying TIM through a 4-mil stencil over AlSiC baseplates in the shape of those used in Wolfspeed CAS325M12HM2 power electronics modules. Baseplates were mounted onto aluminum carrier blocks with embedded thermocouples to characterize the thermal resistance across the baseplate and TIM layer. Thermal dissipation into the top of the baseplates was provided by a custom heating block, which mimics the size and placement of the die junctions in CAS325 modules, applying power loads of 200, 300, and 400 W. After initial characterization, samples were transferred to the HALT chamber with one set of samples exposed to temperature cycling only (TCO) and the other temperature cycling and vibration (TCV). Both sample sets were cycled between temperature extremes of −40 °C and 180 °C with vibrations applied at a peak acceleration of 3.21 Grms. After hundreds of cycles, samples were reevaluated to assess changes in thermal resistance to provide an accelerated measure of TIM degradation. This allows for reliability prediction of useful lifetime (illustrated in a solar inverter case study herein), as well as to provide a basis for developing an accelerated testing method to related temperature cycling to faster methods of degradation. Such techniques provide a means to develop maintenance schedules for power modules for ensuring sufficient thermal performance over the operating lifetime.
Abstract Black phosphorus (BP) is a narrow bandgap layered semiconductor promising for mid-infrared optoelectronic applications. BP-based devices have been shown to surpass state-of-the-art mid-infrared detectors and light-emitting diodes (LEDs) in terms of performance. Despite their device advantages, the material’s inherent instability in the air could hinder its use in practical optoelectronic applications. Here, we investigated the impact of passivation on the device lifetime of BP LEDs, which deteriorate in a matter of seconds without using passivation. The lifetime is significantly extended with an Al 2 O 3 passivation layer and nitrogen packaging via atomic layer deposition and ultra-violet curable resin sealing. The operational lifetime (half-life) at room temperature is extrapolated to be ~15,000 h with an initial power density of 340 mW/cm 2 based on accelerated life testing. The present results indicate that efficient BP optoelectronics can be highly robust through simple and scalable packaging technologies, with important practical implications for mid-infrared applications.
This paper examines the findings of highly accelerated life tests (HALT), conducted according to ASHRAE Standard 97 sealed glass tube methodology for R-123 like, R-134a like and R-410A/R-404A like lower global warming potential (GWP) alternatives. Additionally, possible chemical breakdown pathways are reviewed for the new haloolefin refrigerants. Note, compositions for the following blends are shown as percent by weight. For R-123 like refrigerants, R-1336mzz(Z), R-1336mzz(E), R-514A (74.7% R-1336mzz(Z)/25.3% R-1130(E)), R-1233zd(E), and R-1224yd(Z) were examined with and without lubricants. R-1233zd(E) and R-1224yd(Z) were evaluated with mineral oil and the rest were evaluated with polyalkylene glycol (PAG), polyolester (POE) and polyvinyl ether (PVE) lubricants. For R-134a like refrigerants, R-1234ze(E), R-450A (42% R-134a/58% R-1234ze(E)), R-515B (91.1% R-1234ze(E)/8.9% R-227ea), R-1234yf, R-513A (56% R-1234yf/44% R-134a), and R-516A (77.5% R-1234yf/8.5% R-134a/14.0% R-152a) were examined with and without PAG, POE, and PVE lubricants. For R-410A/R-404A like, R-454B (68.9% R-32/31.1% R-1234yf), R-454C (21.5% R-32/78.5% R-1234yf), R-455A (3.0% R-744/21.5% R-32/75.5% R-1234yf), and R-468A (3.5% R-1132a/21.5% R-32/75.0% R-1234yf) were also examined with PAG, POE and PVE lubricants. R-466A (49% R-32/11.5% R-125/39.5% CF 3 I) was part of this study but will not be covered since it does not contain a haloolefin component.
Photovoltaic (PV) inverters are critical yet vulnerable components in modern energy systems, often acting as reliability bottlenecks that increase the levelized cost of energy (LCOE). To address this, this paper presents a comprehensive Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA) tailored for PV inverters. Leveraging field data and literature, we identify failure-prone components, such as capacitors,, and relays, and prioritize their risks based on quantitative Risk Priority Numbers (RPNs). The analysis reveals that surge-induced MOV short circuits, capacitor degradation, and environmental cooling fan failures dominate the risk profile. These findings provide a targeted framework for reliability improvement, guiding future efforts in predictive diagnostics, design optimization, and accelerated life testing strategies.
Reliable accelerated test protocols are needed for solid oxide fuel cell research to facilitate rapid learning on key durability issues, identify potential modes of failure expeditiously, and eventually predict the calendar lifetime of an electrochemical cell. In this work, solid oxide fuel cells operated at a constant current density were compared to cells undergoing accelerated measurements, which are composed of intermittent current injection to the cell. A general accelerated test profile was developed by cycling a solid oxide fuel cell from open circuit to a predetermined operating current density that is the same as the current density during a steady-state operation, to accelerate the local redox environment. The following parameters were studied: current density, operation temperature, moist level, sintering temperature, cycling current, cycling frequency, and operation time. Up to 1,320,000 cycles were generated in this work. The cell degradation was accelerated by nearly 10 times, suggesting the feasibility of using this protocol for acceleration test to predict life performance and durability of solid oxide fuel cells.
This paper investigates the effect of hotspot (HS) stress endurance of two of the latest designs of monocrystalline modules: a half-cell glass/backsheet (G/B) module and a full-cell glass/glass (G/G) module. These modules have already been pre-stressed in extended thermal cycling with 600 cycles per the IEC 61215 standard to represent field-stressed modules. This study differs from the other conventional studies wherein only fresh modules are subjected to hotspot endurance stress. The G/G module reached a maximum temperature of approximately 200 °C at a cell shading of 25 %, 55 °C higher than the maximum hotspot temperature of 145 °C in the G/B module. A significant burn mark, without glass shattering, was observed in the hotspot-stressed cell of the G/G module due to the current mismatch induced by partial shading. Most of the cells in the G/G module appear to be severely damaged (severe dark areas), as observed in the electroluminescence (EL) image, while the dark regions were rarely present in the G/B module. The EL image also illustrates multiple cell cracks that resist current flow and eventually contribute to the full-cell module degradation. About 8.3 % degradation in maximum power was observed for the G/G module and 1.3 % for the G/B module after the sequential stress tests. The lower degradation in the G/B module can potentially be attributed to its design, which comprises of two parallel strings, each having 72-half-cells and benefits from lower heat dissipation. Furthermore, this indicates that the half-cell design could potentially minimize the hotspot degradation and failures in crystalline-silicon modules.
Hotspots pose a significant long-term reliability challenge in photovoltaic (PV) modules that can have a detrimental impact on the efficiency, safety, and financial viability of a PV system. This paper aims to evaluate the endurance of hotspot stress in pristine and prestressed glass–glass (GG) modules. The accelerated prestressing was conducted for 600 thermal cycles (TC600) to represent decades of field exposure. GG modules are quickly becoming an alternative to the traditional glass–backsheet (GB) modules that have been the industry standard. Unlike other conventional studies that subject only pristine modules to hotspot stress, this paper evaluates the performance of an accelerated/simulated field-aged GG module (using TC600) and a pristine GG module. Pre- and post-characterizations were performed before and after each test to determine changes in electrical performance and observe any defects in GG modules. During the hotspot test, an approximately 200 °C maximum cell temperature was observed with a cell shading of 25% (the worst-case shading ratio). After the hotspot test, electroluminescence imaging indicated that most cells in the prestressed GG module exhibited severe damage whereas no significant defects were evident in the pristine GG module where the prestressed GG module degraded 8.2% and the pristine GG module degraded 1.5% in maximum power. These findings are critical for the industry, considering that GG bifacial modules will dominate the market.
This document will briefly discuss the observations and results from an NREL conducted accelerated lifetime testing of the main shaft seal for the Verdant Power fifth generation Gen5 underwater Tidal Energy Converter (TEC) turbine, which successfully performed at the RITE project in 2020-2021. In order to evaluate a 5-year Service Interval ( SI) for this component, testing at NREL operated the main shaft seal nearly continuously for over 135 (text says 130 days on page 5 and 125 days on page 7 and 137 days on page 11) days at a rotational velocity of 160 rpm while the test stand recorded water pressure, barrier fluid pressure, temperature, and number of cycles., representing ~ 40% of the SI. An additional separate test was conducted to measure the aging behavior of the rubber drive rings. The water pressure reservoir was held constant as 29 psi. Barrier fluid pressure remained relatively constant throughout the duration of the test but was seen to sink to as low as 10.1 psi. No barrier fluid leakage was observed throughout the test. A sudden failure occurred within the seal after the power to test machine was interrupted for a scheduled building maintenance procedure. Upon restarting, the main shaft seal lost all ability to prevent water ingress. The exact cause is not known but is believed to be either a seal assembly issue or a change in the alignment of the seal components during or following the power outage. Following seal disassembly, significant wear was seen on one of the graphite sealing rings. Based on these results it is recommended that a follow-on TEAMER be conducted to rectify protocol and assembly issues to further evaluate SI of this component. The support and participation of Verdant Power Inc, Dovetail Solutions LLC and Garlock Manufacturing Inc were instrumental in understanding the results. NREL thanks them for their significant effort.
Battery life modeling often involves a lot of manual parameter fitting and is not easy for users to adopt the model and use it. To reduce the difficulties for users to adopt battery lifetime models, an automatic battery lifetime modeling analysis and simulation tool suite, Auto-BLAST, has been developed. Auto-BLAST includes a lithium-loss-base life model, a battery electric model, and an algorithm which automatically fits all key parameters in the electric and life models using user provided data. The models and algorithm are packaged into two user-friendly GUIs, Auto-LifeMod, for easy battery life prognostic model fitting and Auto-LifeSim, for easy battery lifetime simulation. The lithium-loss-based life model adopts a similar model framework that models degradations using aging rate models, using battery cycling data to predict battery degradation and expected lifetime. The electric model is an equivalent circuit model which simulates battery voltage responses based on current/power demand profiles. The auto-fitting algorithm uses the user-input data to generate custom battery life model(s). Two GUIs, wrapping around the life model and the auto-fitting algorithm, provide friendly interfaces for users to generate a life model and use it for case study. One GUI requires summary data from accelerated battery life degradation tests as an input and produces battery life models predicting (a) capacity degradation, and (b) resistance growth of the battery. The GUI displays the electrical model response and the input experimental data against the life model predictions with fitted model parameters and fitting error. The GUI also generates an output file to save the fitted model parameters. The second GUI uses the life model from the first GUI and a user-defined battery cycling profile to predict battery lifetime degradation and expected lifetime. Predicted capacity and resistance vs. time are plotted in the GUI and saved to output file. There is a user guide for both GUIs
This paper demonstrates the stepped isostress method (SSM); an accelerated creep test (ACT) for the rapid assessment of metallic materials. The SSM test is based on the time-temperature-stress superposition principle (TTSSP) where temperature and/or stress are step increased to accelerate the time-to-rupture. The SSM test has proven successful for the ACT of polymers and polymeric composites but has yet to be proven for metallic materials. In this study, new test matrix design rules for the SSM of metals are established based on deformation mechanism, time-temperature transformation, and time-temperature precipitation maps. A test matrix of SSM and conventional creep tests (CCTs) are executed for alloy Inconel 718 at 750°C (1382°F) with stress levels ranging from 100 to 350 MPa. Validation CCT data is gathered from the Japan National Institute of Material Science (NIMS). Material constants for the Sine-hyperbolic (Sinh) constitutive model are calibrated using the SSM data and employed to predict the conventional creep response. Here, when blindly compared to the CCT data, the SSM calibrated Sinh model can accurately predict the conventional creep response across logarithmic decades and thus accelerate the capture of conventional creep data. Fractography indicates ductile fracture by transgranular microvoid coalescence (TMVC) with the same fracture mode observed in both SSM and CCT specimens. Creep cavitation is indicated by the population, smoothness, and size of microvoids.
This project aims to develop and test novel Reversible Solid Oxide Cells (ReSOCs) specifically designed to yield low area specific resistance, as required to achieve high round trip efficiency in reversible operation at high current density. A key objective is to improve long-term reversible SOC durability; mechanistic degradation models will be used to predict long-term durability using input data from accelerated testing that combines electrochemical life testing with quantitative microstructural and chemical evaluation. The modeling tasks seek to design low-loss, low-cost ReSOC systems using input data from the experimental cell studies. A key challenge is to develop a thermal management strategy that maintains thermally self-sustaining operation while operating the stack at a potential lower than the thermo-neutral steam electrolysis voltage of ~1.3 V, to maintain high efficiency.
Carefully controlled laboratory experiments and measurements can enable the determination of acceleration factors suitable for extrapolation to durability and performance of a fielded PV module. Ideally, a single mechanism can be identified with appropriate acceleration factors for extrapolation to the field. However, even with a single mechanism, the inherent uncertainty in these factors leads to uncertainty in the extrapolation which is greater the higher the acceleration factor. This course will explain how because of the wide range of acceleration factors for a given degradation mode, utilizing acceleration factors greater than about 10x will typically lead to unacceptable uncertainty in the results. Therefore, if even just a rank ordering of materials is desired, acceleration factors must be minimized which requires a good general understanding of the scale of the different acceleration factors for the degradation mode of interest. In this tutorial we will discuss what the different purposes are for many of the accelerated stress tests used today. E.g., what is a qualification test, a highly accelerated stress test, a rank ordering test, or a service life prediction test. We will discuss how one can understand the relationship between test results and expected field performance. A single accelerated stress test condition cannot duplicate outdoor exposure for all possible degradation pathways; therefore, one must use targeted evaluation of material properties at different stress levels to determine the relevant acceleration factors and fit it to a model. We will also discuss how to interpret the results of experiments understanding what is relevant/not relevant, or not e valuated in a test. There are many common error people make in their test interpretations because they push the stress levels to be too harsh. This creates biases and can mask the relevant failure modes and mechanisms or will erroneously lead one to over design materials against things that aren't relevant. Several case studies will be presented to illustrate appropriate interpretation of accelerated stress testing results.