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93 records · Page 4

Improving the Performance of NEML2 with Modern Graph Compilation Backends

NEML2 vectorizes constitutive-model evaluation for large-scale multiphysics simulation, using PyTorch as its tensor backend so that a batch of material-point updates runs on CPU or GPU through a single implementation. In the two prior reports in this series it was a C++-native library, deployed through TorchScript tracing and just-in-time (JIT) compilation; it has since been rewritten from the ground up into a Python-native library deployed through Ahead-of-Time Inductor (AOTInductor), a modern PyTorch graph-compilation backend. The rewrite is driven by a persistent tension, not a language preference: NEML2 composes constitutive models at runtime from a registry of small, independently-authored pieces, and that flexibility is difficult to reconcile with the compile-time knowledge an efficient GPU kernel needs. This report documents the rewrite and the investment that accompanied it: the AOTInductor export pipeline that turns a Python-authored model into a portable, Python-free compiled artifact loadable from pure C++; the eager and compiled runtimes and the new implicit solver layer built on them; a head-to-head benchmark of legacy JIT against AOTInductor; the physics-model catalog and its worked examples; the developer tooling; and the corresponding overhaul of MOOSE’s NEML2 integration that lets MOOSE consume it. A central objective is to examine whether modern PyTorch graph-compilation backends are effective for MOOSE GPU integration. The benchmark answers directly: AOTInductor outperforms legacy JIT on every GPU scenario measured, by 1.0–4.5×. Modern graph-compilation backends are effective for MOOSE GPU integration, and AOTInductor specifically – not compilation in the abstract – is why.

Hu, Gary (Tianchen) [Argonne National Laboratory (

Progress and Perspectives: Zirconium Electrodeposition from Different Electrolytes

Zirconium (Zr) possesses outstanding properties, including exceptional chemical resistance and a high melting point, and is therefore desirable for use in a wide variety of challenging environments, such as in nuclear reactors and the chemical processing industry. To minimize the amount of Zr required for any given application, developing methods for generating metallic Zr coatings is highly advantageous. Owing to Zr’s highly negative reduction potential, electrodeposition in traditional solvents at near ambient temperatures remains challenging and thus not well understood. Due to the extreme conditions required to deposit this metal, extensive work has been conducted in molten salt electrolytes, however the broad applicability of this methodology is limited due to its corrosivity. The primary focus of this article is to present an overview of Zr’s electrochemical behavior and to consolidate the efforts of researchers in exploring electrodeposition techniques for Zr involving aqueous, organic, ionic liquid, deep eutectic, and molten salt solvents. With this information, we highlight trends across solvent systems and opportunities for future research.

42 ENGINEERING

Effect of the Nature of Both Cation and Anion Substitution on the Structural Symmetry of Li‐Rich 3 d ‐Metal Chalcogenide Electrodes

Abstract Li‐rich layered chalcogenides have recently led to better understanding of the anionic redox process and its associated high capacity while providing ways to overcome its practical limitations of voltage fade and irreversibility. This study reports on the feasibility of triggering anionic activity in Li 2 TiS 3 , through anionic substitution (Se for S) or cationic substitution (Fe for Ti). Herein, the chalcogenide chemical space is further explored to prepare mono‐substituted Li 1.7 Ti 0.85 Mn 0.45 Ch 3 (Ch = S/Se) and doubly substituted cationic and anionic phases (Li 1.7 Ti 0.85 Fe 0.45 S 3‐z Se z ) which crystallize either in the O3‐ or O1‐type structures depending upon substituents. All series show a bell‐shape capacity variation as function of the transition metal (TM) substitution degree with values up to 240 mAh g −1 . For specific compositions, a structural O3 to O1 phase transition is observed upon Li removal, which is not reversible upon Li re‐insertion due to kinetic limitations and negatively affects long‐term cycling performance. Density functional theory (DFT) calculations confirm the O3/O1 relative stability along the different series and point subtle electronic differences in the TM‐doping, rationalizing the structural and electrochemical behaviors of these phases upon cycling. These findings provide further insights into the link between structural and electronic stability, which is of key importance for designing chalcogenide‐based anionic redox compounds.

Chemistry

Symmetry‐Breaking Strategy Yields Dopant‐Free Small Molecule Hole Transport Materials for Inorganic Perovskite Solar Cells with 20.58% Efficiency and Outstanding Stability

Abstract Inorganic perovskites are known for their excellent photothermal stability; however, the photothermal stability of all‐inorganic n‐i‐p perovskite solar cells (PSCs) is compromised due to ion diffusion and free radical‐induced degradation caused by the use of doped spiro‐OMeTAD hole transport materials (HTMs). In this study, two isomeric donor–acceptor–donor (D–A–D) type small molecules, namely HBT and HiBT, were developed and used as dopant‐free HTMs, using 2,1,3‐benzothiadiazole or benzo[d][1,2,3]thiadiazole as acceptor moieties. The HiBT molecule, with its symmetry‐breaking features, exhibits a large dipole moment, enhanced coordination‐active sites, and a well‐aligned energy level structure, all of which contribute to passivating perovskite surface defects and improving free charge separation. As a result, inorganic CsPbI 3 PSCs with HiBT HTM achieved an impressive power conversion efficiency (PCE) of 20.58%, the highest reported for dopant‐free HTM‐based inorganic PSCs. Moreover, the enhanced hydrophobic properties of HiBT molecules, coupled with their ability to passivate perovskite surface defects, contribute to significantly improved device stability. The unencapsulated devices based on HiBT HTM retained over 83% and 80% of their initial efficiency after being stored at 85 °C for 50 days and undergoing maximum power point (MPP) tracking at 85 °C for 1100 h, respectively. These results highlight that the symmetry‐breaking strategy is an exceptionally effective approach for designing efficient, dopant‐free small molecule HTMs, significantly contributing to both the high efficiency and enhanced stability of all‐inorganic PSCs.

Chemistry

Low thermal budget dopant activation in shallow junctions of implanted Si via Tunable plasma enhanced annealing

Low thermal budget (LTB) annealing has become increasingly critical for shallow junctions as semiconductor devices are scaled down. Plasma Enhanced Annealing (PEA) has emerged as a promising LTB annealing process, however its mechanisms remain unclear. In this study, arsenic and boron implanted silicon wafers were subjected to helium or argon ion bombardment generated by annealing plasmas under controlled ion energies and doses in a home-built annealing reactor. The structural and electrical changes were characterized by four-point probe measurements, secondary ion mass spectrometry, Raman spectroscopy and spectroscopic ellipsometry. A pronounced reduction in sheet resistance, accompanied by a decrease in the damage layer thickness demonstrates the surface selective annealing capability of PEA process. Comparative studies using He and Ar plasmas and related ion bombardment reveal a dependence of activation efficacy on both ion species and the dopant implantation profile. Furthermore, a multi-step annealing mechanism is proposed, consisting of an initial (low dose) structural recovery stage followed by the generation of “extended” defects and concluded at large doses by an enhanced dopant activation. The proposed annealing kinetics are thought to be controlled by ion flux, dose and energy. Finally, these results highlight PEA as an effective, surface-selective, LTB approach for shallow-dopant activation and near surface annealing, and provide mechanistic insights into PEA processes.

dopant activation

SOLPS-ITER modeling of a dedicated divertor for negative triangularity operation on DIII-D

The design of a new dedicated divertor for negative triangularity (NT) operation on DIII-D with neutral baffles and pumping is informed by SOLPS-ITER transport modeling. This dedicated NT divertor is the latest step in a progression of NT shapes with various divertor characteristics explored on DIII-D, including NT shapes at reduced triangularity and a campaign with stronger shaping that included new armored components on the outboard side. SOLPS simulations played a key role in these divertor designs. Interpretive simulations, using cross-field diffusivities constrained by experimental data in the NT Shelf shape were used to inform the design of the 2023 armor campaign components. A similar procedure used armor campaign data to predict conditions for the dedicated NT divertor. The predictive simulations were used to assess the divertor fluxes, detachment threshold, pumped flux, and neutral leakage. For the dedicated NT divertor, SOLPS simulations and two-point-modeling were used to show the relative impact of magnetic topology (mainly longer connection length) and divertor closure on the divertor conditions relative to the armor campaign. It is predicted that the dedicated NT divertor reaches detachment (measured by target ion flux rollover) at a lower upstream density (≈(1.75−−2.4)×1⁢019m−3) as compared to the armor campaign shape. For the preliminary design geometry, divertor closure reduces the neutral leakage by ≈10%. Parametric optimization indicating further ≈20%–60% improvement in the leakage flux and recycled flux crossing the pump entrance is possible for relatively minor changes to the divertor and baffle layout.

Lore, Jeremy [ORNL] (ORCID:000000029192465X)

CatTestHub: A benchmarking database of experimental heterogeneous catalysis for evaluating advanced materials

The ability to quantitatively compare newly evolving catalytic materials and technologies is hindered by the widespread availability of catalytic data collected in a consistent manner. While certain catalytic chemistries have been widely studied across decades of scientific research, quantitative comparisons based on literature information is hindered by variability in reaction conditions, types of reported data, and reporting procedures. Here, we present CatTestHub, an open-access database dedicated to benchmarking experimental heterogeneous catalysis data. Combining systematically reported catalytic activity data for selected probe chemistries, with relevant material characterization and reactor configuration information, the database provides a collection of catalytic benchmarks for distinct classes of active site functionality. Through key choices in data access, availability, and traceability, CatTestHub seeks to balance the fundamental information needs of chemical catalysis and the FAIR data design principles. Details of the database architecture and the means through which to navigate it are presented, highlighting examples of catalytic insights readily drawn from the available benchmarking data. In its current iteration, CatTestHub spans over 250 unique experimental data points, collected over 24 solid catalysts, that facilitated the turnover of 3 distinct catalytic chemistries. Here, a roadmap is presented through which to expand the open-access platform that serves as a community wide benchmark, primarily through continuous addition of kinetic information on select catalytic systems by members of the heterogeneous catalysis community at large.

Benchmark

Decorated Honeycomb Lattice and Successive Magnetic Transitions of the Delafossite Derivative K 4 Ni 5 Te 3 O 16

Here, we report the synthesis and characterization of the delafossite derivative K 4 Ni 5 Te 3 O 16 , which hosts a decorated honeycomb Ni 2+ lattice. Single-crystal X-ray diffraction, electron microscopy, and neutron diffraction establish a noncentrosymmetric Pmm2 crystal structure that combines regular honeycomb units with elongated motifs formed by Ni 2+ trimers along extended edges. Magnetic susceptibility reveals strong antiferromagnetic interactions, while heat capacity measurements identify two successive magnetic transitions at 30 and 12 K. Neutron diffraction shows that these transitions correspond to a progression from partial to full long-range magnetic order on distinct Ni sites, reflecting competition among the various exchange interactions. The resulting magnetic point group, mm2.1′, inherits the lattice polarity and permits high-order magnetoelectric coupling. Consistent with this symmetry, a quadratic magnetic-field-induced polarization is experimentally observed below the magnetic ordering temperature, likely arising from exchange-driven magnetostriction coupled to the polar lattice. These results establish K 4 Ni 5 Te 3 O 16 as an interesting platform for engineering B-site ordering in delafossite derivatives to realize complex quantum magnetism and functional responses.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND

Probing Operando Electrochemical Strain Generation in α-NaFeO 2 Composite Cathodes during Cycling of Na-Ion Batteries

The transition metal oxide (TMO) cathodes in Na-ion batteries suffer from low-capacity retention. Chemo-mechanical instabilities lead to the deterioration of the electrochemical performance of TMO cathodes in Li-ion batteries. However, there is not much known about the chemo-mechanical instabilities in the TMO cathodes for Na-ion batteries. Understanding the governing forces behind the interplay between the electrochemical performance and mechanical stability in TMO cathodes is critical for the development of Na-ion batteries. Here, we synchronize the digital image correlation (DIC) technique with electrochemical analysis to capture the real-time deformation behavior of the α-NaFeO 2 cathodes during cycling. When the charge cutoff voltage is 3.6 V, the cathode experiences reversible deformations (except for the first cycle). There is negative strain (shrinkage) generation during Na extraction and positive strain (expansion) generation during the subsequent Na insertion. A detailed analysis of the potential-dependent strain rate evolution points out complicated phase transformations and nonequilibrium conditions in the α-NaFeO 2 cathodes during cycling. When the charge cutoff voltage was increased to 4.2 V, there was a rapid capacity loss and large plastic deformations in the α-NaFeO 2 cathodes. We provide an in-depth discussion about the possible mechanisms behind the chemo-mechanical instabilities in the α-NaFeO 2 . In conclusion, the correlation is critical to develop material-based strategies to mitigate instability mechanisms in TMO cathodes for Na-ion batteries.

Wable, Minal [University of Maryland Baltimore Cou

A Tutorial on Bayesian analysis of linear shock compression data

Gas gun and other shock compression experiments often produce shock wave velocity measurements that are linearly associated with particle velocity. Traditionally, this empirical relationship is quantified with a single Hugoniot curve that is estimated using least squares regression. However, for downstream modeling and simulation tasks, it is often more useful to have multiple Hugoniot curves in the pressure–volume plane that are consistent with the data. We employ Bayesian uncertainty quantification methods as a framework for propagating measurement uncertainty through to model parameters and predictions. Specifically, this Tutorial shows how to sample multiple Hugoniot curves in the pressure–volume plane that are consistent with the shock wave-particle velocity measurements in a two-step Bayesian approach. First, we obtain an analytical expression for the posterior distribution of the linear model parameters using Bayesian linear regression. Second, we propagate samples from the posterior distribution through the Rankine–Hugoniot equations to yield Hugoniot curves in the pressure–volume plane. The procedure is demonstrated with publicly available data on argon, copper, and nickel, and compared against bootstrapping and linear regression. The Bayesian procedure is shown to be interpretable, computationally inexpensive, and less sensitive than an alternative bootstrapping approach to the removal of the point in the copper dataset that has the largest particle velocity. As a Tutorial on Bayesian methodology for the shock compression community, we provide several derivations and explanations that make this paper self-contained, and make all code and data available at github.com/llnl/BALSCD.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC

SAM Code Enhancements for Fission Product Tracking of Noble Gases and Metals in MSRs

This report documents fiscal year 2026 enhancements to the System Analysis Module (SAM) for modeling fission product transport in liquid-fueled molten salt reactors (MSRs). The work advances three principal areas: noble gas transport, noble metal deposition, and user interface improvements. The noble gas transport capability integrates drift-flux gas transport, Henry’s law two-film interphase mass transfer with pressure-based nucleation suppression, Knudsen-regime pore diffusion into porous graphite with a conjugate salt-graphite interface constraint, built-in material properties, five Sherwood-number mass transfer correlations including three derived from high-fidelity NekRS simulations, and xenon-135 reactivity feedback through SAM’s point-kinetics model. This work also presents a comprehensive verification test suite, including new analytically verified cases for pressure-dependent onset of interphase gas transfer in a stagnant vertical pipe, a postulated FLiBe-graphite Xe extraction permeator, a gravity riser with a fission-product source, and a descending pipe with gas redissolution driven by hydrostatic pressure. A machine learning framework for bubble rise velocity prediction in molten salt systems is developed and benchmarked on molten-salt and diverse aqueous bubble datasets. The best-performing fine-tuned transfer-learning networks achieve an 82% reduction in RMSE relative to the Clift correlation, and is implemented directly in SAM. The noble metal transport capability is developed, including a liquid-wall deposition model and a gas-surface flotation mechanism that transfers insoluble particles entrained by sparging gas to wetted structures. Verification tests and demonstration cases cover the surface deposition, flotation efflux, and flotation shedding. Finally, a new [SpeciesTransport] input structure replaces positional global vectors with selfcontained, order-independent, named species blocks, simplifies the specification of multiphase species and decay chains, and remains fully compatible with existing SAM input files. Together, these developments improve the physical fidelity, verification basis, and usability of SAM for system-level analyses of fissionproduct behavior in MSRs.

Mui, Travis (ORCID:0000000303736470)

Integrated Simulation of Weld Residual Stress Evolution and Crack Propagation Using XFEM

Nuclear power plant components operate in environments that promote multiple degradation mecha- nisms, several of which involve crack initiation and growth. An ongoing effort in the U.S. Department of Energy’s Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program is developing a general capability within the Multiphysics Object Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) framework for simulating three-dimensional crack growth under a range of driving conditions, including fatigue, stress corrosion cracking (SCC), brittle fracture, and stress-relaxation cracking. This report demonstrates an end-to-end workflow that uses this capability to model weld-residual-stress-driven SCC in the J-groove weld of a pressurized-water reactor control rod drive mechanism penetration in the vessel head. The workflow consists of a thermomechanical welding simulation with temperature-dependent plasticity, followed by cooldown to ambient conditions, and a restart of the simulation using the MOOSE extended finite element method (XFEM) module to propagate a three-dimensional crack through the residual stress field. New welding capabilities were developed to properly initialize newly activated elements in the weld region, and robustness improvements were made to the mesh-based algorithm for defining cutting planes in the 3D XFEM algorithm, allowing it to handle complex crack fronts and stress fields. Together these advances allowed the simulated SCC crack to grow from an initial elliptical flaw in the weld, across the weld, through the tube wall, and almost to the triple point (where the weld, tube, and reactor pressure vessel head intersect) over roughly 36 years of simulated service. These results demonstrate a workflow that can be extended to fully three-dimensional welding simulations and more complex crack interaction problems.

42 - ENGINEERING

Proteome-wide analysis of protein stability in Escherichia coli under acid stress

Knowledge of protein acid sensitivity remains sparse and is largely derived from low-throughput, enzyme-specific assays. We used a scalable framework to map acid stability across the Escherichia coli proteome to assess the acid stability of 1,675 unique proteins, estimating pH 50 values for over 90% of them. The parameter pH50 was defined as the pH value at which only 50% of the initial protein remains in solution following acid treatment. Proteome-wide pH 50 values ranged from 2.28 to 6.33 (median 5.11). Approximately 9% of detected proteins remained stable across all tested pH conditions. Our results align with published data and the assay of citrate synthase (GltA) performed here. Protein acid stability differed significantly by subcellular localization: periplasmic proteins were relatively more abundant in the acid-stable group, cytoplasmic proteins were abundant at pH 50 values 4.5–5.5, and inner membrane proteins at higher pH 50 between 5.5 and 6.0. Outer membrane proteins were too few to draw strong conclusions regarding enrichment within specific pH 50 groups. Notably, the periplasmic binding protein of the molybdate ABC transporter (ModA), was enriched after incubation at low pH. Estimated pH 50 values showed no correlation with protein isoelectric point and molecular weight. Together, this work provides the first proteome-wide map of protein acid stability and establishes a general framework for studying different chemical stressors.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH

The U.S. Fusion Materials Community Roadmap: Near-term research priorities for the development of plasma-facing and structural materials for fusion power plants

In response to the needs of a rapidly growing private fusion industry, the U.S. Fusion Materials Coordinating Committee (FMCC) and the broader U.S. fusion materials research community undertook an extensive effort to create a comprehensive roadmap for fusion materials development. The result of this effort was the U.S. Fusion Materials Community Roadmap (US-FMCR), which describes the steps needed to advance the technical maturity of leading candidates for plasma-facing materials and structural materials for fusion power plants from laboratory-scale experiments to a point of sufficient technological readiness for industrial adoption and implementation. However, researchers face significant resource constraints as well as very aggressive pilot plant development timelines. Thus, the research strategies detailed in the US-FMCR require further assessment to downselect the specific tasks that must be prioritized within the next two to three years, in order to make the most efficient use of funding, human resources, and experimental facilities. This paper presents an overview of the US-FMCR and its development process. We also present the subset of research objectives that the FMCC identified as the most urgent research priorities for the U.S. fusion materials research community. The state-of-the-art of materials research is also highlighted for each class of materials considered in the US-FMCR. The recommendations presented here integrate an extensive evaluation of the current status of fusion materials research with a broad cross-section of opinion from the wider U.S. fusion community.

Ferry, Sara [Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Working Fluid Characterization and Performance Assessment of Subcritical Organic Rankine Cycles Based on the Lee–Kesler Approach for Energy Recovery

Here, a generalized model using the Lee–Kesler approach based on the corresponding states principle is developed to assess the performance of subcritical Organic Rankine Cycles operating with different working fluids. Each fluid is characterized by five parameters: the acentric factor, critical temperature, critical pressure, molar mass, and the ideal-gas ratio of specific heats at the critical temperature. The model was developed using the compressibility factor modified version of the Benedict–Webb–Rubin equation proposed by Lee and Kesler and the enthalpy and entropy functions to calculate thermodynamic state properties. The model was validated by comparing the results calculated with the model and working fluid thermodynamic properties obtained with the CoolProp database. This comparison was conducted for 91 working fluids, obtaining a relative error below 5% for 88 out of the 91 fluids (∼97%). A generalized parametric study was conducted to determine the influence of the pinch point and each fluid parameter on the performance of Organic Rankine Cycle (ORC) systems. It was found that efficiency increases with critical temperature, ideal-gas ratio of specific heats at the critical temperature, and acentric factor, reaching up to 13%. The developed model enables the evaluation of ORC system performance for existing working fluids. It also allows the formulation and evaluation of new fluids to enhance the performance of the ORC while retrieving energy from any kind of source; and likewise, the methodology can be applied to other power generation cycles.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION

Probing the atomic dynamics of ultrafast melting with femtosecond electron diffraction

Melting is an every-day phase transition that is determined by thermodynamic parameters like temperature and pressure. In contrast, ultra-fast melting is governed by the microscopic response to a rapid energy input and, thus, can reveal the strength and dynamics of atomic bonds as well as the energy flow rate to the lattice. Accurately describing these processes remains challenging and requires detailed insights into transient states encountered. Here, we present data from femtosecond electron diffraction measurements that capture the structural evolution of copper during the ultrafast solid-to-liquid phase transformations. At absorbed energy densities 2-4 times the melting threshold, melting begins at the surface slightly below the nominal melting point followed by rapid homogeneous melting throughout the volume. Molecular dynamics simulations reproduce these observations and reveal a weak electron-lattice energy transfer rate for the given experimental conditions. Both simulations and experiments show no indications of rapid lattice collapse when its temperature surpasses proposed limits of superheating, providing evidence that the inherent dynamics limits the speed of disordering in ultrafast melting of metals.

FOS: Physical sciences

Anion-dependent phase behavior of methylimidazolium-based ionic liquids mixed with water: Correlation between local molecular structure and mesoscale behaviors

The mesoscopic phase behavior of decylmethylimidazolium (C 10 mim) ionic liquids (ILs) bearing three monovalent anions—thiocyanate (SCN − ), nitrate (NO 3 − ), and chloride (Cl − )—mixed with water at relatively high IL contents (50–95 wt%) was investigated. Small-angle and wide-angle X-ray scattering (SAXS/WAXS) were employed to follow the evolution of both local and mesoscale structures across this composition range. In the absence of water, C 10 mimSCN and C 10 mimCl behaved as disordered liquids, whereas C 10 mimNO 3 spontaneously formed a hexagonally ordered cylindrical mesophase and displayed a sticky-solid macroscopic appearance. Upon addition of water, C 10 mimSCN remained a viscous liquid and only weakly ordered lamellar domains were observed. This limited ordering is attributed to the lack of hydrogen bonding and weak interaction energy between SCN − anions and C 10 mim + cations. In contrast, the trigonal-planar NO 3 − and point-like Cl − anions promoted the formation of well-defined hexagonal mesophases up to 35–45 wt% water. The formation of hydrogen bonding of the two anions with imidazolium ring protons likely enabled the creation of compact ion clusters that effectively exclude water molecules from the immediate vicinity of the IL aggregates. These findings demonstrate that the interaction energy between ion pairs dictate IL-water interactions and therefore control the transition from disordered liquids to ordered mesophases in IL/water mixtures with high IL contents. In conclusion, the combined SAXS/WAXS analysis reveals a correlation between local intermolecular structure and the emergence of mesoscopic order, providing a systematic framework for tailoring mesoscale structures in alkylimidazolium-based IL/water systems.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE

Value of Geothermal Energy Storage for Supply-Side and Demand-Side Applications

This report presents the results of a study examining the value potential for geothermal energy storage (GES), a long-duration energy storage resource that stores thermal and/or geomechanical energy in the subsurface. GES could benefit the overall U.S. power system by temporally shifting electricity generation (supply-side) or meeting building heating and cooling load (demand-side). This report analyzes supply-side and demand-side opportunities independently because of differences in applications and models. Currently there is significant uncertainty about the development costs for GES, with only a limited number of demonstration plants for electric energy storage and building heating and cooling storage developments. In this report, we estimate the value of supply-side and demand-side GES to the bulk power system in the contiguous United States. Because of the significant uncertainty about GES development costs, this analysis does not consider GES deployment costs but instead focuses on the value of GES to the U.S. electricity system. The estimated values of GES provide reference points for economically competitive commercial cost targets. Supply-side GES is modeled as part of an enhanced geothermal system (EGS) generation plant in NREL's Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS) capacity expansion model (Ho et al. 2021). In contrast to conventional geothermal plants, which generate constant power, EGS plants have unique features that may allow for in-reservoir energy storage for flexible generation. Demand-side GES for heating and cooling, including seasonal hot and cold storage and short-duration heat pump storage, is incorporated into a price-taker model using Cambium electricity marginal cost projections. To establish an upper bound for the value of GES, analysis focused on favorable scenarios for storage with high generation from zero marginal cost, variable renewable energy resources. High penetrations of variable renewable energy generation can increase hourly electricity price variability, which increases the value of temporal energy arbitrage for storage technologies like GES.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY