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At least 343 records · Page 19

Electrocatalysis in Alkaline Media and Alkaline Membrane-Based Energy Technologies

Hydrogen energy-based electrochemical energy conversion technologies offer the promise of enabling a transition of the global energy landscape from fossil fuels to renewable energy. Here, we present a comprehensive review of the fundamentals of electrocatalysis in alkaline media and applications in alkaline-based energy technologies, particularly alkaline fuel cells and water electrolyzers. Anion exchange (alkaline) membrane fuel cells (AEMFCs) enable the use of nonprecious electrocatalysts for the sluggish oxygen reduction reaction (ORR), relative to proton exchange membrane fuel cells (PEMFCs), which require Pt-based electrocatalysts. However, the hydrogen oxidation reaction (HOR) kinetics is significantly slower in alkaline media than in acidic media. Understanding these phenomena requires applying theoretical and experimental methods to unravel molecular-level thermodynamics and kinetics of hydrogen and oxygen electrocatalysis and, particularly, the proton-coupled electron transfer (PCET) process that takes place in a proton-deficient alkaline media. Extensive electrochemical and spectroscopic studies, on single-crystal Pt and metal oxides, have contributed to the development of activity descriptors, as well as the identification of the nature of active sites, and the rate-determining steps of the HOR and ORR. Among these, the structure and reactivity of interfacial water serve as key potential and pH-dependent kinetic factors that are helping elucidate the origins of the HOR and ORR activity differences in acids and bases. Additionally, deliberately modulating and controlling catalyst-support interactions have provided valuable insights for enhancing catalyst accessibility and durability during operation. The design and synthesis of highly conductive and durable alkaline membranes/ionomers have enabled AEMFCs to reach initial performance metrics equal to or higher than those of PEMFCs. We emphasize the importance of using membrane electrode assemblies (MEAs) to integrate the often separately pursued/optimized electrocatalyst/support and membranes/ionomer components. Operando/in situ methods, at multiscales, and ab initio simulations provide a mechanistic understanding of electron, ion, and mass transport at catalyst/ionomer/membrane interfaces and the necessary guidance to achieve fuel cell operation in air over thousands of hours. We hope that this Review will serve as a roadmap for advancing the scientific understanding of the fundamental factors governing electrochemical energy conversion in alkaline media with the ultimate goal of achieving ultralow Pt or precious-metal-free high-performance and durable alkaline fuel cells and related technologies.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

Proton Exchange Membrane (PEM) Water Electrolysis: Cell-Level Considerations for Gigawatt-Scale Deployment

Hydrogen produced with no greenhouse gas emissions is termed “green hydrogen” and will be essential to reaching decarbonization targets set forth by nearly every country as per the Paris Agreement. Proton exchange membrane water electrolyzers (PEMWEs) are expected to contribute substantially to the green hydrogen market. However, PEMWE market penetration is insignificant, accounting for less than a gigawatt of global capacity. Achieving substantive decarbonization via green hydrogen will require PEMWEs to reach capacities of hundreds of gigawatts by 2030. This paper serves as an overarching roadmap for cell-level improvements necessary for gigawatt-scale PEMWE deployment, with insights from three well-established hydrogen technology companies included. Analyses will be presented for economies of scale, renewable energy prices, government policies, accelerated stress tests, and component-specific improvements.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

A Review on Direct Air Capture of Carbon Dioxide: Sorbent Materials, Process Engineering, Industrial Scale-Up, and Future Perspectives

The relentless accumulation of anthropogenic greenhouse gases has driven atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations to approximately 426 ppm, necessitating the aggressive deployment of negative-emission technologies to achieve net zero by 2050. Direct air capture (DAC) offers a scalable, location-independent approach to atmospheric carbon removal; however, it is fundamentally constrained by the significant thermodynamic barriers associated with capturing CO 2 from ultradilute ambient conditions, requiring minimum thermodynamic energy inputs substantially higher than those for postcombustion point sources. This comprehensive review critically examines the technological landscape of DAC, focusing on the interdependent triad of sorbent material design, contactor engineering, and regeneration thermodynamics. We evaluate the fundamental boundaries of adsorption, emphasizing that an optimal adsorption enthalpy and isosteric heat of adsorption must balance the high CO 2 uptake capacity with the energetic penalties of sorbent regeneration. A systematic, comparative analysis of state-of-the-art sorbents is presented, encompassing mesoporous silicas, zeolites, carbon-based materials (CBMs), metal−organic frameworks (MOFs), porous organic polymers (POPs), and polymeric membranes. Special attention is devoted to surface functionalization strategies, particularly amine grafting and impregnation, which transition capture mechanisms from physisorption to chemisorption to enhance selectivity under ambient moisture and low partial pressures. Furthermore, we assess the operational merits of various reactor configurations, including gas−solid, gas−liquid, and membrane contactors, alongside regeneration cycles such as temperature, vacuum, pressure, and moisture swing adsorption. Finally, the review bridges fundamental materials science with industrial application by chronicling the scale-up milestones of pioneering entities and providing a strategic roadmap for advancing DAC technology readiness levels toward global deployment.

Adsorption↗

CO 2 Sorption in Moisture Swing Anion Exchange Resins for Direct Air Capture: Experimental Isotherm Determination and Modeling

Moisture swing (MS) sorption is a promising direct air capture (DAC) technology to achieve negative CO 2 emissions and counter global warming. Here, in this study, MS CO 2 sorption in a model MS sorbent, IRA900, was investigated. IRA900 is a macroporous commercial strong-base anion exchange resin (AER) with quaternary ammonium functional groups. A rigorous CO 2 desorption process was developed to desorb all CO 2 from the sample and obtain CO 2 sorption isotherms as a function of relative humidity, CO 2 partial pressure, and temperature. CO 2 sorption increased with decreasing relative humidity, decreasing temperature, and increasing CO 2 partial pressure. Remarkably, the total CO 2 uptake from the sorption isotherms matched the ion exchange capacity (IEC) of the material, suggesting a stoichiometry of one CO 2 molecule reacting per active site. An isotherm model for CO 2 sorption starting with empty sorption sites (i.e., with the AER in the OH – form) described the experimental data well, supporting the hypothesis that the bicarbonate-loaded AER fully unloaded to the OH – state following rigorous CO 2 desorption. CO 2 sorption kinetics were studied, and carbon diffusion coefficients were estimated as a function of %RH and CO 2 partial pressure. Overall, this study provides a roadmap for the systematic evaluation of MS CO 2 DAC materials.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Sulfur-Donor Solvents Strongly Coordinate Pb 2+ in Hybrid Organic–Inorganic Perovskite Precursor Solutions

Strong coordination between Lewis-basic processing additives and the Lewis-acidic lead halide in hybrid organic–inorganic perovskite (HOIP) precursor solutions is required to solubilize the lead halide, and subsequently access the appropriate crystallization kinetics and attain the desired morphology of perovskite active layers. While oxygen-donor solvents and additives, such as dimethylformamide and dimethyl sulfoxide, are widely used for perovskite processing, we demonstrate here that “soft” sulfur-donor solvents exhibit stronger coordination to the “borderline soft” Lewis acid Pb 2+ center of PbI 2 relative to “hard” O-donor solvents in the precursor solution. The stronger coordination of S-donor solvents compared to O-donor solvents to Pb 2+ implies that such compounds can be useful additives to HOIP precursor solutions. Density-functional calculations of the enthalpy change resulting from the coordination of solvents to Pb 2+ provide direct numerical comparison of the strength of O-donor and S-donor coordination with Pb 2+ and expands the library of candidate S-donor compounds. Our results provide a roadmap for processing additive selection and expand the previously limited choice of perovskite processing additives to include strongly coordinating S-donor compounds.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Advances in Singlet Fission Chromophore Design Enabled by Vibrational Spectroscopies

Singlet fission leads to the formation of two separate triplet T 1 excitons from an initial singlet S1 exciton through 1 (TT) and 1 (T...T), multiexcitonic intermediates that retain singlet character. Its ability to achieve external quantum efficiencies higher than 100% made it an attractive candidate for optoelectronic device applications. However, singlet fission has not been applied widely despite having been investigated by a myriad of spectroscopic methods, in part due to our poor understanding of how to optimize molecular structure and packing in chromophores well-suited to large-scale production. Vibrational spectroscopies provide a solution, because they directly probe nuclear motions, allowing us to monitor evolving structural changes in molecules undergoing singlet fission, thus providing us with roadmaps to design molecules suitable for optoelectronic applications. Furthermore, this Perspective reviews the contributions and analyzes the future directions of vibrational spectroscopies to the advancement in our knowledge about the mechanisms and rational designing of chromophores undergoing efficient singlet fission.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Spatially Offset Femtosecond Stimulated Raman Spectroscopy: Observing Exciton Transport through a Vibrational Lens

To design better molecular electronic devices, we need a strong understanding of how charges or excitons propagate, as many efficiency losses arise during transport. Exciton transport has been difficult to study because excitons tend to be short-lived, have short diffusion lengths, and can easily recombine. Here, we debut spatially offset femtosecond stimulated Raman spectroscopy (SO-FSRS), a three-pulse ultrafast microscopy technique. By offsetting the photoexcitation beam, we can monitor Raman spectral changes as a function of both time and position. We used SO-FSRS on 6,13-bis(triisopropylsilylethynyl) pentacene, a well-studied organic semiconductor used in photovoltaics and field-effect transistors. Furthermore, we demonstrated that the fast exciton and free charge carrier transport axes are identical and observed that exciton transport is less anisotropic by a factor of ~3. SO-FSRS is the first technique that directly tracks molecular structural evolution during exciton transport, which can provide roadmaps for tailor-making molecules for specific electronic devices.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Gate-Tunable Proximity Effects in Graphene on Layered Magnetic Insulators

The extreme versatility of van der Waals materials derives from their ability to exhibit new electronic properties when assembled in proximity with dissimilar crystals. 1 For example, although graphene is inherently non-magnetic, recent work has reported a magnetic proximity effect in graphene interfaced with magnetic substrates, potentially enabling a pathway towards achieving a high-temperature quantum anomalous Hall effect. Here, we investigate heterostructures of graphene and chromium trihalide magnetic insulators (CrI 3 , CrBr 3 , and CrCl 3 ). Surprisingly, we are unable to detect a magnetic exchange field in the graphene, but instead discover proximity effects featuring unprecedented gate-tunability. The graphene becomes highly hole-doped due to charge transfer from the neighboring magnetic insulator, and further exhibits a variety of atypical gate-dependent transport features. The charge transfer can additionally be altered upon switching the magnetic states of the nearest CrI 3 layers. In conclusion, our results provide a roadmap for exploiting proximity effects arising in graphene coupled to magnetic insulators.

2D magnet↗

Gate-All-Around Nanowire Field-Effect Transistors: A Historical Perspective

The development of transistor architectures, evolving from 2D planar metal-oxide-semiconductor field-effect transistors (MOSFETs) to FinFETs and then to gate-all-around nanowire (GAANW) FETs, plays a crucial role in downscaling technology nodes in the semiconductor industry. This perspective reviews the concept of MOSFETs and summarizes this historical development with particular emphasis on GAANW transistors due to their importance in next-generation technology for nodes below 3 nm. Specifically, the concept of GAANW transistors and their advantages over planar and FinFET devices for further scaling are presented, along with a discussion of their transition from early conceptual ideas to laboratory demonstrations and, ultimately, industrial adoption. Furthermore, potential solutions, such as complementary FETs (CFETs) and 2D semiconductor-based FETs, and their associated challenges for the future generation, known as the Angstrom Era, are discussed in a technological roadmap. In conclusion, this perspective may inspire both industry and academia in future research directions for realizing the Angstrom Era.

gate-all-around transistors↗

A Multi-modal Approach to Understanding Degradation of Organic Photovoltaic Materials

State-of-the-art organic photovoltaic (OPV) materials are composed of complex, chemically diverse polymeric and molecular structures that form highly intricate solid-state interactions, collectively yielding exceptional tunability in performance and aesthetics. These properties are especially attractive for semitransparent power-generating windows or shades in living environments, greenhouses, or other architectural integrations. However, before such a future is realized, a broader and deeper understanding of property stability must be acquired. Stability during operating and environmental conditions is critical, namely, material color steadfastness, optoelectronic performance retention, morphological rigidity, and chemical robustness. To date, no single investigation encompasses all four distinct, yet interconnected, metrics. Here, we present a multimodal strategy that captures a dynamic and interconnected evolution of each property during the course of an accelerated photobleaching experiment. We demonstrate this approach across relevant length scales (from molecular to visual macroscale) using X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy, grazing-incidence X-ray scattering, microwave conductivity, and time-dependent photobleaching spectroscopies for two high-performance semitransparent OPV blends—PDPP4T:PC 60 BM and PDPP4T:IEICO-4F, with comparisons to the stabilities of the individual components. We present direct evidence that specific molecular acceptor (fullerene vs nonfullerene) designs and the resulting donor–acceptor interactions lead to distinctly different mechanistic routes that ultimately arrive at what is termed “OPV degradation.” We directly observe a chemical oxidation of the cyano endcaps of the IEICO-4F that coincides with a morphological change and large loss in photoconductivity while the fullerene acceptor-containing blend demonstrates a significantly greater fraction of oxygen uptake but retains 55% of the photoconductivity. Finally, this experimental roadmap provides meaningful guidance for future high-throughput, multimodal studies, benchmarking the sensitivity of the different analytical techniques for assessing stability in printable active layers, independent of complete device architectures.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Bridging the Gap between the X-ray Absorption Spectroscopy and the Computational Catalysis Communities in Heterogeneous Catalysis: A Perspective on the Current and Future Research Directions

X-ray absorption spectroscopy (XAS) [extended X-ray absorption fine structure (EXAFS) and X-ray absorption near-edge structure (XANES)] is a key technique within the heterogeneous catalysis community to probe the structure and properties of the active site(s) for a diverse range of catalytic materials. Furthermore, the interpretation of the raw experimental data to derive an atomistic picture of the catalyst requires modeling and analysis; the EXAFS data are compared to a model, and a goodness of fit parameter is used to judge the best fit. This EXAFS modeling can often be nontrivial and time-consuming; overcoming or improving these limitations remains a central challenge for the community. Considering these limitations, this Perspective highlights how recent developments in analysis software, increased availability of reliable computational models, and application of data science tools can be used to improve the speed, accuracy, and reliability of EXAFS interpretation. In particular, we emphasize the advantages of combining theory and EXAFS as a unified technique that should be treated as a standard (when applicable) to identify catalytic sites and not two separate complementary methods. Building on the recent trends in the computational catalysis community, we also present a community-driven approach to adopt FAIR Guiding Principles for the collection, analysis, dissemination, and storage of XAS data. Written with both the experimental and theory audience in mind, we provide a unified roadmap to foster collaborations between the two communities.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Electrochemical Corrosion and Catalysis Dynamics of Tin Oxide during Water Oxidation

Metal oxide corrosion severely limits anodic electrocatalysis, particularly at high potentials in acidic environments, where degradation pathways remain poorly defined. This study establishes explicit connections between corrosion and electrocatalysis on tin oxide during water oxidation by examining the roles of lattice defects, reactive oxygen species, interfacial pH variations, and speciation of corroded tin in acid. We first demonstrate the presence of structural defects such as oxygen vacancies and substoichiometric Sn(II) species by integrating electron paramagnetic resonance spectroscopy, ultraviolet photoelectron spectroscopy, and Mott–Schottky analysis. Kohn–Sham density functional theory calculations reveal that explicit water structures thermodynamically stabilize reaction intermediates and lower reaction overpotentials. Moreover, we propose that water dissociation leads to hydrogen-bonding networks formed by H* and OH* intermediates, which may span the entire catalyst surface and decrease the interfacial pH to drive corrosion. In contrast, the electrochemical generation of reactive oxygen species is shown to play a minor role in catalyst corrosion during water oxidation using inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry coupled with selective chemical scavengers. Square-wave voltammetry combined with rotating ring-disk electrodes is used to reveal that under open-circuit conditions, only Sn(IV) cations chemically dissolve from tin oxide, while both Sn(IV) and Sn(II) species electrochemically corrode during water oxidation. Our results unveil a dynamic and complicated interplay between corrosive and catalytic pathways on metal oxide electrocatalysts: a decrease in interfacial pH due to water oxidation exacerbates Sn(II)/Sn(IV) corrosion. Subsequently, the electrochemical corrosion of Sn(II)/Sn(IV) facilitates product formation from lattice oxygen, while the redeposition of corroded Sn(II) as Sn(IV) can enable oxygen exchange with water. By elucidating the roles of defects and interfacial chemistry, this work provides a roadmap for engineering improved electrocatalysts that balance activity and stability, a critical step toward scalable and durable energy technologies.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Gerischer Electrochemistry Today

Semiconductor photoelectrochemistry is a dynamic and interdisciplinary field at the forefront of research in solar fuels, energy conversion, and catalysis. Here, this Perspective captures the collective insights from the second Gerischer Electrochemistry Today Symposium, held at Colorado State University in Fort Collins, CO, in August 2024, which convened leading researchers, early-career scientists, and industry partners to define the critical next steps for the field. Through interactive sessions, technical talks, panel discussions, and training initiatives─including a Semiconductor Electrochemistry Bootcamp─the symposium emphasized three pillars of advancement: (i) facilitating the exchange of new ideas in semiconductor electrochemistry and charge separation; (ii) fostering the development of future researchers, research topics, and participation in the semiconductor workforce; and (iii) building community. This Energy Focus distills key themes from the meeting and identifies major knowledge gaps in the following areas: mechanisms of charge separation and recombination, role of defects and disorder, dynamic and operando characterization methods, interfacial chemistry and surface passivation, theoretical and modeling limitations, and standardization and benchmarking. The inclusive and collaborative structure of the symposium enabled the generation of this comprehensive report that will serve as a roadmap for fundamental and applied research in the rapidly evolving field of semiconductor electrochemistry over the next decade.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Nitrogen Vacancies Induce Fatigue in Ferroelectric Al 0.93 B 0.07 N

Wurtzite ferroelectrics (e.g., Al 0.93 B 0.07 N) are being explored for high-temperature and emerging near-, or in-compute, memory architectures due to the material advantages offered by their large remanent polarization and robust chemical stability. Despite these advantages, current Al0.93B0.07N devices do not have sufficient endurance lifetime to meet roadmap targets. To identify the defects responsible for this limited endurance, a combination of electronic measurements and optical spectroscopies characterized the evolution of defect states within Al 0.93 B 0.07 N with cycling. Ultrathin (∼10 nm) metal contacts were used to optically probe regions subject to ferroelectric switching; photoluminescence spectroscopy identified the emergence of a transition near 2.1 eV whose intensity scaled with the non-switching polarization quantified via positive-up negative-down (PUND) measurements. Accompanying thermally stimulated depolarization current (TSDC) and modulus spectroscopy measurements also observed the strengthening of a state near 2.1 eV. The origin of this feature is ascribed to transitions between a nitrogen vacancy and another defect deeper in the bandgap. Recognizing that the impurity concentration is largely fixed, strengthening of this transition indicates an increase in the number of nitrogen vacancies. Switching, therefore, creates vacancies in Al 0.93 B 0.07 N likely due to hot-atom damage induced by the aggressive fields necessary to switch wurtzite materials that ultimately limits endurance.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Covalent Organic Framework Photocatalysts for Water Oxidation and Overall Artificial Photosynthesis

Artificial photosynthesis through proton reduction or CO 2 reduction to generate chemical fuels has gained increasing attention as an attractive strategy for solar-to-fuel conversion. In these systems, the oxygen evolution reaction (OER) provides the necessary electrons and protons for driving the overall reaction but represents the rate-limiting step due to its inherently sluggish kinetics. Therefore, efficient overall artificial photosynthesis requires photocatalysts that can drive both the oxidation and reduction half-reactions, which impose stringent demands on catalyst design. Covalent organic frameworks (COFs) offer a versatile platform for designing such photocatalysts, owing to their strong light-harvesting capabilities , periodic architectures, and highly tunable frameworks that allow programmable catalytic sites and adjustable electronic band structures. While notable progress has been made in developing COF photocatalysts for the OER and overall artificial photosynthesis, these advances remain scattered across the literature and existing reviews, and a dedicated, systematic overview of the OER and its central role in integrated artificial photosynthetic processes is still lacking. This Review systematically summarizes recent advances in COF-based photocatalysts for the OER half-reaction and overall artificial photosynthesis. Our aim is to offer a comprehensive roadmap that establishes fundamental design principles for next-generation COF-based photocatalysts toward efficient and sustainable artificial photosynthesis.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Sustainable Triacetic Acid Lactone Production from Sugarcane by Fermentation and Crystallization

Triacetic acid lactone (TAL) has the potential to serve as a bioderived platform chemical for commercial products including sorbic acid and recyclable polydiketoenamine plastics. In this study, we leveraged BioSTEAM to design, simulate, and evaluate (via techno-economic analysis, TEA, and life cycle assessment, LCA) TAL production from sugarcane. We experimentally characterized TAL solubility, calibrated solubility models, and designed a process to separate TAL from fermentation broths by crystallization. The biorefinery could produce TAL at a minimum product selling price (MPSP) of $\$3.73$–5.86·kg –1 (5th–95th percentiles; baseline at $\$4.60$·kg –1 ) and a carbon intensity (CI) of 5.31 [2.60–8.71] kg CO 2 -eq·kg –1 , which could enable financially viable, low-CI production of sorbic acid and polydiketoenamines. To drive down costs and CI, we explored the theoretical fermentation space (titer, yield, productivity combinations), operation scheduling and capacity expansion strategies (e.g., integrated sorghum processing), and potential separation improvements (mitigating TAL loss through pH control). Advancements in key design and technological parameters could further reduce MPSP by 51% to $\$2.26$·kg –1 [$\$1.97$–2.80·kg –1 ] and CI by 43% to 3.05 [1.91–4.15] kg CO 2 -eq·kg –1 . This research highlights the ability of agile TEA-LCA to screen promising designs, navigate sustainability trade-offs, prioritize research needs, and chart quantitative roadmaps to advance bioproducts and biofuels.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Mimicking Extradiol Dioxygenase Reactivity on Iridium

Extradiol dioxygenases catalyze the cleavage of benzenediol (catechol) or vicinal aminophenols via oxygen atom insertion into the 2,3- C–C bond. These reactions are most often proposed to proceed through the migratory rearrangement of a d6 alkylperoxide, generating the corresponding d 6 ring expanded product. However, regiospecific insertion remains a rare outcome among synthetic model complexes. Here, a dioxygenated Ir complex (2) converts to (a) the paramagnetic metallatrioxolane (3) and (b) oxygen atom inserted products (4) and (5); all three complexes are third-row metal analogues of enzymatic intermediates. The conversion of 2 to 3 was triggered by an H• abstraction, generating a third-row metallatrioxolane that is one electron reduced from the canonical d 6 alkylperoxide. Alternatively, photolysis of 2 (467 nm) results in ring-expanded product 4, from which an H• can be abstracted to generate 5. This latter complex is also one electron reduced relative to the canonical ring expansion product. Because extradiol mechanisms were largely defined using Fe(II) metallocofactors, 3 and 5 may be especially relevant to the known Co(II) accepting variants. We propose these states became synthetically accessible via the incorporation of a catechol-like substrate into the larger, multidentate ligand L1. This perturbation enhances the affinity of L1 (and related intermediates) to the metal. The same perturbation may have also been key in characterizing the first κ 2 -bound, dianionic ortho ester ligand – the observed binding mode in the x-ray structure of 5. Broadly, we propose through this case study that connecting abiological dioxygen complexes to non-heme oxygenase-like intermediates might be a “roadmap” towards regiospecific aerobic oxygenations.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Assessing Shifts in Regional Hydroclimatic Conditions of U.S. River Basins in Response to Climate Change over the 21st Century

Characterization of shifts in regional hydroclimatic conditions helps reduce negative consequences on agriculture, environment, economy, society, and ecosystem. This study assesses shifts in regional hydroclimatic conditions across the conterminous United States in response to climate change over the 21 st Century. The hydrological responses of five downscaled climate models from the Multivariate Adaptive Constructed Analogs (MACA) dataset ranging from the driest to wettest and least warm to hottest were simulated using the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) model. Shifts in regional hydroclimatic conditions at 8-digit hydrologic unit scale (HUC8) were evaluated by the magnitude and direction of movements in the Budyko space. HUC8 river basins were then clustered into seven unique hydroclimatic behavior groups using the K-means method. A tree classification method was proposed to illustrate the relationships between hydroclimatic behavior groups and regional characteristics. The results indicate that hydroclimatic responses may vary from a river basin to another, but basins in the same neighborhood follow a similar movement in the Budyko space. The systematic hydroclimatic behavior of river basins is highly associated with their regional landform, climate, and ecosystem characteristics. Most HUC8s with Mountain, Plateau and Basin landform types will likely experience less arid conditions. However, most HUC8s with Plain landform type behave differently according to the regional ecosystem and climate. This study provides a potential roadmap of shifts in regional hydroclimatic conditions of U.S. river basins, which can be used to improve regional preparedness and ability of various sectors to mitigate or adapt to the impacts of future hydroclimate change.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗