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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 19 records

Severe Convective Storms in Limited Instability Organized by Pattern and Distribution

Abstract Severe convection occurring in high-shear, low-CAPE (HSLC) environments is a common cool-season threat in the southeastern United States. Previous studies of HSLC convection document the increased operational challenges that these environments present compared to their high-CAPE counterparts, corresponding to higher false-alarm ratios and lower probability of detection for severe watches and warnings. These environments can exhibit rapid destabilization in the hours prior to convection, sometimes associated with the release of potential instability. Here, we use self-organizing maps (SOMs) to objectively identify environmental patterns accompanying HSLC cool-season severe events and associate them with variations in severe weather frequency and distribution. Large-scale patterns exhibit modest variation within the HSLC subclass, featuring strong surface cyclones accompanied by vigorous upper-tropospheric troughs and northward-extending regions of instability, consistent with prior studies. In most patterns, severe weather occurs immediately ahead of a cold front. Other convective ingredients, such as lower-tropospheric vertical wind shear, near-surface equivalent potential temperature (θ e ) advection, and the release of potential instability, varied more significantly across patterns. No single variable used to train SOMs consistently demonstrated differences in the distribution of severe weather occurrence across patterns. Comparison of SOMs based on upper and lower quartiles of severe occurrence demonstrated that the release of potential instability was most consistently associated with higher-impact events in comparison to other convective ingredients. Overall, we find that previously developed HSLC composite parameters reasonably identify high-impact HSLC events. Significance Statement Even when atmospheric instability is not optimal for severe convective storms, in some situations they can still occur, presenting increased challenges to forecasters. These marginal environments may occur at night or during the cool season, when people are less attuned to severe weather threats. Here, we use a sorting algorithm to classify different weather patterns accompanying such storms, and we distinguish which specific patterns and weather system features are most strongly associated with severe storms. Our goals are to increase situational awareness for forecasters and to improve understanding of the processes leading to severe convection in marginal environments.

Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences↗

Severe Temperature Impact Study on Ferrite Electromagnetic Shielding for Wireless Electric Vehicle Charging

Wireless charging of an electric vehicle (EV) is an emerging technology that enables noncontact charging, which has advantages in terms of convenience and flexibility. However, the embedded charging pads under and on the ground expose the charging coils, ferrite shielding, and related components to a potentially severe external environment. To study the electromagnetic shielding performance under such extreme temperature conditions, ferrite shielding material's permeability characteristics are tested under temperatures as low as -50°C to as high as 240°C. Referring to the official recorded lowest and highest temperature of the United States, in this paper, it is assumed that the operation temperature ranges from -50°C to 57°C as the coldest winter and hottest summer environment for WPT application. Electromagnetic performance, shielding, and associated stray magnetic emissions are simulated by using three-dimensional (3D) transient simulations to study the impact of low and high temperature on electromagnetic shielding performance. Based on ferrite testing data, from -50°C low temperature to 57°C high temperature, the ferrite's relative permeability ranges from 2550 to 3727. The simulation study indicates that there won't be significant impact on the EM shielding performance for WPT operated under those severe environment temperature conditions.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Restricting electron flow at cytochrome b6f when downstream electron acceptors are severely limited

Abstract Photosynthetic organisms frequently experience abiotic stress that restricts their growth and development. Under such circumstances, most absorbed solar energy cannot be used for CO2 fixation and can cause the photoproduction of reactive oxygen species (ROS) that can damage the photosynthetic reaction centers of PSI and PSII, resulting in a decline in primary productivity. This work describes a biological “switch” in the green alga Chlamydomonas reinhardtii that reversibly restricts photosynthetic electron transport (PET) at the cytochrome b6f (Cyt b6f) complex when the capacity for accepting electrons downstream of PSI is severely limited. We specifically show this restriction in STARCHLESS6 (sta6) mutant cells, which cannot synthesize starch when they are limited for nitrogen (growth inhibition) and subjected to a dark-to-light transition. This restriction represents a form of photosynthetic control that causes diminished electron flow to PSI and thereby prevents PSI photodamage but does not appear to rely on a ΔpH. Furthermore, when electron flow is restricted, the plastid alternative oxidase (PTOX) becomes active, functioning as an electron valve that dissipates some excitation energy absorbed by PSII and allows the formation of a proton motive force (PMF) that would drive some ATP production (potentially sustaining PSII repair and nonphotochemical quenching [NPQ]). The restriction at the Cyt b6f complex can be gradually relieved with continued illumination. This study provides insights into how PET responds to a marked reduction in availability of downstream electron acceptors and the protective mechanisms involved.

Plant Sciences↗

Understanding the Computing and Analysis Needs for Resiliency of Power Systems from Severe Weather Impacts

As the frequency and intensity of severe weather has increased, its effect on the electric grid has manifested in the form of significantly more and larger outages in the United States. This has become especially true for regions that were previously isolated from weather extremes. In this paper, we analyze the weather impacts on the electric power grid across a variety of weather conditions, draw correlations, and provide practical insights into the operational state of these systems. High resolution computational modeling of specific meteorological variables, computational approaches to solving power system models under these conditions, and the types of resiliency needs are highlighted as goal-oriented computing approaches are being built to address grid resiliency needs. An example analysis correlating outages to 1km day-ahead weather from two historical winter storms, calculated on a large cluster using a combination of interpolated and extrapolated inputs from multiple instrumented sites to workflows that produce primary meteorological outputs, is shown as initial proof of concept.

analysis↗

Intelligent resolution: Integrating Cryo-EM with AI-driven multi-resolution simulations to observe the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 replication-transcription machinery in action

The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) replication transcription complex (RTC) is a multi-domain protein responsible for replicating and transcribing the viral mRNA inside a human cell. Attacking RTC function with pharmaceutical compounds is a pathway to treating COVID-19. Conventional tools, e.g., cryo-electron microscopy and all-atom molecular dynamics (AAMD), do not provide sufficiently high resolution or timescale to capture important dynamics of this molecular machine. Consequently, we develop an innovative workflow that bridges the gap between these resolutions, using mesoscale fluctuating finite element analysis (FFEA) continuum simulations and a hierarchy of AI-methods that continually learn and infer features for maintaining consistency between AAMD and FFEA simulations. We leverage a multi-site distributed workflow manager to orchestrate AI, FFEA, and AAMD jobs, providing optimal resource utilization across HPC centers. Our study provides unprecedented access to study the SARS-CoV-2 RTC machinery, while providing general capability for AI-enabled multi-resolution simulations at scale.

Trifan, Anda↗

Analysis of several high-resolution infrared bands of perdeutero-spiropentane, C5D8

Perdeutero-spiropentane (C5D8) has been synthesized and infrared spectra were taken from 400 to 4000 cm-1 at low sample pressures in a 22 meter multipass cell. The spectral resolution (0.0015 cm-1) reveals thousands of individual rovibrational transitions for several fundamental bands occurring in the spectral region of 500 to 1100 cm-1. C5D8 ground state constants reported in a previous study of a ?15 parallel band at 1054 cm-1 [1] were improved significantly in the present work by adding combination-differences derived from ?16 parallel and ?24 perpendicular band analyses. The larger data set at higher J values also allowed determination of the ground state K? = 2 splitting constant (?2? = 0.76(2) ×10-9 cm-1). For ?16, the band origin is 847.16933(5) cm-1 and changes in upper state rotational constants are ?A = –0.0013411(5) and ?B = –0.0002021(1) (in units of cm-1). Overlapping, and in Fermi resonance with ?16, is a second parallel band which, from Gaussian calculations at the anharmonic level, is assigned as the b2 combination ?8+?12, with band origin of 840.5434(1) and ?A = –0.0003500(7) and ?B = –0.0003502(1) cm-1. For ?24 analogous values are 556.41453(2) and ?A = –0.00032295(9) and ?B = –0.00016782(4) cm-1. The analyses also yields accurate values for the changes in both quartic and sextic centrifugal distortion constants and, for ?24, values for the l-doubling constants q+ and q-. Theoretical calculations of the rovibrational parameters aided in the analysis and the numerical values are in good agreement with experimental results.

Nibler, Joseph W.↗

Simulated aging processes of black carbon and its impact during a severe winter haze event in the Beijing-Tianjin- Hebei region

Black carbon (BC) can mitigate or worsen air pollution through perturbing meteorological conditions. BC aging processes are important for the evolution of particle size, concentration, and optical properties of BC that determines its influence on the meteorology. Here we use the online coupled Weather Research and Forecasting-Chemistry (WRF-Chem) model to quantify the role of BC aging processes, including physical processes (PP) and absorption enhancements (AE), in exerting BC-induced meteorological changes and the associated feedback to PM2.5 (particulate matter less than 2.5 µm in diameter) and O3 concentrations during a severe haze event in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region during 21-27 February 2014. Our results show that, compared to the simulation without the PP treatment, the simulated near-surface BC concentration and BC mass loading in BTH region is lowered by 6.6 % and 12.1 %, respectively, during the haze event with the PP included. PP increases the proportion of large-size BC (particle diameter greater than 0.312 µm) from 28 %-33 % to 59 %-64 % below 1000 m in BTH region. Both PP and AE enhance the “dome effect” of BC. With both PP and AE considered, a reduction in PBL height due to BC-PBL interaction is 116.3 m (20.7 %), compared to 75.7 m (13.5 %) without AE and 66.6 m (11.9 %) without both PP and AE. However, during this haze event, anomalous northeasterly winds are produced by the direct radiative effect of BC, which further affects the mixing and transport of aerosols. When PBL height is decreased (from 10:00 to 21:00), combining all the impacts on multiple meteorological factors, BC effect without PP and AE, without AE, and with PP and AE, respectively, increases surface concentrations of PM2.5 by 8.3 µg m-3 (6.1 % relative to the mean value), 6.1 µg m-3 (4.5 %) and 9.6 µg m-3 (7.0 %) but decreases surface O3 concentrations by 2.8 ppbv (7.4 %), 4.0 ppbv (9.0 %) and 5.0 ppbv (10.8 %) in BTH region averaged over 21-27 February 2014. Our results highlight the importance of the aging processes and absorption enhancements of BC in simulating weather and air quality.

Chen, Donglin↗

Projected changes to severe thunderstorm environments as a result of twenty-first century warming from RegCM CORDEX-CORE simulations

Hazardous weather related to the occurrence of severe thunderstorms including tornadoes, high-winds, and hail cause significant damage globally to life and property every year. Yet the impact on these storms from a warming climate remains a difficult task due to their transient nature. Here, we investigate the change in large-scale environments in which severe thunderstorms form during twenty-first century warming (RCP2.6 and RCP8.5) in a group of RegCM CORDEX-CORE simulations. Severe potential is measured in terms of Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and vertical wind-shear during the severe seasons in three regions which are known to currently be prone to severe hazards: North America, subtropical South America, and eastern India and Bangladesh. In every region, environments supportive for severe thunderstorms are projected to increase during the warm season months in both the RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 scenarios during the twenty-first century. The number of days supportive for severe thunderstorms increases by several days per season over the vast majority of each region by the end of the century. Analyzing the CAPE and shear trends during the twenty-first century, we find seasonally and regionally specific changes driving the increased severe potential. Twenty-first century surface warming is clearly driving a robust increase in CAPE in all regions, however poleward displacement of vertical shear in the future leads to the displacement of severe environments over North America and South America. The results found here relate that severe impacts in the future cannot be generalized globally, and that regionally specific changes in vertical shear may drive future movement of regions prone to severe weather.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

The Prediction Model of Risk Factors for COVID-19 Developing into Severe Illness Based on 1046 Patients with COVID-19

This study analyzed the risk factors for patients with COVID-19 developing severe illnesses and explored the value of applying the logistic model combined with ROC curve analysis to predict the risk of severe illnesses at COVID-19 patients’ admissions. The clinical data of 1046 COVID-19 patients admitted to a designated hospital in a certain city from July to September 2020 were retrospectively analyzed, the clinical characteristics of the patients were collected, and a multivariate unconditional logistic regression analysis was used to determine the risk factors for severe illnesses in COVID-19 patients during hospitalization. Based on the analysis results, a prediction model for severe conditions and the ROC curve were constructed, and the predictive value of the model was assessed. Logistic regression analysis showed that age (OR = 3.257, 95% CI 10.466–18.584), complications with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR = 7.337, 95% CI 0.227–87.021), cough (OR = 5517, 95% CI 0.258–65.024), and venous thrombosis (OR = 7322, 95% CI 0.278–95.020) were risk factors for COVID-19 patients developing severe conditions during hospitalization. When complications were not taken into consideration, COVID-19 patients’ ages, number of diseases, and underlying diseases were risk factors influencing the development of severe illnesses. The ROC curve analysis results showed that the AUC that predicted the severity of COVID-19 patients at admission was 0.943, the optimal threshold was −3.24, and the specificity was 0.824, while the sensitivity was 0.827. The changes in the condition of severe COVID-19 patients are related to many factors such as age, clinical symptoms, and underlying diseases. This study has a certain value in predicting COVID-19 patients that develop from mild to severe conditions, and this prediction model is a useful tool in the quick prediction of the changes in patients’ conditions and providing early intervention for those with risk factors.

Lian, Zhichuang↗

The influence of burn severity on dissolved organic carbon concentrations across a stream network differs based on seasonal wetness conditions

Large, high-severity wildfires in many regions across the globe have increased concerns about their impacts on carbon cycling in watersheds. Altered sources of carbon and changes in catchment hydrology after wildfire can lead to shifts in dissolved organic carbon (DOC) concentrations in streams, which can have negative impacts on aquatic ecosystem health and downstream drinking-water treatment. Despite its importance, post-fire DOC responses remain relatively unconstrained in the literature, and we lack critical knowledge of how burn severity, landscape elements, and climate interact to affect DOC concentrations. To improve our understanding of the impact of burn severity on DOC concentrations, we measured DOC at 129 sites across a stream network extending upstream, within, and downstream of a large, high-severity wildfire in Oregon, USA. We collected samples across the study sub-basin during four distinct seasonal wetness conditions. We used our high-spatial-resolution data to develop spatial stream network (SSN) models to predict DOC across the stream network and to improve our understanding of the controls on DOC concentrations. Spatially, we found no obvious wildfire signal – instead, we observed a pattern of increasing DOC concentrations from the high-elevation headwaters to the sub-basin outlet, while the mainstem maintained consistently low DOC concentrations. This suggests that effects from large wildfires may be “averaged” out at higher stream orders and larger spatial scales. When we grouped DOC concentrations by burn severity group, we observed a significant decrease in the variability of DOC concentrations in the moderate and high burn severity sub-catchments. However, our SSN models were able to predict decreases in DOC concentrations with increases in burn severity across the stream network. Decreases in DOC concentrations were also highly variable across seasonal wetness conditions, with the greatest (–1.40 to –1.64 mg L –1 ) decrease occurring in the high-severity group during the wetting season. Additionally, our models indicated that in all seasons, baseflow index was more influential in predicting DOC concentrations than burn severity was, indicating that groundwater discharge can obscure the impacts of wildfire in a stream network. Overall, our results suggested that landscape characteristics can regulate the DOC response to wildfire. Moreover, our results also indicated that the seasonal timing of sampling can influence the observed response of DOC concentrations to wildfire.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Low–severity fire as a mechanism of organic matter protection in global peatlands: Thermal alteration slows decomposition

Worldwide, regularly-recurring wildfires shape many peatland ecosystems to the extent that fire-adapted species often dominate plant communities, suggesting that wildfire is an integral part of peatland ecology rather than an anomaly. The most destructive blazes are smoldering fires that are usually initiated in periods of drought and can combust entire peatland carbon stores. However, peatland wildfires more typically occur as low-severity surface-burns that arise in the dormant season when vegetation is desiccated, and soil moisture is high. In such low-severity fires, surface layers experience flash heating, but there is little loss of underlying peat to combustion. This study examines the potential importance of such processes in several peatlands that span a gradient from hemiboreal to tropical ecozones and experience a wide range of fire return intervals. We show that low-severity fires can increase the pool of stable soil carbon by thermally altering the chemistry of soil organic matter (SOM), thereby reducing rates of microbial respiration. Using XPS and FTIR, we demonstrate that low-severity fires significantly increase the degree of carbon-condensation and aromatization of SOM functional groups, particularly on the surface of peat aggregates. Laboratory incubations show lower CO 2 emissions from peat subjected to low-severity fire, and predict lower cumulative CO 2 emissions from burned peat after one to three years. Also, low-severity fires reduce the temperature sensitivity (Q 10 ) of peat, indicating that these fires can inhibit microbial access to SOM. The increased stability of thermally-altered SOM may allow a greater proportion of organic matter to survive vertical migration into saturated and anaerobic zones of peatlands where environmental conditions physiochemically protect carbon stores from decomposition for thousands of years. Furthermore, across latitudes, low-severity fire is an overlooked factor influencing carbon cycling in peatlands, which is relevant to global carbon budgets as climate-change alters fire regimes worldwide.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Association of Serum Triglyceride Levels with Severity in Acute Pancreatitis: Results from an International, Multicenter Cohort Study

Hypertriglyceridemia (HTG) is considered within the top 5 etiologies in acute pancreatitis (AP), but the association of serum triglyceride (TG) levels with the clinical course of AP remains controversial. This study aims to examine the effect of TG levels on severity of AP. Patients were enrolled prospectively through APPRENTICE. High TG levels were defined based on the Endocrine Society Clinical Practice Guidelines. HTG was categorized as mild (serum TG levels 150–199 mg/dL), moderate (200–999 mg/dL), severe (1,000–1,999 mg/dL), and very severe (≥2,000 mg/dL). Severity of AP was based on the revised Atlanta classification criteria. Additionally, early TG levels were measured in 764 subjects and found elevated in 342 (120 with mild; 176, moderate; and 46, severe/very severe HTG). Patients with increased TG levels were younger (age ≥60, 16.7 vs. 30.3%), more likely to be male (66.1 vs. 51.2%), with more frequent alcohol use (62.8 vs. 50.7%), and diabetes mellitus (30.2 vs. 12.3%; all p ≤ 0.005). Severe AP (24.9 vs. 10.0%), ICU admission (32.5 vs. 19.7%), and mortality (5.3 vs. 1.7%; all p ≤ 0.005) were more frequently seen in patients with elevated TG levels. Based on multivariable analysis, elevated TG levels were independently associated with severe AP ( p < 0.05). This large multicenter study confirms that elevated TG levels are associated with severe disease regardless of AP etiology.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗