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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 577 records · Page 32

Resilient water infrastructure partnerships in institutionally complex systems face challenging supply and financial risk tradeoffs

Abstract As regions around the world invest billions in new infrastructure to overcome increasing water scarcity, better guidance is needed to facilitate cooperative planning and investment in institutionally complex and interconnected water supply systems. This work combines detailed water resource system ensemble modeling with multiobjective intelligent search to explore infrastructure investment partnership design in the context of ongoing canal rehabilitation and groundwater banking in California. Here we demonstrate that severe tradeoffs can emerge between conflicting goals related to water supply deliveries, partnership size, and the underlying financial risks associated with cooperative infrastructure investments. We show how hydroclimatic variability and institutional complexity can create significant uncertainty in realized water supply benefits and heterogeneity in partners’ financial risks that threaten infrastructure investment partnership viability. We demonstrate how multiobjective intelligent search can design partnerships with substantially higher water supply benefits and a fraction of the financial risk compared to status quo planning processes. This work has important implications globally for efforts to use cooperative infrastructure investments to enhance the climate resilience and financial stability of water supply systems.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

Principles of paralog-specific targeted protein degradation engaging the C-degron E3 KLHDC2

Abstract PROTAC® (proteolysis-targeting chimera) molecules induce proximity between an E3 ligase and protein-of-interest (POI) to target the POI for ubiquitin-mediated degradation. Cooperative E3-PROTAC-POI complexes have potential to achieve neo-substrate selectivity beyond that established by POI binding to the ligand alone. Here, we extend the collection of ubiquitin ligases employable for cooperative ternary complex formation to include the C-degron E3 KLHDC2. Ligands were identified that engage the C-degron binding site in KLHDC2, subjected to structure-based improvement, and linked to JQ1 for BET-family neo-substrate recruitment. Consideration of the exit vector emanating from the ligand engaged in KLHDC2’s U-shaped degron-binding pocket enabled generation of SJ46421, which drives formation of a remarkably cooperative, paralog-selective ternary complex with BRD3 BD2 . Meanwhile, screening pro-drug variants enabled surmounting cell permeability limitations imposed by acidic moieties resembling the KLHDC2-binding C-degron. Selectivity for BRD3 compared to other BET-family members is further manifested in ubiquitylation in vitro, and prodrug version SJ46420-mediated degradation in cells. Selectivity is also achieved for the ubiquitin ligase, overcoming E3 auto-inhibition to engage KLHDC2, but not the related KLHDC1, KLHDC3, or KLHDC10 E3s. In sum, our study establishes neo-substrate-specific targeted protein degradation via KLHDC2, and provides a framework for developing selective PROTAC protein degraders employing C-degron E3 ligases.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

Non-equilibrium anti-Stokes Raman spectroscopy for investigating Higgs modes in superconductors

Abstract Even before its role in electroweak symmetry breaking, the Anderson-Higgs mechanism was introduced to explain the Meissner effect in superconductors. Spontaneous symmetry-breaking yields massless phase modes representing the low-energy excitations of the Mexican-Hat potential. Only in superconductors the phase mode is shifted towards higher energies owing to the gauge field of the charged condensate. This results in a low-energy excitation spectrum governed by the Higgs mode. Consequently, the Bardeen-Cooper-Schrieffer-like Meissner effect signifies a macroscopic quantum condensate in which a photon acquires mass, representing a one-to-one analogy to high-energy physics. We report on an innovative spectroscopic technique to study symmetries and energies of the Higgs modes in the high-temperature superconductor Bi 2 Sr 2 CaCu 2 O 8 after a soft quench of the Mexican-Hat potential. Population inversion induced by an initial laser pulse leads to an additional anti-Stokes Raman-scattering signal, which is consistent with polarization-dependent Higgs modes. Within Ginzburg-Landau theory, the Higgs-mode energy is connected to the Cooper-pair coherence length. Within a Bardeen-Cooper-Schrieffer weak-coupling model we develop a quantitative and coherent description of single-particle and two-particle channels. This opens the avenue for Higgs Spectroscopy in quantum condensates and provides a unique pathway to control and explore Higgs physics.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

Resonance from antiferromagnetic spin fluctuations for superconductivity in UTe 2

We report superconductivity originates from the formation of bound (Cooper) pairs of electrons that can move through the lattice without resistance below the superconducting transition temperature $T_c$. Electron Cooper pairs in most superconductors form anti-parallel spin singlets with total spin S = 0, although they can also form parallel spin-triplet Cooper pairs with S = 1 and an odd parity wavefunction. Spin-triplet pairing is important because it can host topological states and Majorana fermions relevant for quantum computation. Because spin-triplet pairing is usually mediated by ferromagnetic (FM) spin fluctuations3, uranium-based materials near an FM instability are considered to be ideal candidates for realizing spin-triplet superconductivity. Indeed, UTe 2 , which has a $T_c$ ≈ 1.6 K, has been identified as a candidate for a chiral spin-triplet topological superconductor near an FM instability, although it also has antiferromagnetic (AF) spin fluctuations. Here we use inelastic neutron scattering (INS) to show that superconductivity in UTe 2 is coupled to a sharp magnetic excitation, termed resonance, at the Brillouin zone boundary near AF order. Because the resonance has only been found in spin-singlet unconventional superconductors near an AF instability, its observation in UTe 2 suggests that AF spin fluctuations may also induce spin-triplet pairing or that electron pairing in UTe 2 has a spin-singlet component.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Evidence for Dirac flat band superconductivity enabled by quantum geometry

In a flat band superconductor, the charge carriers’ group velocity v F is extremely slow. Superconductivity therein is particularly intriguing, being related to the long-standing mysteries of high-temperature superconductors and heavy-fermion systems. Yet the emergence of superconductivity in flat bands would appear paradoxical, as a small v F in the conventional Bardeen–Cooper–Schrieffer theory implies vanishing coherence length, superfluid stiffness and critical current. Here, using twisted bilayer graphene, we explore the profound effect of vanishingly small velocity in a superconducting Dirac flat band system. Using Schwinger-limited non-linear transport studies we demonstrate an extremely slow normal state drift velocity v n ≈ 1,000 m s –1 for filling fraction ν between -1/2 and -3/4 of the moiré superlattice. In the superconducting state, the same velocity limit constitutes a new limiting mechanism for the critical current, analogous to a relativistic superfluid. Importantly, our measurement of superfluid stiffness, which controls the superconductor’s electrodynamic response, shows that it is not dominated by the kinetic energy but instead by the interaction-driven superconducting gap, consistent with recent theories on a quantum geometric contribution. Here we find evidence for small Cooper pairs, characteristic of the Bardeen–Cooper–Schrieffer to Bose–Einstein condensation crossover, with an unprecedented ratio of the superconducting transition temperature to the Fermi temperature exceeding unity and discuss how this arises for ultra-strong coupling superconductivity in ultra-flat Dirac bands.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Coupled electronic and magnetic excitations in the cuprates and their role in the superconducting transition

The formation of Cooper pairs, a bound state of two electrons of opposite spin and momenta by exchange of a phonon, is a defining feature of conventional superconductivity. In the cuprate high temperature superconductors, even though the superconducting state also consists of Cooper pairs, the pairing mechanism remains intensely debated. Here, we investigate superconducting pairing in the Bi 2 Sr 2 CaCu 2 O 8+δ (Bi2212) cuprate by employing spectral functions obtained from angle-resolved photoemission as input to the Bethe-Salpeter equation. Assuming Cooper pairing is driven by spin fluctuations, we construct the spin-fluctuation-mediated pairing interaction and use it to compute the eigenfunctions and eigenvalues of the Bethe-Salpeter equation for multiple Bi2212 samples. The leading d-wave eigenvalue increases as the temperature is decreased toward $T_c$, reaching a value of approximately 1 at the $T_c$ corresponding to each doping value. This suggests that spin fluctuations can approximately account for $T_c$ and mediate pairing in the cuprate superconductors.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Predicted strong coupling of solid-state spins via a single magnon mode

Abstract We propose an approach to realize a hybrid quantum system composed of a diamond nitrogen-vacancy (NV) center spin coupled to a magnon mode of the low-damping, low-moment organic ferrimagnet vanadium tetracyanoethylene. We derive an analytical expression for the spin-magnon cooperativity as a function of NV position under a micron-scale perpendicularly magnetized disk, and show that, surprisingly, the cooperativity will be higher using this magnetic material than in more conventional materials with larger magnetic moments, due to in part to the reduced demagnetization field. For reasonable experimental parameters, we predict that the spin-magnon-mode coupling strength is g ∼ 2π×10 kHz. For isotopically pure 12 C diamond we predict strong coupling of an NV spin to the unoccupied magnon mode, with cooperativity C λ = 15 for a wide range of NV spin locations within the diamond, well within the spatial precision of NV center implantation. Thus our proposal describes a practical pathway for single-spin-state-to-single-magnon-occupancy transduction and for entangling NV centers over micron length scales.

Candido, Denis R. (ORCID:0000000267083280)↗

Multidimensional coherent spectroscopy of light-driven states and their collective modes in multiband superconductors

We present a comprehensive theory of light-controlled multiband superconductivity, and apply it to predict distinctive signatures of light-driven superconducting (SC) states in terahertz multidimensional coherent spectroscopy (THz-MDCS) experiments. We first derive gauge-invariant Maxwell-Bloch equations for multiband BCS superconductors with spatial fluctuations. We consider driving electromagnetic fields determined self-consistently by Maxwell's equations. By calculating the THz-MDCS spectra measured experimentally in the clean SC limit, we identify unique signatures of finite-momentum Cooper-pairing states that live longer than the laser pulse. They are controlled by a pair of THz laser pulses with well-defined relative phase (pulse pair). The pseudospin oscillators that describe the properties of these SC states are parametrically driven by both finite-momentum Cooper pairing and by time oscillations of the order-parameter relative phase. We show that such strong parametric driving leads to drastic changes in the THz-MDCS spectral shape from the predictions of third-order nonlinear susceptibility calculations. These spectral changes strongly depend on the interband-to-intraband interaction ratio and on the collective modes of the light-driven state. For negligible interband interaction, the spectra show a transition with increasing field, from traditional pump-probe, four-wave-mixing, and third-harmonic generation peaks determined by the laser frequency to sidebands determined by the excitations of the driven system. These sidebands emerge from difference-frequency Raman processes in the nonequilibrium SC state. For interband couplings weaker than the intraband pairing, we show that the Leggett phase collective mode leads to harmonic sidebands around the traditional pump-probe peaks. Additional Higgs collective mode peaks result from light-induced inversion-symmetry breaking in a thin-film geometry. For strong interband coupling, we find a transition from a nonequilibrium finite Cooper-pair momentum state characterized by hybrid-Higgs amplitude mode peaks in THz-MDCS spectra to a driven state identified experimentally by the emergence of Floquet-type sidebands at bi-Higgs frequencies. Those dominant bi-Higgs-frequency satellites are manifestations of a new order parameter relative phase collective mode that characterizes the nonequilibrium SC state. The predicted interaction- and field-dependent transitions in the spectral profile allow us to propose THz-MDCS experiments for quantum tomography of light-driven superconductivity.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Estimating the energy threshold of phonon-mediated superconducting qubit detectors operated in an energy-relaxation sensing scheme

In recent years, the lack of a conclusive detection of weakly interacting massive particle dark matter at the 10 GeV/c 2 mass scale and above has encouraged development of low-threshold detector technology aimed at probing lighter dark matter candidates. Detectors based on Cooper-pair-breaking sensors have emerged as a promising avenue for this detection due to the low (meV-scale) energy required for breaking a Cooper pair in most superconductors. Among them, devices based on superconducting qubits are interesting candidates for sensing due to their observed sensitivity to broken Cooper pairs. Here, we have developed an end-to-end G 4 CMP -based simulation framework and have used it to evaluate performance metrics of qubit-based devices operating in a gate-based “energy relaxation” readout scheme, akin to those used in recent studies of qubit sensitivity to ionizing radiation. We find that for this readout scheme, the qubit acts as a phonon sensor with an energy threshold ranging down to ≃ 0.4 eV for near-term performance parameters.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Applying Utility's Advanced Grid Technologies to Improve Resiliency of a Critical Load

The US DOE Office of Electricity's Energy Storage Program's joint R&D work with the Cordova Electric Cooperative (CEC) has deployed several advanced grid technologies that are providing benefits today to Cordova Alaska's electricity users. Advanced grid technologies deployed through DoE co-funded R&D include a 1MW Battery Energy Storage System (BESS), and enhanced monitoring including Phasor Measurement Units (PMU's) to help better understand the operational impacts of the added BESS. This paper will highlight key accomplishments to-date in deploying and using advanced grid technologies, and then outline the next phase of work that will use these technologies to implement an operating scheme to reconfigure the utility's distribution system and utility resources including BESS to provide emergency back-up power to a critical load: the Cordova Community Medical Center (CCMC). This paper will include additional insights on the use of utility resources to support critical loads via case study examples by the National Rural Electric Cooperative Assoc. (NRECA).

BESS↗

Interference Moral Hazard in Large Multihop Networks

Cooperation between network nodes is critical for supporting services in ad hoc networks. Cooperation, however, is an idealized assumption that may not always be present. This assumption can fail because of moral hazard, a scenario in part caused by misaligned incentives between the requesting node and supporting node. In this paper, we characterize a moral hazard that perversely incentivizes nodes to increase their routing payments by transmitting interference into the multi-hop network. We refer to this as the interference moral hazard (IMH) problem which is inherent to strategyproof mechanisms with low overpayments. We investigate IMH as a non-cooperative game played by network nodes on a random graph. For large networks, we show that IMH can be solved in the network design space. Finally, we provide sufficient conditions on the network distribution that guarantee an equilibrium path with interference-free play. This is achieved by 1) lower-bounding the number of nodes and 2) bounding the network density slightly above the 2-connectedness threshold and below a proposed upper-bound. Simulations suggest that density plays a fundamental role in IMH.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Biochemical properties of glycerol kinase from the hypersaline-adapted archaeon Haloferax volcanii

ABSTRACT Extremophilic microorganisms are promising candidates for industrial and analytical biocatalysis.Haloferax volcanii, a halophilic archaeon that prefers glycerol over glucose, channels this substrate into central metabolism through glycerol kinase (GK). Here, we report the biochemical properties ofH. volcaniiGK and its potential for biotechnological applications. An N-terminal His-tagged GK was functionalin vivoand yielded 3 mg/L culture—4.5 times more enzyme than a C-terminal StrepII-tagged version. Size exclusion chromatography revealed a glycerol-induced oligomeric shift from homodimer to a dimer-dominant state with detectable tetramer. The purified enzyme showed robust activity across broad pH and salinity ranges, with optimal activity at 100 mM NaCl and 50°C–60°C. It retained catalytic activity in 5%–10% dimethyl sulfoxide (DMSO) and crude glycerol containing methanol. His-GK was freeze-thaw stable and thermotolerant in 2 M NaCl buffers. In the absence of ligands, the enzyme’s melting temperature (T m ) was 80°C. Glycerol increased the T m to 85°C, and combinations with MgCl₂ (84°C) or ATP (88°C) provided further stabilization. The highest T m (89°C) occurred with all three ligands, suggesting a cumulative stabilizing effect. Kinetic analyses revealed positive cooperativity for glycerol, ATP, and Mg² + ; Mn² + and Co² + also supported the activity.H. volcaniiGK is the first known GK to exhibit positive cooperativity with glycerol and ATP. Its high stability and substrate flexibility support its use in biodiesel waste valorization,in vitrobiocatalysis, and biosensor development—applications demanding robust, specific, and stable enzymes. IMPORTANCE This study reveals thatH. volcaniiGK exhibits positive cooperativity for glycerol, ATP, and Mg² + , a kinetic feature not previously reported for glycerol kinases. This behavior enables steep, switch-like responses to small substrate changes, offering unique advantages for biosensor design. Importantly,H. volcaniiGK also maintains high activity under extreme salinity, temperature, broad pH, and solvent conditions that typically limit enzyme use in industrial and environmental applications. These traits make this GK an ideal candidate for enzyme-based biosensors, which often suffer from poor tolerance to pH, solvent, and thermal stress. Its robustness supports its use in cross-linked enzyme crystals, an immobilization method that enhances enzyme stability and reusability under harsh conditions. Moreover, GKs are already employed in Mg² + detection kits; however,H. volcaniiGK’s ability to tolerate and respond to diverse divalent cations (e.g., Co² + , Mn² + ) broadens their potential for pollutant detection and environmental monitoring. These features collectively positionH. volcaniiGK as a valuable biocatalyst for biosensing,in vitrodiagnostics, and biotechnological applications requiring both precision and durability.

Biotechnology & Applied Microbiology↗

Community Solar for the Southeast (Final Report)

The Community Solar for the Southeast project provided technical assistance for cooperative and municipal utilities in the southeastern United States that are considering community solar programs. The project provided generally applicable information for these utilities in the form of an implementation guide and other freely available materials. It also provided detailed technical assistance to specific utilities in the form of feasibility analyses for possible community-scale solar (and energy storage) projects and program designs for community solar programs, all at no direct cost to the utilities. By helping to spur development of community solar projects in a region that historically had not seen much community-scale solar development, the program provided proof-of-concept for other community solar projects in the region, and helped to open up a market segment (cooperative and municipal utilities) that may have otherwise lacked the resources to independently pursue community solar development. The overall goal of the project was an expansion of community solar capacity at municipal and cooperative utilities in the southeastern United States (in this case meaning Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, Florida, Kentucky, Tennessee, Alabama, and Mississippi). The specific target was to spur the development of community solar at these utilities throughout the Southeast such that at least 200 MW of community-scale solar would be developed by 2020. In order to reach this goal the project team first aimed to develop useful materials and conduct outreach with utilities and other relevant stakeholders. The team then conducted technical assistance projects to help individual utilities evaluate and, in several cases, pursue development of projects. The team conducted nine technical assistance projects in total: five in North Carolina, two in Virginia, one in Georgia, and one in Kentucky. The team also responded to smaller scale information requests from southeastern utilities throughout the project period.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Research to Address Technical Barriers to Expanded Markets for Biodiesel and Biodiesel Blends (CRADA Final Report)

NREL and the Clean Fuels Alliance America (CFAA) will work cooperatively to assess the effects of biodiesel blends on the performance of modern diesel engines. This work will include research to understand the impact of biodiesel blends on the operation and durability of particle filters and NO x control sorbents/catalysts, to quantify the effect on emission control systems performance, and to understand effects on engine component durability. This research was performed at NREL Renewable Fuels and Lubricants (REFUEL) laboratory (an engine testing laboratory) as well as at third party labs paid directly by CFAA with NREL as part of the project management team. Also, research to develop appropriate ASTM standards for biodiesel quality and stability was conducted in NREL’s bench scale fuel chemistry laboratory. The cooperative project involved laboratory testing and research at NREL using biodiesel from a variety of sources and in collaboration with a broad range of other stakeholders. In addition, NREL will work with NBB to set up an Industrial Steering Committee to design the scope for the various tasks and to provide technical oversight to these projects. NREL and NBB will cooperatively communicate the study results to as broad an audience as possible. This research benefits the public by expanding markets for a domestically produced low-carbon intensity fuel for use in diesel engines.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Application Deconfliction Characterization and Alternatives Analysis

This report provides an overview of the domain space and solution techniques that could be used to create a robust, flexible app deconfliction service. Three approaches are reviewed with summaries of the characteristics, elements, and results from preliminary demonstrations of solution techniques based on each approach: 1) rules and heuristics, 2) cooperation, and 3) optimization. The strengths and weaknesses of each solution technique were explored through a set of numerical demonstrations on modified IEEE 123 node and 9500 node test feeders. An alternatives analysis of individual deconfliction elements was performed with each solution technique element evaluated against criteria reflecting the dynamic app environment, need to balance app objectives, and scalability issues versus the number of applications, setpoints, and distributed control areas. It is anticipated that a combined solution for a GridAPPS-D Deconfliction Service can be formulated using a combination of elements from each solution technique. The combined solution would combine 1) device control budgets to reduce the size of the solution space by constraining system setpoints to those will not result in accelerated degradation of physical assets, 2) system operations rules to constrain the solution space by eliminating setpoints that result in violations of system limits or operational best practices, 3) contextual status signals shared with or among apps such that they could update their desired setpoints based on the evolving context, 4) a mediator that incentivizes apps to come to a cooperative solution, and 5) Setpoint-informed optimization as a fallback mechanism if a cooperative solution cannot be agreed upon by applications.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

NA-22 Quarterly Report: IST for Extended Deterrence (Q4FY24)

Department of Energy (DOE) scientists have long enjoyed technical collaboration with Japanese colleagues – valuing their technical and scientific prowess in materials science and engineering, large-scale, scientific computing, and many other areas. In particular, NNSA’s laboratories are attractive partners for this effort because they have a heritage of performing high quality, basic research; they work with an awareness of the dual use nature of emerging science and technology; and, importantly, they work with deep national security sensibilities through engagement with NNSA and other national security mission responsibilities. Other DOE laboratories with significant national security bona fides are also significant collaborators. In FY23 a Trilateral Leaders Summit was convened at Camp David. The DOE was given responsibility for “Trilateral National Laboratories Cooperation: The United States, Japan, and the ROK will drive new trilateral cooperation between the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Laboratories and counterpart laboratories—supported by a budget of at least $6 million—to advance knowledge, strengthen scientific collaboration, and spearhead innovation in support of the three countries’ shared interests. Scientists and innovators from the three countries will advance collaborative projects on priority critical and emerging technology areas; potential areas of cooperation include advanced computing, artificial intelligence, materials research, and climate and earthquake modeling among other technology areas.”

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

High Capacity Step-Shaped Hydrogen Adsorption in Robust, Pore-Gating Zeolitic Imidazolate Frameworks (Final Technical Report)

The use of porous adsorbents for the densification of H 2 under relatively mild pressures and temperatures has been long pursued through various avenues of synthetic organic frameworks, namely metal–organic frameworks. However, the overwhelming majority of these materials are macroscopically rigid, exhibiting adsorption–desorption profiles that require appreciable energetic input for their full payload capacity to be stored and subsequently delivered. This reduced “deliverable” capacity is a core inefficiency in the use of porous adsorbents for H 2 densification. Our core mission is to determine a material-based strategy that fundamentally alters the adsorption¬–desorption profile in a manner that obviates these deleterious energetic requirements. Towards this, we have focused on metal–organic frameworks that exhibit “cooperative flexibility”, wherein the material undergoes reversible macroscopic phase changes in response to changes to external temperature and/or adsorbate pressure (i.e., concentration). Where these reversible switches occur between states of disparate enough accessible porosity, cooperatively flexible frameworks can exhibit “step-shaped” adsorption–desorption profiles that enable use of the delivery gaseous payload without the aforementioned additional energy requirements. However, before our work, such the observation of this phenomenon with very weakly adsorbing H 2 had not been observed with the necessary profile and P/T conditions desired for H 2 storage and delivery. During this project we have leveraged a deep understanding of the phase change in family of cooperatively flexible metal–organic frameworks to systematically alter their adsorption–desorption profiles to achieve step-shaped adsorption and desorption of H 2 in a precise P/T regime that enables a high deliverable capacity. Specifically, the thermodynamics of the adsorption/desorption induced phase changes in the baseline framework CdIF-13 (sod–Cd(benzimidazolate) 2 ) were tuned using the mixed-linker, or multivariate, approach to framework derivatization. Follow this, we have pursued a similar approach to tuning the adsorption–desorption profile of a second framework family, MIL-53(Al), which contains only Al(III) and theoretically exhibits a much higher deliverable capacity. In total, our work demonstrates that by first understanding the structural consequences of phase changes in these materials, their behavior can be systematically altered through ligand substitutions, tuning the pressure and temperature conditions at which H 2 is adsorbed and desorbed. Thus, enabling high deliverable capacities of H 2 with minimized energetic requirements.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Reconceptualizing Off-Ramps as a Tool of U.S.-China Escalation Management

Great power rivalry, at any point on the competition spectrum, involves assessments of risks and decisions on where to take them. Assessing risk versus reward is also integral to the decision to cooperate in the form of arrangements like arms control. As Donald Brennan wrote more than sixty years ago, the value in arms control lies in whether it “reduce[s] the hazards of the present armament policies by a factor greater than the amount of risk introduced by the control measures themselves.” 2 States can assume in peacetime the risks inherent in cooperating with an adversary, to attempt to mitigate risks likely to arise in crisis or conflict. Or they can choose to forgo cooperation and assume risks later, which will complicate their ability to manage crises, war, and war termination.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗