A Smarter Typical Meteorological Dataset: Advancing Accuracy in Solar Energy Yield Estimation
This poster provides an overview a smarter typical meteorological dataset to advance accuracy in solar energy yield estimation.
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Assessing the Performance of the Fast All-sky Radiation Model for Solar Applications with Narrowband Irradiances on Tilted Surfaces (FARMS-NIT): Preprint
This study evaluates the performance of a new radiative transfer model, Fast All-sky Radiation Model for Solar Applications with Narrowband Irradiances on Tilted surfaces (FARMS-NIT), that efficiently computes spectral irradiances on inclined photovoltaic panels. FARMS-NIT numerically solves the spatial distribution of solar radiation in 2,002 wavelength bands and thereby accurately provides plane-of-array (POA) irradiances by integrating radiances over inclined surfaces. The FARMS-NIT for clear- and cloudy-sky conditions are used to compute POA irradiances for Typical Meteorological Year 3 sites and compared with the simulation by TMYSPEC. Our results indicate that FARMS-NIT leads to approximately 5% greater spectral irradiances compared to TMYSPEC. The difference in POA irradiance with a latitude tilt angle is slightly larger than global horizontal irradiance.
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The Case for Custom TMYs: Examples Using the NSRDB: Preprint
A typical meteorological year (TMY) essentially represents an hourly compilation of median months constructed using multiyear data sets. Although TMYs are generated from global horizontal irradiance, they are used in photovoltaic (PV) modeling for various plane-of-array (POA) representations. This paper demonstrates that a POA TMY generated with corresponding POA irradiance time-series information produces significantly different results than a POA TMY generated by transposing a TMY data set. In some months, the differences can be more than 3%. These results point to the need for generating TMYs using POA irradiance time series representing the orientation at which PV panels will be deployed.
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The Impact of Plane-of-Array-Based TMYs on Solar Resource for PV Applications: Preprint
This study attempts to apprise stakeholders about the accurate use of a typical meteorological year (TMY) data set for decision-making that could potentially speed up the acceptance and deployment of projects and reduce risks to financiers and developers. A TMY data set represents hourly concatenation of 12 typical meteorological months constructed using multiyear data sets. Typically, TMY data sets are constructed under horizonal irradiance conditions that are then used in photovoltaic (PV) performance models for available energy calculations in a location after transposing the data to represent a desired plane-of-array (POA) orientation. In this study, we attempt to show that a POA TMY generated with corresponding POA irradiance time-series information produces significantly different results than a POA TMY generated by transposing a TMY data set. In some months, the differences can be more than 3% for irradiance and energy yield. These results point to the need for generating TMY data sets using POA irradiance time series representing the orientation at which PV panels will be deployed.
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Developing a Framework for Reference Cell Standards for PV Resource Applications
Quantifying and predicting electricity production from photovoltaic (PV) systems is based on measured or modeled irradiance data. These solar resource data consist of global horizontal irradiance, global tilted irradiance, direct normal irradiance, and diffuse horizontal irradiance, which are either derived from satellite observations validated against ground-based measurements or directly obtained from ground-based measurements. The ground-based measurements are made using thermopile or photodiode radiometers. For a PV plant, the efficiency of the energy production is verified by comparing measured output with the modeled production, which is computed using either modeled or measured irradiance data. Thus, plant performance assessments typically include the uncertainty of the transposition and, in some cases, decomposition of a given irradiance to convert to the appropriate plane-of-array (POA) irradiance corresponding to the orientation of the PV installation. Additionally, the various types of uncertainty in radiometric measurements or the modeled irradiance and the PV module specifications influence the model results and thereby further increase the uncertainty. An alternative method of assessing the PV system performance has been to use reference cells to measure the "PV resource." When used to calculate PV performance ratios, there are inherent systematic differences between radiometers and reference cells, such as spectral, directional, temperature, time responses, nonstability, and nonlinearity differences. Reference cells tend to mimic the performance and characteristics of a PV module more closely. In this report, a framework is proposed to develop standards that will better quantify and characterize the use of reference cells for PV resource measurements. The measurement from an appropriate reference cell in the POA correlates closely with the plant performance, reduces the number of modeling steps needed to simulate PV performance, and hence reduces the uncertainties of the comparisons. Because technologically matched reference cells and PV modules respond similarly to each wavelength of light that composes the incident solar radiation, the uncertainty associated with the changing spectral distribution of incident radiation during the day and year can be greatly reduced. This will reduce the overall uncertainty in estimated PV performance. The same can be said for the angle-of-incidence effects because the reference cells are deployed in the same POA as the PV module. At that point, the main sources of uncertainty are in modeling the temperature effect differences between the reference cells and the PV module and accounting for the difference between the short-circuit current monitored by the reference cells and max power point current and voltage at which the PV module operates. These sources of uncertainty are also associated with typical irradiance measurements made by pyranometers and pyrheliometers; however, typical irradiance measurements also include uncertainties associated with the spectral mismatch between thermopile or photodiode pyranometers and the PV module, which are minimized with the use of reference cells. To enhance the use of reference cells for resource assessment, we identify the necessary data, characteristics, and calibration methodologies of reference cells and how to standardize the use of these data and methods. Further, as we develop this framework, the classification of reference cells will be essential to provide guidance for selecting PV reference cells appropriate for a specific application. As we address the calibration and sources of uncertainties of reference cells, classification schemes and expected limits of performance with respect to certain parameters become important.
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