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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 37 records · Page 2

Ammonia-Based Energy Storage Technology

The University of North Dakota Energy & Environmental Research Center (EERC), in partnership with the U.S. Department of Energy National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL), Basin Electric Power Cooperative, Minnkota Power Cooperative, Otter Tail Power Company, and the North Dakota Industrial Commission (energy technology research and development sponsor), undertook a project to model, validate, and advance (from Technology Readiness Level [TRL] 2 to TRL 3) the ammonia-based energy storage technology (NH 3 -BEST) concept. The concept is designed to enable electricity-generating unit (EGU) accommodation of power demand fluctuations while steadily operating within an optimal-performance baseline power output range, ensuring maximum EGU operational efficiency and minimum degradation of materials, equipment, and performance because of load-cycling-driven stresses.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

A Fundamental Economic Assessment of Recovering Rare Earth Elements and Critical Minerals from Acid Mine Drainage Using a Network Sourcing Strategy

In recent years, acid mine drainage (AMD) has emerged as a promising unconventional source of rare earth elements (REEs) and other critical minerals (CMs) such as cobalt and manganese. In this regard, AMD provides a natural heap leaching effect that extracts and concentrates REE/CM from the host strata creating a partially enriched feedstock suitable for downstream extraction, separation, and recovery. While several prior studies have described processes and approaches for the valorization of AMD, very few have described the supply chain and infrastructure requirements as well as the associated economic assessment. To that end, this paper provides a fundamental economic assessment of REE/CM recovery from AMD using a network sourcing strategy in addition to a robust, flexible feedstock separations and refining facility. The methodology of this paper follows that of a typical techno-economic analysis with capital and operating costs estimated using AACE Class IV (FEL-2) guidelines. To demonstrate the range of possible outcomes, four pricing scenarios were modeled including contemporary prices (September, 2021) as well as the minimum and maximum prices over the last decade. In addition, five production scenarios were considered reflecting variations in the product suite, ranging from full elemental separation to magnet REE and CM production only (i.e., Pr, Nd, Tb, Dy, Y, Sc, Co, and Mn). The results of this analysis show that, with the exception of the minimum price scenario, all operational configurations have positive economic indicators with rates of return varying from 25% to 32% for the contemporary price scenario. The optimal configuration was determined to be production of Co, Mn, and all REEs except for mischmetal, which is not recovered. Sensitivity analysis and Monte Carlo simulation show that capital cost and HCl consumption are the two major factors influencing rate of return, thus indicating opportunities for future technology development and cost optimization. Implications of the study and a cooperative profit-sharing model for sourcing are also described.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Temperature-driven BCS-BEC crossover and Cooper-paired metallic phase in coupled boson-fermion systems

Motivated by strongly correlated and frustrated systems, in this work we propose an effective model that describes the dynamics of pairs of opposite spin fermions scattering from localized bosons. Integrating out one of the degrees, either the bosons or fermions, generates temperature-dependent long-range effective interactions between the entities that we investigate using Monte Carlo techniques. The behavior of bosons is dominated by vortex-antivortex unbinding, with effective interboson interactions beyond the nearest-neighbor Josephson coupling of phases. Remarkably, in the fermion sector we observe a temperature-driven phase transition from a SC phase with a “BCS” spectral function that shows a gap minimum on the underlying Fermi surface to a conducting phase of pairs but with a “BEC” spectral function with a gap minimum at k = 0. Tunneling and angle-resolved photoemission spectroscopy on Bose-Fermi mixtures in cold atomic systems and superconducting islands on graphene are some of the promising experimental platforms to test our predictions.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Microbes display broad diversity in cobamide preferences

ABSTRACT Cobamides, the vitamin B 12 (cobalamin) family of cofactors, are used by most organisms but produced by only a fraction of prokaryotes, and are thus considered key shared nutrients among microbes. Cobamides are structurally diverse, with multiple different cobamides found in most microbial communities. The ability to use different cobamides has been tested for several bacteria and microalgae, and nearly all show preferences for certain cobamides. This approach is limited by the commercial unavailability of cobamides other than cobalamin. Here, we have extracted and purified seven commercially unavailable cobamides to characterize bacterial cobamide preferences based on growth in specific cobamide-dependent conditions. The tested bacteria include engineered strains of Escherichia coli , Sinorhizobium meliloti , and Bacillus subtilis expressing native or heterologous cobamide-dependent enzymes, cultured under conditions that functionally isolate specific cobamide-dependent processes such as methionine synthesis. Comparison of these results to those of previous studies of diverse bacteria and microalgae revealed that a broad diversity of cobamide preferences exists not only across different organisms but also between different cobamide-dependent metabolic pathways within the same organism. The microbes differed in the cobamides that support growth most efficiently, cobamides that do not support growth, and the minimum cobamide concentrations required for growth. The latter differ by up to four orders of magnitude across organisms from different environments and by up to 20-fold between cobamide-dependent enzymes within the same organism. Given that cobamides are shared, required for use of specific growth substrates, and essential for central metabolism in certain organisms, cobamide preferences likely impact community structure and function. IMPORTANCE Nearly all bacteria are found in microbial communities with tens to thousands of other species. Molecular interactions such as metabolic cooperation and competition are key factors underlying community assembly and structure. Cobamides, the vitamin B 12 family of enzyme cofactors, are one such class of nutrients, produced by only a minority of prokaryotes but required by most microbes. A unique aspect of cobamides is their broad diversity, with nearly 20 structural forms identified in nature. Importantly, this structural diversity impacts growth as most bacteria that have been tested show preferences for specific cobamide forms. We measured cobamide-dependent growth in several model bacteria and compared the results to those of previous analyses of cobamide preference. We found that cobamide preferences vary widely across bacteria, showing the importance of characterizing these aspects of cobamide biology to understand the impact of cobamides on microbial communities.

Mok, Kenny C. (ORCID:0000000252276987)↗

Method for calculating radon activity and radon rejection using a beta-gamma detector

Radon interferes with concentration measurements used by atmospheric radioxenon systems. We demonstrate a method to quantify the amount of radon that is present in the detectors, the impact of radon activity on the minimum-detectable-concentrations, and how to determine the needed radon rejection levels. An example calculation shows a radon rejection level of 10 5 is sufficient to limit impact on the detector sensitivity. We anticipate this method will give analysist a better understanding of radon present in their measurements and allow system designers to tailor their systems’ radon rejection better for its location.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

Unlocking the benefits of transparent and reusable science for climate-risk management

People around the world seek climate-risk information to guide their decisions. For instance, projections about future flood risk inform where households choose to live, how lenders manage credit risks, and which communities receive federal funding. Yet data limitations and fundamental validation challenges raise important concerns about the reliability of such projections. The principles of transparency and reusability help address these concerns by enabling scrutiny of assumptions and methods, development of foundational data and tools, and consistent application of evaluation standards. While there is ongoing debate about how much transparency commercial climate-risk services should provide, many expect non-commercial actors to lead the way on operationalizing transparency and reusability to fulfill their knowledge-building role in the climate-risk ecosystem. However, despite prominent success stories, we find a substantial gap between principles and practice: only four percent of the most-cited peer-reviewed climate-risk studies in recent years fully share their data and code despite this being a widely accepted minimum standard for transparency. We highlight low-cost measures that non-commercial researchers can take now to improve transparency and reusability. We also emphasize that transformative progress requires substantial investment, cross-sector collaboration, and careful consideration of tradeoffs, data rights, and multiple perspectives on equity. We hope this perspective accelerates both immediate actions and longer-term conversations to improve the ability of science to effectively support timely, evidence-based, and sound climate-risk management.

Open Science↗

CRADA Number NFE-19-07845 with American Nanotechnologies, Inc. (CRADA Final Report)

Cooperative Research and Development Agreement (CRADA) NFE-19-07845 between Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) and American Nanotechnologies, Inc. (ANI) focused on studying the use of dielectrophoresis as a mechanism to purify nanoparticles, particularly semiconducting carbon nanotubes (CNTs). The successful development of low-cost purification processes is a significant bottleneck in the adoption of semiconducting CNTs in commercial semiconducting devices. ANI is a startup company developing scalable systems for performing nanoparticle dielectrophoresis, which has previously been used only in microfluidic devices. The work done under this CRADA is exploring the use of ANI’s patent resonant dielectrophoresis (rDEP) technology and its ability to purify semiconducting CNTs at large scale. While continued work is on-going, r-DEP has proven to be a viable way to control nanoparticles in bulk dispersions. Optimization of the process is now underway to reach minimum viable product and begin material sales. Additionally, ANI and ORNL continue to collaborate on leveraging this technology to reach down the value chain and create new commercial devices.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗

Many roads to the seam: How conformational flexibility drives nonadiabatic relaxation in a prototypical tetrapyrrolic chromophore

Large and structurally flexible chromophores pose challenges for in silico modeling of photodeactivation due to the many vibrational modes that can funnel the system toward energy degeneracy. In this work, we examine how the multiple degrees of freedom in biliverdin, a prototypical tetrapyrrolic chromophore, cooperate to drive access to the S 1 /S 0 intersection seam in vacuo. We begin by mapping the ground-state potential energy surface to identify representative biliverdin conformers relevant to photoexcitation. We then use a CASSCF-based framework to map the excited-state landscape and characterize the intersection seam, identifying distinct conical-intersection types. Finally, we employ ab initio multiple spawning to resolve the dynamical pathways by which the system accesses these regions. DFT potential-energy and free-energy mappings indicate that, although several conformers are relevant, the “locked-helix” ZsZsZs conformer predominates in the ground state. The intersection seam comprises numerous geometrically distinct regions characterized by varying degrees and combinations of dihedral torsion, pyramidalization, and bond-length alternation. Yet only select regions lie within energetic reach, and moderate barriers separate them from the S 1 minimum. Nonadiabatic dynamics combined with multivariate analyses show that, despite extensive mode coupling during deactivation that guides the system toward multiple regions of the seam, a single dihedral torsion, together with bond-length alternation, predominantly drives energy degeneracy. This work offers new insight into biliverdin’s intrinsic photochemical response and underscores a general feature of flexible chromophores: many modes may participate during photorelaxation, but only a limited subset ultimately dictates seam accessibility.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Photonuclear production of 225 Ac from 226 Ra targets

Herein we report proof of principal production of 225 Ac via 226 Ra(γ , n) 225 Ra $\overset{^-β}{\rightarrow}$ 225 Ac and subsequent chemical separation via extraction chromatography using BDGA and Ln resins. Irradiation of 0.35 µg 226 Ra with 39 MeV bremsstrahlung end-point energy photons produced 225 Ra and 224 Ra at a rate of 754 and 2215 kBq/g 226 Ra/mA/h, respectively. The production rate of 225 Ac determined at its peak radioactivity was 335 kBq/g 226 Ra/mA/h. Radiochemically pure 225 Ac was isolated with a minimum separation factor of 125,000 for 225 Ac: 226 Ra. In conclusion, these results are promising and lay the foundation for future studies to scale-up production for preclinical quantities of high purity 225 Ac using the 226 Ra(γ , n) 225 Ra $\overset{^-β}{\rightarrow}$ 225 Ac approach.

38 - RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCL↗

Forced flow transient safety analysis of irradiation device with adjustable orifice for research reactor fuel assemblies

The Belgium Reactor 2 (BR2) of the Belgian Nuclear Research Centre (SCK CEN) has several irradiation devices or rigs that are dedicated to the fuel performance and qualification demonstration testing of research reactor fuels. In support of the U.S. High Performance Research Reactor (USHPRR) LEU conversion project, a new flexible irradiation apparatus, MUSTANG-R, has been constructed. SCK CEN has completed the design and safety study, in cooperation with Idaho National Laboratory (INL) and Argonne National Laboratory (ANL), to allow for the irradiation testing of a full-size fuel assembly in a 200 mm diameter channel in the BR2 reactor. The moveable valve is a key design feature of the device and acts like an adjustable orifice enhancing or restricting the flow through a coolant channel inlet located in the BR2 upper plenum. This moveable valve allows the flow through the device to be adjusted prior to each BR2 cycle to obtain the necessary conditions for the fuel qualification test. This ensures accurate and representative thermal-hydraulic conditions of the fuel design are achieved. The device was designed and qualified as passively safe, implying verification by a combination of mechanical and thermal-hydraulic analysis and testing. This includes characterization of the safety margin required for a scenario where the moveable valve is assumed to be erroneously closed during irradiation. A simplified and conservative method is proposed for analyzing the corresponding forced flow transient using a critical heat flux criterion. In conclusion, this allows the required minimum valve opening to be determined for the experiments' design and safety studies.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Neutrino condensation from a new Higgs-like interaction

In this work, we revisit the scenario of having a new interaction between neutrinos and a Higgs-like scalar suggested by short-baseline neutrino anomalies. We find that there are two possible attractive channels in the resulting effective 4-Fermi theory which lead to a neutrino condensation in cosmic neutrinos and the creation of a neutrino superfluid at low temperatures and finite chemical potential. We find that at the minimum of the effective potential V the condensates are mostly made up of pairs of left-left + right-right composites, with a tiny admixture of left-right + right-left composites which differs from the scenario of Kapusta which focused on the energetically unfavored left-right + right-left scenario. We obtain an approximate equation for the gap Δ 2 = 4 m H ( μ - m ) Exp [ - π 2 G eff μ μ 2 - m 2 ] , where m H is the mass of the Higgs scalar, and G eff is the effective (renormalized) 4- Fermi interaction. Recent constraints on cosmological neutrinos suggest the possibility that log 10 ( G eff MeV 2 ) = - 1.72 which would lead to an exponentially small gap.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

From Molecules to Solids: A vdW-DF-C09 Case Study of the Mercury Dihalides

The mercury dihalides show a remarkable diversity in the structural preferences in their minimum energy structure types, spanning molecular to strongly bound ionic solids. A challenge in the development of density functional methods for extended systems is to arrive at strategies that serve equally well such a broad range of bonding modes or structural preferences. The chemical bonding and the stabilities of mercury dihalides and the general utility and reliability of the van der Waals density functional with C09 exchange (vdW-DF-C09) in predicting or describing the energetics and structural preferences in these metal dihalides is examined. Here, we show that, in contrast with the uncorrected generalized gradient approximation of the Perdew-Burke-Erzenhoff (PBE) exchange-correlation functional, qualitative and quantitative patterns in the bonding of the mercury dihalide solids are well reproduced with vdW-DF-C09 for the full series of HgX 2 systems for X = F, Cl, Br, and I. The possible existence of a low-temperature cotunnite polymorph for HgF 2 and PbF 2 is posited.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

The seventh blind test of crystal structure prediction: structure ranking methods

A seventh blind test of crystal structure prediction has been organized by the Cambridge Crystallographic Data Centre. The results are presented in two parts, with this second part focusing on methods for ranking crystal structures in order of stability. The exercise involved standardized sets of structures seeded from a range of structure generation methods. Participants from 22 groups applied several periodic DFT-D methods, machine learned potentials, force fields derived from empirical data or quantum chemical calculations, and various combinations of the above. In addition, one non-energy-based scoring function was used. Results showed that periodic DFT-D methods overall agreed with experimental data within expected error margins, while one machine learned model, applying system-specific AIMnet potentials, agreed with experiment in many cases demonstrating promise as an efficient alternative to DFT-based methods. For target XXXII, a consensus was reached across periodic DFT methods, with consistently high predicted energies of experimental forms relative to the global minimum (above 4 kJ mol −1 at both low and ambient temperatures) suggesting a more stable polymorph is likely not yet observed. The calculation of free energies at ambient temperatures offered improvement of predictions only in some cases (for targets XXVII and XXXI). Several avenues for future research have been suggested, highlighting the need for greater efficiency considering the vast amounts of resources utilized in many cases.

Chemistry↗

Energy-Efficient Driving in Connected Corridors via Minimum Principle Control: Vehicle-in-the-Loop Experimental Verification in Mixed Fleets

Connected and automated vehicles (CAVs) can plan and actuate control that explicitly considers performance, system safety, and actuation constraints in a manner more efficient than their human-driven counterparts. In particular, eco-driving is enabled through connected exchange of information from signalized corridors that share their upcoming signal phase and timing (SPaT). This is accomplished in the proposed control approach, which follows first principles to plan a free-flow acceleration-optimal trajectory through green traffic light intervals by Pontryagin's Minimum Principle in a feedback manner. Urban conditions are then imposed from exogeneous traffic comprised of a mixture of human-driven vehicles (HVs) - as well as other CAVs. As such, safe disturbance compensation is achieved by implementing a model predictive controller (MPC) to anticipate and avoid collisions by issuing braking commands as necessary. The control strategy is experimentally vetted through vehicle-in-the-loop (VIL) of a prototype CAV that is embedded into a virtual traffic corridor realized through microsimulation. Up to 36% fuel savings are measured with the proposed control approach over a human-modelled driver, and it was found connectivity in the automation approach improved fuel economy by up to 26% over automation without. Additionally, the passive energy benefits realizable for human drivers when driving behind downstream CAVs are measured, showing up to 22% fuel savings in a HV when driving behind a small penetration of connectivity-enabled automated vehicles.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

$\Sigma ^{+}$ production in pp collisions at $\sqrt{\textit{s}}=13$ TeV

The measurement of $\Sigma ^{+}$ production in pp collisions at $\sqrt{s}=13$ TeV is presented. The measurement is performed at midrapidity in both minimum-bias and high-multiplicity pp collisions at $\sqrt{s}=13$ TeV. The $\Sigma ^{+}$ is reconstructed via its weak-decay topology in the decay channel $\Sigma ^{+} \rightarrow \mathrm{{p}} + \pi ^{0}$ with $\pi ^{0} \rightarrow \gamma + \gamma$. In a novel approach, the neutral pion is reconstructed by combining photons that convert in the detector material with photons measured in the calorimeters. The transverse-momentum $(p_{\textrm{T}})$ distributions of the $\Sigma ^{+}$ and its rapidity densities dN/dy in both event classes are reported. The $p_{\textrm{T}}$ spectrum in minimum-bias collisions is compared to QCD-inspired event generators. The ratio of $\Sigma ^{+}$ to previously measured Λ baryons is in good agreement with calculations from the Statistical Hadronization Model. The high efficiency and purity of the novel reconstruction method for $\Sigma ^{+}$ presented here will enable future studies of the interaction of $\Sigma ^{+}$ with protons in the context of femtoscopic measurements, which could be crucial for understanding the equation of state of neutron stars.

Abualrob, I. J. [University of Houston] (ORCID:000↗

Subtask 1.5 – CO2 Injection Monitoring with an Optimized Scalable, Automated, Semipermanent Seismic Array

The scalable, automated, semipermanent seismic array (SASSA) method is a flexible and relatively cost-effective surface geophysical method for regular time-lapse monitoring of the movement of injected carbon dioxide (CO2) in a reservoir for CO2 enhanced oil recovery (EOR) or geologic CO2 storage operations. It has the advantages of a low-environmental-footprint while monitoring regions of a reservoir from the surface without the need for a regular grid distribution of receivers. Automated data collection is possible. As only time-lapse amplitude changes at the reservoir level due to CO2 movement within the reservoir are monitored, the turnaround time to deliver results from the SASSA method can be short, without the need for long, time-consuming data-processing workflows. As data is collected and processed, incremental information can be provided to the field operator. The Energy & Environmental Research Center (EERC) conducted a SASSA field test from September 2018 to November 2020 in a portion of the Bell Creek Field in Montana, which implemented new CO2 EOR field activities during the study period. Lessons learned from a proof-of-concept study were incorporated to improve the data quality of the SASSA method and demonstrate the viability of the technology. The EERC implemented several enhancements to improve data quality, including 1) an iterative survey design, which allowed placing the receivers in strategic locations where the movement of the CO2 in the reservoir could be tracked with minimum interference by the cultural noise in the study area; 2) the use of powerful seismic sources in the form of surface orbital vibrators, and 3) data acquisition during optimal periods. History-matched reservoir simulation was performed to predict gas saturation and pressure response induced by CO2 injection in the study area. The results were compared with the SASSA-measured responses to CO2 injection as a partial validation technique. A match between the two methods was observed for most of the SASSA points predicted to have intersected a CO2 saturation change. The validated results provide confidence that the SASSA method can be used independently as a CO2 saturation monitoring technique. As data are collected and processed, incremental information can be provided to the field operator. The critical components of the SASSA workflow for a successful application of the method are the following: Iterative survey design with information about CO2 injection activities from the oilfield operator. A detailed CO2 injection plan is the key driver to select the strategic monitoring location of the SASSA sensors. After this information is incorporated in the initial distribution of sources and receivers in the study area, high-resolution satellite images are used to identify ground locations not affected by cultural noise sources, such as power lines, pipelines/flow lines, or roadways. In the next iteration of the survey design, a scouting trip to the study area is needed to understand more details of the noise sources identified in the previous step and the intensity of the field activities that can also generate noise during the monitoring. Integrating the information from the scouting trip into the survey design to select the optimum source and receiver locations is the final step. Noise attenuation. The variety of noise types during seismic monitoring of an oil field is enormous. Tailored noise characterization and processing at a node-by-node level can enhance the performance and sensitivity of the SASSA technique. Future advancements that could improve the efficiency and application of the SASSA technology include: Gaining a better understanding of the noise field produced by the seismic source to aid the choice of receiver location. Surface noise from the source can overwhelm the small signal changes due to CO2 that the SASSA method measures. Improved data-processing workflow to automatically analyze and adapt to dynamic noise conditions associated with industrial settings. This subtask was funded through the EERC–DOE Joint Program on Research and Development for Fossil Energy-Related Resources Cooperative Agreement No. DE- FE0024233.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Particle production as a function of charged-particle flattenicity in 𝑝⁢𝑝 collisions at $\sqrt{s}$ = 13 TeV

This paper reports the first measurement of the transverse momentum (𝑝 T ) spectra of primary charged pions, kaons, (anti)protons, and unidentified particles as a function of the charged-particle flattenicity in pp collisions at $\sqrt{s}$ =13 TeV. Flattenicity is a novel event shape observable that is measured in the pseudorapidity intervals covered by the V0 detector, 2.8 < 𝜂 < 5.1 and −3.7 < 𝜂 < −1.7. According to QCD-inspired phenomenological models, it shows sensitivity to multiparton interactions and is less affected by biases toward larger 𝑝 T due to local multiplicity fluctuations in the V0 acceptance than multiplicity. The analysis is performed in minimum-bias (MB) as well as in high-multiplicity events up to 𝑝 T = 20 GeV/⁢𝑐. The event selection requires at least one charged particle produced in the pseudorapidity interval |𝜂| < 1. The measured 𝑝 T distributions, average 𝑝 T , kaon-to-pion and proton-to-pion particle ratios, presented in this paper, are compared to model calculations using pythia 8 based on color strings and EPOS LHC. The modification of the 𝑝 T -spectral shapes in low-flattenicity events that have large event activity with respect to those measured in MB events develops a pronounced peak at intermediate 𝑝 T (2 < 𝑝 T < 8 GeV/𝑐), and approaches the vicinity of unity at higher 𝑝 T . The results are qualitatively described by pythia, and they show different behavior than those measured as a function of charged-particle multiplicity based on the V0M estimator.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Q1-2024 Solar Cost Benchmarks

Each year, the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE) Solar Energy Technologies Office (SETO) and its national laboratory partners develop cost benchmarks for U.S. solar photovoltaic (PV) systems. These benchmarks track progress toward reducing solar costs and guide R&D priorities. Unlike typical studies that report only $/W, SETO uses intrinsic units (e.g., $/m² for mounting structures) to better capture how technology improvements such as module efficiency would impact system costs. This allows flexible modeling where inputs can vary significantly to assess cost sensitivity. Costs are reported in two ways: Minimum Sustainable Price (MSP): Long term, financially viable price under stable market conditions. Modeled Market Price (MMP): Actual market price, influenced by short term distortions such as tariffs or subsidies. Three national labs collect cost data from industry stakeholders, ensuring no duplication in outreach to stakeholders. Data reflects real transactions (primarily from Q1) and is weighted based on the number of sources per cost element. The PV System Cost Model (PVSCM) divides total installed system cost into eight categories: 1. Module (PV) 2. Inverter 3. Energy Storage System (ESS) 4. Structural BOS (SBOS) 5. Electrical BOS (EBOS) 6. Fieldwork 7. Office work 8. Other (developer/EPC costs) The first five are hardware costs, while the last three are soft costs. Each category includes fixed and variable cost components, where “size” depends on context (e.g., manufacturing capacity for modules vs. system capacity for installation costs). Variable costs are expressed using appropriate intrinsic units. The model reflects the owner’s upfront overnight capital cost, excluding tax credits. Tariffs and subsidies are treated as temporary market distortions affecting MMP but not MSP. PVSCM is implemented in Excel, where cost elements are aggregated into total system cost. Additional sheets handle unit conversions and operation & maintenance (O&M), with O&M costs levelized over the system’s lifetime.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗