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DOE OSTI2018

Altered spring phenology of North American freshwater turtles and the importance of representative populations

Abstract Globally, populations of diverse taxa have altered phenology in response to climate change. However, most research has focused on a single population of a given taxon, which may be unrepresentative for comparative analyses, and few long‐term studies of phenology in ectothermic amniotes have been published. We test for climate‐altered phenology using long‐term studies (10–36 years) of nesting behavior in 14 populations representing six genera of freshwater turtles ( Chelydra , Chrysemys , Kinosternon , Malaclemys , Sternotherus , and Trachemys ). Nesting season initiation occurs earlier in more recent years, with 11 of the populations advancing phenology. The onset of nesting for nearly all populations correlated well with temperatures during the month preceding nesting. Still, certain populations of some species have not advanced phenology as might be expected from global patterns of climate change. This collection of findings suggests a proximate link between local climate and reproduction that is potentially caused by variation in spring emergence from hibernation, ability to process food, and thermoregulatory opportunities prior to nesting. However, even though all species had populations with at least some evidence of phenological advancement, geographic variation in phenology within and among turtle species underscores the critical importance of representative data for accurate comprehensive assessments of the biotic impacts of climate change.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Active virus-host interactions at sub-freezing temperatures in Arctic peat soil

Abstract Background Winter carbon loss in northern ecosystems is estimated to be greater than the average growing season carbon uptake and is primarily driven by microbial decomposers. Viruses modulate microbial carbon cycling via induced mortality and metabolic controls, but it is unknown whether viruses are active under winter conditions (anoxic and sub-freezing temperatures). Results We used stable isotope probing (SIP) targeted metagenomics to reveal the genomic potential of active soil microbial populations under simulated winter conditions, with an emphasis on viruses and virus-host dynamics. Arctic peat soils from the Bonanza Creek Long-Term Ecological Research site in Alaska were incubated under sub-freezing anoxic conditions with H 2 18 O or natural abundance water for 184 and 370 days. We sequenced 23 SIP-metagenomes and measured carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) efflux throughout the experiment. We identified 46 bacterial populations (spanning 9 phyla) and 243 viral populations that actively took up 18 O in soil and respired CO 2 throughout the incubation. Active bacterial populations represented only a small portion of the detected microbial community and were capable of fermentation and organic matter degradation. In contrast, active viral populations represented a large portion of the detected viral community and one third were linked to active bacterial populations. We identified 86 auxiliary metabolic genes and other environmentally relevant genes. The majority of these genes were carried by active viral populations and had diverse functions such as carbon utilization and scavenging that could provide their host with a fitness advantage for utilizing much-needed carbon sources or acquiring essential nutrients. Conclusions Overall, there was a stark difference in the identity and function of the active bacterial and viral community compared to the unlabeled community that would have been overlooked with a non-targeted standard metagenomic analysis. Our results illustrate that substantial active virus-host interactions occur in sub-freezing anoxic conditions and highlight viruses as a major community-structuring agent that likely modulates carbon loss in peat soils during winter, which may be pivotal for understanding the future fate of arctic soils' vast carbon stocks.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2019

Quantifying Resolution Implications for Agent-based Distributed Energy Resource Customer Adoption Models

In this report we explore tradeoffs of top-down and bottom-up methods in their precision and computational burden using NREL's dGen model, an agent-based model of residential and non-residential distributed PV adoption. In particular, we assess the role of agent resolution in instantiating statistically-representative populations in the model--and the resulting variance of model projections at the state, sector and county levels. Running the model for a single state with fixed macroeconomic assumptions, we vary both the number of agents instantiated and the number of unique simulations. Notably, in each run we introduce sources of uncertainty in cumulative DPV adoption results during agent instantiation as we stochastically sample agent attributes from localized building characteristic and solar resource distributions. We find three key trends which guide what can be expected of results. First, precision of the model projections, as measured by the variance of the unique simulations increased as a function of the number of agents sampled, though with diminishing returns to scale. The result is expected given the Law of Large Numbers. Second, the mean or expected value of projections decreased as the number of agents instantiated increased. Empirically, aggregate DPV capacities projected by dGen are 7% lower on average at a 10-agent resolution compared to 1-agent resolutions, and up to 10% lower in the non-residential sector. We attribute this outcome to a system sizing scheme that biases lower cumulative installed capacity as agent resolution increases when roof size and load are not positively correlated. Finally, the variance of model projections differed by sector, where variance was substantially larger in the commercial sector, largely due to differences in parameterization by sector. We explain the larger variance in the non-residential sector as an outcome of the greater variance in building uses and load shapes as compared to the residential sector, and we find that a resolution on the order of 100-agents per county would be necessary to bring non-residential variance in line with residential variance at a 2-agent resolution. We propose that further research explore increasing precision and agent resolution in the non-residential sector. Moreover, given that days of intensive computing may be required to resolve a suitable estimate even at the extent of a single state within acceptable levels of precision, to promote computational efficiency we also suggest more clearly quantifying sources of variability at the county level such that resolution can by dynamically increased where county level results are least precise.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2020

Metagenomic and Metatranscriptomic Analyses Revealed Uncultured Bacteroidales Populations as the Dominant Proteolytic Amino Acid Degraders in Anaerobic Digesters

Current understanding of amino acid (AA) degraders in anaerobic digesters is mainly based on cultured species, whereas microorganisms that play important roles in a complex microbial community remain poorly characterized. This study investigated short-term enrichments degrading single AAs using metagenomics and metatranscriptomics. Metagenomic analysis revealed that populations related to cultured AA degraders had an abundance <2.5% of the sequences. In contrast, metagenomic-assembled bins related to uncultured Bacteroidales collectively accounted for >35% of the sequences. Phylogenetic analyses suggested that these Bacteroidales populations represented a yet-to-be characterized family lineage, i.e., Bacteroidetes vadinHA17. The bins possessed the genetic capacity related to protein degradation, including surface adhesion (3–7 genes), secreted peptidase (52–77 genes), and polypeptide-specific transporters (2–5 genes). Furthermore, metatranscriptomics revealed that these Bacteroidales populations expressed the complete metabolic pathways for degrading 16 to 17 types of AAs in enrichments fed with respective substrates. These characteristics were distinct from cultured AA degraders including Acidaminobacter and Peptoclostridium, suggesting the uncultured Bacteroidales were the major protein-hydrolyzing and AA-degrading populations. These uncultured Bacteroidales were further found to be dominant and active in full-scale anaerobic digesters, indicating their important ecological roles in the native habitats. “Candidatus Aminobacteroidaceae” was proposed to represent the previously uncharted family Bacteroidetes vadinHA17.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Meta-analysis identifies pleiotropic loci controlling phenotypic trade-offs in sorghum

Abstract Community association populations are composed of phenotypically and genetically diverse accessions. Once these populations are genotyped, the resulting marker data can be reused by different groups investigating the genetic basis of different traits. Because the same genotypes are observed and scored for a wide range of traits in different environments, these populations represent a unique resource to investigate pleiotropy. Here, we assembled a set of 234 separate trait datasets for the Sorghum Association Panel, a group of 406 sorghum genotypes widely employed by the sorghum genetics community. Comparison of genome-wide association studies (GWAS) conducted with two independently generated marker sets for this population demonstrate that existing genetic marker sets do not saturate the genome and likely capture only 35–43% of potentially detectable loci controlling variation for traits scored in this population. While limited evidence for pleiotropy was apparent in cross-GWAS comparisons, a multivariate adaptive shrinkage approach recovered both known pleiotropic effects of existing loci and new pleiotropic effects, particularly significant impacts of known dwarfing genes on root architecture. In addition, we identified new loci with pleiotropic effects consistent with known trade-offs in sorghum development. These results demonstrate the potential for mining existing trait datasets from widely used community association populations to enable new discoveries from existing trait datasets as new, denser genetic marker datasets are generated for existing community association populations.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Development and characterization of a wild emmer wheat backcross introgression population for hard winter wheat improvement

Abstract Wild emmer wheat (Triticum turgidumsubsp.dicoccoides) is the tetraploid progenitor of hexaploid bread wheat (Triticum aestivumL.) and is known to be a valuable source of genetic variation for wheat improvement. However, direct evaluation of wild emmer diversity for agronomic potential has limited value unless performed in the backgrounds of adapted cultivars. Here, we present a genetic characterization of a population of 1601 backcross recombinant inbred lines, with an average genome composition of 75% bread wheat and 25% wild emmer. Low‐coverage whole‐genome sequencing allowed introgressions and aneuploidies to be identified at a relatively low cost per sample. We identified a relatively large proportion of small introgressions (median length 38 Mb), and we found introgressions to be distributed across all chromosomes. Approximately 44% of genotyped progeny carried at least one aneuploidy, with monosomies being by far the most common. This population, which we have denoted as the Great Plains Wild Emmer/Hard Winter Wheat introgression population (GPWEW‐IP), is, to our knowledge, the first introgression population developed through the direct hybridization of wild emmer wheat and US‐adapted hard winter wheat. We believe that this population represents a valuable resource for wheat breeders and will accelerate the discovery and integration of useful variation from wild emmer wheat.

Genetics & Heredity↗

DOE OSTI2019

Direct measurements of slip irreversibility in a nickel-based superalloy using high resolution digital image correlation

Fatigue crack nucleation in crystalline materials typically develops due to highly localized cyclic slip. During a fatigue cycle, reverse slip differs locally from slip in the forward direction particularly in precipitate-containing materials such as superalloys. In this paper we report the first direct measurements of irreversibility at the scale of individual slip bands by high-resolution digital image correlation (DIC) in a polycrystalline nickel-based superalloy. Quantitative measurements of the slip irreversibility are challenging for regions of material that have a size that captures the microstructure and its variability. High spatial resolution at the nanometer scale during experimental measurements is needed to observe slip localization during deformation. Moreover, large fields are also needed to obtain the material response over statistically representative populations of microstructural configurations. Recently, high resolution scanning electron microscope (SEM) digital image correlation (DIC) has been extended for quantitative analysis of discontinuities induced by slip events using the Heaviside-DIC method. Therefore, this novel method provides quantitative measurements of slip localization at the specimen surface. In this paper, the Heaviside-DIC method is used to measure slip irreversibility and plastic strain accumulation in a nickel-based superalloy. The method detects bands with high levels of irreversibility early in cycling that ultimately form fatigue cracks upon further cycling. The local microstructural configurations that induce large amounts of plasticity and slip irreversibility are correlated to crack nucleation locations.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2023

Revising the dynamic energy budget theory with a new reserve mobilization rule and three example applications to bacterial growth

Dynamic energy budget (DEB) theory has been applied to model a wide range of organisms, including microbes. In the standard DEB model, biomass is partitioned into reserve and structural compartments, where reserve biomass is mobilized in a pseudolinear manner (while the reserve biomass density, defined as the ratio between reserve and structural biomass, decays linearly) to drive maintenance and the growth of structural biomass (and extracellular enzyme production if it is considered). However, the linear dynamics of the reserve biomass density makes the standard DEB model incapable of explaining the slowdown of microbial growth at high reserve density that is caused by macromolecular crowding effect which reduces biochemical reaction rates (a typical situation occurs when microbes are experiencing severe moisture stress) and is inconsistent with the observation that intracellular enzymatic reactions generally follow non-linear kinetics. By partitioning biomass into reserve, kinetic, and structural compartments, we show here that the Equilibrium Chemistry Approximation (ECA) kinetics can be used to represent enzymatically catalyzed reserve biomass mobilization that can then drive the kinetic and structural biomass synthesis. This revised DEB model better represents the tradeoff in ribosome allocation for structural growth and internal enzyme production, is structurally compatible with metabolic models of cell individuals, and includes the standard DEB model and the popular compromise model as special cases for representing population growth. We then applied the revised DEB model to interpret components of bacterial respiration, their dependence on substrate availability, and emergent microbial carbon use efficiency dynamics for an exponentially growing population. We found that the revised DEB model enables a better understanding of bacterial substrates use (carbon in our examples) than that can be derived from a few other models in the literature. In particular, the revised DEB model explains why carbon use efficiency may first increase, then plateau, and finally decrease with growth rate (and substrate uptake rate), as a function of proteomics. Additionally, the revised DEB model explains why the kinetic biomass compartment needs to be divided to reasonably incorporate proteomic control of microbial growth.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

EpiCast: Simulating Epidemics with Extreme Detail

In early 2020, COVID-19 swept the globe. Governments attempted to “flatten the curve” through business shutdowns and stay-at-home orders, but the United States was hit hard. By the end of March, mere months after the virus first emerged in humans 7,000 miles away, the U.S. had recorded 192,300 cases and 5,300 deaths. While this unprecedented disaster sent shockwaves through every level of society and clouded an uncertain future, state and local governments turned to computational and mathematical epidemiology researchers to help formulate intervention strategies to limit the spread of the disease. Traditional forecasting models provided a reasonable understanding of how the near future was likely to look, but local policy makers and public health communities still struggled to understand how potential mitigations ought to be implemented. Decision makers needed a way to measure the impact of their policy choices—they needed better technology. EpiCast answered the call, bringing urgently needed answers to policymakers grappling with how to adjust school and business schedules. EpiCast is modeling software that generates a synthetic, representative population to simulate infectious disease transmission in the United States with extreme detail and granularity. The software models human behavior combined with community-specific information to provide a fine-grained preview of the effect of potential mitigation strategies for decision makers.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2022

High-Energy X-ray Diffraction Microscopy for Nuclear Forensics FY2022 Project Report

Morphological information on nuclear material has been identified using visible light and scanning electron microscopy. These identify qualitative differences in particle morphology. Three-dimensional imaging of materials through alternating scanning electron microscopy imaging and focused ion beam milling has also been used. Unfortunately, these techniques are time- and labor-intensive, with significant sample preparation required and lengthy analysis times. Further, the resulting 3D images are qualitative, require manual identification, and do not capture statistically-representative populations. High energy X-ray 3D imaging using a direct-beam or diffracted-beam (High-Energy Diffraction Microscopy) have been developed at the Advanced Photon Source and can produce quantitative information on grains (phase, location, etc.) and pores (size distribution, sphericity) in a material. These techniques require only minutes to characterize a sample volume and are non-destructive, thus suitable for a wide range of existing samples and for confirmatory analyses to be carried out using conventional microscopy techniques. In this first year of the project, all uranium oxide samples were synthesized and characterized using conventional analyses by the analytical chemistry laboratory. Conventional analysis methods included powder x-ray diffraction, scanning electron microscopy, impurity analysis via inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry, and infrared spectroscopy. Impurity analysis shows a drop in boron content from UO 3 to the lowest U 3 O 8 calcination temperature, but otherwise no appreciable difference in any sample. Analysis of diffraction data shows a flip of peaks from UO 3 dominated for the 600 °C calcined sample to U 3 O 8 dominated at 700 °C and 800 °C. Analysis of scanning electron microscopy images shows that with increased calcination temperature the size distribution of particles seems to increase and broaden. Both of these last findings are in line with previously published data, though this work used significantly fewer particles to simply show similar trends instead of getting truly quantitative particle analysis. Infrared analysis similarly shows ingrowth of U 3 O 8 as calcination temperature is increased, along with depression of peaks associated with UO 3 and water. Samples were prepared for analysis at the Advanced Photon Source at beamline 1-ID. It is anticipated that analysis will occur in November of 2022. AI/ML techniques to de-noise data coming out of 1-ID during the analyses was also developed during this time using previously gathered data. Preliminary results using a self-supervision technique called Noise2Selfshow good de-noising of data. Once the uranium oxide samples are analyzed, real data will be used to test the de-noising and other AI/ML techniques that may be developed in the second year of the project.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2023

High-Energy X-ray Diffraction Microscopy for Nuclear Forensics (FY23 Project Report)

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2026

Progressing Analysis of Variable Electric Rates (PAVER) Study

The Progressing Analysis of Variable Electric Rates (PAVER) study analyzed the impact of a range of time-varying electric rates on the performance of a regional electric grid and the resulting costs for participating and non-participating customers. This analysis leveraged and extended the work of PNNL’s Distribution System Operator with Transactive (DSO+T) study. Five different rate designs were included: a flat volumetric energy charge, a typical Time of Use (TOU) rate, a dynamic energy (DE) rate (based on wholesale locational marginal prices), a dynamic energy and capacity (DE+C) rate, and, finally, a Block and Swing (B&S) rate that billed customers based on their average load profile at constant pricing, but used the DE+C dynamic price for load deviations from their average profile. These rates were analyzed in a large-scale co-simulation of an entire regional grid with a customer population representative of the current state. A large fraction (80%) of residential and commercial customers were assumed to participate in these time-varying rates with automatically controlled HVAC, water heaters, electric vehicles, and batteries. This study assumed no industrial sector participation. The DE and DE+C rates saw system peak loads reduced by 6-7%, while the large participation in the TOU rate case saw a significant rebound effect and a resulting peak load increase of >5%. The impacts to the annual and peak system demand impacted system wholesale prices and the overall grid operating costs. This cost structure determined the revenue needed to be collected from customers by each rate design. Participating customers on the DE and DE+C rates (located in one of the modeled DSOs) saw reductions in average annual electricity bills of 11-17% with average increases in monthly bill variation of no more than 13%. At such high participation levels, TOU customers saw 10% higher average annual bills (due to system-wide rebound effects) and average increased monthly bill variation of 16%. Residential owners of large flexible loads (such as electric vehicles) saw larger bill savings (17-20%) when on a fully dynamic rate. The presence of on-site generation (such as rooftop solar) did not appear to appreciably change customer outcomes. Customers on the Block and Swing rate did see 6% lower monthly bill variation (as intended) than the flat rate case, but at the expense of appreciable bill savings, which were only 3%, comparable to the savings seen by non-participants. Given this finding we recommend that additional research be conducted into how best various bill protection mechanisms can balance minimizing customer bill variation with providing financial incentives commensurate with the flexibility customers provide. We also recommend that customer outcomes be explored across a range of regions using current actual customer and system cost data.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2018

A Closure Study of Total Scattering Using Airborne In Situ Measurements from the Winter Phase of TCAP

We examine the performance of our approach for calculating the total scattering coefficient of both non-absorbing and absorbing aerosol at ambient conditions from aircraft data. Our extended examination involves airborne in situ data collected by the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE) Gulf Stream 1 aircraft during winter over Cape Cod and the western North Atlantic Ocean as part of the Two-Column Aerosol Project (TCAP). The particle population represented by the winter dataset, in contrast with its summer counterpart, contains more hygroscopic particles and particles with an enhanced ability to absorb sunlight due to the larger fraction of black carbon. Moreover, the winter observations are characterized by more frequent clouds and a larger fraction of super-micron particles. We calculate model total scattering coefficient at ambient conditions using size spectra measured by optical particle counters (OPCs) and ambient complex refractive index (RI) estimated from measured chemical composition and relative humidity (RH). We demonstrate that reasonable agreement (~20% on average) between the observed and calculated scattering can be obtained under subsaturated ambient conditions (RH < 80%) by applying both screening for clouds and chemical composition data for the RI-based correction of the OPC-derived size spectra.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2019

The spatial allocation of population: a review of large-scale gridded population data products and their fitness for use

Population data represent an essential component in studies focusing on human–nature interrelationships, disaster risk assessment and environmental health. Several recent efforts have produced global- and continental-extent gridded population data which are becoming increasingly popular among various research communities. However, these data products, which are of very different characteristics and based on different modeling assumptions, have never been systematically reviewed and compared, which may impede their appropriate use. This article fills this gap and presents, compares and discusses a set of large-scale (global and continental) gridded datasets representing population counts or densities. It focuses on data properties, methodological approaches and relative quality aspects that are important to fully understand the characteristics of the data with regard to the intended uses. Written by the data producers and members of the user community, through the lens of the “fitness for use” concept, the aim of this paper is to provide potential data users with the knowledge base needed to make informed decisions about the appropriateness of the data products available in relation to the target application and for critical analysis.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Multi-Attribute Subset Selection enables prediction of representative phenotypes across microbial populations

The interpretation of complex biological datasets requires the identification of representative variables that describe the data without critical information loss. This is particularly important in the analysis of large phenotypic datasets (phenomics). Here we introduce Multi-Attribute Subset Selection (MASS), an algorithm which separates a matrix of phenotypes (e.g., yield across microbial species and environmental conditions) into predictor and response sets of conditions. Using mixed integer linear programming, MASS expresses the response conditions as a linear combination of the predictor conditions, while simultaneously searching for the optimally descriptive set of predictors. We apply the algorithm to three microbial datasets and identify environmental conditions that predict phenotypes under other conditions, providing biologically interpretable axes for strain discrimination. MASS could be used to reduce the number of experiments needed to identify species or to map their metabolic capabilities. The generality of the algorithm allows addressing subset selection problems in areas beyond biology.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

LandScan Global 30 Arcsecond Annual Global Gridded Population Datasets from 2000 to 2022

Abstract Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) annually develops the LandScan Global (LSG) dataset, a 30 arcsecond global gridded population dataset representing global ambient human population distribution. This multivariable dasymetric model disaggregates census counts within administrative boundaries using ancillary data. Each country’s distribution reflects cultural and socioeconomic patterns; manual validations yield a unique global dataset for assessing populations at risk. For over two decades, LSG has been a standard for estimating populations at risk, aiding U.S. federal government, academia and humanitarian organizations. During disasters such as the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami and the 2010 Haiti earthquake and geopolitical crises such as the Syrian civil war and the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine, LSG supported scientific and operational communities in emergency response and recovery. In 2022, LSG datasets from 2000 onward were made publicly available through ORNL’s LandScan Portal. This data descriptor details our methodology and the application of geospatial science and machine learning to geographic and demographic data, highlighting uses in urban resiliency, emergency management, disaster response, and human health and security.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

DOE OSTI2023

The Chemodynamics of the Stellar Populations in M31 from APOGEE Integrated-light Spectroscopy

We present an analysis of nearly 1000 near-infrared, integrated-light spectra from APOGEE in the inner ~7 kpc of M31. We utilize full-spectrum fitting with A-LIST simple stellar population spectral templates that represent a population of stars with the same age, [M/H], and [α/M]. With this, we determine the mean kinematics, metallicities, α abundances, and ages of the stellar populations of M31's bar, bulge, and inner disk (~4–7 kpc). We find a nonaxisymmetric velocity field in M31 resulting from the presence of a bar. The bulge of M31 is less metal-rich (mean [M/H] = $0.149$$^{+0.067}_{-0.081}$ dex) than the disk, features minima in metallicity on either side of the bar ([M/H] ~ -0.2), and is enhanced in α abundance (mean [α/M] = $0.281$$^{+0.035}_{-0.038}$). The disk of M31 within ~7 kpc is enhanced in both metallicity ([M/H] = $-0.023$$^{+0.050}_{-0.052}$) and α abundance ([α/M] = $0.274$$^{+0.020}_{-0.025}$). Both of these structural components are uniformly old at ≃12 Gyr. We find the mean metallicity increases with distance from the center of M31, with the steepest gradient along the disk major axis (0.043 ± 0.021 dex kpc -1 ). This gradient is the result of changing light contributions from the bulge and disk. The chemodynamics of stellar populations encodes information about a galaxy's chemical enrichment, star formation history, and merger history, allowing us to discuss new constraints on M31's formation. Our results provide a stepping stone between our understanding of the Milky Way and other external galaxies.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2024

LandScan Global 2023: Silver Edition

For a quarter of a century, the LandScan Global (LSG) project has annually released a global, high-resolution gridded population dataset representing the ambient or unwarned population at a 30 arcsecond resolution. LSG supports a range of applications such as emergency management, disaster response, and human health and security for understanding populations at risk. The 2023 release of LSG, the LandScan Silver Edition, represents a major methodological leap forward while also leveraging previous knowledge—the previous year was the baseline for the current annual update carrying forward valuable knowledge of the built environment for the past quarter century—to train the machine learning models. Compared with annual releases over the past 24years, multiple advancements were made to different aspects of the methodology to achieve reproducibility, transparency, and consistent global propagation of solutions to modeling or population distribution issues identified during the review process. These novel changes include incorporation of the latest available geospatial inputs across the globe, machine learning models instead of manual modifications, population feature importance analysis, open-source solutions vs. proprietary software, generation of multiple global versions, analytic validations, and human-in-the-loop revisions to produce the final version. Additionally, algorithms—such as anomaly detection—were introduced to quickly identify areas of focus to develop a new and robust systematic review. Significant changes in modeled population distributions were observed between the 2022 and 2023 releases, largely attributable to improvements in data and methods and discussed thoroughly within this report. In summation, the LandScan Silver Edition leverages the best of the past quarter century of LSG legacy knowledge and continues a tradition of applying cutting-edge enhancements to serve as a new benchmark for accurate, actionable gridded population data

Lebakula, Viswadeep↗